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☆ Branch: The election will be a catalyst for the markets, no matter who wins
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBranch: The election will be a catalyst for the markets, no matter who winsGreg Branch of Branch Global Capital Advisors discusses the predictable elements for the markets surrounding the election and the Fed meeting this week, and why he's positive on a global shipping giant.

Persons: Greg Branch Organizations: Branch Global Capital Advisors

☆ The presidential election is prompting some Americans to 'doom spend,' report finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesRetail therapy is thinly coating voters' anxieties from the presidential election — and their wallets know it. Follow: Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris await Presidential election results More than half, or 60%, of Americans surveyed are concerned with the state of the world and economy, more than they were a year ago. Top worries among doom spenders include the cost of living (55%), inflation (43%), and the presidential election (28%), the report found. As of June, 50% of cardholders carry a balance every month on their credit cards, a recent Bankrate survey found. About six out of every 10 people who have credit card debt have had it for at least a year, Bankrate found.

Persons: Mario Tama, —, Gen Zers, Harris, Rossman, Bankrate, NerdWallet, Z, Alev Organizations: Getty, Intuit Credit Karma, Trump, Karma, Shoppers, Federal Reserve Bank of New, millennials, Fed Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Asia-Pacific markets set to trade mixed as investors eye Fed and RBA rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets are set to trade mixed on Tuesday as investors prepared for the U.S. presidential election and a possible interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve later this week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 20,658, slightly higher than the HSI's last close of 20,567.52. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.32% as traders keep an eye on the upcoming central bank rate decision. Analysts at HSBC and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the cash rate unchanged. South Korea's consumer inflation in October rose 1.3% from a year ago, slightly cooler than Reuters' expectations of 1.4%.

Persons: Australia's Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, HSBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka

☆ It would be surprising if Fed doesn't cut by 25 bps at next meeting: Former Fed vice chair
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt would be surprising if Fed doesn't cut by 25 bps at next meeting: Former Fed vice chairRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chair, and Richard Fisher, Dallas' former Fed president discuss the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision.

Persons: Roger Ferguson, Richard Fisher, Dallas Organizations: Fed

☆ Trump win is good for stocks, Harris win isn't good for risk assets, says Strategas' Jason Trennert
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump win is good for stocks, Harris win isn't good for risk assets, says Strategas' Jason TrennertJason Trennert, Strategas chairman, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the election, Fed and how it all will impact the markets.

Persons: Harris, Strategas, Jason Trennert Jason Trennert Organizations: Email Trump

☆ Former Fed president Fisher: Very worried about the deficit and interest burden under each candidate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed president Fisher: Very worried about the deficit and interest burden under each candidateRichard Fisher, former Dallas Federal Reserve president breaks down the mindset of inflation and the deficit.

Persons: Fisher, Richard Fisher Organizations: Former, Dallas Federal Reserve

☆ US stocks rally as investors brace for presidential election outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —US stocks rallied Tuesday as Wall Street awaited the results of a closely contested presidential race. “While it’s still anyone’s call on where the chips will fall on the election, putting it behind in either direction is a relief.”Historically, stocks have often risen on Election Day. This marks the sixth-straight Election Day gain for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. “With Election Day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Just two days after Election Day, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, the first since cutting rates by half a point.

Persons: Dow, ”, Louis Navellier, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Adam Turnquist, Gore, ” Turnquist Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, LPL, Federal Reserve Locations: New York

☆ Jefferies: Small-caps could take the lead heading into the year-end after the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJefferies: Small-caps could take the lead heading into the year-end after the electionSteven DeSanctis of Jefferies discusses the impact the election outcome and lower rates from the Fed could have on small and mid-cap stocks, which have largely lagged their larger peers.

Persons: Email, Steven DeSanctis, Jefferies Organizations: Email Jefferies

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: Trump, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, We'll Organizations: Investors, Trump, Federal, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Positive on the market regardless of what happens with the election: BNY Wealth's Alicia Levine
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPositive on the market regardless of what happens with the election: BNY Wealth's Alicia LevineAlicia Levine, BNY Wealth head of investment strategy and equities, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, impact of the 2024 election, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting this week, and more.

