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HSBC has high hopes for the third quarter earnings season and is sure that some stocks will do better than others. In the three months ended June 30, nearly 79% of companies in the S & P 500 beat analysts' earnings expectations, while 60% of companies in the index posted an upside surprise to Wall Street revenue forecasts. Ahead of the third-quarter earnings season, HSBC recently listed its favorite stocks to buy, where it believes market expectations are low and there are opportunities. More than half the analysts covering Target give the stock a buy rating, and the average price target implies 16% upside. The average price target corresponds to upside of just 3% or so, based on the same FactSet survey.
Persons: Daniela Bretthauer's, Bretthauer, Stephen Bersey's, Bersey, Wesley Brooks, Brooks, Morgan Stanley Organizations: HSBC, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Wells, Financial, Citigroup, PNC Financial Services, Netflix, Procter, Gamble, Wall, Target, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Oracle, 3M, 3M's Locations: Wells Fargo, Minnesota, Target's, Friday's
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: TD Cowen reiterates Nvidia as buy TD said Nvidia remains a top pick at the firm. Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman lowered its price target on the stock to $208 per share from $217 citing a slew of headwinds for Alphabet. Wells Fargo upgrades Flutter to overweight from equal weight Wells says investors should buy the dip in shares of the gambling company. Goldman Sachs downgrades AutoZone to sell from buy Goldman downgraded the auto parts retailer due to "muted growth." Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman says it likes the growth opportunity for the mobile tech company.
Persons: TD Cowen, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Truist, Morgan Stanley, Caterpillar, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, wouldn't, it's, Baird, KeyCorp, Jefferies, it's bullish, Stock, GOOS, AppLovin, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nvidia, NVIDIA, Away Tech, Mizuho, AMD, Broadcom, UBS, Partners, Surgery Partners, Apple, VF Corp, Vans, UW, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, China
Fresh signs of deflation in China are stoking demand for national stimulus to revive the economy. China's headwinds include a burst property bubble, high youth unemployment, and threats to exports. AdvertisementChinese officials are under mounting pressure to stimulate the economy after official price data released Sunday stoked fresh deflation fears. That was below the consensus estimate of 0.6%, which would have matched the rate of price growth in August. But both agree that China needs stimulus to overcome the deepening property crisis and fight deflation."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Ipek Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Bloomberg, Swissquote Bank Locations: China
In Friday's look at wholesale inflation, the producer price index was unchanged month over month . We'll hear from Club holdings Morgan Stanley and Abbott Laboratories on Wednesday morning. Morgan Stanley: The ongoing recovery in investment banking will be front and center. That was a key theme in the second quarter , and the hope is that the July-to-September period showed a continuation of the trend for Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley has been strong lately, though.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Gamble, — Wells, industrials, Goldman Sachs, ASML, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Louis, Abbott, Charles Schwab, Johnson, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Club, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Procter, Federal, JPMorgan, , Tech, . Utilities, UnitedHealth, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, NEC, Abbott, Food and Drug Administration, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Airlines, Interactive, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, PPG Industries, CSX, Truist, Netflix, Crown Holdings, American Express, Gamble, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Financial, Afp, Getty Locations: Wells, U.S, Wells Fargo, St, Taiwan, New York City
Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.
Persons: , bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board
The inmate’s attorneys call that a misdiagnosis – and also discredit shaken baby syndrome on its face, despite broad consensus among pediatricians it is legitimate. The shaken baby syndrome diagnosis from doctors and nurses, their emotional response to Nikki’s condition and Roberson’s odd reaction all stacked against the then-suspect, said Wharton. “There really is not a controversy in medicine about the existence of abusive head trauma. Just this month, the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals ordered a new trial for a man sentenced to 35 years in prison after being convicted of injury to a child in a case that also relied on a shaken baby syndrome argument. Without shaken baby syndrome, he said, “there’s nothing that’s chargeable here.
