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☆ European stocks head for lower open as global markets focus on U.S. vote count
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European stocks are heading for a lower open Wednesday as global markets focus on the vote count following the U.S. presidential election. Global markets are focusing on the results emerging from key battleground states that are expected to determine the winner of the presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump won the electoral vote heavy prizes of Texas and Florida, as well as battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina. Republicans are expected to regain their majority control of the U.S. Senate in 2025, according to NBC News. U.S. stock futures rose sharply in overnight trading as investors started to speculate that Trump could have an edge in the presidential race.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, France's CAC, IG, Global, NBC News, U.S . Senate, NBC, Republicans, Federal Locations: U.S, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, New York, California, Virginia, Asia, Pacific

☆ Dow set to surge more than 1,200 points as Trump is reelected
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, ”, Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai

WASHINGTON — Americans are poised to elect a new Congress, with control of both chambers at stake as every seat in the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate is up before voters on Election Day. Republicans favored to win the SenateIn the Senate, Democrats currently have a 51-49 edge, but Republicans are favored to capture the majority. They’re all but guaranteed to win an open seat in ruby-red West Virginia, with Democrat-turned-independent Sen. Joe Manchin retiring. If Harris wins, Republicans will need one more seat in addition to West Virginia to capture the Senate. In New York, Republicans are defending four seats they flipped in 2022, propelling them to win the House majority.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sen, Joe Manchin, JD Vance, Harris, Democratic Sens, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown, Trump, Tim Sheehy, Bernie Moreno, Bob Casey, Debbie Stabenow, Tammy Baldwin, Krysten Sinema, Jacky Rosen, ’, Ted Cruz, Rick Scott, Dan Osborn, Republican Sen, Deb Fischer, Cook, Marc Molinaro, Mike Lawler, Anthony D’Esposito, Brandon Williams, D’Esposito’s, Williams, Laura Gillen, John Mannion, ”, Pat Ryan, Republican Alison Esposito, John Duarte, Adam Gray, David Valadao, Rudy Salas, Mike Garcia, Democrat George Whitesides, Ken Calvert, Will Rollins, Michelle Steel, Derek Tran, Mike Johnson, Hakeem Jeffries, Suzan DelBene, We’ve, ” DelBene, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Johnson, ” Johnson Organizations: Senate, Democrats, Democrat, GOP, Trump, Democratic, Republican, Republicans, Rep, House Democratic, ”, NBC News, Treasury Department, White House, Congress, Affordable Locations: WASHINGTON, West Virginia, R, Ohio, Montana and Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, Florida, Nebraska, New York, California, Hudson, D, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Arizona , Nevada, Pacific

In the top-of-the-ticket presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump entered the day virtually deadlocked in national polling and surveys of the pivotal battleground states. Senate Democrats and House Republicans were hoping to hang on to thin majorities amid fierce competition. Trump planned to gather family, friends and staff at Mar-a-Lago, his resort in West Palm Beach, Florida, to monitor returns. Along with the rest of the country, Trump and Harris must now await the judgment of voters in the seven swing states — Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada — to find out who is right. Senate Democrats are also playing defense in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Maryland.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, —, Grover Cleveland, Trump, Jim Justice, Democratic Sen, Joe Manchin, Sen, Jon Tester, Cook Organizations: White, House Republicans, Trump, Mar, Observatory, Howard University, House, Democrats, Republican Gov, Democratic, Republicans, Cook, Republican Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, West Palm Beach , Florida, Philadelphia, West Palm Beach, Fla, Michigan , Wisconsin, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Kentucky, Arizona , Michigan, Swing, Washington, Ohio , Pennsylvania, Nevada , Michigan , Wisconsin , Nevada, Maryland, Alabama, New York, Nebraska

And although Republicans are well positioned to win the majority, Democrats cannot be counted out entirely. Senate seats in the three states that Donald Trump won twice (West Virginia, Montana and Ohio) have always been the most likely to flip. Democrats aren’t trying to defend West Virginia. The three “blue wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – which are also crucial presidential battlegrounds – started the cycle looking more comfortable for Senate Democrats. Keep reading here about the Senate seats that are expected to flip.

