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Economists at the Peterson Institute studied what would happen if Trump undermined Fed independence. The study's lead researchers dug into the economic impact of three of Trump's campaign promises: mass deportations, tariffs, and eroding Fed independence. Though Trump promises an America First economic agenda, McKibbin said that taking control of the Fed would get him the opposite results. AdvertisementHe doesn't think the public is paying enough attention to the risks of Trump's Fed proposals or the overall murkiness of the candidates' economic policy. "If you're going to advocate a policy, there has to be evidence as to why you're advocating that policy," McKibbin said.
Persons: Trump, , Warwick McKibbin, McKibbin, Jerome Powell, Trump hasn't, they're, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Peterson Institute, Fed, BI, Service, Federal, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Trump, PIIE, Business, Wall Street Journal, Biden Locations: China, Canada, Mexico, Australia, America
Homebuyers can also now put less money down on their purchases — an attempt to breathe life into China's moribund property market. Since the pandemic, China's leader, Xi Jinping, has done little to stop the bleeding in the country's property market or to get China's ailing consumers to start spending money again. Xi's Beijing lacks the will and the power to turn China's economy around. At the heart of its problems is a lack of consumer demand and a property market going through a deep, slow-moving correction. Plus, there's Xi, who seems fairly uninterested in restructuring the property market.
Persons: Gongsheng, Wall, Xi Jinping, China —, Goldman Sachs, , Sam Altman, Genéralé, Michael Pettis, Xi doesn't, Friedrich Hayek, Xi Organizations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, People's Bank, Shanghai, Chinese Communist Party, Nasdaq, CCP, Peking University, Carnegie Endowment, European Union Locations: China's, China, Beijing, Austrian
So far, she's been on 17 sailings — 11 with Norwegian Cruise Line and some back-to-back — since she left the US one year ago. If you're a first-time, budget, or solo cruiser, Thomas has nine suggestions for you, from sailing solo to finding the cheapest cruise. Thomas suggests travelers wanting to achieve loyalty status should test two or three companies before settling on a favorite. In 2024, Norwegian Cruise Line introduced solo interior, ocean view, and balcony cabins on top of its existing "studios" designed for single travelers. Norwegian Cruise LineSome cruise companies charge solo travelers a "single supplement" fee to compensate for lost revenue on dual occupancy cabins.
Persons: Shirene Thomas, , Thomas, Villa Vie's, she's, Brittany Chang, Taylor Rains, she'll, there's, Pieter De Boer, it's, Jason Liberty Organizations: Villa, Service, Cruise Lines International Association, Sea Cruises, Norwegian Cruise Line, Cruise, Cruise Line, Firenze, Business, Facebook, Royal, upcharges, Royal Caribbean, Oasis Class, Seas Locations: Wilmington , North Carolina, Norwegian, CocoCay, , New Orleans, Barcelona, Florida's Port Canaveral
The S&P 500's positive performance this year means that a Harris victory is likely, history says. The S&P 500 has gained 10% since August 5, and if it keeps going up, a Harris victory seems imminent. Likewise, the so-called Misery Index is flashing a Harris victory. If the stock market declines, the outlook for a Harris victory could quickly sour. While these indicators might be flashing a Harris victory for now, nothing's set in stone leading up to this election.
Persons: Harris, , LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, it's, Jerome Powell, Lynch, nothing's Organizations: Service, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal
Wall Street analysts' recommendations and in-depth analysis can help investors choose dividend stocks that can enhance total returns with passive income and stock price appreciation. Northern Oil and GasThis week's first dividend stock is Northern Oil and Gas (NOG), a non-operated, upstream energy asset owner. Recently, Mizuho analyst William Janela initiated a buy rating on NOG stock with a price target of $47. With a quarterly dividend of $1.40 per share (annualized dividend of $5.60), DRI stock offers a dividend yield of 3.3%. He added that the company's price reduction across nearly 5,000 items over the summer fueled higher unit and dollar sales.
Persons: Wall, NOG, William Janela, Janela, TipRanks, Darden, Peter Saleh, Uber, Saleh, Jim Lee, Jefferies, Corey Tarlowe, Tarlowe, Lee Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Northern Oil, Mizuho, Darden, Uber, Olive Garden, Target, PepsiCo Locations: U.S, Olive
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 5.80%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are near 5%, according to Zillow data. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.59%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.90%. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've, They'll, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
U.S. stock futures were flat to kick off the final trading session of September after the major averages rose to their third consecutive week of gains. S&P 500 futures added just 0.04% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched up 0.08%. The 30-stock Dow rose 0.3% on Friday to finish at a new all-time high and end the week around 0.6% higher. Month to date, the Dow and the broad market index are up 1.8% and 1.6%, respectively. Markets had a rough start to what is historically the weakest month for the stock market, but rebounded as September went on with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a super-sized half point.
Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Markets, Federal Reserve
Here are the three marquee matchups in Week 4’s Sunday games:Minnesota Vikings (3-0) @ Green Bay Packers (2-1) – 1 p.m. The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers are two of the intriguing teams in the league and Sunday’s clash is must-watch TV. ETLos Angeles Rams (1-2) @ Chicago Bears (1-2) – 1:00 p.m. ETMinnesota Vikings (3-0) @ Green Bay Packers (2-1) – 1:00 p.m. ETPhiladelphia Eagles (2-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) – 1:00 p.m.
Persons: Sam Darnold, Brian Flores ’, There’s, Aaron Jones, Jones, , ” Jones, Brad Rempel, Jordan Love, Love, Malik Willis, Matt LaFleur, Willis, Green, Flores, , LaFleur, ” Willis, Andy Lyons, Justin Fields, Russell Wilson –, Chris Boswell, Anthony Richardson, Jonathan Taylor, Taylor, Marc Lebryk, “ We’re, Mike Tomlin, we’ve, Josh Allen, – Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis –, Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, James Cook, Allen, it’s, Mike Macdonald, Dennard Wilson, Anthony Weaver, Megan Briggs, Kyle Van Noy, Van Noy, Joe, Brady, Lamar Jackson, ” Allen, , “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers, Vikings, Packers, Lambeau, Reuters, Philadelphia Eagles, ” Packers, Getty Images Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts, Pittsburgh Steelers, NFL, Steelers, Atlanta Falcons, Pittsburgh, Colts, Indianapolis, Chicago Bears, Lucas Oil, ” Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Arizona Cardinals, Miami Dolphins, Jacksonville Jaguars, Super, Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders, Seattle Seahawks, Bills, Getty, Ravens, New, New Orleans Saints, Cincinnati Bengals, Carolina Panthers, Los Angeles Rams, Houston Texans, Denver Broncos, New York Jets, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Washington, New England Patriots, San Francisco 49ers, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Cleveland Browns Locations: Green, Brazil, Pittsburgh, Maryland, Tennessee, Miami, New Orleans
But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.
Persons: , Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing
Even though the Fed plans to continue cutting rates, mortgage rates might not fall much more this year. Mortgage rates trended down ahead of this decision, but now that the cut has happened and the rest of this year's cuts are priced in, it will take a change in the economic outlook to push mortgage rates down further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: U.S, Chevron
Then there's the upside progress made in the third quarter without the leadership of super-cap tech – the equal-weighted S & P 500 is up nearly 9% since June 30 and the Nasdaq 100 up less than 2%. Goldman Sachs here plots the S & P 500 forward P/E at the time of each initial rate cut in a cycle. For sure, a breather would make sense for the broad market, with the S & P 500 up 11 of the past 15 days. In either case, it's a notable deviation from the story of placid strength being told by the S & P 500 itself. The median Wall Street strategist target for the S & P 500 is now well below the current index level, usually not something one sees at an ultimate market peak.
Persons: Scott Chronert, isn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, John Kolovos, Bitcoin's Organizations: Nasdaq, Citi, Fed Locations: China
In 2022, a 10-year national recovery plan was launched to stop the decline in numbers and improve the size, quality and connectivity of koala habitat in the listed areas. “I often think, ‘Am I sitting here, seeing the last of Queensland koalas filtering through, as I work with them?’”One of three subspecies, Queensland koalas are smaller and grayer than their southern cousins, and are the kind often seen in photos with celebrities and foreign dignitaries. “Aussies would be horrified to know that we are bulldozing koala habitat at the rate that we are,” she said. Koala habitat squeezed in citiesWith a human population of 2.5 million, Brisbane is one of Australia’s fastest-growing capital cities. Declining numbersMost of the ambition for vast tracts of new koala habitat in Queensland lies outside Brisbane’s established inner-city suburbs.
