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☆ Bank of America's Trump-Harris playbook: How the stock market will react to the various election scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Here's how Bank of America suggests trading a variety of Election Day outcomes. Split Republican control A Trump White House with a largely Democratic Congress is overall neutral for equities, Kwon said. Split Democratic control The status quo would be maintained with a Harris White House and a Republican Congress, Kwon said. Over the past seven election cycles, the two-week price direction for stocks was identical to one day after election day every single time. Outside of the election, Kwon said that the Fed could have ample reason to cut further.

Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Bank of America, Trump, Republican, Trump White House, Democratic, Harris White, Federal

☆ Dollar dips as U.S. election outcome remains uncertain, Fed rate cut looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing

☆ The Fed should look through the weaker-than-expected October jobs report, says Roger Ferguson
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should look through the weaker-than-expected October jobs report, says Roger FergusonFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, whether the central bank should look past the weaker-than-expected October jobs report, and more.

Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: Roger Ferguson Former Federal

In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu Ma
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu MaTrivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu Ma join ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss how election results and Fed policy may impact market growth into 2025, and more.

Persons: Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, BMO Wealth's Yung, Yu Ma Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Yu Ma, Bell Organizations: BMO

☆ Americans are probably getting another interest rate cut this week — just days after the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey

☆ Treasury yields fall as investors brace for U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on 10-year Treasury was last down by over six basis points, hovering around the 4.3% mark. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last down by more than three basis points to 4.1661%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors braced for a busy week which will see voters head to the polls for the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. Investors are also focused on the Fed's interest rate decision at the central bank's policy meeting on Thursday. Traders are were last pricing in a 99% chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, U.S . House, NBC, PMI

☆ Here's a final breakdown of how both presidential candidates might affect your finances
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

In today's big story, a final look at the impact a Harris or Trump presidency will have on your finances . The big storyThe White House and your walletGetty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIOn the eve of election day, we're offering a final breakdown of how both candidates might affect your wallet. Let's get into it:Investing : The corporate tax rate is the major difference between the two sides that'll likely have the biggest impact on markets. Harris wants to raise the corporate tax rate, which would likely have the opposite effect. Cost of things : Both candidates are looking to keep leveraging tariffs, but Trump's policy is much more aggressive.

Persons: —, Harris, Trump, let's, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Let's, she's, Mario Tama, Peacock, Chip Somodevilla, Dow, BI's Emma Cosgrove, Siri, We've, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Colin Allred, Carl Godfrey, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Ella Hopkins, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, BI, . Tech, Nvidia, Intel, Dow Jones, Trump, Mario, Fed, Street, CNBC, MSNBC, NBC, Apple Intelligence, WWDC, Apple, Democratic, Texas Rep, Fox Corp, Goodyear, Marriott Locations: Trump, New York, London

☆ Federated Hermes: We like small- and mid-cap tech stocks on growth prospects in a less-crowded space
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederated Hermes: We like small- and mid-cap tech stocks on growth prospects in a less-crowded spaceCharlotte Daughtrey of Federated Hermes is positive on the SMID space as they are trading at a discount and should benefit from the Fed rate cut cycle. She says both US presidential candidates are pro-growth, which will benefit these companies.

Persons: Daughtrey, Hermes Organizations: Federated

☆ Strategist: Rising bond yields are a result of the 'Trump trade'
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist: Rising bond yields are a result of the 'Trump trade'Thierry Wizman of Macquarie Group says it is 'no coincidence' that bond yields have risen alongside the Trump odds for a presidential win. He says if U.S inflation continues to trend higher, the Fed could pause in December.

Persons: Trump, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Macquarie Group

☆ More homeowners just started pulling cash out of their properties. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. homeowners are sitting on a record amount of equity, but higher interest rates over the past two years have made them reluctant to tap into it. While mortgage rates don't exactly follow the Fed's rate, home equity lines of credit, or HELOCs, are tied to it. "Over the past 10 quarters homeowners have extracted $476B in equity, exactly half the extraction we'd expect to see under more normal circumstances. Homeowners tend to use equity for home repairs, renovation projects and large expenses, such as college tuition. More supply is coming on the market, and primary mortgage rates are higher than they were over the summer.