Persons: Kent Nishimura, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Donald Trump, aren’t, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown, battlegrounds – Organizations: U.S, Capitol, West Virginia, Republican, GOP, White, Senate Locations: Washington ,, Texas, Nebraska, Florida, West Virginia , Montana and Ohio, West Virginia, In Montana and Ohio, Sens, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

Bernie Marcus, the co-founder of Home Depot who became a billionaire philanthropist and GOP donor, has died at the age of 95. "The entire Home Depot family is deeply saddened by the death of our co-founder Bernie Marcus," the company said. Born to Russian-Jewish immigrants in 1929, Marcus grew up in Newark, New Jersey, according to a biography shared by Home Depot. According to Forbes, Marcus had a net worth of about $11 billion at the time of his death. A longtime booster of Atlanta civic projects, Marcus donated $250 million to help build the Georgia Aquarium, among the largest in the world.

Persons: Bernie Marcus, Bernie, He’s, Marcus ’, Marcus, Arthur Blank, Ken Langone, Forbes, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Trump Organizations: Home Depot, CNN, Rutgers University, Atlanta Falcons, NASDAQ, Georgia Aquarium, Florida Gov, Wisconsin Gov Locations: Russian, Newark , New Jersey, Atlanta, Florida, United States

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina ended up consuming the campaign’s most precious resources: time and money. Hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of ads blanketed the airwaves in the battlegrounds as Harris and Trump held large-scale, competing rallies. On the eve of the election, Harris and Trump raced to those swing states making their final pitches, each focusing heavily on Pennsylvania, the biggest electoral prize of those states. The Harris campaign, flush with money, has deployed a massive ground game in the battleground states that aims to deliver its voters to the polls. “President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January,” Tim Saler, a data consultant for Trump and the Republican National Committee, said in a statement.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, ” Harris, ” Trump, ”, “, there’s, Joe Biden, Jen O’Malley Dillon, Biden, ” O’Malley Dillon, Donald J, ” Tim Saler, Harris ’ Organizations: Trump, NBC, Mar, Convention, Philadelphia Museum of Art, Howard University, Democratic, Republican, Republican National Committee, Biden Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona , Nevada , Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, Beach, Washington, California, Allentown , Pennsylvania, America, Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona , North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina

Here's a look at some of the key counties to watch across the seven presidential battleground states, ordered by the state's final poll closing time (in Eastern Standard Time). Mitt Romney won more than 80% in Forsyth in 2012, but Trump won just two-thirds of the vote there eight years later. In 2020, Joe Biden won this county by only 4 points over Trump, while Hillary Clinton carried it by 13 points in 2016. While Trump won it by 3 points in 2016, Biden won Maricopa by 2 points four years later. And that Democratic gain helped the party flip Wisconsin in 2020, given that Biden won the state by just 20,000 votes.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mitt Romney, Anson, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Hurricane Helene, Trump, Romney, Nikki Haley, Nash, Biden, It's, Dave Wasserman, Amy Walter, Barack Obama, they've, Harris, Clinton, Dane Organizations: NBC News, Trump, Cobb, Black, Democratic, Republican, The, NBC, Clinton, Biden, Democrats, Maricopa, Arab American, University of Wisconsin, Republicans, Biden’s, GOP Locations: . Georgia, County, Forsyth, exurbs, Marietta, Gwinnett, Atlanta, North Carolina, Henderson, South, Asheville, Raleigh, North Carolina . Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Philly, Erie, Buffalo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Lake Erie, Lackawanna, Scranton, Northampton, Arizona, Maricopa, Michigan, Kent, Grand Rapids, Wayne, Detroit, Traverse City, . Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Waukesha, Washington

The only potential competitive congressional race to watch in those states is Indiana’s 1st District, where Democrat Rep. Frank Mrvan is running for re-election. Here are some early bellwethers to watch:Two Virginia districts offer a glimpseTwo congressional districts in Virginia, where polls close at 7 p.m. Both districts may be valuable early indicators of how the election is playing out in the suburbs, which are key to Democratic victories up and down the ballot. North Carolina’s 1st District: Test of Black voteThis district in North Carolina, where polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET, will provide a valuable early gauge of the Black vote, one of the most important questions of the 2024 election cycle.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Frank Mrvan, Randy Niemeyer, Harris, Trump, Jen Kiggans, Missy Cotter Smasal, Cotter, Harris ’, Joe Biden, Biden, Eugene Vindman, Derrick Anderson, Abigail Spanberger, Vindman, Trump’s, Alexander, Anderson, Eugene, that’d, ”, Kyle Kondik, Republicans redrew, Laurie Buckhout, Don Davis, ’, Marcy Kaptur, Derek Merrin, Kaptur Organizations: GOP, Democratic, Republican, Republicans, NBC, University of Virginia, GOP Army, Black, Trump Country, Trump Locations: East Coast, Indiana, Kentucky, Virginia, Virginia Beach, Fredericksburg, swingy, Northern Virginia, Ukraine, Northern Virginia , Virginia, Carolina’s, North Carolina, Ohio’s, Ohio’s 9th, Toledo

