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Dave Sekera, chief US market strategist at Morningstar, says that he’s watching for insights on banks’ delinquency rates. Consumers have increasingly fallen behind on or missed payments in recent months as they get squeezed by high interest rates. But banks could see higher losses compared to 2023 if the economy were to experience a downturn, the Fed warned. Investors are wagering that the central bank will begin easing rates as soon as September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation: higher rates and recession,” Dimon said in an interview with CNBC.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Dave Sekera, Stocks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Matt Egan, it’s, , Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, , Jerome Powell, Erika Tulfo, “ It’s, Neil Saunders, Abrigo, Gen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, United States ’, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morningstar, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, RSM, , Moody’s, CNN, GlobalData, Apple Locations: New York, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, China
But for now, we're turning to Wall Street in our big story, as big banks gear up to report their earnings. The big storyEarnings to watchMomo Takahashi/BIJust like that, it's Wall Street earnings season once again. Wall Street banks have been waiting for M&A, IPOs, and other fee-generating corporate dealmaking to come roaring back for two years. In May, the CEO shocked Wall Street by saying he plans to step down in the next five years . Will banks start charging for everyday consumer products like checking accounts?
Persons: , Joe Biden's, Sen, Peter Welch, Biden, Momo Takahashi, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Kaja Whitehouse, Jamie Dimon's, Kaja, Jefferies, Jamie Dimon, Wall, Marianne Lake, We're, Larry Fink, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Neil Dutta, Tesla's, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Rich Guy, Alyssa Powell, Andrei Cojocaru, David Zaslav, isn't, Joe, Zaslav, Jordan Parker Erb, Lisa Ryan, Joe Ciolli, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Democrat, Democratic, Hollywood, NATO, Business, showtime, JPMorgan, Citigroup, BlackRock, Bank of America, Getty, Warner Bros, Discovery, Air Lines, PepsiCo, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Chicago, London
The analyst has an outperform rating on Amazon and a price target of $220, which signals 10% upside from Wednesday's close. Anmuth has an overweight rating on the stock and a $240 price target, which implies upside of 20%. The commentary comes on the heels of the e-commerce giant's Amazon Web Services summit in New York, where the company highlighted the ways customers are implementing AI workloads and showcased its rapidly growth AI platform know as Bedrock. He retained a $245 price target on shares and called the stock a top Internet pick. The price target implies 23% upside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: GOOGL, Brian Pitz, workloads, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Ronald Josey Organizations: BMO Capital Markets Locations: New York
As earnings season begins ramping up, there are some early reports to watch that have historically beaten expectations and rallied as a result. Earnings season kicks into higher gear next week, with major names including Goldman Sachs , United Airlines and Netflix on the docket. Bespoke Investment Group screened for stocks reporting next week that have beaten the Street's consensus earnings estimate at least 75% of the time. Entering this earnings season, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut named the stock one of his longs. But the average analyst, while having a buy rating, sees a correction of more than 2% coming over the next year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Pancari, Pancari, Ally, LSEG, Horton, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut, Rehaut, D.R, David Roman Organizations: United Airlines, Netflix, Wall, Investment, JPMorgan
U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday night after the S&P 500 had its worst session since April, dragged lower by investors' rotation out of mega-cap tech stocks. S&P 500 futures were marginally higher. Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up by around 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures traded near the flatline. Investors sold their Big Tech winners, pushing Nvidia lower by 5.6% and leading to a 4.1% decline for Meta Platforms . The S&P 500 is up 0.3% through Thursday's close, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.4%.
