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Canadian dollar posts biggest weekly gain since June
  + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. The loonie was trading 0.1% lower at 1.3515 to the greenback, or 73.99 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3495 to 1.3549. For the week, it was up 0.9%, its biggest weekly advance since June. Much of the currency's weekly gain was down to selling of EUR-CAD, said Amo Sahota, director at Klarity FX in San Francisco. Canadian government bond yields rose across the curve on Friday, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Amo Sahota, Sahota, Fergal Smith, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, Canadian, U.S, FX, European Central Bank, Saudi, Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, San Francisco, U.S
U.S. gold futures gained 0.3% to $1,938.90. The yuan hit two-week highs against the U.S. dollar after data showed China factory output and retail sales in August beat forecasts, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive for Chinese buyers. "The outlook for rates to be kept high for longer has been keeping non-yielding gold prices under pressure," said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG. We, therefore, do not view monetary policy as supportive of gold until well into 2024," HSBC said in a note. "Institutional investors have yet to commit to gold, as net long positions on the CME and ETF holdings indicate."
Persons: Yuan, Bullion, Jun Rong, Swati Verma, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: U.S, Reuters Graphics, IG, HSBC, CME, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold rises after China data boosts yuan against dollar
  + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at the Krastsvetmet company, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals in Moscow, Russia on January 31, 2023. Gold prices gained on Friday as the dollar eased against the yuan after promising China economic data boosted recovery hopes in the world's top bullion consumer, although the possibility of further U.S. interest rate hikes kept investors on edge. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $1,915.09 per ounce by 0320 GMT. The yuan hit two-week highs against the dollar after data showed China factory output and retail sales in August beat forecasts in boost to recovery prospects. "The outlook for rates to be kept high for longer has been keeping non-yielding gold prices under pressure," said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.
Persons: Bullion, Jun Rong Organizations: Federal Reserve, IG, European Central Bank Locations: Moscow, Russia, China, U.S
European stocks (.STOXX) fell as much as 0.5% in early trading, with rate-sensitive tech stocks (.SX8P) losing 0.8%. And the latest spike in oil prices to 10-month highs is unlikely to escape the Fed's attention. Fuelling worries over persistent inflation were oil prices, which firmed after hitting a 10-month peak a day earlier. ECB HIKE BETSThe euro was down 0.1% at $1.074, after nearing one-week highs on the Reuters story which was published late on Tuesday. "The leak raises the possibility of a hawkish hike which would be much more supportive for the EUR," said Steve Englander, global head of G10 FX research at Standard Chartered, referring to the Reuters report.
Persons: Androniki, Robert Alster, you'll, Steve Englander, Tom Wilson, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam, Christina Fincher Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Consumer, Index, Federal Reserve, Management, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Nasdaq, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Markets, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, Asia, Pacific, London, Sydney
In the broader currency market, the dollar stood firm, though moves were subdued as traders stayed on guard ahead of the closely-watched U.S. inflation reading out later on Wednesday. Wednesday's U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data for August comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. While the central bank is largely expected to keep rates on hold at next week's meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, the Fed's next move in November remains more uncertain. "In recent months, European inflation, core inflation in particular, has fallen more slowly than expected. "The high inflation rate warrants another rate hike, but the economic indicators ... signal that a recession is imminent."
