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☆ China’s real estate slump predicted to last for years, threatening to spill into the wider region
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Future Publishing | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesWeakness in China's real estate sector could be a drag on the economy for years to come and could even impact countries in the wider region, Wall Street banks have warned. "We only assume an 'L-shaped' recovery in the property sector in coming years," they said. watch nowGoldman Sachs economists also noted there are expectations for China's government to introduce more housing stimulus packages to support the sector. If the challenges in the property sector deepen and bring risk aversion in the financial system and affect consumer confidence, this will cause a deeper slowdown in China. watch nowHui said the government's push to cap property prices at a certain level could be missing a big chunk of potential buyers.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lisheng Wang, Goldman, Tai Hui, Morgan Stanley, Hui, CNBC's, that's Organizations: Future Publishing, Reuters, Market Locations: CHINA, Nanning, South, Guangxi Zhuang, Wall, China, Asia

☆ Morgan Stanley loves these 5 global A.I. chip stocks that could take Nvidia's market share
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Nvidia , a dominant player in the artificial intelligence computing market, may face increasing competition from custom chip designers in the near future, according to Morgan Stanley. "We therefore expect to see increasingly energy-efficient and low-cost AI custom chip designs ahead, matching or even outpacing the growth of NVIDIA's and AMD's general purpose GPUs." Morgan Stanley is "overweight" on the five stocks, and increased their price targets in the June 11 note. As one of the few pure-play leading-edge design service houses, we believe Alchip (along with GUC) is a key enabler of future custom A.I. Global Unichip The chip designer has been awarded a contract from Microsoft to work on its new 5nm custom AI chip, which could be deployed across the U.S. company's cloud computing products.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, ChatGPT, Charlie Chan, Yuan, TSMC, Alchip Technologies Morgan Stanley Organizations: Nvidia, Intel, AMD, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alchip Technologies, Global, Yuan Electronics, ASM, Microsoft, Hong, ASM Pacific Locations: Taiwan, Hong Kong, China

According to court filings, Caspersen in 2015 closed a major deal to recapitalize a private equity fund and then embezzeled an $8.1 million fee the fund had paid to PJT. To recoup the money owed to PJT, Caspersen defrauded Moore, which supports environmental nonprofits, into investing $25 million in the deal even though it had already been completed. The foundation sued PJT the following year, claiming the bank had been negligent in failing to more closely supervise Caspersen after he delayed in remitting the $8.1 million fee to the bank. Caspersen's fraud should have been foreseeable in light of the missing $8.1 million fee "and Caspersen’s purportedly sloppy attempt to cover up his embezzlement," Cannataro wrote. The case is The Moore Charitable Foundation v PJT Partners Inc, New York Court of Appeals, No.

Persons: Andrew Caspersen, Anthony Cannataro, Moore, Caspersen, PJT, Cannataro, Madeline Singas, Singas, Michael Garcia, Stephen Shackelford, Susman Godfrey, Aidan Synnott, Paul Weiss Rifkind Wharton, Garrison Read Organizations: Bank, NY, The New, Appeals, PJT Partners, Moore Charitable, Park Hill Group, Caspersen, New, Thomson Locations: The New York, PJT, Caspersen, New York

☆ Why some Goldman Sachs partners continue to be unhappy with CEO David Solomon
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Jeffrey Cane | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A senior Goldman Sachs partner told CEO David Solomon that his DJing was not befitting a top Wall Street bank CEO, per The Wall Street Journal. senior Goldman Sachs partner told CEO David Solomon that his DJing was not befitting a top Wall Street bank CEO, per The Wall Street Journal. Goldman Sachs partners are restless. While Goldman says the turnover has not been unusual, more than 85 partners have left the firm since Solomon became CEO in 2018. Now, AnnaMaria Andriotis of The Wall Street Journal has detailed more of the tensions inside Goldman.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Lloyd Blankfein, Solomon, David Solomon's, Insider's Dakin Campbell, Goldman, Kim Kardashian, Dakin, John Rogers, Rich Friedman, Friedman, Lloyd Blankein, Tony Fratto, David Organizations: Street Journal, Street, Morning, Wall Locations: Bahamas, Manhattan

