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The frozen housing market may be starting to thaw
  + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The US housing market is showing renewed signs of life as 2024 begins. AdvertisementThe US housing market has been largely frozen for the last two years, but it's starting to show signs of a thaw as sales activity and mortgage applications pick up, and mortgage rates ease. AdvertisementPending home sales increased 8% in December. Mortgage applications have also picked up. "The housing market is off to a good start this year, as consumers benefit from falling mortgage rates and stable home prices," said Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the NAR.
Persons: , Odeta Kushi, Freddie Mac, Lawrence Yun Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal Reserve
Ark Invest's Cathie Wood piled into Tesla shares Thursday as the electric vehicle company, one of her top holdings, sold off drastically after weak earnings and a slowdown warning. Wood's flagship ARK Innovation ETF added 148,246 shares of Tesla in the previous session, and 29,624 shares for her ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF , according to Ark's daily trading data. Combined, the purchases were worth more than $32 million based on Tesla's Thursday close of $182.63. Tesla shares shed 12% Thursday, suffering their biggest drop in over a year. Wood has been a longtime champion of Tesla, betting on an accelerated shift to EVs as well as Tesla's artificial intelligence capabilities.
Persons: Wood, Tesla Organizations: Tesla, ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics, Elon Locations: Texas, Coinbase
Berkshire Hathaway shares reached a fresh all-time high to start off a strong 2024, and one analyst thinks the conglomerate's stock is still attractively priced and sees double digit upside. UBS analyst Brian Meredith hiked his 12-month price target for Berkshire's Class B shares to $435 from $410 previously. Secondly, the UBS analyst said Berkshire's array of different businesses remains strong. In insurance, UBS expects profit margins to improve at auto insurer Geico this year, while Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group is expected to see strong growth in premiums and improved profitability. Lastly, UBS noted that Berkshire has historically benefited, on a relative basis, from an economic slowdown.
Persons: Brian Meredith, Warren, Meredith, Buffett Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, UBS, Berkshire, BRK's Insurance, Insurance, BNSF Railway Co Locations: Berkshire, repurchases, buybacks . Berkshire, U.S, Omaha
CNN —Those who were lucky enough to hear their names read among the Oscar nominees on Tuesday morning are expressing their gratitude for the honor. Thank you to Bradley for handing me this gift of a role and an experience.”Carey Mulligan and Bradley Cooper in "Maestro." Jason McDonald/Netflix“Maestro” creator Bradley Cooper, nominated for best picture, best original screenplay and best actor said, “We are all so grateful to be recognized along all of these incredible works of art this year. Parrish Lewis/NetflixMusician Jon Batiste’s “It Never Went Away” from the film “American Symphony,” that in part chronicles his wife’s battle with cancer, was nominated for best original song. And in a year of so many extraordinary songs - including those from our incredible fellow Barbie contributors,” the statement said.
Persons: Emma Stone, , , Bella, “ Oppenheimer, ” Maestro, “ El Conde, ” Annette Bening, Bening’s, Nyad, Jodie Foster, Carey Mulligan, Bradley Cooper’s “ Maestro, Bradley, ” Carey Mulligan, Bradley Cooper, Jason McDonald, Maestro ”, Jamie, Alex, Nina Bernstein, ” Colman Domingo, “ Rustin ”, BAYARD RUSTIN’s, ” Jeffrey Mackenzie Jordan, Colman Domingo, Rustin, Parrish Lewis, Jon Batiste’s, Suleika, ” Batiste, ” Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt, Ken ”, “ Barbie, Greta Gerwig’s, Billie Eilish, Finneas, Celine Song, Greta Lee, Jon Pack, we’ve Organizations: CNN, Academy, ” Netflix, Netflix Locations:
United Airlines – The airline stock popped nearly 5% a day after the company reported higher-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter. TKO Group – Shares of TKO Group Holdings rallied 15.8% after announcing a deal to air its WWE flagship program known as "Raw" on Netflix next year. Revenue topped expectations, but earnings fell 6 cents short of analysts' expectations, per LSEG. Verizon posted $1.08 in adjusted earnings per share on $35.13 billion in revenue, while analysts surveyed by LSEG forecasted $1.07 per share in earnings and $34.64 billion of revenue. Procter & Gamble posted mixed results for its fiscal second quarter , topping earnings expectations but falling short on revenue.
