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Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Markets: Stocks are slightly lower Thursday, but not far from the S & P 500 's record close set Wednesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Salesforce, Piper Sandler, Laggard, Analysts, It's, Piper, Salesforce's, Lisa Su, Su, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., CRM, Nvidia, AMD, AMD's, UBS, Broadcom, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Bank of New York Mellon, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Wells Fargo
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
Hedge funds that recently flocked into Chinese stocks on stimulus hopes just did a 180. The net selling was 1.4 times larger than the previous record, Goldman said. "As NDRC underwhelmed, hedge funds rapidly sold off Chinese equities," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients on Wednesday. "Hedge funds not only unwound their long positions but added shorts to their books as well, with long sells being double the amount of short sells." Hedge funds had only just piled into the developing market at a record pace one week before , as Beijing's rare stimulus blitz unleashed newfound optimism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Tepper, Mehran Nakhjavani Organizations: National Development, Appaloosa Management, CNBC, China's CSI, MRB Partners Locations: China
Markets just keep rallying this year, with the S & P 500 up nearly 22% year-to-date and the Nasdaq jumping around 21%. In global stocks, the MSCI World index is around 16% higher. Meanwhile, recent data indicates that the U.S. Federal Reserve could be close to pulling off the much-discussed economic soft landing . With markets already running high, CNBC Pro screened for global stocks that have outperformed the MSCI World index, but still look cheap based on their forward price-to-earnings ratios. Returns of more than 16% so far this year, beating the MSCI World index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Mary Ann Bartels Organizations: Nasdaq, Fed, U.S . Federal, CNBC Pro Locations: Wells Fargo
Indexes slipped Thursday as investors priced in a higher-than-expected inflation reading. The data raises the possibility of a "no landing" scenario for the US economy. AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday from records reached in the previous session, as traders took in a sticky inflation reading for September. September consumer price index data released on Thursday showed inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above consensus forecasts of a 2.3% rise. AdvertisementThe core CPI reading, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, was up 3.3% year-over-year and just above forecasts of 3.2%.
Persons: , Stocks, Hurricane Milton, Jamie Dimon, Buffett Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Investors, Labor Department, Here's, Insurance Locations: Hurricane
Hong Kong CNN —Global investors went wild during China’s just-concluded Golden Week holiday by snapping up “everything” related to the country. But that optimism didn’t extend to shoppers and travelers in the world’s second-largest economy itself. “Low tourism spending per head and subdued services prices highlighted still weak domestic demand and continued consumption downgrading,” they said. Goldman Sachs added that anecdotal evidence indicates hotel prices and airfares during the holiday were lower than year-ago levels. According to official data, cross-border travel rose by about 26% to 13 million trips, compared with last year’s holiday period.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Xi Jinping, David Tepper Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Global, Citi, Management, CNBC, Hong, National Development, Reform Commission, Ministry of Finance Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Indexes dipped Thursday as investors took in hotter-than-expected inflation data. Traders see the latest data solidifying odds of a 25 basis point rate cut next month. AdvertisementUS stocks edged lower on Thursday as investors took in slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data after last week's blockbuster jobs report. The core CPI reading, which excludes food and energy costs, came in at 3.3% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts of 3.2% and 0.3% higher than the August reading. JPMorgan's top strategist, one of Wall Street's biggest bears, is turning upbeat on the stock market for the first time in two years.
Persons: , Milton, Bill Gross Organizations: Traders, Service, CPI, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Labor Department, FEMA, Hurricanes Locations: Here's
The S&P 500 and Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund have surged over 30% in 2024. GuruFocus tracks top investors' stock picks, highlighting 15 popular stocks among gurus. The stock market has boom-and-bust cycles and periods of sector rotations. Some have taken to copying the so-called investing gurus of our world. The bucket of allocators adds up to more than 140 investors and funds, including Buffett and Fisher.
Persons: Ken Fisher, Warren Buffett, contrarian, , it's, He's, Buffett, Fisher Organizations: Market, Service, Market Index
Indexes hit fresh all-time highs ahead of the key inflation report for September due Thursday. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming inflation data and took in the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting. The stakes of the next inflation reading have risen after the big September jobs number, and Wall Street could be in for some volatility in the event of an upside surprise, Bank of America said this week. Central bankers predicted inflation would fall to 2% by 2026, while risks to economic strength were "tilted to the downside." According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds for another jumbo-sized rate cut in 2024 have fallen to zero.
