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A man wearing a face mask as a protective measure against the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) walks past the entrance of the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, a day after midterm primary elections, in Buenos Aires, Argentina September 13, 2021. The primary, which unusually is an obligatory nationwide vote, defines internal leadership battles and acts as a dry run for the general election. The primary vote four years ago delivered a shock landslide defeat to the government of conservative then-President Mauricio Macri, sparking a crash in bonds, equities and the peso currency that Argentina has yet to fully recover from. Ex-security tsar Patricia Bullrich and Buenos Aires city Mayor Horacio Larreta are vying to lead the opposition, and Economy Minister Sergio Massa is a unity candidate for the Peronists. The country's S&P Merval (.MERV) stock market index, meanwhile, has been soaring, seen as a safe haven for local investors and a refuge from the damaging impact of inflation.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Mauricio Macri, it's, Mauro Natalucci, Rava Bursátil, Patricia Bullrich, Horacio Larreta, Sergio Massa, Javier Milei, Jorge Otaola, Walter Bianchi, Adam Jourdan, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Peronist, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Argentine, SBS Group, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, BUENOS AIRES, MERV
A raft of economic data and big retail earnings reports next week will give traders insight into the strength of the consumer after a mixed batch of inflation data. "Next week is all about the consumer," said Shannon Saccocia, investment chief at NB Private Wealth. The Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight week for the first time in 2023 after mixed inflation data this week, as well as Moody's downgrading several regional banks. July's consumer price index came in weaker than expected, but continued to show some underlying stickiness. Housing data expected to show strength Investors will also watch data on what has been a strong housing market.
Persons: Shannon Saccocia, Saccocia, , we've, John Porter, it's, Wealth's Saccocia, Kate Spade, Stuart Weitzman, Versace, Jimmy Choo, Michael Kors, That's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Estee Organizations: Home Depot, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Newton Investment Management, FactSet, . Discount, TJX Companies, Ross, Homeowners, Price, Retail, Health, Home, Agilent Technologies, Housing, Manufacturing, TJX, Target, Cisco Systems, Philadelphia Fed, Applied, Deere, Co, Companies, Palo Alto Locations: U.S, NAHB, Housing States
"This is an economy that's stronger than people thought," Invesco strategist Brian Levitt told CNBC Tuesday. He also sees stocks as beginning a "FOMO" rally from now until the end of the year. Brian Levitt is upbeat on the US's economic prospects – and believes the rally that's lifted equities in 2023 still has room to run. "My expectation on what the market is telling us is that this is an economy that's stronger than people thought," Invesco's global market strategist told CNBC on Tuesday. "I would think it's a FOMO rally between here and the end of the year," Levitt said.
Persons: Brian Levitt, , Levit, Levitt, Morgan, Mike Wilson, who's Organizations: CNBC, Service, Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon
There are multiple types of index funds, including:Broad market index funds: Index funds that try to track the overall performance of an entire asset class throughout the entire stock market. Fixed-income and debt index funds: Index funds that track bond indices for low expense ratios. International index funds: Index fund that invests funds in assets outside of the US. Sector-based index funds: Index funds that invest funds in a specific sector of the market, such as technology or even certain company services. Socially responsible index funds: Similar to sector-based index funds, socially responsible index funds invest specifically in companies that focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) services.
Persons: Warren Buffett, It's, Julian Schubach, Louis, Ameritrade, Charles Schwab, you've, Schwab Organizations: Service, Independence, US, Rutgers, Nasdaq, Nasdaq Stock Market Dow, NYSE, New York Stock Exchange, U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Market, Fidelity, Vanguard, Chevron Locations: Wall, Silicon, Chevron
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked higher by 6 points, or 0.02%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures oscillated near the flat line. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.6%, and S&P 500 closed higher by 0.9%. Roughly 85% of S&P 500 stocks have reported quarterly results, and nearly 80% of them have beaten Wall Street's expectations, according to FactSet. The inflation metric could put Wall Street's belief in a soft landing to the test.
Persons: Dow, Armour, Dylan Kremer, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Technologies, Educational, Companies, United Parcel Service, Disney, Wynn Resorts
It can take a while for the public perspective to catch up with improving conditions. By the time he came up for re-election in 2012, public confidence in the economy had improved and he secured a second term. Wages have begun rising faster than inflation — but only just begun. While illegal border crossings have dropped significantly since last year, they surged again in July. Likewise, gas prices remain below their peak but have inched up lately.
