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Americans are falling behind on their payments
  + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Americans are already struggling to keep up with their credit card payments. Strong consumer spending has buoyed the US economy through the Fed’s aggressive hiking cycle that has brought interest rates to a 23-year high. Economists say that Fed officials look closely at Americans’ ability to make their payments. Nunes, himself a former Republican congressman from California, pointed to how Trump Media has been among the most expensive stocks to borrow. “This is particularly troubling given that ‘naked’ short selling often entails sophisticated market participants profiting at the expense of retail investors,” the Trump Media CEO wrote.
Persons: New York CNN —, Austan Goolsbee, ’ ”, , Ramon Laguarta, Matt Egan, Devin Nunes, ” Nunes, Nunes, Read, Hanna Ziady, Colm Kelleher, Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Chicago Federal, Society for, New York Fed, ISI, PepsiCo, Commerce Department, Atlanta Fed, Social, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth Social, Financial Services, Republican, Traders, UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: New York, California, Switzerland, Swiss
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo rate cuts appears likely as consumer spending begins to slow, says UBS' Julie FoxJulie Fox, UBS, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the trading day and her sector picks.
Persons: Julie Fox Julie Fox Organizations: UBS
Evercore ISI reiterates Nvidia as outperform Evercore ISI said investors should use any weakness in the stock to buy the dip. HSBC upgrades UPS to buy from hold HSBC said UPS is "getting back to earnings growth" following the company's earnings report. Bank of America downgrades Deckers to neutral from buy Bank of America said it sees a better risk/reward elsewhere in the firm's coverage. Bank of America reiterates IBM as buy Bank of America said it is sticking with its buy rating following earnings on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank reiterates Tesla as hold Deutsche Bank raised its price target on the stock to $136 per share from $123.
Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Ford, Needham, D.A, Davidson, ServiceNow, Tesla Organizations: Motors, GM, Nvidia, ISI, AMD, JPMorgan, Monster Beverage, Beverage, AMC, HSBC, UPS, USPS, Companies, UBS, UDR, Amazon, AWS, Bank of America, Meta, Laboratories, Manhattan Associates, IBM, Deutsche Bank Locations: 2Q24, Dearborn, Manhattan
UBS chair says Swiss banking giant is not 'too big to fail'
  + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
UBS Group Chairman Colm Kelleher on Wednesday said that the Swiss bank is "not too big to fail," as he criticized Swiss government proposals to strengthen its capital requirements. Kelleher was delivering a speech during the UBS Annual General Meeting — the first such gathering held since the bank completed the takeover of its former rival Credit Suisse last summer. "UBS is not too big to fail. UBS is one of the best capitalized banks in Europe, with a sustainable business model and a corresponding low-risk balance sheet," Kelleher said. This is a breaking news story and will be updated shortly.
Persons: Colm Kelleher, Kelleher Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: Swiss, Europe
Now, the giant Swiss lender is hitting back, saying its finances are robust and warning that the proposal could harm Switzerland’s standing as a global financial center. “There can be no regulatory solution for a broken business model,” he continued, referring to Credit Suisse. UBS bought its stricken rival last March in a government-orchestrated rescue aimed at preventing a global financial crisis. It was not too-low capital requirements that forced Credit Suisse into the historic weekend rescue,” he added. But that leaves the stock more vulnerable to declines as a result of “execution risk in the Credit Suisse integration,” suggested Citi analyst Andrew Coombs.
Persons: London CNN —, Colm Kelleher, , , Kelleher, Pascal Mora, Karin Keller, Keller Sutter, Anke, Andrew Coombs, ” Kelleher, Sergio Ermotti’s, Ermotti Organizations: London CNN, Credit Suisse, UBS, Bloomberg, Getty, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, Reuters Locations: Swiss, Switzerland, Europe
DETROIT — Ford Motor is announcing first-quarter earnings after the markets close Wednesday. The automaker's 2024 guidance released in February included adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, of between $10 billion and $12 billion; adjusted free cash flow of $6 billion to $7 billion; and capital spending of $8 billion to $9.5 billion. There is less consensus on Wall Street around Ford's performance than there was for its crosstown rival General Motors , which on Tuesday reported strong first-quarter results and raised its full-year guidance. Ford is Morgan Stanley's "top pick," but others on Wall Street are less bullish on the company. Ford has faced years of inflated warranty costs, including $1.9 billion in 2023, which have affected its earnings.