Persons: Andy Walden, Walden Organizations: Los Angeles , California ., ICE Mortgage Technology, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chatsworth, Los Angeles , California, Los Angeles , California . U.S

☆ Cramer raves about Salesforce's star-powered plan to raise awareness of its new AI agents
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. In his Sunday column, meanwhile, Jim Cramer looked at 11 earnings surprises , including a feeling that both presidential candidates would support solar. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, that's, there's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Stanley Black, Decker, Nextracker, Jim, Salesforce, Evercore, Agentforce, he's, Saleforce's, Matthew McConaughey, Stocks, Sherwin, Berkshire Hathaway, Jim Cramer's, NVDA Organizations: CNBC, Fed, Devices, Nvidia, Intel, Dow, Therapeutics, Depot, ISI, Abercrombie, Fitch, Constellation Energy Locations: Friday's, Williams, Berkshire, Marriott

☆ Election Day and the Fed’s rate decision approach – Where investors are finding fixed income opportunities now
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Uncertainty is the key theme for markets on the eve of Election Day, but fixed income investors say there are a few opportunities to snap up solid yield even as the market holds its breath. "We are constructive on fixed income as a whole, despite these uncertainties, and we're stressing to investors that yields are really quite attractive – and the income generation we can get from fixed income right now is quite powerful," Persson added. On the municipal bond side, offerings include the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.35%. Vanguard also has its Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) , with a 30-day SEC yield of 3.4%. The iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.01% and a net expense ratio of 0.04%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Andrew Szczurowski, Eaton, Anders Persson, Persson, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Baird Organizations: NBC News, Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal, Treasury, Muni Bond ETF, SEC, Vanguard, Bond, SPDR, MBS, Fidelity Intermediate Bond Fund, Bond Fund Locations: Washington, Nuveen

☆ Another jumbo Fed cut is coming by year-end with the US labor market weaker than many think, Citi economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed is going to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December, Citi economist Veronica Clark said. Labor market weakness is showing across a number of data points, she said. According to Veronica Clark, deteriorating labor dynamics will force the central bank to cut rates by 50 basis points in December. Her point has grown more evident after October's jobs report underwhelmed expectations with only 12,000 jobs added. AdvertisementThough October's unemployment rate stayed unchanged on a rounded basis, Clark noted that it was it nearly rounded to 4.2%.

Persons: Veronica Clark, It's, Clark, —, Reserve isn't Organizations: Citi, Labor, Service, Reserve, Bloomberg

Whoever is elected the 47th president of the United States will start with a rare and clear advantage: a remarkably solid economy. Tuesday’s election will show how much that all matters to voters, who will soon decide which candidate they want to entrust the economy to from here. But to regular American households, it’s more of a “Yes, but” economy: Yes, the job market is strong, but my boss wants me in five days a week, and that doesn’t work for me anymore. Yes, inflation has fallen, but I can’t afford day care. Prices across the rest of the service economy were 4.7% higher overall, and medical care was up 3.9%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Spencer Platt, Yuki Iwamura, they’re, Helene, Milton, Patrick T, Fallon, Harris, ”, Greg Valliere, Joe Biden wasn’t, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, “ Kamala Organizations: Investment, Stock, Getty, Consumer, Bloomberg, CNBC, First Street Foundation, NBC, AGF Investments, Biden Locations: United States, Ukraine, Israel

☆ The world is about to get some much-needed clarity on the US economy’s future
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

One bit of clarity they’re sure to get: The Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision, due to be announced Thursday. The Fed lowered borrowing costs in September for the first time in more than four years while signaling additional rate cuts. But a slew of economic figures have been released since the decision, which is important because the Fed’s decision are guided by what those figures show. Investors are betting with near certainty that the Fed will deliver a quarter-point cut, according to futures. Lower rates could entice home buyers to come off the sidelines, and for businesses it could continue plans that have “baked in” lower rates.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell’s, America’s, Harris, Harris ’, ” “, Lawrence Yun, ” Yun, they’re, It’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, The Wall Street, US, Trump, Federal Reserve, Duke University, Institute for Supply, National Association of Realtors