This year, Kaptur is facing GOP state Rep. Derek Merrin. West VirginiaGovernor: GOP state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey is the heavy favorite to fill the seat being left open by GOP Gov. 5th Congressional District: Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes has a rematch against former GOP state Sen. George Logan in this western Connecticut district. 7th Congressional District (Allentown): Democratic Rep. Susan Wild is running against GOP state Rep. Ryan McKenzie. She is facing Democratic state Rep. Janelle Bynum.

Persons: Anna Paulina Luna, Democrat Whitney Fox, Maria Elvira Salazar, Lucia Baez, Geller, Republican Sen, Mike Braun, Jennifer McCormick, Jim Banks, Braun, Valerie McCray, Frank Mrvan, Joe Biden, Randell Niemeyer, Phil Scott, Esther Charlestin ., Independent Sen, Bernie Sanders, Gerald Malloy, Democratic Sen, Tim Kaine, Republican Hung Cao, Biden, Jen Kiggans, Elaine Luria, Missy Cotter Smasal, Eugene Vindman, Derrick Anderson, Abigail Spanberger, Vindman’s, Alexander Vindman, Trump’s, Spanberger, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Sen, Rachel Hunt, Jim Hunt, Hal Weatherman, Jeff Jackson, Republican Dan Bishop, Elaine Marshall, Republican Chad Brown, Don Davis, Laurie Buckhout, Davis, Sherrod Brown, Trump, Brown, Bernie Moreno, Greg Landsman, Orlando Sonza, Marcy Kaptur, Derek Merrin, Emilia Sykes, Kevin Coughlin, Patrick Morrisey, Jim Justice, Democrat Steve Williams, Joe Manchin, Wheeling Mayor Glenn Elliot, Republican Kris Warner, State Mac Warner, Democrat Thornton Cooper, Caroleene Dobson, Chris Murphy, Matt Corey, Jahana Hayes, George Logan, Hayes, Logan, Lisa Blunt Rochester, Ben Cardin, Republican Eric Hansen, Blunt Rochester, Matt Meyer, Michael Ramone, Sarah McBride, GOP Sen, Rick Scott, Debbie Mucarsel Powell, Scott, Eric Sorensen, Joseph McGraw, Sharice Davids, Prasanth Reddy, Angus King, David Costello, Demi Kouzounas ., Jared Golden, Austin Theriault, Angela Alsobrooks, Prince George’s, Larry Hogan ., April McClain Delaney, John Delaney, Republican Neil Parrott, David Trone, Elizabeth Warren, Republican John Deaton, Hillary Scholten, Republican Paul Hudson ., Tom Barrett, Curtis Hertel ., Dan Kildee, Kristen McDonald, Paul Junge ., John James eked, James, Democrat Carl Marlinga, Roger Wicker, Ty Pinkins, Josh Hawley, Lucas Kunce, Mike Kehoe, Crystal, Kelly Ayotte, Democrat Joyce Craig, Chris Sununu ., Chris Pappas, Republican Russell Prescott, Annie Kuster, Lily Tang Williams, Maggie Goodlander, Jake Sullivan ., Bob Menendez’s, Andy Kim, Republican Curtis Bashaw ., Tom Kean Jr, Kean, Sue Altman, Bob Casey, Republican Dave McCormick, Mehmet Oz, Brian Fitzpatrick, Ashley Ehasz, Susan Wild, Ryan McKenzie, Wild, Matt Cartwright, Rob Bresnahan Jr, Scott Perry, Janelle Stelson, Chris DeLuzio, Rob Mercuri, Sheldon Whitehouse, Patricia Morgan, Marsha Blackburn, Gloria Johnson, Monica de la, Michelle Vallejo, Henry Cuellar, Jay Furman, Vicente Gonzalez, Mayra Flores, Kyrsten Sinema, Ruben Gallego, Kari Lake, David Schweikert, Shah, Juan Ciscomani, Kirsten Engel, Ciscomani, Lauren Boebert’s, Adam Frisch, Republican Jeff Hurd ., Gabe Evans, Mariannette Miller, Meeks, Christine Bohananan, Zach Nunn, Lanon Baccam, Garret Graves, Debbie Stabenow’s, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Amy Klobuchar, Republican Royce White, Angie Craig, Joe Teirab, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Pete Ricketts, Ben Sasse’s, Sasse, Ricketts, Democrat Preston Love Jr, Don Bacon, Tony Vargas, Bacon, Martin Heinrich, Republican Nella Domenici, Yvette Herrell, Gabe Vasquez, Vasquez, Kirsten Gillibrand, Mike Sapraicone, Nick LaLota, Democrat John Avlon, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Mike LiPetri, Anthony D’Esposito, Laura Gillen, D’Esposito, Mike Lawler, Mondaire Jones, Lawler, Sean Patrick Maloney, Pat Ryan, Alison Esposito, Marc Molinaro, Josh Riley, Molinaro, Brandon