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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO saysMark Haefele, CIO at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and markets.
Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: Tech, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
These are the kinds of questions used by the University of Michigan to calculate the Consumer Sentiment Index, an economic indicator measuring how people feel about the economy. That survey and others show there is a pervasive sense of disconnect between the overall economic picture and how people feel about the economy. Despite slowing inflation, a healthy labor market with record-low unemployment, and stocks that remain in a bull market, consumer sentiment remains below pre-pandemic levels. "People don't tend to think in terms of inflation—economists do," said Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management. Normal people think in terms of price levels."
Persons: Joanne Hsu, Paul Donovan Organizations: University of Michigan, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "That's a win for stocks," Jim Cramer said Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, should've, Jim, — Stanley Black, Decker, Linde, TJX, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Fed, Coterra Energy, Apple, UBS, TJX Companies, LIN Locations: China, TJX, HomeGoods
UBS upgrades TJX to buy from neutral
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS upgrades TJX to buy from neutralJay Sole, UBS managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the gain from department stores will be more significant than previously thought if the balance between e-commerce and brick and mortar is net-negative optically, and more.
Persons: Jay Sole Organizations: UBS
UBS upgrades Burlington to neutral from sell UBS said the outlook for Burlington is improving. Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy After a change in analyst coverage, the firm says it's standing by its buy rating. UBS upgrades TJX Companies to buy from neutral UBS says the off-price retailer is a "growth stock with surprising upside." UBS downgrades CVS to neutral from buy UBS said it sees too much uncertainty for shares of CVS. JPMorgan upgrades Carvana to overweight from neutral JPMorgan upgraded Carvana following earnings on Wednesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ferrari, Mizuho, C27E, BURL, Jefferies, Rosenblatt, TD Cowen downgrades Wolfspeed, Cowen, Raymond James, Parsons, Ziff Davis, KBW, Piper Sandler, Cantor Fitzgerald, Tesla, Cantor, it's bullish Organizations: Nvidia, Mizuho, UBS, Netflix, Networks, Enterprise, Jefferies, CTV, TJX Companies, Department Stores, CVS, JPMorgan, Susquehanna, MGM, Bank of America, Community Bank, Piper, NYCB, ~$ Locations: Burlington, Las Vegas
London CNN —Ariana Grande, Adele and Rihanna will soon be back on TikTok, joining Taylor Swift after a deal with Universal Music Group ended a feud that saw one of the world’s biggest record labels pull its music from the video platform. The licensing agreement, announced Wednesday, means that within one to two weeks TikTok’s 1 billion-plus users will be able to use music by UMG artists in their videos. All videos featuring Universal artists’ music that had previously been muted because of copyright violations will be unmuted. “We are pleased to have found a path forward with Universal Music Group,” TikTok CEO Shou Chew said in a joint statement. Universal pulled its music off TikTok in February after the two companies failed to reach an agreement on royalty fees for Universal’s artists, who also include Lady Gaga, Coldplay and Justin Bieber.
Persons: London CNN — Ariana Grande, Adele, Rihanna, Taylor Swift, Michael Nash, Shou Chew, Lady Gaga, Coldplay, Justin Bieber, TikTok, Organizations: London CNN, Universal Music Group, , UBS, Universal, TikTok, Poets Department Locations: TikTok
Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve
Apple's China sales in focus ahead of earnings
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
In February, Apple said it expected sales similar to last year's $94.84 billion during the same period and flat iPhone sales. In the December quarter, sales dropped 13% in Greater China, which includes Hong Kong and Taiwan. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $15.25 billion in China regional sales, which would be a 14% year-over-year decline. "In strong iPhone cycles, Apple's China revenues typically grow much faster than Apple overall, as Chinese consumers embrace the new phone," Sacconaghi wrote. Meanwhile, state statistics show iPhone sales falling 33% in February, the second consecutive month of declining shipments.