Persons: George H.W, Bush, Clinton, Biden Organizations: Fitch Locations: Siena
A sign board displaying Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) stock information is seen in Toronto June 23, 2014. The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) ended down 93.71 points, or 0.5%, at 20,532.93, after posting its highest closing level in three months in the previous session. The materials group, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, lost 1.8% as gold and copper prices fell. Shares of Silvercrest Metals (SIL.TO) were particularly weak, plunging 21.5% after two brokerages cut their price target on the stock. The TSX notched a gain of 2.3% in July, while it has advanced 5.9% since the start of the year.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Robert McWhirter, Fergal Smith, Siddarth, Shilpi Majumdar, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Toronto Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Metals, Toronto Stock, Selective Asset Management Inc, Canada's, Silvercrest Metals, TSX, Thomson Locations: Toronto, China, Coast, Bengaluru
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid by 75 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures dipped 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively. Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported, about 82% have posted positive surprises, according to FactSet data. Brands and Humana are set to report earnings before the open Wednesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect a 175,000 increase, which would be lower than the 497,000 rise in the prior month.
Persons: Fitch, Adam Parker, CNBC's, Parker, Dow Jones, , Darla Mercado Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Fitch, AAA, SolarEdge Technologies, Dow Jones, Dow, CVS, Brands, Humana, Traders Locations: New York City . U.S
U.S. stock futures traded near the flat line Monday night as investors await a flood of corporate earnings reports. Futures linked to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures each inched higher by 0.04%. The Dow rose 0.28%, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.15% and 0.21%, respectively. In July, the S&P 500 and the Dow each gained more than 3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced about 4.1%. More than 160 S&P 500 constituents are slated to report their latest quarterly results this week.
Persons: Dow, Keith Buchanan, Buchanan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Globalt Investments, Pharmaceutical, Merck, Pfizer, Caterpillar
The WatchCharts market index and has slumped 32% from an all-time high in March last year. When the 'everything rally' was in full swing during the pandemic period, luxury watches were no exception. Preowned watch sales reached $22 billion in 2021 – nearly a third of the $75 billion luxury watch market, according to a report from Boston Consulting Group. The Rolex index is up by more than 55% from five years ago. "Luxury watches have performed well, especially over the long term, in comparison with traditional investment categories.
Persons: Patek Philippe, Audemars, Philippe, Audemars Piguet, Patek Philippes, Piguets, Organizations: Service, Wall, Rolex, Fed, Boston Consulting Locations: Wall, Silicon
Citi U.S. equity strategist Scott Chronert raised his year-end 2023 S & P 500 price target to 4,600, citing stronger odds of a soft landing. "The near-term hurdles we envisioned into Q3 are now behind," Chronert wrote in a report late Friday. "The new targets reflect increased probability of a soft landing in our scenario approach." (See where Wall Street stands on the 2023 outlook for the S & P 500 here .) "Growth cluster valuations are high but supported by fundamental drivers," Chronert wrote.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was asked about "Barbie" and Taylor Swift Wednesday. Powell's comments came after the central bank raised interest rates by another 25 basis points. Economists have pointed to demand for both "Barbie" and Swift tickets as signs that Americans are willing to spend, which could boost growth. Meanwhile, the Fed itself highlighted the Eras Tour boosting hotel revenues in Philadelphia in the latest edition of its monthly economic review, the Beige Book. As much as 99% of traders had expected the 25-basis-point interest-rate hike that the central bank brought in, according to Bloomberg data.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Taylor Swift, Taylor, Jeanna Smialek, Powell, Barbie, Greta Gerwig's, Oppenheimer, Swift Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Bloomberg, Dow Jones Locations: Wall, Silicon, Philadelphia
ETF strategies to broaden beyond the mega-cap tech rally
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Kevin Schmidt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Investors looking to diversify beyond the tech sector runup this year can consider a handful of alternative ETFs to reduce ballooning concentration risk, said one ETF strategist. "The consternation over the mega-cap tech names driving the market — I understand it," Todd Sohn, Strategas ETF and technical strategist, told CNBC's Bob Pisani on "ETF Edge" on Monday. "It's a very under-the-radar fund," Sohn said. "[When] you think of Vanguard, you think VOO [and] VTI , their fixed-income products. For tactical investors looking to diversify into a more balanced fund, Sohn recommended the RSP, which tracks the equally weighted performance of all S&P 500 stocks.
