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European stocks took a hit as China's stock rally lost momentum. A lack of new stimulus details from China has affected the luxury sector. AdvertisementEuropean stocks took a hit on Tuesday as China's stock rally cooled following a lack of much-awaited details about how the government plans to support economic growth in the country. Investors were expecting the National Development and Reform Commission, China's top economic planner, to provide fresh information regarding stimulus plans at a press conference on Tuesday. Luxury brands have seen sales suffer in China in recent months amid the country's economic slowdown.
Persons: , Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Gucci, Burberry, Kering, Marc Jacobs Organizations: Service, Investors, National Development, Reform Commission, Louis, Burberry Locations: China, LVMH, Asia, Japan, Pacific
China's stock markets surged post-National Day break, driven by pent-up investor demand. Investors are assessing further economic stimulus measures from Beijing. AdvertisementChina's stock markets surged on Tuesday on pent-up demand from a weeklong trading break. Even before Tuesday's opening, China's social media was abuzz with what the stock markets may hold following the weeklong public holiday break. On Tuesday, hashtags about mainland China's stock market rushed to the top of Weibo's trending list.
Persons: , Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Service, Beijing's, CSI, National Development, Reform Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, hashtags
Nonfarm payrolls added 254,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage points. "It was a very good report across every indicator in there," said Aaron Sojourner, a senior researcher at the W.E. As they barnstorm across battleground states, Harris and Trump paint dueling pictures of the U.S. labor market. Jim Watson | AFP | Getty ImagesThe jobs report adds to a flurry of good economic news in recent weeks, with metrics that could potentially amount to the best economic upswing in decades. Following the jobs report blowout, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed out last week at a fresh all-time high of 42,352.75.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, payrolls, Dow, Aaron Sojourner, Harris, Trump, Jim Watson, I've, Mark Zandi, Biden, Clinton, Justin Wolfers, stoking Organizations: . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Trump, CBS, Republican, Ryder Center for Health, Physical Education, Saginaw Valley State University, AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, chipmaker Micron Technology, Oracle Locations: U.S, Michigan, America, Saginaw, Saginaw , Michigan
The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?
Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Market volatility will likely increase from here as the race for the White House enters its final weeks, according to Wolfe Research. Technical strategist Rob Ginsberg tracked the average move of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) during a presidential election year. With momentum rolling over and several sectors seeing healthy pullbacks of late ... we feel the S & P is overdue for another 3 – 4% correction." To be sure, any troubles in the market into Election Day would mark a turn after an unusually strong year. Notably, Bespoke Investment Group found the S & P 500 notched its largest gain over the first nine months of a year since 1997.
Persons: Brace, Rob Ginsberg, bode, Ginsberg, What's Organizations: White, Wolfe Research, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investment, Carson Group Locations: Israel
But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.
Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, , Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, , there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
US stocks fell Monday as bond yields and oil prices moved higher. The rise in oil prices and solid September jobs report has revived inflation concerns. Friday's release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields. AdvertisementMeanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel. The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Organizations: PepsiCo, Service, Treasury, Israel, Federal Reserve, Amazon, Epic, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Hurricane Milton, Wells
Stock futures were little changed on Monday night, following a losing day on Wall Street as rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on markets. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each also traded near flat. The Dow finished nearly 400 points lower, while the S&P 500 slid close to 1%. Bond yields and prices move inversely to each other. But energy names climbed alongside the commodity, making it the only sector of the 11 that comprise the S&P 500 to finish Monday in the green.
Persons: Bond, Larry Tentarelli, you've, They'll, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, West Texas, Boston Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, East, Iran, Israel
Chinese chip stocks gained $13 billion on Monday, led by a 22% rise in shares of SMIC. The gains come as traders expect Beijing to extend stimulus support to the semiconductor industry. AdvertisementChinese chip stocks soared Monday, fueled by hopes that Beijing's next round of stimulus will boost the country's semiconductor industry. The new round of stimulus could include support for its chip companies. China first announced its stimulus measures last month, pledging to rescue the economy from a struggling property sector and weak domestic demand.
Persons: , Beijing's Organizations: Service, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp, CSI Locations: SMIC, Beijing, China, Hong Kong
AdvertisementVarious Chinese ministries and local governments are likely to roll out a variety of stimulus measures in the coming weeks — useful or not, they added. China still has a massive property problem that's unlikely to be solved with one set of stimulus measures. China's stock markets, which are dominated by retail investors fixated on social media, are blistering hot. China's stock markets are closed for weeklong National Day public holidays and are set to reopen on Tuesday. "Stimulus measures could add more fuel to the fire when stock markets are already heated.