Persons: Alibaba, Alibaba's, Truist, Coinbase – Coinbase, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Lockheed Martin, Horton –, Halliburton – Halliburton, Johnson – Johnson, Wall, Gamble, RTX, Zions Bancorporation, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Alex Harring Organizations: United Airlines –, Boeing, Max, Group, WWE, Netflix, LSEG, New York Times, Sunnova Energy, Enphase Energy, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Reuters, CSI China Internet, General Electric, GE, Teva Pharmaceutical, Teva Pharmaceuticals, Lockheed, Logitech –, Logitech, Barstool Sports, Johnson, Verizon –, Verizon, Procter, FactSet Locations: Alibaba –, China, fundaments
Widely followed bank analyst Mike Mayo named Citigroup his top pick, saying he realized the embattled bank is under the influence of none other than Warren Buffett. "Until now, it was unclear to us and many investors whether this Citi stake was really a 'Warren Buffett investment' vs. somebody else at his firm. Earlier this month, Citigroup cut 10% of its workforce in a bid to boost the bank's results and stock price. C 1Y mountain Citigroup Mayo said Buffett seems to support his belief that Citigroup's overhaul could make a significant difference this time around. "Warren Buffett supports the CEO's restructuring.
Persons: Mike Mayo, Warren Buffett, Wells Fargo's Mayo, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Jane Fraser, Omaha hasn't, Mayo, Goldman Sachs, Brian Moynihan, Fraser, couldn't, Citigroup Mayo Organizations: Citigroup, Reuters, Berkshire, Citi, U.S . Bancorp, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Apple, CNBC, U.S Locations: Omaha, Mayo, Berkshire, Wells Fargo, Bank
Read previewAlibaba cofounder Jack Ma was once the invincible poster boy of Chinese tech. Now, it appears Ma is debuting a refreshed version of himself, in what you just might call Jack Ma 3.0. Jack Ma 1.0: A struggling teacher who wanted in on the tech sceneIt's easy to understand why Ma is so popular in the US and China alike. His first business — China Pages — failed, but he gathered a band of 17 friends in 1999 to set up Alibaba. AdvertisementMa himself cavorted with the biggest names in business, tech, and government globally — from Bill Gates and Softbank CEO Masayoshi Son to then president-elect Donald Trump.
Persons: , Jack Ma, Michael Jackson, Ma, Ma —, Xi Jinping's, he's, Ma Yun, He's, Brian Wong, Wong, Jack, it's, Alibaba.com, behemoth Goldman Sachs, Alibaba, Charlie Rose, cavorted, Bill Gates, Masayoshi Son, Donald Trump, Supakit Chearavanont, Ma hasn't, SCMP Organizations: Service, Business, Communist Party, Hangzhou Teachers Institute, KFC —, Economic, Big Tech, New York Stock Exchange, Financial Times, Tokyo College, Charoen, China Morning Locations: Beijing, China, Hangzhou, Davos, Switzerland, Alibaba, Asia, Spain, Netherlands, Japan, Thailand, Agriculture
New York (CNN) — US stocks rallied powerfully last week after a topsy-turvy start to the month. History indicates that if the market can cling to those gains, that could bode well for the rest of the year. But last week, all three major indexes turned positive for the year as tech stocks led the broader market higher. The January barometer, introduced in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, states that however stocks perform during January, their year-end performance will follow suit. That is good news for the 85 million homeowning households that enjoyed further gains in housing wealth, said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR.
Persons: turvy, bode, Bell, Anna Rathbun, we’re, it’s, we’ve, Bryan Mena, ” Joanne Hsu, Anna Bahney, Lawrence Yun, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, The University of Michigan’s, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York
High mortgage rates had a huge impact on the housing market last year, but we'll likely see conditions improve in 2024. Mortgage rates rose to a more than two-decade high last year, and homebuying demand all but disappeared as a result. "Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months." See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 5.76% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Mortgage, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
"We ended our buyers' strike and found several promising new investments that we believe will help us in 2024," the hedge fund manager said in an investor letter dated Monday and obtained by CNBC. Einhorn had stopped building new stock positions at one point in the fourth quarter due to worries about intensifying geopolitical risks. Because of his conservative positioning, his hedge fund, particularly the short side, was hurt during 2023's strong year-end rally. Einhorn's hedge fund returned 22.1% in 2023, net of fees and expenses. His stellar track record made him one of the most followed hedge fund managers on Wall Street.
