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☆ Happy-Go-Lucky Australia Is Feeling Neither Happy, Nor Lucky
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Natasha Frost | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When a recession did arrive, in 2020, it was because of the Covid-19 pandemic. But millions of residents are experiencing levels of hardship not seen in many decades. They say they are struggling to put food on the table, pay for housing and health care and cover their utility bills. But rising rent and exorbitant child care costs for her two children have put training out of reach. Just two generations ago, she said, her grandmother raised a family in her own home as a single parent, while working part-time as a nurse.

Persons: Robyn Northam Locations: Australia, Britain, United States

☆ How to beat the retirement crisis: The founder of America's top wealth advisor explains how to properly save, and shares 2 sectors that could expedite returns if you're not on track
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

But let's say you're 30 years old and haven't started stashing money away; you may have difficulty getting there. And as a result of this, if you're going to live during a 30 or 40 year retirement. In Edelman's opinion, you're late to the game if you're over 25 and haven't started saving and investing. When people do set money aside, it's often in the wrong places, such as bank savings, money market accounts, and government bonds, Edelman said. All of this might sound complicated for a beginner, but diversification can be achieved through exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Edelman noted.

Persons: haven't, Ric Edelman, Barron's, Edelman, it's, aren't, Franklin Templeton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Edelman, New York Times, Trust, Vanguard Locations: America

☆ The Fed is going to make inflation worse with rate-cut promises, former central banker says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed could be making inflation even hotter with its promises of rate cuts. That's according to former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, who says the central bank is "goosing" the economy. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve could be mucking up the economy with its promises that it will cut interest rates later this year, according to former central banker Kevin Warsh. Related stories"The Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve … are goosing this economy," Warsh said. "A Fed promising to cut rates even as asset prices are melting up."

Persons: Kevin Warsh, —, Warsh Organizations: Service, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury Department, Federal

The yield on the 2-year Treasury yield was flat at 4.593%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell slightly on Tuesday as investors weighed the previous day's data points and looked ahead to key inflation figures later in the week. Last week, the central bank indicated that rates will fall this year, although Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the economic outlook remains uncertain. The Dallas Fed manufacturing index for March also fell to -14.4, below expectations, although the Chicago Fed national activity index improved. There are also several auctions on the slate, including of 17-week, 4-week and 8-week Treasury bills.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Jim Reid, Reid Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Deutsche, Dallas Fed, Chicago Fed, Richmond Locations: U.S

☆ Premarket stocks: Rate cut in June or July? What matters is the Fed wants to get started
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

[About 70% of investors now think a rate cut will occur in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.] Goldman Sachs is currently predicting a 15% chance of recession over the next 12 months, down from 35% last year. Seeing that happen made us more confident that the Fed wouldn’t be forced to cause a recession in order to get inflation down. The reason we say 15% risk is because that is roughly the historical unconditional average. So a 15% recession rate is baseline for you, it will never go below that number?

Persons: Dow, Bell, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs, It’s, it’s, we’ve, I’m, Samantha Delouya, authority’s, ” United, Joe Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs ’, Bell, National Bureau of Economic, FAA, United, Federal Aviation Administration, United Airlines, United Boeing, ”, Federal Communications Commission, Program, Lawmakers, ACP, FCC Locations: New York, We’re, Medford , Oregon

☆ To Live Past 100, Mangia a Lot Less: Italian Expert’s Ideas on Aging
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Jason Horowitz | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Most members of the band subscribed to a live-fast-die-young lifestyle. Now, decades after Dr. Longo dropped his grunge-era band, DOT, for a career in biochemistry, the Italian professor stands with his floppy rocker hair and lab coat at the nexus of Italy’s eating and aging obsessions. “For studying aging, Italy is just incredible,” said Dr. Longo, a youthful 56, at the lab he runs at a cancer institute in Milan, where he will speak at an aging conference later this month. Italy has one of the world’s oldest populations, including multiple pockets of centenarians who tantalize researchers searching for the fountain of youth. “It’s nirvana.”Dr. Longo, who is also a professor of gerontology and director of the U.S.C.

