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☆ We're adding a transformed industrial stock to the portfolio with a small buy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 65 shares, representing about 0.50% of the portfolio. These multiyear themes are driving investment in the company's key markets, which are Commercial Buildings, Data Centers, Industrial, Residential Buildings, Utility, Aerospace, e-mobility, and Legacy Vehicle. By the way, artificial intelligence should be an additional tailwind to Eaton's Data Center business. AI data centers require both higher power and higher power density relative to traditional data centers, resulting in three times the electric content. One more theme benefitting Eaton's Data Center business is the need to generate electricity in a clean and sustainable way.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, Eaton, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Eaton Corporation, Data Centers, Industrial, Aerospace, Data Center, Airbus, America's Boeing, Dubai Air Show, Boeing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, NYSE Locations: Eaton, industrials, North America

☆ Americans are getting ‘ripped off’ by big banks, Robinhood CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Robinhood is trying hard to lure customers fed up with traditional banks that pay little to no interest on savings. To attract deposits, the stock trading app made famous by the GameStop craze is offering fatter and fatter interest rates. That’s far higher than traditional banks and among the highest in the industry. We see an opportunity to correct that,”Tenev argued this has long been part of the “playbook” of traditional banks. The Robinhood rate of 5% applies to new and existing customers of Robinhood Gold, a subscription service that costs $5 a month.

Persons: New York CNN — Robinhood, ”, Vlad Tenev, ” Tenev, Robinhood, Roth, “, Tenev, We’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, GameStop, CNN, Federal Reserve, American Bankers Association, Bank, AMC, of America, ” Bank of America Locations: New York

☆ Stocks ripped higher Tuesday on new inflation data. Here's why we were sellers
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks rallied hard on Tuesday after new inflation data signaled a possible end to the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking campaign. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped nearly 500 points after the closely watched consumer price index (CPI) reading for October came in flat, softer than economists' estimate of 0.1% growth month over month. Wall Street took the news as a sign that inflation was coming down enough for the central bank to stop raising interest rates. Barring a surprise rebound in inflation, rates seem to have peaked and the "soft landing" for the economy is still in play. We like to buy stocks when the market is oversold, and sell stocks when there is too much buying.

Persons: Stocks, It's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, CPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Xinhua News Agency, Getty Locations: Foster City , California, United States

☆ Goldman Sachs: These 'conviction list' global stocks will benefit from a circular economy boom
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Rising commodity prices, increased regulation and a growing recognition of sustainability benefits are set to be "key catalysts" of the circular economy, Goldman Sachs said, naming its "conviction list" stocks to play the theme. The circular economy is a system that aims to keep materials and resources in use for as long as possible, with a focus on reuse, rather than dispose. Conviction list stocks The bank named a number of "key stocks exposed to the theme," including Dassault Systemes and SMC Corporation . Both are on the bank's "conviction list" of top buy-rated stocks. Other global stocks on Goldman's list of picks set to benefit from the circular economy include Japanese electronics giant Hitachi , Dutch conglomerate Philips and U.S. waste management company Republic Services , with all three also on the bank's conviction list.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: McKinsey, Accenture, United Nations Environment Program, Dassault Systemes, SMC Corporation, Dassault Systems, Hitachi, Philips, Republic Services

☆ Jim Cramer says buy P&G amid a weakening U.S. dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The recent weakness in the U.S. dollar should provide a lift to consumer staples giant Procter & Gamble (PG), CNBC's Jim Cramer said Tuesday. If you like this story, sign up for Jim Cramer's Top 10 Morning Thoughts on the Market email newsletter for free. As a result, P&G looks much better positioned to handle the foreign-exchange dynamic, Cramer said, while the commodity deflation tailwind remains intact. "The dollar is not going to kill them, and so you buy P&G and just ride it," Cramer said. P&G shares edged up by about 0.1% Tuesday, to roughly $152.60 each, on the back of a three-day winning streak.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, —, Cramer, Jim Cramer's Organizations: U.S, Procter & Gamble, Charitable Trust, CNBC

☆ Some fund managers see merit in China's deeply discounted stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