Persons: Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, he's, Greenlight, drugmaker, He's, CNBC's Leslie Picker Organizations: CNBC, Cornell grad, Greenlight Capital, Wall, Pfizer, Syensqo, U.S . Aerospace & Defense, Invesco Aerospace & Defense, P Aerospace & Defense Locations: Belgian, U.S
The farm cost Buffett $280,000, a bargain after the 1980s bubble in farm prices burst, leaving many Iowa and Nebraska banks saddled with sour loans. NYU retail The second investment Buffett discussed was a New York retail property that he co-purchased in 1993 through an introduction by Larry Silverstein, Salomon Brothers' landlord when Buffett briefly stepped in as the investment bank's CEO. "If you don't feel comfortable making a rough estimate of the asset's future earnings, just forget it and move on." Key to investing Through telling stories of such specific assets, the legendary investor taught his followers that what matters the most to any investment is its future earnings. If you don't feel comfortable making a rough estimate of the asset's future earnings, just forget it and move on," Buffett said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Larry Silverstein, Salomon Brothers, Benjamin Graham, Charlie Munger Organizations: Apple, New York University, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Buffett, NYU, NYU wasn't, Columbia University Locations: Nebraska, New, Manhattan, Omaha, Iowa, New York
Sales were 6.2% lower than in December 2022, marking the lowest level since August 2010. Full-year sales for 2023 came in at 4.09 million units, the lowest tally since 1995. Regionally, on a month-to-month basis, sales were unchanged in the Northeast and fell 4.3% in the Midwest. There were 1 million homes for sale at the end of December, making for a 3.2-month supply at the current sales pace. Individual investors, who make up a large share of all-cash sales, bought 16% of homes, down from 18% in November.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Danielle Hale Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Midwest ., Mortgage News, Homes Locations: Northeast, West
The National Association of Realtors said Friday that existing U.S. home sales totaled 4.09 million last year, an 18.7% decline from 2022. Despite easing mortgage rates, existing home sales fell 1% in December from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.78 million, the slowest sales pace since August 2010, the NAR said. Last month's sales pace is short of the roughly 3.83 million that economists were expecting, according to FactSet. “The latest month’s sales look to be the bottom before inevitably turning higher in the new year,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR's chief economist. The national median home sales price rose 4.4% in December from a year earlier to $382,600, the NAR said.
Persons: Freddie Mac, , Lawrence Yun Organizations: ANGELES, The National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S
The S & P 500 just notched a record high to declare its bull market status, but according to one money manager who helps oversee more than $1 trillion, there are a few names investors could focus on for the next leg of the cycle. "We're concerned about U.S. consumers, who are burdened by record levels of credit card debt at elevated interest rates." .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 The S & P 500 , which hit an all-time intraday peak on Friday, roared back at the end of 2023, notching a 24% gain for the year. Infrastructure stocks Malik believes that global infrastructure companies benefit from inelastic demand for the necessary services they provide, and are thus insulated from most recession risks. "Both dividend growth and global infrastructure stocks have historically weathered down markets relatively well," Malik said.
Persons: Saira Malik, Malik, that's, Linde Organizations: Investors, Fed, CNBC Pro, Motorola Solutions, Deutsche Bank, Motorola, CMS Energy Locations: Jackson, Michigan
Washington, DC CNN —The residential real estate market tumbled in 2023, as soaring interest rates steadily slowed sales activity — but home prices still hit a record high. Even with all the disruptions of the onset of the pandemic, sales in 2020 ended at about 5.5 million. The next year, sales soared to over 6 million amid the frenzied market as mortgage rates sank in 2021. As mortgage rates hit 7.79% in October 2023, the highest in 23 years, sales sank again, to about 4 million. If there had been more listings on the market in 2023, we would have had more home sales.”