Persons: , Josh Hirt, Oliver Allen Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Nasdaq, Justice, Treasury, Here's, Fed, Bank of America, Vanguard, Pantheon
New York CNN —Hopes for avoiding a recession are growing on Wall Street. Now, investors are looking to the upcoming earnings season for clues about the US economy’s health. The earnings season begins in earnest Friday with quarterly updates from big banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock. Wall Street will also parse the September Consumer Price Index report and wholesale inflation figures due later this week. Wall Street will also eye developments from the tech companies whose mammoth stock returns have helped power this year’s bull market.
Persons: Motors, , , Sarah Henry, Wells, Mark Malek, Siebert, Dave Sekera Organizations: New, New York CNN, Economic, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Logan Capital, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Tech, , FactSet, Apple, Nvidia, Communication, Morningstar Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, BlackRock
As investors consider whether — and how — to invest in China, two experts share their views on the market right now. "We believe the scale and focus of these measures, particularly the targeted liquidity injection, address the critical issue of insufficient domestic capital flows into China's stock market. 'China is no longer cheap' Lorraine Tan, director of Asia's equity research at Morningstar, is more cautious looking ahead. "At this point in time, China markets are no longer cheap. Stocks on her radar include "higher quality, moaty names," such as fast-food restaurant chain Yum China Holdings and property developer China Resources Land .
Persons: Jingwei Chen, , Europe —, Chen, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI, Wall, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, Companies, BYD, Tencent Holdings, Morningstar, China Holdings, China Resources Locations: China, Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong
JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.
Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks
Morgan Stanley notes October as a key month for tax-loss harvesting. Tax-loss harvesting can also be used to offset income by up to $3,000 a year. There are a couple of ways to counter your tax bill through tax-loss harvesting. IRS rules allow you to reduce your taxable income by up to $3,000 in a year from capital losses. According to the Morgan Stanley note, stocks that are susceptible to downward price pressure due to tax-loss harvesting typically see the most downside in October.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Chris Chen, Chen, that's Organizations: Service, Insight Financial, Walmart, Target
US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.
Persons: , Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice
The relationship between Trump and Putin has long been a source of controversy. AdvertisementWith only a month to go before the presidential election, Donald Trump's relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin has once again come under the spotlight. In a forthcoming book, journalist Bob Woodward says that the former president and Putin have a closer friendship than previously known. The Ukraine war has already roiled markets for food, oil, gas, and other products, and wider conflict could have an even more devastating impact. If Russian President Vladimir Putin is victorious in Ukraine, it may embolden Chinese leader Xi Jinping to invade Taiwan.
Persons: Trump, Putin, , Donald Trump's, Vladimir Putin, Bob Woodward, Steve Cheung, Woodward, Robert Mueller, Yuri Gripas, Joe Biden, he'd, he's, JD Vance, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Philip Ingram, Zelenskyy, Kenneth Rogoff, William Pomerantz, Vance, Xi, Ingram, Xi Jinping, Sergei Savostyanov, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, William Reinsch, Kamala Harris, Harris, Pomeranz Organizations: Service, CNN, Washington Post, Putin, Trump, Kremlin, REUTERS, Republicans, International Monetary Fund, Wilson Center, Getty, JPMorgan, CNBC, TV18, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Wall Street Locations: Ukraine, Russia, British, Europe, Washington ,, China, Russian, Taiwan, NATO, Asia, India, Pennsylvania
Billionaire investor Bill Gross says the stock market's record-breaking run is set to slow. His favorite investments at the moment include MLP pipelines and municipal income funds. "No bear market, but it's not the same bull market anymore," Gross said, adding that equities are set for "low buy positive" returns going forward. He also sees municipal income funds as a worthwhile investment, as many have offered over 7% tax-free yields. Gross named the DWS Municipal Income Trust as one example but noted that there are between 20 and 30 others to choose from.
