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☆ These stocks reporting earnings next week have historically exceeded expectations and rallied as a result
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

About four out of every five of those stocks that have already reported have exceeded Wall Street's expectations. CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen for companies reporting next week that have historically beat Wall Street expectations at least 70% of the time. Entertainment company Lionsgate has beaten expectations for earnings and sales 70% and 63% of past quarters, respectively. Shares have popped an average 3.9% in the sessions directly following its past earnings reports. The average analyst surveyed by Refinitiv sees that ascent continuing, with nearly 50% upside expected over the next year.

Persons: Tyler Radke, Armour, Refinitiv, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Entertainment, Lionsgate, Mattel

But new-crop export demand has started to pick up and, despite expectations for supportive weather, U.S. soybean production is far from settled given this season’s hardships. Grains have performed significantly worse over that period with December corn and CBOT September wheat down 13% and 17%, respectively. That has lifted soybeans’ price advantage versus corn to the highest August levels in three years. CBOT November soybeans to December corn ratioIn the last decade, November soybeans strengthened throughout August only twice - in 2020 and 2013. U.S. soybean export demand for 2023-24 has recently been lackluster, but U.S. beans are now cheaper than Brazilian ones for shipment to China in the later months of 2023, which should support further U.S. sales.

Persons: Karen Braun, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S . Department, Reuters, Thomson Locations: NAPERVILLE , Illinois, U.S, Chicago, Midwest, Iowa, Illinois, China

☆ JPMorgan raises US economic growth estimate, no longer expects 2023 recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Mike BlakeAug 4 (Reuters) - JPMorgan's chief economist said on Friday the bank is no longer forecasting a U.S. recession this year and has raised its economic growth estimate as the economy expands at a "healthy pace." The firm increased its current-quarter real annualized GDP growth estimate to 2.5% from 0.5%, Michael Feroli wrote in a research note on Friday. And while recession risks are still elevated for next year, Feroli said he expects modest, sub-par growth. Earlier this week, strategists at Bank of America said they no longer forecast a 2024 recession for the U.S. and increased their 2023 economic growth outlook for the country. Still, while a recession is no longer his base case, it could materialize if the Fed is not done hiking rates, Feroli cautioned.

Persons: Mike Blake, Michael Feroli, Feroli, Sinéad Carew, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of America, U.S, Thomson Locations: Encinitas , California, U.S

☆ A veteran chartmaster warns stocks will crash 11% from their peak as the remarkable market rally loses steam — but these 7 investments look destined for further gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

US stocks have defied all odds this year, and the market rally only strengthened in July. After two months of nearly nonstop gains for the S&P 500, a long-time chartmaster warns that the weakness that markets displayed in early August is just the beginning. As expected, the S&P 500 rallied after October when that headwind passed, and finished 2022 with a bang. Charts that Keller studies also indicate that this market rally has reached its late innings. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking those sectors include the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB).

Persons: David Keller, Keller, chartmaster, Stocks, headwind, Brace, we've, StockCharts.com, Keller doesn't Organizations: Energy, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Commodities

☆ Papa Johns’ prices are driving some customers away
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Consumers are pulling back on discretionary spending, and Papa Johns is taking a hit. Lynch joined Papa Johns (PZZA) in 2019. The vast majority, roughly 2,900 out of about 3,400 total North American Papa Johns restaurants, are franchised, according to the company. Sales at Papa Johns locations open at least a year fell in the second quarter. But now, they’re pushing back – and not just at Papa Johns.

Persons: Papa Johns, ”, Rob Lynch, “, we’ve, I’ve, Lynch, American Papa Johns, Luke Sharrett, Papa, Kraft Heinz, Oscar Mayer, Kraft, Miguel Patricio, ” Patricio, George Frey, James Quincey, Steven Cahillane, “ We’re, ‘, ’ ”, ” Lynch, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, American Papa, Papa Johns, Bloomberg, Kraft Mac, Kraft Locations: New York, Papa Johns, Capri Sun, Philadelphia, Europe

☆ A consumer spending slowdown is coming in the second half of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Ian Thomas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Right now, Peterson says, the data suggests that consumers are spending across the economy and consumer sentiment has taken a turn for the better. "For most of this year, consumers were saying right now is okay, but we're worried about the future; we think a recession is coming." Peterson's first area of concern relates to the aggressive interest rate hikes made by the Federal Reserve over roughly the past year and a half, 11 rate hikes that have taken its benchmark rate above 5%. The "lagged effects of interest rate hikes will start hitting consumer spending," Peterson said. "Certainly, for the second half of the year, we're going to see slower consumer spending," Peterson said.