Persons: Valter Longo, Longo, ”, Dr Organizations: West Coast, gerontology, Longevity Locations: Italian, Italy, Milan, California

☆ Could Trump’s Properties Really Be Seized?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Rukmini Callimachi | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Rejected by more than two dozen bond companies, Donald J. Trump has so far been unable to come up with the nearly half-a-billion dollar penalty owed by Monday in his civil fraud trial. Just days before the deadline, the former president’s social media company completed a merger — a move that is poised to pump an estimated $3 billion into Mr. Trump’s coffers. That is more than enough to cover the $454 million penalty that he owes to the state of New York, but the merger restricts him from selling his shares for six months, or using them as a collateral against a loan. Unless those rules are waived to allow him to tap the infusion of cash, Mr. Trump faces the possibility that the state’s attorney general will move to freeze some of his bank accounts and attempt to seize his properties in the city where he made his name as a real estate developer. Lawyers specializing in bankruptcies, foreclosures and corporate insolvency warn that getting control over, and trying to liquidate, any of the former president’s flagship properties is an uphill battle.

Persons: Donald J, Trump Locations: New York, Manhattan, Westchester County

☆ There's still no certainty the Fed will be able to pull off three interest rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In that case, the Fed may have to push cuts out until the end of the year, confounding market expectations. If so, then the nonpolitical monetary policy committee might postpone considering rate cuts until after the November presidential elections," Yardeni wrote last week. "That could be the first rate cut decision of this year," Yardeni said. "We maintain our expectation of just two rate cuts this year , in July and December," economists at Nomura said in a client note. Clarida also noted that if the Fed judged inflation by the consumer price index instead of its preferred personal consumption expenditures price index, "we wouldn't even be discussing rate cuts."

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Jerome Powell, Powell, Nomura, Richard Clarida, Clarida Organizations: Yardeni Research, Fed, Market, CNBC

☆ Elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach compares the AI boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble — and warns of economic pain
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Jeffrey Gundlach compared the AI-fueled boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble. DoubleLine Capital's billionaire CEO predicted sticky inflation and an economic slump. Two other market gurus, Bill Gross and John Hussman, warned of extreme stock valuations this week. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach has warned the AI-crazed stock market reminds him of the dot-com bubble — and predicted a painful mix of stubborn inflation and economic decline lies ahead.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Gross, John Hussman, — Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business

While occupying very different corners of the technology market, Reddit and Astera were the first notable venture-backed tech companies to go public in the U.S. since Instacart and Klaviyo in September. Morgan Stanley was the big winner among banks, having captured the coveted lead left spot on both IPOs. Goldman Sachs led last year's only two big venture-backed offerings, meaning it had been a long dry spell for Morgan Stanley. In the past two years, there have only been 15 tech IPOs total, according to research provided by University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter. That came after a booming market in 2021, when 121 tech companies went public, the most since the dot-com bubble in 2000.

Persons: hadn't, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jay Ritter, Eric Juergens, Debevoise, Plimpton, Lynn Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Inc, Astera Labs, University of Florida, Investment, . New York Stock Exchange, CNBC Locations: U.S, Klaviyo, IPOs, .

☆ Warren Buffett's favorite market gauge hit a 2-year high, signaling stocks are heavily overvalued and could crash
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-22 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett's favorite market gauge has surged to a two-year high of 184%, signaling stocks are overvalued and could suffer a devastating crash. Investors use it to compare the overall value of the stock market to the size of the national economy. It also relies on GDP, which excludes overseas income, whereas US stocks price in the value of companies' domestic and international operations. AdvertisementYet the metric's return to the lofty levels that preceded past market disasters is a clear red flag for some experts.

Persons: —, Warren, Buffett, yardstick, Buffett's yardstick, John Hussman, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Business, Wilshire Indexes, Wilshire, Nvidia, Microsoft, Federal, Nasdaq, Hussman Investment Trust Locations: Wilshire, Berkshire

☆ He predicted the ’08 crash. Now he’s betting AI will turbocharge the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

AI chatbots can help workers brainstorm ideas, do research, write reports, build presentations, learn about new topics and identify patterns in vast troves of data. AI will ‘destroy’ some jobs, boost othersThere is also the very real risk that AI will replace some workers. AI might be able to help slow the rate of decay in the labor force,” Sangani said. “These workers will be supplemented, not replaced, by AI,” Sangani said, though he added there are also places where AI will replace workers. IMF warns AI could deepen inequalityEven if AI accelerates economic growth, there is no guarantee that everyone will benefit.

Persons: New York CNN — Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, ” Hatzius, that’s, you’ll, ”, ” Satyen, ” Sangani, Jeremy Grantham Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, Treasury Department, IRS, Hatzius, International Monetary Fund Locations: New York, United States

☆ A key segment of the Treasury market is on a record losing streak ahead of the Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The price of bond funds like TLT move in the opposite direction of bond yields, meaning lower prices equal higher yields. TLT 1M mountain The iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF has fallen for eight straight trading sessions. Only two of the trading sessions have seen a decline of more than 0.5%. One of the TLT's main competitors, the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) , also fell for eight-straight trading sessions. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) has only fallen in five of the past eight sessions, for example.

