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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWage growth is starting to steady and sideline, says ADP chief economistNela Richardson, ADP chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest ADP data, the wage growth breakdown, and more.
The Fed will get to 5%, but quickly start to retreat so that the year-end rate is going to be 4.6%, according to the Fed Survey. The Fed interest rate policy path is pretty clear for the next few months of Federal Reserve FOMC meetings. Fear of recession dipped in the latest Fed Survey, but it's still elevated, with 51% of respondents expecting a recession. The Fed Survey doesn't have a positive outlook on growth for 2023, but isn't forecasting negative growth either. But one consumer CFO did say that the way price increases are "pushed through" is becoming more strategic as opposed to across-the-board.
44% of CNBC Fed survey respondents see rate cuts this year
  + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email44% of CNBC Fed survey respondents see rate cuts this yearCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the results from the most recent Federal Reserve survey.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is slowing but high prices of consumer goods remain stickyCNBC's Melissa Repko and Steve Liesman join 'Power Lunch' to discuss about sticky inflation in consumer goods, private label as an alternative to high prices from vendors, and hotspots for ongoing service inflation.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNABE survey: Businesses see lower odds U.S. in or entering a recessionCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Squawk Box' to break down the findings from an important new survey conducted by the National Association for Business Economics on the nation's economic outlook.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Williams: Inflation remains too high, Fed has more work to doCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on comments from the New York Federal Reserve president John Williams.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Gov. Chris Waller say he favors 25 basis point interest rate hike at next FOMC meetingCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'The Exchange' to discuss comments made by Fed Governor Chris Waller about declines in inflation in certain areas, and the need for continued rate increases.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he favors a quarter percentage point interest rate increase at the next meeting, as he waits for more evidence that inflation is heading in the right direction. Other officials, such as Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, have pointed to a 0.25 percentage point increase at the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 FOMC meeting, but Waller is the highest-ranking member to be that explicit. While the market and the Fed appear to be on the same page with where rates go in the short term, there is divergence further out. Waller said the divergence is largely about perception for where inflation is going to go. "The market has a a very optimistic view that inflation is just going to melt away.
Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak Friday at 1 p.m. before the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. Waller's remarks are the last before Fed officials enter a blackout period prior to their Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting. Markets widely expect the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee to raise its benchmark interest rate another quarter percentage point, taking it to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%. Other Fed officials in recent days have said they think rates still need to go higher, but in smaller increments than the hikes that boosted the fed funds rate by 4.25 percentage points in 2022.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDespite inflation declines, rates need to be sufficiently restrictive, says Fed's BrainardCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'The Exchange' to discuss comments made by Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard, the relationship between pricing and rate of increase, and profit margins relative to retail mark-ups.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPhilly Fed president says it's appropriate to hike rates a few more times in 2023CNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Closing Bell' with news from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, who thinks it's appropriate to hike rates a few more times this year.
The latest Fed Beige Book reports economic activity is unchanged
  + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe latest Fed Beige Book reports economic activity is unchangedCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the latest release of the Fed Beige Book, slowing pace of price increases, robust gains in tourism and a moderate growth to employment in most districts.
How Covid could impact China's reopening
  + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow Covid could impact China's reopeningCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss growth in China's economy this year and the impact reopening the economy could have on global markets.
Investors in the week ahead will focus on how much inflation and the slowing economy have chiseled away at corporate profits, as companies including Goldman Sachs , Netflix and Procter & Gamble report earnings. "This is going to be the start of the clock ticking on an earnings recession," said Amanda Agati, chief investment officer of PNC Asset Management Group. Economic recession talk heats up "There's never been a recession without an earnings recession since World War II," Agati said. Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial, said this coming earnings week could be an important step towards assessing the health of corporate balance sheets. Week ahead calendar Monday Martin Luther King Jr. Day Markets closed Tuesday Earnings: Goldman Sachs , Morgan Stanley , Citizens Financial, United Airlines, Interactive Brokers 8:30 a.m.
Tensions over rates grow between the markets and the Fed
  + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTensions over rates grow between the markets and the FedCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss inflation projections, growing tensions between the market and the Fed, and the potential market response to upcoming Fed funds rates.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed President Patrick Harper: 25 basis points will be appropriate going forwardCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Squawk on the Street' to share breaking news from Fed President Patrick Harper regarding interest rate plans for Fed policy objectives in 2023.
New inflation data on deck: What it means for the Fed
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew inflation data on deck: What it means for the FedCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his expectations for today's CPI report, what the report means for year-over-year inflation rates, and whether or not the lag effects of monetary policy will be reflected in the print.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt would be premature for the Fed to stop raising rates, says fmr. Fed Vice Chair Randal QuarlesFormer Fed Vice Chair Randal Quarles joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the Fed and what it's likely to do about interest rates. With CNBC's Steve Liesman.
December small business survey shows inflation optimism
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDecember small business survey shows inflation optimismCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on a new survey from the NFIB.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed rhetoric remains hawkish as signs point to a slowing economyCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the recent Federal Reserve rhetoric regarding the Federal Funds rate.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe tone-deaf Fed: Is the central bank reacting correctly to the data? CNBC's Steve Liesman on whether the Fed is looking at the right data. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Karen Finerman, Dan Nathan, Guy Adami and Steve Grasso.
Is the Fed tone-deaf?
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIs the Fed tone-deaf? CNBC's Steve Liesman joins the 'Halftime Report' to discuss his takeaways from the latest Fed remarks, share expectations for the February Fed meeting and unpack the divergence between data and Fed action.
"It doesn't really change my outlook at all," Bostic told CNBC's Steve Liesman during a live interview at a conference in New Orleans. Still, Bostic said he expects another rate increase of either a quarter or half percentage point when it releases its decision Feb. 1. Bostic is a nonvoting member this year of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee; he will vote again in 2024. Fed officials at their December meeting expressed concern that the public might misinterpret the Fed's move to a small rate hike — 0.5 percentage point from four straight 0.75 percentage point moves — as an easing in policy. Bostic emphasized that the Fed can't "claim victory prematurely" and needs not only to keep pushing rates higher, but to keep them there.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFour experts break down December's better-than-expected jobs reportTyler Goodspeed, Cato Institute adjunct scholar and former acting CEA chairman, Jason Furman, professor at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government and former CEA chair, Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, Nela Richardson, ADP chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman and Rick Santelli join 'Squawk Box' to react to the December jobs report.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed waiting on lagging trends will create storm clouds for businesses, says MKM's Michael DardaCNBC's Steve Liesman and Rick Santelli are joined by Michael Darda, MKM Partners chief economist, on 'The Exchange' to discuss the Fed minutes, rate hikes, inflation and the economy.
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