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☆ Trump and Harris portfolios to play the election winner, according to Strategas Research
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"The differences between Trump and Harris are as wide as we have ever seen." Differences in trade policy specifically, he said, are going to "determine where growth and earnings take place around the world." In contrast to Trump's trade policy, reduced trade tensions under Harris could lead to gains for FedEx , which has advanced more than 8% this year. During that debate, Harris also accused Trump of gearing up to abandon support of Ukraine. If Harris were to win the election, Clifton believes RTX is beneficiary of continued U.S. support of Ukraine.

Persons: Strategas, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Daniel Clifton, Harris, Clifton, Lazard, Trump, RTX Organizations: U.S, NBC, Trump, Republican, Basel III, Nasdaq, FedEx, Biden, NextEra Energy Locations: China, Basel, India, Cleveland, Southern, Ukraine, U.S

☆ The Fed is making a mistake by cutting rates next week: Jim Bianco
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is making a mistake by cutting rates next week: Jim BiancoJim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, and Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the market's response to the October jobs report, how rising yields could impact markets, and more.

Persons: Jim Bianco Jim Bianco, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, CNBC's Organizations: Bianco Research

☆ Behind Friday's rally: Traders betting Fed keeps cutting rates next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The monthly jobs report is typically closely-watched watched by traders and creates a reaction in the market. To be sure, storms in the Southeast and the Boeing labor strike were cited as downward pressures on the labor market. To Elizundia's point, fed funds futures are now pricing in 99.9% odds the central bank cuts rates by 25 basis points next week, and an 83.6% chance it lowers borrowing costs by another quarter-point percentage in December. There was no Fed meeting in October. "And yet, a deeper ponder of the numbers suggests that, beneath all the noise and disruption, is a fundamentally slowing labor market.

Persons: —, Dow jones, Elizundia, Seema Shah, Shah, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Boeing, Fed, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, U.S Locations: U.S

☆ Despite a half-point Fed rate cut, the average credit card interest rate fell by just 0.13%, report finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Collectively, Americans are having a harder time keeping up with their credit card bills. Credit card rates spiked along with the Federal Reserve's string of 11 rate hikes starting in March 2022. Altogether, the average credit card interest rate fell by just 0.13% from the previous quarter, the report found. "When the Fed makes a rate cut, credit card rates often don't fall by as much," Jennifer Doss, executive editor and credit card analyst at CardRatings, said in a statement. "One reason is that credit card companies are being cautious.

Persons: Jennifer Doss Organizations: Finance, Fed

☆ Key inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected, closing in on Fed target
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics

☆ A radical idea to solve inflation from a radical former Fed pick
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

A zero percent inflation target might be popular, but it would represent a sharp departure – one that mainstream economists warn would backfire. “Stable inflation is an oxymoron because it means it’s not stable,” Shelton told CNN in a recent interview. In fact, one reason the Fed set its inflation target at 2% is because it’s safely away from that deflation-danger zone. A zero inflation target would mean a path right on the edge. But even some of Shelton’s biggest fans are opposed to her embrace of a zero-inflation target.

Persons: Judy Shelton, Donald Trump, It’s, ” Shelton, Shelton, Trump, ”, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Justin Wolfers, Kamala Harris, it’s, Wolfers, Bill English, “, ” Trump, Stephen Moore, Jerome Powell, Moore, Powell, Kevin Hassett, Reagan, Arthur Laffer, ” Moore, CNN’s KFile, CNN he’s, he’d, Elon, ‘, haven’t, James Grant Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Federal Reserve Board, Moody’s, University of Michigan, Yale University, Heritage Foundation, Trump White House, Trump Locations: New York

☆ The US economy is in for a double shock if Trump is elected president, Nobel economist Paul Krugman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trump's policies could leave the US economy with two major challenges, Paul Krugman said. Krugman pointed to Trump's economic plan, which economists have described as inflationary. Trump's deportation plans could also hit the economy, given that immigration has boosted the job market. AdvertisementThe US could be in for twin shocks if Trump becomes president for a second time, Nobel economist Paul Krugman said. Trump's general economic plan is also widely thought to be more inflationary than Harris's.

Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman, —, Trump, Harris Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Financial Times, University of Chicago, American Immigration, New York Times Locations: York

☆ Inflation cooled even further last month, likely solidifying more rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Inflation has slowed further and is just a hair’s breadth from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices rose 2.1% for the year ended in September, a slowdown from 2.3% in August, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday. The annual increase, which marks a fresh three-and-a-half-year low, fell right in line with what economists were expecting, according to FactSet consensus estimates. However, falling gas prices helped to keep the lid on any gains. Many states are seeing gas prices below $3 a gallon, a trend that’s expected to continue in the coming weeks as global supply eclipses demand.

Persons: ” Olu Sonola Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fitch

☆ Investors all in on stocks: Mutual fund cash levels lowest on record, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Someone apparently forgot to tell mutual fund managers that they are supposed to be worried right now. Professional fund managers have been increasing their bets on stocks since the fourth quarter got underway earlier this month, according to Bank of America. "Watching mutual fund cash levels is typically like watching paint dry, but not this month. That shift is notable ahead of the election and suggests that some fund managers are unconcerned about short-term volatility as votes roll in. Fund managers are underweight that area relative to history, and could rotate into those stocks if they gain more confidence, according to Subramanian.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Cash, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America . Equity, Investment Company Institute

☆ Safe-haven gold on track for best month in seven
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold Bullion from the American Precious Metals Exchange seen in this picture taken in New York on Sept. 15, 2011. Gold prices climbed to a record high on Thursday and were headed for their best month in seven on safe-haven demand ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while investors awaited U.S. inflation report for clues on the interest rate path. Spot gold was steady at $2,786.89 per ounce, as of 0254 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,790.15 earlier in the session. "Traders want to buy gold whether it rises or falls, and that has kept retracements small and consolidations tight. All three metals were on track for a monthly gain.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Matt Simpson, Bullion Organizations: Precious Metals, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Capital.com, Index Locations: New York, U.S, United States, Index ., China

☆ U.S. Treasury yields edge higher as traders await key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics

☆ Inside Realtors' Fight for Control of America's for-Sale Home Listings
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +17 min

Agents might be emboldened to share listings among private networks of in-the-know brokers rather than market them to everyone. And if the goal is a transparent market that prioritizes consumers, the clear-cooperation policy is a flawed tool. Redfin estimated that in the second quarter of 2019, about 1.7% of listings, or some 18,000 homes, were likely pocketed. In a hot market, it's easier for brokers to market a home off the databases and still get it sold. What has changed since the rule went into effect is brokerages' eagerness to control access to home listings.

Persons: Smart, —, they'll, Brian Boero, Goliath, Davids, MLSes, doesn't, weren't, Joe Schmo, Saul Klein, Howard Hanna's, Howard Hanna IV, Robert Reffkin, Mauricio Umansky, Redfin, Glenn Kelman, Kelman, haven't, Victor Lund, There's, Buckle Organizations: MLS, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Coldwell, Network, San Diego, Compass, Service, of Justice

☆ Beaten-up Nextracker provides investors a reason to believe. But timing is key here
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Nextracker lost around 32% of its value in between its August earnings report and Wednesday's close — a frustrating decline. It's too early to act, given the results of next week's contests could move shares of Nextracker and its peers considerably. "We were pleasantly surprised and gratified that this was the best solar earnings we've seen this quarter," Jim Cramer said Thursday. Nextracker Why we own it: Nextracker makes industry-leading tracking technology, which enables large-scale solar panel installations to follow the sun's movement and increase their power generation. Guidance Nextracker reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance for revenue while upping its outlook for a pair of profitability metrics.