Persons: Dana Peterson, Peterson, Kate Rogers, cardholders, Ryan McInerney, Ramon Lagurta, there's, Jamie Dimon, we're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Conference Board, CNBC, CNBC's, PepsiCo, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, U.S . Department of Education

☆ There's a lot to like in Apple's quarter, signaling shares have more to run than we thought
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Revenue in Apple's fiscal third quarter of $81.8 billion edged down 1% but edged out expectations of $81.69 billion. Gross margin was 44.5%, expanding 126 basis points from a year ago and coming in slightly above the 44.3% estimate. However, as we've noted before, the installed base represents the outlet for Apple's higher margin, recurring revenue Services business. Cash flow & capital allocation In its June quarter, Apple generated operating cash flow and free cash flow results that were well above what the Street was looking for. Guidance For the current September quarter, Apple expects year-over-year revenue performance to be similar to the June quarter, assuming no worsening macro outlook.

Persons: we've, Apple, we're, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jakub Porzycki Organizations: Apple, Services, Management, Greater, Apple Watch, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Greater China, Europe, Americas

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Coinbase, Meta, Advanced Micro Devices, SoFi & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi upgrades Advanced Micro Devices to buy from neutral Citi upgraded the chipmaker after its better than expected earnings report. Citi reiterates Home Depot as buy Citi said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock heading into earnings later this month. " Goldman Sachs reiterates SolarEdge as buy Goldman said it's standing by its buy rating on SolarEdge after its earnings report on Wednesday. "We maintain our Underperform rating as we remain concerned regarding the long-term prospects of the space tourism market. Needham reiterates Meta as underperform Needham said it's standing by its underperform rating on the stock.

Persons: Canaccord, Baird, Harry Sommer, BTIG, Wolfe, William Blair downgrades Bloomin, William Blair, Goldman Sachs, SolarEdge, Goldman, Bernstein, Uber, DJ Khaled, Mizuho, SoFi, SOFI, Rosenblatt, it's, Pinterest, Needham, underperform Needham Organizations: Citi, Devices, AMD, JPMorgan, Apple, Services, Oshkosh, Susquehanna, Mizuho, Bank of America, Virgin Galactic, underperform Bank of America, Meta Locations: 3Q23, Oshkosh, Norwegian

☆ Morgan Stanley: These are the 5 key themes shaping the housing market for years to come, and the 5 stock-market industries filled with opportunities and pitfalls investors need to watch for
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Morgan Stanley economists see a stronger housing market cycle and interest rates being cut in 2024. Luckily, Morgan Stanley strategists think the housing market is finally reaching a turning point. That will mark the end of the current craziness and the beginning of a new housing market cycle. As for the US industries and stocks connected to the housing market, Wilson noted that tomorrow's market will bring about different winners and losers. Higher interest rates mean higher mortgage rates, and higher mortgage rates mean lower demand for mortgages.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, homebuyers, there's, isn't, Morgan Stanley Wilson Organizations: Housing Locations: homeownership, rentership

☆ Asia's factories face weak demand, signaling growth challenges ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Six out of the nine private surveys released Tuesday showed that manufacturing activity in Asia's major producers again contracted in July. In addition to China, readings for Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam also signaled contraction in manufacturing activity. "The data reaffirm our view that external demand will constitute a headwind to growth in the second half of 2023." PMI manufacturing surveys are leading indicators of economic activity. A reading above 50 points to an expansion in activity, while a reading below that level suggests a contraction.

