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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Goldman Sachs partner Abby Joseph Cohen on the markets, state of economy and 2024 electionAbby Joseph Cohen, Columbia Business School professor of business and former Goldman Sachs partner and chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, impact of the 2024 election, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Abby Joseph Cohen Organizations: Columbia Business School
Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with former Goldman Sachs partner Abby Joseph CohenAbby Joseph Cohen, Columbia Business School professor of business and former Goldman Sachs partner and chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, impact of the 2024 election, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Abby Joseph Cohen Abby Joseph Cohen Organizations: Columbia Business School
Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Wall Street's top performers are hard workers who tend to work long, intense hours. Business Insider asked its 2024 class of Wall Street stars about how they stay mentally sharp. Here's what we learned about the hacks, habits, and routines that help top talent on Wall Street stay on their game. The routine helps him stay present with his home life as well as work, he added. But I think those two things help me to at least stay recharged and stay ready each day," he said.
Persons: , Mark Zhu, Craig Kolwicz, Goldman Sachs, Corey White, Nina Gnedin, Blake Cecil, Chi Chen, Robert Sapolsky, Justin Elliott, Read, Palmer Osteen, KKR's, I've, That's, Daniela Cardona, America's White, Ben Carper, it's, there's, Matthew Eid, Holm, Reinhard Dirscherl, Melissa Ding, Wells, Annie Cheslin, she's, Margaret Williams, Morgan Stanley, Williams, Apollo's Austin Anton, Erica Wilson's, deadlifted, Harrison DiGia, Patrick Lenihan, barre, Elizabeth Stone Redding, Stone Redding, Matt Gilbert, Thoma, Gilbert, I'm, Dan, Feroz Khosla, isn't Organizations: Business, Service, Blackstone, Finance, Goldman, of America, Man Group, Productivity, Bridgewater Associates, Bank of America, Fidelity Investments, RBC, Bank, America's, Jefferies, Capital Advisory, Ares Management, Getty, BlackRock, Blue, General Atlantic, JPMorgan Asset Management, TPG, Thoma Bravo, Citadel Securities Locations: Blackstone, Chicago, San Francisco, Coast, Boston, Silicon Valley, New York, I'm, Maldives, he's, Thailand, Central Park
Family office employees, in turn, can be paid on par with, or even better than, banking, private equity, and other top finance jobs. AdvertisementBillionaires like Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, and Google co-founder Sergey Brin have established family offices in the city-state. Family office staff need to learn on the fly — even about racehorses. Managing multiple family membersIn family offices, technical brilliance alone isn't enough to secure a role. Westall shared a story of a family office executive who started as a cleaner while he was in film school.
Persons: , Ray Dalio, Sergey Brin, Mukesh Ambani, Jack, Paul Westall, Goldman Sachs, Westall, Jimmy Soh, Soh, Pierre Pineau, that's, Pineau, Mike Campbell, there's, who's Organizations: Service, Bridgewater Associates, Google, Business, Agreus, Goldman, AP, Ivy League, Mandoga Locations: Singapore, Hong Kong, Asia, Europe
Alphadyne Asset Management hired JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen as a commodity index portfolio manager. Hedge funds like Balyasny and Jain Global have poached big bank commodity traders in recent years. Byuen, global head of commodity index trading, joined the bank in 2012 out of college, according to his LinkedIn profile and industry records. More recently, Jain Global, the most hyped new hedge fund launch in years, hired BofA's Max Lee, head of commodity and FX systematic strategy trading. Commodities is a top strategy at the fund, which brought in ex-Macquarie exec David Hochberg to lead the unit.
Persons: JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen, , wasn't, Thomas Byuen, Max Lee, Mike Severo, LMR, Goldman Sachs, Will Scott, Morgan Stanley, Dan Deighton, Balyasny, Deighton's, BofA's Max Lee, David Hochberg Organizations: Asset Management, Jain, Service, Alphadyne, Management, JPMorgan, Verition Fund Management, Balyasny Asset Management, LMR Partners, Commodities, Macquarie Locations: BofA
The recent stimulus-triggered rally in Chinese stocks could have legs, said Goldman Sachs, whose strategists upgraded the regional equities and projected high double-digit returns. The Wall Street firm hiked its rating on Chinese stocks to overweight from equal weight and raised its 12-month price target on the MSCI China index to 84, implying an upside between 15% to 18%. The announcement prompted massive buying from hedge funds, who piled into beaten-down Chinese stocks like never before. the long-awaited "Beijing put" has been triggered," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients. The iShares MSCI China ETF climbed another 2.7% on Monday, jumping more than 30% from its mid-September low and pushing the fund's 2024 return to more than 40%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, bullish, , Michael Bloom Locations: China, Beijing
Ayesha Ofori worked in wealth management for Goldman Sachs for six years. AdvertisementThis as-told-to essay is based on a transcribed conversation with 40-year-old Ayesha Ofori, CEO of Propelle, from London, about her experience working at Goldman Sachs. If you'd asked me what success looked like at the time, it would've been being a partner at Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementSaving money isn't enoughWhen I was at Goldman Sachs, I noticed we didn't have many women clients. When I worked at Goldman Sachs, I was focused on paying off my student loans and saving money.