Persons: BNY, Alicia Levine Alicia Levine

☆ 5 tips for talking to those with divergent views
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Andrea Kane | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

He’s a professor of psychology and education at Columbia University, and he directs The Morton Deutsch International Center for Cooperation and Conflict Resolution, where he runs the Difficult Conversations Lab. Anyone who has experienced conflict firsthand (and that’s just about everybody) knows it is felt in both body and mind. “Compromise is a method of conflict resolution or dispute resolution. How can you be better positioned to tackle conflict, have productive conversations and avoid World War III in these divisive times? We hope these five tips help you survive the post-election season and upcoming family gatherings.

Persons: Gupta, Sanjay Gupta, —, “, Peter T, Coleman, ”, it’s, He’s, Morton, trickles, Douglas Fry, Homo sapiens, ” Coleman, “ You’ve Organizations: CNN, Columbia University, Morton Deutsch International, for Cooperation, US

☆ Here is the most important thing investors can do ahead of the presidential election outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

With Election Day upon us, many investors are wondering how to, or if they even should, position their stock portfolios ahead of knowing who the next president will be. Indecision will hurt the stock market, not destroy it, but bruise it because the only thing markets really hate is uncertainty." Jim also wrote Sunday that the stock market will more than likely be just fine no matter who wins the presidency. Bottom line A quick and decisive presidential election outcome — one way or the other — is what's best for the stock market. Combination with Former President and Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump (L), and Vice President and Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, That's, Joe Biden, Jim Cramer, Jim, we've, Barack Obama, Biden, George W, Bush, Richard Nixon, Jim Cramer's Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Trump, JPMorgan, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC

☆ Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.

Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, —, munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S

☆ Investors are better off keeping politics at the polls. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Still, investors don’t appear to be letting their jitters get to them — at least not entirely. “Valuations at the market level and individual stock level are always the key to long-term performance. You may have a lot of noise in the short term, but for long-term investors, it’s always going to be all about valuation,” he said. An election year analysis from Danny Noonan at Morningstar Wealth found that investors are significantly better off in the long run if they ignore politics. For investors, that suggests the best strategy may be to keep calm, trade on — and leave the politics at the polling place.

Persons: ”, Keith Lerner, Wall, Helene, Milton, Lerner, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Brent Schutte, Dave Sekera, it’s, Danny Noonan, Noonan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Morningstar, Morningstar Wealth, Democrat, Republican, they’d Locations: New York, United States

☆ Here's what we think is driving the stock market's impressive Election Day rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, it's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal Open Markets, Treasury, DuPont, Rogers Corporation, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Celanese

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Strategas' Jason Trennert
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Strategas' Jason TrennertJason Trennert, Strategas chairman, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the election, Fed and how it all will impact the markets.

Persons: Strategas, Jason Trennert Jason Trennert

☆ CNBC Daily Open: All eyes on U.S. elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. History forecasts a market rally after electionsHistorically, stocks have mostly risen after a presidential election, though there can be some short-term volatility. The three major U.S. benchmarks on average have almost always clocked gains between Election Day and year-end, going back to 1980, according to CNBC data. Markets slip ahead of Election DayStocks fell Monday as investors awaited the U.S. presidential election and Fed rate verdict later this week.

Persons: Wall, aren't, Stocks, Jeff Bezos Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Fitch, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Investors, Amazon, U.S, Conference Board Locations: U.S, Francisco

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. elections in spotlight as polls open
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

People vote at the San Francisco City Hall voting center on the final day of early voting ahead of Election Day, on November 4, 2024 in San Francisco, California. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. U.S. markets mostly gain after electionsHistorically, stocks have mostly risen after a presidential election, though there can be some short-term volatility. The three major U.S. benchmarks on average have almost always clocked gains between Election Day and year-end, going back to 1980, according to CNBC data.

