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Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration shot January 21, 2016. A PMI data deluge, inflation figures in the euro zone and U.S. nonfarm payrolls also add to the mix of the event-packed week. "I think for the FOMC and the Bank of England, they will be pretty low key with them leaving interest rates on hold. The BOJ meeting will be the most interesting one (given) heightened speculation over a policy tweak at this meeting." The yen was last 0.1% lower at 149.75 per dollar, getting a slight reprieve after having struck a one-year trough of 150.78 per dollar last week.
Persons: Jason Lee, nonfarm payrolls, Carol Kong, Israel, Chris Weston, Christian Scherrmann, Rae Wee, Muralikumar Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Aussie, Fed, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Rights SINGAPORE, Bank of Japan, Gaza's, Palestinian, U.S
A Chinese bank employee counts 100-yuan notes and U.S. dollar bills at a bank counter in Nantong in China's eastern Jiangsu province on August 6, 2019. The dollar inched broadly higher in cautious trade on Monday and held near 150 yen as traders looked to a policy decision by the Bank of Japan later in the week, alongside other major central bank meetings and a slew of economic data releases globally. A PMI data deluge, inflation figures in the euro zone and U.S. nonfarm payrolls also add to the mix of the event-packed week. "I think for the FOMC and the Bank of England, they will be pretty low key with them leaving interest rates on hold. The yen was last 0.1% lower at 149.75 per dollar, getting a slight reprieve after having struck a one-year trough of 150.78 per dollar last week.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Carol Kong, Israel, Chris Weston, Christian Scherrmann Organizations: Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Aussie, Fed Locations: Nantong, China's, Jiangsu, Bank of Japan, Gaza's, Palestinian, U.S
Washington, DC CNN —The Fed’s fight against inflation is about to enter a new phase, but the central bank’s enormous balance sheet will continue to play a key role. The Fed also manages a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet that accounts for trillions in government securities and lists how much currency is in circulation. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet is currently at around $7.9 trillion, down from its peak of $9 trillion in early 2022 right before the runoff. They also see alternative scenarios for the end of the balance sheet runoff if there isn’t a recession.
Persons: that’s, Lael Brainard, What’s, Wells, Jerome Powell, JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon, Krystal Hur, Dimon —, Mr, Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, what’s, Estee Lauder, Kraft Heinz, Yum, Bausch, Eli Lilly, Molson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Congress, Fed, Wall Street, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, CNN, HSBC, McDonald’s, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Japan, Pfizer, Caterpillar, Marathon Petroleum, Sirius XM, Anheuser, Busch, BP, Chesapeake Energy, US Labor Department, Global, Board, CVS, GSK, Humana, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, Brands, Garmin, Cruise Line Holdings, Qualcomm, Airbnb, PayPal, MetLife, Aflac, AIG, Allstate, Prudential, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, Starbucks, Duke Energy, Shopify, Ferrari, Marriott International, Moderna, Fox, Molson Coors, Hyatt, Apple, Motorola, Bank of England, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Restaurant Brands Locations: Washington, Treasuries, China’s, Mondelez, DoorDash, Avis, Shell, Cigna
But in the end, it's fundamentals that drive earnings and earnings that drive stock prices. Looking ahead to next week, we'll get several important macroeconomic updates along with nine Club earnings reports. Economic releases Next week is Jobs Friday when we get the government's monthly nonfarm payrolls report. Club stock earnings Club name Caterpillar (CAT) reports third-quarter results before the opening bell Tuesday. DuPont (DD) is set to report earnings.
Persons: it's, we'll, nonfarm payrolls, We'll, Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, BUD, Jerome Powell, Kraft Heinz, WEN, Papa John's, Dwight Co, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Caterpillar, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Bausch Health, Starbucks, Apple Watch, VF Corp, GE HealthCare, Pfizer, JetBlue, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Cruise, CVS Health, Brinker International, Yum Brands, PayPal, Qualcomm, Mondelez, Novo Nordisk, Barrick, Penn Entertainment, Paramount Global, Marriott, Ferrari, Molson Coors, TAP, Coinbase, Natural Resources, Booking Holdings, International, Monster Beverage, Health, Resources, Dwight, Restaurant Brands, Sempra Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: North America, China, New York City, U.S
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting another month of strong job growth as the labor market remains tight. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the week ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims hovering in the lower end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Labor Department, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . As interest rates skyrocketed over the last 18 months, inflation fell from a 40-year high during the summer of 2022. Laoshi/Getty ImagesMcCulley echoed this when asked if strong retail sales are sign that the economy is not coming in for a soft landing. In the short term, further declines in inflation could be difficult if people are spending money they saved during the pandemic. Strong consumer spending is a good sign, but the economy is not out of the woods yet.