Persons: PMIs, Shivaan Tandon Organizations: Factories, Emerging, Capital Economics, PMI Locations: East China's Shandong province, Asia, China, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam, India, Indonesia, Philippines, Emerging Asia

☆ This underperforming retail stock could rally more than 25%, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should get off the sidelines on Gap given the retailer's potential for business improvement, according to Barclays. Her $13 price target implies shares could rally 26.2% from Monday's close. Yih said the company could see margin upside with a shift to cleaner inventory levels and mitigated freight challenges. Despite the opportunity to recapture some of the margin, Yih noted the company can do more work to stabilize the business and make it more malleable to consumer demand signals. Between the new management and potential for margin capture, she said the company's valuation multiple could be raised.

Persons: Adrienne Yih, Yih, Richard Dickson, Chris Blakeslee, Alo Yoga, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Navy, Old Navy, Mattel Locations: Monday's, 2Q23, Banana

☆ The 'freight recession' rocks global shipping, fueling a 75% plunge in container rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

An index that tracks global container rates has plunged 75% from a year ago. The downturn has also affected the US trucking business, prompting the Fed to acknowledge the "freight recession". Respondents indicated that there was a freight recession, and it was more difficult to find loads. While global freight trade has declined from its historic highs during the coronavirus pandemic, levels could be returning to their pre-pandemic norms. But for those who attach value to the shipping industry as a barometer of health for the wider US economy, the outlook remains gloomy.

Persons: Aaron P Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Drewry, Container, Dallas, Triumph Financial, Trucking, Packaging Corp Locations: Wall, Silicon, America

☆ It's official: The battery crunch is the new chip shortage
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Alexa St. John | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The chip shortage has ailed the auto industry since early in COVID, but a bigger issue is surfacing. Automakers are starting to see the impacts of the electric vehicle battery crunch. It's official: The battery crunch is the new chip shortage. The chip shortage is still impacting vehicle supply, experts say, but automakers are now having to reckon with the battery supply chains as an even bigger headwind. Challenges surrounding electric vehicle production and the battery supply chain are finally materializing for legacy automakers and impacting their bottom lines.

Persons: Jim Farley, Elon Musk, Tesla, Mary Barra, Barra, Oliver Blume Organizations: Ford, Morning, GM, Porsche, Tesla, Battery Locations: COVID, Canadian, EVs

☆ Meta's stock just wrapped up its ninth straight monthly gain as Wall Street cheers cost cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Jonathan Vanian | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In this article META Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTMark Zuckerberg, CEO, Meta Platforms, in July 2021. Kevin Dietsch | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesA year ago, Meta's stock was in the midst of a nosedive as Wall Street grew concerned that threats to the business were increasingly existential. Despite slipping on Monday, Meta's stock climbed 11% in July, wrapping up its ninth straight month of gains, by far the longest such stretch since Facebook's IPO in 2012. watch nowMeta has been the second-best performing stock in the S&P 500 this year, behind only Nvidia . Then came the cost cuts and Zuckerberg's promise early this year that 2023 would be the "year of efficiency."

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Kevin Dietsch, Mark Zuckerberg's, Zuckerberg, Frances Haugen, Haugen's Organizations: Meta, Getty, Facebook, Nvidia, Apple, Nurphoto Locations: Ukraine, Russia, China

☆ After surprise tweak, what now for BOJ's yield curve control?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Since 2016, the BOJ has guided short-term interest rates at minus 0.1% and the 10-year government bond yield at around 0% in action known as yield curve control (YCC). It has also set an allowance band of 0.5% above and below the 10-year yield target. The BOJ was criticised by investors last year for distorting market pricing by defending the 0.5% yield cap with unlimited bond buying. The bank has forestalled the risk by deciding to intervene only when the 10-year yield could breach 1.0%. It may wait until the findings become available around May before raising interest rates.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan

☆ Morgan Stanley: Lower inflation has an unusual downside for companies reporting earnings right now, but these 11 stocks will be able to survive and thrive
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Earnings season will reveal which companies will suffer a top line decline, Morgan Stanley says. At first glance, lower inflation seems like a boon for market watchers worried about a recession. While investors curse higher inflation, companies have come to see it as a blessing. He anticipates that disinflation will dig away at sales this earnings season, and is prepared for disappointment. The results are the 11 stocks below that Wilson believes will have strong FCF yields and healthy operating margins through the earnings season.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, They've, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Wilson isn't Organizations: FX, Federal Reserve