Persons: Sophia Windsor, , ” Sophia Windsor, Sophia Windsor Koalas, they’re, Max, Sue Minter Walter, Hilary Whiteman, telltale, Kelly Batten, , John Knights, United Kingdom who’s, CNN He’s, he’s, Knights, Murray Chambers, CNN Murray Chambers, “ You’ve, Chambers, “ We’re, Trent, Windsor, Tim Portas, ” Portas, , Japan's Naomi Osaka, Patrick Hamilton, Natalie Frost, Paul Hilton, Gemma Plesman, Frost, Jo Murray, ” Murray, Residents Jo Murray, Colleen Holland, woodcutters, , Garth Nolah, Karin Machell, Beau, Louis, can’t, Murray, they’ve, CNN’s, Bill Ellis, Adrian Schrinner, Council Ellis, we’ll, I’m, It’s, CNN Trent’s, Australia – Windsor, ” Windsor, reckons he’s, They’re Organizations: Australia CNN, Wallabies, CNN, Brisbane, Olympic Games, Windsor, Knights, Koala Rescue, RSPCA Wildlife Hospital, RSPCA Queensland National, Australian Capital Territory, Queensland, Department of Environment, Science, Lone Pine, Brisbane International, Getty, Koalas Fund, Queensland Conservation, Greenpeace, Greenpeace Greenpeace, Greenpeace Australia Pacific, Residents, NBA, Moreton Bay Council, Council, University of Queensland, Brisbane City Council, Brisbane Lord, Gravatt, Mount Gravatt Outlook, Reserve Locations: Brisbane, Australia, Queensland, Australia’s, Windsor, backyards, Tarragindi, Toohey Forest, United Kingdom, Koala, , New South Wales, South East Queensland, Lone, AFP, Wamuran, Mulga, city’s, Lawnton, Brisbane’s, Moreton, Moreton Bay, ” Moreton, Brisbane City, “ Brisbane, Trent, Australian, Whites
Utility stocks this year have mounted a rally unseen in more than two decades. In the third quarter, utilities are the best out of 11 sectors that comprise the S & P 500, climbing 18%. As a group, utilities are poised to score their largest quarterly gain since George W. Bush was president in 2003. If that holds through yearend, utilities will see their biggest annual advance since 2000, when they surged more than 50%. "Utilities are the hottest sector in the market currently," Wolfe Research Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients in August.
Persons: George W, Bush, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, hasn't, It's, buildout, Ginsberg, Subramanian, Wells Fargo, Christopher Harvey, Harvey, LSEG Organizations: Utilities, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Constellation Energy, CenterPoint Energy Locations: yearend, The Texas, Houston
Chinese markets clocked their best week in almost 16 years as the mainland’s CSI 300 rallied 15.7% this week, buoyed by several economic stimulus measures by the central bank. The last time the index saw a bigger weekly gain was the week ending Nov. 14, 2008. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%, making it the index’s best week since February 1998, according to FactSet data. Tokyo’s headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August’s 2.6%. A slate of fresh U.S. economic data also supported the market’s gains, with weekly jobless claims falling more than expected, pointing to a steady labor market.
Persons: Hong, PBOC, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, Organizations: CSI, People’s Bank of China, Google, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Reuters, Japan’s Nikkei, of Japan, U.S ., Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China, Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August’s, U.S
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.80%, according to Zillow data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.
Persons: they've, Lawrence Yun, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government
Dollar drifts, risk-sensitive currencies lifted by China optimism
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar wobbled on Friday, poised for a fourth straight week of declines as investors weighed U.S. data to gauge the pace of interest rate cuts, while China's spree of stimulus measures kept risk-sensitive currencies aloft. The dollar wobbled on Friday, poised for a fourth straight week of declines as investors weighed U.S. data to gauge the pace of interest rate cuts, while China's spree of stimulus measures kept risk-sensitive currencies aloft. "This suggests a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts, prioritizing a balance between the Fed's employment mandate and keeping an eye on inflation risks." The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars also held near multi-year highs due to China stimulus plans. AUD/On Thursday, China's leaders pledged to support the struggling economy through "forceful" interest rate cuts and adjustments to fiscal and monetary policies, stoking expectations for more stimulus.
Persons: Ryan Brandham, Sterling, China's Organizations: Federal Reserve, North America, Validus Risk, New, Communist Party, ING Locations: U.S, China, New Zealand
CNBC Daily Open: More all-time highs? Yes please
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why are Treasury yields rising? Treasury yields tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, it's not unreasonable to expect Treasury yields to dip.
