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Opinion | Nate Silver on How Kamala Harris Changed the Odds
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +81 min
You know, Hillary Clinton, who was, I think, kind of a terrible candidate, won the popular vote by two points. So I don’t think they gave her a very good hand to play. It doesn’t matter who you are, it matters that you’re right and you’re able to prove it or bet on it in some way. What wasn’t in the Harris model that should have been?” “Yeah, maybe you really can meme your way to victory. And there’s something in it that I don’t think she can explain how she does it, but it makes her a fascinating leader.
Persons: Nate Silver, , ESPN’s Nate Silver, Silver, He’s, “ Savage, ” “, he’s, Ezra, Harris, we’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, There’s, Hillary Clinton, she’s, She’s, Gavin Newsom, It’s, Biden, I’m, you’re, Joe Biden, Democratic Party Harris, Liz, , , Donald Trump, that’s, George W, Bush, Donald Trump wasn’t, it’s, Michael Jackson, Woody Allen, , Chick, don’t, George Floyd, ‘ COVID, COVID, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Michael Moritz, Elon, Mark Cuban, Thiel, Max Chafkin, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Marc Andreessen, Ted Cruz, Sam Bankman, Tom Brady, SBF, Carrick Flynn, Oregon’s, I’m Carrick Flynn, Tara MacAulay, vouched, Bill Clinton, Tyler Cowen, they’ve, Jane, JD Vance, Peter Thiel’s, Vance, Trump, Steve Bannon, Don Trump, Jr, Tucker Carlson, Tim Walz, Josh Shapiro, Tell, you’ve, Shapiro, Walz, I’ve, Iglesias, Obama, Susan Collins, Joe Manchin —, Jon Tester, ” “ Sherrod Brown, I’d, Dana White, Hulk Hogan, Joe Biden’s, — let’s, Mike Donilon, Kennedy, ” “ Tim Alberta, Georgia —, Brian Kemp, Blake Masters, Rick Scott, ” “ Trump, Doug Burgum, Black, didn’t, — Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Michael Jordan, everyone’s, Nancy Pelosi’s, Nancy Pelosi, Joe ’, we’re, I’ll, John Coates, Richard Rhodes, Natasha Schüll, Natasha Organizations: Oracle, Trump, Democratic Party, Facebook, Twitter, The New York Times, ’ Harvard University, Democratic White House, Republican White House, Democratic, Silver, George, Vegas, Poker, extroversion, Elon, Sequoia Capital, McLaren, Paypal, Republican, New, PAC, Alameda, Las, Ohio Senate, underperform, White, UFC, RNC, Biden, Biden ., National Association of Black Journalists, Deutsche Bank, Manhattan Project, Design Locations: Nate, Russian, Russia, , Elon, Florida, predestiny, Bahamas, Sam, Africa, New York, Oregon, Las Vegas, Petersburg, United States, Ohio, Trump, Minnesota, ” “ Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Gaza, Chicago, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Biden . Georgia, Carolina, Arizona, Ukraine, LA, It’s, Vegas
AdvertisementMy grandparents raised my brother and me"They were like drill sergeants," my aunt relayed to me on one of the evenings when I stayed over at her house. Part of that upbringing, as children of immigrants, meant children were second-class citizens, meant to be seen and not heard. For the first time, my grandparents got to be grandparents with my kids. My feelings of envy for the relationship my grandparents were creating with my kids disappeared and were replaced with gratitude. When I look back at pictures of them with my kids, I tell them how much my grandparents loved them.
Persons: I'd, Gram, Zachary, Gramps, Nicole Johnson, Zach, Cami Organizations: Service, barracuda
The disturbances have been fueled by social media users who spread misinformation about the suspect in the July 29 stabbing rampage. A police officer fends away a demonstrator during an anti-immigration protest, in Rotherham northern England on Aug. 4, 2024. The suspect was born in Wales and moved to the Southport area in 2013. We don’t hear you back.’’The coffin of Southport stabbing victim Alice da Silva Aguiar being taken from St Patrick's Church, Southport after her funeral. On Sunday, her parents released a photo of Alice standing next to a cardboard cutout of Swift as she waited for her last dance class to begin.
