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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Gold prices holds steady with U.S. CPI data on radar
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices steadied on Wednesday, as investors keenly awaited the U.S. inflation data for hints on the size of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut next week. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data is due at 1230 GMT, while the Producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims are due on Thursday. The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Price, Jerome Powell's, Peter Fung, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Aurum, Federal, Index, U.S, Consumer, Metals Locations: Gaza, Lebanon
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal
Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo highlighted Citigroup stock as his favorite bank name on Tuesday while speaking on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." Shares of Citigroup could double over the next two-and-a-half years "simply by going back to tangible book value," Mayo said. Citigroup sold for 73% of tangible book at the end of June, up from 60% at the end of last December, according to FactSet data. "Even after running this model, banks still have plenty of excess capital to support the economy," Mayo noted. "Recession or no recession; higher rates or lower rates … whatever hits you, I think banks are able to weather it quite well now."
Persons: Mike Mayo, Mayo, Jane Fraser Organizations: Citigroup, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lehman Brothers, Credit Suisse, Prudential, Deutsche Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo, . U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Barclays CEO C.S. VenkatakrishnanC.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss Barclays three-year plan, his reaction to the Federal Reserve's newly unveiled regulation proposal, and more.
Persons: Venkatakrishnan Organizations: Barclays, C.S, Federal Locations: Venkatakrishnan
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the worst outcome for the US economy is stagflation. Speaking at a Tuesday conference, Dimon said he "wouldn't take it off the table." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementEven as inflation approaches the Federal Reserve's target, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says stagflation is still a possibility. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , stagflation Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, of Institutional, CNBC, Business
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 2 basis points higher at 3.721%, with the 2-year Treasury yield also up by 2 basis points at 3.691%. Treasury yields rose early Tuesday ahead of the final major inflation prints before the Federal Reserve's September meeting. Treasury yields have stablized after tumbling through last week when a series of labor market releases missed estimates. Debate has erupted over whether the Fed could opt for a 50 basis point rather than a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Sept. 17-18 meeting.
Organizations: Treasury, Investors Locations: July's
Investors are waiting for the consumer price report on Wednesday. JPMorgan led a slide in bank stocks after easing its earnings optimism. AdvertisementUS stocks ended mixed Tuesday ahead of the August consumer price index report due out Wednesday morning. Most investors anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut, but any shock in the inflation data could shift that outlook in favor of a steeper cut. Ahead of each report, Tuesday's presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could also sway markets.
Persons: Dow, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq, Ally Locations: Here's
For investors who just weathered a bout of summer turbulence, Goldman Sachs said expect more patchiness in stocks, but believes the bull market will remain intact. "However, we think the risk of a bear market remains low with relatively low recession risk, helped by a healthy private sector and central bank easing." The stock market benchmark has since recouped much of the losses, recently trading some 3.4% below its July 16 all-time high. A bear market represents at least a 20% decline from the S & P 500's record high, while even a correction would amount to a 10% drawdown. … Encouragingly, though … we are not staring at a severe slowdown," Bank of America said in a note to clients on Tuesday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Goldman, Mueller, Glissmann, Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo recession in sight despite weakening labor market: iCapital's Anastasia AmorosoAnastasia Amoroso, iCapital chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss if she is still worried about inflation, which of the Federal Reserve's moves would be seen as positive, and much more.
Persons: iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso Anastasia Amoroso
Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, , Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn
"I am tactically bearish for the next 2 months," wrote Rebecca Cheong, head of Americas equity derivatives strategy for UBS, in a note. The S & P 500 rapidly rebounded, though, making back most of the losses and approaching a new high once again. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And September has gotten off to a sour start with the S & P 500 down four of the first five trading days. Other reasons that make the trader bearish: UBS clients have sold stocks 11 of the last 12 days. Cheong suggested hedges that would pay off if the S & P 500 is down 10% in one month and 15% in two months.
