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☆ Asian shares stutter, dollar buoyant as data supports hawkish Powell
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 0.2% on Thursday, extending a drop of 1.4% the previous session. S&P 500 futures eased 0.1% and Nasdaq futures were off 0.3%Inflation data out of China showed on Thursday that domestic demand still remained tepid. The U.S. dollar index, measuring the greenback's value against a basket of major peers, hovered close to a three-month top at 105.6. The central bank on Wednesday left its key overnight interest rate on hold, becoming the first major central bank to suspend its monetary tightening campaign. On Thursday, the two-year Treasury yields held close to its 15 year highs at 5.0553%, while the benchmark 10-year yields were steady at 3.9775%.

OTTAWA, March 8 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada on Wednesday left its key overnight rate on hold at 4.50%, as expected, becoming the first major central bank to suspend its monetary tightening campaign in the face of an anticipated easing of high inflation. In its statement, the BoC reiterated that it was "prepared to increase the policy rate further if needed to return inflation to the 2% target." The majority of the 32 economists surveyed by Reuters last week said the central bank would likely keep rates on hold through the end of this year, and all of them forecast it would stay on hold on Wednesday. Before the announcement, money markets had expected the policy rate to remain unchanged but were pricing in another tightening by September. The central bank said core inflation measures and short-term inflation expectations still needed to fall in order to return inflation to target.

☆ Bank of Canada seen leaving rates unchanged as growth stalls
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem holds a news conference at the Bank of Canada, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Ottawa, Canada, June 22, 2020. "We expect the Bank of Canada to be the first G10 central bank to hold rates," said Jay Zhao-Murray, a forex analyst at Monex Canada. Money markets expect the policy rate to be left on hold on Wednesday but are pricing in another tightening by September. "Look for the Bank of Canada to point to slowing GDP growth and inflation when justifying its decision to maintain the level of rates," said Royce Mendes and Tiago Figueiredo, Desjardins economists, in a note. "The central bank is unlikely to do much to endorse the view that further rate hikes will be necessary," they said.

Higher rates benefit the dollar by improving its yield and as traders look for safety while global stockmarkets drop. The dollar hit a two-month high against the euro of $1.0524 , extending Tuesday's 1.2% jump. The Australian dollar has weakened for a similar reason as the Reserve Bank of Australia has softened its tone. Having dropped over 2% on Tuesday, the Australian dollar weakened a bit more to hit a four-month low of $0.6568 on Wednesday. China's yuan finished the domestic session at 6.9706 per dollar, the weakest such close since Dec. 29, 2022.

☆ Morning Bid: The perils of not keeping up with Powell
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

That's been Asia's market reaction to the Fed chief's warning on faster hikes and higher rates. Fed fund futures took Powell at his hawkish word and now imply a 70% chance the Fed will hike by 50bp this month, up from just 9% a month ago. JPMorgan noted Powell's focus on the "totality" of data places a lot of weight on Friday's payrolls figures and next week's CPI. Essentially, the cost of not keeping up with the Fed can be a much weaker currency and a greater risk of imported inflation. ADP employment and trade figures- Bank of Canada announcement at 1500 GMTEditing by Sam HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Powell's warning on higher U.S. rates pushes dollar to 3-mth high
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Higher rates benefit the dollar by improving its yield and as traders look for safety while global stockmarkets drop. The dollar hit a two-month high of $1.0528 to the euro , extending Tuesday's 1.2% jump. The Australian dollar has weakened for a similar reason as the Reserve Bank of Australia has softened its tone. Futures imply U.S. rates peaking above 5.6% and holding higher than 5.5% through 2023. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.2% in Asia trade to a more than three-month high of 105.86.

☆ Powell pushes dollar to three-month high
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SINGAPORE, March 8 (Reuters) - The dollar was riding high on Wednesday, flung to three-month peaks when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell surprised investors by warning that interest rates might need to go up faster and higher than expected to rein in inflation. Overnight it had shot more than 1.2% higher on the euro, its biggest one-day move in five months. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, jumped 1.3% overnight to a three-month peak of 105.65. The blockbuster week of central bank meetings and speakers rolls on later in the day, with the Bank of Canada setting policy and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaking. "If they don't hike, the Canadian dollar will likely fall into a bucket of currencies where the central bank is unwilling to keep up with the Fed."

