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☆ Earnings are reinforcing the still-resilient consumer, says Edward Jones' Mahajan
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings are reinforcing the still-resilient consumer, says Edward Jones' MahajanMona Mahajan, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones, and Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist for Leuthold Group, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether equities are in a bear or bull market rally, what happens when recession fears surpass inflation fears, and more.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Edward Jones' Mona Mahajan and Leuthold Group's Jim Paulse
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Edward Jones' Mona Mahajan and Leuthold Group's Jim PaulseMona Mahajan, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones, and Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist for Leuthold Group, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether equities are in a bear or bull market rally, what happens when recession fears surpass inflation fears, and more.

☆ U.K. Treasury chief scraps nearly all government tax cut plans
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Associated Press | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +4 min

U.K. Treasury chief Jeremy Hunt on Monday reversed most of an economic package announced by the government just weeks ago, including a planned cut to income tax. In a bid to soothe turbulent financial markets, Hunt said he was scrapping “almost all” the tax cuts announced last month and signaled public spending cuts are on the way. The unfunded tax cuts fueled investor concern about unsustainable levels of government borrowing, which pushed up government borrowing costs, raised home mortgage costs and sent the pound plummeting to an all-time low against the dollar. Hunt was under pressure to act before financial markets opened on Monday because the central bank’s support for the bond market ended Friday. The U.K. currency is now trading for roughly the same price it was on Sept. 22, the day before Kwarteng announced the tax cuts.

☆ Wall St drops as consumer data stokes inflation worry
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-15 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

SummarySummary Companies JPM reports higher-than-expected Q3 profitS&P 500, Nasdaq post weekly declinesU.S. consumer sentiment edges up October; inflation ests. "The main thrust for the market right now is higher interest rates, higher inflation and the Fed is going to continue to move its fed funds target higher," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan. For the week, the Dow gained 1.15%, the S&P 500 lost 1.56% and the Nasdaq fell 3.11%. Analysts now expect third-quarter profits for S&P 500 companies to have risen just 3.6% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data. The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 71 new highs and 235 new lows.

The dollar also kept rising against Japan's beleaguered yen, hitting a fresh 32-year peak of 148.86. But as the session wore on, equity declines deepened with oil prices pushing energy stocks (.SPNY) down sharply and consumer stocks (.SPLRCD) falling sharply. "We're back to looking at inflation data very carefully. Even though Wall Street had rallied on Thursday despite soaring inflation data, investors appeared to return their focus to the data on Friday, according to Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. The euro was down 0.55% at $0.9719 while the Japanese yen weakened 0.99% at 148.68 per dollar.

☆ Wall St drops as inflation worries persist
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 7, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidSummarySummary Companies JPM reports higher-than-expected Q3 profitS&P 500, Nasdaq poised for weekly declinesU.S. consumer sentiment edges up October; inflation ests. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterThe data came a day after a reading on consumer prices showed inflation remains stubbornly high. The Dow was on track to close out the week with a gain while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were poised for weekly declines. The S&P 500 posted 5 new 52-week highs and 5 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 56 new highs and 171 new lows.

☆ Reactions: UK's Truss fires Kwarteng, set to U-turn on tax cuts
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - British Prime Minister Liz Truss fired her finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng and news reports said she will scrap later on Friday parts of the economic programme of big, unfunded tax cuts that they delivered last month. Consequently, the scope for a rally in gilts (move lower in yields) and sterling would seem to be limited." BENJAMIN NABARRO, ECONOMIST, CITI"The key issue in the near term is the contradiction between monetary and fiscal policy. RACHEL REEVES, OPPOSITION LABOUR PARTY'S FINANCE CHIEF"This humiliating u-turn is necessary - but the real damage has already been done. We may well be through the worst of the volatility but I fear that the UK is nowhere near out of the woods."

☆ Reactions: US Sept CPI fortifies hawkish case in Fed inflation battle
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

FOREX: The dollar index turned 0.44% higherCOMMENTS:KEN POLCARI, MANAGING PARTNER, KACE CAPITAL ADVISORS, BOCA RATON, FLORIDA“Not good, hello – market collapsing. With a 3.5% unemployment rate, there's no way the Fed is going to stop raising rates until after the end of the year." The Fed has got to get a handle on inflation right now. RYAN DETRICK, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, CARSON GROUP, OMAHA“This is a yet another disappointing sign that inflation continues to stay stubbornly high. There are still two more CPI prints before the December meeting with the Fed, but for now, the pivot is on pause.

