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☆ Goldman CEO Solomon reacts to Trump's win, vows to work with the new administration 'in support of sound policies'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Reed Alexander | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon on Wednesday commented on Donald Trump's election victoryIn a memo to staff, he said that the bank looks forward to working with Trump on "sound policies." AdvertisementGoldman Sachs CEO David Solomon spoke out Wednesday on the election of Donald Trump as the 47th president of the United States. In a memo to the firm's workforce, Solomon congratulated Trump, who defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in a decisive victory. He said the firm was looking "forward to working with the new administration in support of sound policies that enhance economic growth and financial stability." Related Video How Twitter panic took down Silicon Valley BankMayo also expects a Trump administration to boost dealmaking, including M&A and IPOs — potentially to record levels.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Donald Trump's, Trump, —, Donald Trump, Solomon, Kamala Harris, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Read, –, David, Emmalyse Brownstein, Reed Alexander Organizations: Trump, Service, Valley Bank Mayo, Global Banking, Markets, Asset, Wealth Management Locations: United States, Wells Fargo, Valley

☆ Trump's presidency will hurt Europe's economic growth amid renewed trade tensions, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Europe could take a hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency, Goldman Sachs analysts say. Europe could face a big hit to economic growth as trade tensions increase, Goldman Sachs analysts said. The analysts downgraded their growth forecasts across the region, down to 0.8% from their previous forecast of 1.1% for 2025. AdvertisementThe analysts point to renewed trade tensions fueled by Trump's proposal for sweeping tariffs on all US imports. More significant than the actual tariff increases, though, will be the trade policy uncertainty that comes with them, the analysts say.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, EU, NATO Locations: Europe, TPU, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, China, Ukraine

☆ A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business

☆ These solar stocks may be hit the most under Trump because of reliance on IRA, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Trump's campaign platform says he will seek to terminate the "Socialist Green New Deal," a reference to the IRA. The three stocks that have the most exposure to the IRA are Array Technologies , First Solar and SolarEdge , according to a Wednesday note from Goldman Sachs. Array is forecast to receive $80 million in domestic manufacturing tax credits in 2026 or about 35% of the company's estimated non-GAAP earnings per share, according to Goldman. First Solar is projected to book $2 billion in IRA tax credits in 2026 or 70% of its estimated non-GAAP earnings per share, according to Goldman. SolarEdge is expected to receive $164 million in IRA tax benefits in 2026 or about 84% of its estimated non-GAAP earnings per share.

Persons: Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, SolarEdge Organizations: U.S, GOP, Senate, Representatives, Green New, Technologies

The West WingOne of Trump’s most important picks will be his White House chief of staff. Karoline Leavitt, who was Trump’s campaign spokeswoman, is being considered as White House press secretary – a job that typically is the most public-facing position in the White House. National security postsTrump has suggested his national security team would be tasked with reassessing the United States’ posture toward Ukraine and Russia, China, Iran, and the simmering conflict in the Middle East. The debate over a renewed Trump’s “America First” agenda is expected to pit Republican national security hawks against the party’s isolationist wing. Secretary of state and national security adviser will be among the most hard-fought positions to stand at the forefront of those shifts.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Linda McMahon, John McEntee, Cliff Sims, Ross Werner, Goldman Sachs, Trump’s, John Kelly, Susie Wiles, Wiles, Russ Vought, Brooke Rollins, Bob Lighthizer, Karoline Leavitt, –, Musk, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Elon Musk, helms, Kennedy, ”, Ken Paxton, Matt Whitaker, Jeff Sessions, Sen, Mike Lee of, of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe, Mark Paoletta, Kash Patel, Patel, Christopher Wray, James Comey, Jeffrey Jensen, Louis, Bill Barr, Jensen, Michael Flynn, Barr, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Tennessee Sen, Bill Hagerty, Richard Grenell, Grenell, ” Arkansas Sen, Tom Cotton, Keith Kellogg, Ratcliffe, Gina Haspel, Cotton, Mike Waltz, Mike Pompeo, Elise Stefanik, She’s, Morgan Ortagus, David Friedman, Kelly Craft, Scott Bessent, “ He’s, MAGA, he’s, Elon, Hank Paulson, George, Jay Clayton, Lighthizer, McMahon, Doug Burgum, flinch, Jamieson Greer, CNN’s Kevin Liptak, Alayna Treene, Hannah Rabinowitz, Kylie Atwood Organizations: CNN, Trump, White House, Heritage Foundation, White, Pentagon, West, America, Policy Institute, RFK Jr, SpaceX, Senate, Republicans, PAC, Department of Health, Human Services, Environmental Protection Agency, Department of Agriculture, Justice and Homeland Security, of National Intelligence, Conservative, FBI, Republican, Central Intelligence Agency, CIA, New York Republican, House GOP, United Nations, UN, State Department, Soros, Goldman, George Bush’s, Department, Chinese Communist Party, Securities and Exchange Commission, Treasury, Commerce Department . North Dakota Gov, US Trade Locations: Trump, Central Park, Texas, Mike Lee of Utah, Beach, St, United States, Ukraine, Russia, China, Iran, Florida, Tennessee, Japan, Germany, ” Arkansas, Barr, UN

