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☆ Want the S&P 500 to gain 10% this year? A Super Bowl win by the Philadelphia Eagles may be your best bet
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-12 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs will face off in Super Bowl LVII on Sunday in Arizona. An analyst said historic data suggests a win by an NFC team will produce a 10% return for the S&P 500 this year. Maybe not," Detrick wrote about this year's Super Bowl. From that viewpoint, stock investors may want to see the Chiefs win their third Super Bowl. Before Sunday's game, the S&P 500 has risen about 6% in 2023, and there's been a rotation in market leadership since 2022's dismal end.

☆ Investors should focus on the mega caps driving indexes, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should focus on the mega caps driving indexes, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonFairlead Strategies founder and managing partner Katie Stockton joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss mega-cap activity driving markets, participation contractions and overly bullish market sentiment.

☆ There's a big macro shift taking place that could erase the bulk of this year's stock market gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is on the verge of undergoing a significant macro shift that could threaten its recent gains in the short term. She warned a rise in the US dollar and interest rates could put a lid on further market advances. Around the same exact time the stock market found its bottom in October, the US dollar was topping out at its highest level since 2002. And that shift could lead to a downturn in the stock market. From a fundamental perspective, higher interest rates and a higher US dollar could have a negative impact on corporate profits.

☆ Small California town wonders if restored floodplain prevented disaster
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-04 | by ( Daniel Trotta | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

[1/5] An aerial view shows the town of Grayson near floodwaters from the San Joaquin River in Grayson, California, U.S., January 25, 2023. Advocates for floodplain restoration say it can help solve California's dual dangers of flooding and drought, replenishing groundwater for future drought relief while protecting towns from the catastrophic flooding that scientists predict will come with climate change. One of the volunteers was David Guzman, who works in an almond processing plant and lives right up against a slough of the San Joaquin River. But some experts say floodplain restoration can help spare adjacent towns, and they envision a day when a proliferation of projects will prevent wider flooding throughout the state. The valley lies west of the north-south Sierra Nevada mountain range and includes the smaller San Joaquin Valley.

☆ As stocks surge, some chart signals have been looking better despite lingering risks
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell triggered a surge in stocks when he spoke Wednesday , taking the S & P 500 into a new range. Redler expects a near term peak for the S & P 500 could be around 4,200-4,220. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq were both higher Thursday, as the 10-year Treasury yield continued its slide to a low of 3.35%. He's watching the growing number of three-month highs in the Russell 1000 and S & P 600 , which are now outpacing the new highs in the S & P 500. The VIX is based on puts and calls in the S & P 500.

☆ Fairlead's Katie Stockton: Pivotal week for the market in technical terms
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFairlead's Katie Stockton: Pivotal week for the market in technical termsKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the market technicals, how the mega-cap growth part of the market looks right now, and more.

☆ Here's what the stock market is facing down this week, from Fed moves to earnings that will set the tone for the rest of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

This is a make-or-break week for the stock market. Not only that, but a slate of mega-cap earnings from Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet are also due later this week. Any negative surprises could derail the January rally, Stockton said, and negate much of the recent recovery from 2022's vicious bear market. "We believe the rally rests on the shoulders of heavyweights Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, which are showing softness today as the market anticipates their earnings," Stockton wrote. Better-than-expected earnings and the potential for a Fed pivot have fueled a sharp rebound in the stock.

☆ The easy January trade was to just buy everything that fell a lot in 2022
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Simply buying the worst performers of 2022 seemed to have paid off for investors in January. Discovery have seen the largest bounce back in shares of the group, up 54% after a 60% tumble in 2022. Semiconductor stocks took a beating in 2022 as companies grappled with slowing demand. Of the names included in the list, Lumen Technologies , Epam Systems and Dish Network are the only three downtrodden 2022 stocks bucking the worst-to-first trend. That includes an improvement in long-term trend following indicators, more widespread breakouts, and greater improvement in market breadth, which is currently overbought, she said.

☆ January was bitcoin's best month since 2021, but crypto isn't ready for a 'rocket ship rally' yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

For some investors, however, its strong month isn't necessarily a green light to jump back into the crypto market. As of Tuesday, bitcoin is set to finish the month up 38.39%, which would make it its best month since October 2021 and its best January in 10 years, according to Coin Metrics. Ether , which led the crypto recovery last summer ahead of the merge, has risen 31% this month, coming off a 67.06% decline for 2022. However, "we're not so sure bitcoin is ready for another rocket ship rally just yet." "Thus far, the rise in BTC dominance looks reminiscent of April 2019, during which a BTC rally marked a crypto market bottom, much akin to rising BTC dominance lately."

