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The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City
Read previewOffices have been the weak spot in the commercial real estate market since the pandemic gave rise to widespread remote work and caused companies to reassess how much space they need. The Federal Reserve's likely interest rate cut, expected at the end of its meeting on September 18, could give office owners some relief with lower interest rates when they refinance. But that doesn't mean they're in the clear, according to commercial real estate experts. Right now, most commercial real estate loans come from small, regional banks, but that could change. AdvertisementYet even with the weakness in the office market, lower interest rates are a net positive for the industry, economist Richard McGahey says.
Persons: , Lisa Pendergast, Pendergast, Lisa Knee, Knee, It's, Richard McGahey, McGahey Organizations: Service, Business, CRE Finance
The bulls on Wall Street have been largely right about the stock market over the past two years. Business Insider asked three bullish stock strategists what they consider the biggest risks. Yet, those economists have been largely wrong about what could sink the stock market and economy. "In May/June, when you had a lot of bears or those that had been late to jump on the bull parade all of a sudden switch their forecasts and kind of chase markets up, which is pretty, I mean pretty, pretty, pretty classic," Belski told Business Insider. The second risk is, similar to Belski's concern, a 1990's type melt-up in the stock market.
Persons: , Brian Belski, Belski, Yardeni Research's Eric Wallerstein Eric Wallerstein, Wallerstein, that's, Carson, Sonu Varghese Sonu Varghese, Varghese Organizations: Business, Service, BMO, Nvidia, Yardeni Research, Carson Group, Federal Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Taiwan
The federal funds rate, which the U.S. central bank sets, is the rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Home loan rates have already started to fall, largely due to the prospect of a Fed-induced economic slowdown. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may also be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, according to higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. However, refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, he said, "such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options."
Persons: that's, McBride, Jacob Channel, it's, Matt Schulz, Bankrate's McBride, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Treasury, Mortgage, Association, Auto, Consumers Locations: U.S
LONDON — European stocks are set to open higher Friday as investors continue to digest the European Central Bank's decision to cut rates and its impact on future monetary policy. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 is seen opening 1 point higher at 8,239, France's CAC up 20 points at 7,448, Germany's DAX 57 points higher at 18,563 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 41 points at 33,484 ,according to IG data. The European Central Bank slashed rates as expected on Thursday, marking its second 25-basis-point cut this year and bringing its key interest rate to 3.5%. Policymakers gave little indication on the course for monetary policy, however, with President Christine Lagarde saying the bank was not "pre-committing to a particular rate path." Asia-Pacific markets, meanwhile, were mixed, as mainland Chinese markets rebounded from a six-year low and Australian markets near an all-time high.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Central, France's CAC, European Central Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe, France
"This is the bank stock to buy, if you want to buy a bank stock," Jim offered, arguing that the regulatory snag shouldn't be a huge surprise to the market either. The agency said in a statement that Wells Fargo has already started to take corrective steps to remedy these issues. During Thursday's September Monthly Meeting, he said he would consider Wells Fargo as an honorary 13 core portfolio holding . Investors appear to have brushed off worries as well, with Wells Fargo stock up more than 1% on Friday. A person walks past the entrance to a Wells Fargo bank branch on Amsterdam Avenue on June 25, 2024, in New York City.
Persons: Wells, Jim Cramer, haven't, Jim, Wells Fargo, they're, We're, Charlie Scharf, Raymond James, Jim Cramer's, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Currency, OCC, Federal Reserve, Wall, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Corbis, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Amsterdam, New York City
Investors are ignoring two major risks to the market, according to Vahan Janjigian, chief investment officer at Greenwich Wealth Management. Geopolitical tensions and weak oil prices are the second risk, Janjigian said. He has been "surprised" that the Russia-Ukraine war, the Israel-Hamas conflict and weak oil prices haven't elicited a bigger reaction from the market. The International Energy Agency said in its recently monthly reports that global oil demand has been decelerating , adding that oil consumption in China — long the "engine of global oil demand growth" — contracted in April and May this year. In June, it added that Chinese oil demand contracted for a third consecutive month , driven by a slump in industrial activity.