☆ Europe's STOXX 600 falls for seventh day; U.S. CPI data eyed
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Devik Jain | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SummarySummary Companies U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMTAroundtown slumps after Citi downgradeOct 13 (Reuters) - Europe's STOXX 600 index fell for a seventh day on Thursday, dragged by technology and real estate stocks, with investors focussed solely on U.S. inflation data due later in the day to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-hike trajectory. The region-wide (.STOXX) index was down 0.5% by 0810 GMT, and on pace for its longest losing streak since early February 2018, if losses hold. All eyes are on U.S. CPI data due at 1230 GMT. "The effects of inflation and expected economic contractions on shoppers caution are expected to continue to weigh on consumer discretionary stocks, particularly retail, travel and hospitality," Streeter said. Norwegian aluminium producer Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL) jumped 5.6% after reports that the United States was weighing restricting imports of Russian aluminium.

☆ TSX hits 19-month low as global recession risk weighs
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Investors were already on edge ahead of a key U.S. inflation report this week that could cement additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. read more"I think we are seeing the rate hikes really in full effect now," said Allan Small, senior investment adviser at the Allan Small Financial Group with iA Private Wealth. "The fear is that because the rate hikes have a lagging effect on the economy, we will not feel the full effect of these rate hikes until perhaps 3-6 months down the road." The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth forecast for 2023, warning that conditions could worsen significantly next year. Heavily-weighted financials lost 2.3% and technology was down nearly 3%.

☆ Investors are dipping a toe back into high-yield ETFs. Here's what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Potentially, that marks the start of a reversal from this year's pattern, which has seen sharp outflows from high yield funds. High yield bond funds have been beaten down this year, like the rest of fixed income. FlexShares' offerings include the actively managed High Yield Value-Scored Bond Index Fund (HYGV) and the ESG & Climate High Yield Corporate Core Index Fund (FEHY) . To be sure, growing concerns about bankruptcies can hurt high yield investors, even if they never materialize. Because the underlying companies are also essentially investment funds, investors are paying management for both the companies and the ETFs.

☆ Why Wall Street shouldn’t sweat the midterms
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-06 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN Business —The midterm elections are a little more than a month away, and if Wall Street had a vote, it’d be for more gridlock. Just a few months ago, many political observers and Wall Street experts were predicting that the GOP would gain control of the Senate and possibly even the House. The conventional wisdom on Wall Street is that the market prefers when politicians bicker and little actually gets done. Clifton also pointed out that “there were two notable exceptions” to the usual midterm market moves: 1974 and 1978. The Fed’s next scheduled meeting is on November 2, just six days before the midterms.

☆ London stocks slide amid economic "tug-of-war"
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The blue-chip index (.FTSE) dropped 1.6%, while the more domestically oriented FTSE 250 (.FTMC) shed 2.5%. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and ratings agency Moody's criticised Britain's new economic strategy, with the latter warning that unfunded UK tax cuts would be "negative" for the country's credit standing. read more"There is an economic tug-o-war taking place between the Bank of England and the government," said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. Burberry Group (BRBY.L) rose 4.1% after announcing Daniel Lee would be its new chief creative officer, replacing Riccardo Tisci, who is stepping down. read moreRegister now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; editing by Uttaresh.V and Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Wall Street banks including Bank of America and Goldman Sachs fined $1.8 billion over failures in monitoring how staff used personal phones to talk about work
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( Grace Dean | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Wall Street banks have been fined for not monitoring how staff use their phones to talk about work. The offences involved employees ranging senior executives to debt and equity traders. The offences involved employees ranging from supervisors and senior executives to junior investment bankers and debt and equity traders. This included one senior investment banker who had sent and received "tens of thousands" of off-channel text messages, concerning things including investment strategy and client meetings, the SEC said. Each company had failed to retain "hundreds if not thousands of business-related communications," including some connected to their commodities and swaps businesses, the CFTC said.

☆ S&P 500 falls to two-year low, bear market rally snuffed out
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 touched a session low of 3,623.29, its lowest point on an intraday basis since Nov. 30, 2020. The index has tumbled more than 12% since Powell's speech and has shown little signs of stabilizing. Many analysts had looked at 3,900 as a strong technical support level for the index. Detrick said that coordinated hikes by multiple central banks left investors wondering how hawkish they all will end up being. Robert Pavlik, Senior Portfolio Manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut said he is looking at a worst case of 3,000 for the S&P as a support level.

☆ As the pound tanks, Goldman and others reveal the UK stock market's likely winners and losers
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The British pound continued its slide against the U.S. dollar this week, hitting a new record low against the greenback Monday. Goldman Sachs European strategist Sharon Bell said the bank expects the pound to trade at around $1.05 over the next three months. Winners Secker is overweight the blue-chip FTSE 100 , which he believes is "arguably the ultimate 'weak FX' play." "The losers in the U.K. are the small-and-mid cap companies that are importing raw materials, which has now become more expensive. The FTSE 250 , which is more domestic than the FTSE 100, will also tend to suffer, all else equal, as sterling falls," Bell said.