Persons: Nextracker, Jim Cramer, We're, Howard Wenger, Chuck Boynton, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Peter Cade Organizations: NXT, Club, Mizuho Securities, CNBC, Stone Locations: Nextracker

☆ Palo Alto shares helped by contract news, Abbott Labs braces for lawsuit ruling
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

An executive at Palo Alto Networks also posted about it on LinkedIn , without mentioning the dollar amount and duration. These headlines could be helping support shares of Palo Alto in Thursday's down market. Palo Alto did not respond to CNBC's request for comment on the licensing agreement. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, nonfarm, Morgan Stanley, Palo, Nikesh Arora, —, Missouri —, we're, Jeff Marks, Abbott, we'll, payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Meta, Boeing, Reserve, Palo Alto Networks, Department of Defense, Palo, Abbott Labs, NEC, Judicial, Apple, Coterra Energy, Intel, . Steel, Juniper Networks, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, LyondellBasell, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Palo Alto, Thursday's, Missouri

☆ Jim Grant on rising bond yields: The market thinks the Fed may have overdone it
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Grant on rising bond yields: The market thinks the Fed may have overdone itJim Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer founder and editor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest Treasury market trends, future of U.S. monetary policy, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Jim Grant Organizations: Treasury

☆ What Today's Inflation Data Will Mean for Next Week's Fed Meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat Today's Inflation Data Will Mean for Next Week's Fed MeetingPGIM Fixed Income chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli discusses what will be most important for the markets and Fed to look for in today's PCE report.

Persons: Tom Porcelli Locations: today's PCE

☆ Fiscal policy sanity is the big issue of our future, says North Island's Glenn Hutchins
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy sanity is the big issue of our future, says North Island's Glenn HutchinsGlenn Hutchins, North Island chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the September PCE inflation data, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, 2024 election, and more.

Persons: Glenn Hutchins Glenn Hutchins Locations: Island

☆ The U.S. economy grew at a 2.8% pace in the third quarter, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. The release comes with the Federal Reserve poised to lower inflation rates further despite the seemingly strong economy and inflation that remains above target, though far from its peak in mid-2022. Markets widely expect the Fed to cut another quarter percentage point off its benchmark short-term borrowing rate when policymakers conclude their two-day meeting on Nov. 7.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Mortgage demand stalls as interest rates surge higher ahead of election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Mortgage rates rose last week for the fourth time in five weeks, causing another pullback in refinancing. Total mortgage application volume was essentially flat, falling 0.1% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index. Government refinances accounted for a large part of the decrease, dropping 12 percent over last week," wrote Joel Kan, an MBA economist, in a release. Real estate brokerages have reported a surge in interest from homebuyers recently, as the supply of homes for sale has increased. Mortgage rates moved higher to start this week.

Persons: Government refinances, Joel Kan, brokerages, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, Mortgage News Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, refinances, Government

☆ S&P 500 futures slip after Microsoft reports; traders brace for key inflation data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel

☆ The Fed will keep cutting rates in 2025, CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will keep cutting rates in 2025, CIO saysIsaac Poole, chief investment officer at Oreana Financial Services, discusses the U.S. election's potential impact on the economy.

Persons: Isaac Poole Organizations: Oreana Financial Services

☆ Why the October jobs report on Friday could sink the market's soft-landing narrative
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.

Persons: September's, —, Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI

☆ Slok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022Apollo Global chief economist Torsten Slok says the data over the past several weeks and months shows the U.S. economy continues to do just fine, and this week's jobs report will go a long way towards what the Fed does next week.

Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Fed, Apollo Global Locations: U.S

☆ Former CEOs of American Airlines, LinkedIn, Amex, Xerox, and 13 other companies make the pitch for Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Kelsey Vlamis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A group of former CEOs published an op-ed Tuesday endorsing Kamala Harris for president. AdvertisementA group of former CEOs who led major US companies — including American Airlines, LinkedIn, Xerox, and American Express — made the case for Kamala Harris in an op-ed one week before Election Day. The 17 business leaders said they were voting for Harris because they thought she'd be better for the economy than former President Donald Trump. AdvertisementOther business leaders have publicly supported Trump, including Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman, who said this week that Trump would be "efficient and effective." Meanwhile, some business leaders have avoided taking a position publicly even if they support one candidate or another in private.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, —, American Express —, Harris, she'd, Reid Hoffman, Doug Parker, Ken Chenault, Michael Lynton, Trump, Musk, Stephen Schwarzman, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, they're Organizations: Trump, Elon, Service, American Airlines, LinkedIn, Xerox, American Express, Sony, Blackstone, Yale School of Management, Leadership Institute Locations: Fortune, America, Swatara Township , Pennsylvania

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