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☆ Want to know why younger generations seem so pissed? Look at the housing market.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-04 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But the biggest issue is probably a housing market that simply feels unfair. From a shaky economy to student debt, to general inflation and spiking healthcare costs, there's lots to be worried about. "One was the long, weak labor market in the wake of the Great Recession, and the other is how badly the housing market functions." When you look at the housing market, it's particularly grim right now. But while Americans have different health situations (and lifestyles and levels of student debt), all of them live somewhere.

Persons: Gen Zers, —, Zers, Josée Rose, there's, Matt Yglesias, Phil Rosen, Goldman Sachs, James Rodriguez, Pew, John Myers, Ben Southwood, Sam Bowman, homebuyers Organizations: Service, Deloitte, TIAA Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Mortgage, Association, Commonwealth Fund Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York, isn't

☆ Elon Musk is wrong about a housing-market crash
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Selma Hepp, the chief economist at CoreLogic, said that's not going to happen. The nation's dearth of housing supply will keep home prices high and prevent a crash. On Monday, the billionaire — who has built a multi-million dollar portfolio of real estate properties — shared one of his most contentious opinions so far in 2023: "Commercial real estate is melting down fast. She said the housing naysayers are wrong and that the housing market is instead heading towards a recovery. Hepp attributes the real estate market's rebound to an imbalance of housing supply and demand that has heightened competition amongst borrowers.

Persons: Elon Musk, Selma Hepp, that's, —, Ray Farris, Ian Shepherdson, Freddie Mac, Hepp, CoreLogic, San Francisco — Organizations: Service, Privacy, SpaceX, Credit Suisse, San Locations: West Coast, Diego, Durham , Connecticut, Boston, New York City, Redfin

☆ The stock market's strong 2023 performance comes down to just 5 massive companies
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Anyway, this lopsided distribution is exactly what's showing up in the stock market right now. The S&P 500 has climbed about 9.2% this year, but just five stocks are powering most of that gain in an even more extreme rendition of the Pareto distribution. In previous streaks of strong outperformance of five months or more by supersized companies, he pointed out that the S&P 500 has averaged returns of 6.7% in the subsequent six months. "[P]utting mega caps aside, we found that narrow market breadth in general does not represent a bad omen for S&P 500 performance despite the contrary narrative being pushed by many investors," Belski added. What's your outlook for the rest of the stock market this year, not including mega-caps?

Persons: Phil Rosen, ChatGPT, Tim Cook, Jerod Harris, Brian Belski, Belski, Elon Musk, Jonathan Ernst, Redfin, Larry Pitkowsky, Bitcoin, Max Adams, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Apple, Getty, Nvidia, Microsoft, BMO, Reuters, Dell Technologies, Broadcom, Bank of America Locations: Beijing, China, United States, New York, London

☆ Elon Musk said home prices will crater - and it prompted a sharp rebuttal from the CEO of housing giant Redfin
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Elon Musk said this week that home prices will tumble soon, following those of commercial real estate. Redfin's CEO responded, saying the loss of demand for commercial real estate is driving up demand for residential real estate. However, Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman countered his take in a tweet of his own on Tuesday:"But the loss in demand for commercial real estate is what's driving demand for residential real estate. The remote-work boom and waning need for office space has led to many vacant commercial real estate buildings, which Musk's initially referred to. Zillow has said that home prices have already bottomed, while Moody's and Fannie Mae still expect prices to drop further.

Persons: Elon Musk, Glenn Kelman, —, Billionaire Elon Musk, Musk's, Kelman, Zillow, Fannie Mae Organizations: Service, Privacy, Billionaire, Federal

☆ The 10 best cities to become a homeowner, where houses are affordable relative to incomes and property values tend to go up
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

LendingTree identified the best and worst places for homeownership in the US. North Carolina, Tennessee, and Georgia metros top the best places to become a homeowner, it found. Read on for the top 10 cities and what it takes to live in those places. Mortgage marketplace LendingTree has just identified which large metros across the country are the best and worst places to purchase a home. The company analyzed data from the Census Bureau on homeownership rates, home value appreciation, household income, and more.