Persons: Todd Sohn, CNBC's Bob Pisani, " Sohn, Russell, Uber, Sohn Organizations: RSP, Blackstone, Marvell Technology, Vanguard
As corporate earnings season reaches its peak in the coming weeks, Morgan Stanley advises traders to look for certain stock plays. Morgan Stanley chief equity strategist Mike Wilson said in a Monday note that he expects "performance dispersion to rise" as more companies report their earnings. Wilson recommends investors choose stocks that exhibit high earnings quality, strong free cash flow generation and improving earnings revision. Nonetheless, more than 90% of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy, according to Refinitiv. The company is set to report earnings Tuesday before the bell.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's, Dara Mohsenian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones, Microsoft, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Health, UnitedHealth, Humana, Elevance, Dow, Health Care, SDPR Fund, Mobile, General Motors, GM, Colgate, Palmolive, Comcast, CNBC Locations: U.S, NBCUniversal
S&P 500 futures were little changed Sunday evening as investors awaited a batch of key earnings reports and a major policy decision from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 finished the week up by 0.7% at 4,536.34, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.6% in the same period to 14,032.81. The week ahead is also set to be the busiest one of earnings season, with Thursday being the most intense day. About 40% of the Dow and 30% of the S&P 500 will give their financial updates during the week, including Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta. Several big pharma companies are getting ready to report and it's a big week for industrial companies and big oil as well.
Persons: Noah Hamman, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Jerome Powell, They're, , Robert Hum, Sarah Min Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Microsoft, Meta, pharma
In a market where passive investing often holds sway, a select few actively managed ETFs have well outperformed their respective benchmarks this year. The following 15 exchange-traded funds across various sectors worldwide have posted returns exceeding their benchmarks by more than 15 percentage points over the year to date, despite the uncertainty hovering over global financial markets. South Korean asset manager Timefolio's Carbon Neutral Active ETF delivered the biggest alpha (the difference between the benchmark and the fund's total returns). The fund is up 81% this year and has beaten the broader MSCI Korea IMI index by 59 percentage points, according to Factset data. The fund is up 63% this year in total returns and has beaten the benchmark MSCI USA IMI index by more than 44 percentage points over the same period.
Persons: FactSet, Kevin Paffrath, who's Organizations: CNBC Pro, Timefolio's, Korea IMI, CNBC Locations: Korean, Korea
CNBC Pro screened for companies scheduled to report earnings next week and found the ones that have a history of outperforming analyst expectations. The following stocks have beat analyst expectations for earnings at least 70% of the time, and on average rise at least 1% following their earnings report, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group. Visa Global payments company Visa , which is set to report Tuesday, has beaten earnings and revenue forecasts 95% and 89% of the time, respectively. The company will report results Monday after the main trading session. The company has a 75% record of beating Wall Street's expectations during its quarterly earnings reports.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Wall, CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Intel, Social, NXP Semiconductor, Investors, Procter, Gamble, Companies, CNBC Pro, Investment, Visa Global, Visa, Logitech Computer, Logitech
Roughly 150 S & P 500 companies are slated to report next week, including Microsoft , Coca-Cola and Boeing . Tech giant Meta Platforms , slated to report Wednesday, has had its earnings estimates hiked by more than 21% over the past three months. The average earnings per share estimate for the automotive giant is up 22% in the past three months. The company is slated to report earnings Tuesday before the bell. Analysts on average have raised their earnings estimates by 38% over both the past three and six months.
Persons: Nick Raich, Doug Anmuth, General Motors, Tesla, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Boeing, Investors, CNBC Pro, Tech, Meta, Facebook, JPMorgan, General, GM, Alaska Air, Royal Locations: America, Royal Caribbean
Summary Single-family housing starts drop 7.0% in JuneSingle-family building permits increase 2.2%Multi-family starts fall 11.6%; permits drop 5.6%WASHINGTON, July 19 (Reuters) - U.S. single-family homebuilding fell in June, but permits for future construction rose to a 12-month high as a severe shortage of previously owned houses for sale supports new construction. The decline in housing starts reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday partially retraced an abnormally large 18.7% surge in May, which had pushed groundbreaking on single-family housing projects to an 11-month high. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 935,000 units last month. In June, single-family homebuilding fell in the Northeast, Midwest as well as the densely populated South, but jumped 4.6% in the West. Housing starts and building permitsHOUSING STABILIZING"Today's report continues to suggest stabilization," said Murat Tasci, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.
Persons: homebuilding, Mark Palim, Fannie, Freddie Mac, Murat Tasci, Nancy Vanden, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Commerce Department, Builders, Reuters, Federal, National Association of Home Builders, Treasury, Housing, JPMorgan, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, Fannie Mae, Washington, homebuilding, Northeast, Midwest, Wells Fargo, New York, West, Nancy Vanden Houten, U.S
Construction of new homes fell 8% in the US last month
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Builders are benefiting from the lack of existing homes for sale as owners hunker down, but higher mortgage rates pose a threat, said Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corporation. Holding household income constant, the increase in mortgage rates reduced home-buying power by approximately $10,000, Kushi said. “There remains pent-up demand in the housing market, but higher rates put a strain on affordability,” said Kushi. Builders remain ‘cautiously optimistic’Builder confidence remains high despite concerns about rising rates. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index gauges market conditions and looks at current sales, buyer traffic and the outlook for sales of new construction homes over the next six months.
