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Federal Reserve policymakers have been breathing easier lately regarding inflation, and that faith that they're closer to achieving their goal will get a key test Thursday. Specifically, the Labor Department's reading is expected to show an annual inflation rate of 2.2% and a monthly gain of just 0.1%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. However, following a much better than expected jobs report for September, Fed officials in recent days have indicated a likely more measured approach to cuts ahead. Details in Thursday's report will matter: Housing inflation has proven to be stubborn, though policymakers still expect lower rent renewals to feed into the data the months progress. The report hits just after the S & P 500 rose to a new record on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Dallas
Amazon's cash balance is expected to reach almost $400 billion by 2027, far outpacing tech rivals. AdvertisementAmazon's ballooning cash balance is drawing Wall Street's attention. By 2027, Amazon is forecast to have almost $400 billion in cash, far outpacing its Big Tech rivals. Despite the "remarkable" growth in Amazon's cash balance, the company hasn't been as aggressive as other tech companies in rewarding shareholders, he noted. During an April call with analysts, Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky addressed the question about shareholder returns.
Persons: , Wall, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Evercore's Mahaney, hasn't, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, Gene Munster, Munster, Andy Jassy's, Brian Olsavsky, Jassy, Olsavsky, Deepwater's Munster Organizations: Service, P Global Market Intelligence, Microsoft, Amazon, Big Tech, Apple, Deepwater Asset Management, Federal Trade Commission, Meta
So her group is starting to focus more on making connections between climate change and increasingly powerful storms and wildfires, she said. This spring, the class took a trip to the Blue Ridge Mountains to learn about how climate change can impact forests and wildlife. And we definitely see it with the climate crisis.”Moerman views climate denialism among evangelical Christians as a product of misinformation. To combat such ideas, the Evangelical Environmental Network hosts webinars on the science of climate change and how faith connects to climate action. “Some pastors get kind of hung up talking about climate change, but to me, it’s biblical faithfulness 101,” he said in an interview.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump —, Trump, Jessica Moerman, Moerman, ” Moerman, Adam Hubert, Hubert, ” Adam Hubert, Hope, , that’s, Jim Inhofe, Mike Huckabee, Caleb Haynes, ” Haynes doesn’t, Haynes, ” Trump, We’ve Organizations: Evangelical Environmental Network, Pew Research Center, White, Trump, Pew Research, Evangelical Environmental, Young, Action, Hope, NBC, Arkansas Gov, Volunteers, Christian Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Nashville , Tennessee, , Ohio, Montana
Vice President Kamala Harris for weeks was criticized for avoiding tough questions that came with long-form traditional media interviews. In an interview with CBS News’ “60 Minutes” that aired Monday evening, she faced many of them all at once. “Was it a mistake to loosen the immigration policies as much as you did?” “60 Minutes” correspondent Bill Whitaker asked. Whitaker, who noted that the border security issue had been ongoing for decades, tried twice more to pin Harris down. It was just one of the searing questions that Whitaker formulated as he peppered Harris and, for a shorter time, Minnesota Gov.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, Bill Whitaker, , ” Harris, Whitaker, Harris, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , Tim Walz, Walz, Trump, “ I’m, Oprah Winfrey, they're, “ You’re Organizations: CBS, , Congress, Minnesota Gov, Trump, Republicans, NATO, , Glock Locations: Minnesota, Maricopa County , Arizona, Ukraine, United States
Nonfarm payrolls added 254,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage points. "It was a very good report across every indicator in there," said Aaron Sojourner, a senior researcher at the W.E. As they barnstorm across battleground states, Harris and Trump paint dueling pictures of the U.S. labor market. Jim Watson | AFP | Getty ImagesThe jobs report adds to a flurry of good economic news in recent weeks, with metrics that could potentially amount to the best economic upswing in decades. Following the jobs report blowout, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed out last week at a fresh all-time high of 42,352.75.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, payrolls, Dow, Aaron Sojourner, Harris, Trump, Jim Watson, I've, Mark Zandi, Biden, Clinton, Justin Wolfers, stoking Organizations: . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Trump, CBS, Republican, Ryder Center for Health, Physical Education, Saginaw Valley State University, AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, chipmaker Micron Technology, Oracle Locations: U.S, Michigan, America, Saginaw, Saginaw , Michigan
