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☆ Treasury yields dip as investors await October private payrolls data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 4 basis points to 4.232%, after briefly rising above 4.3% in the previous session to notch its highest level since July. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down over 2 basis points at 4.094%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday, with investors poised to scrutinize economic data for further clues on the rate cut outlook. Ahead of the all-important October jobs report at the end of the week, investors will monitor a fresh batch of economic data on Wednesday. The Fed joined several other major central banks in easing monetary policy when it lowered rates by 50 basis points in September.

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce Department, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed

☆ Mortgage demand stalls as interest rates surge higher ahead of election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Mortgage rates rose last week for the fourth time in five weeks, causing another pullback in refinancing. Total mortgage application volume was essentially flat, falling 0.1% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Government refinances accounted for a large part of the decrease, dropping 12 percent over last week," wrote Joel Kan, an MBA economist, in a release. Real estate brokerages have reported a surge in interest from homebuyers recently, as the supply of homes for sale has increased. Mortgage rates moved higher to start this week.

Persons: Government refinances, Joel Kan, brokerages, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Mortgage News Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, refinances, Government

☆ Gold just keeps breaking records and Goldman says it has another 10% to go
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold's record-breaking rally may have even more room to run, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Lina Thomas forecasts the commodity will rise around 10% by December 2025, hitting the $3,000 threshold in that period. After advancing to a fresh record last week , spot gold reached an all-time high on Wednesday. "We still see significant hedging value in long gold positions in geopolitical or macroeconomic scenarios that are less friendly for equity-bond portfolios than our soft landing base case," she wrote. That said, she anticipates demand moderation could also allow for more upside.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas Organizations: U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, London

☆ S&P 500 futures slip after Microsoft reports; traders brace for key inflation data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel

☆ GDP report: America’s economy is at a historic point ahead of presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.

Persons: That’s, ”, James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are around 6.50%, according to Zillow data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Now that the Fed has cut rates, mortgage rates may not drop much in October.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Trump, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Why the October jobs report on Friday could sink the market's soft-landing narrative
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.

Persons: September's, —, Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI

☆ U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% pace in the third quarter, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. "You've got the perfect combination of strong growth and slowing inflation. The personal savings rate decelerated in the third quarter to 4.8%, down from a 5.2% level that had been revised up sharply.

Persons: Dow Jones, You've, Dan North, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, — Trump Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Treasury, Allianz Trade North America, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican Locations: U.S

☆ Slok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022Apollo Global chief economist Torsten Slok says the data over the past several weeks and months shows the U.S. economy continues to do just fine, and this week's jobs report will go a long way towards what the Fed does next week.

Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Fed, Apollo Global Locations: U.S

☆ The Fed will keep cutting rates in 2025, CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will keep cutting rates in 2025, CIO saysIsaac Poole, chief investment officer at Oreana Financial Services, discusses the U.S. election's potential impact on the economy.

Persons: Isaac Poole Organizations: Oreana Financial Services

☆ Fed should continue on path of reducing interest rates: Fmr. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed should continue on path of reducing interest rates: Fmr. Cleveland Fed President Loretta MesterLoretta Mester, Fmr. Cleveland Fed President & CEO, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what's next for the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Loretta Mester Loretta Mester Organizations: Fed, Cleveland Fed, Federal Reserve Locations: Fmr

☆ We see two post-earnings declines as buys, while happy to see a Tuesday laggard stabilize
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol

☆ Jim Cramer explains how rising bond yields could dampen the market's rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday lamented rising bond yields' effect on the market, saying this action could narrow the rally to tech and diminish broader sector gains. Some on Wall Street were expecting bond yields to decline after the Federal Reserve issued a hefty 50-basis-point cut and indicated there would be more to come over the next several months. Cramer said investors are drawn back to tech stocks as higher rates complicate the growth narratives for economically sensitive corners of the market. In recent months, investors were hoping that lower borrowing costs would help companies — such as those in the industrial sector and other housing-related areas — see an increase in business and, by extension, their stock prices. "If [the bond market] doesn't stop its retreat, then we're going to start questioning the idea that the Fed will keep cutting rates, ushering in a fabulous economy for 2025," Cramer said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq

☆ What the charts are saying about the S&P 500 and Nvidia heading into the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

There is uncertainty abound about the future direction of the stock market heading into what many say is the most important presidential election of our lifetimes. In the elevated volatility levels that began in late September heading into the election. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX in black) trades with an inverse relationship to the S & P 500. As the S & P 500 goes lower, people become fearful as they buy put option protection pushing the general level of option prices (both puts and calls) higher. This creates the inverse relationship of VIX and S & P 500.