Persons: Lawrence Yun, , Yun, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors, , , Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, homeownership,
Read previewThe housing market is coming off its weakest year of home sales since 1995, according to data out Friday from the National Association of Realtors. For the full 12 months, total existing home sales hit 4.09 million units, and sales were lower across all regions in the US year-over-year. Related stories"The latest month's sales look to be the bottom before inevitably turning higher in the new year," NAR economist Lawrence Yun said. AdvertisementTotal existing home sales, year-over-year. "Despite sluggish home sales, 85 million homeowning households enjoyed further gains in housing wealth," Yun said.
Persons: , Lawrence Yun, Freddie Mac, Yun Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, Business, NAR Locations: homeownership
Hong Kong CNN —As Ukraine scrambles to keep international support with Russia’s invasion grinding into a third year, its leader has made clear one country he would like to see join his push for peace: China. There, Zelensky told reporters he would “very much like China to be involved” in Ukraine’s peace plan. “China thinks it is already playing an important role in moving toward peace. There is even less reason for China to ‘advance a fair peace as advocated by the West and Ukraine,’” she said. But when it comes to how Beijing may maneuver toward brokering peace in Gaza, China likely doesn’t see itself as yet having captured the opportunity “to present itself as a conflict mediator,” according to Sun.
Persons: Ukraine scrambles, , Volodymyr Zelensky, Zelensky, Li Qiang, Zelensky –, It’s, , Yun Sun, Xi Jinping, ’ ”, Li, Wang Yi, Wang, Xi, Alex Gabeuv, Israel, , Svitlana Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Economic, Stimson, Kyiv, Sun, West, CNN, Arab League, Palestine, Global, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, China’s, Ministry Locations: Hong Kong, Ukraine, China, Beijing, Switzerland’s Davos, Interfax, Russia, Washington, Moscow, Davos, Gaza, Russia’s, CNN China, Cairo, Africa, Israel, Palestine, United States, that’s, Berlin, Global, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, counterbalancing, Kyiv, London
“Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations,” Hsu added. “Like December, there was a broad consensus of improved sentiment across age, income, education, and geography,” Hsu said. There may, however, be some relief in 2024 as mortgage rates fall in line with reduced interest rates from the Federal Reserve. “Mortgage rates will continue to remain a wild card for home shoppers,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. "Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months."
Persons: Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, , Danielle Hale, Lawrence Yun Organizations: University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, , Realtor.com, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s Locations: , Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — U.S.-listed shares of the semiconductor company popped 9.79% on the back of a fourth-quarter profit and revenue beat . Fastenal earned 46 cents per share on revenue of $1.76 billion, while analysts polled by StreetAccount forecast 45 cents per share on $1.75 billion in revenue. Adjusted earnings per share were 32 cents, versus the 27 cents expected from analysts polled by StreetAccount. KeyCorp — The Cleveland-based bank dropped 4.62% after reporting fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 3 cents, down from 38 cents a year prior. Kinder Morgan — Kinder Morgan shares slid 1.42% after the natural gas pipeline operator reported fourth-quarter revenue of $4.04 billion, missing the LSEG consensus estimate of $4.41 billion.
Persons: Sekisui, Hertz, Morgan Stanley, Fastenal, Birkenstock, KeyCorp —, Kinder Morgan — Kinder Morgan, CNBC's Lisa Han, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: Apple —, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Apple, CVS Health, MDC Holdings, MDC, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Devices, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue, Citi, StreetAccount, Horizon, Discover Financial, Wolfe Research, JPMorgan Locations: KeyCorp — The Cleveland, Singapore
Following the ruling, Bank of America downgraded Spirit to an underperform rating, while Susquehanna downgraded the airline to negative. Rivian — The electric vehicle manufacturer slid nearly 8% following a downgrade to a hold rating from Deutsche Bank. Polaris , Mattel — The stocks moved following rating changes from Morgan Stanley. Meanwhile, toymaker Mattel slid 2.8% after Morgan Stanley downgraded shares to equal weight, citing lofty consensus estimates and a tough 2024 outlook. Marathon Digital — The crypto mining firm slid 3% during Wednesday's trading session.
