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Housing affordability is about to get even worse, thanks to the delayed impact of mortgage rates. In addition, some housing data come out with a two-month delay, they said on a podcast. That means that the spike in mortgage rates last month, when they hit the highest level since 2001, will take time to show up in purchases. Other experts have said affordability is unlikely to improve until mortgage rates dial back more significantly, which probably won't be happening anytime soon. Markets are expecting the Fed to keep interest rates elevated through the rest of the year as they monitor inflation, which could influence mortgage rates to stay elevated as well.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, it's, Morgan Stanley's Jim Egan, " Egan Organizations: Service Locations: Wall, Silicon
New York CNN —Former Wells Fargo executive Carrie Tolstedt was sentenced to three years’ probation on Friday for her role in the bank’s sprawling fake-accounts scandal. Wells Fargo has spent billions of dollars over the past eight years to settle allegations related to the accounts scandal, in which Tolstedt played a key role. Tolstedt, the only Wells Fargo executive to face criminal charges in the scheme, paid $17 million to settle a civil case with the the OCC, and $3 million to settle with the SEC. She received a $125 million retirement package when she left Wells Fargo, though the bank has clawed back about $67 million of that. Wells Fargo has struggled to get its house in order since the fake account scandal.
Persons: Carrie Tolstedt, Tolstedt, Wells Fargo, Wells, John Stumpf, Stumpf, Jeff Skilling, — CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Former Wells, Securities and Exchange Commission, OCC, SEC, Wells Locations: New York, Wells Fargo’s, Wells Fargo
Do You Flip Past Epigraphs? Don’t Tell Angie Kim.
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Elisabeth Egan | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
This is understandable; dedications can be cryptic and the copyright information feels like it’s meant for someone else. Consider the three quotes at the beginning of Angie Kim’s best-selling “Happiness Falls,” which she said help explain what inspired her to write the novel. Ultimately Kim selected snippets from Emily Dickinson (“I lost a World — the other day!/Has anybody found?”); Stephen Hawking (“It’s a crazy world out there. Be curious”); and Antoine de Saint-Exupery, whose book “The Little Prince” provides the most important part of the trio, she said. “That was the first time I read ‘The Little Prince’ in English.”
Persons: Angie Kim’s, Kim, Emily Dickinson, , Stephen Hawking, Antoine de Saint, Exupery, , I’m, , ” Kim, Locations: Seoul
New York CNN —US oil prices climbed above $90 a barrel on Thursday for the first time in 10 months, threatening to push gasoline prices even higher and heat up inflation across the economy. High oil prices have already created an unusual situation where gasoline is getting more expensive even after the summer driving season has ended. The latest oil market rally has been driven by concerns about supply. The recent jump in energy prices is undoing some of the progress made by central banks in the fight against inflation. A pair of inflation reports released this week showed prices rose by more than expected in August, in large part because of rising gas prices.
Persons: , Andy Lipow, Lipow, Brent Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Libya, Europe, Texas , New Mexico, United States, Colorado , North Dakota, California
“The automakers can’t plead poverty,” Fields told CNN on Wednesday, noting the industry’s recent string of profitable years. [Automakers’] CEO pay went up 40%. “But I do think he’s quite misplaced in that if there’s a work stoppage… there will be lots of people hurt,” the former Ford CEO said. However, economists say a UAW strike is unlikely to cause a recession, though it would do damage to local economies and parts suppliers. You can’t fault them for trying to deal with inflation that is hurting their families,” the former Chrysler CEO said.