Persons: Ayesha Ofori, Goldman Sachs, Ofori, , Goldman, I'd, you'd, would've, I'm, It's, I've, you'll Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs, Business, Columbia Business School, Goldman, Invest Locations: London, New York
Vista struck a deal to sell its sporting goods unit, Revelyst, to investment firm Strategic Value Partners for $1.1 billion, according to a statement seen by Reuters. Taken together, the two deals value Vista at $45 per share, topping a rival $43 per share offer from MNC Capital, an investment firm led by former Vista board member Mark Gottfredson. The sale of Revelyst is expected to close by January, subject to regulatory approvals and the completion of the CSG deal. In June, the CSG deal was cleared by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, which reviews foreign investments over possible national security concerns. In July, Vista launched a strategic review to explore all its options, after failing to gather investor support for the CSG deal.
Persons: Vista, Mark Gottfredson, Michael Callahan, Glass Lewis, David Geenberg, MNC's, Victor Khosla, Morgan Stanley, Moelis, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Flag, New York Stock Exchange, Partners, Reuters, Czechoslovak Group, CSG, MNC Capital, Vista, MNC, Institutional, Services, Federal, Remington, Foresight, Bushnell Golf, North, Foreign Investment, Strategic Value Partners, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Prague, Revelyst, Minnesota, Russia, Ukraine, North America, United States, Colleyville , Texas
It's officially a new trading month, and HSBC recommends investors broaden their exposure in the fourth quarter by seeking out stocks with more reasonable valuations. "These 'big' companies represent the lion's share of equity index returns year to date." HSBC has a buy rating on the stock. In all, 16 of the 29 analysts covering GM have a strong buy or buy rating, and its average price target of $54.35 implies nearly 19% upside from Friday's close, per LSEG. The remaining 11 have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: It's, Nicole Inui, General Motors, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: HSBC, Dow, Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, General, GM, Pharmaceutical, Pfizer, Delta Air Lines Locations: Americas, U.S
Dealmaking activity has picked up, but it's not been enough to fully unlock Morgan Stanley shares. Morgan Stanley ended Friday within a dollar of its all-time closing high of $108.73 reached back in February 2022. Friday's positive developments are welcome news – but not enough to add clarity on our path forward for Morgan Stanley. For the time being, the Club is taking a wait-and-see approach with Morgan Stanley stock. If there is a surge in IPO and M & A activity that HSBC forecasted, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to benefit.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Jim, Goldman Sachs, it's, Wells, We're, Morgan, Banks, Dan Simkowitz, Jim Cramer's, Bing Guan Organizations: HSBC, KBW, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty
Just how high prices would go depends on whether OPEC uses its spare oil capacity to plug the gap, Struyven said. Here are today's energy prices:Though oil prices have surged this week on geopolitical tensions, they have risen from a low baseline. "The risk to the oil price outlook are definitely significant," Struyven told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" Friday. The oil market had largely ignored the escalating war in the Middle East until Iran launched nearly 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday. The risk premium has been modest because there haven't been sustained supply disruptions over the past two years despite high geopolitical tensions, Struyven said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, Struyven, CNBC's, Brent, haven't Organizations: OPEC Locations: Israel, Israeli, China, East, Iran
The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S
Warren Buffett has sold 23% of his Bank of America stake for about $10 billion since mid-July. AdvertisementWarren Buffett has followed up the surprise paring of his Apple stake by taking a knife to another of his largest holdings: Bank of America. Berkshire has slashed its stake from 1.03 billion shares to 794 million shares, reducing its ownership from 13.2% to 10.2%. Related storiesBuffett might also be rebalancing Berkshire's $300 billion stock portfolio in line with his smaller Apple bet. True to his bargain-hunter reputation, Buffett topped up his Bank of America stake in 2020, when the pandemic-hit stock was trading around $25.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, , Berkshire Hathaway, hasn't, he's, Goldman Sachs, There's, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway's, Express, Service, Berkshire, Securities, Exchange, Apple, American Express, Oracle, of America, Bank of, JPMorgan Locations: Berkshire, , Thursday's, Omaha
The oil tanker 'Devon' prepares to transfer crude oil from Kharg Island oil terminal to India in the Persian Gulf, Iran, on March 23, 2018. Oil prices could shoot up $20 per barrel if Iranian production sees a hit resulting from Israeli retaliation, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. crude oil prices just saw a third consecutive session of gains after Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on Israel, heightening tensions in the region. If Israel hits Iran's oil industry, supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could become of concern, other analysts echoed. This strategically significant waterway connects crude oil producers in the Middle East with major global markets.
