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☆ CNBC Daily Open: Don't bet against the U.S. economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. China's businesses falterChina's factory activity in June shrank for a third consecutive month, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. Successful spaceflight, but shares sinkVirgin Galactic successfully completed its first commercial spaceflight yesterday. Despite the smooth mission, Virgin Galactic shares sank more than 10% yesterday and a further 1.9% in extended training.

Persons: Dow, —, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Commerce, Dow Jones, Federal, Nikkei, National Bureau of Statistics, Virgin Galactic, Italian Air Force, Kodiak Gas Services, Fidelis Insurance Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, New Mexico

☆ China’s factory activity shrinks for a third month as recovery momentum stalls
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Factory activity in China in June contracted for a third month, official data released June 30, 2023 show. Weak China economic data in April and May have fanned calls for economic stimulus for the world's second-largest economy. China's factory activity in June contracted for a third month, while non-manufacturing activity was at its weakest since Beijing abandoned its strict "zero Covid" policy late last year. A PMI reading above 50 points to an expansion in activity, while a reading below that level suggests a contraction. It is not clear if the weak economic data would push the government to launch aggressive stimulus measures soon," he added.

Persons: —, Zhang Zhiwei Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI Locations: China, Beijing

☆ Australian shoppers tempted by special offers in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, June 29 (Reuters) - Australian retail spending rebounded in May as consumers were tempted by online sales events and promotional discounting, a sign of resilience in consumption that might add to the case for another rise in interest rates. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday showed nominal retail sales rose 0.7% in May from April, when they were flat, handily beating forecasts of 0.1%. The ABS noted an early start to some end of financial year sales events boosted turnover, along with Mother’s Day and a popular "Click Frenzy Mayhem" event. However, service sector inflation remained uncomfortably high and could easily be used to justify a tightening if the RBA board felt it necessary. ($1 = 1.5103 Australian dollars)Reporting by Wayne Cole; Editing by Christopher Cushing, Robert BirselOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ben Dorber, Stephen Wu, Wayne Cole, Christopher Cushing, Robert Birsel Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS, Mother’s, Reserve Bank of Australia, CPI, CBA, Thomson

☆ Australia job vacancies fall 2% in May qtr, still historically high
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

SYDNEY, June 29 (Reuters) - Job vacancies in Australia fell in the three months to May, the fourth straight quarter of decline, but were still far above pre-pandemic levels as demand for labour remains strong. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) out on Thursday showed vacancies in the May quarter fell 2.0%, from the previous quarter, to 431,600. "This May saw businesses continuing to report difficulties in recruiting and retaining staff," said Bjorn Jarvis, ABS head of labour statistics. "This highlights the impact of a tight labour market on a broad range of businesses," said Jarvis. Thursday's data showed vacancies in the private sector fell 2.3% in the May quarter, while the public sector saw a rise of 0.3%.

Persons: Bjorn Jarvis, Jarvis, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Australia

☆ China's industrial profits tumble, deepening economic gloom
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BEIJING, June 28 (Reuters) - Annual profits at China's industrial firms extended a double-digit decline in the first five months as softening demand squeezed margins, reinforcing hopes of more policy support to bolster a stuttering post-COVID economic recovery. "The still slow recovery in industrial profits pointed to sustained difficulties facing business operations," said Wu Chaoming, deputy director of the Chasing International Economic Institute. Wu said the corporate struggles strengthen the case for more policy measures to help companies. "As the external environment becomes increasingly complicated and severe, domestic demand still appears to be insufficient, weighing on further recovery in industrial profits," said NBS statistician Sun Xiao in an accompanying statement, noting that the foundation for a revival in industrial profits is still not solid. Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenues of at least 20 million yuan ($2.77 million) from their main operations.

