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Investors will need to be tactical to harvest returns from commodities next year but there is an area where J.P. Morgan is making a broadly bullish call — precious metals. The firm expects a breakout rally the middle of 2024 with gold prices hitting a targeted peak of $2,300 an ounce, according to the investment bank's commodities outlook. Silver, meanwhile, will push above $30 per ounce on the rate cutting cycle, according to J.P. Morgan. The global economy is expected to slow, but will avoid a recession from 2024 to 2025, making it difficult to provide an overarching bullish or bearish call on commodities, according to the bank. There is value in oil and gas but how investors time their entry and exits will be critical, according to J.P. Morgan.
Persons: Morgan, Gold, Brent, J.P Organizations: Federal, Bloomberg, Precious Metals, Commodities, Morgan, New York Mercantile Exchange, Livestock Locations: Agriculture, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGraphite supply chains outside China are evolving right now, analyst saysMichael Widmer, head of metals research at BofA Global Research, discusses China's export restrictions on graphite — a key material in electric vehicle batteries.
Persons: Michael Widmer Organizations: BofA Global Research Locations: China
Spot gold rose 0.3% at $2,042.58 per ounce by 0621 GMT on Friday, and is up about 2% for the week so far. The metal rose $60 in November in its second straight monthly gain. Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending rose moderately in October, while the annual increase in inflation was the smallest in more than 2-1/2 years. "However, month-end flow may have also been a factor, and seasonality tends to favour gains for gold between November and December," City Index's Simpson added. Spot silver and platinum edged up 0.1% to $25.29 and $927.44 per ounce, respectively, while palladium rose 0.4% to $1,011.65.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Powell, Matt Simpson, CME's, Index's Simpson, Hugo Pascal, Harshit Verma, Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
BRUSSELS, Nov 30 (Reuters) - EU countries are digging in against parts of the Commission's latest proposed package of sanctions on Russia, namely the so-called "no Russia clause", retaliatory financial limits and dual-use goods for personal use, six sources said. The package, which would be the bloc's 12th since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, also seeks to close more loopholes on sanctions circumvention. They justify the moves based on a sanctions list of items that could be used a "potential revenue" for Russia. On the oil side, the EU and G7 are trying to tighten the trade of Russian oil under their $60 per barrel crude oil price cap. Western countries said while it worked for a while, Russian oil revenues were rising thanks to growing "shadow fleet" of tankers made up of aging Western ships.
Persons: Julia Payne, Alison Williams Organizations: Russia, EU Commission, EU, Thomson Locations: BRUSSELS, Russia, Ukraine, Brazil, EU, Russian
FINRA said a junior trader and his supervisor at BofA Securities conducted 717 spoof trades between October 2014 and February 2021. It also faulted the oversight system of the second-largest U.S. bank for being designed to detect only spoofing by trading algorithms, not manual spoofing. The junior trader, Tyler Forbes, was accused of placing 194 spoof trades before Bank of America fired him in 2019. Bank of America did not admit or deny wrongdoing in accepting FINRA's fine and a censure. In a separate spoofing case, former Bank of America traders Edward Bases and John Pacilio were in March each sentenced in Chicago to one year in prison for spoofing in precious metals.
Persons: FINRA, Tyler Forbes, Sidney Lebental, Edward Bases, John Pacilio, Forbes, Lebental, Jonathan Stempel, Richard Chang Organizations: Bank of America, U.S, Treasuries, Financial Industry, Authority, BofA Securities, Thomson Locations: Charlotte, North Carolina, Chicago, New York
Traders work on the floor of the London Metal Exchange in London, Britain, September 27, 2018. Both explicitly allow for the cancellation of trades "in exceptional cases", which would be a fair description of last year's nickel market meltdown and the resulting threat of multiple member defaults. This is a case of "knowing one when you see one" or "the elephant test" in legal precedent, the judges said. Nor would it have affected Chamberlain's assessment that nickel trading had become irrational and disorderly on the morning of March 8. LME trading has been transformed by the crisis in the form of permanent caps on time-spreads and limits on intraday price movements.