Persons: Dow, Russell, Warren, We've, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Traders, Federal, 3Fourteen, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, University of Michigan Locations: Thursday's, Wells Fargo
Since September, when Fraser laid out her vision for a more streamlined Citigroup, the bank’s stock has shot up more than 50%. For the first time in nearly two decades, Wall Street appears to be feeling something almost like optimism about America’s third-largest bank. But speaking of Fraser’s tenure, Mayo sounded unusually sanguine about her progress in simplifying Citi’s notoriously labyrinthine corporate structure. Still, Mayo said the bank offers the “worst-in-class efficiency, returns and stock market valuation.”“I think she will pull it off. Of course, Fraser, who took over in March 2021, is still being haunted by the sins of Citi’s past.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Jane Fraser, , Fraser, Revlon —, Jane Fraser’s, , Mike Mayo, , ” Mayo, Mayo, “ It’s, I’m Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Citigroup, Citi, Revlon, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
However, most stocks were up with about 6 to 1 advancers to decliners on the New York Stock Exchange. The reverse happened Thursday as those stocks became a source of funds to buy the rest of the market, especially the housing stocks, solar stocks, real estate stocks, utilities, cyclical, and small caps. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 11, 2024 in New York City.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Meta, Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, FedWatch, CPI, PPI, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, Getty Locations: decliners, Wells Fargo, New York City
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Eli Lilly as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $1,083 per share from $1,023. "We are initiating RBBN with a Buy rating and $5 price target because the investment thesis has significantly improved." Rosenblatt reiterates Broadcom as buy Rosenblatt raised its price target on the stock to a Street high $2,400. Morgan Stanley downgrades Microchip to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said the semis company has a "lofty" valuation. Morgan Stanley upgrades Telefonica Brasil to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on shares of the LatAm telecom company.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, Rosenblatt, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Mizuho, Truist, Wells, Guggenheim, it's, Jefferies downgrades Darden, Jefferies, Roblox, VIV, OW, Uber, McDonald's Organizations: Broadcom, AVGO, " Bank of America, Apple, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Nvidia, Digital Realty, Mizuho, Services, AMD, Silo AI, KBW, Guggenheim, Costco, Jefferies, Spotify, Telefonica Brasil, Energy, Uber, CART Locations: NYC, Europe, underperform, Olive, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf retail sales are weak the market will price in rate cuts 'very quickly', says JPMorgan's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the impact of economic data on possible rate cuts.
Persons: JPMorgan's Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan explains why it upgraded Malaysia's rating from underweight to neutralRajiv Batra, head of Asia-Pacific (ex-Japan/China) equity strategy at JPMorgan, cites the country's policy reforms, data center investment and infrastructure buildout as factors.
Persons: Rajiv Batra Organizations: JPMorgan Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, China
Read previewDespite its French headquarters, Capital Fund Management has long been connected to the US. Advertisement"There's no way around the US" as a quant fund, he explained, which use a vast amount of data and historical trends to inform computer-driven investment strategies. Alternative managers have turned to the private wealth channel for capital increasingly in recent years, mostly driven by large private equity firms like Blackstone, Apollo, and KKR. Tiger cubs like Tiger Global and Coatue have had long-standing relationships with JPMorgan's private wealth unit. Quant funds operate in a similar fashion, he said, and the firm thinks this can be translated to a broader audience than just longtime hedge-fund allocators.
Persons: , Philippe Jordan, Jordan, Stifel, Blackstone, Bobby Jain's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, there's Organizations: Service, Capital Fund Management, Business, CFM, Stratus, Apollo, KKR, Products, Abu, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, UBS, HSBC, Bloomberg Locations: New York, Chicago, London, America, Paris, Louis, Abu Dhabi
Pricing is really weird lately
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jordan Parker Erb | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
In today's big story, we're looking at why pricing is so weird these days . More recently, Walmart introduced digital price tags, which some people said could be used for variable pricing. The constantly changing costs have consumers feeling a sense of price fatigue, Emily writes. Emily writes that most economists agree that government-mandated price-fixing isn't the way to go about it. So, as Emily writes, you can't fault anyone for feeling a certain sense of doom and gloom about the economy.
Persons: , Alyssa Powell, Emily Stewart, Emily, Michael Raines, Rebecca Zisser, Michael Arone, Steve Granitz, Elon Musk, Tyler Le, Larry Page, Biden, Keir Starmer, Rishi Sunak's, Jerome Powell, Jordan Parker Erb, Lisa Ryan, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Soviet Union, Business, Walmart, JPMorgan, Wall, Group, State, Navy, Spotify, Labour Party, Samsung Locations: Montana, Soviet, America, USA, Diego, Idaho, New York, London
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to rally
  + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
These bank stocks are cheap and expected to jump, according to CNBC Pro. The bank stock has underperformed this year, down more than 7%. But it's expected to surge 19% to its consensus price target, and has a forward P/E of 10.6. The stock is expected to gain 17% from here, and looks relatively cheap with its 10.1 forward P/E. It has a forward P/E of just 8.4.