Williams, John Mannion, Kelly Armstrong, Merrill Piepkorn, Doug Burgum, Kevin Cramer, Katrina Christiansen, Roe, Ted Cruz, Colin Allred, Tammy Baldwin, Eric Hovde, Brian Steil, Peter Barca, Derrick Van Orden, Rebecca Cooke, John Barrasso, Democrat Scott Morrow, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Greg Gianforte, Ryan Busse ., Ryan Zinke, Monica Tranel, Zinke, Jacky Rosen, Republican Sam Brown, Dina Titus, Republican Mark Robertson, Drew Johnson, Susie Lee, Steven Horsford, Republican John Lee, John Curtis, Mitt Romney, Curtis, Caroline Gleich, Spencer Cox, Brian King, Adam Schiff, Dianne Feinstein, Schiff, Republican Steve Garvey, Kevin Kiley, Jessica Morse, Republican Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln, Josh Harder, John Duarte, Democrat Adam Gray, Duarte, David Valadao, Rudy Salas, Mike Garcia, George Whitesides, Young Kim, Joe Kerr, Ken Calvert, Democrat Will Rollins, Michelle Steel, Derek Tran, Republican Scott Baugh, Katie Porter, Dave Min, Porter, San Clemente, Mike Levin, Matt Gunderson, Val Hoyle, Monique DeSpain, Lori Chavez, Janelle Bynum, Andrea Salinas, Mike Erickson, Salinas, Bob Ferguson, Dave Reichert ., Marie Gluesenkamp, Perez, Republican Joe Kent, Dan Newhouse, Republican Jerrod Sessler, Newhouse, Kim Schrier, Carmen, Mazie, Bob McDermott, Mary Peltola, Nick Begich, Eric Hafner, John Howe Organizations: Congressional District, Democrat, Trump, Congressional, Miami, Dade County School Board, Georgia, House, Indiana Governor, Republican, Senate, GOP, District, Democratic, South, Vermont Governor, Republican Gov, Independent, Army, Virginia Senate, Navy, North Carolina Governor, Gov, Ohio Senate, Kaptur, Virginia Governor, GOP Gov, Huntington . Senate, Wheeling Mayor, State, Alabama, Justice Department, Caroleene Dobson . Connecticut Senate, Delaware Senate, District of Columbia, Illinois, Rep, NASCAR, Maryland, Frederick, Commerce Department, Marine, Missouri, White House, Jake Sullivan . New, Jake Sullivan . New Jersey Senate, Alliance . Oklahoma, Democratic Army, Apache, Biden, Freedom Caucus, Rhode, Rhode Island Senate, Tennessee Senate, Tennessee, Monica de la Cruz, Arizona, Democratic Rep, National, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Republicans ’, Minnesota Senate, . Nebraska, New Mexico Senate, . New York Senate, New York Police, CNN, GOP Rep, New York Democrats, North, North Dakota Governor, South Dakota, . Wisconsin Senate, Wisconsin, Wyoming, Montana Senate, Nevada Senate, Nevada, Congressional Black Caucus, Security, Utah, California Senate, California Natural Resources Agency, Republican Stockton Mayor, Capitol, NASA, Virgin Galactic, Air Force, Washington Governor, Hawaii Senate, Alaska, Peltola, Alaskan Independence Party Locations: States, Florida, Clearwater, Miami, Georgia, Indiana, Gary, Kentucky, South Carolina, U.S, Virginia, Virginia Beach, Northern Virginia, Gaston County, Ohio, Cincinnati, Toledo, Akron, Huntington, Montgomery, Alabama, Caroleene Dobson . Connecticut, Connecticut, . Kansas, Kansas, Prasanth Reddy . Maine, Maine, Prince George’s County, Massachusetts, Michigan, Grand, Lansing, Saginaw, Flint, Detroit, Mississippi, Missouri, . New Hampshire, Dixville, Manchester, Portsmouth , Manchester, Jake Sullivan . New Jersey, North Jersey, Philadelphia, Allentown, Scranton, Harrisburg, Pittsburgh, Rhode Island, Texas, McAllen, Laredo, South Texas, Phoenix, Tucson, Colorado, Denver, Iowa, Davenport, Des Moines, Louisiana, Baton Rouge, Shreveport, Black, Twin Cities, Omaha, New Mexico, Albuquerque, ., Long, Queens, Hempstead, New York City, Hudson, New York, Syracuse, North Dakota, . Texas, Racine, La Crosse, Bozeman , Missoula, Nevada, Las Vegas, North Vegas, North Las Vegas, Sacramento, California, Stockton, Central, Los Angeles, Santa Clarita, Southern California, Riverside County, Calvert, Irvine, San, Idaho, United States, Oregon, Eugene, Portland, Salem, Seattle