Goldman Sachs thinks that U.S.-traded shares of Barclays still have a long growth runway ahead, even after already beating the market so far in 2024. The firm initiated coverage of the banking stock with a buy rating and a 290 pence per share price target on Tuesday. Goldman analyst Chris Hallam forecasts that Barclays could grow its earnings per share twice as fast as peer firms through 2027, while a steep discount on the stock gives investors an attractive entry point. ""The Investment Bank [portion of Barclays' business] is at-scale but currently under-earning," Hallam said. Hallam noted Barclays stock currently trades at roughly six times its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio, compared to the wider group of banks covered by Goldman that trade at seven times forward P/E.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Chris Hallam, Hallam Organizations: Barclays, U.S, BCS, ADRs, Investment Locations: American, stoke, reallocation
Some of the biggest losing stocks in 2024 could be in for even steeper declines as investors jettison them to save on taxes, according to Morgan Stanley. Such moves, known as tax loss harvesting, helps investors trim their tax bills the next year. Boeing pressure Beleaguered aerospace company Boeing was also called out by Morgan Stanley as likely to see pressure tied to tax loss selling. Morgan Stanley also called out oil service giant Halliburton . Other names on Morgan Stanley's list include Chord Energy , Simply Good Foods and timeshare operator Hilton Grand Vacations .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan, Jackson Ader, Ronald Epstein, who's, Epstein, Keith Mackey Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall, Computer, Adobe, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Bank of America, Aerospace, Defense, Halliburton, RBC Capital, HAL, Energy, Hilton Locations: Alaska, Seattle
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will no longer own a position in Procter & Gamble. Shares of P & G have had a good run this year, rallying 14% on top of three dividend payments collected along the way. As we pointed out in a recent trim , P & G rose to new highs at the start of September when the market rotated into defensive stocks. Against that backdrop, we see less need to hold onto traditional slowdown stocks like P & G that don't have enough growth to satisfy their valuations. Due to this premium, we don't think P & G has the potential upside we seek in the portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, , Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Procter, Procter & Gamble, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Procter &
A Wolfe Research analyst raised his view on troubled bank stock Wells Fargo, reasoning that regulatory and interest rate risks both are priced into the stock. However, analysts at Oppenheimer lowered their views on high-flying tech stock Microsoft on fears that OpenAI losses could hamper performance. Delta's stock price has gained nearly 23% this year, but is in the red for the quarter. Chubak sees downside to consensus 2026 earnings across the board for the group — but that the risk is better captured in the current valuation of major banks including Wells Fargo. WFC YTD line Wells Fargo stock performance Chubak upgraded Wells Fargo to outperform from peer perform and kept his $65 price target on the stock, which implies 13.7% potential upside.
Persons: Wolfe, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Bernstein Bernstein, David Vernon, Vernon, — Pia Singh, Timothy Horan, Horan, Lance Wilkes, Wilkes, Steven Chubak, Wells Fargo, Chubak Organizations: CNBC, Humana, Microsoft, Southwest Airlines, STARS, Wolfe Research, WFC Locations: Wells, Delta, Vernon, Atlanta, Wells Fargo
As long as companies report that they're feeling good about lower interest rates, stocks should rise. That's according to Bank of America, which notes that apart from that dynamic, the bar for third-quarter earnings set by Wall Street is pretty low. The analysts expect 2% earnings growth, below consensus estimates of 4% and second-quarter earnings growth of 11%. As long as companies have managed through macro headwinds and see early signs of improvement from lower rates, stocks should get rewarded," the analysts said in a Tuesday note. The analysts recommend watching those sectors for early signs of improvement from lower rates ahead of earnings.
Persons: Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Wall, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing
Piper Sandler said Hurricane Milton could change the insurance market. Piper Sandler said Milton shares similarities with Ian, which resulted in $56 billion in insured losses. "Historically, insurance stocks fall as the hurricane approaches landfall and as it creates damage. Below is a table of estimated insured losses from insurance companies from Hurricane Ian. "The typical rebound in the insurance stocks happens when it becomes clear how large the insurance event was (or was not).