Persons: NVDA, we'll, we're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, Schwab Organizations: Nvidia, Google, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA

☆ This is Cramer's favorite stock even though it's down 10% since earnings last week
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Shares of Stanley Black & Decker were pairing some of their post-earnings losses since the Morning Meeting was recorded — down about 9% now. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Larry Fink, bode, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Danaher, Horton, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Club, BlackRock, Home, VF Corp, Pfizer, AMD Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

☆ The disinflationary path will be a lot slower than people anticipate, says Subadra Rajappa
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe disinflationary path will be a lot slower than people anticipate, says Subadra RajappaSubadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of U.S. rate strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, what to make of the volatility in bond market, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Subadra Organizations: Societe Generale

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Bernstein’s Dan SuzukiBernstein’s Dan Suzuki and MAI Capital’s Chris Grisanti, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the yield moves, a potential Fed pause and earnings season.

Persons: Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki, Dan Suzuki, Chris Grisanti Organizations: MAI

☆ The economy is doing better than the Fed expected, says Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is doing better than the Fed expected, says Bernstein’s Dan SuzukiBernstein’s Dan Suzuki and MAI Capital’s Chris Grisanti, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the yield moves, a potential Fed pause and earnings season.

Persons: Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki, Dan Suzuki, Chris Grisanti Organizations: MAI

☆ Big Tech earnings drop this week. Here's what Wall Street is watching.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Big Tech earnings start today, with roughly $12 trillion in market cap reporting over three days. Mark Zuckerberg hasn't shied away from saying his company will keep spending big on AI, and the market hasn't minded. Judging by Meta Connect 2024 and its CTO's comments , the tech giant wants to own the market for AI-powered wearables.

Persons: —, We'll, Insider's Kelly Cloonan, We're, Mark Zuckerberg hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Big Tech, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, AWS, Apple, Apple Intelligence Locations: China, New York, London

☆ Larry Fink says the Fed won't cut interest rates as much as markets expect this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates as much as markets expect because "embedded inflation" is too high, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink said Tuesday, speaking at a CEO-studded panel in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The Biden administration's legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, have pushed those efforts forward. "Today, I think we have governmental policies that are embedded inflationary, and, with that being said, we're not gonna see interest rates as low as people are forecasting," Fink said. The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in September, signaling a turning point in its management of the U.S. economy and in its outlook for inflation. In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings predicted two additional interest rate cuts by the end of 2024, and expect such reductions to continue into 2025.

Persons: Andrew Ross Sorkin, Larry Fink, Saudi Arabia . Fink, " Fink, onshoring, we're, Fink, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, New York Times DealBook, Jazz, Lincoln Center, U.S . Federal, Blackrock, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Biden, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Fed, Fitch, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Standard Chartered Locations: New York City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, China, U.S

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.3% as investors look to key data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.304%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than 1 basis point at 4.146%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield continuing to trade at multi-month highs as investors looked to upcoming economic data. On Tuesday investors will be watching out for fresh consumer confidence insights and home price data as well as the latest JOLTS job openings figures. Those are the first of a series of labor market related data releases slated for the week.

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders, Fed

☆ The Fed is likely to disappoint markets with just one more rate cut this year amid global inflation, BlackRock CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says the Fed will cut rates just once more this year. The market sees two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of the year. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve will disappoint markets by cutting interest rates just one more time in 2024, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said. Fink said the Fed will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year amid a rise in global inflation. The central bank kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis point cut last month.

Persons: Larry Fink, —, Fink, " Fink, we're, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, Fed, Service, Reserve, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs Act, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

☆ GDP report Wednesday expected to show more growth, less inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."

Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ While investors are focused on Big Tech earnings, a homebuilder gives a dire warning
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There could be trouble ahead for consumers and the economy if interest rates don't come down, the latest financial results from D.R. "While mortgage rates have decreased from their highs earlier this year, many potential homebuyers expect rates to be lower in 2025," he said in a statement . Horton year to date The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily . Mortgage rates are tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which has recently spiked higher. For the fiscal fourth quarter that just ended, it reported earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $10 billion.

Persons: Horton, David Auld, LSEG Organizations: Wall, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Toll, Pulte, KB, Home Locations: Arlington , Texas

☆ Cash is no longer king. Here are 3 alternatives investors are trading it for, according to chief money managers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.

Persons: —, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central

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