☆ A Trump win could prompt the Fed to hit pause on its rate-cutting cycle, JPMorgan strategy chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

If Trump wins the election, the Fed could pause rate cuts in December, JPMorgan's David Kelly says. Kelly points to Trump's plans for expansionary fiscal policy that would fuel inflation. Kelly pointed to Trump's plans for an expansionary fiscal policy that would fuel inflation higher and keep rates from coming down. AdvertisementIn that case, the Fed would likely stick to its projected path of policy easing, Kelly said. Advertisement"Once they got some sense of what fiscal policy is going to do, I think that will have some impact on their decision-making.

Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, Kelly, Harris, —, Donald Trump, David Kelly, Trump, Kamala Harris, They're Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal, JPMorgan, Business, Fed

☆ Stock futures inch lower as Wall Street readies for U.S. presidential election: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election. S&P 500 futures and Nasdsq-100 futures edged lower. Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500- 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CFRA Research's Sam Stovall, CNBC's, We've, Jerome Powell, Sarah Min Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NBC, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Traders, Micro, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts

☆ The 3 things that will influence the stock market in the most consequential week of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The major stock benchmarks rallied Friday but were lower last week, with the Nasdaq leading the way lower after reaching new highs. Eight other Club names reported earnings last week, including Eli Lilly and Eaton. Despite indications from Big Tech that Nvidia's AI chips will remain in hot demand, the Club stock fell 4.3% for the week. The S & P 500 , which is less tech-weighted, fell nearly 1.4% for the week, making it back-to-back weekly losses for the broader market index. Earnings After analyzing earnings reports from 14 of our portfolio companies last week, there is only one Club name on the docket this week.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Eaton, Jim Cramer, financials Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, That's, Jerome Powell, We're, we'll, Archer, Johnson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Devices, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, Club, Nvidia, Dow, Intel, AMD, Dow Jones, Visa, American Express, JPMorgan, Bond, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Treasury, White, DuPont, Election, Protection, Electronics, Industrial, Constellation Energy, Marriott, Century Fox, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Goodyear Tire, Cirrus, Diamondback Energy, Daniels, Midland, Apollo Global Management, Ferrari, Restaurant Brands, Emerson Electric, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Toyota, American Electric Power Company, Johnson Controls, Dine Brands, Holdings, AMC Entertainment, Qualcomm, Coty, COTY, Energy, Barrick, Halliburton, HAL, Hershey, Air Products & Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Arista Networks, Rivian Automotive, Trade, Icahn Enterprises, Sony, SONY, Paramount, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: BlackRock, Florida, China, Sluggishness, Cleveland, New York City, U.S

As the Fed lowers rates, mortgage rates are expected to go down, though next week's cut is already priced in and is unlikely to have an impact. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.50%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: U.S, Chevron, Government

☆ I skip the Hamptons and head to a coastal town in Connecticut instead. It's less crowded and wonderful year-round.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Allison Tibaldi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

I got fed up and started spending weekends in Madison, a coastal Connecticut town. So, I found my own "dupe" of the Hamptons about 100 miles away in New England: Madison, Connecticut. Related Video All the differences between Starbucks in Italy and the USThe town defines coastal calm, with just about everything the Hamptons has minus the crowds. Madison has plenty thanks to the Sculpture Mile, a free outdoor public art installation of museum-quality sculptures scattered around town. There's often something happening on the town greenMadison's historic town green is its leafy centerpiece.