U.S. asset manager Fidelity International is highlighting China's looser monetary policy and the government's recent 1 trillion yuan ($137.10 billion) borrowing-and-spending sovereign bond plan as a tailwind for the country's stock markets. London-based £3 billion fund manager Somerset Capital Management likewise finds China exciting. The stock market has yet to recover, but has stabilised. Morgan Stanley estimates long-only foreign investors now have their deepest underweight positions in China and Hong Kong equities in years. Chinese stocks could see a short-term sentiment pick-up given foreign funds have such light positions in the market, said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Marty Dropkin, Mark Williams, Morgan Stanley, Patrick Ghali, Sean Ho, Vivek Tanneeru, Redmond Wong, Summer Zhen, Xie Yu, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Fidelity, Asia Pacific, Fidelity International . London, Somerset Capital Management, Nasdaq, Japan’s Nikkei, Sussex Partners, Hong, China, Hang Seng Tech, Monetary Fund, Cambridge Associates, Capital, “, Triata, Matthews Asia, Saxo Markets, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, London, Boston, San Francisco, Greater China

☆ What we're watching when off-price retailer TJX reports this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

When TJX Companies (TJX) reports quarterly results this week, we expect the off-price retailer to demonstrate continued momentum on both its top and bottom lines, helped by consumers looking for solid deals in an uncertain economic environment. And we're confident management can deliver a further expansion of gross margins as wary American consumers look for value at TJX's popular off-price chains. "Traffic remains the primary driver for comp in off-price," Barclays said in a recent research note previewing earnings for TJX and peers Ross Stores (ROSS) and Burlington Stores (BURL). Higher profits In addition to delivering higher sales, TJX continues to show improved profitability — a trend we expect to accelerate when the company reports on Wednesday. At the same time, according to Telsey, TJX faces headwinds from incremental store wage and payroll costs.

Persons: TJX, Ross, ROSS, Dana Telsey, Telsey, TJX's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, TJ Maxx, Prince George's, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: TJX, Marshalls, LSEG, Barclays, Burlington Stores, Telsey Advisory, CNBC, Shoppers, TJ, Getty Locations: Maxx, TJX, Telsey, Prince, Hyattsville , Maryland

☆ A 'once-in-a-generation' factory construction boom won't bow to economic jitters. How investors can play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Now, the window is opening on orders for the components that will go into the construction, he added. One of those exchange-traded funds is TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF (SUPP), a play on the reshoring theme. "[Yet] in just [the past] six months, we've added about $300 billion of orders for mega projects," he added. "The United States is experiencing a once-in-a-generation onshoring boom," the company said during its Oct. 27 conference call. Another top holding is Martin Marietta Materials , which produces the aggregates used for construction projects.

Persons: Chris Snyder, Eli Horton, we've, there's, Horton, Snyder, Eaton, Craig Arnold, Arnold, Martin Marietta, Hortons, we're, Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, hasn't, Steel, Trane Technologies, Waste Management, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: U.S, United States

☆ Why these industrial giants are betting on the transition to clean energy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"Right now, some of our favorite secular themes are the mega trends benefitting from a wave of federal spending — and the energy transition is one of those themes," he explained. CAT YTD mountain Caterpillar (CAT) year-to-date performance Elsewhere, Caterpillar has said the "energy transition and growing global energy demand are increasing [it's] total addressable market and furthering opportunities for long-term profitable growth." In terms of the energy transition, the company's aerospace business could see a boost from its development of sustainable aviation fuels. CEO Vimal Kapur last month said the industrials giant is "beginning to feel the urgency behind [the] energy transition." "Honeywell is in a unique position to both help the world meet today's growing energy needs, while also enabling the energy transition," Kapur said.

Persons: we're, Jeff Marks, Linde, Wall, I'm, Jim Cramer, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Krisztian Bocsi Organizations: Linde, LIN, Honeywell, Caterpillar, Investing, ExxonMobil, Exxon, BMO Capital Markets, Bank of America, CAT, CNBC, Linde AG, Treatment, Berlin, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Berlin, Germany

☆ Holiday spending isn't expected to rise this year. We still like our retail setup
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The bad news: Consumers aren't expected to spend more this holiday season. With spending in line with last year, this holiday shopping season becomes a market share story — a zero-sum game. Foot Locker (FL) has issues outside of the holiday season such as an inventory glut, an overreliance on Nike (NKE) and the need to shut down unprofitable stores. We see no reason to change our 4 rating on both stocks ahead of the holiday season. Bottom line We are in a good position to benefit from how discretionary dollars will be spent this holiday season.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Locker, Estee Lauder, Foot, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Christopher Dilts Organizations: Shoppers, Target, Walmart, Costco, Nike, TJX Companies, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Chicago , Illinois