George Walker IV/AP Trump supporters watch election results come in at his election night party at the Palm Beach County Convention Center. Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg/Getty Images Election workers process mail-in ballots in West Chester, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday. Trump and Harris tied with three votes each in the tiny New Hampshire township, kicking off Election Day. Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images Election workers prepare ballots in Denver on Monday, November 4. RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post/Getty Images A patron eats inside a restaurant near the White House that had plywood covering its windows on the eve of Election Day. David Dee Delgado/AFP/Getty Images Election workers sort ballots during early voting in San Francisco on Thursday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, he’d, George W, Bush, Harris, Hillary Clinton, Austin Steele, Roe, Wade, Biden, It’s, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin’s, Jim Justice’s, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, Bernie Moreno, Sue Ogrocki, Colin Allred, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Sen, Rick Scott, Mitch McConnell, John Cornyn, South Dakota Sen, John Thune, Democrats didn’t, Hakeem Jeffries, hamstrung, they’re, Harris underperformed Biden, –, ”, Jen O’Malley Dillon, David Axelrod, Puerto Rico, Chip Somodevilla, Ron DeSantis romped, Melania, Barron, “, Will Lanzoni, CNN Trump, Ian Maule, Go Nakamura, Jeff Roberson, Vincent Alban, Chet Strange, Leah Charles, Tianna Adams, George Walker IV, Christian Monterrosa, Shelby Knowles, Jason Bean, Rebecca Blackwell, Leah Millis, Brynn Anderson, Matt York, Paul Kuehnel, David Robert Elliott, Nathan Howard, San Francisco Columbarium, Jeff Chiu, Nicole Craine, Ernesto Benavides, Steven Vandenburgh, Charlie Riedel, Lindsey Wasson, Andres Leighton, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, Nick Hague, Don Pettit, Hague, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Matt Slocum, Susan B, Anthony, Lauren Petracca, Richard Burkhart, Ronald Reagan, Chris Pizzello, Rebecca Droke, Jay Janner, Ken Brandon, Charlie Neibergall, Scott Morgan, John Locher, Jordan Dunson, Chris Lachall, Bill Clark, David Goldman, David Dee Delgado, Suzanne Kreiter, Ryan Collerd, Joseph Prezioso, Charles Rex Arbogast, Patrick T, Fallon, Evan Vucci, Nam, Rebecca Cook, Elijah Nouvelage, Ed Jones, Jonathan Drake, Reuters Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Carolyn Kaster, Carlos Berríos Polanco, Skye, Quinn Glabicki, Jose Luis Magana, RJ Sangosti, Robyn Beck, Zach Boyden, Holmes, Mike Stewart, Carlos Osorio, Steven Senne, David Paul Morris, Kayria Hildebran, Jenny Kane, Craig