Persons: Vahan Janjigian, CNBC's, Janjigian, , Pfizer —, he's Organizations: Greenwich Wealth Management, U.S, International Energy Agency, IEA, IBM, Verizon, Pfizer, FactSet, Nvidia Locations: U.S, United States, U.S . Federal, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China
"One reason we expect Fed easing to proceed at a relatively gentle pace is that there is still work to do on inflation," the report said. On a month-on-month basis, inflation rose 0.2% from July. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% for the month, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate. The 12-month core inflation rate held at 3.2%, in line with the forecast. It took far longer than anticipated to tame inflation and gaps have been revealed in central banks' understanding of what drives inflation."
Persons: Fitch, Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Fitch, Labor Department, CPI, Fed Locations: Federal
US stocks jumped on Friday as S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 aimed for a five-day win streak. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cut announcement next week. The Fed is expected to cut rates for the first time since 2019, with about even odds for a 25- or 50-basis point cut. Based on probabilities from the CME's FedWatch Tool, there's a 49%/51% split on whether the Fed will deliver a 50-basis point or 25-basis point interest rate cut, respectively. AdvertisementNext week's expected interest rate cut from the Fed will represent the first time the central bank has lowered rates since 2019.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, it's, Aditya Bhave Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Locations: Here's
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer said earlier Friday that Nvidia received a do-over from Wall Street . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Nvidia, Financials, Love, Lilly, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, haven't, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Wall, Federal, Energy, Citi, and Drug Administration, Fed, Market, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Ireland, Kisunla, U.S, Europe
U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as traders sought to shake off a sluggish September. S&P 500 futures traded near the flatline. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.02%. During Thursday's regular trading, investors snapped up shares of Big Tech names, including Nvidia , lifting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite for a fourth consecutive day. The three major averages are also on track to post weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up 3.5% and the Nasdaq on track for a 5.3% jump.
Persons: Dan Greenhaus, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Dow, Salesforce, Microsoft, Federal, Management Locations: U.S
None other than the legendary Larry Ellison, founder of the enterprise software company that is Oracle , said it on Monday. That investment by Google and that lack of investment by Microsoft may be two sides of one of the most pivotal decisions in history. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. Larry Ellison, co-founder, chairman and chief technology officer of Oracle, speaks during the Oracle OpenWorld conference in San Francisco on Oct. 1, 2017.
Persons: Larry Ellison, Ellison, Eaton —, Microsoft's Bing, Bing, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: Oracle, Club, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices, Google, Justice Department, DOJ, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: San Francisco
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday listed the CEOs he trusts even when the market doesn't, primarily naming executives from top tech companies. Cramer said investors shouldn't doubt solid companies every time a negative data point surfaces. Cramer said he's giving Amazon 's Andy Jassy, Broadcom 's Hock Tan and Nvidia 's Jensen Huang "the benefit of the doubt." Tech stocks can be hampered by investors who don't completely understand the companies' operations or trajectories, according to Cramer. "In tech, the complexity is such that Wall Street often reaches conclusions that have little to do with reality."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Andy Jassy, Hock Tan, Jensen Huang Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Amazon Locations: Tan
Gold inches higher as investors eye U.S. data for rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Data on Wednesday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose marginally in August, but underlying inflation showed some stickiness, which could discourage the Federal Reserve from delivering a half-point interest rate cut next week. CPI data showed no major inflation spikes, which is supporting gold prices to hold above $2,500 and suggesting no immediate changes to Fed policy, Wong added. Palladium climbed 1.3% to $1,021.84, its highest since July 8, following comments on export regulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Price, Wong, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Asia Pacific, Traders, U.S, PPI, Reserve, West Locations: U.S, Moscow
Defensive and dividend plays Alexander's strategy in playing the market right now is through defensive sectors and dividend players. As for dividend plays, Alexander is bullish on the utilities and telco sectors amid falling Treasury yields . Big pharma plays Alexander is also likes health-care and biotech players, especially big pharmaceutical companies producing products serving medical needs. Names he likes include AbbVie , AstraZeneca , Novartis and Johnson & Johnson . Johnson & Johnson, meanwhile, has been building out a "pipeline of drugs," Alexander added.
