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☆ Uber, Lyft and the gig economy think they've found a way to win the national labor war
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Cheryl Winokur Munk | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

While only applicable in California, labor law experts expect momentum to spread to other states where the issue hasn't yet been tested. 22 went into effect, more than 80% of California drivers surveyed said that it has been good for them. In other high-population states, there has been a wave of recent actions and compromises between the companies and the states. In November, New York announced two settlements totaling $328 million with Uber and Lyft to resolve multi-year investigations. The state had been seeking a court determination that Uber and Lyft drivers are employees, not independent contractors.

Persons: Caroline Donelan, Uber, Brazil —, Gary McLaughlin, Mitchell Silberberg, Lyft, there's, James Yukevich, Yukevich Cavanaugh, it's, Tony West, Kamala Harris, general's, Michael M, Baylson, Donelan, Massachusetts Uber, Verrett, John Wicker, Stradling Yocca Carlson, There's, Gregory P, Feit, Reavis Organizations: California Supreme, Blank, Employees, New York, Pew Research, Washington Post, Democratic Party, Transportation Network Companies, federal, Labor, Union, United, 32BJ SEIU, Service Employees International Union, International Association of Machinists, SEIU, Rauth Locations: California's, U.S, California, New, New York State, Massachusetts, Australia, Brazil, Washington, New York , Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Florida, Minneapolis, In Massachusetts

☆ Trump, Harris campaigns race to define Democratic running mate Tim Walz
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

This combination of pictures shows Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington, DC on July 22, 2024, and Governor of Minnesota Tim Walz in Washington, DC, July 3, 2024. In a campaign that is playing out on a turbo-charged timeline, both camps have a narrow window to shape how voters view Harris' running mate. The Kamala Harris and Donald Trump presidential campaigns on Tuesday raced to push out dueling portraits of newly announced Democratic running mate, Minnesota Gov. Minnesota Governor Tim Walz speaks with union organizers before they march on businesses in downtown Minneapolis on October 14, 2022 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. "Just like Kamala Harris, Tim Walz is a dangerously liberal extremist, and the Harris-Walz California dream is every American's nightmare."

Persons: Kamala Harris, Minnesota Tim Walz, Harris, Tim, Walz, Donald Trump, Tim Walz, Roe, Wade, Walz's, Harris veepstakes, Jane Mayer, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, " Walz, Leavitt, Sara Craig, Rep, Byron Donalds, Kellyanne Conway, Sen, JD Vance, Vance Organizations: National, Marist, Tuesday, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Minnesota, Republican, New Yorker, San, West Coast, Golden, Republican Governors Association, Democrats, Democrat, Fox News, Trump Locations: Washington , DC, Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minneapolis , Minnesota, America, San Francisco, Golden State, Walz California, lockstep, Ohio

☆ Cries are getting louder for emergency interest-rate cuts this week, something that's been reserved for pandemics or terrorist attacks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Some have called for emergency interest rate cuts this week as a result. The Federal Reserve has only cut rates off-cycle in extreme emergencies, like 9/11 and COVID-19. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors are panicking, and they're calling for the nation's central bank to cut interest rates over a month before the Fed's next meeting.

Persons: — Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Investors, of Labor Statistics, Business

As the Fed lowers rates this year, mortgage rates are expected to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 5.99% this week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is an eight-basis-point decrease from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which may happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: —, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ Why the stock market is freaking out again
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points at the open, and the broader market plunged 3% Monday. The Nasdaq, full of risky tech stocks, dropped 3.7%. Although that’s not in and of itself an unhealthy unemployment rate, its sudden march higher is alarming: Last year, the unemployment rate was at its lowest level since the moon landing. Traders are beginning to unwind big trades on Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other tech stocks that had been surging since the beginning of last year. Monday’s rout, if it ends at current levels, wouldn’t even crack the top 100 worst days in market history.