Persons: Alice da Silva, Constable Serena Kennedy, Alice, , Kennedy, Taylor Swift, fends, Hollie Adams, Sergio, Alexandra, ’ ’, , Alice da Silva Aguiar, Danny Lawson, Jinnie Payne, Swift, ’ ” Payne, Organizations: Patrick’s Catholic, Merseyside Police, Reuters, Churchtown Primary Locations: Southport, England, Merseyside, Liverpool, Rotherham, Wales, Rwanda, Britain, , St Patrick's
Advertisement"I think career is defined as much by what you say no to as what you say yes to," Stevens tells Business Insider. He famously devastated "Downton Abbey" fans by requesting to leave the beloved period drama, which necessitated killing off his fan-favorite character Matthew Crawley. "There was a real openness to see actors try things that they've not necessarily been seen in before over here, and that was very, very appealing to me," Stevens says. AdvertisementOn the excitement and terror of leaving 'Downton Abbey'Dan Stevens was one-half of the most popular couple on "Downton Abbey." AdvertisementAnd one that I particularly enjoy is when people say how much they enjoyed "High Maintenance," which was a show that I really really loved being a part of.
Persons: Dan Stevens, It's, King, Abigail, Stevens, Charles Dickens, Matthew Crawley, Herr König, terrorizes, Hunter Schafer, he's, Cousin Matthew, Felix Dickinson, it's, Downton, Al Pacino, ITV It's, I've, you've, , Emma Watson, Emma, Harry Potter, that'll, You've, haven't, Robert Eggers, Lisa Frankenstein, Zelda Williams, We've, they've Organizations: Business, ITV, Marvel, HBO Locations: Queens, Downton, Russian
We've explained how current high-yield savings accounts beat inflation rates, and what Fed rate cuts mean for your savings. How does inflation affect savingsIn order to understand how high-yield savings accounts beat inflation, you first have to understand what inflation is. Dixon says that, while high-yield savings accounts are good for shorter-term savings such as emergency funds, investing can be a good longer-term strategy — as long as you understand the risk. If your savings aren't kept in a high-yield savings account, the interest you earn on your savings could be outpaced by the current inflation rate. Using a high-yield savings account can help you save your savings from inflation because current high-yield savings account rates are higher than current inflation rates.
Persons: , We've, Patrina Dixon, there's, Dorsainvil, Dixon, it's, aren't Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Dorsainvil, YGC, CME, Am Locations: CFEI, U.S
I love being a messy, imperfect summer mom
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Sarah Seltzer | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. Sure, I'm sad to say goodbye to another year, but I'm also elated to step into my favorite yearly role as — summer mom. And I hate all the planning and forethought that goes into summer scheduling, especially camp signups. That shirt and that hair will be covered by popsicle melt, sand, sweat, or dirt within a few hours anyway. And I'm at my best because I'm at my happiest and most relaxed.
Persons: I'm, It's, fanny Organizations: Service, Business, Olympics, Labor
I got altitude psychosis a few hundred meters from high camp as I scaled the frigid face of Huayna Potosi, the ninth-highest mountain in the Bolivian Andes. The geodesic dome was surrounded by snow at Huayna Potosi High Camp. Elizabeth LavisThanks to my excellent guide, I made it to high camp and spent the night in an orange geodesic dome perched on Potosi's precarious eastern side. He rapidly identified the seriousness of the situation, carried my day pack the rest of the way, and helped me ascend slowly to high camp. While I was fairly fit and prepared to climb Huayna Potosi, I didn't consider the mental or extreme physical toll the mountain would take.
Persons: , hallucinating, crampons skidding, Elizabeth Lavis, I've, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Bolivia's La, El, Huayna, Psychiatry Locations: Huayna Potosi, Bolivian, Caucasus, Potosi, Bolivia's, Bolivia's La Paz, El Alto, Lake Titicaca, Peru, Bolivia, Camp, Svaneti , Georgia
CNN —Former President Donald Trump on Monday posted on X – formerly known as Twitter – for the first time in nearly a year ahead of his conversation on the platform later in the day with X owner and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Trump regularly asserts on the campaign trail that he is a victim of what he calls “political persecution,” and the video appears to amplify that claim. The more that a broken system tells you that you’re wrong, the more certain you should be that you must keep pushing ahead,” Trump says in the voiceover. The video also includes lines that are staples of Trump’s campaign speeches, including: “They want to take away my freedom, because I will never let them take away your freedom. And we will liberate America from these villains once and for all.”And in another post, Trump asked, “Are you better off now than you were when I was president?”“Our economy is shattered.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, Trump, , They’re, Organizations: CNN, Twitter, Democratic, Immigration, Customs Enforcement, Green New Deal, San, Justice Department, Trump, Make America SAFE Locations: San Francisco, Lago, America, Atlanta, Georgia
These regular visits have given me a unique perspective on the store's operations: I've learned valuable tips that many Costco members might not know, which has helped me save hundreds of dollars. During my many trips, I've learned to look at tags for markdowns — especially in the home goods and electronics sections. Related storiesMembers can sign up to get emails about daily updates on discounts, but the monthly sales emails highlight the best deals. In my opinion, the best sales are in the emails with the month in the subject line, as they provide monthly deals. Mondays are often the best day to shop for dealsMost Costco sales end on Sundays, making Mondays the best day to shop for deals.
