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CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Jobs shock hits stocksU.S. stocks plummeted on Friday after a weaker-than-expected jobs report added to fears of a recession. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.43% and is now in correction territory, having declined more than 10% from its recent high. Asian stocks plungeAsian stocks continued to sell-off on Monday, with the Japanese market confirming a bear market. The stocks had to pass several criteria, including receiving five or more earnings upgrades in the past three months.
Persons: Topix, Taiwan's Taiex, Warren Buffett Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Nikkei, CSI, Berkshire Hathaway's, Apple . Berkshire, Exxon, Chevron, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, China, Apple ., Berkshire, Guyana, U.S, San Ramon , California, Houston , Texas
US stocks fell after a weak July jobs report raised concerns of a slowing economy. The US added 114,000 jobs in July, below estimates of 175,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%. Intel and Amazon's weak earnings reports also contributed to Friday's stock market decline. The unemployment rate also unexpectedly rose to 4.3% from 4.1%, its highest level since October 2021. The 10-Year US Treasury yield plunged nearly 20 basis points to a 2024 low of 3.80% immediately after the jobs report was released.
Persons: , Stephen Brown Organizations: Intel, Service, Treasury, Capital Economics, Federal, CME, Amazon Locations: payrolls
US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.
Persons: , Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's
CNBC's Jim Cramer examined Thursday's market action, attributing the day's brutal sell-off to the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady instead of making a cut. "To me, today's terrible action in stocks was a function of the Fed not cutting rates yesterday," he said. Although Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated a rate cut was "on the table" in September, many on Wall Street feared that would be too late. The "soft economy" is new, he added, saying last year at this time Wall Street criticized the Fed for being unable to tame inflation. "I have better things to do with my time than lambaste a Fed chief for conceivably letting the economy wither for seven more weeks," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, they've, Jerome Powell, Russell, Cramer, lambaste, Powell Organizations: Federal, Wall, Investors, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fed
Mortgage rates are often indirectly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, and as the Fed starts lowering its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down as well. This means that as long as inflation continues to ease, mortgage rates should drop further this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates fell to 6.07% last week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates increased dramatically over the last two years, but they're expected to go down at some point this year.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
LONDON — European markets are set to open mixed on Thursday as investors process a raft of central bank action. The Bank of England announces its latest monetary policy decision at midday London time. Market pricing slightly favors a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the U.K. central bank, kicking off its path of monetary easing. Investors are still processing Wednesday's surprise move from the Bank of Japan, which raised its benchmark interest rate to around 0.25%, its highest level since 2008, and hinted at more tightening to come. The decision powered the yen to a four-and-a-half month high against the U.S. dollar, as Japanese stocks tumbled.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CAC, Bank of England, U.S, Bank of Japan, U.S . Locations: U.S . Federal,
Central bank policymakers have kept their target interest rate at 5.25% to 5.5% for the past year, creating a yield bonanza for investors in money market funds, certificates of deposit and Treasury bills. Gundlach, speaking on CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Wednesday, said he sees the Fed enacting as much as 150 basis points worth of rate cuts in the next year, or 1.5 percentage points, which would lower the fed funds rate to 3.75% to 4.00%. As interest rates come down, cash, short-dated instruments and floating-rate debt will also see lower yields, translating to less income for investors, he added. In lieu of those bank loans, investors may want to consider migrating toward BB-rated, fixed-rate high yield bonds — high-yield issues, he said. State Street offers the SPDR Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF (SPHY) .