Hudson, Bing Guan, Scott Olson, Lynne Sladky, Allison Joyce, Megan Varner, Scott Graham, Adam Bettcher, RONDA CHURCHILL, Republicans —, Texas — Organizations: CNN, White, Republican Senate, Democrats, Biden, Sun, Republican, Trump, Howard University, Democratic, Republicans, GOP, Navy, Bernie Moreno . Ohio Republican, AP Democrats, Senate, Rural, Penn State University, CNN –, Dorton, Voters, Republican Gov, Miami, Dade, CNN Trump, Reuters Trump, West Palm Beach, Reuters, Carolina, AP Trump, Convention, Center, Bloomberg, Getty, Empire, People, Reno Gazette, USA, Florida's, AP Observers, Spelman College, AP, York Hospital, Kansas City Urban Youth Academy, New York Times, CNN Howard University, San Francisco, AP Voters, NASA, Space, Mount Hope, Savannah Morning, Ronald Reagan Presidential, Austin American, Statesman, Hartford Memorial Baptist Church, Honda, Allegiant, Las Vegas Raiders, First Presbyterian Church, City, Inc, First Presbyterian, of, Boston Globe, Getty Images Trump, College Park ,, Getty Images Workers, Sipa, US, Denver Post, City of, Reuters Voters, City Hall, Atlanta's, Museum of Art, Pisgah Baptist Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, New Mexico, Virginia, Trump, Washington , DC, West, Montana, Bernie Moreno ., Westlake , Ohio, Kentucky, Texas, South Dakota, Washington, New York, California, America, Pennsylvania’s Huntingdon, Montgomery County, Philadelphia, Harris, Oakland County, Trump’s, Raleigh , North Carolina, United States, Florida, Ohio, Dade County, West Palm Beach , Florida, Las Vegas, Chandler , Arizona, West Palm Beach, West Palm, Pewaukee , Wisconsin, Denver, Greensboro , North Carolina, Beach, Fulton, Fairburn , Georgia, Reno , Nevada, St . Petersburg , Florida, Atlanta, Phoenix, York , Pennsylvania, Kansas City , Missouri, Waleska , Georgia, Navajo, Kayenta , Arizona, AFP, Lawrence , Kansas, Seattle, Chinle , Arizona, West Chester , Pennsylvania, Rochester , New York, Garden City , Georgia, Savannah, Simi Valley , California, Pittsburgh, Austin , Texas, Hartford, Detroit, Omaha , Nebraska, Savannah , Georgia, Camden , New Jersey, San Francisco, Alexandria , Virginia, of Dearborn , Michigan, Boston, Lancaster , New Hampshire, Chicago, Palm Beach , Florida, College Park, College Park , Georgia, Leicester , North Carolina, Reuters Ohio, Cincinnati, Dearborn , Michigan, Caguas , Puerto Rico, Springfield , Pennsylvania, Dixville, New Hampshire, City, City of Industry , California, Des Moines , Iowa, Charlotte , North Carolina, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Providence , Rhode Island, Henderson , Nevada, Bronx, Portland , Oregon, Oregon, New Castle , Delaware, Pisgah, Pisgah Baptist Church, Brooklyn, Kenosha , Wisconsin, Miami, Wilmington , North Carolina, Minneapolis