Persons: Ted Alexander, we've, we're, Alexander, it's, bullish, Durex, They've, Mead Johnson, Johnson Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Sydney, Telecommunications, AT, Verizon, Frontier Communications, London Stock Exchange, Big pharma, AstraZeneca, Novartis, Johnson Locations: U.S ., South Dallas, U.S
It's been a topsy-turvy stock market since the Club's August Monthly Meeting. These were two of our top performers since the August Monthly Meeting. The stock closed nearly 5% higher on the eve of the September Monthly Meeting. The S & P 500's health care sector is up 2.2% since the August Monthly Meeting, slightly outperforming the broad index's 1.8% rise in that timeframe. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: It's, We've, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, it's, DA Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Andy Jassy's, TJX, Jensen Huang, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investor, Federal, Procter, Gamble, Dover, Abbott Laboratories, TJX, Amazon, Micro Devices, Jackson, Bank of America, Telsey Advisory Group, JPMorgan, Oracle, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: seesaw, Wednesday's, U.S
The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.
Persons: , There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, , Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix
Shoppers at a Walmart store in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S., in March 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Wednesday as global markets focus on the latest U.S. inflation data set to be released later in the day. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 4 points higher at 8,208, Germany's DAX up 25 points at 18,304, France's CAC 40 flat at 7,404 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 66 points at 33,259, according to data from IG. Traders have their eyes on two key economic reports out of the U.S. this week, with the consumer price index report for August due Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. The data comes before a widely anticipated interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting that could help assuage concerns over a weakening U.S. economy.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Walmart, LONDON, CAC, IG, Traders, Federal Locations: Secaucus , New Jersey, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy this Wells Fargo strategist expects a full percentage rate cut by end of 2024Aditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions and more.
Persons: Wells, Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
Gold prices holds steady with U.S. CPI data on radar
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices steadied on Wednesday, as investors keenly awaited the U.S. inflation data for hints on the size of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut next week. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data is due at 1230 GMT, while the Producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims are due on Thursday. The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Price, Jerome Powell's, Peter Fung, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Aurum, Federal, Index, U.S, Consumer, Metals Locations: Gaza, Lebanon
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, , Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia
"I say keep it simple: Rate cuts are good," he said. "Small rate cuts are great, because they project confidence and give you a lot more rat cuts later on, and they do not allow for panic." While overall inflation declined to its lowest level since February 2021, one key metric rose slightly more than expected, disappointing some who hoped the Fed would make a 50 basis-point rate cut instead of a 25 basis-point cut. He stressed that even a smaller rate cut than hoped would be positive for many businesses. But Cramer stressed the palpable tension on Wall Street does not set the stage for any steadfast conclusions.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Morgan Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Fed
Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said he's unfazed by the weakness in bank stocks as well as any uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next easing cycle. To Eisman, there's nothing to worry about. Eisman shot to fame by shorting collateralized debt obligations to profit from the demise of subprime mortgage loans before the 2008 financial crisis. Wednesday's data showed the consumer price index , a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% in August , in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The economy Concerns about lower-income consumers have also increased recently, but Eisman said they are not indicative of a systemic issue endangering the wider economy.
Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, shorting, Michael Lewis's, Eisman, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Ally Financial, Dollar Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the Fed to cut rates by 25bps for the next five meetings, says BofA's Aditya BhaveAditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions.
Persons: 25bps, BofA's Aditya Bhave Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
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