On the last day of a brutal, wild and tightly contested campaign, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris blitzed voters Monday with their final pleas for turnout. Harris and Trump both put their emphasis Monday on Pennsylvania, suggesting they still believe "Keystone State" is more than just a nickname. Its 19 electoral votes went for Trump in 2016 and Biden, who abandoned his re-election bid this summer, in 2020. Harris in particular focused on Pennsylvania, barnstorming the state with all four of her final-day rallies. Most of the rest of the country is considered safe turf for either Harris or Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris blitzed, It’s, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Oprah Winfrey, Lady Gaga, ” Trump, there’s, Trump, Nancy Pelosi, he's, Biden, Chris Kofinis, Harris —, Jennifer O'Malley Dillon, that’s, Megyn Kelly, podcaster Joe Rogan, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, we’re, —, won’t, Larry Krasner, We’re, Matthew Bartlett Organizations: NBC, Trump, Pittsburgh, Democratic, Reading, Nebraska's, Congressional, U.S . Capitol, Republican Locations: Philadelphia, City, Raleigh , North Carolina, Grand Rapids , Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh, Raleigh, Mexico, U.S, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada, Georgia , North Carolina, —, Cobb County, Atlanta

According to the same polls, boomer men supported Trump over Harris 57% to 39% while boomer women chose Harris 52% to 43%. On Monday, Trump, at a battleground on the eve of Election Day, invited Lara Trump and his daughter Tiffany to the stage. The Trump campaign has been pointing to partisan turnout numbers as evidence that he is building an advantage with early voting. Since 1980, nearly every presidential election has seen a split, which in recent decades has shown Democrats winning with women voters. This was the case in 2016, when Hillary Clinton led women by double digits, and in 2020, when President Joe Biden won women voters as well.

Persons: Kamala Harris girding, Liz Cheney, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Ann Selzer, “ Harris, ”, Partners Scarlett Maguire, “, Joe Rogan, Lex Fridman, Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway, you’re, Lara Trump, Danica Patrick, Kristi Noem, Morgan Ortagus, Tiffany, Megyn Kelly, Kelly, Nikki Haley, ” Trump, Haley haven't, Cheney, — Trump, Tom Bonier, Covid, Wade, don’t, Lala Johnson, Ned McCarthy, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris ’ Organizations: Democratic, Republican, J, Des Moines Register, Democrat, J.L, Boys, MIT, NBC, Trump, Harris, NBC News, Republican National Committee, NASCAR, South Dakota Gov, Pittsburgh, Republicans —, Arizona voters Locations: Trump, Iowa, Harris, Arizona, Roe

☆ How Pennsylvania’s mail ballot rules will lead to thousands of provisional ballots on Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Marc Meredith | Michael Morse | Marc Meredith Is A Professor Of Political Science At The University Of Pennsylvania | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

The data make it clear that most provisional ballots are likely to come from voters with outstanding mail ballots, rather than voters who’ve already returned deficient mail ballots. And they also make it clear that those provisional ballots may favor Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party. Voters who have returned deficient mail ballots and have yet to fix them can vote on Election Day, typically by provisional ballot. Meanwhile, as mentioned above, an estimated 35,000 might cast provisional ballots after having not returned their mail ballots at all. There may well be future litigation revisiting, yet again, whether to count provisional ballots cast by people who previously returned deficient mail ballots.