☆ Applying for a job? These are the things an employer might dig into about your background.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Josée Rose | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Drug screening is common in North America; the US has seen many states loosen rules on marijuana. Screening social media is happening more, though only 10% of North American companies do it. More North American companies might consider conducting background checks on candidates given how New York Rep. George Santos lied about his background during his campaign. HireRight found that social media screening was a hot topic, with the survey responses showing that there has been year-over-year growth worldwide in the number of organizations doing social media checks. Around three in 10 respondents globally said they don't know enough about social media screening to use it.

Persons: —, HireRight's, Caroline Smith, HireRight, George Santos, Santos, résumé, Alonzo Martinez, Martinez Organizations: America, Service, Companies, North, New York Rep, New York Times, Long Islanders, Republicans, GOP, Justice Department, North America, Employers Locations: North America, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Africa, America

☆ FACTBOX Wall Street banks expect 'hawkish pause' from Fed in June
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

June 12 (Reuters) - Most big Wall Street banks expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, while sticking to its hawkish tone due to a strong job market and elevated inflation. Several economists say that it is a toss-up between a skip and a hike in the June meeting. Most banks expect the central bank to prepare markets for a hike in July. Money markets are currently pricing in a more than 70% chance of a pause this month, with rate cut expectations pushed out to next year. Following are forecasts from some big U.S. banks and their global counterparts:(This story has been corrected to change the dateline to June 12)Compiled by Broker Research team in BengaluruOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Organizations: Federal Reserve, Research, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

☆ Opinion | The Woman in Charge of Saving Turkey’s Economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When all hope is lost, hire a woman to take over (and take blame). Studies of the so-called glass cliff have found that companies are more likely to bring women on as chief executives or directors when business is bad. Now there’s Hafize Gaye Erkan, a former Wall Street banker who has been named the new central bank governor of Turkey. It “has consistently supported Ukraine politically and militarily without alienating Russia economically,” Yevgeniya Gaber, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council in Turkey, wrote recently. Turkey also has the world’s 19th-largest economy, with a gross domestic product of nearly $1 trillion a year, according to the World Bank.

Persons: Linda Yaccarino, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Brad Setser, ”, “, Yevgeniya Organizations: Wall Street, Council, Foreign Relations, Central Bank of, NATO, Atlantic Council, World Bank, International Monetary Fund Locations: Turkey, Republic of Turkey, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Goldman Sachs cuts oil price forecast by almost 10%
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

London CNN —Goldman Sachs has slashed its forecast for oil prices by nearly 10%, citing weak demand in China and a glut of supply from sanctioned countries, including Russia. The Wall Street bank now thinks Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, will cost $86 a barrel in December, compared with its previous estimate of $95, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude will fetch $81 a barrel, down from $89. Western firms can work with Russian producers only if they respect the price caps imposed on the country’s oil by Group of Seven countries. In a separate note, also published Sunday, Goldman Sachs said weakness in China’s property market would put a “multi-year growth drag” on the world’s second-largest economy. Oil prices have been falling despite Saudi Arabia — the world’s biggest crude exporter — saying it plans to reduce production by 1 million barrels per day next month to buoy prices as it anticipates a slowdown in global demand.

Persons: London CNN — Goldman Sachs, Brent, WTI, Goldman Sachs Organizations: London CNN, West Texas, Saudi, Group of, Brent Locations: China, Russia, OPEC, Iran, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia

☆ Analysts are super bearish on these 13 global stocks and expect them to sink
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Then, UBS said in a report titled "Don't be fooled by the latest Tech rally" on June 6 that hedge funds have already begun selling $20 billion to $30 billion worth of global stocks. To that end, CNBC Pro screened over 3,330 large and mid-cap global equities that are part of the FTSE All-World ex-U.S. Index and identified the 13 stocks that analysts are most bearish toward. The table below shows global stocks, covered by at least 10 analysts, with no buy, overweight, or outperform ratings. Vodafone Idea India-listed Vodafone Idea is the most unloved stock in the above table. However, unlike Vodafone Idea, the downside risk is mainly given the stock's recent rally toward its all-time high.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo's, Ankur Rudra, Rudra, it's, Morgan, Howard Kao, Kao, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Tech, CNBC Pro, FTSE, Vodafone Idea, Vodafone, Reliance Jio, IDEA, Acer, FactSet Locations: Acer Taiwan

☆ Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan turn bullish on emerging market local bonds
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley has become the latest Wall Street bank to turn bullish on local emerging market bonds, though its strategists said they remained wary of developing economies' currencies in the face of a dollar that is set to remain strong. "We upgrade our stance on EM local currency bonds to bullish, where we have held a neutral stance for much of the year," Morgan Stanley strategist James Lord said in a note to clients dated Friday. In a note published on Friday, JPMorgan moved its recommendation emerging market local bonds back to "overweight" from "market weight". "We prefer EM local to hard currency bonds for 2H23," Luis Oganes, head of global macro research at JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. Emerging market central banks had been quick to raise rates in 2021, frontrunning major peers such as the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, James Lord, Lord, Luis Oganes, Oganes, frontrunning, Karin Strohecker, Conor Humphries Organizations: FX, JPMorgan, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Hungary, Uruguay, America

☆ Investors are eyeing China's neighbors as the recovery from 'zero-Covid' slows
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChina's lackluster economic recovery since emerging from strict "zero-Covid" lockdowns has caused weaker sentiment toward the country, prompting investors to look for alternative options — like its near neighbors. Higher targets for JapanForeign investors have undoubtedly been key in driving the Japanese market, maintaining the highest levels the Nikkei has seen since 1990. During the same period last year, foreign investors had sold a net 1.73 trillion yen approximately. Wall Street banks including Morgan Stanley and Societe Generale are among those that are optimistic on Japanese stocks, holding "overweight" positions. Upside for Korea tech stocksSouth Korea is another market closely watched as concerns over China's recovery linger.

Persons: Goldman, Andrew Tilton, Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffett, India's, Goldman Sachs, Tilton, Morgan Stanley, ROE, Mike Wilson, we've, Price, Goldman's Tilton, Rhee Chang, Nomura, Chloe Andrieu, Pranjul Bhandari, Bhandari Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Asia, Pacific, Japan Foreign, Nikkei, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Societe Generale, Equity, U.S, UBS Global Wealth, U.S ., UBS, The Bank of, CNBC, Citi, AFP, Afp, Korea Financial Investment Association, South Korean, Fitch, Ben Advisors Locations: Macau, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Goldman Sachs, Berkshire, South, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Wall, Korea, Asia, The Bank of Korea, Fuyang, China's, Anhui, Indonesia

☆ JPMorgan expects Turkey central bank to lift rates to 25% on June 22
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - JPMorgan said on Monday it expects Turkey's central bank to hike interest rates to 25% from the current 8.5% at its June meeting, adding this could come with forward guidance suggesting smaller hikes ahead if needed. June 22 is the first scheduled policy meeting after Hafize Gaye Erkan was appointed as central bank governor on Friday. "We maintain our year-end policy rate forecast at 30%, with risks on the upside," Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc wrote in a note to clients. "We forecast a recession in 2H23 on the back of a tightening in credit conditions." The Wall Street bank confirmed it expected the country to tip into recession in the second half of the year due to tightening credit conditions.

Persons: Hafize Gaye Erkan, Nicolaie Alexandru, Chidesciuc, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper Organizations: JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: 2H23

☆ It's Wall Street vs Wall Street as the recession debate rages on. Here's what David Rosenberg, Jeff Gundlach and 5 other experts have warned.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-10 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street experts are butting heads over the health of the economy, and what's to come. David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research president"Markets pricing in a 'soft landing'? Will they ever be in for a big surprise," the Rosenberg Research chief tweeted. "You look at the United States and it seems to me that we're still making this transition from expansion to recession," Rosenberg said. "We're referring to this phenomenon as a Cardboard Box Recession, because items that are made (manufacturing) and shipped (trade) tend to go in a box.