☆ Ongoing strikes could kill Hollywood's momentum after the 'Barbenheimer' bump, but 4 industry insiders and analysts are still optimistic about the future of these 5 entertainment companies
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-29 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Here's which entertainment companies will outperform, according to analysts and industry insiders. Four industry veterans Insider spoke with unanimously agreed that unless the strikes are resolved soon, the movie industry's much-needed revival will fizzle out. In a mid-July note about the movie industry, Reese and Pachter highlighted three theater-related companies that are best positioned to survive in this difficult environment. FuboTV should be a winner since it's a solid alternative for cord cutters who still need news and sports coverage, which aren't impacted by the strikes, Pachter noted. Netflix is perhaps the most fascinating company in the media industry right now.

Persons: Barbie, Oppenheimer, Paul Dergarabedian, Alicia Reese, David A, Gross, Strikes, Reese, Michael Pachter, Dergarabedian, Pachter, Richard Gelfond, JPMorgan's David Karnovsky, Wedbush's Pachter, aren't, it's Organizations: Hollywood, Wedbush Securities, Entertainment Research, Alliance, Television Producers, Consumers, Netflix Locations: Hollywood, creatives

☆ With quarterly beat, Procter & Gamble flexes its ability to win in any economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Procter & Gamble (PG) showed once again its ability to raise prices on its many household staples without damaging sales volume — one of the key reasons to own this stock in an uncertain economic environment. The company also delivered organic growth in all product categories and across all geographies in which it operates. Foreign exchange was a 3 percentage point headwind not reflected in organic growth. At the company level, the team has now notched seven straight quarters of 5% or better organic sales growth. Notably, all 10 major product categories posted organic sales growth in the quarter, with five growing double digits.

Persons: Gillette —, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Proctor, Tiffany Hagler Organizations: Procter, Gamble, Tide, Management, Enterprise, CNBC, Gamble Co, Geard, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: buybacks, U.S, China, Europe, America, Hastings, Hudson , New York

Despite a mixed earnings season so far, analysts are still optimistic on a host of stocks that have yet to report. By this week's end, more than half of S & P 500 companies will have reported quarterly earnings, according to The Earnings Scout. As analysts and traders look to the second half of the earnings season, these are some of the stocks with upward momentum heading into their reports. CNBC Pro screened S & P 500 stocks for those that are reporting next week and have seen the average analyst raise earnings estimates at least 10% when looking over a three- and six-month period. These stocks have also had their average targets for share prices raised in the last three months.

Persons: Tami Zakaria, Zakaria, destocking, Molson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Pro, MGM Resorts International, Gaming, MGM, Caterpillar, JPMorgan, Molson Coors, NRG Energy, ON Semiconductor Locations: Macao, Las Vegas, 2H23

☆ The Federal Reserve just hiked interest rates to their highest level in 22 years. Here's how Wall Street is reacting, where the pros think investors should be putting their money, and why inflation is
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The Federal Reserve hiked rates in July, and it could be the final rate hike of the cycle. But while the latest rate hike was all but certain, there are still plenty of questions about what lies ahead. In a note from Wednesday evening, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius pointed out that Powell made it clear any further hikes will depend on inflation data. But Bank of America analysts led by US economist Michael Gapen remain unconvinced that the rate hike cycle is truly over. As for equities, Wall Street widely expected this week's rate hike, so there are no major changes to their second-half investing recommendations.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Henry Allen, shouldn't, Allen, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Powell, Hatzius, Gurpreet Gill, Gill, Peter Hooper, Michael Gapen, Gapen, Goldman's Gill, America's Gapen, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson Organizations: Federal, shouldn't, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of America, Bank, America's Locations: Wall