Persons: it's, , Daniel Greenhaus, Greenhaus, Paul McCulley, McCulley, Tim Quinlan, Quinlan, Laoshi, didn't, Tom Barkin, ZIlloq, Paul Bradbury, Patrick Harker, Harker Organizations: Service, payrolls, Georgetown's School of Business, Wells, Richmond, Getty Images, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo
US weekly jobless claims hit nine-month low
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims at the very low end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The Fed's Beige Book report on Wednesday said "labor market tightness continued to ease across the nation" in early October and implied cooling wage pressure. The labor market is driving consumer spending and the overall economy, ultimately keeping inflation elevated. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell's, Jay Hawkins, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial, Treasury, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Economic, of New, National Association of Realtors, realtors, BMO Capital Markets, Philadelphia Fed, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Texas , New York , New Jersey, Georgia, California, Tennessee, Michigan, of New York, Toronto, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware
U.S. weekly jobless claims total 198,000, fewer than expected
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Initial filings for unemployment benefits dipped last week, indicating that the U.S. labor market remains tight and a potential factor in persistent inflation. Weekly jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the period ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The labor market has been a critical factor in the Federal Reserve's deliberations over monetary policy. The labor market thus far has shown few effects of the United Auto Workers strike as well as other labor unrest. This week's report covers the survey week the Labor Department uses for its nonfarm payrolls report.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Fear Community College, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC Locations: Wilmington , North Carolina, US
CNBC's Jim Cramer gave his take on Thursday's consumer price index report for September. "In the end, the CPI report wasn't great but it wasn't that bad either, and investors kept their composure, taking the slightly too hot inflation number in stride," he said. In September, CPI increased 0.4% month over month and 3.7% year over year, slightly higher than Wall Street estimates. Cramer highlighted one category in the report: services excluding energy, which was up 5.7% from September 2022. Cramer also said mortgage rates edging toward 8% will affect the price of homes and eventually filter down to rent.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, nonfarm, , I'm, we've Organizations: Wall
WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden lauded Thursday's Labor Department report showing relatively stable inflation, taking credit for a recent spate of positive economic news. The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, increased 0.4% in September and 3.7% compared to a year ago. Republicans consistently poll better than Democrats on dealing with economic issues, a hurdle Biden is trying to overcome as the 2024 election looms. "This morning's report shows core inflation fell to its lowest level in two years," Biden said in a statement Thursday. The president hailed the recent economic numbers as "Bidenomics in action."
Persons: Joe Biden, Dow Jones, Biden, Nonfarm payrolls Organizations: White, WASHINGTON, Thursday's Labor Department, Dow, NBC, Republicans, Labor Department Locations: Washington
That's the same as the year-over-year increase of 3.7% in August. Core CPI increased 4.1% from September 2022 to September this year. AdvertisementAdvertisementInflation is still elevated and held steady in September, based on Consumer Price Index or CPI data out Thursday. The year-over-year increase in this index had been falling, based on data before Thursday's data release. AdvertisementAdvertisementCore CPI index increased 0.3% from August to September.
Persons: , Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, Pollak, Price, Gregory Daco Organizations: Service, Consumer, Index, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, payrolls
High yield bond funds tout sweet yields, but swirling concerns around the economy are spurring questions on how much longer the income party will last. Consider that the 30-day yield on the SPDR Bloomberg Short Term High Yield Bond ETF (SJNK) is 8.78%. Indeed, the Morningstar U.S. high yield bond index has a year-to-date total return of 4.61%, compared to the -1.29% total return on Morningstar's U.S. corporate bond index . Consumers are also a focal point when it comes to the economic outlook, according to Peter Higgins, head of fixed income and senior fixed income portfolio manager at Shelton Capital Management. Being selective about risk UBS is neutral on high yield overall, but positive on short-dated high yield paper of good quality companies.
Persons: Paul Olmsted, Olmsted, Alina Golant, Golant, Peter Higgins, Dow Jones, Shelton's Higgins, Morningstar's Olmsted, Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Morningstar U.S, Morningstar's, Morningstar, UBS, Shelton Capital Management
CNBC Daily Open: Look beyond the headline jobs number
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Joe Raedle | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe number of jobs the U.S. economy added in September was so unexpectedly high that markets fell right on cue. Instead, the shocker of a jobs report said nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 last month, the most since January. After reeling from the shocking headline number, investors had time to digest the details in the report.