Persons: David Rosenberg, Jeff Gundlach, Clif Asness, —, Rosenberg, Will, hasn't, we're, Gundlach, Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Kleintop, Goldman Sachs, That's, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Jim Reid, David Folkerts, Landau, Reid, Folkerts, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, DoubleLine Capital, CNBC, Fibre, Association, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Locations: United States

☆ Goldman Sachs: "Fully orthodox" policy maker could raise Turkey rates to 40%
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

The Wall Street bank, in an overhaul to a number of its forecasts for Turkey, said stabilising the economy "will require a large, and we think discontinuous, adjustment to the exchange rate." While guidance was for the monetary policy framework was still missing at this stage, the bank noted, a "fully orthodox policy-maker" would allow the exchange rate to adjust upfront and would raise the repo rate to a level where it anchored interest rates in the economy. "In our view, this suggests that an orthodox policy-maker would raise rates to 40%, the current level of deposit rates," Clemens Grafe said in a note to clients. Grafe added that once the exchange rate and inflation expectations stabilised, rates could be lowered quickly, possibly to 25% by end-year. Goldman Sachs also cut Turkey's GDP forecast to 2.3% year-on-year in 2023, from previously 2.9%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Mehmet Simsek, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Clemens Grafe, Grafe, Karin Strohecker, Dhara Organizations: Thomson Locations: Turkey

☆ Goldman Sachs COO warns of 'mini stagflationary' scenario where sticky inflation eats away at economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Brace for a "mini stagflation" scenario where sticky inflation eats away at US economic growth, Goldman Sachs' COO said. "That's not going to be called a recession, but it's not going to feel great," John Waldron said at the Bloomberg Invest conference. While the US economy may avoid a recession, inflation remains of key concern, he said. "If you want to paint a more cautious picture, you would say we might have a mini stagflationary scenario. Waldron added "the persistence of inflation in the system" on the supply side is what's being felt by the Wall Street bank's corporate clients.

Persons: Brace, Goldman Sachs, That's, it's, John Waldron, —, that's, Stagflation, Waldron, you've Organizations: Bloomberg Invest, Service, Fed, ECB, Federal Reserve Locations: New York

☆ Turkey's Erdogan appoints a former Goldman executive as its new central bank chief
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Exterior of the Turkish Central Bank, known as Turkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi in Ankara. Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has appointed a former Wall Street banker Hafize Gaye Erkan as the country's new central bank governor — another move that could potentially mark a policy pivot away from economic unorthodoxy. Erkan, Turkey's first female central bank chief, was a former managing director at Goldman Sachs and co-CEO at First Republic Bank. She is also Turkey's fifth central bank governor in four years. The caveat would lie in how much autonomy the central bank could exercise, and to what extent —something that Demiralp says investors will have to wait and see.

Persons: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, —, Turkey's, Goldman Sachs, Mehmet Simsek's, Selva Demiralp, Demiralp Organizations: Turkish Central Bank, Wall Street, First Republic Bank, Princeton, Koç University, CNBC Locations: Ankara, U.S, Istanbul

☆ Who is Hafize Gaye Erkan, Turkey's first female central bank chief?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Karin Strohecker | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, June 9 (Reuters) - Turkey's new central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan faces the tough task of alleviating a bruising cost-of-living crisis while hoping to restore investor confidence at home and abroad after years of unorthodox policymaking. Appointed on Friday, the 43-year old is the first woman at the helm of the country's central bank, taking over from Sahap Kavcioglu, who spearheaded President Tayyip Erdogan's rate-cutting drive against a backdrop of soaring inflation. Her new role makes her one of only around a dozen women currently serving as central bank governors around the world, including the likes of ECB President Christine Lagarde, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina and Serbia's Jorgovanka Tabakovic. Having spent all of her professional life outside Turkey, Erkan has no formal central banking experience, making her leanings for monetary policy unclear. Kathryn Wylde, president and CEO of Partnership for New York City, a nonprofit organization where Erkan once served as a board director, says Erkan was seen as "tough, smart, and effective."