☆ The stock market is facing a make-or-break week as investors try to hold onto the latest rally amid Fed moves and big-name earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

It's a make-or-break week for the stock market and its current rally, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton. But big volatility events like the Fed's expected rate hike and mega-cap tech earnings could derail the breakouts. But a lot could happen between now and the closing bell on Friday, as market-shaking news is expected from the Federal Reserve and mega-cap tech earnings. And any negative surprises could derail the recent stock market rally and negate a lot of technical progress made in equities over the past week. "We believe the rally rests on the shoulders of heavyweights Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, which are showing softness today as the market anticipates their earnings," Stockton said.

☆ Microsoft, Tesla stock moves hint at positive signs for the market, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The S & P 500 ended Thursday at 4,060.43. A key test for the S & P 500 The S & P 500 pushed above its 200-day moving average last Friday. Redler, who follows short-term technicals, said it is important for the S & P 500 to hold between 3,970 and 3,990. She said the S & P 500 is showing signs of being overbought short term, though there continues to be short-term upside momentum. We need to see stocks like Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, we need to see these stocks going from downtrend to uptrend.

☆ The U.S. dollar may hold the key to whether this market rally can last
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. dollar surged in 2022, with the dollar index hitting a peak of $114.78 in September. But since September, the dollar index has slipped and is now nearing a range that could lend support to the S & P 500 . The dollar index nearing 100 is a key number that many technical analysts are watching – it was named one of the big numbers for 2023 by Oppenheimer. Still, she's also been watching the dollar's major corrective phase and per DeMARK Indicators sees an active signal on the dollar index that flashed on Jan. 13. .DXY YTD line DXY YTD "What it suggests is that from the support area, we should see a relief rally or a dollar bounce," she said, adding that this would mark a sentiment shift around the dollar.

☆ Mass Shootings in the U.S.: A Symptom of Despair - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( Jillian Peterson | James Densley | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +23 min

Seven killed and 46 injured in Highland Park, Ill., on July 4, 2022He suffered from severe back pain. Eight killed and seven injured in Indianapolis on April 15, 2021He was known for being paranoid with a short temper. Five killed and seven injured in Aurora, Ill., on Feb. 15, 2019He had expressed violent thoughts. Nine killed and seven injured in Red Lake, Minn., on March 21, 2005He had been noticeably depressed and angry at church. Seven killed and seven injured in Fort Worth on Sept. 15, 1999He killed his daughter’s cat because he was upset.

☆ Chart analyst Katie Stockton says she remains skeptical of bitcoin's 2023 rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, said Tuesday that bitcoin's rally in the new year doesn't look sustainable. "The positive development is that it has rallied enough to give folks an exit," Stockton said on CNBC's "Squawk Box." BTC.CB= 1Y mountain Bitcoin Stockton said a slow grind higher would be more bullish for bitcoin and other altcoins. "So we're skeptical as to the sustainability of this rally, which we are still viewing as countertrend," Stockton said. Meanwhile, the chart analyst said there are oversold conditions in place, but they've been in place for many months now.

☆ Katie Stockton: Our longer-term indicators for Bitcoin still point lower
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKatie Stockton: Our longer-term indicators for Bitcoin still point lowerKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the underlying market technicals in Bitcoin, risk metrics to watch in the market, and more.

☆ Alphabet or Microsoft? Analysts predict which stock will come out on top
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts say the platform could be a threat to Google's bread-and-butter search business . Alphabet and Microsoft compete in the cloud business. Neither stock did well in the past year, with Microsoft dropping more than 20%, and Alphabet tumbling over 30%. According to FactSet, analysts covering the stock gave it 21% upside on average, while 91% gave it a "buy" rating. According to FactSet, analysts covering Alphabet gave it 35% upside on average, while 92% gave it a buy rating.

☆ Wall Street's fear gauge has dipped below a key level. Why that could mean more trouble for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Each time, the S & P 500 subsequently sold off. "We're watching the 50-day moving average [on the VIX] as a risk metric for the S & P 500," she said. "Looking at past major routs in the S & P 500, it's always associated with a VIX at a much higher level. Emanuel's strategy involves buying March 31 S & P 500 puts and calls that are out of the money. Murphy said it seems the volatility in the S & P 500 will be to the downside.

