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The latest views from the monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations indicate that respondents see inflation staying elevated over the next year but then receding in the next couple of years after that. In fact, the three-year portion of the survey showed consumers expecting inflation at just 2.3%, down 0.6 percentage point from June and the lowest in the history of the survey, going back to June 2013. That's still a full percentage point away from the Fed's 2% goal but about one-third of where it was two years ago. While the medium-term outlook improved, inflation expectations on the one- and five-year horizons stood unchanged at 3% and 2.8% respectively. Respondents expect the price of gas to increase by 3.5% over the next year, 0.8 percentage point less than in June, and food to see a rise of 4.7%, which is 0.1 percentage point lower than a month ago.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: New York Federal, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed Locations: New
Her engagement rate was 33.19%. "It wasn't necessarily him posting on social media," said Alex Cacres, US head of marketing at Metricool. People are tuning in to watch athletes who showcase their personalities and are entertaining on social media. Gen Z, in particular, is predominately following the Paris Games on social media, which is driving the greater emphasis on social media coverage compared to past Olympics, Cacres said. "[Social media] has made it so much easier to consume the Olympic content, which I feel wasn't the case back a few years ago," she said.
Persons: , Rebeca Andrade, aren't, Ilona Maher, who's, Henrik Christiansen, Metricool, Simone Biles, Sunisa Lee, Jordan Chiles, Noah Lyles, Stephen Nedoroscik, Katie Ledecky, Torri Huske, Trinity Rodman, Gretchen Walsh, Lee Kiefer, Nada Hafez, Maher, Biles, Dani Ramirez, Hafez, Huske, Walsh, Andrade, Nedoroscik, Alex Cacres, Christiansen, Cacres, he's Organizations: Service, Games, Business, Paris Games, Sprout Social Locations: Paris, Instagram
The S&P 500 advanced 0.47% to finish at 5,344.16. This week marked the most volatile week of 2024 for the market. The Dow on Monday tumbled 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 lost 3% for its worst day since 2022. At the Monday lows, the S&P 500 was down nearly 10% from its recent all-time high. It is not just equity markets that have had a volatile week.
Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, Jay Hatfield, ” Hatfield Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, Wall, Treasury, Capital Locations: U.S, unwind, Hatfield,
The U.S. is in what may end up being its biggest summer wave of Covid, with no end yet in sight. This year’s summer wave also began earlier than last year’s, Jha said. “Besides that, there’s not much that we can sort of put our finger on to say this is what’s driving this summer surge," Pekosz said. Jha said that what happens this winter is impossible to predict but that there could be a silver lining to a large summer wave. “A big summer wave tends to lead to a little bit of a smaller winter wave and vice versa, just because there’s a little bit more immunity in the population,” he said.
Persons: , Ashish Jha, “ It’s, ” It's, There's, Maria Van Kerkhove, Van Kerkhove, Rosem Morton, Jha, Andrew Pekosz, , there’s, Pekosz, Michael Phillips, epidemiologist, ” Phillips Organizations: Brown University School of Public Health, White, Covid, World Health Organization, Centers for Disease Control, The Washington, Getty, Food and Drug Administration, CDC, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, didn't, NYU Langone Health Locations: U.S, Europe, Washington, Western U.S, Texas, California, Florida, North Carolina, Covid, New York City
DuPont's water business DuPont is considered a leader in purification and specialty-separation technologies that generates cleaner water for industries, governments, and communities. Arun Viswanathan, analyst at RBC Capital Markets, characterizes Dupont's water business' next-generation products as being "at the top of the technology pyramid." Dupont's water business is the smallest of the three companies that will be created by the breakup. As this exercise shows, DuPont's water business as a standalone firm would certainly deserve that compared to some. Potential M & A It's possible DuPont's water business never makes it to standalone status.
Persons: we've, Jim Cramer, It's, Lori Koch, it's, Aleksey Yefremov, Arun Viswanathan, Viswanathan, Dupont, RBC's Viswanathan, DuPont, KeyBank's Yefremov, EBITDA, Pentair, Veralto, Yefremov, They'll, they'll, , Koch, Ed Breen, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jeff Fusco Organizations: DuPont, CNBC, JPMorgan, Bank, Barclays, RBC Capital Markets Locations: China, North America, Asia, East, Africa, America, Yefremov, Wilmington , Delaware
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, , Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan
New York CNN —US stocks surged Thursday after new data on the labor market suggested that the economy may not be headed into the downward spiral that traders feared. First-time claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to 233,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised total of 250,000, according to Department of Labor data released Thursday. “Anything in that range tends to suggest a fairly healthy labor market,” wrote economist Joseph Brusuelas on X Thursday morning. Weekly jobless claims data can be highly volatile and is frequently revised. Fears of a downturnThe latest jobs numbers come as Wall Street attempts to bounce back from a market plunge that was mostly triggered by the weaker-than-expected July jobs report.