☆ Trump will win second term, CNN projects, in historic comeback after losing four years ago
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +27 min

Trump’s supporters see him as a unique figure whose blunt, sometimes vulgar and often racially suggestive rhetoric reveals him as a scourge of political correctness. Austin Steele/CNN Trump supporters hold up posters that read "47" as they attend an election watch party in Chandler, Arizona. Go Nakamura/Reuters Trump supporters cheer at his election night watch party in West Palm Beach. George Walker IV/AP Trump supporters watch election results come in at his election night party at the Palm Beach County Convention Center. Patrick T. Fallon/AFP via Getty Images Trump and his wife, Melania, walk up to the press after voting in Palm Beach, Florida, on Tuesday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ”, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Trump’s, he’s, Harris, Jack Smith, Melania, Barron, “, Will Lanzoni, CNN Trump, Ian Maule, Austin Steele, Go Nakamura, Jeff Roberson, Vincent Alban, Chet Strange, Leah Charles, Tianna Adams, George Walker IV, Christian Monterrosa, Shelby Knowles, Jason Bean, Rebecca Blackwell, Leah Millis, Brynn Anderson, Matt York, Paul Kuehnel, David Robert Elliott, Nathan Howard, San Francisco Columbarium, Jeff Chiu, Nicole Craine, Ernesto Benavides, Steven Vandenburgh, Charlie Riedel, Lindsey Wasson, Andres Leighton, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, Nick Hague, Don Pettit, Hague, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Matt Slocum, Susan B, Anthony, Lauren Petracca, Richard Burkhart, Ronald Reagan, Chris Pizzello, Rebecca Droke, Jay Janner, Ken Brandon, Charlie Neibergall, Scott Morgan, John Locher, Jordan Dunson, Chris Lachall, Bill Clark, David Goldman, David Dee Delgado, Suzanne Kreiter, Ryan Collerd, Joseph Prezioso, Charles Rex Arbogast, Patrick T, Fallon, Evan Vucci, Nam, Rebecca Cook, Elijah Nouvelage, Ed Jones, Jonathan Drake, Reuters Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Carolyn Kaster, Carlos Berríos Polanco, Skye, Quinn Glabicki, Jose Luis Magana, RJ Sangosti, Robyn Beck, Zach Boyden, Holmes, Mike Stewart, Carlos Osorio, Steven Senne, David Paul Morris, Kayria Hildebran, Jenny Kane, Joe Biden, Craig Hudson, Bing Guan, Scott Olson, Lynne Sladky, Allison Joyce, Megan Varner, Scott Graham, Adam Bettcher, RONDA CHURCHILL, Hillary Clinton, –, Smith, Mostafa Bassim, Vladimir Putin, Trumpism, Mike Pence, Sen, Stephen Maturen, Grover Cleveland Organizations: CNN, Washington, Trump, GOP, Republican Party, Capitol, ” Overseas, Howard University, CNN Trump, Reuters Trump, West Palm Beach, Republican, Reuters, Carolina, AP Trump, Convention, Center, Bloomberg, Getty, Empire, People, Reno Gazette, USA, Florida's, AP Observers, Spelman College, AP, York Hospital, Kansas City Urban Youth Academy, New York Times, CNN Howard University, San Francisco, AP Voters, NASA, Space, Mount Hope, Savannah Morning, Voters, Ronald Reagan Presidential, Austin American, Statesman, Hartford Memorial Baptist Church, Honda, Allegiant, Las Vegas Raiders, First Presbyterian Church, City, Inc, First Presbyterian, of, Boston Globe, Getty Images Trump, College Park ,, Getty Images Workers, Sipa, US, Denver Post, City of, Reuters Voters, City Hall, Atlanta's, Museum of Art, Pisgah Baptist, Secret Service, Republicans, Justice Department, White, Police, Anadolu Agency, NATO, Hezbollah, House, Herb Brooks National Hockey Center Locations: Lago, America, Wisconsin, Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, ”, West Palm Beach , Florida, Las Vegas, Washington , DC, Chandler , Arizona, West Palm Beach, West Palm, Pewaukee , Wisconsin, Denver, Greensboro , North Carolina, Beach, Fulton, Fairburn , Georgia, New York, Reno , Nevada, St . Petersburg , Florida, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Phoenix, York , Pennsylvania, Kansas City , Missouri, Waleska , Georgia, Navajo, Kayenta , Arizona, AFP, Lawrence , Kansas, Seattle, Chinle , Arizona, West Chester , Pennsylvania, Rochester , New York, Garden City , Georgia, Savannah, Simi Valley , California, Pittsburgh, Austin , Texas, Hartford, Detroit, Omaha , Nebraska, Savannah , Georgia, Camden , New Jersey, San Francisco, Alexandria , Virginia, of Dearborn , Michigan, Boston, Lancaster , New Hampshire, Chicago, Palm Beach , Florida, College Park, College Park , Georgia, Leicester , North Carolina, Reuters Ohio, Cincinnati, Dearborn , Michigan, Caguas , Puerto Rico, Springfield , Pennsylvania, Dixville, New Hampshire, City, City of Industry , California, Des Moines , Iowa, Charlotte , North Carolina, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Providence , Rhode Island, Henderson , Nevada, Bronx, Portland , Oregon, Oregon, New Castle , Delaware, Pisgah, Pisgah Baptist Church, Brooklyn, Kenosha , Wisconsin, Miami, Wilmington , North Carolina, Minneapolis, United States, Manhattan, Butler , Pennsylvania, Ohio, Washington, Florida, British, Ukraine, Europe, Taiwan, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, Afghanistan, St Cloud , Minnesota