Persons: LendingTree, —, Jacob Channel Organizations: homeownership, Georgia metros, Service, West, Buyers, metros Locations: North Carolina , Tennessee, Georgia, Austin , Texas, Boise , Idaho, Phoenix, homeownership, Raleigh , North Carolina, Nashville , Tennessee, Jacksonville , Florida, Atlanta, East, West

☆ US home prices just jumped for the second-straight month, suggesting the housing downturn could be over. Here are the 6 cities where prices are rising the fastest.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In the 20-city version of the index, all 20 of the cities saw home prices rise month-over-month. "That said, the challenges posed by current mortgage rates and the continuing possibility of economic weakness are likely to remain a headwind for housing prices for at least the next several months." "A shortage of listings, plentiful jobs, and strong wage growth are largely offsetting the headwind to housing from high mortgage rates," Adams told Insider. Their reasons include high mortgage rates, historically low affordability, and a potential recession. Below, we've listed in descending order the six cities in the Case-Shiller 20-city index that posted month-over-month growth of at least 2%.

Persons: Craig J, Lazzara, Bill Adams, Adams, Suisse's Ray Farris, Rosenberg Research's David Rosenberg, Ian Shepherdson, American Enterprise Institute's Desmond Lachman, Skylar Olsen Organizations: Home, NSA, Redfin, Comerica Bank, American Enterprise Locations: Denver, Detroit, San Francisco, San Diego, Seattle, Minneapolis, West Coast, Miami , Florida, Tampa , Florida, Charlotte, North Carolina

☆ Here's why nobody is willing to sell a home these days
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why nobody is willing to sell a home these daysRedfin CEO Glenn Kelman joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the number one issue now for housing, what will be the changing factor for the housing market, and what's happening with home prices.

Persons: Glenn Kelman

☆ A debt-ceiling deal may be close but the crisis likely isn't solved for good. Here's what would happen if the US actually defaulted on its debt.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-27 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

So the Treasury market remains intact in this scenario? JL: The broader US economy will suffer, the stock market will suffer, there will be higher unemployment. So just because the Treasury market ends up doing fine does not mean good news for the US economy. If you think the stock market isn't signaling there's a recession looming, David Rosenberg says otherwise. The AI hype gripping the stock market will resemble a mini dot-com bubble, according to UBS's Art Cashin.

Some popular big cities are losing residents, US Postal Service change-of-address requests indicate. Requests made in 2023 also show that smaller spots outside big cities have tended to gain residents. Smaller spots outside larger urban hubs, meanwhile, are attracting more residents than they're losing. Many people move over the summer to avoid pulling kids out of school midyear, so end-of-year change-of-address data may shed light on other patterns. Also, bigger cities are more likely to both lose and gain people because of their larger populations; the USPS doesn't adjust its numbers according to population.

☆ Homebuyers might be able purchase a home with less savings — thanks to the two largest US mortgage lenders now allowing down payments of just 1%
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

In a stark contrast to the homebuying bonanza of 2021, housing demand has fallen sharply with buyers grappling with a year of higher mortgage rates and stubbornly high home prices. "I was able to win them over with 1% down payment assistance, as well as give them a better rate." "These 1% down payment assistance programs are really making homeownership more affordable for borrowers, Beaubien added." Beaubien said the savings gained from UWM's down payment assistance program is truly making a difference for her clients. "A lot of homebuyers, especially first-time homebuyers, will get discouraged about what the closing costs and down payment may look like," Beaubien said.

☆ Famed economist David Rosenberg says home prices are set to fall further as buyers retreat to the sidelines and a hawkish Fed means stubbornly high mortgage rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

With mortgage rates unlikely to budge and incomes unlikely to grow, prices are due to drop. Housing affordability is calculated by accounting for three variables: home prices, mortgage rates, and incomes. Ian Shepherdson, the chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics who said in the 2005 that a housing downturn would spark a recession, made the same argument in recent weeks. Now that's quite striking because mortgage rates are no longer at peak, but applications are still falling. This would send interest rates — and therefore mortgage rates, which trade closely with Treasury rates — higher, further hurting demand and affordability, Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi recently told Fortune.