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kazuo Ueda, Alvin Tan, Ueda, Hiroshige Seko, Sterling, CME's, Tina Teng, Brigid Riley, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S, Wednesday's, Fed, CMC Markets, European Central Bank, Reuters, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Wednesday's U.S
Dollar steady as U.S. inflation data awaited, yen retraces gains
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
More broadly, the dollar held firm, though moves were subdued as traders awaited a closely watched U.S. inflation reading due later on Wednesday. Analysts attributed the slide to an unwinding of long dollar positions after a recent run of resilient U.S. economic data. Wednesday's U.S. consumer price index, or CPI, data for August comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. "In recent months, European inflation, core inflation in particular, has fallen more slowly than expected. "The high inflation rate warrants another rate hike, but the economic indicators ... signal that a recession is imminent."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Alvin Tan, Ueda, Hiroshige Seko, Sterling, CME's, Tina Teng Organizations: Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S, Fed, CMC Markets, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Rabobank Locations: U.S, Asia
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Photo taken on April 20, 2022 shows the Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes in Tokyo, Japan. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index, which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
Signs that the dollar will continue enjoying its yield-advantage over other currencies have undercut support for bearish views on the greenback. That theme will be tested in September, as the market braces for a flood of key U.S. economic data as well as the Fed's monetary policy meeting. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's message at next week's monetary policy meeting could also influence the dollar's trajectory. While Englander is bearish the dollar in the medium term, the currency's "underlying drivers have been going so much in the opposite direction," he said. Other dollar rebounds this year, in March and May, failed at levels not far from where the dollar index trades now.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, It's, Vassili Serebriakov, Jerome Powell's, Steven Englander, Serebriakov, it's, Kit Juckes, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Laura Matthews, Ira Iosebashvili, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Futures Trading, UBS, Reuters Graphics, Fed, Standard Chartered, Reuters, TD Securities, Societe Generale, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of US inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index , which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed, Capital.com, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
Wall Street gains, dollar eases ahead of CPI report
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. The relatively languid session appeared to be the calm before a storm of U.S. economic data this week, with Wednesday's crucial consumer prices report (CPI) paramount. "Investors are focusing on how they will respond to Wednesday's CPI report," Stovall added. Emerging market stocks rose 0.48%. Gold prices headed higher in opposition to the dollar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, William Maclean, Angus MacSwan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of, Nasdaq, Tesla Inc, CFRA Research, CPI, U.S, Financial, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Bank's, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bank of Japan, New York, U.S . Federal, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Russian, Saudi, London
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. Aside from data on consumer prices due Wednesday, investors will also see producer prices and retail sales numbers on Thursday. Traders have been closely watching for any signs of intervention from Japan to shore up the yen since it weakened past the 145 per dollar threshold last month. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against peers including the yen, was last down 0.32% to 104.51, after falling to 104.41, its lowest since Sept. 5. Against the softer dollar, sterling gained 0.5% to $1.2527, continuing to recover from a three-month low of $1.2445 hit last week.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Edward Moya, CME's, Chuck Mikolajczak, Mark Potter Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Traders, Thomson Locations: Ueda, New York, Japan
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. The greenback tumbled ahead of U.S. inflation data due on Wednesday, with traders on the lookout for whether the world's largest economy is indeed on track for a "soft landing", and whether the Federal Reserve has further to go in raising rates. "It seems that Ueda's comments were intended to stop the yen's slide against the dollar," said Takehiko Masuzawa, trading head at Phillip Securities Japan. DOLLAR SLIDEThe dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against peers including the yen, was last down 0.26% to 104.59, near an almost one-week low. It was last nearly 0.8% higher at 7.2895 per dollar, while its offshore counterpart similarly was up about 0.9% to 7.3003 per dollar.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda stoked, Ueda, Takehiko, Francesco Pesole, Matt Simpson, Rae Wee, Junko Fujita, Joice Alves, Jason Neely Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Yomiuri, Phillip Securities Japan, Treasury, ING, Aussie, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, LONDON, Japan, United States, Singapore, Tokyo, London
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "It seems that Ueda's comments were intended to stop the yen's slide against the dollar," said Takehiko Masuzawa, trading head at Phillip Securities Japan. Christopher Wong, a currency strategist at OCBC, attributed the dollar's slide to traders "lightening up" on their long dollar positions ahead of the data. Against the weaker U.S. dollar, the Aussie and the New Zealand dollar were among the biggest beneficiaries, each rising more than 0.5%. The Australian dollar was last 0.6% higher at $0.64165, while the kiwi gained 0.52% to $0.5914.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda stoked, Ueda, Takehiko, Sterling, Christopher Wong, Alvin Tan, Matt Simpson, Rae Wee, Junko Fujita, Sam Holmes, Christopher Cushing Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Yomiuri, Federal Reserve, Phillip Securities Japan, British, Fed, Treasury, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Index, Aussie, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Japan, Asia, United States, U.S, Singapore, Tokyo
A man walks past an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei average and stock prices outside a brokerage, in Tokyo, Japan, March 17, 2023. Australian shares (.AXJO) reversed earlier losses to be up 0.12% and Japan's Nikkei stock index (.N225) slid 0.19%. The Hang Seng Property Index (.HSNP), a gauge of Hong Kong's top developers, shed almost 4% while the mainland property index (.HSMPI) was off 3.24%. "We need the property market to stabilize first in order for any meaningful kind of economic rebound to happen in China," said David Chao, Invesco's Asia Pacific market strategist. Those should put a floor under the property market some time soon."