Persons: , Joseph Brusuelas, Chris Larkin, ” Larkin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, of Labor, of Labor Statistics Locations: New York
Shares of Eli Lilly closed more than 9% higher on Thursday. That has forced Eli Lilly and its rival Novo Nordisk to invest heavily to boost manufacturing. "We just see unbelievable demand, and we're not even trying that hard to promote this drug," Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks told CNBC in an interview. Eli Lilly said sales were largely driven by higher demand for Mounjaro and Zepbound as production increases improved supply in the U.S. With a market cap of more than $730 billion, Eli Lilly is the largest pharmaceutical company based in the U.S.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly's, we're, David Ricks, Ricks, Zepbound, Mounjaro, Wegovy Organizations: U.S, Novo Nordisk, Food, CNBC, LSEG Locations: U.S, United States, Novo
Asia-Pacific markets extended gains on Wednesday, tracking Wall Street benchmarks that snapped a three-day losing streak overnight. It further sold 3.87 trillion yen worth of dollars on May 1, ministry data showed. Customs data showed on Wednesday that China's imports in July grew faster-than-expected, while export growth missed forecasts. Exports in U.S. dollar terms rose by 7% for the month compared to a year ago, missing economists' expectations for a 9.7% increase. Meanwhile, U.S. dollar-denominated imports rose by 7.2%, far more than the economist's forecast of 3.5%.
Persons: Canon, Shinichi Uchida Organizations: Nikkei, Mitsui, SoftBank, Bank of Japan, Bank, Japan's Ministry of Finance, China's CSI, . Locations: Qingdao Port, Shandong province, Qingdao, China, Asia, Pacific
Hong Kong CNN —Asian markets made solid gains Wednesday, with Japanese shares reversing early losses after a central bank official played down the prospect of an immediate hike in interest rates. The gains follow days of volatility, which saw the Nikkei suffering Monday its biggest daily loss since 1987. “We won’t raise interest rates when financial markets are unstable,” he was quoted as saying in a speech to executives in the northern Japanese city of Hakodate. The central bank has hiked interest rates twice this year in a bid to contain inflation. Decades of extremely low interest rates in Japan had seen many investors borrow cash cheaply there before converting it to other currencies to invest in higher-yielding assets.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Kospi, Hong, Taiex, Uchida, , Olesya Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, US, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Hong Kong, Asia, South, Hakodate, , Japan, Europe, London
Goldman Sachs said the decline in the S&P 500 is historically a good buying opportunity for investors. AdvertisementThe S&P 500's 6% decline over the past three days represents a great buying opportunity for investors, according to a note from Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin. However, despite the decline, the S&P 500 is still up nearly 10% year-to-date and the sell-off sparked a reset in valuations, with the index's forward price-to-earnings multiple falling to 20x. Advertisement"Historical experience shows that investors typically profit when buying the S&P 500 index following a 5% sell-off," Kostin said. The crux of whether a 10% correction in the S&P 500 represents a solid buying opportunity for investors is whether the economy is on the verge of a recession.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , David Kostin, Warren Buffett, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Apple, Service
Vice President Kamala Harris will set out this week on a swing-state campaign blitz, giving her a far heavier travel schedule than her opponent, former President Donald Trump. Harris’ travel this week will take her to seven states in less than a fourth of the time. Reached for comment, Trump campaign communications director Steven Cheung pointed to the overall difference in the number of Trump and Harris campaign trips. Harris' campaign swing is also consistent with how candidates typically pick up the pace as the election draws closer, said Aleigha Cavalier, a Democratic strategist at the strategy and marketing agency Precision Strategies. But she said Harris' travel pace compared to Trump's and Biden's is "a real advantage."
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg, Sen, Mark Kelly of, JB Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz, Walz, Shapiro, Kelly, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Biden’s, Amanda Renteria, Hillary Clinton’s, , you’re, ” Trump, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kamala Harris can’t, Covid, Abhi Rahman, Rahman, Bill Galston, Bill Clinton's, Cavalier, Eric Jaye, Jaye, ” Renteria Organizations: Kentucky, Mark Kelly of Arizona ,, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois Gov, Minnesota Gov, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Democratic National, Republicans, Brookings Institution, Political Locations: Mark Kelly of Arizona, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, Montana, Colorado, New York , New Jersey, Virginia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania , Michigan
Many fleet sales, especially daily rentals, have historically been viewed as a negative for auto companies. But Ford has proven that's not always the case by breaking out financial results for its "Ford Pro" fleet business. Ram, GM retoolAs Ford touts its fleet business, its closest rivals have amped up their operations. It launched "GM Envolve" last year, its overhauled fleet and commercial business focused on fleet sales, digital telematics and logistics for commercial customers. EV goalsGM Envolve includes the company's EV commercial business BrightDrop, which was folded back into the automaker last year instead of it acting as a subsidiary.