Persons: Rebecca Cheong, Cheong Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Global, Tech, Federal, U.S
Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive officer (CEO) of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) speaks to the Economic Club of New York in Manhattan in New York City, U.S., April 23, 2024. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday he wouldn't rule out stagflation, even with greater confidence recently that inflation is coming off its highs. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said at a fall conference from the Council of Institutional Investors in Brooklyn, New York. "And by the way, I wouldn't take it off the table." In August, he said the odds of a "soft landing" were around 35% to 40%, implying a recession is the more likely outcome.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan Chase & Co, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, of Institutional Investors Locations: of New York, Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Brooklyn , New York
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays CEO on growth targets: We expect investors to continue to appreciate what we're doingC.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss Barclays three-year plan, his reaction to the Federal Reserve's newly unveiled regulation proposal, and more.
Organizations: Barclays, Federal Locations: Venkatakrishnan
"It doesn't make any difference what the headlines are, it doesn't make any difference what the Federal Reserve is doing, it doesn't make any difference what's going on in Europe. "If we're right about the business, the macro factors aren't going to make any difference. And if we're wrong about the business, macro factors are not going to bail us out," he said. ... Everybody thinks we sit around and talk about macro factors. We don't have any discussions about macro factors."
Persons: Warren Buffett, it's, Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Lehman Organizations: Federal, Oracle, Berkshire Hathaway's, Federal Reserve, Columbia University, Cuban Missile, New York Times, Lehman Brothers Locations: Omaha, one's, Europe, Berkshire, America
The Nobel-prize-winning economist called on the central bank to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its approaching policy meeting. AdvertisementFriday's weaker-than-expected reading did not completely ease concerns, putting pressure on the Fed to ease policy quickly. But Stiglitz, speaking ahead of the data's release, told CNBC that he would pursue deeper rate cuts regardless of Friday's report. Builder confidence also tanked to a December bottom, though experts anticipate that falling interest rates should eventually boost sentiment. AdvertisementMeanwhile, homebuyers appear sidelined as they wait for interest rate cuts to ease mortgage rates.
Persons: , Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, homebuyers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business
For fiscal 2024, Dick's is now expecting diluted earnings per share to be between $13.55 and $13.90, up from previous guidance of $13.35 to $13.75 per share. At the midpoint, Dick's only raised its earnings guidance by about 18 cents, even though its fiscal second-quarter earnings came in 54 cents higher than expected. At the low end, Dick's earnings guidance falls a bit short of the $13.79 that analysts had expected, according to LSEG. Dick's maintained its sales guidance of $13.1 billion to $13.2 billion, which also fell flat compared with the $13.24 billion that analysts were looking for, according to LSEG. Dick's is slated to discuss its results with analysts and share more insights on its guidance at 8 a.m.
Persons: Lauren Hobart, Dick's, didn't, Walmart –, there's Organizations: Sporting Goods, LSEG, Target, Walmart, Federal
Bitcoin slid 10.25% for its worst month since April, while ether dropped 23.66% in its third monthly drawdown and worst month since June 2022. "It's not a pretty picture across the crypto landscape at the moment," said Rob Ginsberg, chart analyst at Wolfe Research. "Bitcoin is still stuck in a descending trading range as price gradually deteriorates off the March high. Historically, September is the worst month for bitcoin — and other markets too, like U.S. stocks. Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $50,000 and $70,000 since April and is likely to stay there for another a month at least.
Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, bitcoin —, they've, Alex Thorn, Thorn, Trump, Harris, John Todaro, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, bitcoin, Galaxy, U.S, Needham, Federal Locations: U.S, Germany, Gox
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Tempest Victoria Greene of G-Squared said investors are facing both literal and metaphorical storms that they need to consider. Best Q4 Ideas: LVMH and Estee Lauder Tiffany McGhee of Pivotal advisors said LVMH and Estee Lauder will be big beneficiaries of China stimulus. (This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. "Moisturizer is not a 'nice to have' it is a must have," said McGhee about Estee Lauder.
Persons: Tempest Victoria Greene, Squared, Said, Milton, Zscaler Malcolm Ethridge, Greene, Estee Lauder Tiffany McGhee, LVMH, Estee Lauder, McGhee, Estee, Ethridge Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Pepsi, Area, Global, Pepsico, Siete Locations: China, Estee Lauder
An uptick in sausage demand can offer the latest sign of consumers tightening their belts as they continue grappling with high prices. There has been "modest growth" in the dinner sausage category for one producer, according to the Dallas Federal Reserve's Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey released Monday. "This category tends to grow when the economy weakens," the respondent said, according to edited comments included in the Dallas Fed's report. That is because "sausage is a good protein substitute for higher-priced proteins and can 'stretch' consumers' food budgets." This anecdote pointed out by eagle-eyed Bespoke Investment Group on social media site X comes as grocery prices remain top of mind for consumers.