Persons: Androniki, David Chao, Daniel Zhang, Brent, Scott Murdoch, Edwina Gibbs, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Rights, Alibaba, HK, Index, Chevron, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, China, Pacific, Hong Kong, Asia Pacific, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, United States, Wells, Australia, Sydney
Brent crude fell 49 cents, or 0.5%, to $90.16 a barrel by 0022 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $86.77 a barrel, down 74 cents, or 0.9%. "Concerns about Chinese economic growth weighed on sentiment across commodities," ANZ analysts said in a note. "The move was exacerbated by a stronger USD, which kept investor appetite low," they added, referring to the greenback which has risen for eight straight weeks. The International Energy Agency and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are due to release their monthly reports this week. "Any sign of strong demand from oil market reports from IEA and OPEC will likely push oil prices higher," ANZ analysts said.
Persons: Brent, Baker Hughes, WTI, Tony Sycamore, Florence Tan Organizations: cnsphoto, REUTERS, Rights, West Texas, ANZ, International Energy Agency, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Rights SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, Europe
Oil prices ease but supply cuts keep Brent above $90/bbl
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices eased in early Asian trade on Monday as economic concerns in China weighed on fuel demand outlook although Brent stayed perched above $90 a barrel, supported by tightening supplies after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended supply cuts. Brent crude fell 49 cents, or 0.5%, to $90.16 a barrel by 0022 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $86.77 a barrel, down 74 cents, or 0.9%. "Concerns about Chinese economic growth weighed on sentiment across commodities," ANZ analysts said in a note. The International Energy Agency and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, or OPEC, are due to release their monthly reports this week. "Any sign of strong demand from oil market reports from IEA and OPEC will likely push oil prices higher," ANZ analysts said.
Persons: Brent, Baker Hughes, WTI, Tony Sycamore Organizations: West Texas, ANZ, International Energy Agency, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, Europe
The dollar's dominance is being threatening by growing debt in the US, economist Barry Eichengreen said. High debt caused the downfall of the British sterling as a global currency in the early 1900s, scholars say. Mounting debt was responsible for the British sterling's downfall as the world's top currency in the early 1900s, Eichengreen said. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Thus, whether the dollar retains its global role will depend not simply on US relations with Russia, China, or the BRICS. But a weaker dollar isn't necessarily a bad thing, as US companies with business overseas can be hurt if the dollar is too strong against local currencies.
Persons: Barry Eichengreen, Eichengreen, there's Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Syndicate, UC Berkeley, Congressional, Office Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Russia
A sheet of newly-designed Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes at the National Printing Bureau Tokyo plant in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. Ueda told the Yomiuri newspaper in an interview that the BOJ could have enough data by year-end to determine whether it can end negative rates. "Ueda is laying the foundations for an exit from negative interest rates, and he is giving plenty of notice," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. The dollar index , which capped last week with eight straight weeks of gains, its longest run since 2014, dipped slightly to 104.84. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, rose 0.29% to $0.6397, while the New Zealand dollar edged 0.28% higher to $0.5900.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda stoked, Ueda, Matt Simpson, Alvin Tan, Index's Simpson Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, Yomiuri, Federal Reserve, British, Sterling, Fed, U.S, Treasury, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, New Zealand Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, United States
What China’s new smartphone means for Wall Street
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
Huawei’s feat could mean that Chinese technology has been progressing much faster than previously thought. Before the Bell spoke to Zino about what’s happening and what it means for Wall Street. Huawei’s new smartphone uses an internally developed, very powerful chip that’s manufactured by the Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), a partially state-owned Chinese semiconductor foundry. In the long term, this is probably a good thing for the leading semiconductor companies like Nvidia (NVDA) and Qualcomm (QCOM). Furniture companies are in a rutPeople aren’t buying furniture like they used to, reports my colleague Samantha Delouya.