Persons: Ford's, Ford, Morgan Stanley's, Joseph Spak, Jim Farley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York, DETROIT, Motors, UBS
Elon Musk speaks onstage during The New York Times Dealbook Summit 2023 at Jazz at Lincoln Center in New York City, Nov. 29, 2023. Tesla shares surged 15% on Wednesday morning after CEO Elon Musk said the electric-vehicle company plans to begin production of new affordable EV models by early 2025. Musk's comments came during Tesla's earnings call on Tuesday after the company reported disappointing first-quarter numbers. The company previously expected to start production of the new EV models in the second half of 2025. UBS analysts on Tuesday reiterated their neutral rating of Tesla stock and lowered their price target to $147 from $160, saying they remain skeptical of the company's talk.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Musk's, Tesla's, Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Times, Jazz, Lincoln Center, Revenue, Bank of America, UBS Locations: New York City
He also hiked his price target to $92 from $59, suggesting shares rallying 48.3% from where they closed on Tuesday. Analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich raised her price target to $370 from $315, suggesting 22% upside from Tuesday's close. — Hakyung Kim 6:04 a.m.: Citi raises price target on Amazon Amazon is becoming a more profitable organization, according to Citi. The price target increase comes on the heels of Amazon's new grocery delivery subscription launch. He cited increased operating income projections amid strong top-line trends for his price target increase.
Persons: Tesla, Rob Sanderson, Sanderson, Forrest Li, Hakyung Kim, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, — Hakyung Kim, Ronald Josey, Josey, GenAI, Kim, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Delaney, Goldman, Joseph Spak, Spak, TSLA, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Langan, James Lee, Lee, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Mizuho, Bank of America, Spotify Bank of America, Spotify, Citi, Amazon Web Services, Revenue, UBS, Summer
What if no one wants a cheap Tesla?
  + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Matt Turner | Hayley Peterson | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Even at a lower price, say $25,000, it's a very significant purchase — likely one of the most expensive purchases a person will make. AdvertisementSo let's for a second look at why a lower ticket price might not be a panacea for Tesla. There are many other Tesla buyers, of course, but as Tesla introduces lower-cost models in search of different buyers, needs will shift. Musk and Tesla are politicizedAs Tesla looks to lure potential new buyers with a cheaper car, it will have to contend with souring consumer sentiment toward the EV maker. Maybe the pool of buyers for a cheap Tesla will be ginormous.
Persons: , Tesla, Elon Musk, TSLA, EVs, It's, BYD, Musk, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Tesla, EV, UBS, Infrastructure, Honda Civic, Toyota, Reuters, Bloomberg, Association, Renault, Elon Locations: California, headwinds, China, India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetailers that can capitalize on omnichannel will be winners, says UBS' Michael LasserMichael Lasser, UBS retail analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss which retailers are at risk for closure and which are shifting their models to thrive.
Persons: Michael Lasser Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS
Higher life expectancy rates mean that some Gen Zers might be retired for 50 years, says UBS. A portfolio needs to beat inflation by 2 percentage points to retire well, the bank said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGen Zers could spend up to 50 years in retirement — so they should start investing as soon as possible, according to UBS. Typical investing wisdom posits that a retired person's portfolio should aim to keep pace with inflation.
Persons: Zers, , Lee Wen Ching, Wen Ching, Andrew J, Scott, We've, we'd Organizations: UBS, Service, Michelin Locations: Swiss
UBS doesn't see the Federal Reserve embarking on rate cuts until September — and that means now is the time to snap up tax-free municipal bonds. Bond yields and prices move inversely, so a decline in rates will come with price appreciation for the underlying issues. "Against that backdrop, we believe that yields on quality municipal bonds look attractive at current levels," wrote UBS Wealth Management senior municipal bond strategist Kathleen McNamara in a report last week. The kicker of tax-free income Muni bonds are generally backed by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which makes them less of a default risk compared with corporates. Large diversified municipal bond funds can be cheap, but state-focused funds tend to be a little more costly.