Persons: Dow, that’s, Goldman Sachs, That’s, Jeremy Siegel, “, ”, Siegel, Stocks, it’ll, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, JPMorgan, CNBC, Traders, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire Locations: Wall

☆ What it means to have a ‘Black job’ in America
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Still, the discussion comes as Black workers have made significantly positive — and, in many cases, historic — employment advancements. “So, to suggest that immigration is lowering the black employment rate is just not bearing out, based on this superficial look at the facts,” Algernon said. The pandemic recovery and economic expansion since has resulted in wage gains for many workers, and that has included Black workers, she noted. “We talk a lot about the 2-to-1 ratio between Black and White unemployment (the Black unemployment rate typically is twice the White unemployment rate), so, the progress has been marginal in terms of that disparity.”In July, the unemployment rate for White workers was 3.8% (versus 6.3% for Black workers). “For example, according to BLS data, Black workers are just 12.8% of all employed Americans, but 48.4% of postal service workers, 38.1% of nurse assistants, and 36.1% of security guards,” Pollak said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ”, Algernon Austin, ” Algernon, there’s, that’s, It’s, Valerie Wilson, ” Wilson, “, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, ” Pollak Organizations: CNN, National Association of Black Journalists, Black, Center for Economic, Research, of Labor Statistics, Baby Boomers, BLS

Mortgage rates are down in response to the labor market slowing. Average 30-year mortgage rates are now hovering in the low 6% range, according to Zillow data, the lowest they've been since January 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ 2 recession indicators with perfect track records show the US just entered a downturn — opening the door for stocks to plummet as the Fed gets set to cut rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementSt. Louis FedDespite the Sahm Rule's impressive history, it is sometimes criticized because it fails to account for rising labor participation, which can raise the unemployment rate. In addition to downcast labor market data, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contraction territory this week, signaling that US manufacturing continues to slow. The market's direction also depends on how investors interpret interest rate cuts alongside future data. Fed funds rate futures markets are now pricing in a 50-basis-point cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementHartnett and his team analyzed Fed rate-cutting cycles and identified three different types of rate cuts — cuts into a soft landing, cuts into a hard landing, and panic cuts, which are due to a credit event or some sort of Wall Street crisis.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm —, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler, Tom Essaye, Jack McIntyre, Lara Castleton, Janus Henderson, Michael Kantrowitz, we've, Kantrowitz, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, Brandywine Global, ISM, Nasdaq, Fed, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of America, Fund

☆ Freed prisoners return to U.S. from Russia and the race to define Kamala Harris: Morning Rundown
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Elizabeth Robinson | Elizabeth Robinson Is A Newsletter Editor For Nbc News | Based In Los Angeles. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +13 min

Evan Gershkovich, Paul Whelan and Alsu Kurmasheva make an emotional return to the U.S. Simone Biles and Katie Ledecky add to their Olympic medal collections. Jamie Squire / Getty ImagesBiles won gold in the women’s all-around gymnastics final, reclaiming her 2016 title and becoming the first American to win the Olympic all-around gold medal more than once. Brazil’s Rebeca Andrade won silver, and American Suni Lee, who won the all-around gold medal three years ago in Tokyo, took home the bronze. Katie Ledecky made Olympic history when she won a silver medal in the women's 4x200m freestyle relay final on Thursday. The battle intensifies to define HarrisIt goes without saying that Vice President Kamala Harris’ path to de-facto Democratic presidential nominee has been unprecedented.

Persons: Evan Gershkovich, Paul Whelan, Alsu, Simone Biles, Katie Ledecky, Sonya Massey, Biden, Harris, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Alsu Kurmasheva, Whelan, Gershkovich, Kurmasheva, “, Vladimir Kara, Murza, Antony Blinken’s, Sergei Lavrov, Suni Lee, Jamie Squire, Biles, Brazil’s Rebeca Andrade, Maddie Meyer, Peacock, Read, rance, wimmer, ▶️, ure, Ana l, J uly, dow, ros, Pres, ena, Gray, ood, Joh, edd, maki, abou, , in Organizations: U.S, Russia, Marine, Joint Base Andrews, Wall Street, Radio Free, Radio Liberty, Paris, unt, pla, us. Locations: Maryland, Germany, U.S, Russia, Slovenia, Norway, Poland, Radio Free Europe, Berlin, Paris, American, Tokyo, Belgium

While most of TIAA’s clients are current or retired workers at nonprofit organizations, TIAA also offers individual retirement accounts to investors online. They didn’t own enough in-house TIAA products, according to the complaint and a recording of Parkin’s presentation. But in two asset classes, the tool’s recommendations are limited to TIAA products, according to the complaint and internal documents. Morningstar selects asset classes and investments for the TIAA tool from those chosen by a retirement plan fiduciary, it said. Paras Griffin / Getty Images fileThe recent push to increase client usage of TIAA’s advice tool appears to be succeeding.