Persons: West, Robert Roberson, Nikki Curtis, Roberson, Nikki, ” Roberson, John Grisham, Brian Wharton, Wharton, , , Robert, pediatricians, Dr, Lee Savio Beers, Sandeep Narang, ” Narang, They’ve, Greg Abbott, Nikki Curtis Roberson, , Nikki’s, Janet Squires, Squires, ” Squires, Narang, Roberson’s, , Larry Bowman, Nikki –, , Sciences –, Kate Judson, it’s, ” Dr, Antoinette Laskey, Laskey, he’ll, he’s, I’ll, “ Unforgiveness, he's, Ashley Killough, CNN Wharton, Gretchen Sween, ” Wharton, We’re, LaMotte, Stephanie Becker Organizations: West Livingston CNN, CNN, American Academy of Pediatrics, US Centers for Disease Control, CDC, American Association of Pediatrics, AP, US Army, National Registry, Appeals, SBS, Board, Republican Gov, Integrity, Sciences, American Academy of Pediatrics ’, Child, Texas Department, Criminal, New York Times Locations: West Livingston CNN — Texas, Texas, United States, Roberson’s, Palestine , Texas, , Livingston , Texas, Anderson County, Dallas
Market sentiment can be gauged by following options traders' actions and fair-value gaps. Goldman Sachs predicts a relief rally for 18 stocks with positive options market sentiment. But if you get it right, you're rewarded with outsize returns. Not only that, but analysts at Goldman Sachs have found that the options market implies average earnings-day moves of 6% in either direction for S&P 500 stocks. Below is the list of 18 stocks which includes their options-implied stock move and the strike price for each contract.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , outsize, Goldman, John Marshall Organizations: Service, Federal
This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.
Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, , Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St
Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at the $21 billion investment manager Martin Currie, has actually increased his recession odds. US-China tensions are escalating over Taiwan, home to the world's largest semiconductor foundry, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Osmani sees what he calls "seismic thematic shifts" in these areas. And Osmani sees potential for parts of the market driving the energy transition, such as alternative energy and electric vehicles. AdvertisementHis top picks include Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), chemical company Linde plc (LIN), and industrial manufacturing company Atlas Copco (ATLKY).
Persons: Martin Currie, , Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Zehrid, Currie, hasn't, Osmani Organizations: Service, Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Atlas, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China, Taiwan
With the bull market in stocks now two years old, investors are wondering how long the rally can last. AdvertisementThe stock market bottomed on October 12, 2022, marking two years since the start of the ongoing bull rally. A resilient job market, lower inflation, and continued corporate earnings growth helped push the stock market higher over the past two years. A common Wall Street expression is "rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market," and that appears to be playing out. Advertisement"Although many might think this bull market has gone too far and is getting old, that isn't the case at all.
Persons: , Jay Woods, Woods, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Baird, Ross Mayfield Baird, Ross Mayfield, Mayfield, Rob Haworth, Haworth Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Freedom Capital, Jay, Freedom Capital Markets, Carson, Carson Group, Business, Asset Management, Rob, Bank Asset Management, Federal Reserve
This time of year typically tests nerves, more so when — as now — an election is onrushing and the S & P 500 was already up 20% for the year. Since June 30, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has gained 9.5%, more than triple the Nasdaq 100's rise. A buyer at the mid-July S & P 500 peak of 5667 sustained a quick 8% tumble in three weeks. Goldman Sachs calculated VIX being this elevated with the S & P 500 calmly clicking to record highs is essentially unheard-of. Cash that's still yielding well more than inflation and bonds holding their value allow investors to shoulder higher equity exposures rather than rotating out.