Persons: , it's, Nomura, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Ben Harburg, Larry Hu, Hu, Magdalena Polan, Polan, China's Organizations: Service, Global Data.TS, , MSA, Macquarie Group, CSI, Nomura Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Beijing, Harburg
U.S. economy is on a 'decelerating trend,' Invesco says
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. economy is on a 'decelerating trend,' Invesco saysPaul Jackson, global head of asset allocation research at Invesco, discusses the U.S. stock market.
Persons: Invesco, Paul Jackson Organizations: U.S
A stock trader looks at his monitors in the trading room of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Worries about a new coronavirus mutation in southern Africa have dealt a major blow to the German stock market. LONDON — European stocks are expected to start the new trading week on a positive note, buoyed by gains in Asia overnight and last Friday's rally on Wall Street. European stocks look set to continue the positive sentiment seen at the close of trade last week, with markets getting a boost from the latest U.S. jobs report that exceeded expectations. Nonfarm payrolls data showed the U.S. economy added 254,000 jobs in September, ahead of the 150,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Dow Jones Organizations: Frankfurt Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG Locations: Africa, Asia, U.S
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
US stocks fell Monday as investors assessed interest rate moves after Friday's strong jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4% for the first time since late July. Investors will focus on earnings season and the upcoming September CPI report this week. AdvertisementUS stocks dipped to start the week as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates following the strong September jobs report. The September CPI report is also on the economic calendar this week, set to be released on Thursday.
Persons: Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Investors, PepsiCo, Here's
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese investors are looking for more policy direction from China's top economic planning body on Tuesday, when mainland markets return from a week-long holiday. Before the week-long holiday, authorities unveiled a flurry of stimulus policies, including interest rate cuts, lower cash reserve requirements at banks, looser property purchase rules and liquidity support for stock markets. Chinese major indexes have surged over 25% as investors cheer on the barrage of stimulus measures. Last week, China's CSI 300 blue-chip index extended a nine-day winning streak, surging over 8% Monday, before the market closed for a week-long holiday. Now the government needs to add fiscal stimulus to maintain the rally's momentum, said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Zheng Shanjie, Erica Tay, Tuesday's presser, Shaun Rein, Rein, Adek Berry, Lynn Song, Song, Gary Ng Organizations: Shoppers, Bloomberg, Getty Images, National Development, Reform, State Council, CSI, SGX FTSE, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Ministry, Finance, China Market Research, AFP, Getty, ING Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, SGX FTSE China, Tuesday's, Xicheng, Greater China, Shenzhen
China's stock investors and watchers are discussing the markets before they reopen. AdvertisementChina's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break. AdvertisementChina's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about 70% of trading volume. Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares. China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Twitter, Weibo, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: China, Mainland, Beijing, Weibo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
The stimulus measures should have come far sooner, says Lun, but better late than never. Beijing has largely held back on unveiling fiscal measures, which can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending. Another one trillion yuan may be set aside for recapitalizing banks or helping indebted local governments to issue bonds. Jia said China’s economy had expanded sufficiently since then to support the issuance of Treasury bond financing between four trillion to 10 trillion yuan. Any meaningful stimulus measures must tackle the problem of oversupply in the property market, experts said.
Persons: Francis Lun, he’s, Lun, , we’re, Juliana Liu, Ray Dalio, Pan Gongsheng, Li Yunze, Wu Qing, Pan, Jing Liu, it’s, Xi, Jia Kang, Jia, Chi Lo Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Index, CNN, Geo Securities, Nikko Asset Management, Bridgewater Associates, National Development Reform Commission, People’s Bank of China, Financial Regulatory, China Securities Regulatory, HSBC, Reuters, Ministry, Finance, Ministry of Finance, China Academy of New, Barclays, BNP, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Causeway, Beijing, Renhuai
Investors expect S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.6% as the stock market trades near record highs. Key themes to watch for include AI adoption, consumer health, and the impact of lower interest rates. AdvertisementEarnings season is fast approaching, and investors have a lot to be on the lookout for as companies report third-quarter results. AdvertisementIn addition to the actual earnings figures, investors will be monitoring key themes as company executives offer guidance during earnings calls. Hainlin said he is encouraged by continued growth in consumer spending as credit card defaults "are within normal levels" and the holiday shopping season is right around the corner.