☆ Morning Bid: Breathtaking Powell jolts
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Rate markets are still scrambling to re-set and even the White House seemed taken aback by what it hoped would not be an overreaction to the surprisingly robust start to the new year. "But we're dealing with one month of data and people need to sit back and take a breath." The frenetic activity saw the measure of implied Treasury market volatility (.MOVE) jump to its highest level this year. Sterling , the Japanese yen , China's yuan and both the Australian and Canadian dollars all hit their lowest levels of 2023. * Bank of Canada policy decision* U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies to House Financial Services Committee.

☆ TSX inches higher as Bank of Canada keeps interest rates on hold
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummarySummary Companies TC Energy falls after U.S. regulator seeks corrective actionsTSX rises 0.5%March 8 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index edged higher on Wednesday, helped by gains in commodity-linked stocks and the banking sector after the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept interest rates on hold as expected. ET (1515 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 99.07 points, or 0.49%, at 20,374.61. The energy sector (.SPTTEN) gained 1.1%, while materials (.GSPTTMT) rose 1.5%. Miners, energy firms and financial stocks comprise nearly 60% of the TSX index. Among stocks, TC Energy (TRP.TO) fell 0.2% as the U.S. pipeline regulator said the oil services provider would be required to reduce operating pressure on its Keystone pipeline that spilled oil in rural Kansas in December.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has said the central bank may be at the end of its rate-rising cycle, there's a wide 'hawk-dove' divide within the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Canada on Wednesday became the first major central bank to pause its tightening campaign. "I don't think other major central banks are going to be able to match what the Fed is going to do. "The dollar can stay elevated as long as the Fed remains the most aggressive central bank in the world." Of course, central bank cycles don't always converge. Related columns:- Hedge funds record wager on higher 2-year U.S. bond yield- Rates market overshoot - or no man's land?

☆ Canada posts surprise January trade surplus of C$1.9 billion on export gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Ismail Shakil | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

OTTAWA, March 8 (Reuters) - Canada recorded an unexpected trade surplus of C$1.9 billion ($1.38 billion) in January, driven by broad-based gains in exports, while imports posted a smaller increase led by motor vehicles and parts, Statistics Canada data showed on Wednesday. Statscan also revised December's trade figures to a surplus of C$1.2 billion from an initial C$160 million deficit. read moreTotal exports rose 4.2% in January on the back of gains in all product categories that more than offset a fall in energy products exports. By volume, total exports were up 5.3% in January. Imports increased 3.1% after two consecutive monthly declines, largely driven by motor vehicles and parts as well as industrial machinery, equipment and parts.

☆ TSX dragged lower by weakness in energy stocks, miners
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

ET (15:23 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was down 147.61 points, or 0.72%, at 20,367.19. Energy shares (.SPTTEN) fell 0.7% and materials (.GSPTTMT) shed 2%, tracking commodity prices lower, after China's weak trade data followed its modest annual growth target on Monday. Although the TSX waded through losses during a volatile February, the bourse is eyeing gains of 6% for the current quarter. The tech sector (.SPTTTK) slipped 0.7, dragged down by an 11.6% drop in BlackBerry Inc (BB.TO) after the software firm's lower-than-expected annual sales forecast. Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'SilvaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Asia stocks rally, bonds tense for U.S. rate tests
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Japan's Nikkei (.N225) climbed 1.0% to a three-month top, while South Korean stocks (.KS11) added 0.6% helped by a softer reading on inflation. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1% and Nasdaq futures 0.2%, after rallying on Friday as bond yields eased back a little. Futures imply a 72% chance the Fed will go by 25 basis points at its meeting on March 22. The BOJ jolted markets in December when it unexpectedly widened the allowed trading band for 10-year bond yields to between -50 and +50 basis points. Friday's pullback in bond yields helped gold recover some ground and it was trading at $1,855 an ounce .