Persons: Simon Dawson, Elliott, Jonathan Swift, Robert Bright, Matthew Chamberlain, Jane Street, Chamberlain, China's, Xiang Guangda, Oliver Wyman, Tsingshan, Barbara Lewis Organizations: London Metal Exchange, REUTERS, London High, Elliott Associates, Jane, Global Trading, Financial, Authority, China's Tsingshan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, U.S
Gold holds ground ahead of US inflation test
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Harshit Verma | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee casts ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold at the Novosibirsk precious metals refining and manufacturing plant in the Siberian city of Novosibirsk, Russia, September 15, 2023. Spot gold was flat at $2,044.30 per ounce by 0728 GMT, trading in a range of about $6. It hit its highest since May 5 on Wednesday, and was poised for its second straight monthly gain. U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.1% to $2,045.40 per ounce. Reporting by Harshit Verma in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich, Mrigank Dhaniwala and Sonia CheemaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Yeap Jun Rong, Jerome Powell, Harshit Verma, Rashmi Aich, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Sonia Cheema Organizations: REUTERS, PCE, U.S, Fed, Traders, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Sibanye-Stillwater announced the layoffs Wednesday at the only platinum and palladium mines in the United States, near Nye, Montana, and other Sibanye-owned facilities in Montana, including a recycling operation. Another 187 contract workers — about 67% of the mining contract workers at the mine — will also be affected. Some contract work has been phased out over the past couple of months, said Heather McDowell, a vice president at Sibanye-Stillwater. Palladium prices have since fallen from a peak of about $3,000 an ounce in March 2022 to about $1,000 per ounce now. South Africa-based Sibanye bought the Stillwater mines in 2017 for $2.2 billion.
Persons: Heather McDowell, McDowell, Sibanye, Jason Small, Noah Dinger, Matthew Brown Organizations: Stillwater, of Labor, Forest Service, Mine, Montana AFL, Department of Labor, Industry, Associated Press Locations: Montana, Sibanye, United States, Nye , Montana, Stillwater, Nye, South Africa, Boulder, Falls , Idaho, Billings , Montana
A top Ukrainian military official's wife was diagnosed with heavy metal poisoning, officials said. An expert said Russia is a prime suspect given the country's penchant for poison. AdvertisementThe wife of Ukraine's top military intelligence official is recovering in a hospital after being poisoned by heavy metals, Ukrainian officials said Tuesday. While the motive and perpetrator behind Budanova's poisoning remains unclear, an expert on Russia and Ukraine said Russia is the obvious suspect. Russia's penchant for poison points to "a precedent and pattern for this type of behavior," Miles told Business Insider.
Persons: Marianna Budanova, , Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine's Elle, Budanova, Simon Miles, Alexei Navalny, Sergeĭ Skripal, Vladimir Kara, Murza, Miles, Budanov, Kyiv —, Budovna Organizations: Service, Associated Press, Local, AP, Washington Post, Duke University's Sanford School of Public, Soviet Union, Business, Kyiv, Ukrainska Pravda Locations: Russia, Local Ukrainian, Ukraine, Soviet, Russian, Ukrainian
MOSCOW, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Russia's industrial output growth slowed in October as the unemployment rate dropped to a record low 2.9%, federal statistics showed on Wednesday, with deepening labour shortages showing signs of cooling Moscow's military production capacity. Analysts say wages are growing faster than productivity and the central bank has warned of the impact it has on inflation. Industrial output rose 5.3% year-on-year in October, down from a 5.6% rise in September and driven once again by military production. Rosstat said industrial output had grown since March at a monthly rate of more than 5% compared with the corresponding months of 2022. But when discounting seasonal factors, industrial production dropped 0.4% in October, Rosstat said.
Persons: Maxim Oreshkin, Vladimir Putin, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Rosstat, Alexander Marrow, Darya, Alex Richardson, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Kremlin, Reuters, VW, Central Bank Governor, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: MOSCOW, Russia, Volkswagen's, Moscow, Ukraine, Putin's Russia
"Investors covered short positions ahead of the OPEC+ meeting amid worries over supply disruption from Kazakhstan," said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a unit of Nissan Securities. OPEC+ is due to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday to discuss 2024 production targets, after delaying the meeting from Nov. 26. The talks will be difficult and a rollover of the previous agreement is possible rather than deeper production cuts, four OPEC+ sources said. Kazakhstan's largest oilfields are cutting combined daily oil output by 56% from Nov. 27, the Kazakh energy ministry said. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 817,000 barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures.