☆ The big Trump losers: These stocks could have an overhang for a while
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks may be in rally mode after former President Donald Trump's election victory, but not every sector is poised to get a lift. Clean energy One potential big loser is solar and clean energy stocks that benefited from tax credits instituted under President Joe Biden 's Inflation Reduction Act. Retailers Along with changes to clean energy, Trump has hinted at tariffs to buoy U.S. producers. The firm also highlighted companies with greater than 20% China exposure, including Crocs and American Eagle Outfitters , as being among potential tariff losers. STZ 1D mountain Constellation Brands falls amid Trump tariff concerns "With a 50% American whiskey tariff, we would expect BFB to pass some cost along to the consumer, which would put additional pressure on volumes," he wrote.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee, Lee, Melanie Nuñez, Cowen's Robert Moskow, Brown, Forman, Bank of America's Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, bode, Andrew Mok Organizations: NBC News, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Technologies, Enphase Energy, Bank of America, American Eagle Outfitters, Constellation Brands, Diageo, EU, Consumer, . Hospital, Republican, Bank of America's, Ardent Health Partners, Universal Health Services, HCA Holdings, Barclays Locations: financials, U.S, China, Scotch, Mexico

☆ Top analyst Mayo says Trump 'is regulatory game changer,' names one bank to benefit most
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Donald Trump 's decisive victory to regain the White House could serve as a "regulatory game changer" for Wall Street banks, according to Wells Fargo. Equity analyst Mike Mayo wrote early on Wednesday that a second Trump administration could yield "more free markets, less harsh oversight," while also reducing regulatory risk. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs stock. "More free markets imply that investment banking revenues have a chance at exceeding 2021 levels over the next few years," Mayo said. Shares of Goldman Sachs surged more than 12%, while peers Citigroup , Bank of America and Wells Fargo all gained more than 7% each.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Mayo, Trump, Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Mayo, Wells Fargo Organizations: Equity, Goldman, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Locations: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Tesla, DJT, CVS Health, Dollar Tree and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Crypto stocks – Shares of Coinbase surged 12% as investors cheered the prospect of a more supportive regulatory environment for cryptocurrency businesses under a second Donald Trump presidency. Bank stocks — Shares of banking stocks soared in premarket trading after Donald Trump's victory spurred investor optimism that the sector could see less regulation . CVS Health — Shares rose 7.5% after CVS posted mixed third-quarter results , citing higher medical costs that weighed on net income. Clean energy stocks — Shares of renewable energy and solar companies slid on worries that Trump's second term could imperil the Inflation Reduction Act and measures to fight climate change. Dollar Tree , Five Below — Shares of Dollar Tree slipped 1.6%, while Five Below moved down 9%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, SunRun, FirstSolar, Wegovy, Trump, CoreCivic, Dan Ives, Tesla, — CNBC's Michelle Fox Theobald, Tanaya Macheel, Brian Evans Organizations: MicroStrategy, Bank, —, Citigroup, Bank of America, Trump Media & Technology, Republican, CVS, Enphase Energy, Novo Nordisk —, GEO Group, Elon, Trump, Wedbush Securities, Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, National Retail Federation Locations: FactSet, Novo Nordisk — U.S, Danish, U.S, Florida, Canada, China