Persons: Ted Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, TIAA, “, ” Fitzpatrick, ’, Chris Tobe, Craig Parkin, Rajotte, ”, Yale, Craig Warga, TIAA hasn’t, Ted Siedle, “ TIAA, ” Siedle, TIAA’s Parkin, Parkin, Thasunda Brown Duckett, “ Thasunda, ” Parkin, ” TIAA, Adriana Macias, Morningstar, Duckett, Rowe Price, TIAA’s, Paras Griffin, it’s, Steers, ‘ Organizations: SEC, New, Cornell University, University of North Carolina System, TIAA, Vanguard, Fidelity, Systems, Yale, Yale University, Bloomberg, Getty, Brown University and Harvard, NBC News, NBC, Morningstar Investment Management, of, Morningstar, “ Morningstar Investment Management, Bank of New York Mellon, Equitable Holdings, Cohen, Steers, & $ Locations: Milwaukee, TIAA, New York, New Haven, Conn, Chicago, Atlanta

But you're going to struggle if you're looking for a new one. "Even a few months ago, the labor market seemed fine, the trajectory looked stable," said Guy Berger, director of economic research at the Burning Glass Institute, a think tank. The Fed therefore believes it can put a floor underneath the labor market that prevents it from deteriorating further, Berger said. "What we need to see is strong private-sector labor market growth, and outside of health care, what we've seen instead is a very, very rapid deceleration that has shown no signs yet of stabilizing," Pollak said. Pollak also said leisure and hospitality jobs — a key entry point into the labor market — have actually declined outright in recent months, putting further pressure on workers to secure employment.

Persons: Guy Berger, Berger, Jerome Powell, Bill Dudley, Julia Pollak, Pollak, we've Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Glass, Federal, Fed, New York Federal, Bloomberg Locations: U.S, haves

☆ European stocks to extend declines after Bank of England rate cut as global sentiment sours
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Boris Roessler | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks were set to open lower Friday, extending losses amid a global downturn as a busy week of market action draws to a close. Germany's DAX was on course to open 104 points lower at 17,984, according to IG data, with France's CAC 40 down 40 points at 7,325. The regional Stoxx 600 index on Thursday suffered its worst session since mid-June, pulled down by financials as French bank Societe Generale downgraded its outlook and the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The central bank decision took its key interest rate to 5% from 5.25%, in a move that markets had not been fully convinced it would carry out. Asia-Pacific markets saw steep losses Friday, with Japan's benchmark indexes tanking as much as 5%.

Persons: Boris Roessler, Germany's DAX, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Joe Tuckey Organizations: Getty, France's CAC, Societe Generale, Bank of England, CNBC, Argentex, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Apple, Intel, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Frankfurt, Bank of Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ Fast food giants like McDonald's and Chipotle may be forced to hike prices in California again.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Dominick Reuter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The California Fast Food Workers Union is calling for the state's minimum wage to rise to $20.70. Businesses are still adjusting to the latest hike, and this could be a breaking point. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementFresh off the heels of a major wage hike in April, California fast food workers are calling for a new one "to keep up with the rising cost of living." The California Fast Food Workers Union presented its demand for a new wage of $20.70 (up from $20) at the first-ever meeting of the newly formed Fast Food Council, KTLA News reported.

Persons: — Organizations: Food Workers Union, Service, Food Council, KTLA News, Business Locations: California

☆ There are cracks forming in the US jobs market
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.

Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, ’, “, ”, —, Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Economic Policy Institute, ” Locations: Oxford

☆ Why workers who lose their jobs to AI will be better off than the Midwest manufacturing employees of two decades ago
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Similar to US manufacturing workers who lost their jobs in recent decades to advancements like automation, those displaced by AI could find themselves without the skills needed for the modern workforce. It comes down to when — and where — AI job losses are likely to materialize. Davis said there are several reasons workers who are displaced by AI should have an easier time finding work than many manufacturing workers of the past. Impacted workers in cities would be more likely to have job opportunities than workers where manufacturing jobs were concentrated, which often were in the Midwest. Widespread AI job displacement won't happen for at least a decadeWhile Davis is uncertain about the timing and scale of AI job displacement, he said he doesn't expect AI to drive major job losses over the next decade.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, It's, Steven Davis, Hoover Institute —, Davis, it's, — Davis, they've, they're, Joe Biden, there's, Jim Covello, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Hoover Institute, Stanford University —, Bureau of Labor Statistics —

☆ Fears grow Fed is too late to cut rates as bets increase for a half-point easing at next meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"A 50 basis point Fed cut in September is clearly justified as the labor market is now showing clear signs of softening," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. The firm, which has long been saying the Fed will need to cut aggressively this year, expects another 50 basis point cut in November by a 25 basis point cut move in December. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The S & P 500 lost more than 2.5% and Treasury yields plummeted, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year note down more than a quarter percentage point to 3.91%. "It's very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt [of] a September rate cut."

Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, David Donabedian, Preston Caldwell, David Rosenberg, Jerome Powell, Jamie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Statistics, BMO Wealth Management, Wall, Citigroup, CIBC Private Wealth, Morningstar, Rosenberg Research, Harris Financial

Read previewThe July jobs report has thrown the economy's soft landing into question — and the Federal Reserve is taking the heat. AdvertisementGiven the jobs report, Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, told Business Insider that "the soft landing for the US labor market is in peril." Advertisement"The problem is there's very few indications that this is the labor market we're going to stick around in," Bunker said. "It's clear that momentum of the labor market continues to be downward. "But I continue to stand by the idea that this is still part of the soft landing that people thought was not possible."

Persons: —, it's, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Jerome Powell, Julia Pollak, It's, We're, Bunker, Powell, Harris, doesn't, Labor Julie Su, Su, they've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, North America, New Century Advisors, Fed, Biden, Labor

☆ The labor market's soft landing 'is in danger,' economist says. Here's where jobs are still growing
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Tom Merton | Ojo Images | Getty ImagesJob seekers have been sour on the job market for a while now — and with good reason. "The soft landing in the U.S. labor market is in danger," Nick Bunker, Economic Research Director for North America for Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in a statement on Friday. "Yellow flags had started to pop up in the labor market data over the past few months, but now the flags are turning red," Bunker said. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. To pivot, assess 'transferrable skills'Because the labor market is weakening, it might be hard for workers to find opportunities in their preferred industries, Bustamante noted.

Persons: Tom Merton, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Nonfarm payrolls, Alí Bustamante, Julia Pollak, Pollak, NEETS, Bustamante Organizations: Economic, North, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Worker Power, Economic Security, Roosevelt Institute, ZipRecruiter, Health, Finance Locations: U.S, North America, New York City

☆ Jobless rates fall in July for Asian Americans, bucking the overall trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The unemployment rate fell for Asian Americans from June to July, bucking a broader trend, according to data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate among Asian Americans dipped to 3.7% in July from 4.1% a month earlier. The result went against the overall unemployment rate, which rose to 4.3% last month from 4.1% in June. Meanwhile, the jobless rate for white Americans rose to 3.8% in July, up from 3.5% a month earlier. For Hispanic Americans, this number climbed to 5.3% last month, compared to the rate of 4.9% in June.

Organizations: U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Dow dives more than 800 points after July jobs report misses expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Stocks slid Friday as a disappointing jobs report added to fears that the US economy is weakening. Stocks have also whipsawed in recent days as investors also digested the Federal Reserve’s July policy meetings and Big Tech earnings reports. Big Tech earningsInvestors have also parsed a mixed bag of Big Tech earnings this week. Shares of Apple, which reported in-line earnings but missed sales expectations Thursday evening, are up 2.1%. Investors have in recent weeks moved out of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks that powered the market to repeated record highs this year.