Persons: Turar, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Warren Patterson, Ewa Manthey, Brent, Yuka Obayashi, Muyu Xu, Lincoln, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, NS, Nissan Securities, ING, Federal Reserve, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, Weekly U.S, Thomson Locations: Mangystau, Kazakhstan, Rights TOKYO, SINGAPORE, Russia, OPEC, Kazakh
You probably throw a milk container in the recycling, put the bins out on collection day and forget about it. It is worth noting that the landfill-happy United States is far worse at recycling than other major economies. But just because recycling doesn’t work very well in the United States doesn’t mean it can’t be done well. Recycling steel, for example, saves 72 percent of the energy of producing new steel; it also cuts water use by 40 percent. Even anti-plastics campaigners agree that recycling plastics, like PET, is better for the climate than burning them — a likely outcome if recycling efforts were to be abandoned.
Organizations: Environmental Protection Agency, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine, University of Southampton Locations: United States, Canada, Mexico, India, Malaysia, America, States, England
Wife of Ukrainian Spy Chief Poisoned, Kyiv Says
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Ian Lovett | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Ukraine’s military-intelligence chief, Lt. Gen. Kyrylo Budanov, and his wife, Marianna Budanova, at a memorial ceremony in Kyiv in January. Photo: viacheslav ratynskyi/ReutersUkraine said the wife of one of its top military leaders had been poisoned, raising suspicion in Kyiv that she had been the victim of a high-profile assassination attempt. A spokesman for Ukraine’s powerful military-intelligence agency, known as HUR, said that Marianna Budanova , wife of HUR chief Lt. Gen. Kyrylo Budanov , had been poisoned with heavy metals. She is currently undergoing treatment, said the spokesman, Andriy Yusov , declining to give any more details.
Persons: Kyrylo Budanov, Marianna Budanova, viacheslav, HUR, Andriy Yusov Organizations: Reuters Locations: Kyiv, Reuters Ukraine
The company logo is seen on the headquarters of China Evergrande Group in Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China September 26, 2021. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 28 (Reuters) - Evergrande Property Services Group (6666.HK) said on Tuesday one of its units had commenced legal proceedings against Hengda Real Estate Group Company and embattled developer China Evergrande (3333.HK), among others. The proceedings are related to the enforcement of Evergrande Property Services' deposit pledge of about 13.4 billion yuan. Jinbi Property has also commenced legal proceedings against Shenzhen Qihang Metals Materials Company, Guizhou Guangjuyuan Real Estate Development and Hengda Real Estate Group Guiyang Property. In February, parent Evergrande had said it was in talks with Evergrande Property Services to repay the funds.
Persons: Aly, Evergrande, Echha Jain, Devika Organizations: China Evergrande Group, REUTERS, Evergrande, Services, HK, Hengda Real Estate Group Company, China, Jinbi Property Management Company, Shenzhen Qihang Metals Materials Company, Development, Real, Guiyang, Evergrande Property, Property Services, Guangzhou, People's, Thomson Locations: China, Shenzhen, Guangdong province, Guizhou Guangjuyuan, Guangdong Province, Bengaluru
Gold and silver bars of various sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum in Munich. Gold steadied after touching a six-month peak on Tuesday, as expectations of an end to the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle kept the dollar and bond yields under check. Spot gold was little changed at $2,014.12 per ounce by 0412 GMT, after hitting its highest since May 16. The dollar index touched its lowest since late August against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver fell 0.3% to $24.55 per ounce, platinum was down 0.5% to $913.90.
Persons: Gold, Matt Simpson, Simpson, CME's Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Index, Fed, Traders Locations: Munich, U.S . Federal, U.S, China, Hong Kong
Ukrainian spy chief's wife poisoned, media reports say
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Valentyn Ogirenko/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsKYIV, Nov 28 (Reuters) - The wife of Ukraine's military intelligence chief has been poisoned with heavy metals, several Ukrainian media outlets reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed intelligence sources. Marianna Budanova is the wife of Kyrylo Budanov, who heads Ukrainian military intelligence agency GUR, which has been prominently involved in clandestine operations against Russian forces throughout the 21-month war. In Russian media he is a hate figure. Ukraine's military intelligence and domestic security services did not respond to requests for comment. Russian media has reported that a court in Moscow had arrested Budanov in absentia in April on terrorism charges.