☆ BNPL Sezzle had a brutal 2022. The fintech's CEO lays out its comeback plan amid a competitive field in payments.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Paige Hagy | Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Fintech Sezzle is betting on a comeback after a miserable year for not only itself but the wider buy now, pay later market. Murphy's LawTrue to Murphy's Law, anything that could go wrong did go for Sezzle, Charlie Youakim, Sezzle's CEO, told Insider. In February of 2022, Sezzle announced it would be bought by Zip, another Australian-traded BNPL. The shift leaves room for a "proliferation" of BNPL and other payment options, Savage said. That way, Sezzle can still extend credit to the customer, who can theoretically build on their credit score with short-term payments.

☆ Commodity stocks weigh on TSX; Ritchie Brothers rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Ritchie Brothers Auctioneers Inc's shares (RBA.TO) rose 3.1% as two leading proxy advisory firms recommended that shareholders vote against the asset management firm's planned takeover of U.S. auto retailer IAA Inc (IAA.N). ET (15:12 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 20.46 points, or 0.08%, at 20,602.04. The energy sector (.SPTTEN) and miners (.GSPTTMT) fell 0.9% each, tracking declines in commodity prices after China over the weekend set a lower-than-expected gross domestic product target of 5%. "The commodity stocks are weighing on the index because China is forecasting growth for the upcoming year not as high or as we would have anticipated," said Allan Small, senior investment advisor at Allan Small Financial Group. Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh KuberOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ TSX climbs as materials stocks gain on higher gold, copper prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Johann M Cherian | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

ET (1512 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 99.49 points, or 0.49%, at 20,436.7. The materials sector (.GSPTTMT) climbed 0.6%, tracking strength in copper and gold prices as strong economic data in top consumer China raised demand hopes. Following a volatile February, the TSX tracked weekly gains of 1.2%, its best performance in seven weeks. The index is on track to snap three straight weekly declines as strong economic data from China allayed fears of a global economic slowdown. Among stocks, Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO) added 0.8% after Equinor (EQNR.OL) said it would acquire the British oil and gas business of the energy firm for $850 million.

☆ Materials push TSX higher as gold, copper prices climb
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

March 3 (Reuters) - Canada's benchmark stock index extended gains on Friday, underpinned by strength in materials stocks, as a rise in commodity prices and hopes of a pause in monetary tightening by the Bank of Canada aided investor sentiment. At 9:37 a.m. ET (1437 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 72.95 points, or 0.36%, at 20,410.16. Reporting by Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; editing by Uttaresh VenkateshwaranOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Bank of Canada to hold rates steady at 4.50% through this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Milounee Purohit | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

All 32 economists polled Feb. 24 to March 3 expect the BoC to hold its overnight rate at 4.50% on March 8. A majority forecast the BoC to keep it there for the rest of 2023, despite several more rate hikes expected from the U.S. Federal Reserve. In the meantime, Canada inflation data are headed in the right direction. "Well, the interesting thing could be in the tone of the statement," said Brown, who expects a hawkish tone. "The Federal Reserve's continued rate hikes will eventually make their way into Canadian inflation through exchange rates...so that will certainly push the Bank of Canada to do more," said Shelly Kaushik, an economist at BMO Capital Markets.

☆ Royal Bank of Canada's quarterly profit falls on higher provisions
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

March 1 (Reuters) - Royal Bank of Canada (RY.TO) on Wednesday posted a decline in first-quarter profit, as the lender set aside higher provisions to brace for potential loan defaults amid a challenging macro environment. The bank reported adjusted earnings of C$3.05 per share, up from C$2.87 a year earlier. Provisions for bad loans came in at C$532 million for the quarter, up from C$105 million a year ago, mainly reflecting higher provisions in Personal & Commercial Banking. Earnings from Royal Bank's personal and commercial banking unit rose 8% and wealth management profit was up 3% from a year ago, driven by higher interest rates. RBC's rivals – CIBC <CM.TO> and Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) – have reported a decline in quarterly profits as they build buffer for loss provisions amid challenging economic conditions.