☆ California is deluged by record rain with more storms coming
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Kate Fishman | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The parade of storms is forecast to continue, bringing even more heavy rain next week, the weather service said. Large stretches of central California received over half their normal annual rainfall since Dec. 26. [1/12] View of flooding from the rainstorm-swollen Sacramento and American Rivers, near downtown Sacramento, California, U.S. January 11, 2023. The storms have killed at least 17 people since the start of the year, California Governor Gavin Newsom said on Tuesday. Reporting by Brendan O'Brien in Chicago and Daniel Trotta in Carlsbad, California; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Sandra MalerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ U.S. regulators forwarding Southwest complaints as part of probe
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

WASHINGTON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. Transportation Department said on Tuesday it is forwarding thousands of consumer complaints stemming from Southwest Airlines' (LUV.N) massive December flight cancellations as part of its ongoing investigation. The Transportation Department said it is directing Southwest to provide substantive responses to all consumer complaints within 60 days, as required by federal regulations. Southwest said on Tuesday it is "making every effort" to refund and reimburse customers, and is now processing flight refund requests within an average of about three days. Southwest on Tuesday also launched a seasonal sale for fares as low as $49 for some one-way routes. REROUTED RIBEYESome Southwest customers remain upset.

☆ Amazon plans to close three UK warehouses, impacting 1,200 workers
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Workers work inside an Amazon.co.uk fulfillment centre in Hemel Hempstead, north of London, on November 25, 2015. LONDON — Amazon confirmed Tuesday that it has launched a consultation to close three U.K. warehouses, where it employs a combined 1,200 people. The company plans to open two new fulfilment centers in the U.K. over the next three years, in Peddimore and Stockton-on-Tees, adding 2,500 jobs. The Amazon spokesperson added that the U.K. site closures were not part of the 18,000 job cuts that the company announced last week. "Hard-up Amazon workers can't suddenly be expected to up sticks and move to a different fulfilment centre which may be many miles away," he said, accusing the firm of failing to provide a stable employment model.

☆ Sheng Thao, once homeless and fleeing abuse, becomes the mayor of Oakland, California
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Claire Wang | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

Thao spoke with NBC Asian American about her vision for Oakland and how her upbringing shaped her advocacy for working families. Mayor-elect Sheng Thao is greeted by supporters following a news conference at City Hall in downtown Oakland, Calif., on Nov. 23, 2022. Jane Tyska / East Bay Times via Getty ImagesNBC Asian America: You’re the first Hmong American to become mayor of a major city. The Hmong community itself is already politically engaged. That’s made a huge impact especially on our Hmong girls because the Hmong community is still quite patriarchal.

☆ A bad market omen: Apple and Tesla denting market sentiment to start the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It was a sloppy start to the year for stocks, and the steep decline in two market darlings — Apple and Tesla — is not a good omen for the market in 2023. The S & P 500 was down as much as 1.2% on Tuesday and dipped below the key 3,800 level. "I think Apple has a major influence on market sentiment. Though, she added that Tesla is much less of an impact on overall market action than Apple because of the tech giant's huge market cap. Stockton also said the S & P 500 could break down several hundred points below that and reach 3,200.

☆ A 'volatility event' will plunge the stock market to new lows in the next 6 months, Fairlead's Katie Stockton says
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is poised to plunge to new lows in the first half of 2023, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton. Stockton told CNBC on Tuesday that a "volatility event" could send the VIX soaring to 50. "But we do look for some kind of major low to be established on the back of a volatility event... maybe in the next four to six months." Of course, there is a chance hat instead of plunging to new lows the stock market simply chops sideways and consolidates. I think it's less likely though because I do think that the market needs that kind of capitulation that tends to be associated with bear market lows," Stockton said.

☆ 2023 will be an inflection year for the stock market, says Fairlead Strategies' Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email2023 will be an inflection year for the stock market, says Fairlead Strategies' StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss more sideways market activity, the likelihood the market sees new lows this year and more.

☆ Storm dumps heavy rain and snow across California
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-01 | by ( The Associated Press | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — A powerful storm brought drenching rain or heavy snowfall to much of California on Saturday, snarling traffic and closing highways as the state prepared to usher in a new year. Weather service meteorologist Courtney Carpenter said the storm could drop over an inch of rain in the Sacramento area before moving south. The rain was welcomed in drought-parched California, but much more precipitation is needed to make a significant difference. Humboldt County, where a 6.4 magnitude earthquake struck on Dec. 20, also saw roadways begin to flood, according to the National Weather Service’s Eureka office. Another round of heavy showers was forecast for Tuesday or Wednesday, the National Weather Service in Oxnard said.

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