Persons: Joe Raedle, nonfarm, Stocks, Dante DeAntonio, Dow, It's Organizations: Tire, CNBC, shocker, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow Jones Industrial, Moody's Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Israel
Morning Bid: Oil up but restrained on Mideast jolt
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. U.S. crude oil prices rose about 3% higher on Monday as Israel retaliated for Saturday's shock attack by the Islamist group Hamas. With concern about a spillover over the long-running conflict to the wider stage, oil and other traditional global 'safety' plays caught a bid. What's more, any direct connection to Iran's possible involvement would scupper any easing of sanctions there and affect an estimated 3% of world oil supply. A sustained oil price rise from here could aggravate the inflation picture the Fed is negotiating - but could also drag on growth too.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Mike Dolan, Israel, What's, Friday's, Jaime Gilinski, Michael Barr, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Hamas, Saudi, White, Street, Tehran, Treasury, U.S, Columbus Day, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Stock, Tel, Bank of Israel, Federal Reserve, Metro Bank, Metro, Columbus, Federal, NYSE, World Bank, IMF, Dallas Fed, Bank of England, United, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Midland , Texas, U.S, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Saudi, Russia, Tel Aviv, Europe, Marrakesh, Morocco, United States
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite dipped 0.67% after reopening from the Golden Week holiday. Golden Week, golden demandChina's domestic tourism during the "Golden Week" period, an eight-day holiday that ended Friday, rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, according to official figures. [PRO] After jobs, inflation numbersAfter last week's blockbuster jobs report, investors will be scrutinizing price readings this week for signs that inflation is abating despite a tight labor market. If price increases cool for the month — as economists expect — investors are hoping falling bond prices no longer drag down stocks.
Persons: Israel, Ian Bremmer, nonfarm payrolls, That's, Dow Jones, Hong Organizations: CNBC, Hamas Gunmen, Saturday, Hamas, Eurasia Group, Markets, Treasury Locations: Israel, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South, Shanghai
"You see all these high-level headline numbers, and those numbers don't jibe with your economic reality," said Elizabeth Crofoot, senior economist at labor analytics firm Lightcast. Higher prices have been one problem. Are the jobs numbers really that good? Beyond the housing costs, there's some evidence that the jobs numbers may not be all they're cracked up to be, either. After all, more than a quarter of the job creation for September came from lower-wage occupations in the leisure and hospitality industry.
Persons: Frederic J, Brown, Elizabeth Crofoot, nonfarm, Joe Biden's, Crofoot, millennials, Jessica Lautz Organizations: Shell, Afp, Getty, Labor Department, Reuters, Consumer, University of Michigan, Consumers, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal Reserve Locations: Alhambra , California, U.S
The dollar index , which measures the currency's strength against a basket of six rivals, was down 0.31 % to 106.03 . The index rose as high as 106.98 earlier in the session after data showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 jobs last month. The numbers for August were revised higher to show 227,000 jobs added instead of the previously reported 187,000. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast September payrolls rising by 170,000 jobs. The payrolls data showed monthly wage growth remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, nonfarm, Karl Schamotta, Tony Welch, Helen, Corpay's Schamotta, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Chuck Mikolajczak, Rae Wee, Alun John, Marguerita Choy, Susan Fenton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Toronto, Atlanta, New York, Singapore, London
Although the MSCI All-Country stock index (.MIWD00000PUS) was 0.2% higher, it has lost about 8% since its July peak, leaving it about 7% ahead for the year. We are talking about the duration, rather than higher rates," Spencer said. The dollar index is up 12 weeks in a row, equalling a streak that ran from July to October 2014. The dollar index was steady on Friday at 106.38. Gold was also steady at $1,821 an ounce after nine days of losses driven by rising global bond yields.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Nonfarm, Patrick Spencer, RW Baird, Spencer, YEN, Kyle Rodda, Huw Jones, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam, Clarence Fernandez, Chizu Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Global, Analysts, Tokyo's Nikkei, London, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Japan
Moderate US job growth slowdown expected in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show wage gains remaining elevated. Eighteen months after the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates, the labor market is only gradually easing. Labor market resilience, which is underpinning demand in the economy, raises the risk that the U.S. central bank could hike rates again by year end. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 170,000 jobs last month after rising 187,000 in August. Wage growth likely remained solid, with average hourly earnings forecast to have risen 0.3% after climbing 0.2% in August.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Nick Bunker, Nonfarm, payrolls, Veronica Clark, Clark, Megan Way, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Labor, Federal Reserve, Citigroup, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Hollywood, Babson College, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, y WASHINGTON, Tampa , Florida, Payrolls, New York, Washington ., Wellesley , Massachusetts
US job growth sizzles; wage inflation cooling
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
The report followed news this week that job openings jumped in August and first-time applications for unemployment benefits remained low in September. "Moreover, it underscores that they will be in no hurry to cut rates - higher rates for longer." The economy needs to create roughly 100,000 per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population. Monthly wage growth also remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August. But as fewer people quit their jobs in search of greener pastures, wage growth could moderate, though recent hefty union contracts pose a risk.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Kathy Bostjancic, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Financial, Treasury, Nationwide, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Manufacturing, Labor, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, payrolls, Washington .