Persons: Wells, , Michael Dickson, Tom Hainlin, they're, John Belton, There's, Dickson, delinquencies, Hainlin Organizations: PepsiCo, JPMorgan, Service, Wells, Investments, Business, Wall Street, Bank Wealth Management, Aerospace, Defense, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet
Nonetheless, investors could benefit by ignoring short-term noise and tracking the recommendations of top Wall Street analysts to pick stocks with attractive long-term growth potential. (See CYBR Hedge Fund Activity on TipRanks)Uber TechnologiesWe move to the ride-sharing and food delivery platform Uber Technologies (UBER). After hosting meetings with the company's management, JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth reaffirmed a buy rating on UBER stock with a price target of $95. Uber expects its grocery ad business to account for 5% of gross bookings over time. (See UBER Stock Buybacks on TipRanks)Meta PlatformsThis week's third stock pick is social media company Meta Platforms (META).
Persons: Matthew Hedberg, Hedberg, TipRanks, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Uber, Baird, Colin Sebastian, Sebastian, Claude, OpenAI's ChatGPT Organizations: Wall, RBC Capital, TAM, JPMorgan, Mobility, Meta, Meta Connect, Reality Labs
After all of these years, after all of the rather incredible rallies and gains in the stock market from so many groups, the typical morning still starts with a bevy of negativity. We hear about OpenAI and its brilliant $167 billion valuation , but we don't see any stock available to public-market investors. I have been furious at myself for thinking the Chinese government couldn't do anything about the country's struggling stock market. The Chinese stock market has been rallying nicely since the stimulus announcements. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: , Elon Musk, he's, isn't, Carl Quintanilla, David Tepper, holler, That's, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Fed, SpaceX, Nike, Walgreens, CVS Health, Club, GE Healthcare, Wynn Resorts, Chinese Communist Party, Apple, PDD Holdings, JD.com, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Exxon Mobil, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, China, , New York City
Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.
Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City
Josh Brown Photo: Duncan HillJosh Brown once had this idea that in order to be a financial advisor, you needed to be buttoned up and fit a particular mold. Throughout his new book, "You Weren’t Supposed To See That: Secrets Every Investor Should Know," Brown encourages investors to look beyond the surface level of financial advice you see in traditional and social media. "The hidden truth about American-style capitalism is that if everybody is good all at once, the whole thing breaks down. Gen Z doesn't need financial planning advice. 'Gen Z doesn't need financial planning advice'
Persons: Josh Brown, Duncan Hill Josh Brown, Brown, Joshua Brown, Ana Teresa Solá, James Moock, Gen, They're, they've, X, Let's Organizations: CNBC, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Finance, New York Stock Exchange, ATS Locations: New York City
AdvertisementCorporate earnings are on pace for their best non-pandemic year since 2018, and market strategists expect the party to continue in the upcoming earnings season and into 2025. "There's not always a one-for-one relationship between economic growth and earnings growth," Reynolds said. "You can still see earnings growth at a pretty robust level, even if economic growth moderates to some extent. "That could be a little bit of a headwind for the market," Saglimbene said. That's a normal earnings growth kind of environment, and I think that's enough to continue to push the market higher."
Persons: , Mike Reynolds, Anthony Saglimbene, He's, Saglimbene, Joe Quinlan — who's, Bank of America —, Quinlan, Reynolds, it's, Andrew Slimmon, Jim Baird, Plante, Michael Smith, Smith, There's, Slimmon, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Ameriprise, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Financial, Allspring Global Investments, Bears Locations: what's
The yen carry trade unwind in August led to a temporary market pullback and recovery. AdvertisementThe foreign exchange market has been eerily quiet since the yen carry trade unwind. Much of the moves from the yen carry unwinding witnessed in August happened at this layer, Barrett said. But what we've seen in the yen carry trade is only the beginning, Barrett said. "Now, you may not think that's a yen carry trade, but it's absolutely the purest yen carry trade because all of that pension fund money started off as yen," Barrett said.
Persons: , David Barrett, allocators, unwinding, Barrett, It's, it's, Harris, David, Trump Organizations: Service, EBC Financial, Bank of, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Nvidia Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan
One financial firm is trying to capitalize on preferred stocks – which carry more risks than bonds, but aren't as risky as common stocks. Infrastructure Capital Advisors Founder and CEO Jay Hatfield manages the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (PFFA) . Since its May 2018 inception, the Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF is down almost 9%.
Persons: Jay Hatfield, we're, CNBC's, Hatfield Organizations: Infrastructure Capital, Virtus InfraCap U.S, Preferred Stock ETF, SLM Corporation, Preferred
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