Persons: Stocks, Tesla Organizations: San Francisco City Hall, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, China's CSI, Apple, Starbucks, Nike, Adidas, U.S, Conference Board Locations: San Francisco , California, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Poor China

The social media ads have flooded platforms including Facebook, Instagram and X. One advertisement — viewed more than 900,000 times on Facebook and Instagram since Oct. 28 — depicts Trump winning in the Polymarket odds, according to the Meta Ad Library. A separate sponsored campaign from the right-wing social media personality Shaneyy Richh included nine advertisements promoting Polymarket forecasts. Based on user bets, Polymarket says Trump’s odds of winning are roughly 65.5% and Harris’s odds of winning are 34.5% as of Oct. 31. The company has also used social media to promote election betting, spending over $140,000 on Meta ads, according to the company's ad library.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, isn’t, Shayne Coplan, Trump, Harris, Shaneyy Richh, pollsters, ”, Elon, Polymarket, “ Trump, ” Claudio Vallejo, They’re, “, ” Polymarket, Coplan, we’ve, I’ve, ” Trump, “ Polymarket, that’s, Musk, ” John Fortier, “ It’s, you’re, Fortier, “ I’m Organizations: ”, Facebook, Trump, Meta Ad, “, Polymarket, United, Commodity, U.S, NBC, American Enterprise Institute Locations: California , New York, Texas, United States, U.S, Michigan

☆ Federated Hermes: We like small- and mid-cap tech stocks on growth prospects in a less-crowded space
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederated Hermes: We like small- and mid-cap tech stocks on growth prospects in a less-crowded spaceCharlotte Daughtrey of Federated Hermes is positive on the SMID space as they are trading at a discount and should benefit from the Fed rate cut cycle. She says both US presidential candidates are pro-growth, which will benefit these companies.

Persons: Daughtrey, Hermes Organizations: Federated

☆ Election Day and the Fed’s rate decision approach – Where investors are finding fixed income opportunities now
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Uncertainty is the key theme for markets on the eve of Election Day, but fixed income investors say there are a few opportunities to snap up solid yield even as the market holds its breath. "We are constructive on fixed income as a whole, despite these uncertainties, and we're stressing to investors that yields are really quite attractive – and the income generation we can get from fixed income right now is quite powerful," Persson added. On the municipal bond side, offerings include the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , which has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.35%. Vanguard also has its Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (VTEB) , with a 30-day SEC yield of 3.4%. The iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.01% and a net expense ratio of 0.04%.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Andrew Szczurowski, Eaton, Anders Persson, Persson, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Baird Organizations: NBC News, Income, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Federal, Treasury, Muni Bond ETF, SEC, Vanguard, Bond, SPDR, MBS, Fidelity Intermediate Bond Fund, Bond Fund Locations: Washington, Nuveen

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu Ma
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu MaTrivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, and BMO Wealth's Yung-Yu Ma join ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss how election results and Fed policy may impact market growth into 2025, and more.

Persons: Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Invesco's Kristina Hooper, BMO Wealth's Yung, Yu Ma Trivariate Research's Adam Parker, Yu Ma, Bell Organizations: BMO

☆ As the election winds down, worries of 'bond vigilantes' and inflation hit markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Specifically, he warned about traders taking the 10-year Treasury yield , a bond market benchmark, above 5% — a level it hasn't seen since mid-2007. To be sure, there are myriad reasons why the bond market has been in a state of tumult since mid-September, political considerations of a second Trump term being just one of them. "The bond market could easily nullify the impacts of another rate cut. That's because the bond market believes the Fed is cutting rates by too much, too soon, and is therefore raising long-term inflation expectations. It could carry "higher tariffs and mass deportations, which triggers stagflation in the US including a second inflation spike," the bank said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Kamala Harris, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Trump, Harris, Kumar, it's, Karen Dynan, Trump's, Peterson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Fiserv, Republican National Convention, Treasury, Trump, Reserve, Bond, Yardeni Research, Sri, Kumar, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Republicans Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, United States

☆ Americans are probably getting another interest rate cut this week — just days after the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey

In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock

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