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A customer places a Japanese 10,000 yen banknote on a checkout counter while making a purchase at an Akidai YK supermarket in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, June 27, 2022. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell on Tuesday, with investors watching August pay and spending data out from Japan and as mainland Chinese markets return to trade. Household spending in Japan fell 1.9% year-on-year in August in real terms, a softer fall compared to the 2.6% decline expected by a Reuters poll of economists. That decline also came before spring wage negotiations delivered the largest pay hikes to unionized Japanese workers in 33 years. However, real wages rose in August, with data from the country's statistics bureau indicating that wages climbed 2% to an average of 574,334 yen ($3,877.44).
Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Tuesday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — October 8, 2024"Mad Money" host and former hedge fund manager, Jim Cramer, provides stock traders with all manner of investing advice.
Persons: Jim Cramer —, Jim Cramer
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday described why it can be difficult for investors to sit on solid stocks. "In the last decade, the toughest thing to do is to hold on to good stocks," he said. Cramer recapped action in the stocks of Apple and Amazon , which received downgrades on Monday — ratings with which Cramer disagreed. Both stocks sold off heavily on Monday, he pointed out, but they recovered by Tuesday — hampering investors' chances of buying back shares if they sold during the previous session. "I need you to understand that when analysts downgrade after stocks have already been hammered, when really good investors ignore the positives, then, it may be a grim time," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, downgrades, Cramer Organizations: Apple
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets are back to contending with rising oil prices, inflation possibly reaccelerating, fewer-than-expected rate cuts and potentially even a distant recession. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little.
Persons: IXIC, Brendan McDermid, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: U.S
Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, , Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's
The dollar clung to seven-week highs against major currencies on Tuesday as investors ponder the outlook for U.S. rates after a strong jobs report last week dashed bets for large rate cuts, while escalating tensions in Middle East dented risk sentiment. Traders have drastically shifted their monetary easing expectations from the Federal Reserve this year. That has kept the dollar on the front foot and surging to a multi-week high against the euro, sterling and the yen. The New Zealand dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.6144 ahead of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday. A majority of economists in a Reuters poll last week said the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut interest rate by 50 basis points.
Persons: Kieran Williams, Louis, Alberto Musalem, Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asia FX, InTouch, Reserve Bank of St, Treasury, Bank of, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Middle East, Asia, China, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Energy traders are betting that Hurricane Milton will spark power outages in Florida. US natural gas futures have fallen 8% in the last three days. Front-month US natural gas futures have dropped 8% over the last three days, from $2.97 to $2.74 per million British thermal units as of Tuesday morning. The price drop comes as the Southeast prepares for Hurricane Milton, which is expected to hit Florida by Wednesday evening. Energy traders have leaned more bullish on natural gas in recent weeks before the latest bout of extreme weather.
Persons: Hurricane Milton, , Helene Organizations: Hurricane, Traders, Service, Energy, Southeast, Florida, Gas, New York Mercantile, Intercontinental Exchanges, Reuters Locations: Florida
Circle-issued USD Coin (USDC) did not hit the market until 2018. "Coinbase and Circle have a revenue sharing agreement — they share 50% of USDC revenue," he said. "If the market cap for USDC goes up revenue for Coinbase will increase as well." The market cap for dollar-backed stablecoins has been hitting all-time-highs in recent weeks after a sharp drop in 2023. Tether makes up more than 70% of the market cap of U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins, according to CryptoQuant.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau, stablecoins Organizations: European Union, CNBC, . Locations: Europe, Crypto
Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Stock futures were little changed on Monday night, following a losing day on Wall Street as rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on markets. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each also traded near flat. The Dow finished nearly 400 points lower, while the S&P 500 slid close to 1%. Bond yields and prices move inversely to each other. But energy names climbed alongside the commodity, making it the only sector of the 11 that comprise the S&P 500 to finish Monday in the green.