Persons: Jason Goepfert Organizations: U.S . Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Federal, White Oak Consultancy

☆ Singapore claims to have world-class talent. One executive living and working here for 17 years shares why this is true.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Sponsor Post | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Darul Kisai, director of manufacturing and supply network operations, has dedicated 17 years to Procter & Gamble's Singapore plant. P&G benefits from the contributions of dedicated, top-tier talents like Kisai, who chose Singapore to pursue a meaningful career. Darul Kisai, manufacturing and supply network operations director, P&G, Singapore. "Singapore and P&G serve as magnets for top talent because they offer a platform where individuals can contribute significantly both professionally and personally." Here to stayFor those contemplating a move to Singapore, Kisai suggests conducting thorough research on potential employers and the country itself.

Persons: Kisai, Kris LeBoutillier, he's, I've, Darul Kisai, — Organizations: Singapore, Procter, Gamble's, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT, Procter & Gamble, Insider Studios, Singapore Economic Development Board Locations: Gamble's Singapore, Singapore, Asia, Malaysia, US, Darul Kisai, Darul, New York City, Pakistan

☆ Dollar steady, yen soft as BOJ policy shift beckons
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In this photo illustration, a person is seen holding 100, 50, and 5 U.S. dollar bills in his hand. Tom Kenny, senior international economist at ANZ, said an end to negative interest rate policy is likely to reflect a 10-basis-point hike taking the current policy rate from -0.1% to 0.0%. "We expect this to be a dovish hike with the BOJ unlikely to signal its intention to hike again soon." The focus has shifted to whether the policymakers will make any changes to their projections of rate cuts, or dot plots for this year. The Fed in December projected 75 basis points, or three rate cuts, of easing in 2024.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Tom Kenny, Powell, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, ANZ, Beyond, Reuters, New Zealand, Bank of England, Fed, NatWest Locations: Japan, United States, England, Australia, Norway, Switzerland, Mexico, Brazil, Indonesia, Asia, Beyond Japan, Australia's, U.S, cryptocurrencies

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street focus turns to the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks close lowerWall Street ended lower on Friday as investors await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week for insights on rate cuts. He told CNBC inventories are depleted in many cases and the ocean carrier has seen a recovery after the Chinese New Year. [PRO] U.S. election risk on China stocksGoldman Sachs has revised its barometer for the level of risk from U.S.-China tensions in Chinese stocks.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Lloyd, Jobs, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow, Bank of Japan, Congress, Tech Locations: Asia, U.S, China

☆ Goldman Sachs now sees just 3 rate cuts in 2024 amid persistently hot inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates just 3 times in 2024, according to Goldman Sachs. The bank lowered its forecast for 4 interest rate cuts after elevated inflation data. AdvertisementHigher-than-expected inflation readings over the past two months have led Goldman Sachs to revise its 2024 interest rate forecasts. The bank now expects the Federal Reserve to deliver just three 25-basis point interest rate cuts this year, down from its prior projection of four rate cuts. Three interest rate cuts in 2024 is about half of what the market originally expected at the beginning of the year.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Mericle Organizations: Federal, Reserve

☆ It's 'very clear' the Fed won't make policy changes this week, financial services company CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's 'very clear' the Fed won't make policy changes this week, financial services company CIO saysIsaac Poole, chief investment officer at Oreana Financial Services, says "there is a really strong risk that we see those dot plots reassessed, and the number of rate cuts this year move from three to two."

Persons: Isaac Poole Organizations: Oreana Financial Services

☆ The Fed's dot plot isn't something to be super concerned about, says Goldman Sachs' Lindsay Rosner
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed's dot plot isn't something to be super concerned about, says Goldman Sachs' Lindsay RosnerLindsay Rosner, Goldman Sachs Asset Management head of multi-sector fixed income investing, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview the Fed's upcoming meeting this week, why she believes the focus for investors should be on the central bank's dot plot, its balance sheet and rhetoric, the fixed income market, and more.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lindsay Rosner Lindsay Rosner, Goldman Organizations: Management

☆ A California superbloom is springing to life and the best is yet to come
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Mary Gilbert | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —California will soon be decorated with a rainbow of wildflowers after drenching winter rain set the stage for a spectacular spring superbloom. The phenomenon isn’t unique to California; wildflowers can paint parched desert landscapes, mountains and grasslands in Arizona and Nevada, too, but some of the most dense and therefore spectacular displays are found in Southern California. David McNew/Getty Images/FileBut there’s hope for another brilliant superbloom following the wet winter, Meyer said. Desert sand verbena and dune evening primrose wildflowers bloom in Anza-Borrego Desert State Park's Coyote Canyon on Thursday, March 14. “We don’t know as of yet if it’s going to be a good year for the poppies, given the rain,” Turner cautioned.