Persons: Wu Chaoming, Wu, Sun Xiao, Goldman Sachs, Li Qiang, Li, Qiaoyi Li, Ryan Woo, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Economic Institute, P Global, Summer, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Tianjin

☆ China's tumbling industrial profits deepens economic gloom
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

☆ Australia's consumer inflation hits 13-month low, adding to rate pause case
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - Australia's consumer inflation slowed to a 13-month low in May, driven by a sharp pullback in fuel, while a measure of core inflation also cooled in a sign interest rates might not have to rise again in July. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed its monthly consumer price index (CPI) rose 5.6% in the year to May, marking the smallest increase since April last year. That was down from 6.8% the previous month and well below market forecasts of 6.1%. The core trimmed mean measure of CPI rose by an annual 6.1%, a seven-month low and again down from 6.7% in April. Wednesday's data showed the most significant drivers were an 8.4% jump in housing and a 7.9% increase in food and non-alcoholic beverages.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Marcel Thieliant, Stella Qiu, Sam Holmes Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau, Statistics, Reserve Bank of Australia, IG, Bank, Capital Economics, Thomson

☆ China cuts loan prime rate as economic recovery fizzles out
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

The rate cuts come as Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs, slash their forecasts for China’s economy. The People’s Bank of China on Tuesday trimmed its one-year loan prime rate (LPR) by 10 basis points from 3.65% to 3.55%, and reduced the five-year rate by the same margin to 4.2%. This is the first time the PBOC has cut both LPR rates since August 2022, when renewed Covid lockdowns and a deepening property downturn were pummeling the economy. “The 10 bps rate cut[s] are unlikely to stimulate business confidence and housing demand,” said Ken Cheung, chief Asian foreign exchange strategist at Mizuho Bank. Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stocks slid after Tuesday’s rate cuts.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Covid, ”, Ken Cheung, “, ” Goldman Sachs, Fu Linghui Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, People’s Bank of China, Mizuho Bank, Shanghai, National Bureau, Statistics, NBS Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing

LAUNCESTON, Australia, June 19 (Reuters) - China added to crude oil stockpiles at the fastest rate in nearly three years in May, as robust imports outweighed near-record refinery processing. This was up 15.4% from the same month in 2022, and was the second-highest monthly total, eclipsed only by the 14.91 million bpd from March. The volume of crude available to refiners was 16.37 million bpd, consisting of imports of 12.11 million bpd and domestic output of 4.26 million bpd. It's worth noting that for the first five months of 2023 China's crude oil imports are up 6.2% to the equivalent of 11.13 million bpd. If the flows into storage and the rise in product exports are factored in, suddenly the increase in China's crude oil imports doesn't look quite as bullish as it may first appear.

Persons: China doesn't, It's, Jamie Freed Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, OPEC, Saudi Aramco, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, China, OPEC, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Saudi

Big increases from mostly coal-fired thermal generators (+149 billion kWh), wind farms (+79 billion kWh) and solar generators (+19 billion kWh) offset a fall in hydro production (-82 billion kWh). Chartbook: China electricity generationThe two provinces of Sichuan (354 billion kWh) and Yunnan (296 billion kWh) in southern China produced almost half of the country’s total hydro-electric power (1,352 billion kWh) in 2020. ENERGY SECURITYSouth China’s drought and reduced hydro generation explains why the central government has encouraged coal miners to maximise production and coal-fired generators to stockpile fuel. Coal imports increased by +86 million tonnes (+90%) in the first five months as generators and steelmakers took advantage of lower international prices to rebuild inventories. Large numbers of new coal-fired plants are being authorised and built to meet short-term load growth and reliability requirements even as government plans to reduce the share of coal-fired generation in the medium and long-term.

Persons: steelmakers, John Kemp, Barbara Lewis Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Coal, China Electricity Council, Thomson, Reuters Locations: China, Chartbook, Sichuan, Yunnan, Yibin

Retail sales - a key gauge of consumer confidence - rose 12.7%, missing forecasts of 13.6% growth and slowing from April's 18.4%. Data ranging from factory surveys and trade to loan growth and home sales have shown signs of weakness for the world's second-biggest economy. China's stock markets rose after the rates cut, with the benchmark CSI 300 gaining 0.6% in early trade, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index climbed 1.2%. The sector is expected to grapple with "persistent weakness" for years, dragging on economic growth, Goldman Sachs analysts said this week. The country's biggest banks recently cut their deposit rates to ease pressure on profit margins and encourage savers to spend more.