Persons: Bond, Larry Tentarelli, you've, They'll, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, West Texas, Boston Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, East, Iran, Israel
Chinese chip stocks gained $13 billion on Monday, led by a 22% rise in shares of SMIC. The gains come as traders expect Beijing to extend stimulus support to the semiconductor industry. AdvertisementChinese chip stocks soared Monday, fueled by hopes that Beijing's next round of stimulus will boost the country's semiconductor industry. The new round of stimulus could include support for its chip companies. China first announced its stimulus measures last month, pledging to rescue the economy from a struggling property sector and weak domestic demand.
Persons: , Beijing's Organizations: Service, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp, CSI Locations: SMIC, Beijing, China, Hong Kong
Market volatility will likely increase from here as the race for the White House enters its final weeks, according to Wolfe Research. Technical strategist Rob Ginsberg tracked the average move of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) during a presidential election year. With momentum rolling over and several sectors seeing healthy pullbacks of late ... we feel the S & P is overdue for another 3 – 4% correction." To be sure, any troubles in the market into Election Day would mark a turn after an unusually strong year. Notably, Bespoke Investment Group found the S & P 500 notched its largest gain over the first nine months of a year since 1997.
Persons: Brace, Rob Ginsberg, bode, Ginsberg, What's Organizations: White, Wolfe Research, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investment, Carson Group Locations: Israel
The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's
Alphadyne Asset Management hired JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen as a commodity index portfolio manager. Hedge funds like Balyasny and Jain Global have poached big bank commodity traders in recent years. Byuen, global head of commodity index trading, joined the bank in 2012 out of college, according to his LinkedIn profile and industry records. More recently, Jain Global, the most hyped new hedge fund launch in years, hired BofA's Max Lee, head of commodity and FX systematic strategy trading. Commodities is a top strategy at the fund, which brought in ex-Macquarie exec David Hochberg to lead the unit.
Persons: JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen, , wasn't, Thomas Byuen, Max Lee, Mike Severo, LMR, Goldman Sachs, Will Scott, Morgan Stanley, Dan Deighton, Balyasny, Deighton's, BofA's Max Lee, David Hochberg Organizations: Asset Management, Jain, Service, Alphadyne, Management, JPMorgan, Verition Fund Management, Balyasny Asset Management, LMR Partners, Commodities, Macquarie Locations: BofA
Why a key borrowing rate is above 4% again
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
New York CNN —A key borrowing rate for American consumers has jumped to a level not seen in months. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note breached 4% on Monday for the first time since August. The 10-year yield closed at 3.98% on Friday, up from 3.85% on Thursday. The 10-year yield tracks the rate on everything from mortgages to student loans to car loans, leaving consumers looking to borrow for big-ticket purchases with elevated costs. Investors will parse the Consumer Price Index report for September and wholesale inflation figures.
Persons: , Karl Schamotta Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Solutions, Fed Locations: New York
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese investors are looking for more policy direction from China's top economic planning body on Tuesday, when mainland markets return from a week-long holiday. Before the week-long holiday, authorities unveiled a flurry of stimulus policies, including interest rate cuts, lower cash reserve requirements at banks, looser property purchase rules and liquidity support for stock markets. Chinese major indexes have surged over 25% as investors cheer on the barrage of stimulus measures. Last week, China's CSI 300 blue-chip index extended a nine-day winning streak, surging over 8% Monday, before the market closed for a week-long holiday. Now the government needs to add fiscal stimulus to maintain the rally's momentum, said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Zheng Shanjie, Erica Tay, Tuesday's presser, Shaun Rein, Rein, Adek Berry, Lynn Song, Song, Gary Ng Organizations: Shoppers, Bloomberg, Getty Images, National Development, Reform, State Council, CSI, SGX FTSE, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Ministry, Finance, China Market Research, AFP, Getty, ING Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, SGX FTSE China, Tuesday's, Xicheng, Greater China, Shenzhen
U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed future moves from the Federal Reserve following Friday's bumper jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by under a basis point at 3.984%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was over 3 basis points higher at 3.968%. One basis point equals 0.01%. Treasury yields jumped on Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates that traders are now pricing in an 91% chance of a quarter percentage point rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in November.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors Locations: Israel
Watch Monday's full episode of Fast Money — October 7, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Monday's full episode of Fast Money — October 7, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.