☆ SoftBank Can’t Shake the Ghosts of Tech Booms Past
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Jacky Wong | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son has described his decision to invest heavily in WeWork as ‘a stain on my life.’ Photo: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg NewsThere seems to be no shortage of bad news for SoftBank this week. A new artificial-intelligence-driven tech boom could eventually be a tailwind for earnings. But the company’s latest results were a reminder of how much work the firm still has to do to convince investors that it will be a canny steward of their capital—and reliably hit enough home runs to offset its many strikeouts. The Japanese technology investor on Thursday reported a surprising loss: equivalent to $6.2 billion for the September quarter. Analysts on S&P Global Market Intelligence had expected, on average, a gain of around $1.2 billion.

Persons: Masayoshi Son, Kiyoshi Ota Organizations: Bloomberg, P Global Market Intelligence Locations: WeWork

☆ Recent stock gains may have been too 'explosive,' but falling bond yields should continue to boost equities, technical strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Technical strategist Katie Stockton said that recent stock gains have been "explosive." But falling bond yields should continue to provide a boost to stocks if the pullback persists. The surge in equities, Wilson explained, is mostly a consequence of falling bond yields. Key government bond yields have pulled back sharply from 16-year highs in recent weeks. She said signs flashing in the TLT Treasury ETF point to an extended period of bond yields correcting from recent highs.

Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, —, November's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Service, CNBC Wednesday, TLT Treasury Locations: Stockton, TLT

☆ Casino operator MGM beats third-quarter estimates as China travel rebounds
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

An exterior view of MGM Grand hotel and casino, after MGM Resorts shut down some computer systems due to a cyber attack in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S., September 13, 2023. REUTERS/Bridget Bennett/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 8 (Reuters) - MGM Resorts International (MGM.N) beat market estimates for third-quarter profit and revenue on Wednesday, as the casino operator benefited from easing pandemic-related entry restrictions in its key markets. The post-pandemic travel rebound in China and Macau has been a tailwind for casino operators such as MGM Resorts and Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS.N). "MGM China is performing exceptionally well," MGM's CEO Bill Hornbuckle said in the statement. Last month, MGM had said it expects a $100 million hit to its third-quarter results after a cyberattack disrupted its operations, forcing a shutdown of its systems.

Persons: Bridget Bennett, Bill Hornbuckle, Priyamvada, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: MGM, MGM Resorts, REUTERS, MGM Resorts International, Vegas Sands Corp, Wynn Resorts, Thomson Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S, China, Macau, MGM China, Bengaluru

☆ Reuters NEXT White House's Bernstein upbeat on economy despite Mideast war, shutdown threat
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Jeff Mason | Thomson Reuters | Jeff Mason Is A White House Correspondent For Reuters. He Has Covered The Presidencies Of Barack Obama | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"On the headwind side, certainly being in a higher rate environment is something we have to be mindful of. Bernstein said the U.S. economy was outperforming virtually all its competitors and urged Congress to pass the necessary appropriations bills to keep the government running. We've got a very strong backdrop to a U.S. economy that's outperforming virtually all our competitors," he said. Asked about recent negative polls reflecting concern about President Joe Biden's handling of the economy, Bernstein said Americans had to reset their price expectations given an increase in their buying power. Bernstein said the Biden administration had taken a series of steps to ease prices while maintaining a strong labor market.

Persons: Jared Bernstein, Amanda Andrade, Rhoades, Washington, Bernstein, We've, Joe Biden's, Biden, Jeff Mason, Eric Beech, Andrea Shalal, Dan Burns, Richard Chang Organizations: of Economic Advisers, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Capitol, REUTERS, U.S . Council, Economic, Reuters NEXT, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel, Gaza, U.S, New York, joblessness

☆ Bill Gross sees lower interest rates offering a tailwind to regional bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Longtime investor Bill Gross said Thursday that regional banks are poised to bounce back with the tailwind of falling interest rates. "Regional banks … benefit from lower interest rates," Gross said on CNBC's " Last Call ." Many of these banks including Bank of America, including Schwab, have long-term bond positions … a 2% or 3% rise in prices is beneficial for them." Gross also noted that regional bank shares are now very cheap, and many of them offer hefty dividends. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , which tracks 140 regional banks, has fallen about 28% this year.