Persons: China's, Zhiwei Zhang, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang LaSalle, Pang, Hong, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Yi, Goldman Sachs, Albee Zhang, Sam Holmes Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Jones, CSI, Capital Economics, Investment, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, outflows

☆ China's May factory output, retail sales growth miss expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

[1/2] Employees work on a drilling machine production line at a factory in Zhangjiakou, Hebei province, China November 14, 2018. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected output growth to cool to 3.6% from 5.6% in April. Fixed asset investment expanded 4.0% in the first five months of 2023 from the same period a year earlier, versus expectations for a 4.4% rise. Analysts have cautioned that China's data readings last month may be highly distorted by comparisons with a very weak performance last year, when many cities were under stringent COVID lockdowns. Reporting by Albee Zhang, Ellen Zhang and Kevin Yao; Editing by Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Stringer, Albee Zhang, Ellen Zhang, Kevin Yao, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, National Bureau of Statistics, Analysts, Thomson Locations: Zhangjiakou, Hebei province, China, BEIJING

☆ China's slower home price growth, deepening investment slump signal more easing
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

New home prices in May rose 0.1% month-on-month, slower than a 0.4% gain in March, according to Reuters calculations based on National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data. Additional easing measures are needed to revive the industry, economists say, adding to expectations Beijing will deliver stimulus such as further easing home purchase curbs in first-tier cities. Beijing's broad-based stimulus measures to prop up the embattled property market since late last year had boosted sentiment in the wake of the abrupt end of COVID-19 curbs in December. In annual terms, prices rose slightly for the first time since April 2022, up 0.1% last month after a 0.2% drop in April. China's central bank cut the borrowing cost of its medium-term policy loans for the first time in 10 months on Thursday.

Persons: Yan Yuejin, Goldman Sachs, China's, Liangping Gao, Qiaoyi Li, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes, Christopher Cushing Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, China Research, Development Institution, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, COVID

☆ Australia May employment blows past expectations, piling pressure on RBA
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The bond yield curve, which was already inverted to signal risks of a recession, inverted further after the jobs report, with the spread between ten-year and three-year government bond yields turning negative. "The labour market remains very tight, which will contribute to stronger wage growth over 2023," said Sean Langcake, head of macroeconomic forecasting for Oxford Economics Australia. "The RBA has maintained a hawkish tone following the June rate rise, expressing concerns over the persistence of underlying inflation. Job advertisements were mostly steady in May after three months of declines and remained 52% above pre-COVID levels. Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Sonali PaulOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Sean Langcake, Langcake, Philip Lowe, Stella Qiu, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sonali Paul Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Reserve Bank of Australia, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Oxford Economics Australia

The hope can be seen in the domestic iron ore price, with contracts on the Dalian Commodity Exchange outperforming Singapore futures. There are also some fundamental supports for the iron ore price, most noticeably declining inventories at China's ports. In the same week last year, inventories were at 128.3 million metric tonnes, or 1.6% above the current level. China iron ore imports vs SGX price:SOFT ECONOMIC DATACountering the positive indicators for iron ore demand is a raft of underwhelming economic data that shows China's rebound after ending its strict zero-COVID policy in December has been uneven. The weak data may actually boost iron ore sentiment, as investors will expect further stimulus measures from Beijing.