Persons: ”, Evan Meyer, Theodore Payne, Meyer, “, ” Meyer, David McNew, Callista Turner, Danny L, ” Turner, Turner, – Organizations: CNN, Theodore Payne Foundation, Natural Reserve, Poppy, California State Parks Locations: California, Southern California, Southern, Meyer, Arizona, Nevada, Carrizo, McKittrick , California, Anza, Desert, Palm Springs, Chino Hills, Anaheim, Elk, Santa Barbara, Antelope, Death, Los Angeles

☆ David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham, and 4 other market gurus just rang the alarm on a stock market bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are six recent bubble warnings from experts this week:Advertisement1. "We are nonetheless in a market bubble." Paul Dietrich"The Stock Market Bubble Is About to Burst — Look Out!" AdvertisementGrantham also suggested the AI craze would end and bring the stock market down with it. Michael GayedGayed flagged the recent surge in gold, utility stocks, and long-term Treasury bonds as evidence of mounting market jitters in an InvestorPlace op-ed this week.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Jeremy Grantham Stocks, Grantham, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Larry Summers, Summers, Michael Gayed Gayed Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Rosenberg Research, North, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Tidal Locations: North American

☆ 'We are still in a market bubble': A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns the S&P 500 is as vulnerable as it was before its 25% fall in 2022 — and shares 3 signs of hidden weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office

☆ Look beyond Nvidia to ride the AI wave — there are other potential winners, Fidelity says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Sheila Chiang | In Sheilachiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There's a whole world of stocks beyond flashy AI names such as Nvidia for investors looking to ride the latest tech wave, according to investment firm Fidelity International These indirect AI plays include semiconductor foundries, packaging technology companies and memory companies, the investment firm said in a report Wednesday. In our view, AI will follow a similar trend," said Fidelity analysts. "These include semiconductor foundries, packaging technology companies and memory companies. However, looking beyond Nvidia, stocks in the AI-related sectors outlined by Fidelity have also been on the up. Customer services firms, business process outsourcing and music content companies could also offer opportunities, said Fidelity, as they "embrace and adapt to AI."

Persons: Fidelity Organizations: Nvidia, Fidelity International, Fidelity, ChatGPT, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Samsung, SK Hynix, Nasdaq Locations: Stock, South Korean

☆ All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook next week, Nvidia conference on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

How the Federal Reserve plans to proceed with interest rates will be in focus next week after some recent signs of hotter inflation muddied the outlook. In December, policymakers had penciled in at least three quarter percentage point rate cuts in 2024. On Friday, stocks were headed for a losing week even after the S & P 500, for example, notched a fresh closing record just this week. The chipmaker will be under increased scrutiny next week as CEO Jensen Huang takes the stage for the company's annual AI conference. TD Wealth's Vaidya anticipates four rate cuts coming in the third and fourth quarters, though he said that outlook will remain data dependent.

Persons: Sid Vaidya, Jensen Huang, Lorie Logan, Molly McGown, McGown, Brian Nick, Wealth's Vaidya, Nick, Mills, —, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nvidia, Dallas, TD Securities, Securities, McGown, Bank of America, Housing, Micron Technology, Philadelphia Fed, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services SA, Nike, FedEx, Darden Locations: U.S, NAHB

☆ Gold, bitcoin and stocks hit record highs this week. Then came inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 declined 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1%. Turbulence for airline stocksAirline stocks have also been pummeled this week, as years of safety issues at Boeing continue to plague the industry. The NYSE Arca Global Airline index, which tracks the performance of major American and overseas airlines, is on track to end the week 2.2% lower. But Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, notes that the S&P 500 hasn’t seen a one-day decline of 2% or more since last February. AI up-and-comer Super Micro Computer will join the benchmark S&P 500 index on Monday.

Persons: New York CNN — Stocks, shrugged, Gold, Bitcoin, Dow, Price, ”, Ken Tjonasam, Max, Robert Jordan, Liz Young, Young, “ It’s, What’s, Jensen Huang Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Global, Airline, Boeing, Latam, Wall, Southwest Airlines, Airbus, “ Boeing, ”, JPMorgan Chase, NYSE Arca, Nvidia, Computer, Investors, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, National Association of Home Builders, Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York, Australia, New Zealand, Wells Fargo

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