☆ Microsoft is sprinkling OpenAI everywhere to try and keep software makers interested in its platforms
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In this article MSFT Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTMicrosoft Chairman and CEO Satya Nadella speaks to attendees at Microsoft's Build conference in Seattle on May 23, 2023. "Every layer of the software stack is going to be changed forever and no better place to start than the actual developer stack," Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said during his Build keynote address on Tuesday. It's crucial for third-party developers to enrich Microsoft's own software properties, such as the Microsoft 365 productivity software bundle. Greg Brockman, OpenAI president and co-founder, and Kevin Scott, Microsoft chief technology officer, speak onstage at Microsoft's Build conference in Seattle on May 23, 2023. WATCH: Microsoft Build 2023 unveils plugins and products that incorporate A.I.

☆ Housing Market Ice Age: Fewer Sales, Higher Home Prices, Less Inventory
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

The result is a housing market that's fundamentally out of whack. The housing market has changed for good — and with the benefit of time-earned wisdom, we can pinpoint the moment it entered a new era. Two big things happened during the initial response to the pandemic that launched the housing market past the point of no return. Both factors have propelled competition in the housing market to new heights and made it challenging for would-be buyers to find their footing. Some aspects of the pandemic-era housing market that once seemed "odd" are increasingly becoming new norms.

☆ Nearly 75% of home purchases in a Bay Area city were made by LLCs or trusts. It's a trend among the wealthy.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-21 | by ( Aaron Mcdade | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The city near San Francisco is one of the richest areas of the country, on average. It's also part of a trend which has wealthy Americans creating trusts or LLCs to buy homes. It's also a prime example of a new trend among the country's wealthiest homebuyers, according to the Chronicle. On one block highlighted by the Chronicle's report, just two of the 12 homes are actually owned by individual people, with the rest owned by trusts, LLCs, or other kinds of corporations. "If someone sets up a trust, it's almost like a corporation that continues to live beyond the person," Michael Repka, CEO and managing broker for DeLeon Realty, told the San Francisco Chronicle.

☆ People are flooding open houses and feverishly bidding on homes even after predictions of a market crash and bargain-basement prices. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-20 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

According to Redfin, there were only 533,310 newly listed homes for sale in March, down from 650,105 during the same time period in 2022. In markets like Durham's, the flood of prospective buyers is keeping home prices elevated, bucking predictions last year for declines. According to Redfin, the median sale price of a home in the town was $420,000 in April 2023, up 20% year-over-year. During the month, 33% of homes were sold over asking price. The house with a pool ended up selling for $875,000, some $75,000 more than the asking price, the website showed.

☆ A 26-year-old developer whose firm owns 40 acres of land in Richmond explains why he's betting on the capital of Virginia — and why he would personally invest in real estate there
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Meanwhile, "the DC market was considerably faster-moving, especially the condominium market." So I developed single-family homes on those myself and it turned out pretty successful." Thakker bought land in Richmond in 2020 and developed three, single-family homes, including the one pictured, on the lot. Across their three major projects in Richmond, Dorado has acquired 40 acres of land, which is equivalent to over 40 football fields. The interior of one of the single-family homes Thakker built and sold in Richmond.

☆ An uninhabitable home in California is selling for half a million dollars
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

An unlivable home is currently going for $500,000 in San Diego. At 1,015 square feet, per Zillow, the uninhabitable house costs more than $500 per square foot. With oft-sunny skies, nearby beaches, and a thriving job market, San Diego is a homebuyer's theoretical dream. The median home price in San Diego, the second largest city in California, was more than $900,000 in April, according to a Greater San Diego Association of Realtors report. "The homes around this area are worth about $900,[000] to 1 million dollars," Quan Huinh, who has been renting in the Bay Area neighborhood for two years told KNSD.

☆ The housing market has frozen over. Here's why experts say home affordability isn't getting better any time soon.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-13 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The housing market is frozen, and affordability is unlikely to get better soon, experts told Insider. Activity has slowed thanks to high mortgage rates, which have pushed both buyers and sellers out of the market. That's largely because the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates high over the next year, which will influence mortgage rates to stay elevated. Housing in limboIt's a precarious time for the US housing market, with activity slowing significantly in recent months as the Fed aggressively hiked interest rates. Mortgage rates — and likewise, home affordability — will hinge on the Fed's future interest rate moves and any subsequent volatility in rate markets.