Persons: —, I've, Madison isn't, Madison, Allison Tibaldi, RJ Julia Booksellers, I'm, Allison Tibaldi Madison, Café Organizations: Hamptons, Service, Madison, Hammonasset, Hilton, RJ Julia Booksellers, RJ Julia, Madison Cinemas Locations: Madison, Connecticut, New England, Madison , Connecticut, Italy, New York City, Long, England, Europe, Guilford

☆ Companies brace for Tuesday: Mentions of election surge on earnings conference calls
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Octavio Jones | ReutersExecutives at America's largest companies are talking publicly with investors about the presidential election more so than in recent cycles. The word "election" came up on 100 earnings calls of S&P 500 -listed firms between Sept. 15 and Oct. 31, according to FactSet. The U.S. presidential election is Tuesday Nov. 5. 'Prudent' clientsMultiple companies cited a feeling of unpredictability tied to the presidential race among consumers and business clients. To be sure, some of the "election" mentions this year were tied to unrelated events like enrollment periods for health care.

Persons: Blythe Andrews , Jr, Octavio Jones, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Richard Tobin, FactSet, John Butters, Harris, Trump, Harry Lawton, Hurricanes Helene, Andrew Watterson, Michael Bayley, Gary Hershorn, Stanley Black, Decker, Donald Allan, Decker's Allan, William Grogan, Jon Vander Ark, Eric Ashleman, hasn't, Nonfarm payrolls, Equifax, Mark Begor, Stephen Squeri, we've, Mark Parrell Organizations: Public, Reuters, America's, CNBC, U.S, Dover, Tractor Supply, Hurricanes, Southwest Airlines, Royal, Hollywood International Airport, Corbis, Republican, Republic, Boeing, Tyler Technologies, American Express, Equity Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Milton, Royal Caribbean, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, America, China

☆ Twitter and TikTok Users' Election Projections Are Completely Warped.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Amanda Hoover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

And earlier this year, the company made further moves to de-emphasize political content on Instagram, Facebook, and Threads. Meanwhile, half of the 18- to 29-year-olds surveyed by the Pew Research Center saying they watch political content on TikTok. No one on social media has the answer to what will happen in Tuesday's election. Anxiously reposting or liking election content may feel like the only thing we can do as the clock ticks down. For now, the best way to alleviate that anxiety might be to get off social media until Tuesday passes.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Trump, MAGA, Trump's, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump megadonor Elon Musk, It's, Musk, Ioana Literat, Megan Smith, ProPublica, Tracy Clayton, Sol Messing, Messing, Instagram, Michelle Obama, we've, it's, that's Organizations: Trump, Trump megadonor, Republican, Pew Research Center, Columbia University's Teachers College, Social Media, Facebook, Meta, Pew Research, New York University's Center for Social Media, Politics, Twitter, Musk's America PAC Locations: Florida, Texas, California, Philadelphia, . New Hampshire, Virginia, Pennsylvania, United States, Washington, New, Ohio

☆ 'The reversion will eventually come': A chief strategist says Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are right to warn of weak returns for the S&P 500 over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan predict relatively muted S&P 500 returns over the next decade. AdvertisementMuch has been said about the gloomy outlook for the S&P 500 that some of Wall Street's largest investment banks conveyed in recent weeks. Goldman Sachs said in October that the S&P 500 would return 3% annually, on average, over the next 10 years, underperforming current 10-year Treasury yields. Goldman Sachs"There is little argument that U.S. stock market valuations are elevated compared to historical averages. Investors appeared to do that, with the S&P 500 rising 0.4% on Friday to 5,728, 2.3% below all-time highs.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lance Roberts, Roberts, —, It's, Goldman, Sam Kuhn Organizations: JPMorgan, RIA, Service, Bank of America, RIA Advisors, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Wall

Expect a “noisy” jobs report Friday that will be heavily affected by storms and a labor strike, economists say. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report that the U.S. economy gained 110,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1%. “Unfortunately, it won’t be easy to interpret the October jobs report,” Chris Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors, said earlier this month. At 4.1%, the unemployment rate is still historically low, while the rate of inflation has effectively returned to the Fed’s 2% annual target. “Without an increase in hiring, even moderate levels of job losses will likely cause the unemployment rate to pick up.”

Persons: ” Chris Waller, Helene, Milton, Jason Redmond, ”, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Biden Organizations: Labor Statistics, Boeing, Fed’s, of Governors, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, Getty, ZipRecruiter, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S . Department of Labor, Citi Locations: U.S, Tuesday’s, Seattle, AFP

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