Persons: Hafize Gaye Erkan, Sahap Kavcioglu, Tayyip Erdogan's, Christine Lagarde, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Erkan, Goldman Sachs, Mark Carney, Mario Draghi, William Dudley, Goldman, Marsh McLennan, Kathryn Wylde, Wylde, Karin Strohecker, Jonathan Spicer, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Russian Central Bank Governor, Bogazici University, Harvard Business School's, Management, Research, Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, New York Fed, First Republic Bank, Banking, Finance, New, Thomson Locations: Sahap, Istanbul, Turkey, New York City

☆ Buy this cheap insurance giant with 9.2% yield, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of America has named European insurance giant AXA as one of its top picks in the insurance sector, given its attractively low valuation and generous dividends. The investment bank believes AXA shares are a bargain because it is predicted to earn much more than its stock price suggests. This yield consists of a 6.8% dividend yield plus a 2.4% yield from the company buying back its own shares. AXA's valuation is said to be one of the lowest in its sector, even with the prediction of a steadily increasing dividend yield. Shares of the French multinational have risen by 3.8% so far this year and currently offer a dividend yield of 6.2%.

Persons: Andrew Sinclair, Sinclair's Organizations: of America, AXA, Bank of America, CS, Atlantic, company's Locations: Paris

☆ PGA Tour merger with LIV Golf triggers confusion about sponsorships, antitrust
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Lillian Rizzo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

watch nowThe proposed merger between the PGA Tour and its Saudi-funded rival LIV Golf stunned everyone from golfers to Wall Street bankers this week – leaving many with questions about what the merger could mean. While the two organizations were feuding, golfers were divided between the PGA Tour and LIV. Aside from the lawsuits, LIV Golf has been surrounded by controversy and criticism since its launch in 2022. LIV Golf sued the tour, also citing anti-competitive practices for banning its players. The PGA Tour countersued.

Persons: LIV Golf, LIV, Jefferies, Jay Monahan, CNBC's, Henry Hauser, Perkins, Monahan, Phil Mickelson, Bryson DeChambeau, Yasir Al, Rumayyan, Hauser, it's, Timothy Derdenger, Derdenger Organizations: PGA Tour, Wall, FTC, PGA, Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund, Antitrust, Public Investment, Federal Trade Commission, Justice Department, American Airlines, JetBlue Airways, Carnegie Mellon University's Tepper School of Business, U.S . Locations: Saudi

☆ Morgan Stanley sees a 10% fall in European stocks this summer — and reveals how to trade it
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley expects a 10% slump in European stocks over the next quarter as several unfavorable conditions converge. The investment bank made the forecast partly based on a slowdown in economic momentum and tighter liquidity conditions in the fixed-income market. "We expect a 10% correction over the summer months as growth slows and liquidity deteriorates," said Morgan Stanley strategists led by Graham Secker in a note to clients on June 4. The investment bank said defensive stocks were better suited to navigate this anticipated downturn over cyclical stocks. In addition, Morgan Stanley expects a decline in earnings per share of 6% for 2023, up from a previously projected 10% decrease, and EPS growth of 6% for 2024.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Graham Secker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Europe, LYY5

☆ Morgan Stanley sees slump in US earnings in 2023, sharp rebound next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

June 5 (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley warns of a 16% drop in profit for S&P 500 companies this year, followed by a sharp rebound in 2024 when analysts say the Federal Reserve's policy will become more accommodative. Strategists led by Michael Wilson said in a note on Monday that they expect earnings to rebound sharply, with a 23% jump next year. The Wall Street bank warned that the EPS of S&P companies could slip to $185 from $195 in 2023 before recovering to $239 next year. Morgan Stanley predicted the index to rebound to 4,200 levels in 2024 while keeping its 2023-end target unchanged at 3,900. A slew of positive news, with expectations of a Fed pivot, persistent improvement in liquidity, and AI-related tailwinds to mega-cap names such as Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O), have buoyed indexes so far, Morgan Stanley said.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Roshan Abraham, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