Persons: Kyrylo Budanov, Valentyn, Marianna Budanova, GUR, Budanova, Suspilne, Ukrainska Pravda, Budanov, Max Hunder, Tom Balmforth, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Military Intelligence, Reuters, REUTERS, Rights, Russian, Ukrainska Pravda, RBC Ukraina, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Russia, Moscow, Russian
Washington CNN —The wife of Ukraine’s top military intelligence official has been hospitalized with apparent heavy metals poisoning, according to Ukrainian and western officials. American and western intelligence officials have not independently verified the poisoning but believe Ukrainian reports to be accurate, sources familiar with the matter tell CNN. According to the GUR representative, she has been hospitalized for a week and had felt poorly for some time prior to being hospitalized. In England in 2018, Russian agents used a nerve agent to poison Sergei Skripal, a former Russian military officer and double agent for British intelligence agencies. While initial reports indicated that they suffered from poisoning, later reports indicated the they were sickened due to an environmental factor, not poisoning.
Persons: Marianna Budanova, Kyrylo Budanov, GUR, Andriy Yusov, Budanova, Edward Boyer, ” Boyer, , Russia –, , Sergei Skripal Organizations: Washington CNN, Ukrainian Defense Intelligence, CNN, Defense Intelligence, University of Massachusetts Locations: Ukrainian, Russia, Ukraine, Soviet Union, England, Russian, United States, Turkey
Slowing China still leads the race for commodities
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Yawen Chen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
"When it comes to copper, the thinking usually goes that copper equals property, property equals China," said one commodities trader. "And because China property is down, copper must be down too." That’s why China's copper demand will still rise by 4 million tonnes from the 2020 level to around 18 million tonnes per year in 2030, according to estimates by commodity trading group Trafigura. And China's copper demand has grown by 8% this year, faster than the 5% Xi is targeting for overall GDP growth. China's annual aluminium demand rose by 18 million tonnes from 2010 to 2020 and is forecast to grow by another 13 million tonnes to over 50 million tonnes a year in 2030, per Trafigura.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Communist Party’s, Wood Mackenzie, Francesco Guerrera, Katrina Hamlin, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, HK, Communist, Shanghai Futures Exchange, London Metal Exchange, ING, International Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Oxford, HSBC, Democratic, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, Washington, Moscow, Taiwan, Shanghai, Republic, United States, Australia, Beijing, Chile, Indonesia, Democratic Republic of Congo
LONDON, Nov 28 (Reuters) - China's imports of refined copper have quietly accelerated over recent months, taking volumes to a year-to-date high in October. China's appetite for imported copper is not confined to refined metal. It is also absorbing record amounts of copper concentrates and imports of recyclable metal are running at the fastest pace since 2018. China's trade in refined copperIMPORT STRENGTHChina imported 353,000 metric tons of refined copper in October, which was the highest monthly volume this year. Shanghai Futures Exchange copper stocks, bonded stocks and Yangshan premiumBOOMING OUTPUT, LOW STOCKSHigher raw materials imports this year have allowed China's smelters to ramp up run rates.
Persons: Barbara Lewis Organizations: Democratic, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Shanghai Metal, Stocks, International Energy Exchange, Citi, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Democratic Republic of Congo, China, Congo, Beijing, Shanghai
[1/4] A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. In precious metals, gold hit a six-month high with a boost from the softer dollar and expectations for a pause in Fed tightening. There's a growing sense the economy is slowing, that price growth will likely continue to fall, that profit growth will likely fall," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital, in Chicago. The U.S. dollar index slid against most major currencies on Monday and was on track for a monthly decline of more than 3%, which would be its biggest monthly drop in a year. The dollar index was down 0.203%, with the euro up 0.11% to $1.0951.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Christine Lagarde, Jim Barnes, Sterling, Sinéad Carew, Chuck Mikolazczak, Harry Robertson, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates, Ed Osmond, Chizu Nomiyama, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Cresset, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Central, Reuters Graphics Oil, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, OPEC, Chicago, Bryn Mawr, Berwyn , Pennsylvania, Israel, New York, London, Sydney
People who claimed the power to control nature and the energy resources around them saw the environment as a tool to be used for progress, historians say. Over hundreds of years, that impulse has remade the planet's climate, too — and brought its inhabitants to the brink of catastrophe. Tapping nature for its resources drove progress and productivity for some, but it's also been a major driver of emissions and environmental degradation. By the mid-19th century, steam power was adopted in manufacturing, cotton mills, steam ships and locomotives around the world, turning coal into a global trade. Centuries later, the United Kingdom has nearly weaned itself off coal, with weeks or months at a stretch where the national grid gets no coal power.