☆ Canada's economy unexpectedly stalled in Q4; January rebound likely
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

OTTAWA, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The Canadian economy recorded zero growth in the final three months of 2022, massively underperforming expectations, though economic activity likely rebounded with a 0.3% increase in January, Statistics Canada data showed on Tuesday. The 0.0% growth reading in fourth-quarter gross domestic product capped five consecutive quarterly increases and missed analysts' average forecast of a 1.5% rise. It was also well below the Bank of Canada's forecast for 1.3% annualized GDP growth in the quarter. The economy contracted 0.1% in December from November, also below analysts' expectations that GDP would be unchanged in the month. Still, Statscan said the economy likely started 2023 on a stronger footing, with increases in sectors including mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and wholesale trade indicating a 0.3% rise.

☆ Canada's Scotiabank profit falls on capital market slump, provisions
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Feb 28 (Reuters) - Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank) (BNS.TO) reported a lower first-quarter profit on Tuesday, as a lull in its investment banking division dented income from its capital markets unit and compelled the Canadian lender to set aside higher provisions. Canada's central bank over the past 11 months has lifted interest rates at a record pace to 4.5% to tame inflation, which was 6.3% in December, still well above the bank's 2% target. Scotiabank booked provisions of C$638 million, up from C$222 million a year ago, as it braces for increased odds of more loan defaults in a rising interest rate environment. Canada's third-largest lender reported overall net profit of C$1.77 billion, or C$1.36 a share, compared with C$2.74 billion, or C$2.14 a share, last year. read more($1 = 1.3566 Canadian dollars)Reporting by Mehnaz Yasmin in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh KuberOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ VIEW Canada's economy unexpectedly stalled in Q4; January rebound likely
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

TORONTO, Feb 28 (Reuters) - The Canadian economy recorded no growth in the final three months of 2022, massively underperforming expectations, though economic activity likely rebounded with a 0.3% increase in January, Statistics Canada data showed on Tuesday. "Even with the January rebound, however, Q4 and Q1 combined seem likely to average slightly below the Bank of Canada's prior forecasts which supports the current pause in terms of interest rates." It'll be a short and sweet statement saying that they're still on a conditional hold and evaluating the lagging effects. They'll want to see a whole lot more data before they're convinced that they're either done and/or that they're going to act again." ROBERT BOTH, MACRO STRATEGIST, TD SECURITIES"It is a pretty large miss on Q4.

[1/2] A sign for the Bank of Montreal in Toronto, Ontario, Canada December 13, 2021. Banks typically benefit from higher interest rates but could feel the pressure if they affect loan demand and economic growth. Provision for credit losses (PCL) at BMO came in at C$217 million ($158 million) for the quarter, compared with a recovery of C$99 million a year earlier. Reuters GraphicsProfits at BMO and Scotiabank were also weighed down by the Canadian government's 'Canada Recovery Dividend (CRD)'. BMO recorded C$371 million related to the CRD and Scotiabank C$579 million.

Several climate scenarios suggest that to limit global temperature rises to 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average, the world needs to be investing $4 in renewable energy for every $1 invested in fossil fuels by 2030. In 2021, bank financing for energy supply totalled $1.9 trillion, just over $1 trillion of which went to fossil fuels and $842 billion to low carbon energy projects and companies, according to the report. The bank financing ratio, of 81 cents to $1, was below the global energy supply investment ratio of 90 cents to $1. Individual banks' financing ratios varied. The report's findings differ from another study published by environmental groups last month which said the share of bank financing going to renewables had stagnated.

☆ A freelance writer who earns 6 figures shares 3 ways he uses ChatGPT to make his job easier: 'You have to learn how to work with the tool instead of fearing it'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-26 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Freelance financial writer Tony Dong uses ChatGPT to get more out of his work days. Workers across different industries are using ChatGPT, a bot released by OpenAI in November 2022, to make their jobs easier. Twenty-seven-year-old freelance financial writer Tony Dong told Insider that he's using it to get more out of his work days. "At some point, you have to learn how to work with the tool instead of fearing it. Here are three ways Dong uses ChatGPT to work more efficiently.

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