Persons: Mark Fields, ” Fields, , , Jim Farley, Fields, CNN’s Vanessa Yurkevich, “ We’re, ” Farley, Shawn Fain, , ” Fain, Jake Tapper, Bob Nardelli, ” Nardelli, Goldman Sachs, “ It’s, Fain, Nardelli, Ron Gettelfinger, Ford, CNN’s Chris Isidore Organizations: New York CNN Business —, Detroit, Ford, GM, CNN, Chrysler, United Auto Workers, UAW, UPS, American Airlines, West Coast, TPG Capital, Anderson Economic Group, Big Locations: Mexico, Chihuahua
CEOs are having their worst year in decades
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
Oil prices hit 10-month highGlobal oil prices climbed above $92 a barrel on Tuesday for the first time in nearly 10 months, reports my colleague Matt Egan. Takeaways from Apple’s iPhone 15 eventTuesday was a big day for Apple as the tech titan unveiled its iPhone 15 lineup along with other major updates during its September keynote event. Among the highlights: The iPhone 15 Pro and iPhone 15 Pro Max now feature a titanium casing, allowing the design to be slimmer and thinner than before. The iPhone 15 comes in 5 colors (white, black, pink, green and yellow) and in two sizes: A 6.1-inch screen for the iPhone 15 and 6.7 inches for iPhone 15 Pro. The iPhone 15 will start at $799, and iPhone 15 Pro will start at $999.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, , Bernard Looney, Looney, Stewart Glendinning, Timothy Baxter, Baxter’s, Baxter, Macy’s, Rosalind Brewer, Neil Saunders, hasn’t, Matt Egan, Brent, Matt Smith, , Clare Duffy, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Max Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Ferguson Partners, BP, Express, Tyson Foods, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Walgreens, , Americas, AAA, Apple Locations: New York, , Libya, “ Libya, Kpler, Russia, Saudi Arabia
Oil prices hit 10-month high after Libya flood catastrophe
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
US oil prices popped 2.3% to as much as $89.29 a barrel, also the highest level since November. The latest rally for oil prices will continue to push up prices at the pump for consumers and add to inflation across the US economy. Gasoline prices, which lag oil prices, have edged higher this week as a result of that announcement. The EIA also raised its forecast for diesel and oil prices for the fourth quarter of this year and first quarter of next year. If these forecasts hold true, energy prices will continue to complicate central bankers’ efforts to tame inflation.
Persons: Brent, , Matt Smith, , Smith Organizations: New, New York CNN, , Americas, AAA, Government, US Energy Information Administration, Energy Department, EIA Locations: New York, Libya, “ Libya, Kpler, Russia, Saudi Arabia
Online prices plunge by the most in three years
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —Online shoppers were greeted by rapidly falling prices in August, marking another positive sign in the fight against inflation. For years, online shopping was the land of falling prices. Even online prices started to rise rapidly. But now, Adobe says annual online prices have been dropping for a full year. Of course, while prices are falling online, they’re still rising rapidly in other, highly visible areas.
Persons: Adobe Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Adobe Analytics, Adobe, Amazon, AAA Locations: New York
New York CNN —A top US Treasury official is heading to Hong Kong as the White House continues its quest to ease tensions with Beijing and avoid a destabilizing crisis. During the trip, Neiman — the highest-ranking Treasury official to visit Hong Kong since 2019 — plans to meet with government officials, private sector economists and executives from the financial and legal sectors. He is also set to meet with US companies that are members of the American Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong as well as with students. “Neiman will stress the United States’ focus on securing and advancing our economic and national security interests, along with those of our allies, and protecting human rights,” the Treasury official told CNN. Hong Kong is a semi-autonomous Chinese territory that is also the country’s international financial center.
Persons: Brent Neiman, Neiman, , “ Neiman, Ilaria Mazzocco, Joe Biden, Antony Blinken, John Kerry, Janet Yellen, Gina Raimondo, Yellen’s, Biden, Raimondo’s, can’t, Mazzocco, Yellen, Raimondo, , , ” Clayton Allen, ” Allen, ” Nikki Haley, Nikki Haley, CNN’s Jake Tapper, Wally Adeyemo, it’s, ” Adeyemo, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, Andrew King Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Treasury, US, Treasury, CNN, American Chamber of Commerce, Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, Apple, Huawei, Eurasia Group, Republican, Future Union Locations: New York, Hong Kong, Beijing, China, States, Washington, West, United States, “ China
Americans have never been wealthier
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
Consumer wealth has now completely recovered from the recent inflation-driven drop in stock prices and real estate holdings. This bump in wealth was driven mostly by a surge in the value of Americans’ stock market investments, which grew by $2.6 trillion during the quarter. Those rate hikes rocked financial markets, crushing the value of stock holdings, cooling the housing market and raising the specter of a recession. “Further, volatility in wealth since the onset of the pandemic will remind households of the fragility of any gains.”The stock market has rebounded in tandem with the US economy. And there are signs that some Americans are struggling to get by.