Persons: who’ve, Kamala Harris Organizations: NBC, Democratic Party, Voters Locations: Pennsylvania

☆ Angela Alsobrooks will hold Maryland Senate seat for Democrats, CNN projects
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Simone Pathe | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Democrat Angela Alsobrooks will win the Maryland Senate race, CNN projects, defeating Republican former Gov. Her victory is a relief for Democrats, who were facing a daunting Senate landscape before this race came on the map. Neither made their history-making potential a key message on the trail, but it was resonant in a state where Black voters – and Black women in particular – are a crucial part of the electorate. Alsobrooks’ home turf of Prince George’s County is home to one of the largest middle-class Black populations in the country. The Democratic Party quickly united around Alsobrooks, who already had the backing of most of the state’s congressional delegation.

Persons: Angela Alsobrooks, Larry Hogan, Sen, Ben Cardin, Prince George’s, Delaware’s Lisa Blunt Rochester, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Hogan, codifying Roe, Wade, he’d, Alsobrooks, Kamala Harris, David Trone Organizations: CNN, Maryland Senate, Republican, Gov, Black, Democrats, Republicans, Washington Post, University of Maryland, Democratic Party Locations: Prince George’s County, Maryland, Prince George’s, Alsobrooks

☆ U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Tracking the most competitive statesDemocrats will have to defend several key seats to have a chance of keeping the Senate. The win targets below are based on what each party needs to reach 51 seats, assuming they win the races they are expected to win most easily.

Organizations: Senate

☆ What top financial advisors are telling investors about the market impact of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Early in-person voting for the 2024 US presidential election began in Virginia, South Dakota and Minnesota. - | Afp | Getty ImagesMany investors worry their investments may be affected by the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. Forward four-year returns were positive for Democrats in 11 out of 12 terms, compared to Republicans who had positive returns in nine out of 12. watch nowHowever, the presidential contest could usher in short-term volatility, particularly if a winner is not declared right away. Yet even with deregulation, record production and higher oil prices, the energy sector was down 8.4% during Trump's presidential term, according to Adam's research.

Persons: Mark Motley, Jimmy Carter, George W . Bush, Motley, Joseph Veranth, Veranth, Larry Adam, Raymond James . Long, Adam, Donald Trump Organizations: Bozeman Government, Afp, Getty, U.S, Morningstar, Democrats, Foster & Motley, Dana Investment, CNBC, — Locations: Arlington , Virginia, Virginia , South Dakota, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Waukesha , Wisconsin, U.S

☆ Historic firsts in the 2024 US general election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Andrew Menezes | Annette Choi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The winners of several elections up and down the ballot will be making history this year, CNN projects. In the House, CNN projects North Dakota to make history with the election of its first woman, Republican Julie Fedorchak, to the state’s at-large district. DE-AL: Democrat Sarah McBride will be the first transgender member of Congress, CNN projects, winning the race for Delaware’s at-large congressional district. McBride, a state senator, will succeed Democratic Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester, who won election to the US Senate. Johnson, a state representative, will succeed Democratic Rep. Colin Allred, who ran for Senate.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Vance, Lisa Blunt Rochester, Angela Alsobrooks of, ’, –, Julie Fedorchak, Sarah McBride, Delaware’s, Julie Johnson, Josh Stein –, Angela Alsobrooks, Larry Hogan, Democratic Sen, Ben Cardin, Alsobrooks, Prince George’s, Democrat Barbara Mikulski, Delaware’s Lisa Blunt Rochester, Kelly Armstrong, Tom Carper, Blunt Rochester, Maryland’s Angela Alsobrooks, McBride, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Stein, Roy Cooper, Johnson, Colin Allred, Yassamin Ansari, Ruben Gallego, Ansari, Suhas Subramanyam, Jennifer Wexton Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Republican, House, – North, SEN, Gov, Democrat, Dakota ND, North Dakota Public Service Commission, Delaware DE, First State, Delaware . North Carolina NC, GOV, Congressional, Senate, Arizona AZ, Iranian American Democrat, Congressional District, Phoenix City Council ., Phoenix City Council . Virginia VA, Indian Locations: American, Lisa Blunt Rochester of Delaware, Angela Alsobrooks of Maryland, North Dakota, Mississippi, Texas, – North Carolina, Maryland, Prince George’s County, Dakota, Fedorchak, Delaware, McBride, Delaware . North Carolina, North Carolina, Roy Cooper . Texas, Arizona’s, Phoenix City Council . Virginia, Virginia, India