☆ 'Million Dollar Listing' brokers say now is the time for luxury homebuyers to scoop up a deal. Here’s their advice for buyers and sellers.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( Katherine Stinson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The real-estate agents Tracy Tutor and Josh Flagg said now is the time for luxury homebuyers to act. Sellers must price their homes realistically, even if they are worth less than they were last year. Here's their advice for buyers and sellers in the luxury market. The Redfin study backs this up: New listings of luxury homes fell by 6.6% year over year. Price reductions aren't a bad thing in themselves, but Flagg said it's still typically a major turn off for luxury homebuyers — "even if it's a steal."

☆ Credit Suisse's chief US economist says home prices will likely fall another 5-10% — and that gridlock between buyers and sellers will prevent both appreciation and a larger crash
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Credit Suisse's Chief US Economist Ray Farris says home prices will see a 'long recession.' Rather, the market is likely to go through a sort of holding period, where activity stays low and prices neither boom nor bust. You can spread the housing market over many more locales in the US and that's what's happening." And the way I think of that, as a base case, it means that even as mortgage rates come down, the housing market doesn't recover rapidly. Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner is one economist that — like Farris — doesn't expect a recession, and only sees prices falling another 4% this year.

☆ The Real Reason Rent Costs Are Sky High: People Left Their Roommates
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Though rent growth has slowed in recent months, renters in large cities are still feeling the effects of the 2021-22 rent boom. Residents of these places are now asking the question: If so many people left, why is my rent still so expensive? The first was outbound migration, which led to weaker housing demand in city centers. "High house prices, high rents, and rising interest rates are probably pushing back against household formation," Ozimek told me. If more employees keep adopting remote work — which, I'll admit, is a big "if" — that indicates housing demand is bound to increase.

☆ Quiet quitting hits the housing market: Tight inventory and still-high mortgage rates keep would-be buyers sidelined
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Today we're talking housing — but before we get to that, the big thing to watch today is President Joe Biden's meeting with congressional leaders. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThe housing market seems to be taking a page from the labor market's playbook right now. Daryl Fairweather, Redfin's chief economist took to Twitter last week to describe the sluggish sector:"Homeowners are quiet quitting the housing market." In effect, more and more homeowners are choosing to stay put with their low mortgage rates locked in, rather than trying to finance a new home at rates that are hovering around 20-year highs. That's due mostly to high rates causing homes to sit on the market longer than usual, which leads to accumulating inventory.

☆ Peter Thiel would back Ron DeSantis — but he isn't ditching Silicon Valley for Miami anytime soon due to high home prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Will Gendron | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Home prices in the state have been on the rise after tech workers flocked to the state during the pandemic. Rising home prices and property taxes followed. Single-family property taxes in the city increased by 12.6% from 2021 to 2022. "That kind of economic cost is probably not enough to offset all the wokeness in the world," Thiel said on Weiss's podcast. The discussion came up as he and Weiss discussed Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as the potential Republican presidential nominee.

☆ The housing market is showing signs of a rebound as cancellations for homes under construction drop to levels last seen during the pandemic buying boom
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rate of cancellations has dropped nearly to what was seen during the peak of the pandemic housing boom. A March survey by John Burns Research and Consulting found that builders reported an aggregate cancellation rate of 9% for purchases of new homes under construction. KB Home, for example, said its cancellation rate for the first three months of 2023 stood at 36%, down from 68% the quarter prior. "As we entered the spring selling season during the quarter, we began to see an increase in [housing] demand," Jeffrey Mezger, chief executive of KB Home said in March. "This reflected in part the targeted sales strategies we deployed, together with a stabilizing mortgage interest rate environment.

☆ Home prices are back on the rise as the spring market proves more competitive than expected
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After cooling for the better part of last year, home prices are on the rise again. "Just five months ago, prices were declining on a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis in 92% of all major U.S. markets. Competition among buyers is not only pushing prices higher but also accelerating the market again. Of the nation's 50 largest housing markets by population, just Austin, Salt Lake City and San Antonio are seeing prices fall month to month. A separate report released Tuesday from CoreLogic focuses on home price comparisons from a year ago, but also shows prices gaining month to month.

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