☆ Forget a soft landing. The market’s best hope is a ‘growth’ recession
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

It wants to achieve a soft landing — that Goldilocks ideal of cooling the economy enough to bring down prices but not enough to cause a recession. The new aim appears to be for a so-called growth recession: A prolonged period of meager growth and rising unemployment. The pain is sharper and lasts longer than that of a soft landing, but a “growth” recession doesn’t pull the entire economy into contraction the way a proper recession would. It looks like a recession, and feels like a recession, but it isn’t a recession — at least not officially. A growth recession is still painful.

☆ The risk is rising of the Fed going overboard and causing a recession, says Evercore's Krishna Guha
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe risk is rising of the Fed going overboard and causing a recession, says Evercore's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI, and AJ Oden, AJ Oden, senior investment strategist at BNY Mellon Investor Solutions, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss whether the Fed is trying to put out its fire and more.

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File PhotoNEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Global investors are preparing for more market mayhem after a monumental week that whipsawed asset prices around the world, as central banks and governments ramped up their fight against inflation. "It's hard to know what will break where, and when," said Mike Kelly, head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments (US). "Currency exchange rates ... are now violent in their moves," said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors. But the murky outlook meant that they were still not cheap enough for some investors. "We are of the view that markets are still massively underestimating the global economic growth hit that is coming," he said.

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File PhotoNEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Global investors are preparing for more market mayhem after a monumental week that whipsawed asset prices around the world, as central banks and governments ramped up their fight against inflation. "It's hard to know what will break where, and when," said Mike Kelly, head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments (US). "Currency exchange rates ... are now violent in their moves," said David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors. The fallout from the hectic week exacerbated trends for stocks and bonds that have been in place all year, pushing down prices for both asset classes. "We are of the view that markets are still massively underestimating the global economic growth hit that is coming," he said.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead 'Uncharted' sell-off in U.S. stocks has investors wondering when the pain stops
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A specialist trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNEW YORK, Sept 23 (Reuters) - A week of heavy selling has brought U.S. stocks and bonds to fresh bear market lows, with many investors bracing for more pain ahead. Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, cut its year-end target for the S&P 500 by 16% to 3,600 points from 4,300 points. Kevin Gordon, senior investment research manager at Charles Schwab, believes there is more downside ahead because central banks are tightening monetary policy into a global economy that already appears to be weakening. A recession would likely push the S&P 500 to trade between 3,000 and 3,500 in 2023, Jolly said.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors wonder when vicious sell-off in U.S. stocks will end
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 is down more than 22% this year. If the S&P 500 closes below the mid-June low in the days ahead, that may prompt another wave of aggressive selling, Stovall said. Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, cut its year-end target for the S&P 500 by 16% to 3,600 points from 4,300 points. "The increased probability of breaking the June S&P 500 price low may be what it takes to invoke even deeper fear. A recession would likely push the S&P 500 to trade between 3,000 and 3,500 in 2023, Jolly said.

☆ Futures steady after Fed-driven selloff
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Wall St. street sign is seen near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 17, 2019. The three main indexes finished more than 1.7% down on Wednesday, with the Dow (.DJI) posting its lowest close since June 17. The Nasdaq (.IXIC) and S&P 500 (.SPX), respectively, ended at their lowest point since July 1 and June 30. Worries about the impact of aggressive interest rate hikes on the economy and corporate profits have left the benchmark S&P 500 less that 4% away from its mid-June low, its weakest point of the year. ET, Dow e-minis were up 147 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 17.25 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 48.75 points, or 0.42%.

The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, September 20, 2022. The continent-wide STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) was 0.1% higher, bouncing back after hitting its lowest level since early July. The indexes rose about 1.5% each as oil and other commodity prices climbed following the news of mobilisation. FEDWATCH"The 75 bps hike is priced in at this stage but where it gets interesting, is what's the terminal rate going to be?," said Giles Coghlan, chief market analyst, HYCM. Fortum (FORTUM.HE) shares surged 14.6% to the top of the STOXX 600, after Germany agreed to nationalise Uniper by buying the Finnish firm's stake.

☆ Reactions: Putin mobilises more troops for Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +20 min

Russian President Vladimir Putin makes an address on the conflict with Ukraine, in Moscow, Russia, in this still image taken from video released September 21, 2022. I think even with this Russia stuff it’s hard to see the market really rally a lot more from here ahead of the FOMC. From a geopolitical standpoint, Putin is frustrated that the war isn’t going his way and he’s threatening the west. "If it gets really, really bad, I'd expect the dollar to rise." This announcement by Putin to intensify the escalation in Ukraine definitely doesn’t help.

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