Persons: isn't, it's, Goldman Sachs, Cash, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, American Association of, Deutsche, , Bank
Analysts at Goldman Sachs named a slate of stocks to snap up as earnings season gets underway. Those names include LivaNova , Spotify Technology, TKO Group and ServiceNow. TKO Group The sports media company and owner of the UFC is firing on all cylinders ahead of earnings in November. TKO Group shares are up 56% in 2024. LivaNova Analyst David Roman and his team recently initiated coverage of LivaNova with a buy rating.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Sheridan, Christian Luiga, Stephen Laszczyk, Laszczyk, David Roman, Roman, LivaNova Organizations: Goldman, Spotify Technology, Spotify, UFC, TAM, Sports Media
Price target update: There are a bunch of stocks in the portfolio currently brushing up against our price targets. One stock, Meta Platforms , is currently exceeding our price target. Honeywell's latest portfolio optimization move is a catalyst for why the stock should trade higher, and as a result, we are increasing our price target to $235 from $225. Previously we've struggled with the idea of owning both Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike at the same time in a 30-something stock portfolio for diversification reasons. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Banks, Price, We've, we'll, We'll, CrowdStrike, we've, it's, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Honeywell, Palo Alto Networks, Networks, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CrowdStrike, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Blackrock, Palo, China
A handful of stocks stood out as the biggest winners on Wall Street this week, and analysts think they have more room to run. Consensus price targets from analysts polled by LSEG imply 16% upside for shares moving forward. Super Micro Computer also made the list, with shares of the information technology stock up nearly 16% on the week. Analysts polled by LSEG forecast upside of nearly 62%, per their consensus price targets. Consensus forecasts from analysts polled by LSEG forecast about 19% upside moving forward.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Dow Jones, Stocks, LSEG, Andrew Didora Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, CNBC Pro, Bank of America, Computer, Nvidia, LSEG
JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reported strong earnings that eased fears of a consumer slowdown. September's producer price index was flat, calming inflation concerns amid rising yields. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release but warned that geopolitical conditions are "treacherous and getting worse." AdvertisementApart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: Dow Jones, Wells, , Wells Fargo, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Russell Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, PPI, Business, Bank of America
Third-quarter adjusted earnings were $1.52 per share, topping the $1.28 per share expected from analysts polled by LSEG. JPMorgan Chase – Shares jumped 4.7% after JPMorgan, the biggest American bank, posted third-quarter results that beat estimates for profit and revenue. BlackRock – Shares climbed 2.8% after the asset manager beat analysts' third-quarter expectations on the top and bottom lines. Bank of New York Mellon – The bank stock dropped 1%, even after the company issued a stronger-than-expected quarterly report. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting $1.42 in earnings per share on $4.54 billion of revenue.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Walmex –, Fastenal, FactSet, Wells, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Natalie Knight, Doug Ostermann, Stellantis, Carlos Tavares, who's, LSEG, Kinder Morgan, Ferrari, BNY, , Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox Organizations: San, LSEG, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase –, Walmart, Apple Pay, Bank of America, Securities and Exchange Commission, Finance, BlackRock, of, Bank of New York Mellon Locations: San Francisco, LSEG .
JPMorgan reported third-quarter earnings on Friday that beat analysts' expectations. The banking giant increased revenue by 7% and earnings per share by 1%. CEO Jamie Dimon warned of a worsening global environment and lingering threats to the US economy. AdvertisementJPMorgan reported third-quarter earnings on Friday that exceeded Wall Street's expectations, even as CEO Jamie Dimon warned of a dangerous and worsening global backdrop. JPMorgan stock added 1.5% in premarket trading in New York, and has gained almost 24% this year.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service Locations: Gaza, New York
Goldman's favorite trades for the upcoming earnings season
  + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"This rise in nervousness has increased the potential for relief rallies for stocks on their respective earnings events." Analysts expect an earnings growth rate for the S & P 500 of 4.2% in the third quarter, per FactSet data, which would represent a fifth-straight period of year-over-year growth. Here's a look at some of Goldman's top trade ideas heading into earnings season. GAP YTD mountain Gap stock. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia stock.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Goldman, Wells Fargo, Brooke Roach, Toshiya Hari, Hari Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Old Navy, GAP, Nvidia, Broadcom, Boston Scientific