Persons: Melissa Lee
Gaza in Ruins After a Year of War
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Raja Abdulrahim | Helmuth Rosales | Bilal Shbair | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +20 min
Jabaliya Gaza City Gaza Strip Israel Mediterranean Sea Khan Younis Egypt Jabaliya Gaza City Gaza Strip Israel Mediterranean Sea Khan Younis Egypt Jabaliya Gaza City Gaza Strip Mediterranean Sea Israel Khan Younis EgyptGaza in Ruins After a Year of War Much of Gaza has been destroyed by Israel’s relentless military campaign. Sea Gaza Strip Israel Egypt Gaza City 74% of buildings have been likely damaged or destroyed. Gaza City, the strip’s capital, is home to the ancient Old City, as well as Al-Rimal, a once-vibrant, upper-middle-class neighborhood. Omar Al-Mukhtar Street, Gaza City Before Fouad Abu JasserThe park was a gathering place for rallies and protests. Omar Al-Mukhtar Street, Gaza City After AFPNot far away, the Rashaad Shawa center, which housed the oldest library in the Gaza Strip, has been severely damaged.
Persons: Khan, Khan Younis, Israel Egypt Khan Younis, Abu Kayan, Mamdouh Aljbour, , Ahmed Abu, Bilal Shbair, Belal Barbakh, Barbakh, Hamada, Sisters Asan, Elan, Abdulraouf Barbakh, , Barbakh’s, Jamal Subuh’s, Subuh, Jamal, Jamal Subuh, nourishing Gazans, Dina, Reuters Ahmed Abu Sultan, Mr, Abu Sultan, , Omari, Omar Al, Mukhtar, Riyad Al, Masri, Al, Rimal, Gazans, Fouad Abu Jasser, Shawerma Al, Sheikh Omar Al, wasn’t, Ahmed Emqat, Ihsan Abdo, Husam Skeek, Jabaliya, Nahed Al, Fatima Hussein, Ahmed Jawda, Assali, Jawda Organizations: Hamas, Cream, Citadel, Sisters, Facebook, Agricultural Organization, Byzantine, Reuters, Reuters Al, AFP, Palestine, Med, Israel Egypt Jabaliya, AFP Al, Times, Bank, Gazans Locations: Israel, Gaza, Egypt, Khan Younis Egypt Gaza, New York City, Gaza City, Med, Israel Egypt, Khan, Facebook, Farra, Jamal, Israel Egypt Gaza, Old City, Gaza . Old City, Omari, Al, Aqsa, Jerusalem, Riyad, Palestine, Gazans, Jabaliya, Jabaliya’s Al
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates have inched up after dropping in September. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: they're, they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Monday's full episode of Mad Money with Jim Cramer — October 7, 2024"Mad Money" host and former hedge fund manager, Jim Cramer, provides stock traders with all manner of investing advice.
Persons: Jim Cramer —, Jim Cramer
A couple of analyst downgrades are making the rounds Monday on megacap stocks that rarely see ratings cuts: Apple and Amazon. At Jefferies, analysts downgraded Apple to a hold but increased the price target to $213 apiece from $205. It also presents a problem for investors who see the downgrades as a reason to sell some shares. After all, you'll be hard-pressed to find companies anywhere more in charge of their own destinies than Apple, Amazon — or any of the Super Six (Meta, Nvidia, Alphabet, Microsoft). Apple and Amazon aren't where they are because of luck, but rather because they make their own luck.
Persons: downgrades, They're, Jim Cramer, I'm, Jim, you've, it's, Philip Fisher, Apple, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Jefferies, Apple, CNBC, Apple Intelligence, Wells, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Fifth, Santiago, Getty Locations: Wells, New York City
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on October 03, 2024 in New York City. Stocks @ Night is a daily newsletter delivered after hours, giving you a first look at tomorrow and last look at today. Sign up for free to receive it directly in your inbox. Here's what CNBC TV's producers were watching as stocks slid on Monday, and what's on the radar for the next session.
Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC Locations: New York City
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