Persons: Mark Hazel, It's, Ford, Ferrari, Jim Farley, Wolfe, Joe White, Farley, BofA's John Murphy, Ram, Christine Feuell, Stellantis, Ram Ram, Ken Kayser, Sandor Piszar, Motors, Piszar, EV600 Organizations: Ford DETROIT, U.S, automakers, Ford Motor, General Motors, Chrysler, P Global Mobility, Ford, Ford Pro, Wolfe Research, North, GM, Ford Super Duty, Reuters, GM retool, CNBC, Software, Stellantis, GM Envolve, Sierra, GM Fleet, EV Locations: Dearborn , Michigan, U.S, North America, Europe, Kentucky, Louisville , Kentucky, Stellantis, Detroit
The S & P 500 5,350 puts I discussed are trading nearly $170 as I write this, up ~ $12,000 per contract. This is even though the S & P 500 is down only 2.3% since I wrote that article over a month ago. One could roll those options down and out to the September 5200/4500 S & P 500 put spread which costs about $100. If you didn't read the earlier article, here are the components of a long put spread, sometimes referred to as a "Bear Put Spread." In periods of high implied volatility, option premiums are generally higher because the market anticipates larger price movements.
Persons: It's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, it's, Trump Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~ $, & $ $
Understanding Insurance Rate Increases After an AccidentWhy Rates IncreaseCar insurance rates may increase after an "at fault" accident because your risk profile goes up, meaning you're more likely to file a claim. Average Car Insurance Increase After an AccidentNational AverageInsurance.com reports that insurance rates can increase up to 53% or $920 per year on average after one at fault accident. Add Car Insurance Accident ForgivenessSome insurance companies offer accident forgiveness, usually as an add-on to your policy for an extra premium. Car Insurance Rate Increase FAQWill my insurance go up after an accident that wasn't my fault? She’s reviewed life insurance and pet insurance companies and has written numerous explainers on travel insurance, credit, debt, and home insurance.
Persons: Felipe Teixeira, you've, they'll, Alani Asis Alani Asis, Forbes, She’s, Read Organizations: Accident, Auto, Insurance, Alaska, Alabama, Arizona, Colorado, Washington D.C, Iowa, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Nebraska, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, Lower, Business, AARP, CNN, Fortune, U.S . News, Finance, University of Hawaii Locations: Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Missouri, Mississippi, Montana, Carolina, Dakota, Hampshire, Jersey, Mexico, Nevada, York, Ohio, Oregon, Utah, Virginia, Vermont, Wisconsin, Wyoming, U.S, Manoa
Japan's markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconMonday's decline follows Friday's rout when Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Reserve Bank of Australia kicks off its two-day monetary policy meeting Monday.
Persons: Topix, Australia's, Kospi Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, P, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Locations: Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, Hong Kong
Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese stocks on Monday suffered their biggest daily loss since 1987 as fears about a US economic slowdown sent shock waves through global markets. The Nikkei 225 index of leading stocks in Tokyo lost a staggering 4,451 points, its biggest point drop in history. On the more common, percentage measure, the index closed more than 12% down — according to Reuters, its largest one-day fall since October 1987. He was referring to “Black Monday” in October 1987, when global markets plunged and the Nikkei lost 3,836 points. The Nikkei closed down 5.8% Friday, as traders fretted about the impact of a stronger yen on Japanese companies.
Persons: ” Neil Newman, , Stephen Innes, Newman, Mohit Kumar, Taiwan’s Taiex, Kospi, Innes, Tom Kloza, Bitcoin Organizations: London CNN, Reuters, Advisory, CNN, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Management, Trading, Nasdaq, Dow, Jefferies, Traders, greenback, PMI, Intel, Brent, Oil Price Information Service Locations: Hong Kong, London, Tokyo, Japan, South Korea, , Asia, Europe, South, Shanghai, China, United States
He said the VA is legally bound to recover special separation benefits from veterans before those eligible can begin receiving disability payments. The VA had to recoup separation pay from 8,130 veterans in fiscal year 2020 and 8,550 in 2021. In 2021, the Veterans Benefits Administration began scanning all veterans’ service and medical records into electronic files, which “reduces the likelihood of this situation reoccurring,” Hayes said. Unique exceptions to the lawVeterans have a chance to pursue a waiver of their recoupment responsibilities for only certain special separation benefits under the law. In 2023, the Navy authorized reducing the amount of disability pay that is withheld while voluntary separation pay is recouped, Navy spokesperson Charlie Spirtos said.