☆ 40% of investors are considering this money move after the election: It may cost them 'really great gains,' says market strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

If this week's presidential election has you nervously eyeing your finances, you're not alone. Consider research published earlier this year from Carson Research Group, which tracked the performance of the S&P 500 under every presidency since 1953. If you followed the same strategy, but only invested with Democrats, you'd have about $60,000. "If you got out of the market because you didn't like the person who was in office, you gave up some really great gains," says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. "However, the anxiety and fear that's coming from it — it's still worth thinking about addressing that directly."

Persons: Ryan Detrick, Dan Egan Organizations: Ottawa Hills High School, —, Carson Research Group, Republican, you'd, Carson Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan

☆ Texas U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Cruz vs. Allred
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Democrats are looking for a long-shot pickup with Representative Colin Allred, who is giving up his Dallas-area House seat to challenge Senator Ted Cruz. Mr. Cruz has never been personally popular, but Texas has been reliably Republican for decades.

Persons: Colin Allred, Ted Cruz, Cruz Locations: Dallas, Texas

Voting has now wrapped up in all seven swing states and most others. But no swing states have been called, and the race will hinge on their results. Bomb threats roiled polling places in swing states, including Georgia, Arizona and Michigan. Though the election is by no means over, Mr. Trump is showing strength, winning states like Texas and Florida easily. Democrats will have to run the tables in the Republican states of Ohio and Montana to maintain their one-seat control of the Senate.

Persons: Lisa Blunt Rochester, Angela Alsobrooks, Donald J, Trump, Kamala Harris, Jonathan Weisman, Harris, —, Ms, Rick Scott, Larry Hogan, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin III, “ Organizations: Electoral, Mr, Republican, Senate, Republicans, Democratic National Committee, Washington , D.C Locations: Delaware, Maryland, Ohio, Montana, — Arizona , Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Florida, Mar, Washington ,

☆ Michigan Eighth Congressional District Election Results 2024: McDonald Rivet vs. Junge
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Leanne Abraham | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

With the retirement of Representative Dan Kildee, Democrats face a tough battle to hold this swing district in central Michigan. Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet has stressed that she would protect abortion rights, while Republican Paul Junge has emphasized a crackdown on the border. Mr. Junge has previously made two unsuccessful runs for Congress.

Persons: Dan Kildee, Kristen McDonald, Republican Paul Junge, Junge Organizations: Republican, Congress Locations: Michigan

☆ Nevada Presidential Election Results 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

The most diverse battleground state, Nevada has more registered nonpartisan voters than Democrats or Republicans, and Democrats have been winning presidential elections here by smaller and smaller margins. The relatively small number of electoral votes make it less likely to be decisive.

Organizations: Democrats, Republicans Locations: Nevada

☆ Maryland U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Alsobrooks vs. Hogan
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Reliably blue Maryland should not be in play. But this race is one to watch because Larry Hogan, the moderate former Republican governor, is running. Democrats nominated Angela Alsobrooks, the Prince George’s County Executive who is a former state’s attorney.

Persons: Larry Hogan, Angela Alsobrooks, Prince George’s Organizations: Republican Locations: Maryland

☆ Goldman's election scenario probabilities and how the S&P 500 will react
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Goldman Sachs has modeled out some election outcomes, along with how the S & P 500 will react, ahead of the results. Trump wins and Republicans sweep A 25% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to rise 3%. Trump wins, but the government is divided A 30% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5%. This scenario will still be positive for markets, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5% afterward, the note read. However, investors could step in and buy the dip on the S & P 500, the firm said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Nasdaq, Democratic Locations: Wednesday's, cyclicals

S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana

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