Persons: Struyven, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, Saul Kavonic, Joe Biden, Brent Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, Oil, CNBC, White, bbl, USD150, Fitch Solutions, BMI Locations: Devon, India, Persian Gulf, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, U.S, China, Hormuz, Strait, Oman, OPEC
Goldman Sachs says a period of underperformance for LivaNova stock could be ending and see shares gain more than 20%. Roman initiated coverage of the medical device stock with a buy rating and a $65 per share price target. Shares have advanced roughly 3% in 2024, significantly underperforming the S & P 500's nearly 20% gain. Roman ties the underperformance to "strategic shifts in the business and pipeline setbacks" for much of the year which also pressured LivaNova's earnings. LIVN YTD mountain LivaNova stock.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Roman, LivaNova
Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.
Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province
Banks up : Financials were also strong Friday, with Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley our top performers on the session. Beer boss : Shares of Club stock Constellation Brands were bouncing Friday, one day after a steep post-earnings slide . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, WTI, Prices, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Beer, Bill Newlands, Newlands, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Fed, West Texas, Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, NEC, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Constellation, Morning, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Israel, Mexico, Wells
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy's still very solid if you look at a broad range of indicators, says Goldman's Jan HatziusJan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Hatzius' thoughts on Friday's jobs report, the economic revisions, and if extreme weather will impact future economic data.
Persons: Goldman's Jan Hatzius Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs
One thing seems clear: The company is burning through far more cash than it’s bringing in, according to reporting from the New York Times. (That’s revenue largely from subscriptions to premium versions of ChatGPT and licensing its tech to third-party developers.) Here’s where things get a little wild:Next year, OpenAI estimates that its revenue will more than triple to $11.6 billion. It’s not clear how, or whether, OpenAI is working on reducing its significant cash burn. “It has nothing to do with reality.”One way OpenAI could improve its margins would be to cut costs.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, Goldman Sachs, that’s, Gil Luria, Davidson, ” Luria, , Luria, There’s, OpenAI, Sam Altman, we’ve, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Google, Pfizer, Microsoft, Nvidia, Ark Investment Management, Apple, Wall Street, New York Times, Times, CNN, CNBC, Bravo, Locations: New York, Silicon Valley, Silicon
For sale: The rights to show at least seven NFL games a year, plus a lot of other NFL content. AdvertisementHere's a riddle: Some of the most valuable programming in TV has been for sale for years. The NFL has also been trying to sell the NFL network for several years. AdvertisementThe NFL Network, which has been around for a couple of decades, is a mish-mash of NFL-related content. At one point the NFL was hoping to tie the sale of the NFL Network to Sunday Ticket, its popular all-the-games-you-can-watch subscription service.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Larry, David Ellison's Skydance, Skydance Organizations: NFL, NFL Network, Service, NFL Network —, Minnesota Vikings, New York Jets, YouTube, ESPN, Bloomberg, Paramount, Vikings, Jets Locations: London
OpenAI has a $4 billion revolving line of credit, bringing its total liquidity to more than $10 billion, CNBC has learned. The base credit line is $4 billion, with an option to increase it by an additional $2 billion. Led by Thrive Capital, which planned to invest $1 billion, investors included existing backer Microsoft as well as chipmaker Nvidia. SoftBank, Khosla Ventures, Altimeter Capital, Fidelity Management & Research Company, MGX and Tiger Global also participated, according to sources familiar with the situation. Earlier this year, OpenAI was valued at a reported $80 billion, up from $29 billion in 2023.
Persons: Sam Altman, OpenAI, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Mira Murati, Bob McGrew, Barret Zoph, Altman, Bret Taylor, Sam, Taylor Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, Citi, UBS, HSBC, Microsoft, Nvidia, SoftBank, Khosla Ventures, Fidelity Management & Research Company, Tiger Global, The New York Times Locations: Santander, Wells Fargo, SMBC
MrBeast has acquired a startup called Vouch, which aids creators in hiring and job postings. Vouch uses AI for job matching and was backed by VCs like Seven Seven Six and other investors. AdvertisementYouTube's top creator, MrBeast, has expanded his estimated $700 million a year business empire by acquiring the startup Vouch. Pesis brought on Patrick Dudek, also a former Cameo employee, to the Vouch team to help scale the platform. AdvertisementVouch was backed by Seven Seven Six, Liquid 2 Ventures, Shrug Capital, Niche Capital, WorkPlay Ventures, and angel investors including Andreas Klinger and Siqi Chen.
Persons: MrBeast, VCs, , Marty Pesis, they've, Pesis, Jimmy Donaldson, Donaldson, Safiya Nygaard, Danny Duncan, Goldman Sachs, we're, Kara McCloud, Patrick Dudek, Hayden Hillier, Smith, Andreas Klinger, Siqi Chen Organizations: Service, LinkedIn, YouTube, Business, Stokes Twins, AMP, Cameo, Seven Seven, Shrug, Niche, WorkPlay Ventures
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