Persons: Bill Gross, Gross, Schwab Organizations: Bank of America, Truist, Citizens, Apple, Regional Banking

☆ Starbucks' quarterly results reassure investors with a 'show me story'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Investors feared that the coffee maker's long-term targets of 10% to 12% revenue growth and 15% to 20% earnings growth were in jeopardy. And as the market lost confidence in the targets, Starbucks' stock price fell to $90 a share by the start of October — when we most recently added to our position — down from around $100 in August. But on Thursday following the results, investors heard a much more compelling story from Starbucks — forcefully pushing back against the bear case. The power of Starbucks' brand is driving strong traffic and sales growth, despite the uncertain macroeconomic environment. As such, we reiterate our 1 rating , meaning we would be buyers of Starbucks stock at these levels.

Persons: Laxman Narasimhan, China comps, Narasimhan, Howard Schultz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Gabby Jones Organizations: Starbucks, Revenue, Investors, Management, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: North America, U.S, China, New York

☆ Two chip stocks are surging this week. Options traders bet one will keep going and one will falter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Two of the semiconductor stocks that reported this week saw some big post-earnings moves and substantially above-average options trading activity. Among the biggest winners were Wolfspeed Inc. (WOLF) and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) . AMD WOLF 5D mountain AMD vs Wolfspeed, 5 days Are options markets aligned with these spikes or fading them using them as opportunities to initiate new bearish positions? Betting against Wolfspeed Wolfspeed popped sharply after a modest topline beat. Betting on AMD Unlike WOLF, AMD was up over 50% year-to-date going into the print so the pop wasn't a short-covering rally.

Persons: Wolfspeed, Roth MKM, Canaccord Genuity, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Wolfspeed Inc, Devices Inc, AMD, Carbide, JPMorgan, Citi, Deutsche Bank, WOLF, Management, Nvidia, supercomputing

☆ These 10 portfolio names outperformed the stock market amid the October decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

AMZN YTD mountain Amazon (AMZN) year-to-date performance Shares of Amazon (AMZN) climbed 4.7% throughout October on the company's better-than-expected third-quarter results . PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance Shares of Palo Alto Networks (PANW) rose 3.7% last month. LLY YTD mountain Eli Lilly (LLY) year-to-date performance Eli Lilly (LLY) stock climbed 3.1% in October after a weak September performance. LIN YTD mountain Linde (LIN) year-to-date performance Shares of Linde (LIN) rebounded on the company's stellar quarterly earnings release last week. CTRA YTD mountain Coterra (CTRA) year-to-date performance Coterra Energy (CTRA) notched gains of 1.7% in October.

Persons: Locker, we're, Foot Locker's, Foot Locker, Andy Jassy, Eli Lilly, LLY, Decker, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Nike, Club, Humana, Microsoft, Big Tech, Amazon, Services, Palo Alto Networks, Alto, Procter & Gamble, Procter, Gamble, LIN, Linde, The, Hamas, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: —, Palo, Lilly's, Israel, Palestinian Territories, New York City, U.S

☆ Buy these 12 high-quality stocks that are up to 42% below their fair market value as Fed rate hikes begin to hit the economy hard, according to Morningstar's chief strategist and economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The firm estimates fair value based on its projection of a company's future cash flows and the predictability of those flows. The best opportunities are now in value stocks that are trading at about a 22% discount to fair value, Sekara noted. Currently, the real estate sector is the most undervalued sector, with REITs trading at a 26% discount to fair value, Sekara said. Finally, American Tower (AMT), which owns and operates wireless and broadcast communications infrastructure, trades at a 24% discount to fair value. Two other five-star stocks that remain significantly undervalued are AT&T and Verizon, trading at a 35% discount to fair value.

Persons: Morningstar's Preston Caldwell, Caldwell, Dave Sekara, Sekara, Wells Organizations: Treasury, Morningstar, Simon Property Group, Realty Trust, Communications, Verizon, Citigroup, PNC, US Bank

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets’ bounce may be short-lived
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But Goldman Sachs' chief equity strategist thinks such negative sentiment gives rise to a "buying opportunity," especially for a certain type of stock that boasts a healthy balance sheet . But not for Tesla Tesla shares sank nearly 5% after Panasonic said it was reducing production of electric batteries because of flagging demand for Tesla's vehicles. The spread in opinions may make the picture ahead murky, but, ironically, it does make one thing clear: markets are increasingly volatile.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Europe's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Hogan, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Wald, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson —, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Consumers, U.S, Panasonic, Dow, Industrial, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Technology, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Riley, Federal Reserve, Lower Treasury Locations: New York City, Lower