Persons: specter, , Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Joe Biden’s, Marc Rosen, ” Rosen Organizations: New, New York cnn, Federal Reserve, Moody’s Analytics, Bloomberg News, White, CNN, Wall Street, New York Federal Reserve Locations: New York, United States
New York CNN —The US Energy Department has issued an emergency order aimed at keeping the lights on in Texas as the state’s power grid grapples with surging demand amid record-high temperatures. The order, issued Thursday night, could allow Texas power plants to surpass pollution limits through Friday night to meet “abnormally high” demand for electricity. Jennifer Granholm, US secretary of energy, determined in the order that “an emergency exists in Texas due to a shortage of electric energy, a shortage of facilities for the generation of electric energy and other causes.”As the heat wave continues to shatter records across the country, including in Texas, energy demand for things like air conditioning have frequently taxed the state’s delicate power grid with wind and solar energy helping to prop it up. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas, which oversees the electric grid serving 90% of the state’s customers, filed a request for the emergency order Wednesday. ERCOT warned that power outages could become necessary if demand isn’t lowered or additional supply can’t be added.
Persons: Jennifer Granholm, ERCOT, CNN’s Robert Shackelford Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Energy Department, Dallas, Reliability, of Texas, Texans Locations: New York, Texas, Antonio
How Does a Best-Selling Author Name Her Characters?
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Elisabeth Egan | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Suddenly she knew she wanted to write about him — or a character inspired by him — in her 21st book. The man was “utterly nondescript,” the suspense novelist said in a phone interview. “I could see that his apartment had no softness to it, nothing on the walls,” Jewell explained. “He’s Walter Fair.” She already had a few ideas brewing for the novel that would become her latest best seller, “None of This Is True.” But Walter Fair was, as she put it, “the key that opened the last door” to the rest of the story. A name won’t necessarily serve as a springboard to inspiration, but Jewell always puts a lot of stock in the christening of characters.
Persons: Lisa Jewell, , , ” Jewell, Jewell, Walter, I’ve, “ He’s Walter Fair, Walter Fair, “ It’s, Sarah, Mike, “ Fox, , Wolf, “ Lamb Locations: London
By almost any objective measure, Americans are doing much better economically than they were nearly three years ago, when President Joe Biden took office. Inflation hangoverSharply higher prices in 2021 and 2022 marked a painful economic moment for households around the world. The partisan gapCNN’s latest poll shows that Republicans and Democrats are both souring on President Biden’s handling of the economy. “People are no longer telling us how they feel about the economy — really, they’re telling us how they feel about the president,” Wolfers said. Either way, that poses a political problem for President Biden, whose re-election campaign has sought to highlight the economy’s strengths.
Persons: New York CNN —, Joe Biden, SSRS, , There’s, , Justin Wolfers, Wolfers, That’s, ” Wolfers, you’d, ” Morgan Stanley, Jamie Kelter Davis, Carola Binder, , Biden, It’s, Biden’s, David Axelrod, — CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, University of Michigan, P Global Market Intelligence, Atlanta, Bloomberg, Getty, United, Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Haverford College, Biden, , White House Locations: New York, Wolfers, United States, Ukraine
New York CNN —Oil prices could climb well into triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia don’t unwind their aggressive supply cuts, Goldman Sachs warned its clients. Goldman Sachs had forecast Brent oil to be $86 in December and $93 at the end of 2024. First, Goldman Sachs expects Saudi oil supply to be 500,000 barrels per day smaller than previously anticipated. Secondly, Goldman Sachs warned that some of its assumptions for oil production may be incorrect if the OPEC+ cut extensions continue. In that scenario, Brent oil prices would likely climb to $107 a barrel in December 2024, the bank said.
Persons: Saudi Arabia don’t, Goldman Sachs, Brent, don’t, Jake Sullivan, Joe Biden, ” Sullivan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Brent, Saudi, Goldman, US National Security Locations: New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia, North, OPEC, Saudi
The world’s second-largest economy is grappling with growing financial distress, which means big problems for the nation’s nearly $3 trillion shadow banking industry. What’s happening: Shadow lenders, including trust firms, operate outside of the formal banking system. That’s because shadow banks are not just a problem in China. The key concern, said Towes, is whether Western organizations have loaned to shadow banks and are now vulnerable. Production cuts by OPEC+, which produces 40% of the world’s crude oil, have helped send oil prices higher in recent months, a development that could have repercussions for inflation and interest rates.