Persons: Kathleen McNamara, McNamara, FKTFX Organizations: UBS, Federal, UBS Wealth Management, Bond, SEC, Vanguard California, Franklin, Franklin California Tax, Income Fund, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard New Locations: There's, New York , California, New Jersey, California, Franklin California
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Analysts slashed the "Big Six" tech stocks' ratings to neutral from overweight, arguing that profit growth momentum could "collapse" over the next few quarters. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, what's, it's, We're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS Global Research
"We're going to carry this fight on to Mercedes and everywhere else," Fain told VW workers Friday night following the historic vote. Impact on labor costsTop of the list of likely impacts from organizing efforts at VW is labor costs. But for the Big Three Detroit automakers — and their shareholders — the VW organizing drive could be a positive. GM, Ford and Stellantis have higher all-in labor costs than non-organized automakers such as VW. Fain on Friday said "the real fight begins now," referring to the expected negotiations between the union and VW.
Persons: Elijah Nouvelage, Alex Hertel, Fernandez, It's, Shawn Fain, Kelcey Smith, Kevin Wurm, Fain, Let's, Joe Biden, Evelyn Hockstein, there's, Organizations: Volkswagen, Getty, DETROIT, United Auto Workers, UAW, Detroit union's, U.S . Department of Labor, Columbia University, Union, National Labor Relations Board, NLRB, VW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Detroit automakers, BMW, Honda, Hyundai, Mazda, Benz, Nissan, Subaru, Toyota, Volvo, Washington Post, Workers, Mercedes, UBS, Big Three Detroit automakers —, GM, Ford, Chamber, U.S, Capitol, Reuters Locations: Chattanooga , Tennessee, U.S, Vance , Alabama, Chattanooga, Washington , U.S, Detroit
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-caps set to gain as interest rate cuts come through, UBS saysGerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, says small-cap stock performance looks set to improve as central bank interest rate cuts play out.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
Tesla shares fell for a seventh straight day, reaching their lowest since January 2023, as further price cuts over the weekend added to mounting concerns heading into the company's first-quarter earnings report Tuesday. Tesla also lowered the price of its premium driver assistance system by one-third. The price cut follows a monthlong free trial that Tesla pushed out to customers throughout North America starting in late March. "Since late 2023, sentiment on Tesla (TSLA) has deteriorated," John Murphy, an analyst at Bank of America, wrote in a note on Monday. WATCH: Tesla stock hits 52-week low ahead of earnings
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, John Murphy, Murphy, Joseph Spak, Spak, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Times, Jazz, Lincoln Center, North America, National, Traffic Safety Administration, CNBC, Bank of America, Reuters, UBS, EV, Traders, S3 Partners, Apple Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Europe
UBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'
  + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'Gerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, names his top luxury picks, as the market shifts in favor of '"quality" stocks.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
The House legislation would require TikTok's China-based parent company ByteDance to divest the social media app, or face an eventual ban in the United States. Glueck said Oracle did not lobby for or against the TikTok bill, and only disclosed the meetings on mandatory filings in order to be transparent. "In a TikTok ban or shut-down scenario, Oracle would lose what is likely its largest OCI [Oracle Cloud Infrastructure] customer. Though the initial House bill briefly stalled in the Senate, a similar piece of legislation passed the House on Saturday and already has key support in the Senate. The services included providing congressional offices "technical assistance" in regards to the TikTok legislation, according to the disclosures.
Persons: Ken Glueck, Oracle, Glueck, Sen, Maria Cantwell, Mark Warner, Both Cantwell, Warner, Joe Biden, TikTok Organizations: Oracle, CNBC, Fierce Government Relations, Polaris Government Relations, Senate, Intelligence Committee, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, UBS, TikTok, Intelligence, Records, Polaris, Internal Revenue Service Locations: Washington, United States, China
Thirteen months ago, Andy Sieg unexpectedly left Merrill Wealth Management to run Citi's ailing wealth unit. His replacements, Lindsay Hans and Eric Schimpf, had big shoes to fill. Hans and Schimpf were company veterans but lesser known before they were anointed to lead the $3 trillion wealth business attached to behemoth Bank of America. Schimpf is more soft-spoken than his cohead Hans, who was promoted to run the private wealth business one month before Sieg left. AdvertisementMerrill has the benefit of being part of a bank with some 69 million consumer bank clients.