Persons: SteelHome, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Dalian, Exchange, China Iron and Steel Association, National Bureau of Statistics, Retail, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, China, Beijing, Singapore, Dalian, April's

☆ China's Jan-May property investment, sales fall at faster pace
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

BEIJING, June 15 (Reuters) - Property investment in China fell at a faster pace in January-May, dropping 7.2% from the same period a year earlier, official data showed on Thursday, adding to concerns about the outlook for the world's second-biggest economy. Property sales by floor area declined 0.9%, versus a 0.4% fall in the first four months, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). New construction starts measured by floor area fell 22.6%, after a 21.2% drop in the first four months. Funds raised by China's property developers were down 6.6% after a 6.4% slide in January-April. Reporting by Liangping Gao, Ella Cao and Ryan Woo; Editing by Kim Coghill and Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Liangping Gao, Ella Cao, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill, Tom Hogue Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China

☆ China's youth unemployment hits a fresh record high in May, major data disappoint
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

BEIJING — China's youth unemployment rose to a record in May, while major data missed expectations, according to data released Thursday by the National Bureau of Statistics. The unemployment rate for young people ages 16 to 24 rose to 20.8% in May, a record and above the high set in April. Industrial production rose by 3.5% in May from a year ago, slower than the 3.6% expected by the Reuters poll. Analysts predicted a 4.4% increase in fixed asset investment for the first five months of the year from a year ago. Fixed asset investment for the first five months of the year rose by 4% from a year ago, slower than the 4.4% predicted by Reuters.

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING

☆ China’s economy is way more screwed than anyone thought
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

The bubble in China's property market finally popped. In April, China's economic data came in weak largely across the board. The problem is that while consumers may be picking up, the biggest drivers of the Chinese economy — property and exports — are going to stay dormant. Consumer consumption makes up about 37% of the Chinese economy (in the US that figure is about 70%). Beijing has tried to shift the country toward a consumption model, like the US, but exports still make up 20% of China's economy.

Persons: lockdowns, it's, Xi Jinping, Stanley Druckenmiller, We're, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Wei Yao, Leland Miller, Miller, Yao, Wright, I've, —, Kearney, Linette Lopez Organizations: Trade, JPMorgan, Bloomberg Invest Conference, Bank of America's, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Societe Generale, Analysts, Beijing, China, Chinese Communist Party, China's Locations: China, globalism, Beijing, York, Asia

☆ Economic stimulus in China would be a win for 3 stocks tied to Chinese consumers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The recovery in China has been much slower than what other major countries experienced when they lifted their pandemic restrictions. Still, the Chinese consumer has proved to be resilient in the face of these broader economic challenges. It marked the fastest pace of growth since the first quarter of 2022, fueled by higher spending from Chinese consumers. Club stock results Recent financial results from our China-exposed companies show that Chinese consumers have been holding up even as broader economic recovery is delayed. China is a growth market for each company and improvement in economic activity there should be a catalyst for these stocks.

Persons: Estee Lauder, —, Ting Lu, WYNN, hasn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jason Lee Organizations: Starbucks, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, China Index Academy, National Bureau of Statistics, Club, Gaming, Prestige, CNBC Locations: China, China's, Beijing, Macao, Asia, SBUX

☆ China's installed non-fossil fuel electricity capacity exceeds 50% of total
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BEIJING, June 12 (Reuters) - China's non-fossil fuel energy sources now exceed 50% of its total installed electricity generation capacity, state media outlet Xinhua said on Monday, citing an official at state planner the National Reform and Development Commission. Non-fossil fuel power sources, such as wind and solar power, account for 50.9% of the country's total installed capacity, marking the early completion of a government target proposed in 2021, under which renewable capacity was planned to exceed fossil fuel capacity by 2025. By the end of 2022, China's installed power generation capacity was 2,564.05 GW, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). However, inconsistent utilisation of the resources means that China's energy consumption mix remains weighted toward fossil fuels, principally coal. Coal accounted for 56.2% of total energy consumption last year, versus 25.9% from renewables which includes nuclear energy, the NBS data showed.

Persons: China's, Andrew Hayley, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Xinhua, National Reform and Development Commission, National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China

BEIJING, June 9 (Reuters) - China's factory gate prices fell at the fastest pace in seven years in May and quicker than forecasts, as faltering demand weighed on a slowing manufacturing sector and cast a cloud over the fragile economic recovery. "The risk of deflation is still weighing on the economy," said Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, in a note. China's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter, but recent indicators show demand is rapidly weakening with exports, imports and factory activity falling in May. Food price inflation, a key driver of CPI, slowed to 1.0% year-on-year from 2.4% in the previous month. On a month-on-month basis, food prices fell 0.7%.