Persons: , Robert Frick, , it’s, Odeta Kushi, Freddie Mac, Kushi, Alicia Huey, Robert Dietz, Dietz Organizations: DC CNN, Housing, Census, Navy Federal Credit Union, First American Financial Corporation, National Association of Home Builders, NAHB, Federal Reserve, Builders Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo
Summary Single-family housing starts drop 7.0% in JuneSingle-family building permits increase 2.2%Multi-family starts fall 11.6%; permits drop 5.6%WASHINGTON, July 19 (Reuters) - U.S. single-family homebuilding fell in June, but permits for future construction rose to a 12-month high as a severe shortage of previously owned houses for sale supports new construction. The decline in housing starts reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday partially retraced an abnormally large 18.7% surge in May, which had pushed groundbreaking on single-family housing projects to an 11-month high. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 935,000 units last month. In June, single-family homebuilding fell in the Northeast, Midwest as well as the densely populated South, but jumped 4.6% in the West. Housing starts and building permitsHOUSING STABILIZING"Today's report continues to suggest stabilization," said Murat Tasci, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.
Persons: homebuilding, Mark Palim, Fannie, Freddie Mac, Murat Tasci, Nancy Vanden, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Commerce Department, Builders, Reuters, Federal, National Association of Home Builders, Treasury, Housing, JPMorgan, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, Fannie Mae, Washington, homebuilding, Northeast, Midwest, Wells Fargo, New York, West, Nancy Vanden Houten, U.S
Morning Bid: Retail, housing and banks test jaunty July
  + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanThe benign July investment environment gets tested on Tuesday by updates on U.S. retail sales and housing while the corporate earnings season kicks back into gear with another sweep of bank reports. Consensus forecasts are for a modest rise in retail sales and industrial output last month, while the NAHB homebuilder index is expected to have ticked higher in July to underline the recent housing market recovery more broadly. U.S. stock futures were flat going into the open and 10-year Treasury yields ticked down to their lowest level of the month so far. Crude oil prices tried to find their footing after Monday's sharp drop and continue to sustain year-on-year losses of more than 25%. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Wall, HSI, Evergrande, Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Morgan Stanley, Lockheed Martin, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Michael Barr, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Federal, Bank of America, Bank of New, Mellon, Novartis, Sandoz, Bank of New York Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, Synchrony, JB, Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hong Kong, Treasuries, Canada
Credit Suisse thinks this year's market run has more to go, raising its S & P 500 forecast to the highest on Wall Street. Jonathan Golub, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, hiked his S & P 500 year-end target to 4,700 from 4,050. Stocks have been on a surprising tear in 2023, with the S & P 500 climbing about 18% despite concerns over inflation, rising interest rates and a potential U.S. economic recession. The run has left many Wall Street strategists flat-footed. The next highest target on the Street besides Golub is CFRA at 4,575.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Suisse Locations: Monday's, Golub, CFRA, China
Builder sentiment in the market for single-family homes rose 1 point in July to 56, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Builders say low supply in the resale market is driving demand for new construction, but higher mortgage rates and supply-side challenges continue to put pressure on the market. The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage crossed over 7% briefly in May and then again at the end of June. Those higher rates are straining affordability in the market, where prices for existing homes are rising yet again. Despite higher mortgage rates, however, builders are using fewer incentives.
Persons: Robert Dietz, NAHB's Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, . Census Locations: Wells Fargo
The S & P 500 gained 2.4% amid a better-than-expected inflation reading and the early innings of second-quarter earnings season. CNBC Pro screened the S & P 500 for stocks in overbought territory, based on their 14-day relative strength index. A 14-day RSI above 70 means a stock is overbought and could be due for a reversal. Here are the S & P 500 stocks currently in overbought territory: Charter Communications is the most overbought stock in the S & P 500, with a gain of 1% this week and an RSI reading exceeding 99. These are the most oversold names in the S & P 500: Hershey is the most oversold stock of the group, with an RSI of about 13.
Persons: Phillips, Baker Hughes, Johnson Organizations: CNBC Pro, Communications, Williams Companies, Phillips, Hershey, RSI, Humana, Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Johnson Locations: overbought, Bristol
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