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, Gundlach Organizations: Federal, BB, Corporate Bond, SEC, State Street, Investors Locations: Central
US stocks surged as chipmakers lifted tech shares ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision. Fed Chair Powell's guidance will be crucial, with market sentiment hinging on his remarks. All eyes will be on Fed Chair Powell, who is expected to issue guidance on rate cuts in prepared remarks. Advertisement"Tonight's press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell may provide a catalyst for the next move. "A too-strong signal of a coming September rate cut may scare traders into thinking that the Fed sees abrupt economic weakness ahead.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Powell, Jerome Powell, David Morrison, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Service, Nvidia, AMD, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trade Nation, Macquarie
The rally would be sparked by a dovish Fed FOMC meeting on Wednesday that all but confirms imminent interest rate cuts. "These are significant gains, implying the S&P 500 could gain 200-300 points in the next week," Lee said. "The key premise is the Fed is likely to commit to a September rate cut of at least 25bp. Lee's confidence in a strong rally post-Fed meeting is based on the fact that recent Fed meetings have sparked a big rally in stocks. "Here are some tangible reasons a Fed cut makes sense: 30-year mortgage has excess spread to 10-year due to uncertainty.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, Organizations: Service, Fed, Nasdaq
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 4.1316%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3584% after dipping by less than one basis point. With the Fed meeting set to end on Wednesday, investors looked to the central bank's monetary policy announcement and the post-meeting press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Questions also remain over how many rate cuts could be implemented by the Fed this year. After this month's meeting, three more are in the calendar for the central bank in 2024.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Fed, Labor, Survey
Yen braces for BOJ decision with risk events aplenty
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
That is followed by inflation readings in France and the wider euro zone later in the day, alongside the Federal Reserve's policy decision, which takes center stage. With plenty of risk events to mark the month-end, currency moves were largely subdued in early Asia trade as investors were hesitant to take on fresh positions. "We anticipate that the BOJ will increase interest rates to around 0.25% at the upper limit." "A rate hike could help stabilize the yen's current levels, whereas the absence of a rate hike may trigger renewed selling pressure driven by carry trades." The yen similarly made headway against other currencies, with the euro falling 0.07% to 165.07 yen and the Australian dollar slipping 0.12% to 99.80 yen.
Persons: Gregor Hirt, Sterling eked, Julien Lafargue Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal, CIO, Allianz Global Investors, Traders, Barclays Private Bank, New Zealand Locations: Bank, France, Asia
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia pulled back 7% and Microsoft fell 0.9% during the normal session before reporting earnings after the bell. Still, Microsoft beat estimates as quarterly revenue increased 15% from a year ago to $64.73 billion and net income rose to $22.04 billion. Starbucks missStarbucks' quarterly revenue slid 1% to $9.11 billion, missing forecasts as same-store sales declined for the second straight quarter. Net income fell to $1.05 billion from $1.14 billion a year ago, though it met analysts' expectations.
Persons: Tamas Varga, PVM, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Big Tech, Nasdaq, megacaps Meta, Apple, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed, Microsoft Microsoft, West Texas Intermediate, Brent Locations: New York City, U.S, China
Gold prices set for monthly gain; traders eye Fed verdict
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee arranges one kilogram gold bars for a photograph at the YLG Bullion International headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Jan. 13, 2016. Gold prices held steady on Wednesday and headed for a monthly gain, supported by rising optimism surrounding U.S. interest rate cuts, while focus shifted to Federal Reserve's policy verdict due later in the day. Spot gold held its ground at $2,407.85 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT, and has gained more than 3% for the month. Gold will rally if the Fed language indicates that multiple cuts are coming," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com. Traders will also keep an eye on the ADP employment report due later in the day and Friday's U.S. payrolls report.
Persons: Fed's, Kyle Rodda, Israel, Hezbollah's, Rodda Organizations: Traders, Reuters Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Federal, U.S, United States, Iraq, Beirut, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman's client investment strategist on key investment themes to watchElizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management client investment strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what the Federal Reserve's path looks like from here, thinking beyond the small cap trade, and much more.