Persons: , I've, markdowns, Kristen Markel, Kristen Markel I've, I'm Organizations: Service, Costco, Business, Shoppers
CNN —The New England Patriots won their first game in over 24 years without legendary coach Bill Belichick in charge, beating the Carolina Panthers 17-3 in their opening preseason game on Thursday. Third-year quarterback Bailey Zappe played a larger role, before rookie QB Joe Milton III finished the game. Milton III throws a pass to teammates Terrell Jennings in the second half against the Panthers. The last time New England won without Belichick on the sidelines was on January 2, 2000, when the Pete Carroll-led Patriots beat the Baltimore Ravens 20-3 in Foxborough. During his time with the team, Belichick won six Super Bowl titles and is famed for his pairing with legendary quarterback Tom Brady.
Persons: Bill Belichick, Jerod Mayo, Drake Maye, ” Maye, ” Mayo, Maye, Bailey Zappe, Joe Milton III, Milton III, JaQuae Jackson, Terrell Jennings, Jaiden Tripi, Mayo, Milton, “ He’s, it’s, you’ve, , Belichick, Pete Carroll, Tom Brady Organizations: CNN, New England Patriots, Carolina Panthers, Patriots, NFL, Panthers, Getty, England, Baltimore Ravens Locations: Milton, England, Foxborough
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In my final summer before graduation, I managed to land three internship offers — from a consulting company, a consumer goods company, and JPMorgan. When I got that phone call that I got the JPMorgan internship, it was so exciting and I felt really grateful. I wanted desperately to be in a place where I feel stimulated and I'm interested in the work I'm doing. The alternative was job hunting from scratch, not knowing what I would land and whether the offer would even come close to what JPMorgan was paying.
Persons: , Nick Rutherford Organizations: Service, of Pennsylvania, JPMorgan Private Bank, Unilever, Business, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, JPMorgan, company's Locations: Seattle, Jersey
Taylor Swift once said that her "biggest fear" was a terror attack during one of her concerts. The 2019 Elle article has resurfaced after the cancellation of her Vienna concerts last week due to a foiled terror plot. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementTaylor Swift once called a potential terror attack during her concert her "biggest fear."
Persons: Taylor Swift, Swift, , — Swift Organizations: Wembley, Service, Manchester Arena Locations: Vienna
Cramer's Lighting Round: 'Steer clear' of Albemarle
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Aflac's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Elevance Health's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Albemarle's year-to-date stock performnace. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Snap's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Alibaba's year-to-date stock performance.
Persons: Chubb, Elevance, I'm, it's, there's Organizations: Elevance, United Health Locations: Albemarle, China
Kuzmina, 32, is training to be an electrician in Kamianske, a city in eastern Ukraine. Because of worker shortages in fields like driving, mechanical work, and road work, the Ukrainian government launched a program that provides women with training vouchers. But Ukrainian women must still contend with employers and even family members who aren't always on board with more women taking traditionally male jobs. But soon after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Kuzmina's commander disbanded the unit because of a lack of resources. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said last month that Russia had damaged or destroyed more than half of Ukraine's power generation.
Persons: , aren't, Kuzmina, Yuliia Kuzmina, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Yana Lukashuk, Lukashuk, Olga Kupets, Kupets, shubhangigoel@insider.com Organizations: Service, Business, Army, Ukrainian Army, Donbas Battalion, Kuzmina's, Locals, Kyiv School of Economics Locations: Kamianske, Ukraine, Russia, Ukrainian, Torestsk, Kyiv, Soviet
CNN —Renewed fears of ethnic cleansing against the stateless Rohingya Muslim community are mounting after reports that hundreds of people, including women and children, were killed by drone strikes while fleeing violence in Myanmar’s western Rakhine state last week. Witnesses and Rohingya activists told CNN that a series of drone strikes on August 5 hit civilians fleeing fighting and violence in their villages in Maungdaw, northern Rakhine. The displaced families had been waiting to cross the river to Bangladesh at the time of the attack, they said. Forced recruitment of Rohingya men and boys is stoking religious tensions between the Rohingya Muslim and Rakhine Buddhist communities, the report said. “Ethnic Rohingya and Rakhine civilians are bearing the brunt of the atrocities that the Myanmar military and opposition Arakan Army are committing,” said Elaine Pearson, Asia director at Human Rights Watch.