☆ Pinterest stock rockets 18% after earnings beat, advertising outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Jake Piazza | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Pinterest stock rose more than 18% Tuesday after beating earnings estimates for the third quarter and assuaging concerns over potential ad revenue loss due to the Israel-Hamas war. The company posted an adjusted earnings per share of 28 cents, beating the LSEG estimate of 20 cents. Pinterest also soundly beat revenue expectations, reporting $763.2 million, versus analysts' estimates of $743.5 million. For much of earnings season, the market has been skittish toward companies reliant on ad revenue due to the unclear future effects of the Israel-Hamas war. Pinterest's mobile deep linking ad product was also a highlight, due to its more than 200% increase in the conversion rate, wrote the Barclays analysts.

Persons: Pinterest, Susan Li, Bill Ready, Gen, Morgan Stanley, Jonathan Vanian Organizations: Meta, Barclays, Citi, Pinterest, Shop, CNBC Locations: Israel

☆ Caterpillar is upgraded on strong quarterly results — and a misguided sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

It's true the operating margin is expected to contract a bit from Tuesday's results. Latin America sales fell 31% due to lower sales volume that was only partially offset by higher prices. Higher prices also aided profitability, despite the dual headwinds of lower volumes and an unfavorable product mix. The adjusted operating profit margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be lower versus the third quarter result. All told, we believe the operating margin consensus on Wall Street needs an upward revision.

Persons: we've, James Umpleby, Umpleby, nonresidential, I've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Caterpillar, Revenue, CAT, U.S, North, Energy, SG, Dealers, Guidance Management, CNBC, Peterson Locations: North America, America, Europe, Africa, Asia, China, San Leandro , California

☆ Gold is testing the key $2,000 level. Why analysts are bullish and where they think it can go next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Chart analysts are optimistic on the price of gold as the metal tests a ceiling that has previously capped gains. Spot gold has traded around the closely-watched $2,000 level in recent days for the first time since May. And, if previous highs can be surpassed, "we do think it's got some room to run here." That's based on analysis of previous movement in the gold chart to estimate how high the metal could go in the near term. Cappelleri, meanwhile, is first watching $2,180 after previous highs, based on a technical analysis of measured moves.

Persons: Thomas DiFazio, it's, Katie Stockton, Frank Cappelleri, Cappelleri, DiFazio, Mark Newton, Newton, It's Organizations: Bank of Japan Locations: Israel

The second largest contributor to real gross domestic product growth in the third quarter came from business inventories (1.3 percentage points). South Korea's KOSPI-100 equity index, which is usually a good proxy for global trade given its heavy weighting towards export-oriented firms, rebounded strongly through the end of July. But the index has since weakened, consistent with the renewed downturn in volumes shown in the global trade index. UNCERTAINTYUncertainty about the economic outlook and ambiguous data are usually greatest around turning points in the business cycle. Related columns:- Persistent U.S. services inflation dampens oil outlook (October 13, 2023)- U.S. manufacturing rebound will stretch diesel supplies (October 5, 2023)- Global container freight stuck in doldrums (June 23, 2023)- Global freight shows signs of bottoming out (April 27, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.

Persons: Stringer, Korea's, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Economic, Service, Real, Ministry of Transport, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China, United States, Netherlands, CHINA, ASIA, Singapore, Asia, Europe, Japan, Narita, EUROPE Europe, Ukraine, Germany, doldrums

☆ Earnings aren't bad, but fourth-quarter forecasts are slipping. Here's what that means for the market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Results haven't been bad, but the macro is overwhelming everything, and fourth-quarter guidance is slipping. Here's a general rule for the stock market: earnings are the main determinant of stock prices in the long run, but in rare cases macro trends can overwhelm their message. Earnings are OK, but the trend is down On the surface, this looks like a good earnings season. With earnings, however, it's the trend in the forward quarter that matters: is the trend up or down? If Treasury yields stabilize or even move lower, that will be a more important factor than a slightly lower earnings environment.

Persons: Here's, CNBC's Robert Hum, Sellers, Chubb, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly Clark, Campbell, Swift, FactSet's John Butters, what's Organizations: Microsoft, Waste, Norfolk, Procter, Gamble, Pepsi, Soft, Nvidia, Express, Visa, Southwest Airlines Locations: Meta, Winnebago, Corning, Big Tech, Treasurys

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