Persons: JetBlue's, Sinclair —, Sinclair, SolarEdge — SolarEdge, Teladoc, Davidson, Nutanix, William Blair, Uber, Ford, Morgan Stanley —, Ted Pick, Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, Gregory Lewis, , Alex Harring, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways —, Bank of America, Susquehanna, Interactive, LSEG, Diamond Sports Group, Diamond, Barclays, Broadcom, VMware, Wolfe Research, Deutsche Bank, UBS, JPMorgan, Polaris, Mattel, Automotive, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, BTIG, Marathon Digital Locations: Europe, China
Spirit Airlines , JetBlue Airways — The airline stocks slid after a federal judge blocked JetBlue Airways' proposed $3.8 billion acquisition of Spirit Airlines. JetBlue shares fell nearly 1%, while Spirit Airlines dropped more than 20%. SolarEdge Technologies — The solar stock fell 5% following a downgrade by Barclays to underweight from equal weight. Twist Bioscience — Shares climbed 3.2% on the heels of an upgrade to buy from neutral at Goldman Sachs. Ford — Shares shed 2.3% on the back of a UBS downgrade to neutral from buy.
Persons: Sinclair —, Sinclair, Goldman Sachs, Davidson, William Blair, Nutanix, Wolfe, Uber, Tesla, Morgan Stanley —, Ted Pick, Visteon, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, , Sarah Min, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways —, JetBlue Airways, Bank of America Securities, Susquehanna Financial, JetBlue, LSEG, Diamond Sports Group, Diamond, Technologies, Barclays, Goldman, , Broadcom, VMware, Deutsche Bank, Ford —, UBS, JPMorgan, Polaris, Mattel Locations: Rivian, China
The Morgan Stanley headquarters is seen in New York City on Jan. 17, 2023. Morgan Stanley on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter revenue that surpassed expectations, boosted by the strength in investment banking. Shares of Morgan Stanley initially climbed in premarket trading following the results, but the stock closed Tuesday's session 4.2% lower. Morgan Stanley said its revenue from investment banking rose 5% from a year ago on the back of a 25% increase in fixed income underwriting revenue amid higher investment-grade issuances. Pick is a Morgan Stanley veteran who rose through the ranks to lead the bank's Wall Street operations.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Pick Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Securities, Exchange Commission, Firm, Wealth, CNBC PRO Locations: New York City, U.S, York
Widely followed value investor Bill Nygren, portfolio manager at Oakmark Funds for 40 years, said the best trade of his career was when he made 80 times his money buying Liberty Media in the early 90s. Nygren took advantage of a period of time when Liberty Media went through a number of structural changes. "Most investors looked at this spinoff of Liberty Media, kind of a hodgepodge of investments, mostly which they didn't have control over." One of the biggest challenges of the trade was that there wasn't one traditional metric that Nygren could use to value the whole company. "Each asset had a different metric that we thought was most representative of what value really was for that type of company," Nygren said.
Persons: Bill Nygren, Nygren Organizations: Oakmark Funds, Liberty Media, Tele, Communications, EV, Liberty
With a midair emergency, disappointing profit forecast and more aircraft groundings after only two weeks, the airline industry is already off to a turbulent 2024. "It's a labor intensive, capital intensive, largely commodity-type business," Buffett said during the annual meeting of Berkshire shareholders in 2013. Selling airlines In 2020, Buffett revealed that Berkshire sold all of its equity holdings in the U.S. airline industry. That included stakes worth a combined $4 billion in all four legacy carriers — United Airlines , American Airlines , Southwest Airlines and Delta Air Lines . And I don't know how it's changed and I hope it corrects itself in a reasonably prompt way," Buffett said then.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, That's, he's, I've, Charlie Munger, it's, Donald Trump, ’ Buffett, Kitty Hawk, Orville, Richard Branson Organizations: Berkshire, U.S, — United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Buffett, U.S . Global JETS ETF, JETS, Chicago Cubs, CNBC, Virgin Atlantic Airways Locations: Omaha, NetJets
Bank of America shares fell 1.1% Friday after the firm reported declining fourth-quarter earnings amid hefty one-time charges. Here's what the company reported compared to Wall Street expectations, according to LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:Earnings per share: 70 cents, adjusted vs. 68 cents expected. 70 cents, adjusted vs. 68 cents expected. Revenue: $22.1 billion vs. $23.74 billion expected. Bank of America stock is down 2.6% this year after a mere 1.7% gain in 2023.
Persons: Brian Moynihan Organizations: of America, Revenue, Bank of America, London, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, CNBC PRO Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina
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