Persons: Stocks, Dow, That’s, ”, David Russell, Jerome Powell, ” Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, of Labor Statistics, Institute for Supply Management, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta, Intel Locations: New York, tamping

☆ Tesla's unique approach to sales is giving it headaches
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The big storyFor saleGetty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIOne of Tesla's biggest assets is its willingness to try new things, but its unique approach to sales is also what's giving it headaches. AdvertisementA key issue is Tesla's inability to evolve its sales tactics as the EV market rapidly changes . Business Insider's Grace Kay spoke to more than a dozen current and former employees in Tesla's sales division about how the company has tried to kick-start its sales unit . Not unlike its cars, Tesla's sales approach is innovative compared to the rest of the automotive industry. It's a great strategy when the cars sell themselves — which Teslas did for a while — since you don't need to maintain a traditional sales structure.

Persons: —, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, It's, Elon Musk, Insider's Grace Kay, There's, Teslas, Justin Sullivan, Fintechs, chatbots, Rebecca Zisser, Goldman Sachs, James Knightley, Andy Jassy, Mike Blake, Chelsea Jia Feng, Venu, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, EV, Tech, Citadel, ING Economics, Big Pharma, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk, Department of Labor, Chevron, ExxonMobil Locations: New York, London

☆ Unemployment unexpectedly rose in July as pressure ramps up for the Fed to cut interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The weak report all but confirms the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September, an outcome that was already carrying a near-100% probability heading into the report. AdvertisementFriday's jobs report comes after this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady once again. "I think it's past time for them to cut interest rates," Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, told Business Insider in July. "The question will be whether the totality of the data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks are consistent with rising confidence on inflation and maintaining a solid labor market," Powell said. There were around 3.3 million quits in June and the quits rate was 2.1%.

Persons: —, payrolls, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Labor Statistics, Reserve, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Here's everything you need to know about Friday's big jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. labor market may have cooled some in July, as a gradual slowdown in the economy and Hurricane Beryl are expected to have taken some of the steam out of hiring. Still, even if the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report for July, to be released Friday at 8:30 a.m. "You're seeing just modest on-the-margin weakness in the labor market that [isn't likely to] spiral out of control into a negative feedback loop." Citigroup projects an even lower number — 150,000 on payrolls and a tick higher in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Should the unemployment rate keep climbing, it could raise fears that the so-called Sahm Rule is in danger of being triggered.

Persons: Hurricane Beryl, nonfarm, Mike Reynolds, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Beryl Organizations: Amerant, Hurricane, Labor, Federal, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Citigroup Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, The U.S, department's, Texas, Houston

☆ Productivity Surges 2.3%, Beating Forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Talmon Joseph Smith | More About Talmon Joseph Smith | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

A highly productive economy generally means businesses and workers are operating efficiently, making more money in fewer hours. In the second quarter, production was up 3.3 percent, while hours worked rose 1 percent. Productivity, at a basic level, is calculated as a simple ratio: the total amount of output an economy produces per hour worked by its labor force. No, but the impact on productivity data in those quarters was deeply negative. For now, most analysts say artificial intelligence is having only a nascent influence on overall productivity.

Persons: “, Skanda Amarnath, ” Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, U.S Locations: U.S, Europe, America, A.I

☆ Fed Chair Powell just said the labor market is getting vulnerable. Friday’s jobs report could prove why
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —The pandemic threw the US job market into chaos, but four years later, things finally seem to be back to normal. Most indicators support the idea that the labor market is no longer overheated and could easily maintain a new normal of steady, but slower growth. “This is a labor market that’s otherwise moderated,” Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at Indeed, told CNN. Labor force participation/employment to population ratio: These metrics are key reasons why Bunker and others believe the labor market remains in good shape. The same goes for the prime-age labor force participation rate, which at 83.7% also is the highest in 23 years.

Persons: hasn’t, Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, ’, “, ”, —, Madhavi Bokil, Indeed’s Bunker, Bunker, ” Elise Gould, ” Bunker, “ It’s, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, can’t Organizations: CNN, Federal, of Labor, Challenger, Labor, Economic Policy Institute, ” Locations: Oxford

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