Persons: Rohingya, , , , , Orla Murphy, Hasan, Rehman Asad, Mohammad Elias, Elias, ” Elias, Elaine Pearson Organizations: CNN, Arakan Army, AA, Myanmar, United Nations, International Court of Justice, Free Rohingya Coalition, Resource Management, Sans, MSF, , ” CNN, Bangladesh’s Border Guard Force, Human Rights, Human Rights Watch Locations: Rakhine, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Ma, Maungdaw, Myanmar’s, Muangdaw, Lwin, Rohingya, Cox’s Bazar, Ukhia, Cox's Bazar, , Buthidaung, Arakan, Asia
As the years passed and my children grew older, conversations with friends who also have kids thankfully moved on to more stimulating topics. I was reminded of this recently when I caught up with three close friends who are footloose and child-free. Chatting to my friends without kids was like having a glimpse into the person I used to be. Making time for my friends was good for meWhen I left the restaurant, I felt recharged and refreshed. AdvertisementMelissa Noble (left) recently went to a concert with her child-free friends Simone Turner and Sharon Green.
Persons: it's, I've, Melissa Noble, Simone Turner, Sharon Green Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Melbourne, Canada
5 tips for living a good and happy life
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Andrea Kane | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
What happiness means is different for each individual and may shift over a lifetime: joy, love, purpose, money, health, freedom, gratitude, friendship, romance, fulfilling work? Many have even suggested that while we may think we know what will make us happy, we are often wrong. One man may have cracked the code for what makes a happy and healthier life — and he has the data to back him up. And that’s particularly important now where we’re so divided from each other.”We hope these five tips help put you on a path to what you consider to be a good, happy life. And remember: No life is happy all the time.
Persons: Sanjay Gupta, Robert Waldinger, ” Waldinger, , , That’s, Waldinger, you’re, I’ll Organizations: CNN, Harvard, Harvard College, Harvard Medical School
I grew up in Southern California in the 80s and 90s, where my dad introduced my brother, my sister and me to the surprisingly big ice hockey scene there. I went on to be a member of the U.S. Women's Hockey team in 1998, 2002, 2006 and 2010. Watching them, I've thought a lot about what it was like to come back from my own critical injury. With both injuries, I had to go to physical therapy in order to return to hockey. I learned to be emotionally resilientI don't think my trajectory, in sports and in business, would have been possible without the lessons I learned from my physical therapy.
Persons: Simone Biles, Suni Lee, I've Organizations: International Olympic, Athletes ', IOC, Women's Hockey, Harvard, University of Minnesota Locations: Southern California, Paris, U.S, Tokyo
Royal Caribbean has a private island in the Bahamas called Perfect Day at CocoCay. The island gives cruise guests a combination of thrilling activities and relaxing beaches. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementPerfect Day at CocoCay is Royal Caribbean's 125-acre private island in the Bahamas. I went to CocoCay during my first cruise aboard Royal Caribbean's Wonder of the Seas in May 2022.
Persons: , overwater cabanas Organizations: Royal, Service Locations: Royal Caribbean, Bahamas, CocoCay
Read previewAs a freshman at Penn State University, Ezra Gershanok was set on landing a job in consulting after graduation. Four Gen Z consultants told BI they were not in the industry for the long haul. Related storiesYet she doesn't expect the consulting industry will go hungry for workers because of the opportunities the experience can bring. AdvertisementShe said the learning opportunities can help some young consultants cope with the long hours and stress of the gig. Gen Z consultants said the hours are worth it as long as they pick up new skills.