☆ We're giving Honeywell a new rating after shares tank on mixed quarterly results
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Shares of Honeywell (HON) fell Thursday after the industrial conglomerate reported disappointing second-quarter earnings and forward guidance. The segment margin, similar to an adjusted operating income margin, expanded 158 basis points year over year to 22.4%, edging out analysts' forecasts of a 22.3% margin. Quarterly results Along with strong numbers for its aerospace division, management said the outlook is the strongest its ever been. Though the safety and productivity solutions business remains pressured, we are pleased to see significant improvement in segment margin, even if it came in below expectations. Guidance On a full-year basis, these targets (see chart) represent slight increases at the midpoint, as the lower-end forecasts for sales, segment margin, and earnings were all upwardly revised.

Persons: —, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Alwyn Scott Organizations: Honeywell, Revenue, Refinitiv, Management, CNBC, Honeywell Aerospace Locations: Phoenix

☆ Alphabet's solid second quarter is clouded by U.S. regulatory pressure
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Bottom line This was a very strong second quarter from Alphabet. It was also the first quarter in a while during which revenue growth outpaced that of expenses. That strategy should support both revenue growth and profit margins going forward. We think shares can edge higher over time thanks to management finally getting cost growth below revenue growth. At YouTube, management called out stabilization of spending by advertisers.

Persons: Jim Cramer, —, Ruth Porat, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Sundar Pichai, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: U.S, NVIDIA, Nvidia, U.S . Department, DOJ, Google Networks, Google, YouTube, CNBC, Americas, U.S . Chamber, Commerce, Getty Locations: Los Angeles , California

☆ Sell Disney as falling Marvel popularity and lower TV ad revenue pressure stock, Atlantic Equities says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The firm downgraded Disney stock to underweight Tuesday and lowered its price target to $76 per share from $113. "Box office performance has also struggled with a clear decline from the 2019 Avengers: Endgame series climax," Hamilton said. To be sure, the most recent "Guardians of the Galaxy" film, released this year, hauled in more than $800 million at the box office, according to Box Office Mojo . Disney stock has slipped less than 1% from the start of the year, lagging the S & P 500's 18.6% gain. DIS YTD mountain Disney stock is down less than 1% in 2023.

Persons: Hamilton Faber, Hamilton, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Disney, Marvel, Marvel Studios, Guardians, Office Mojo, DIS

☆ With the DOJ looming, a post-earnings move higher for this tech giant means 'we have to trim'
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"Having Google win this ad tech case would reinforce the difficulty the government will have limiting tech platforms," Gallant said. Elsewhere, the European Commission is bringing a similar antitrust case against Google's ad tech business in the European Union. Bottom line At the Club, we're focused on the DOJ case because we have a significant position in Alphabet. Given the uncertainty around the antitrust case, if Alphabet stock moves higher post earnings Tuesday, we'll look to scale back our position in order to protect the broader portfolio. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Jonathan Kanter, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Biden, we're, Jim Cramer's, Tayfun Organizations: U.S . Department, Big Tech, Nvidia, Biden administration's, Department, Google, DOJ, CNBC, European, European Union, The, Anadolu Agency, Getty Locations: U.S, View , California, United States

☆ Danaher cut its outlook for 2023, but we're maintaining our rating — here's why
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Life sciences and medical diagnostics company Danaher (DHR) delivered a second-quarter earnings beat on Tuesday, but lowered its outlook for the year. When excluding the impact of Covid-related tests and products, Danaher realized base-business core sales growth of 2%. As a result, management was once again forced to downwardly revise their sales growth outlook for the year. We predict a bioprocessing bottom this year, early next year at the very latest, setting us for a rebound in organic revenue growth. This updated outlook represents a downward revision from the high-single-digit percentage decline previously expected on a core basis and the mid-single-digit percentage growth previously expected for the base business.

Persons: Danaher, Cash, Bioprocessing, That's, Sartorius, Cepheid, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Marisol Darge, Robert McCabe, Hyoung Chang Organizations: Revenue, Management, Wall, Biotechnology, pharma, CNBC, Kaiser Permanente Arapahoe Medical, Getty Locations: DHR, China, Base, Centennial , Colorado, Denver

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