Persons: there’s, Mike Gallagher, Michael McCaul, Angelo Zino, Bell, There’s, they’ve, They’ve, it’s, Anna Cooban, Samantha Delouya, Hooker, , ” Williams, Laura Alber Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Huawei, House, Skyworks, Materials, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Intel, Federal Reserve, West Elm Locations: New York, China, Taiwan, Korea, United States, Asia, Saudi Arabia, Europe, Virginia, Wayfair, Williams, Sonoma
What's more, recent history suggests that when funds go long dollars, they tend to stay long for a while. The latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data shows that funds cut their net short dollar position to $7.17 billion, the smallest bet against the dollar since mid-June and a third of what it was six weeks ago. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsA short position is essentially a wager an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. That was followed by a year being net short dollars, nearly two years of being net long, before swinging back to being net long for over a year. CFTC data show that funds are still holding a substantial net short yen position worth around $8.2 bln.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ben Bernanke, Jamie McGeever, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Futures Trading Commission, Fed, Reuters, Bank of, CFTC, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Japan, Bank of Japan, Germany
The problem with labor data in understanding inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The central bank will continue to pay close attention to the state of the labor market, specifically on wages, as it focuses on defeating inflation, but there’s only so much that labor data can reveal about price increases. Mainly, it’s that wage figures are great at gauging inflation’s progress, but they’re lousy at forecasting its future. Financial markets have shifted back to a “bad news is good news” way of perceiving economic data and will continue to react to labor data, but ultimately, it’s the actual inflation data that matter most to the Fed. The issue of labor figures in forecasting inflation lies with productivity data. The Federal Reserve releases August data on industrial production.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, , Quincy Krosby, ” Agron Nicaj, it’s, Anna Cooban, ” James Athey Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, Atlanta Fed, Financial, LPL Financial, CNN, Oracle, National Federation of Independent Business, National Statistics, US Labor Department, Adobe, European Central Bank, US Commerce Department, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Lennar Homes, The University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Saudi Arabia
Despite Friday's pullback, the dollar index was headed for eight straight weeks of gains, the longest such streak since 2014. "There's a lot of reasoning to ask whether dollar strength is going too far." In afternoon trading, the dollar index , which measures the greenback against six major peers, was flat at 105.05. That said, Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist, at UBS in New York, said while eight weeks are an unusually long stretch of dollar strength, the currency's gains are getting smaller every week. The euro , the largest component in the dollar index, was on track for eight straight weeks of losses and down 0.7% on the week.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Amo Sahota, Sahota, Vassili, Sterling, Shunichi Suzuki, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam, Gerry Doyle, Angus MacSwan, Mark Heinrich, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, FX, U.S, Apple, Federal Reserve, UBS, greenback, Finance, Thomson Locations: San Francisco, China, New York, U.S, Germany, Europe's, Canada, United States, Japan, London, Singapore
Canada created 39,900 jobs, Statistics Canada said, compared with a median forecast for a gain of 15,000. The labor market has been resilient even as the Bank of Canada (BoC) raised its key overnight rate 10 times since March 2022 to cool the economy. Money markets see a 44% chance of another BoC rate hike by year-end, up from 36% before the data were published. "This report alone won't make the Bank of Canada regret holding rates steady earlier this week. Derek Holt, vice president of capital markets economics at Scotiabank, noted a gain of 49,500 people in self-employed jobs.
Persons: Carlos Osorio, Andrew Kelvin, Royce Mendes, Derek Holt, Dale Smith, Fergal Smith, Andrea Ricci, Nick Macfie Organizations: Queen, West, REUTERS, Rights, Statistics, Bank of Canada, BoC, TD Securities, Desjardins Group, Canadian, Scotiabank, Thomson Locations: Toronto Ontario, Canada, Statistics Canada, Canadian, Ottawa, Toronto
China's onshore yuan meanwhile ended its domestic session at the weakest since 2007, as it battles capital outflow pressures and a widening yield gap with major economies. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against major peers, was last 0.05% lower at 105 but remained not far from the previous session's six-month high of 105.15. IN THE DOLDRUMSThe onshore yuan opened at 7.3400 per dollar on Friday and touched its weakest level since December 2007 at 7.3510, while its offshore counterpart sank to a 10-month low of 7.3621 per dollar. The onshore yuan has fallen roughly 6% against the dollar so far this year and has become one of the worst-performing Asian currencies alongside its offshore counterpart. The Australian dollar was last 0.28% higher at $0.6395, but eyed a weekly loss of over 0.8%.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Dane Cekov, Nordea's Cekov, Sterling, Vishnu Varathan, Shunichi Suzuki, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam, Gerry Doyle, Angus MacSwan, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Nordea, Mizuho Bank, Finance, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Australian, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: U.S, Germany, Europe's, Europe, United States, Bank of Japan
Don't rule out a hard landing for the US economy just yet, according to Bank of America. Strategists led by Michael Hartnett warned that oil, the dollar, and the Federal Reserve all still pose a threat. Their gloomy outlook clashes with much of Wall Street, with top banks and the Fed itself having shelved their recession predictions. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Hartnett's team said the consensus view is that there's a 20% chance of a hard landing – but warned the trifecta of oil, the dollar, and the Fed each still pose an economic threat.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, that's, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Susan Collins Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Fed, Service, Federal, West Texas, Boston Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon, Brent, Russia, Saudi Arabia
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