Persons: they’ve, , Phillip Toews, “ we’ve, Toews, that’s, Goldman Sachs, Matt Egan, That’s, It’s, , Jan Hatzius, ” Hatzius, , CNN’s Hanna Ziady, Brent, ” Stephen Innes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Asset Management, US, IMF, Global, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Ministry of Energy Locations: New York, China, Beijing, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC
New York CNN —JCPenney CEO Marc Rosen sees plenty of evidence that working-class families are struggling. “And that customer is facing a tougher economic environment.”The JCPenney CEO pointed to the snowballing effect inflation has had on family budgets, noting that the typical household is spending about $700 more per month than they did two years ago for the same goods and services. He pointed to strong private brand sales for apparel as well as for home goods like cookware and small appliances such as blenders and toasters. The JCPenney CEO wouldn’t directly answer whether the department store plans to return to the public markets through an initial public offering. “We think there are a lot of advantages right now to being a private company,” Rosen said, noting that JCPenney’s owners are reinvesting in the company and are taking a “long-term perspective” on that investment.
Persons: Marc Rosen, Liz Claiborne, Rosen, ” Rosen, delinquencies, , JCPenney, wouldn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, , JCPenney, New York Federal Reserve, ” Bank of America, Simon Property Group, Brookfield Asset Management Locations: New York
New York CNN —Goldman Sachs is increasingly confident that the US economy will stick the soft landing that many thought was nearly impossible to pull off. In a research report published Monday night, Goldman Sachs lowered its estimated chance of a US recession over the next 12 months to just 15%. Goldman Sachs pointed to “solid” job growth and rising real (inflation-adjusted) wages that should allow real disposable income to “reaccelerate” next year. The August jobs report, released late last week, showed that hiring remains solid, though it has slowed from the blockbuster pace of earlier in the post-pandemic recovery. “The August jobs report couldn’t be much better,” Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi wrote Friday on X, formerly known as Twitter.
Persons: New York CNN — Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs, That’s, It’s, , , Jan Hatzius, ” Hatzius, Hatzius, reaccelerate ”, Mark Zandi Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Bloomberg, Atlanta Locations: New York
CNN —Hurricane Idalia caused billions of dollars in damage, but the price tag won’t be nearly as high as other major hurricanes, Moody’s Analytics said Thursday. According to preliminary cost estimates from Moody’s, Hurricane Idalia caused between $12 billion and $20 billion in damage and lost output. For context, Hurricane Ian, which made landfall in Western Florida last year as a Category 4 storm, caused an estimated $112.9 billion of total damage in the United States, according to the National Hurricane Center. Not only that, but Kamins notes that property values in the Big Bend are lower than the rest of the state. Moody’s RMS plans to release official estimates of insured losses in the next two weeks.
Persons: Idalia, Ian, Adam Kamins, Kamins, ” Kamins Organizations: CNN, National Hurricane Center, Moody’s Locations: Moody’s, Western Florida, United States, Florida’s Big Bend
Labor Day weekend gas prices are near all-time highs
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Drivers hitting the roads this Labor Day weekend will be greeted by historically high gas prices for this time of the year. The good news is that gas prices are still well below the peak set in June 2022. Psychologically important pricesIt’s worth noting that while gas prices are high for this point of the calendar, these figures aren’t adjusted for inflation. Still, consumers are very sensitive to increases in gas prices, in part because of how visible they are. In fact, the Conference Board blamed the recent uptick in gas prices for driving down consumer confidence in August.
Persons: , John LaForge, Andy Lipow, – can’t, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Drivers, Labor, CNN, AAA, Wells, Investment Institute, Biden, Lipow Oil Associates, US Energy Information Administration, Conference Board Locations: New York, Illinois, Washington , Arizona, California, Russia, Saudi Arabia
It is thereby squeezing the pool of existing homes, which are typically more affordable than new construction. Public homebuilders on average have raised prices in about two-thirds of their communities, said BTIG analyst Carl Reichardt. This comes as the pricing gap between existing and new homes has narrowed, following a price appreciation in the resale market. "When the existing home market is seeing a price appreciation, it supports pricing power for new construction." However, as a consequence of recovery in new construction prices since last year, "affordability is close to its worst levels in at least the last three decades," said James Egan, Morgan Stanley housing strategist.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Carl Reichardt, Matthew Bouley, James Egan, Morgan Stanley, Egan, homebuilders, BTIG's Reichardt, Ananta Agarwal, Shinjini Organizations: Lennar Corporation, REUTERS, Federal Reserve Economic, Lennar, PulteGroup Inc, U.S . Census, National Association of Realtors, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Morristown, Morristown , New Jersey, U.S, Bengaluru
New York CNN —For years, Wells Fargo overcharged almost 11,000 investment advisory accounts about $27 million in fees, federal regulators alleged on Friday. Wells Fargo agreed to pay a $35 million civil penalty to settle the matter, without admitting or denying the SEC charges. The agency said Wells Fargo also paid account holders about $40 million — including interest — to reimburse customers who’d been overcharged. The SEC also said Wells Fargo overcharged some clients who opened accounts prior to 2014 through the end of 2022. Wells Fargo spokesperson Caroline Szyperski said Wells Fargo Advisors conducted a “thorough review” of accounts and has fully reimbursed affected customers.
Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, , ” Gurbir Grewal, Edwards, Caroline Szyperski, “ We’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Wells Fargo Advisors, Wachovia, Advisors Locations: New York, Wells Fargo overcharged, Wells, Wells Fargo
One Morning in Maine, 225 People Went to the Library
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Elisabeth Egan | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
It was a beach day, by Maine standards — slightly overcast and moderately balmy, with a hint of balsam in the air. But on a peak-summer morning in July, 225 people steered clear of state parks and went to Curtis Memorial Library in Brunswick instead. They were young and old, in strollers and on walkers and strutting the latest technical sandals. They wore pigtails, baby slings, ironic T-shirts, a head scarf, a lobster hat, a crown, a tiara and halos of white hair. As “Sal” McCloskey, now 78, settled into an armchair at the front of Morrell Reading Room, a hush fell over the undulating sea of children at her feet.
Persons: Curtis, Sarah McCloskey, Sal ”, Robert McCloskey, Ducklings ”, “ Sal ” McCloskey, Morrell, Matilda, Pippi, Eloise, haven’t Organizations: Curtis Memorial Library Locations: Maine, Brunswick, strollers
New York CNN Business —Washington plans to keep piling pressure on Russia through additional sanctions in a bid to force hard choices in Moscow, a senior US official tells CNN. The preparations of further economic punishments come as cracks emerge in Russia’s economy and society because of the war in Ukraine and sanctions from the West. The scramble in Russia to shore up the crumbling ruble shows the pressure on Moscow is working, the senior US official told CNN. The United States has steadily imposed sanctions on Russia and the US official said Washington plans to continue doing so in a bid to ramp up pressure. Former CIA director David Petraeus argues now is the time for the United States to crank up the pressure on Russia.
Persons: . Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Putin, David Petraeus, , ” Petraeus, Petraeus, , Ed Mills, Raymond James, Mills, Biden Organizations: New York CNN Business —, CNN, ., US, United, Washington, CIA, KKR Global Institute Locations: New York CNN Business — Washington, Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, United States, South Africa, Washington, United
James McBride Doesn’t Read Reviews. Here’s Why.
  + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Elisabeth Egan | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Between these poles are all forms of social media; and, on a different continent but still the same planet, reviews printed in the font you’re reading now. When it comes to all of the above, James McBride takes a page from Herman Melville’s short story “Bartleby, the Scrivener.” Like the titular clerk, McBride prefers not to — in his case, read reviews. I’m grateful that people read the work. If you’re writing about humans, you’ve got to be around humans. The big secret to writing good books is to stay around people, and not stay around what they write on the internet.”
Persons: James McBride, Herman Melville’s, Scrivener, McBride, “ I’m, , Danez Smith, ” McBride, , I’m, I’ve, , you’ve Locations: Columbia
New York CNN —With Nvidia earnings out of the way, the next test for US markets is Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s annual speech at the Jackson Hole economic summit on Friday. “In August of 2022, Powell knew the Fed had several more rate hikes to go. Macy’s sounds the alarm on credit card delinquenciesMacy’s is warning of a spike in customers who are failing to make credit card payments, adding to the evidence of mounting financial stress on consumers, reports my colleague Matt Egan. This situation is hurting Macy’s business, driving down credit card revenue by 36% year over year and contributing to a quarterly loss, he said. Citing worsening consumer leverage metrics, Macy’s is bracing for a further increase in “bad debt” in its credit card portfolio.
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, Powell, , — Powell, , Tom Graff, Matt Egan, ” Adrian Mitchell, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, Qiana Di, Di Bari, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Kansas, Fed, Dow Jones, , Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Wyoming, Maui, United States, Qiana Di Bari, Lahaina, Kahului
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