Persons: Zhiwei Zhang, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Dan Wang, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Australia, Reuters, Capital Economics, Hang Seng Bank China, Bank of China, China's, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, United States, Europe, China

☆ China's producer prices plunge the most in seven years as deflation hangs over economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

People walk past buildings in Shanghai, Shanghai, China, on Friday, April 21, 2023. Producer price index in May fell 4.6%, marking the steepest year-on-year drop in seven years, when producer prices saw a year-on-year drop of 7.2% in May 2016. China's low consumer inflation and deflation in its producer prices come in contrast to relatively high inflation in major economies around the world. The mining and raw material industries led declines in producer prices, while food, tobacco and alcohol prices led consumer price gains, the data showed. Nearing bottomDespite the softness in the latest price indexes, one China market watcher seemed to be holding on to an optimistic "long China" call.

Persons: Zhiwei Zhang, Zhang, Andrew Maynard of Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, CPI, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Shanghai, China, Canada, Australia, Shenzhen, Andrew Maynard of China

☆ The 10 least affordable places to live if you're an expat in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Reena Koh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

New York, Hong Kong, and Geneva are the top 3 unaffordable cities to live in if you're an expat in 2023. Read further for the 10 least affordable places to live if you're an expat in 2023, ranked from the most expensive to the least expensive. Alberto MazzaThe average monthly rent for a four-room apartment in Geneva's city center is about $4,600. GettyThe median monthly rent for a two-bedroom flat in London touched a high of $2,895 in December, according to CNBC. JaCZhou 2015/Getty ImagesThe average monthly rent for a four-room apartment in the city center of Zurich sits at around $4,200, per The Local.

Persons: —, Lee Quane, Read, Sharp, ANTHONY WALLACE, Alberto Mazza, LondonlovesBusiness, Justin Sullivan, Alexander Spatari, Marielle, Allan Baxter, Tokyo Kantei Organizations: Service, York, ECA, Big Apple, NBC, New York Times, Getty, expats, Bloomberg, CNBC, San Francisco Bay Area, Jerusalem Post, Central Bureau of Statistics, CBS, South Korea Skyline, South, Financial Times Locations: . New York, Hong Kong, Geneva, London, Singapore, New York, Asia, expat, Manhattan, expats, NBC New York, China Hong, Switzerland, Geneva's, Swiss, NurPhoto, Zurich, San Francisco, US, San Francisco Bay, Tel Aviv, Israel, Jerusalem, Seoul, South Korea, South Korean, —, Korean, Tokyo, Japan

☆ Australia Q1 economy grows at slowest pace in 1-1/2 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

SYDNEY, June 7 (Reuters) - Australia's economy grew at the weakest pace in 1-1/2 years last quarter as high prices and rising interest rates sapped consumer spending, and emerging signs suggest a further slowdown ahead amid a deceleration in global growth. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed real gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2% in the first quarter, easing from 0.5% in the previous quarter and under forecasts of 0.3%. Annual growth was at 2.3%, also missing forecast for 2.4%. Reporting by Stella Qiu Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau, Statistics, Thomson

☆ Australia Q1 GDP growth hits weakest pace in 1-1/2 years as consumers struggle
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed real gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2% in the first quarter, easing from 0.5% in the previous quarter and under forecasts of 0.3%. Annual growth came in at 2.3%, also missing forecasts for 2.4% expansion. The report contained initial signs that domestic price pressures are easing and evidence that households are saving less to meet high costs of livings and rising mortgage rates. Household consumption rose only a meagre 0.2% in the March quarter, contributing 0.1% percentage points to GDP, mostly from spending on essential goods and services. Reporting by Stella Qiu Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Price, Philip Lowe, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau, Statistics, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson

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