Persons: Andy Sieg, Lindsay Hans, Eric Schimpf, Merrill, Hans, Schimpf, Sieg, Lindsay, it's, Sieg's, Louis Diamond, Schimpf's, Hans said, AdvisorHub Organizations: Service, Merrill Wealth Management, behemoth Bank of America, Business, Merrill, Army, UBS, Schimpf, Northeast, Merrill . Bank of America, Bank of America, Customers, Bank of, First, JPMorgan Locations: Los Angeles, Coast, New York City, Nevada, First Republic, Merrill
UBS: The Fed will implement its first rate cut in September
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: The Fed will implement its first rate cut in SeptemberBrian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management senior U.S. economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the outlook for potential rate cuts, economic data, and more.
Persons: Brian Rose, Steve Liesman Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
Morgan Stanley reiterates Ford and General Motors at overweight Morgan Stanley remains bullish on both automakers. Loop initiates DoorDash as buy Loop said in its initiation of the stock that it has more earnings potential. We think that years of debate over viability and earnings potential of on-demand gig platforms has been settled." Morgan Stanley upgrades Shopify to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said market share gains are increasing for Shopify. Morgan Stanley reiterates Microsoft at overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish heading into earnings next week. "
Persons: Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, Ford, Mizuho, Jefferies, Ulta, they've, Riley, we've, Wells, Sunnova, it's, we're, Edward Jones downgrades Hershey, Edward Jones, Hershey, Wolfe, Raymond James downgrades, Raymond James, Dell, Needham, Baird, COLM Organizations: Nvidia, General Motors, GM, Mizuho, Netflix, Bank of America, Lam Research, NOVA, " Bank of America, Meta, JPMorgan, Charlotte, Shopify, RBC, Inspire, Systems, Microsoft, UBS, Columbia Locations: U.S, Charlotte , North Carolina
Jefferies included a $4 million break-up fee in an offer letter to a banker. The Wall Street bank is demanding payment after Dean Decker stayed with Credit Suisse after signing. AdvertisementA Wall Street bank inserted a $4 million break-up fee into an offer letter and demanded the payment after the employee backed out. "In fact, the only winner was Decker — both Jefferies and Credit Suisse were gamed (pun intended.)" It's worth noting that Credit Suisse agreed to cover Decker's legal costs and any damages, meaning UBS is on the hook following a merger of the two Swiss banks last year.
Persons: Jefferies, Dean Decker, , Decker, Decker —, UBS didn't Organizations: Credit Suisse, Service, Bloomberg, Jefferies, Suisse, UBS, Banco Santander, Business Locations: California, Spanish
The outlook for homebuilders
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe outlook for homebuildersJohn Lovallo, analyst at UBS, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss D.R. Horton as the home builder exceeded expectations in its fiscal second quarter, how higher rates are impacting home sales, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo, Horton Organizations: UBS
Since late October last year, the S&P 500 has risen as much as 27% on strong economic data and excitement about AI. Losses were steepest last week when Iran fired missiles at Israel, exacerbating regional and global tensions. But as more labor market and inflation data has come out, investors now believe a cut is off the table until at least July. The S&P 500 has now dipped below its 20-day moving average, like it did last summer when yields rose above 4.35%. "The VIX, SKEW and Put/Call Ratio all indicate that sophisticated investors are on edge and volatility could explode to 52-week highs in the weeks ahead," Essaye said.
Persons: , that's, Israel, James Demmert, Demmert, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Tom Essaye, Essaye, selloff, Solita, It's, Marcelli, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Brent, Research, Federal Reserve, LPL, MAs, UBS Americas, UBS Global Investment Locations: Iran, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo reason for the Fed to cut if the economy is holding up at these higher rates: UBS' Jason DrahoJason Draho, UBS Global Wealth Management head of asset allocation Americas, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends ahead of the opening bell on Wednesday.
Persons: Jason Draho Jason Draho Organizations: Fed, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management
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