Persons: Hong, it's, they've, Jeff Cox, Sam Altman, Bret Taylor, Sarah Friar, OpenAI's, Ishiba, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi Organizations: CNBC, Major, CSI, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Altman, PM, Liberal Democratic, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Barclays Locations: Major U.S, Asia, Pacific
LONDON — European markets headed for a higher open on Friday as investors weighed the outlook for the economy and looked to fresh data. European stocks had climbed Thursday, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 closing 1.25% higher after being boosted by gains in Asia-Pacific markets. Those widely continued their climb on Friday, still buoyed by China's announcement of stimulus measures earlier in the week. Economists are expecting headline PCE to have risen 2.3% on an annual basis and 0.1% from the previous month. Back in Europe, preliminary inflation data for September is expected out of France, and the latest German unemployment data is also due.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, MIB, LONDON, People's Bank of, PCE Locations: Asia, Pacific, People's Bank of China, U.S, Europe, France
Since 2019, the company has had what Sam Altman called an "unusual" hybrid structure. AdvertisementAfter operating under what Sam Altman called an "unusual" structure for more than four years, OpenAI is reportedly preparing to become a for-profit business. OpenAI could be structured as a public-benefit corporation, Bloomberg reported, an entity that balances profit with mission. An OpenAI spokesperson told the outlet the nonprofit entity "will continue to exist" and was core to its mission. OpenAI was established as a nonprofit in 2015, but in 2019, it created a "capped profit" subsidiary, OpenAI LP.
Persons: OpenAI, Sam Altman, Altman, , Mira Murati, Anthropic, it's, Anat Alon, Beck, Alon, Eric Chaffee, Chaffee, OpenAI didn't Organizations: Service, Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Elon, Microsoft, Case Western Reserve University's School of Law, Case Western Reserve University Locations: OpenAI, Delaware
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Despite Thursday's gains, Wells Fargo shares are having a tough month. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, Wells Fargo, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, JPMorgan, Wells, Bloomberg, Fed
Gold, silver head for weekly gains on U.S. rate-cut momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold and silver prices retreated on Friday from record highs, but were positioned for weekly gains on growing anticipation of another bumper U.S. interest rate cut this year, as markets awaited a key inflation report for additional guidance. Gold and silver prices retreated on Friday from record highs, but were positioned for weekly gains on growing anticipation of another bumper U.S. interest rate cut this year, as markets awaited a key inflation report for additional guidance. Silver prices surged due to bullion's strong performance and China's stimulus measures, though some analysts warn that the rally may fade due to concerns over industrial demand. The Federal Reserve's larger-than-usual half-percentage-point reduction last week ignited a rally in gold, which hit consecutive record highs and has gained about 1.8% so far this week. Gold prices are currently supported by anticipated U.S. Fed interest rate cuts and China's stimulus measures, both of them are weakening the dollar, said Kyle Rodda, financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Persons: Kyle Rodda Organizations: FedWatch, U.S, BMI Locations: U.S
This signal comes as the S & P 500 trades at all-time highs, boosted by a shift in Federal Reserve policy. The Fed earlier this month cut interest rates by a half percentage point, the first easing of policy in more than four years. Wall Street sees further reductions ahead, too. The Cboe Volatilty Index spiked north of 23 earlier this month, as worries over the U.S. economy weighed on sentiment. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Morgan Stanley upgraded Wynn Resorts to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Wolfe, Janney Montgomery Scott, Dan Wantrobski, Wantrobski, Morgan Stanley, WYNN's Organizations: Federal, Wynn Resorts Locations: U.S
China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.
Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing
Brokerages have also jumped in on the action, with several companies dropping the rates they pay on sums held in cash sweep accounts. Charles Schwab recently trimmed its cash sweep rate to 20 basis points, where it was previously 45 basis points, according to an analysis by Bank of America. Wells Fargo also dropped rates by 3 basis points to 30 basis points, based on the level of clients' household assets. A few outliers still pay solid rates on idle cash Brokerages take different approaches toward cash sweeps, with some firms opting to keep rates low even when the Fed was hiking rates. Even as yields are expected to continue falling, a couple of brokerages continue to offer competitive rates, Bank of America found.
Persons: Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Michael Kaye, Charles Schwab, Wells Fargo, Robinhood, Ryan Salah, We've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Discover Financial, Bank of America, Wells, Advisors, Interactive, Robinhood, Capital Financial Partners Locations: Wells Fargo, Towson , Maryland
US stocks rose after cool inflation data suggested more room for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.1% in August, matching estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Friday after cool inflation data suggested that the Federal Reserve has more room to cut interest rates. The personal consumption expenditures price index, which is considered the Fed's preferred inflation measure, increased 0.1% in August, in-line with economist estimates. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Index rose 2.2%, slightly below economist estimates of 2.3%.
Persons: , Clark Bellin, Bellin, Sonu Varghese, that's, Varghese Organizations: Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bellwether Wealth, Business, Carson Group, Here's
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