Persons: Tim Cook, Deirdre O'Brien, Apple, AAPL, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, David Vogt, Aaron Rakers, There's, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring Organizations: Apple, Analysts, FactSet, Huawei, Chinese Communist Party, Counterpoint Research, UBS Locations: China, Greater China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, repurchases
Thursday's analyst calls feature upgrades to discount retailers TJX and Burlington and used car outlet Carvana, while there was more bad news for CVS Health following a tough earnings report Wednesday. He also raised his price target to $130 from $70, or 49.2% above Wednesday's close price. He lowered his price target by $25 to $60, or just 5.6% higher from Wednesday's close price. Analyst Jay Sole also lifted his price target to $132 from $104, indicating nearly 41% upside from Wednesday's close. He raised his price target to $212 from $126, suggesting shares could gain 19.1% from where they closed Wednesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Moore, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Tal Liani, Liani, — Hakyung Kim, JPMorgan Carvana, Rajat Gupta, Gupta, Kevin Caliendo, Caliendo, Jay Sole, Sole, BURL, — Hakyung Kim —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, CVS Health, UBS, CVS, JPMorgan, Qualcomm, Wall Street, Samsung, Huawei, Edge, headwinds, " Bank of America, Microsoft, Burlington Discount, TJX Companies, Burlington Stores, Burlington Locations: Burlington, Carvana, CY24, seasonality, optionality, Maxx
Spain's BBVA takes aim again at $10 billion Sabadell
  + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The headquarters of the Spanish bank BBVA are seen in Madrid, Spain. Talk of a tie-up between Spain's second and fourth-largest banks comes almost four years after previous negotiations collapsed. The potential merger follows a period of consolidation in the sector as Spanish banks seek to cut costs and boost scale. For BBVA, a tie-up would boost its domestic business and increase lending to small and medium-sized companies, where Sabadell is strong. Spain's Economy Minister Carlos Cuerpo told Spanish news agency EFE that it was essential to preserve a competitive landscape in the financial sector.
Persons: BBVA's, Onur Genc, Carlos Torres, Joaquin Robles, JP Morgan, Carlos Cuerpo, EFE Organizations: BBVA, Sabadell, XTB, Unicaja, UBS, JPMorgan Locations: Spanish, Madrid, Spain, Santander's
In an effort to navigate a market that remains highly concentrated under Big Tech's dominance, but also ripe for stock pickers, Barclays has dozens of stocks that share similar characteristics to the tech heavyweights. However, some select Big Tech remained fairly strong throughout the sell-off, with stocks like Alphabet and Apple bucking the downtrend. While Big Tech valuations still appear reasonable to Barclays analyst Venu Krishna, he pointed out that they're "not the only game in town," and suggested investors diversify their portfolios to beat their benchmarks. Yet, market returns, earnings upside, and institutional investor exposure remain highly concentrated in Big Tech," Krishna said in a Tuesday note. Aside from allowing investors to diversify, these stocks come with strong fundamentals based on profitability, balance sheet strength, cash conversion, and growth-adjusted valuation characteristics that closely resemble those of Big Tech stocks, the firm said.
Persons: Venu Krishna, Krishna, Dennis Geiger, Geiger, outperformance, Adrienne Yih, Yih, Goldman, TJX Organizations: Barclays, Big Tech, Inter, UBS, Software, Oracle, Arista Networks, JPMorgan, Arista, TJX Companies, Goods Locations: Big Tech, SPX, Ulta
But Deutsche kept its $89 price target, which suggests the stock could gain just 0.6%, as of Tuesday's close. Starbucks stock hasn't logged a positive year since 2021. Bank of America's Sara Senatore maintained her buy rating and $108 price target, which implies roughly 22% potential upside — a fairly bullish aim compared with other firms. Underpinning Senatore's stance is her expectation that Starbucks' earnings growth will reaccelerate in 2025, fueled by traffic-driving initiatives, such as more menu innovation and operational improvements. JPMorgan analyst John Ivankoe kept his overweight rating but moved his price target lower to $92 from $100.
Persons: William Blair, Sharon Zackfia, Zackfia, Lauren Silberman, Deutsche, Wells, Bank of America's Sara Senatore, Laxman Narasimhan, John Ivankoe Organizations: Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, UBS, Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: Tuesday's, U.S, China, Wells Fargo, Israel
Investors can lock in some juicy real yields with Treasury inflation-protected securities, according to UBS. "The result has been rising real yields further out the curve, offering the opportunity to lock in attractive real yields ahead of expected falling nominal yields later this year," she added. Treasury yields are expected to decline when the Federal Reserve starts reducing the fed funds rate. Nominal yields have been rising as the market reassesses those interest rate expectations. "Our expectation of declining nominal yields in the second half of the year will be a tailwind to performance," she said.