Persons: , , Vernon Reffitt, recoupments, Terrence Hayes, Shawn Teller, Teller, ” Teller, “ It’s, Reffitt, , Hayes, ” Hayes, Erika Yepsen, Yepsen, recoupment, ” Yepsen, Charlie Spirtos, Marquis Barefield, ” Barefield, Ruben Gallego Organizations: NBC News, Army, U.S . Department of Veterans Affairs, NBC, , VA, Veterans, Administration, The Air Force, ​ Air Force, Air Force, Navy, Marine Corps, Coast Guard, DAV, American Veterans, ” Veterans, recoupment, RAND Corporation Locations: U.S, Storm, Walnut Creek , California, Twin City , Georgia, United States
Stocks declined heavily in Friday trading following a weaker-than-expected jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 810 points, or 2.3%. The U.S. added just 114,000 jobs in July, well below the 185,000 expected and down significantly from 206,000 in June. Amazon also saw a large decline, sliding 12.5% after missing quarterly financial estimates and issuing a disappointing forecast. A day earlier, stocks saw heavy declines as they responded to other weaker-than-expected data, including a disappointing manufacturing output report and surprisingly high initial jobless claims.
Persons: Stocks Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Commerce Department, Intel Locations: U.S
Stocks are experiencing a broad slump, with many market participants caught off guard by the speed of the yen's rally. The Japanese national flag is seen at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) headquarters in Tokyo on July 31, 2024. 'An implosion of the carry trade'U.S. stocks kicked off the month sharply lower, as fresh data prompted fears of a worsening economic outlook. "First of all, the hawkish Bank of Japan caused an implosion of the carry trade over a short-term basis. And all of that helps push equity markets, which had been quite expensive, even lower," he continued.
Persons: Nogi, Russell Napier, Napier, Cedric Chehab, Chehab, CNBC's Organizations: Afp, Getty, U.S ., U.S, Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMI, hawkish Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, China, Japan, U.S
AdvertisementThe amount of gold holdings in global reserves has doubled in just over five years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysis. "As the yellow metal carries no credit or counter-party risk, some deem it as being better insulated from financial sanctions, particularly those from the emerging world," wrote UBS' Czerwonko. Advertisement"The situation in competing jurisdictions is also dire; in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man can remain king," wrote Czerwonko. AdvertisementSimilarly, Bloomberg Intelligence said said a Wednesday report that a potential second Trump term could hasten a global currency regime change. "Any title toward isolationism in a Trump second term, such as altered US attitudes toward its role in NATO and international affairs would spur de-dollarization," wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
Persons: , Alejo Czerwonko, Czerwonko, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg Intelligence, Trump, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Swiss, Americas
McDonald's stock made the list. Despite weaker-than-expected second-quarter results , Morgan Stanley Wealth Management added McDonald's stock to its dividend equity portfolio in a Friday note, citing its attractive valuation as the company pushes to revamp its menu pricing. MCD YTD mountain McDonald's stock. EQIX YTD mountain Equinix stock. "With sentiment / expectations relatively low, we like the set-up, as we suspect EQIX can maintain constant-currency revenue guide and accelerate revenue growth in 2H'24," the analyst added.
Persons: Stocks, Morgan, Daniel Skelly, Skelly, Equinix, Wells, Eric Luebchow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Stock, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, CVS Health, 2H, L3Harris Technologies, Omnicom
The Nikkei 225 sank 4.5% on Friday, extending a global stock rout that started following the release of weak US economic data. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates by 15 basis points to 0.25% on Wednesday, its second hike this year, and announced plans to taper off its policy of bond buying. ”The hike has narrowed the difference in interest rate between the United States and Japan, which pushed the Japanese yen higher against the greenback. Combined with strong corporate earnings and effective corporate governance reforms, the weak yen propelled the Nikkei 225 to all-time highs this year. “From a Japanese equity perspective, the earnings boost from a weak yen is set to diminish,” Citi analysts said on Thursday.
Persons: , Ken Cheung, Frank Benzimra, Korea’s, Australia’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Japan’s Nikkei, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Traders, Mizuho Securities, greenback, Societe Generale, ” Citi, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Department, , ” ANZ, Federal Reserve Locations: Hong Kong, United States, Japan, Asia, Shanghai
Exxon Mobil — The energy giant reported a stronger-than-expected profit for the second quarter amid record production in Guyana and the Permian Basin. Intel — Shares plunged 20% on the back of weaker-than-expected earnings and revenue for the second quarter. The company reported weaker-than-expected revenue for the second quarter and issued a disappointing forecast for the third quarter. The company posted second quarter adjusted earnings of 87 cents per share on revenue of $1.08 billion. In the second quarter, revenue came in at $1.45 billion, slightly above estimates of $1.40 billion, according to LSEG.
Persons: FactSet, Cloudflare, DoorDash, Clorox, LSEG, GoDaddy, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin, Lisa Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Intel —, Revenue, Apple —, Apple, Twilio, Booking Holdings, Coterra Energy, LSEG . Revenue, Management Locations: Guyana
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