Persons: Piper Sandler, Milton, Paul Newsome, Hurricane Ian —, Newsome, Ian, LSEG, Chubb, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Hurricane Ian, Allstate, American International Group, Heritage Insurance, Progressive, Universal Insurance Holdings, Travelers Locations: Florida, Milton, Hurricane, Newsome
SKIP AHEAD The best pregnancy-safe skin care products in 2024 | How to shop for pregnancy-safe skin care | Why trust NBC Select? How I picked the best pregnancy-safe skin care productsI asked board-certified dermatologists about common pregnancy skin concerns like dryness and sensitivity and for their recommendations on pregnancy-safe formulas. The best pregnancy-safe skin care products in 2024When you’re pregnant, it may feel like you have to abandon your skin care routine and start new, but experts say that is not always the case. The fragrance-free formula has broad-spectrum protection, which means it keeps your skin safe from both UVA and UVB rays. How to shop for pregnancy-safe skin careWhen shopping for pregnancy-safe skin care, experts say the best approach involves assessing your skin’s changing needs and talking with your doctor about what ingredients you feel comfortable using.
Persons: Sejal Shah, , Rachel Nazarian, Erum Ilyas, you’re, Shah, La, Mili Godio, It’s, niacinamide, EltaMD, Posay’s, ceramides, Ilyas, Nazarian, , Squalane, “ It’s, dullness, There’s, Melasma, you’ve, they’re, retinoids, it’s, “ it’s, Oxybenzone, clary, TikTok Organizations: NBC, Dermatology, Neutrogena’s Hydro, La Roche, American Academy of Dermatology, OB, American College of Obstetricians, Alpha, National Institutes of Health, NIH, Facebook, Twitter Locations: New York, Pennsylvania, erring
Tax-loss harvesting is a common year-end method used by investors and money managers to minimize taxes. The practice involves selling off losing positions to offset taxes on realized capital gains incurred on winning investments. To find the names worth selling, CNBC Pro used its stock-screening tool to hunt for names with a market cap exceeding $1 billion. The cloud platform company's stock has lost roughly 57% this year, with the average price target implying that shares could fall about 18%. Back in August, he slashed his price target to $5.50 from $8.50, noting that Fastly took "a meat cleaver to CY24 outlook."
Persons: Davidson, Rudy Kessinger, Fastly, cleaver, Carter's, Kennedy, Wilson, Platt Organizations: CNBC Pro, Arbor Realty Trust, Leggett Locations: Fastly
The good times for Amazon may be over for now, according to Wells Fargo. "Amazon is likely still a solid margin expansion story over the long term," he added. "But as Amazon management has said multiple times, margin expansion won't be linear. We, and market consensus, likely became a bit exuberant in our extrapolation of margin expansion trends in 2023 and early '24 to '25 and beyond forecasts." "In addition to cheaper fulfillment pricing than Amazon, Walmart can match Prime's shipping speeds.
Persons: Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Amazon's Organizations: North America Retail, Amazon, Services, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, Friday's, SPX
US stocks fell Monday as bond yields and oil prices moved higher. The rise in oil prices and solid September jobs report has revived inflation concerns. Friday's release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields. AdvertisementMeanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel. The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Organizations: PepsiCo, Service, Treasury, Israel, Federal Reserve, Amazon, Epic, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Hurricane Milton, Wells
Inflation could be a market-driving fear again this week when September data is released, according to Bank of America. But last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report has shaken up the consensus outlook for the economy. "After the blowout jobs report, CPI is no longer a 'non-event.' The CPI report is due out before the opening bell Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the CPI report to show a 0.1% increase in September and a 2.3% rise from 12 months earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Bank of America, Federal
The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?
Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Apple , Amazon , DuPont , and Constellation Brands all saw their ratings lowered by different Wall Street analysts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Ben Reitzes, Melius, Duckhorn, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, Melius Research, VanEck Semiconductor, AMD, Apple, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Wall, Morning, Constellation, PepsiCo, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: NAPA, Wells Fargo
US stocks fell Monday as investors assessed interest rate moves after Friday's strong jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4% for the first time since late July. Investors will focus on earnings season and the upcoming September CPI report this week. AdvertisementUS stocks dipped to start the week as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates following the strong September jobs report. The September CPI report is also on the economic calendar this week, set to be released on Thursday.