☆ We're locking in profits on 2 stocks that are surging on Trump's election win
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Shortly after the opening bell, we will be selling 150 shares of Morgan Stanley at roughly $128.81 and 240 shares of Wells Fargo at roughly $71.02. There's strength across the board in premarket trading, with Wells Fargo ripping 10% higher, Morgan Stanley up more than 8%, and fellow Club holding BlackRock jumping more than 4%. Wells Fargo is one of the biggest winners in the group because there are greater odds its Federal Reserve-imposed asset cap will be removed. That's very positive for the future earnings of investment banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, Wells, Trump, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, There's, —, Trump's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: WFC, Republican, NBC, Trump, Club, BlackRock, White House, Federal, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ These stocks are soaring off the Trump victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That would mark a reversal from the Biden administration, which allowed migrants seeking asylum to legally work in the country while awaiting trial. A Trump administration is expected to approve Capital One's proposed merger with Discover Financial Services. Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty ImagesGenerally, a Trump administration is expected to be more supportive of mergers and acquisitions compared to the Biden administration, which has sought to block many. Retail and green energy stocks falterWednesday wasn’t all good news for stocks, though. Trump is widely expected to repeal tax credits and other incentives President Joe Biden pushed for in the Inflation Reduction Act.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Biden, It’s, Trump, Tesla Elon, Tesla, Donald Trump's, Elon Musk, Trump . Thibaut Durand, Hans Lucas, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Michael Barr, Goldman Sachs, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, bitcoin, Joe Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Prisons, GEO Group, SpaceX, Trump ., Getty, Bank, JPMorgan, Federal, Citigroup, Discover Financial Services, Capital, Republican, JetBlue, Spirit Airlines, Trump, Mattel, Hasbro Locations: New York, AFP

☆ Goldman's election scenario probabilities and how the S&P 500 will react
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Goldman Sachs has modeled out some election outcomes, along with how the S & P 500 will react, ahead of the results. Trump wins and Republicans sweep A 25% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to rise 3%. Trump wins, but the government is divided A 30% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5%. This scenario will still be positive for markets, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5% afterward, the note read. However, investors could step in and buy the dip on the S & P 500, the firm said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Nasdaq, Democratic Locations: Wednesday's, cyclicals

☆ The trader guide to the election: Which stocks Wall Street expects to benefit under Trump or Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Generally, a Trump win is seen as positive for financials given a higher likelihood of deregulation for companies in the space. Traditional oil and gas names are also likely to benefit under a second Trump presidency. One is made up of stocks that benefit after a Harris win; the other would outperform under a second Trump presidency. However, a Harris win is expected to keep current regulation measures in place, and possibly introduce new ones. Private equity giants KKR and Blackstone would also benefit under a Trump win.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Paul Gallant, Cowen, Gallant, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Andrew Garthwaite, Trump, Garthwaite, TAN, we've, Biden, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, —, Russell, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, Crypto, isn't, Nic Puckrin, bitcoin, Marcelli, Financials, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Lazard Organizations: Congress, U.S ., Trump, U.S . Trump, GOP, Democratic, CNBC Pro, Wall, Strategas, Enterprise, of America, Ford, UBS, Apple, Enphase Energy, Technologies Enphase, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Cadence Bank, Viking Therapeutics, Bureau, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Lazard, Private, KKR, Blackstone, Evercore Locations: Washington, of America Cleveland, Cleveland, China

☆ Here's what usually happens to the S&P 500 during a presidential election week
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

What happens to stocks during election week? In general, the market has a slightly bullish bent during election week, but you can slice it different ways. The average percentage change for the S & P 500 in the week of the election is up 0.7%, with the index gaining 63% of the time, according to Birinyi Associates. That is why the S & P 500 is only 2% below its historic high. S & P 500 earnings estimates Q3: +8.4% Oct. 1: +6.0% Q4: +10.7% Technology: +14.6% Source: LSE Seasonals are important as well The seasonal trend is very strong.

Persons: Phil Mackintosh, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Birinyi Associates, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, LSE

Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.

Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, —, Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern

☆ Goldman Sachs names 2 top auto stocks in Asia — giving one 44% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs has refreshed its list of top stock picks in Asia to include two automotive stocks: India's Mahindra and Mahindra and Japan's Honda Motor . The stocks are featured on the investment bank's "Conviction List - Directors' Cut," which seeks to offer a "curated and active" list of buy-rated stocks. Mahindra and Mahindra Goldman is betting on Mahindra and Mahindra given its "unique pipeline" in India's SUV car market. Goldman has a 12-month target price of 3,600 Indian rupees ($42.80) on the stock, implying 25% potential upside. Goldman has a target price of 2,200 Japanese yen ($14.50) on the stock, implying 44.3% potential upside.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Chandramouli Muthiah, Goldman, Kota, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: India's Mahindra, Mahindra, Japan's Honda, Mahindra Goldman, Electric Vehicle, National Stock Exchange, Bombay Stock Exchange, Honda, Tokyo Stock Exchange, HMC Locations: Asia, India, China, U.S, Japan