Persons: , Luis Zambrano, it's, Anya Zilberstein, ” Zilberstein, Vera S, Candiani, Jan Golinski, , ” Golinski, Deborah Coen, Andreas Malm, Barak, it’s, J.R, McNeill, ” McNeill, Victor Seow, Elizabeth Chatterjee, “ Indira Gandhi, Chatterjee, Joshua Howe, Howe, Yale's Coen, , ” Howe, Fredrik Albritton Jonsson, Jonsson Organizations: National University Autónoma, Concordia University, Mexico City —, America, Princeton, University of New, Yale, Lund University, Tel Aviv University, Laboratory, Global, Project, Energy, Georgetown University, Communist, University of Chicago, Reed College, . Environmental Protection Agency, U.S, AP Locations: Nations, Mexico, Lake Texcoco, Montreal, Spanish, University of New Hampshire, Maui, Britain, Sweden, , India, Egypt, Nigeria, Ottoman Empire, United Kingdom, Cumbria, England, Wales, Scotland, China, Japan, U.S, Europe, United States, British, Portland , Oregon
Russia, whose officials haven't commented on the corridor, warned this summer that ships heading to Ukraine's Black Sea ports would be assumed to be carrying weapons. Despite such attacks, Ukraine has exported over 5.6 million metric tons of grain and other products through the new corridor, U.S. “That corridor worked in an unpredictable way for us,” said Mykola Horbachov, president of the Ukrainian Grain Association. Before the invasion, the exporter paid $50 per metric ton to ship grain through the Black Sea. To ease that hurdle, an insurance program launched this month to provide affordable coverage to shippers carrying food from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports.
Persons: Roman Andreikiv, , Munro Anderson, Lloyd’s, Ukraine’s, haven't, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine Bridget Brink, Taras Kachka, it’s, Kelly Goughary, , Oleksandr Kubrakov, it's, Mykola Horbachov, ” Horbachov, Osmachko, Anderson, ” Osmachko, Marsh McLennan, Zelenskyy, Mykola Solskyi, ___ Bonnell Organizations: , Agroprosperis, Liberian, Gro Intelligence, Farmers, Ukrainian Grain Association, Ukrainian Locations: KYIV, Ukraine, Russia, Africa, East, Asia, Egypt, Spain, China, Bangladesh, Netherlands, Tunisia, Turkey, Kyiv, U.S, Sumy, Ukrainian, Europe, Lloyd’s, Nigeria, London, russia, ukraine
Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,010.99 per ounce by 0758 GMT, after hitting its highest since May 16. U.S. gold futures rose 0.4% to $2,011.70. Reuters Graphics"What's moving gold at the moment is the lower U.S. dollar because of the recent soft data," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com. The dollar index (.DXY) edged down 0.1% against its rivals, not far from a more than two-month low level touched last week, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Recent data showing signs of slowing inflation in the U.S. has boosted expectations that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, CME's, Wang Tao, Harshit Verma, Janane Venkatraman, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, PCE, Federal, Reuters, Fed, Traders, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold poised for second weekly gain as Fed pause hopes hurt dollar
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Alexander ManzyukGold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. The dollar index was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Markets have dialed back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024 after data showed number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week. Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed "carefully" and "all participants judged it appropriate to maintain" the current rate setting. Platinum eased 0.1% to $914.68, but was heading for its second weekly rise.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, CME's, Waterer, Wang Tao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM Trade Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S
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