Persons: , Ezra Gershanok, There's, Gershanok, It's, he'd, Gen Zers, Vicki Salemi, Monster, Salemi, Gen, Jorge García Febles, I'm, PwC, it's, Spencer Rascoff, Surabhi Gupta Organizations: Service, Penn State University, Deloitte, McKinsey & Company, Business, Ritz Carlton, Consulting, McKinsey
For example, this season started with the banks roaring higher on great numbers, legitimately great numbers led by a phenomenal Bank of America quarter. The later just made no sense because it is pulling away from Intel on the low end and if Nvidia really does have production problems then AMD is the de facto winner. In fact, the only stock that didn't suffer from an Nvidia relation, Apple, got through earnings without too much trouble. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: , techs, We've, Warren Buffett, Buffett, industrials Eaton, Donald Trump, we've, execs, I've, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Rob Kim Organizations: Federal Reserve, of America, Bank of America, Club, Apple, Fed, SL Green, Boston Properties, Nvidia, Arista Networks, Micron, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Devices, Intel, AMD, Accenture, Deloitte, McKinsey, White, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Lowe's
PARIS — Brittney Griner knew she would get emotional, but didn’t think it would be like this. “And then to be here and win gold for my country, representing when my country fought for me so hard for me to even be standing here. Advertisement“It’s a great day,” Griner said Aug. 1, the same day her team picked up its second Olympics win. She’s so thankful to be here.”Throughout her time in France, Griner consistently brought up her gratitude for returning to her teammates and to the game she loves. “And I was able to bring back gold for my country.”(Photo of Brittney Griner: Daniela Porcelli / Eurasia Sport Images / Getty Images)
Persons: Brittney Griner, Griner, , mpic qu Organizations: PARIS, United, France, Bercy Arena, Griner, ev e Locations: United States
For Love & Money is a column from Business Insider answering your relationship and money questions. This week, a reader's dad died and left all his money to one sibling. Dear For Love & Money,My dad died almost two years ago and left my younger brother and me here. I know my dad caused this situation, but my brother doesn't have to handle it like that. Maybe your dad felt bad for your brother because he always secretly felt you had more promise.
Persons: , doesn't, I've, didn't, I'm, it's Organizations: Business, Service
Four bitcoin wallets that led to sex-trafficking fugitive Michael Pratt's capture are seen in the bottom left corner. AdvertisementFrom Michael Pratt's 2019 criminal complaint. Federal prosecutors say Pratt increased traffic by forwarding each victim's video link to her school, work, family, and social connections. Michael Pratt's Swiss ID and Barcelona Mailboxes Etc. AdvertisementThese days, DeBarber runs the Baltimore-based Phoenix AI cybersecurity firm with cofounder Justine Li, a Girls Do Porn victim and plaintiff.
Persons: , Michael James Pratt —, Pratt, Michael Pratt's, Michael Pratt, it's, Charles DeBarber, ike, ake, ould, ong, hough, erving, J ames, rove, ratt, ong K ong, egan, ove, arlene, lew, anni, rooke,, rian H olm,, wiss Organizations: Service, Spanish, Business, Spain's Policia Nacional, Policia Nacional, ust Locations: New Zealander, Madrid, Southern California, Spain, bitcoin, omiting,, ife, ictim
“Is she Indian or is she Black?” Trump said, falsely claiming his political rival for the presidency “happened to turn Black” a few years ago. Webb, Harris and more than 33 million other multiracial Americans are, by some measures, part of the nation’s fastest growing demographic group. And for many of them, former President Donald Trump’s repeated attacks on Harris’ identity feel particularly personal. I don’t say I’m a Black woman. See how that works.”Anthony McDowell shared this photo of his family on Facebook after hearing Trump's recent remarks questioning Harris' racial identity.
Persons: Sean Webb didn’t, Webb, He’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, ” Webb, , Harris, , Donald Trump’s, Martha S, Jones, who’s, Trump’s, ” Harris, hasn’t, surrogates, JD Vance, didn’t, ” Vance, Michaelah Montgomery, US Sen, Maribel Vance, Stephen Maturen, Amber Rose, Kamala, she’s biracial, Angela Lee, she’s, Lee, ” Angela Lee, Paul, Lizzie, Ayla, Angela Lee Lee, Mindy Kaling, ” Lee, , Anthony McDowell, ” McDowell, ” Anthony McDowell, McDowell, we’re, We’ve, they’ve, “ I’m, he’s, it’s, Sean Webb, Harris ’ Organizations: CNN, National Association of Black Journalists, Johns Hopkins University, Republican, GOP, Trump, US, Indian, Facebook, Olympics, Team USA Locations: Denver, Appalachia, United States, Baltimore, Houston, Jamaica, India, Georgia, St Cloud , Minnesota, Indian, California, Pasadena , California, Puerto Rican, Indian American, United Nations, Texas, America
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