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell around 2 basis points to 4.075%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down by more than 2 basis points to 3.974%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower on Friday as market participants awaited the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.1% in the previous session following commentary from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic that suggested his openness to a cutting pause. Sticking on the data front, investors will turn their attention to the release of the latest PPI reading, which is expected at 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Dow, — CNBC's Brian Evans Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street Journal, Fed, U.S, Consumer, Index, PPI Locations: U.S
That's because of a twisty backstory involving gun-shy Hollywood studios, a fledgling producer, and his father-in-law: Dan Snyder, a billionaire Trump supporter who initially bankrolled the movie. Related storiesYou got a Trump supporter to fund this movie, which in no way is a movie a Trump supporter would want to see, let alone fund. And so indirectly, a Republican Trump donor's money was paying for the production of this movie. The nightmare scenario would be that we shoot this movie and then Dan Snyder hates the movie and somehow is able to block it. AdvertisementThis will sound pretty cavalier from me, but: It seems like if there's an "unseeable Trump movie" that is going to immediately make people demand to see it.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Vanity Fair's Gabriel Sherman, , Donald Trump, Gabriel Sherman, Sherman, Roy Cohn, Trump, Sebastian Stan, Bucky Barnes, Cohn, Succession's, Jeremy Strong, you'd, Dan Snyder, humanizes Trump, I've, humanize Donald Trump, I'm, Roger Ailes, It's Donald Trump's, Mark Rapaport, He's, Snyder, Ivana, Dan, who've, unseeable, Jeff Bezos, doesn't, mishegoss, Time Warner Organizations: Trump, Service, Marvel, Hollywood, Fox News, YouTube, Republican, Washington NFL, NFL, Republican Trump, Cannes, Telluride Film, MGM, Washington Post, FCC, Justice Department, Time Warner, CNN, Time, DOJ Locations: New York City, Cannes, French, France, America, Hollywood
Wells Fargo reported results before Friday's opening bell. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo YTD Shares of Wells Fargo surged 6% on the release to more than $61. Wells Fargo Why we own it : We bought Wells Fargo as a turnaround story under CEO Charlie Scharf. We come away from the call feeling good not only about Wells Fargo's setup for next year. A resurgence in Wall Street dealmaking — both mergers and acquisitions and initial public offerings — will benefit Wells Fargo.
Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, That's, Charlie Scharf, He's, Scharf, Charles Scharf, we've, Morgan Stanley, NII, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Investors, Wells, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citigroup, buybacks, Management, CNBC Locations: LSEG, Wells, Wells Fargo, reinvest, U.S, NII
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . I was researching a master's thesis as part of my degree in my native Sweden and lived in New York for a year. I had a great job in Sweden — I was a strategic business developer in the IT department of a global company — and loved my boss. But after traveling a lot and then moving abroad, I've changed a lot. I feel like I've outgrown Sweden, and it's almost claustrophobic for me to go back.
Persons: Olivia Tapper, , Thomas, Sweden —, I've Organizations: Service, America, Business Locations: Scandinavia, Austin , Texas, Sweden, New York, Europe, Austin, Rome, Stockholm
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
Wells Fargo — Shares of the San Francisco-based lender rose 3%, helped by better-than-expected earnings. However, the bank's revenue of $20.37 billion came in below the $20.42 billion expected, and Wells experienced an 11% decline in net interest income. Tesla , Uber — Tesla shares tumbled 6.4% after its event for the robotaxi, a self-driving cab concept, left investors feeling underwhelmed. Affirm , Flywire — Affirm shares popped 3.1% after Wells Fargo upgraded the buy-now-pay-later stock to overweight from equal weight. Elsewhere in the digital payments space, Wells Fargo downgraded Flywire to equal weight from overweight, sending shares down 2.7%.
Persons: Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Tesla, underwhelmed, Carlos Tavares, Flywire, Mobileye, Morgan Stanley, Kinder Morgan, Ferrari, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Yun Li, Sean Conlon Organizations: LSEG, JPMorgan, Revenue, Bank of America, BlackRock, Mizuho, Bank of Locations: San Francisco, Wells, Flywire, Atlassian, China
Wall Street has been fairly hot-and-cold on Tesla stock this year — and its highly anticipated robotaxi unveiling on Thursday isn't helping to improve investor sentiment. As such, we anticipate TSLA to be under pressure following the event," Jonas, the firm's head of global auto and shared mobility research, said in a Friday note to clients entitled "That's it? TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock this year. Simply put, the event failed to offer a significant bright spot for Tesla's stock, according to Jonas. The analyst has an eye on Tesla's expectation to start fully autonomous, unsupervised FSD in Texas and California for its Model 3 and Model Y electric vehicles.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Musk, TLSA, Tesla's, FactSet Organizations: Investors, Morgan Locations: Los Angeles, FSD, Texas, California
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