☆ Goldman's top equity strategist tells BI 2 similarities between today's market and the dot-com bubble — and what it means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Kostin expects the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and mid-cap stocks to gain from a broadening market. Today, the 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 36% of the entire index by market capitalization. Related storiesThis gap between the top S&P 500 performers and the rest of the index hasn't occurred since the dot-com bubble. "The evidence is strongly in support of the fact that growth rates for high revenue growth companies tend to fade," he added. For that reason, Kostin is expecting the S&P 500 equal-weight SPW index to outperform the market-cap-weighted S&P 500.

Persons: David Kostin, Kostin, —, Goldman Sachs, Kostin isn't, that's, he's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco

S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana

☆ Goldman Sachs says this little-known daycare center stock can jump more than 40%
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Newly public child care services provider KinderCare Learning has a standout strategy that could boost its profits well into the future, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs led the KinderCare initial public offering at $24 a share last month. The company also serves families across all income demographics, including those that get subsidies for child care, which broadens its addressable market. Goldman estimates the domestic child care industry is worth about $76 billion, and predicts it should grow at an annual rate of about 6% long term. Tong expects KinderCare revenue to top that, rising between 6% and 9%, as it makes acquisitions of smaller providers and further cements its advantages as a large-scale player.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, George Tong, Tong, Goldman Organizations: KinderCare, New York Stock Exchange, Child Care Locations: U.S, KinderCare

☆ Trump’s stock surges on the last day before the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Shares of former President Donald Trump’s social media company roared higher on the final day before the US presidential election. Traders have used Trump’s stock as a kind of barometer for the former president’s perceived reelection chances. Similarly, when Harris began to make a comeback in online betting markets, Trump’s media stock began to implode. The Trump stock is a “meme stock,” a speculative trade that can vary wildly for just about any reason. The broader stock market Monday was also bouncing around a bit, although it was far less volatile than Trump’s media stock.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Dow Organizations: CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Truth, Traders, Trump, Nasdaq Locations: Harris

☆ Activist Engine Capital nominates six directors at software maker Dye & Durham, sources say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Rohan Goswami | In Rohangoswamicnbc | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Activist investor Engine Capital has nominated a slate of directors Monday at Canadian legal software maker Dye & Durham , according to people familiar with the matter, after the company fielded takeover interest and moved to launch a sale process Engine has described as "reactionary." Dye & Durham delayed the special meeting twice to December. Dye & Durham makes a suite of software for law firms and says it has more than 60,000 customers worldwide. Engine has contended that a sale of the company at this time would "substantially undervalue" the company. "Dye & Durham has substantially refreshed its Board and has a focused and aligned management team."

Persons: Arnaud Ajdler, Ritu Khanna, Hans Gieskes, Aecom, Goldman Sachs, Matthew Proud's, Dye Organizations: Capital, Dye, Durham, LexisNexis, & Durham, DND, Goldman, Bloomberg Locations: Parkland

☆ Goldman says these retailers are the most exposed to potential Trump tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Companies that buy the largest share of their goods from China could be damaged the most by plans to raise tariffs under another Trump presidency, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs analyst Brooke Roach wrote, "53% of goods were sourced from China as of FY23, though the company is targeting mid-teens by FY24." Most analysts covering the name are neutral, although the average price target is approximately 12% above Best Buy's current price. Analysts are generally neutral on RH, with the average price target only 2% above where shares are currently trading. Analysts are also generally neutral on this stock, with the average price target indicating potential 3% downside over the next 12 months.

Persons: Trump, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Brooke Roach, Roach, RH Organizations: Trump, Analysts Locations: China, Asia, Vietnam, Indonesia, India

In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock

☆ Dollar dips as U.S. election outcome remains uncertain, Fed rate cut looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing

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