Persons: Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, It's, Stephens Organizations: CNBC Pro, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking, CNBC, KBW Nasdaq, U.S, Bancorp, U.S . Bancorp, Western Alliance, East West Bancorp Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon
The June CPI report will show a continued drop in inflation, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee expects a soft June CPI report will push the Fed to cut rates more than two times this year. "It's going to be a week of reckoning, and I mean a reckoning of how people view inflation and the state of the economy." Lee is also bullish on small-cap stocks, which have badly lagged the broader stock market rally so far this year. AdvertisementJPMorgan's trading desk also expects a light June CPI report will boost stock prices.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, , it's, What's, JPMorgan's Andrew Tyler Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, CPI
The S & P 500 would increase 0.25%-0.75% under this outcome. 15% chance — CPI rises 0.25%-0.3%: The S & P 500 would drop 0.75%-1.25% under this scenario, as such a report could show shelter prices increasing. 15% chance — CPI gains by 0.1%-0.15%: This outcome would be viewed favorably by investors as it could signal accelerating "goods disinflation." The S & P 500 would jump 1%-1.5%. 2.5% chance — CPI rises more than 0.3%: Such a hot inflation report would spark a 1.25%-2.5% sell-off in the S & P 500, JPMorgan traders think.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet and Meta as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating on shares of Alphabet and Meta. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said its checks show App Store revenue increasing for Apple. KeyBanc reiterates Nvidia as overweight KeyBanc said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Nvidia shares. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Tesla shares. " "We initiate coverage on JMIA with a Buy rating and a PT of $14."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Stifel, Jefferies, TD Cowen, it's, Piper Sandler, Piper, KeyBanc, Raymond James, Exscientia, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, Markel, it's bullish, Robinson, Tesla Organizations: Amazon, Netflix, YouTube, Mobile, Bank of America, " Bank of America, Apple, Nvidia, UBS, Group, Citizens, Investment, Ventures, Mizuho, First Bancorp, of America, JPMorgan, Technologies, Pan Locations: destocking, UW, F3Q, SensorTower, BRX, Puerto Rico, Pan -
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewInvestors are still overtaken by the frenzy for generative AI — but there are underappreciated areas of the market that could offer gains like "coiled springs," according to JPMorgan Asset Management. Related storiesBy the fourth quarter of 2024, JPMorgan expects earnings expansion for the other 493 S&P 500 stocks to match that of the Magnificent 7, a dynamic shown in the chart below. Earnings growth is expected to climb in the S&P 500, barring the Magnificent Seven stocks. These stocks are bound to see upside due to "unexpected resiliency" in the US economy and the rising need to transport materials.
Persons: , Microsoft — Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Business, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Semiconductors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's not the right time to go all in on value, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan chief strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the best strategy for investors in the economy.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan
TD Cowen raised its price target on Netflix, calling for 13% upside for the stock. JPMorgan analyst Rachel Vatnsdal was similarly bullish with her $42 price target, while Morgan Stanley analyst Tejas Savant set a price target of $44. The analyst also raised his price target to $42 from $37, indicating a potential 3% upside from the stock's Monday afternoon close. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:44 a.m.: TD Cowen lifts Netflix price target ahead of second-quarter earnings announcement TD Cowen expects more gains ahead for Netflix . NFLX YTD mountain NFLX year to date — Lisa Kailai Han 5:44 a.m.: KeyBanc hikes Nvidia price target The good times for Nvidia are not over yet, according to KeyBanc.
Persons: TD Cowen, KeyBanc, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America Michael Ryskin, Ryskin, Rachel Vatnsdal, Tejas Savant, Morgan Stanley's Savant, William Blair, Stifel, Lisa Kailai Han, Wells, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, — Lisa Kailai Han, Grayson, Daniel Lungo, Piper Sandler, Scott Siefers, BAC's NII, Siefers, JPMorgan Chase, Cowen, John Blackledge, Blackledge, John Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Nvidia, Wall, Tempus, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Precision Oncology, Needham, American Express, Devon Energy, of America, Citigroup, Blackwell, Wolfe Research, UBS Locations: Devon, Williston, Netflix's, Monday's, 2H24, GB200
Wall Street analysts are bullish on recently launched health-care technology stock Tempus AI . By combining a patient's molecular, clinical, and imaging data with its AI platform, Tempus delivers personalized therapy decisions," he wrote. Tempus AI debuted at the Nasdaq on June 14, closing at $40 after pricing its initial public offering at $37. Last month, investment management firm SoftBank announced it had invested about $200 million in Tempus AI before its Nasdaq listing. Since its debut, Tempus AI stock has slipped 10% from its IPO price.