Persons: Fred Meyer Organizations: Dallas Federal, Texas Manufacturing, Dallas Locations: Kroger, Palmer , Alaska, An
Why dividend stocks should be a hot play into fall
  + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Ellie Stevens | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It appears more investors are eyeing dividend stocks ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September. Paul Baiocchi of SS&C ALPS Advisors thinks it is a sound strategy because he sees the Fed easing rates. ALPS is the issuer of several dividend exchange-traded funds including the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF (OUSA) and its counterpart, the ALPS O'Shares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF (OUSM). Relative to the S&P 500 , both dividend ETFs are overweight health care, financials and industrials , according to Baiocchi. Mike Akins, ETF Action's founding partner, views OUSA and OUSM as defensive strategies because the stocks generally have clean balance sheets.
Persons: Paul Baiocchi, CNBC's, Baiocchi, Mike Akins, OUSA, Akins Organizations: C Locations: U.S
That means that the tens of thousands of Black men who are incarcerated aren't being included in these calculations, effectively boosting the Black male employment rate. As of July, the BLS estimated a there were 16.2 million US Black men in the noninstitutional population, compared to 18.8 million Black women. AdvertisementThe bottom line: If the survey data had a more complete picture of Black men, Holzer said the Black male employment rate would likely be "considerably worse." Education differences and discrimination can work against Black menEducation is one factor that can help explain the lower employment rate of Black men, Wilson said. A strong job market and workforce development programs could drive progressThere are several things that might help get more Black men into the workforce.
Persons: , there's, it's, Harry Holzer, aren't, Holzer, Valerie Wilson, Wilson, Jared, Black, didn't, weren't, " Holzer Organizations: Service, Business, Georgetown University, US Department of Labor, Pew, BLS, Black, University of California, University of Chicago, BI, Harvard, Stanford, Initiative Locations: Berkeley
A few well-known regional banks are poised to benefit from the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cuts, according to Evercore ISI. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Friday that the central bank is ready for interest rate cuts ahead , although he declined to provide the exact timing or extent of the cuts. As investors await the Fed's moves, Evercore ISI used its updated asset/liability committee scenarios and several banks' net interest income commentary to find which names appear strongest in a lower interest rate environment. According to the note, Comerica, U.S. Bancorp and Fifth Third each forecast two interest rate cuts this year. Comerica shares dipped more than 10% on July 19 after the company posted its second-quarter results.
Persons: Jerome Powell, John Pancari, Pancari, Curtis Farmer, Truist Organizations: Federal, ISI, Comerica, Truist Financial, U.S . Bancorp, Fifth Third Bancorp, FactSet Locations: U.S
While expectations are high and caution is certainly warranted, we don't think it's quite that simple. While the Oscillator and Williams' work do point to possible selling pressure ahead, we don't want to get too bearish. However, we don't think the risks are so elevated as to warrant more than a small cash raise. We still view Nvidia as an "own it, don't trade it" stock, but we also don't keep our heads in the sand. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Larry Williams, Williams, Jim, Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, hasn't, they've, We're, Jim Cramer's, Dominika Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Blackwell, Apple, Microsoft, Super Six, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Williams
Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, waits to deliver a lecture at the London School of Economics in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will hail the progress made in dampening inflation in the U.K. in a Friday speech, but also caution that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive for longer than expected due to shocks from the labor market. Headline price rises in the U.K. hit the BOE's 2% target for two months this year, before rising to 2.2% in July. However, he will caution that two less "benign" scenarios remain possible that will require the Bank of England to "maintain restriction for longer." It comes after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave his firmest comments yet indicating that interest rate cuts lie ahead for the world's biggest central bank, stating: "The time has come for policy to adjust."
Persons: Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, London School of Economics, U.S, Bank of Locations: London, U.S . Federal, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bank of England
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