☆ Signs of de-dollarisation emerge, but dollar top currency: JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, June 5 (Reuters) - There are some signs of de-dollarisation emerging right now, but the dollar should retain its "large footprint" for the foreseeable future, JPMorgan currency strategists said in a note on Monday. The dollar's share of traded currency volumes is just shy of record highs, at 88%, while the euro's share has shrunk by 8 percentage points in the last decade to a record low of 31%. The share of the Chinese yuan, meanwhile, has risen to a record high of 7%. "De-dollarisation is evident in FX reserves where (the dollar's) share has declined to a record as share in exports declined, but is still emerging in commodities," the strategists said. Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Karin StroheckerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Meera Chandan, Octavia Popescu, Amanda Cooper, Karin Strohecker Organizations: Thomson

☆ Goldman Sachs sees Turkish lira slip to 28.00 versus dollar in 12 months
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, June 4 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs revised its Turkish lira forecast in the wake of President Tayyip Erdogan't cabinet revamp, saying it now expected the currency to weaken to 28 to the dollar in 12 months compared with a previous prediction of 22. The bank said it expected the lira to weaken to 23.00, 25.00 and 28.00 to the dollar in three, six and 12 months respectively. This compared to a previous forecast of 19.00, 21.00 and 22.00 respectively. Depending on events, the 28.00 to the dollar level could be reached in less than a year, the analysts said. Equally, a larger-than-expected rate adjustment could mean that the Lira may need to weaken by less than forecast, they added.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tayyip Erdogan't, Erdogan, Mehmet Simsek, Karin Strohecker, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Thomson

☆ Wall Street faces life in China’s second tier
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Antony Currie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Recent earnings reports from U.S. investment banks defy the sober mood among China-focused financiers. Morgan Stanley’s (MS.N) Asia revenue in the first three months of the year was almost 40% above the final quarter of 2022. Companies going public in Hong Kong have raised $2 billion so far this year, per Dealogic. At some point Hong Kong IPOs and cross-border M&A are likely to perk up. Many of those trades flow through the Hong Kong bourse’s Stock Connect links to the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, outlast, It’s, Morgan Stanley’s, Sharon Yeshaya, Goldman Sachs’s, that’s, Stephanie Hui, Goldman Sachs, ”, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, That’s, Breakingviews, Hong Kong, Peter Thal Larsen, Katrina Hamlin Organizations: MELBOURNE, Reuters, JPMorgan, Communist Party, Companies, HK, KKR, Reuters Graphics, Tuesday, Bank of America, Wall, China Securities, Financial Times, Apple, Hong Kong bourse’s, Goldman, JPMorgan –, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: China, Shanghai, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Beijing, Washington, United States, People’s Republic, Germany, Hong, Shenzhen, Greater China, Pacific

☆ These are the top stocks to play the A.I. theme, Goldman Sachs tells clients
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Given the growth potential, Goldman looked to recent earnings call transcripts to identify the companies that are actively discussing the potential opportunities, and risks, from AI. Goldman found a basket of 24 companies that are pursuing AI or can help enable new technologies across software, semiconductors, tech hardware, media, internet and information technology services. Alphabet has been a popular AI play among high-profile investors such as Bill Ackman and Stanley Druckenmiller. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms has touted AI computer chips, which will eventually power more advanced metaverse-related tasks, including virtual reality and augmented reality, as well as generative AI. Goldman also highlighted software names that are either pursuing AI or would act as enablers of AI, including Datadog , CrowdStrike , Snowflake and Salesforce.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Bill Ackman, Stanley Druckenmiller, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman, Big Tech, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Google, Nvidia, AMD, Micron Technology, Marvell Technology, Palo Alto Networks Locations: CrowdStrike, Snowflake

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