Persons: Michael Ryskin, SoftBank, America's Ryskin, Ryskin, JPMorgan's Rachel Vatnsdal, William Blair, Morgan Stanley, Tejas Savant, TD Cowen, Dan Brennan Organizations: Bank of America, Tempus, Nasdaq, America's, Precision Oncology, Loop Capital Locations: Stifel, Needham
Oppenheimer raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 5,900, the second-highest target on Wall Street. The shift makes the firm the second-most bullish on Wall Street. "Just like before, it's a matter of the fundamentals, where they stand right now," John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer's chief investment strategist, told CNBC. A handful of tech stocks have been doing the heavy lifting for the benchmark index, giving investors pause about how sustainable the current rally is. Correction: July 9, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misstated the date from which Oppenheimer's target indicates 6% upside.
Persons: Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, , Stoltzfus, It's, Goldman Sachs, Marko Kolanovic — Organizations: Service, CNBC, Security, Federal Reserve, UBS, JPMorgan . Locations: Monday's
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewPoliticians who champion trade restrictions on China are in for a rude awakening, Kenneth Rogoff warns. According to the Harvard professor, barriers on free trade with the Asian powerhouse are a recipe for economic fallout. "Moreover, low-income US consumers have been among the biggest beneficiaries of low-cost Chinese imports." Just months ago, President Biden announced that tariffs would rise on $18 billion worth of Chinese advanced tech products, including solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicles.
Persons: , Kenneth Rogoff, Rogoff, Biden, Donald Trump, he's, Paul Krugman, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Service, Harvard, Project Syndicate, Business, Republican, Allies, China, Foundation Locations: China, Washington, Beijing
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: UBS reiterates Nvidia as buy UBS raised its price target on Nvidia to $150 per share from $120. Stifel upgrades Ecolab to buy from hold Stifel said it's bullish on shares of the food safety company. KBW upgrades Charles Schwab to outperform from market perform KBW said it's getting bullish on shares of Charles Schwab. Wells Fargo reiterates Meta as overweight Wells raised its price target on Meta to $625 per share from $593. Wells Fargo reiterates Roblox as overweight Wells raised its price target on the stock to $43 per share from $41 ahead of earnings on August 1.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, KBW, Guggenheim, ServiceNow, Wells, Riley, Emerson, Redburn, Wolfe, JPM, Raymond James, Gilead, Bumble, TD Cowen, Oppenheimer, Jefferies, Baird, Wedbush, RBLX Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, Meta, PNC, Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, Medicines, NSC, Apple, JPMorgan, Disney Locations: 2H24, Columbia, Norfolk, Asia
Tesla : Shares of the electric vehicle leader made a huge, 27% increase last week after the company delivered better-than-expected second-quarter production and deliveries. Cramer called the rally a short squeeze — meaning investors betting Tesla stock would go down were forced to cover as it ripped higher. Domino's Pizza : The pizza delivery chain was upgraded to an outperform rating from a neutral (buy from hold) at Baird. Baird sees the recent 7.4% pullback in Domino's stock over the last eight sessions as an opportunity. ServiceNow : Shares of the enterprise software company took an over 4% dive on Monday after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to sell from neutral.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Cramer, he's, Baird, Russell Weiner, Guggenheim, Bill McDermott's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Corning, Management, JPMorgan, Wolfe Research Locations: Corning, JPMorgan's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMonday's rapid fire: Corning, Tesla, JPMorgan, Domino's, ServiceNowCNBC's Jim Cramer Monday calls out 5 stock movers outside the Investing Club's portfolio
Persons: ServiceNow CNBC's Jim Cramer Organizations: JPMorgan, Domino's Locations: Tesla
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