Persons: Leslie Falconio Organizations: Treasury, UBS, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department Locations: UBS Americas
Bank of America reiterates Tesla as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on the electric-vehicle maker. "We maintain our Buy rating and raise our PT from $1100 to $1,150." "We are initiating coverage of Live Nation with a Buy rating and $120 price target." "We are initiating coverage on EE with an Overweight rating." "We are initiating coverage of Integral Ad Science with a Buy rating and a $15 price target."
Persons: Tesla, TSLA, Morgan Stanley, Oppenheimer, Raymond James, Mizuho, Airbnb, Coinbase, Needham, Stephens, Jefferies, Ralph Lauren, Chegg Organizations: Argus, Boeing, " Bank of America, Bank of America, UBS, Nvidia, Dyne, JPMorgan, Catalyst Watch, Apple, Mizuho, Citi, BTC, Ethereum, Paramount, CBS, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Excelerate Energy, Stephens, Barclays, UMB, Corp, Contineum Locations: Base, Kansas City
Amazon 's earnings report on Tuesday evening will give investors insight into two of the biggest stories on Wall Street — the resilient U.S. consumer and the artificial intelligence boom. Wall Street is generally optimistic about Amazon, as more than 90% of analysts have a buy or strong buy rating on the stock, according to LSEG. Several other tech companies, including Alphabet , have already reported strong advertising numbers for the first quarter. "We increase our Amazon advertising outlook following the impressive 2H23 performance and encouraging industry checks. On a ~55% margin, Advertising [earnings before interest and taxes] moves from $26B in FY23 to $41B in FY26," MoffettNathanson analyst Michael Morton said in an April 22 note.
Persons: Stephen Ju, Brian Pitz, Pitz, Michael Morton, Amazon's, Morton, MoffettNathanson, Ju, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Amazon, Services, AWS, UBS, prem, BMO
Tuesday's analyst calls focused on red-hot tech giant Nvidia, which is seen as benefitting from the release of its new Blackwell chip, the GB200. 7:02 a.m.: Deutsche Bank sees 33% upside for Live Nation on strong fundamentals Strong fundamentals could spell further upside for shares of Live Nation Entertainment , according to Deutsche Bank. Soff also applauded the company for expanding into new add-on services, including providing upselling opportunities and selling advertising on the Live Nation app. Although a potential regulatory investigation could curtail the stock, Soff doesn't believe that Live Nation stock will ultimately take much damage. 6:03 a.m.: Jefferies initiates Ralph Lauren at a buy, sees momentum with younger consumers Ralph Lauren is shaping up to be a quality growth stock, according to Jefferies.
Persons: Blackwell, Jefferies, Ralph Lauren, Benjamin Soff's, Soff, shouldn't, — Lisa Kailai Han, Airbnb, James Lee, Lee's, headwinds, Brent Thrill, Ashley Helgans, Ralph Lauren's, Helgans, Taylor Swift, Timothy Acuri, Acuri, Hopper, — Lisa Kailai Han — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Nation, Live Nation Entertainment, Mizuho, Paris, tailwinds, Paris Olympics, Chegg, Blackwell, Microsoft, Oracle Locations: Europe
As fast-food prices increase, customers are finding more value in chain restaurants. Chains like Chili's are rolling out deals and portion sizes that could best fast-food chains. Chili's new Big Smasher burger is the latest offensive move in the value wars. The Big Smasher burger, Chili's newest menu item, was served in the company's test kitchen before its official launch on April 29. And if the sheer size and taste of the Chili's burger are anything to go by, it has a shot at beating fast-food chains in the value wars.
Persons: , margarita, It's, Applebee's, John Peyton, Cate Gillon, Ian Borden, Scott Rodrick, Chris Kempczinski, Borden, McDonald's, Erin McDowell, We've, we've, Brian Paquette, Paquette, Big, Chili's, Richard Levine, Corbis, Felix Organizations: Service, Dallas, Mac, Business, Dine, Restaurant, UBS Global Consumer, Retail Conference, CNN, CBS News, Getty, Bloomberg Locations: New York, New York City, California, , New York
From deeps rate cuts to a potential rate hike in 2024, one firm has changed its forecast in a big way. Macquarie said the resilient economy means potential interest rate cuts won't happen until 2025. Assuming the central bank moves the federal funds rate down by 25 basis point increments, that would equate to nine interest rate cuts just this year. AdvertisementThat lack of economic weakness has led to a stark shift in interest rate forecasts, with even the Federal Reserve suggesting that its initial projections of three interest rate cuts this year could dwindle to one rate cut or even none. That could be a double whammy for a stock market that had been largely fixated on interest rate cuts this year.