Persons: Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Investors, PepsiCo, Here's
But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.
Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, , Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, , there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Tech: Amazon's Prime Day kicks off tomorrow, and there are some deals on surprising items . Amazon's Prime Day kicks off tomorrow, and there are some deals on . Getty Images; Jenny Chang-RodriguezWe've already got one indication companies are in good shape: Friday's blockbuster jobs report . But another blowout report — 250,000 jobs added and at least 4% wage growth — could lead the Fed to reconsider its easing policy. In addition to the usual Prime Day gadgets, like TVs and Airpods, Amazon is dishing out deals on tents, pocket knives, and chainsaws.
Persons: , Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, we'll, Rodriguez We've, there's, Philipp Carlsson, Chelsea Jia Feng, haven't, Donald Trump's, Tyler Le, John Tomac, that's, boomers, They're, Gen Xers, Gen Zers, Kamala Harris, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, . Tech, Amazon's, Pfizer, Wall Street, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Big Tech, Getty, Fed, Boston Consulting, Trump Media, Microsoft, BI, pharma, CBS, ASEAN Locations: Israel, fintech, Vientiane, Laos, New York, London, Chicago
It has a price target of $68, implying more than 1% downside from Friday's close. — Sean Conlon 5:41 a.m.: Jefferies downgrades Apple Oversized expectations for the iPhone could hurt of Apple lower, according to Jefferies. Analyst Edison Lee downgraded the stock to hold from buy, and his price target of $212.92 implies more than 6% downside from Friday's close. His price target of $800, up from $650, implies upside of 11.2% from Friday's close. He kept his $550 price target unchanged, implying downside of more than 23%.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jefferies, Bernard von, Gizycki, — Sean Conlon, Wells, Ken Gawrelski, Fred Imbert, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, Lamb Weston, Ken Goldman, Goldman, Edison Lee, Lee, Matt Farrell, Farrell, Kannan Venkateshwar Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Apple, Alliance, Western Alliance, Deutsche Bank, WAL, Amazon, North America Retail, JPMorgan, U.S, Jefferies, AP, Barclays Locations: Wells Fargo, Europe, Friday's
The bank raised its 2024 S & P 500 target to 6,000 from 5,600. Goldman also raised its 12-month S & P 500 target to 6,300 from 6,000. But Goldman thinks ultimately earnings growth will lift markets further before the year is out. The S & P 500 is in the red for October so far. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S & P 500 earnings grew for a fifth straight quarter.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, That's, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Wells, Ken Gawrelski Organizations: Evercore ISI, CNBC, Federal Reserve, FactSet, North America Retail Locations: Friday's
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday explained why he's staying optimistic on Netflix , examining the bull and bear cases for the streamer by reviewing two recent analyst notes. Cramer compared reports from analysts at Barclays , who downgraded Netflix, and Piper Sandler , who upgraded the stock. According to the team at Barclays, Netflix may have trouble meeting its earnings goals, and the company's "growth algorithm will come with tradeoffs." And even if the streaming giant hits revenue targets, the analysts said Netflix's valuation assumes it can double its subscriber base, which "seems unrealistic." The analysts said Netflix can grow its subscriber base and has pricing power, adding that they're optimistic on the streamer's advertising potential.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, he's, , Cramer, Piper Sandler Organizations: Netflix, Barclays
Below, four market experts share how investors should allocate their money going forward. The US job market blew past economists' predictions, with total nonfarm payrolls increasing by 254,000 last month — over 100,000 more jobs than expected. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer, Independent Advisor AllianceThe job market is showing signs of strengthening with the September data. With that being said, the current environment presents many opportunities to invest in equities, according to Zaccarelli. "Recession fears are elevated, and we think those are underpriced, underappreciated parts of the market," Zaccarelli said.
Persons: , we've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, there'll, it's, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Shalett, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Independent
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