Biden cheers jobs numbers, asks House to get back to work
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Emma Kinery | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the September jobs report at the White House in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 06, 2023. "The unemployment rate has stayed below 4% for 20 months in a row, the longest stretch in 50 years," Biden said at the White House. "House Republicans shouldn't put us back in a crisis again," Biden said. "House Republicans, it's time for you to do your job, continue our progress growing the economy, investing in America, investing in the American people. Biden said he would try to work with whoever is ultimately elected speaker of the House.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Republicans shouldn't, Kevin McCarthy, Matt Gaetz, let's, We've Organizations: White, Washington , D.C, WASHINGTON, Republicans, Democratic, Dow, U.S . Department of Labor, Rep Locations: Washington ,, Florida, America
(The stream is slated to start at 11:30 a.m. Please refresh the page if you do not see a video above at that time.) President Joe Biden is slated to address the jobs report released Friday morning showing positive growth in the economy over the last month. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 in September, well above the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 170,000 and more than 100,000 higher than the previous month, the Labor Department said Friday. The unemployment rate was 3.8%, compared to the forecast for 3.7%.
Persons: Joe Biden, Nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: Dow, Labor Department
The dollar dipped on Friday but traders were largely keeping to the sidelines in both the currency and U.S. Treasury markets as they looked to U.S. nonfarm payrolls data later in the day for potential catalysts. The dollar index , which earlier in the week hit a roughly 11-month high of 107.34, last settled at 106.37, but remained on track for 12 straight weeks of gains. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield last stood at 4.7269%, while the two-year yield settled at 5.0267%. The pause in the dollar's rally has also provided a much-needed reprieve for the yen , which last bought 148.48 per dollar. Sterling edged 0.03% lower to $1.2188 and was likewise headed for five straight weeks of losses, struggling against a dominant dollar.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, We've, Vishnu Varathan, Thierry Wizman Organizations: . Treasury, greenback, U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Mizuho Bank ., Sterling, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Jobs growth for September nearly doubled expectations as nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 for the month, strengthening views that policymakers will need to keep interest rates elevated to cool inflation. Treasury yields move inversely to bond prices. “It’s quite a report,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities. On the long end of the curve, 30-year yields surged above 5% hitting their highest since 2007. However, Craig Ellinger, head of Americas fixed income at UBS Asset Management, believes more rate increases could be in store.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Peter Cardillo, Jake Schurmeier, ” Alex McGrath, Tiffany Wilding, Craig Ellinger, Ellinger, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Stephen Culp, Sruthi Shankar, Ira Iosebashvili, Chizu Nomiyama, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Spartan Capital Securities, Harbor Capital, ADP, Fed, UBS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, Americas
European stocks moved higher on Friday as market participants brace themselves for U.S. jobs data later in the session. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was up 0.5% in early trade, with insurance stocks adding 1.2% to lead gains as most sectors and major bourses nudged into positive territory. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect that September will show a net 170,000 new jobs — significantly more than that could provide a good-news-is-bad-news jolt to an already reeling market. The pan-European Stoxx 600 closed 0.3% higher on Thursday, following three consecutive negative trading sessions at the start the fourth quarter. The rate on the 10-year Treasury note slipped from highs last seen in 2007 earlier in the week and held steady at around 4.7276% on Friday.
Persons: nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Wall, Federal Reserve Locations: Asia, Pacific
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