Persons: Macquarie, , David Doyle, Neil Shankar, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS
Rich families across the globe are concerned about how to prepare their children to manage their wealth, but few are doing anything about it. According to a survey by JPMorgan, 69% of ultra-wealthy families cite succession planning as a top priority. That said, she attributed some of the reluctance to many of these family offices being formed within the past 10 or even five years. "Conversations about wealth can be challenging and, in our experience, families often have found it difficult to get started," she told Business Insider. Only 15% of family offices with at least $1 billion in assets kept heirs unaware compared with 27% for firms with $50 million to $500 million.
Persons: Rich, Elisa Shevlin Rizzo, Goldman Sachs, Ackah, Edward Jones Organizations: JPMorgan, Business, Forbes, UBS
Tirzepatide is the active ingredient in both Eli Lilly's diabetes treatment Mounjaro and its anti-obesity drug Zepbound. Based on that calculation, earnings will be lower by about 13 cents per share, he said, in research published last Tuesday. "Strong demand for Mounjaro & Zepbound can easily pull through in 2H24 and make up for any 1H24 shortfalls." For the week ended April 19, combined prescriptions of Mounjaro and Zepbound rose 63% year over year, according to IQVIA. Wells Fargo Mohit Bansal said he expects investors to look past any Trulicity shortfalls as the focus is firmily on Zepbound and Mounjaro for Lilly's future growth.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eli, James Shin, Lilly, Shin, David Risinger, Zepbound, Wells, Bansal, Jo Walton, Walton, Lilly's, Tirzepatide, Deutsche Bank's Shin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Drug Administration, Deutsche Bank, IMS, UBS, Research, Deutsche, FDA Locations: 2H24, U.S
It's the busiest week of the earnings season, and it could have major consequences for the stock market. This quarter: The fast-food giant is expected to report single-digit earnings and revenue growth from the year-earlier period, LSEG shows. Amazon is set to report earnings after the close. What history shows: Pfizer earnings beat earnings expectations 87% of the time, per Bespoke. Thursday Apple is set to report earnings after the bell.
Persons: Jeffrey Bernstein, Bernstein, JPMorgan's Andrea Teixeira, Teixeira, AMZN, Joseph Feldman, Feldman, AAPL, , Apple Organizations: Apple, Pfizer, IBM, CNBC, Barclays, Investment, Management, AWS, Amazon, pharma, Food and Drug Administration, UBS Locations: China
Some of Wall Street's favorite stocks are due to report their latest earnings in the week ahead. As of Friday, 77% of companies that have reported topped analyst estimates for their quarterly earnings, according to FactSet. To find stocks reporting next week that might see a post-earnings rise in valuation, CNBC Pro screened for names that Wall Street analysts recommend and that have earnings momentum at their back. Mastercard has seen earnings estimates rise by 12% in the past three months, and 20% over the past six months. Analysts have raised the Silicon Valley real estate investment trust's earnings estimates by 29% over the past three and six months.
Persons: Wall, FactSet, Ronald Josey, Josey, GenAI, TD Cowen, Bryan Bergin, Equinix, , Fred Imbert Organizations: Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Wall, Companies, Amazon Web Services, UBS, Citi, Mastercard
Analysts from major firms, ranging from UBS to Bank of America, were encouraged by accelerated growth in Google Search, Cloud and YouTube seen in the previous quarter. GOOGL YTD mountain Google stock this year. Sandler kept his overweight rating and increased his price target by $27 to $200, which implies 28% potential upside from Thursday's close. Jefferies's Brent Thill maintained his buy rating and upped his price target by $20 to $200, saying shares are trading at an attractive valuation. His target price suggests only about 11% potential upside from Thursday's close.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Ross Sandler's, Sandler, Jefferies's Brent Thill, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Justin, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski Organizations: Google, UBS, Bank of America, YouTube, JPMorgan, Barclays, , buybacks, & &
The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, , MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, , ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, , ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine
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