Persons: Bill Gross, , it's, Gross, MLPs, Kamala Harris, Warren Buffett Organizations: Service, Annaly Capital Management, Trust Locations: DWS
Passengers line up to check in at Chengdu Tianfu International Airport on October 6, 2024 as China's week-long National Day holiday draws to a close. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's Golden Week holiday affirmed a trend in more cautious spending, while consumers put greater emphasis on experiences. The Golden Week holiday in China commemorates the founding of the People's Republic of China on Oct. 1. "The Golden Week consumption could still suggest a modest recovery versus August, in our view, due to trade-in subsidies (for appliances and autos) and consumption vouchers issued by the local governments," Peng said. During Golden Week, mainland China recorded 765 million domestic trips, up from both the prior year and before the pandemic, according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Trip.com, Kenneth Chow, Oliver Wyman, Chow, It's, Christine Peng, Peng Organizations: Chengdu Tianfu International, China News Service, Getty, BEIJING, China Film Administration, Consumers, CNBC, UBS, Ministry of Culture, Tourism Locations: Chengdu, China, People's Republic of China, Greater China, Japan, Thailand
China's stock markets slumped after a 10-day rally that was driven by Beijing's stimulus announcement in September. Retail investors dominate China's markets, influencing sentiment and market movements. AdvertisementChina's top leadership has a problem with its economic stimulus: its own investors at home saw right through the hype this week. China's domestic stock markets slumped on Wednesday after a 10-day blitz culminated in a two-year high. China's domestic stock markets are dominated by over 200 million mom-and-pop retail investors, who account for about 70% of the trading volume.
Persons: , weren't, Jun Rong, that's, Vishnu, Li Qiang, Hele Qiao, Qiao Organizations: Investors, Service, People's Bank of China, Reform Commission, BofA Global Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Xinhua, Greater China, China's
Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, , Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's
The third quarter earnings season will take its first big steps this week, but Wall Street has already been dialing back expectations for months. That shift could be a sign that Wall Street is losing confidence in corporate America. 7 and Other 493 earnings are expected to slow in 3Q, but Other 493 earnings are expected to re-accelerate to low-to-mid teens growth starting in 4Q, while Mag. PepsiCo reported mixed results for the third quarter on Tuesday, as the food and beverage company beat on earnings but saw softer sales numbers. Delta Airlines and JPMorgan Chase are some of the heavy hitters on deck for later in the week.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Bank of America, 4Q, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, JPMorgan Chase Locations: America
The 9 Elements of a Trump Rally
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Ian Prasad Philbrick | Ashley Wu | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +89 min
We have some voters, they’re for us, but they’ve never voted and they’re going to want to vote. There’s something wrong with Kamala and I just don’t know what it is, but there is definitely something missing. They’re going to get him in Florida.” It was always… That seemed to be the documents case. That’s great. They’re great.
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Foreign investors now hold 39% of Peru's sovereign bond market holdings, the highest level across all emerging market countries. This underscores the increasingly positive sentiment surrounding the Peru's fixed income outlook. "It has recognized the need to provide international investors positive returns on domestic assets, and for central banks to be aligned with international investors and provide positive returns on domestic assets." "In some sense, the lack of a strong executive has led to better fixed income outcomes," Austerweil added. Dhawan also underscored that Peruvian fixed income is a high quality market for foreign investors.
Persons: Moody's, Dina Boluarte's, Pramol Dhawan, Pimco, Dhawan, David Austerweil, Soberano, Austerweil Organizations: Southern Copper Corp, Lawmakers, Peruvian, International Monetary Fund, Central Reserve Bank of, Bank of America, Mining Locations: Peru, Sol, Central Reserve Bank of Peru, America, U.S, Peruvian, China
China's stock markets surged post-National Day break, driven by pent-up investor demand. Investors are assessing further economic stimulus measures from Beijing. AdvertisementChina's stock markets surged on Tuesday on pent-up demand from a weeklong trading break. Even before Tuesday's opening, China's social media was abuzz with what the stock markets may hold following the weeklong public holiday break. On Tuesday, hashtags about mainland China's stock market rushed to the top of Weibo's trending list.
Persons: , Jun Rong, Yeap Organizations: Service, Beijing's, CSI, National Development, Reform Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, hashtags
Hong Kong CNN —China has set aside 200 billion yuan ($28 billion) for investment projects by local governments this year, as it promised to meet its own ambitious economic growth targets. China announced a 5% target growth rate in March, but a series of economic data over the summer has been so weak that economists were worried the goal might be missed. To help local governments struggling with mountains of debt, Beijing will provide 100 billion yuan ($14 billion) from the central government’s budget and an extra 100 billion yuan for investment projects, Zheng said. Nevertheless, investors were disappointed at the lack of details on new fiscal measures,” Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist for HSBC, told CNN. Fiscal measures, on the other hand, can include the use of taxation or other measures to impact public spending more directly.
Persons: ” Zheng Shanjie, Zheng, Xi Jinping, Fred Neumann, What’s, Jia Kang, , … Jia Kang, , Xi, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Development, Reform Commission, HSBC, CNN, , Ministry of Finance, Citi, People’s Bank of China Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen
But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S
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