Persons: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest
Fundstrat's Tom Lee is out with his next eye-popping prediction — and it implies good news for the market in the coming days. "In short, we see a risk-on rally starting Wed that could add +100 points to the S & P 500," he told clients. Lee said investors should expect a gain of at least 6% for small caps during this run alone. "We still see this as the 'summer of small caps' so our preference is to be buying," he said. A rise of 5% would propel the S & P 500 to a new all-time intraday high, topping the record set earlier this month.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Russell, CME's Organizations: Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed won't change rates in July but may talk back dot plot update, economist saysSree Kochugovindan, senior economist at Abrdn, discusses expectations for the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting.
Persons: Sree Kochugovindan Organizations: Federal
U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors looked to economic data from the labor market and the Federal Reserve's July meeting is set to kick off. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 4.1860%. The 2-year Treasury was last at 4.3998% after rising by more than one basis point. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.
Organizations: Treasury
Bank of America analysts are growing more bullish on Goldman Sachs after meeting with chairman and CEO David Solomon. BofA reiterated a buy rating on Goldman Sachs in a note on Tuesday that summarized the meeting, alongside a $563 per share price target. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs stock. "We believe it is one of the best financial franchises (and among the strongest risk managers) globally at relatively discounted valuations on mid-teens ROE potential," Poonawala said. Goldman Sachs stock has advanced about 31% in 2024 through early trading Tuesday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, BofA, Goldman, ROE resiliency, Ebrahim Poonawala, headwinds, Solomon, ROE, Poonawala Organizations: of America, Goldman, Wall Locations: Goldman Sachs
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) currently sits 11% off its highs. MAGS YTD mountain Magnificent Seven ETF performance This backdrop sets the tone for a "make or break week" coinciding with the Federal Reserve's July rate decision Wednesday, according to Wolfe Research's Chris Senyek. Now, more than 18 months after the launch of groundbreaking ChatGPT, Wall Street wants results. Some Wall Street analysts believe strong quarterly results may not be enough to reverse the pullback in tech shares. "My gut is that the tech earnings are going to come in better than people expect."
Persons: Morgan, Roundhill, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Jay Woods, Sundar Pichai, Deutsche Bank's David Folkerts, Baird's Ted Mortonson, Senyek, Rowe Price, Dominic Rizzo, CNBC's Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Freedom Capital, Deutsche, Tech, Fed, Trump
US stocks closed mixed as investors awaited a wave of data this week, from earnings to the July jobs report. 171 S&P 500 companies, including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon, will report Q2 earnings this week. AdvertisementUS stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. AdvertisementAmid the steady stream of earnings data, investors will also turn their attention to the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe jobs report will help inform the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy going forward, as the Fed balances a steady economy with a falling inflation rate.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Fawad Razaqzada, Forex.com Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Service, Federal, Business
US stocks rose as investors anticipate key economic data and earnings results this week. Major companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will release second-quarter earnings results this week. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Monday as investors prepare for a big week ahead filled with important economic data and earnings results. Investors are instead expecting a 100% chance that the Fed cuts interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. Finally, it's a big week for earnings results, with about 34% of S&P 500 companies set to release their second-quarter results this week.
Persons: , Steve Sosnick Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Service, Interactive, Here's
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Monday as investors awaited key corporate earnings and the beginning of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded 0.1% higher. That compares to a five-year average earnings beat rate of 77%. "Both 2024 and 2025 consensus EPS are holding up, with 2024 EPS tracking a typical non-recessionary year revision trend. "Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jerome Powell, Seema Shah Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck, Pfizer, PayPal, Procter, Gamble, JetBlue, Microsoft, Devices, Bank of, Fed, Asset Management
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.1666%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3729% after falling by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited the release of key economic data and looked to the Federal Reserve's meeting scheduled for the week. Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's July meeting and key data from the labor market slated for the week. Investors will be looking at the data for hints about the state of the labor market, as this could also inform monetary policy expectations and decision-making.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, PCE
Here's what to expect from the Fed's rate decision this week
  + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what to expect from the Fed's rate decision this weekCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on what investors need to know ahead of the Federal Reserve's next meeting.
Persons: Steve Liesman Organizations: Federal
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