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☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for January 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 3.1% in January relative to a year earlier, the U.S. Labor Department said Tuesday. Where inflation was high in JanuaryCartons of orange juice on display in a grocery store in Los Angeles. Mario Tama | Getty ImagesDespite broad disinflation, there are specific categories where inflation remains relatively high. watch nowAdditionally, shelter inflation is up 6% in the last 12 months. Shelter is the largest component of the average household's budget, and stubbornly high inflation in the category has propped up overall inflation readings.

Persons: Spencer Platt, That's, Mark Zandi, it's, Zandi, J.P, Mario Tama, beefsteaks, Amy Smith, Smith Organizations: Getty, U.S . Labor Department, Moody's Analytics, Workers, Labor Department, Morgan's, Investment, Group, Consumer, University of Michigan, Finance Locations: Brooklyn, U.S, Los Angeles, Brazil, Florida

☆ European stocks head for higher open as sentiment remains cautious
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

After a strong end to January, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index has recorded a muted February so far, dipping 0.17% to date. European markets are heading for a higher open to kick off the new trading week, as investors continue to monitor corporate earnings and the interest rate outlook. Investors may pay particular attention to consumer stocks and what they suggest about the strength of certain economies, as central banks monitor the state of growth and inflation. Many major Asia-Pacific stock markets were closed on Monday for the Lunar New Year, while Chinese markets are shut for the week. The U.S. consumer price index will be released Tuesday.

Organizations: Heineken, Airbus, Renault, Natwest, Commerzbank, Sony Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S

☆ Stock futures are little changed on Sunday night after a record week for the S&P 500: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 6, 2024. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline on Sunday night following a record-setting week for the S&P 500 . On Friday, the S&P 500 rose 0.57% to close above the 5,000 level for the first time, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 1.25%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite added 1.4% and 2.3%, respectively. Some 61 names in the S&P 500 are set to report earnings in the week ahead, including gig economy stocks Lyft , Instacart and DoorDash .

Persons: Kraft, Jay Hatfield, Hatfield Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Kraft Heinz, Hasbro, Capital Advisors, Traders, CPI, PPI, CNBC Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Chinese stocks are trying to rebound. This is the trade to watch to know if the turnaround is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Mainland Chinese stocks are trying to rebound from five-year lows and it's starting to look like Beijing is willing to take some action. "My question is, would a recovery in [the] Chinese economy and the stock market be the end to that multi-year rally in Chinese bonds?" If Chinese bond yields started to climb, that would likely indicate investors were rotating out, Papic pointed out. Mainland Chinese stock markets are closed and don't re-open until Monday, Feb. 19. They expect if sentiment remains weak, foreign capital still has scope to sell out of mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stocks.

Persons: Clocktower, Marko Papic, Xi Jinping, Papic, Nomura, Yi Huiman, Wu Qing, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bloomberg, U.S ., Shanghai Stock Exchange, Eurasia Group, Hong, UBS, Naura Technology Locations: Beijing, Shanghai, China, U.S, Hong Kong, Eurasia, Shenzhen, Sungrow

NEW YORK (AP) — Tommy Hilfiger threw himself a welcome home party Friday night at Grand Central's Oyster Bar with Questlove as his DJ and Jon Batiste serenading Anna Wintour on his melodica while a bevy of global celebrities looked on. Turning the iconic restaurant into “The Tommy” club for a night, Hilfiger called his New York Fashion Week show “A New York Moment,” rolling out roomy, '90s prep classics for the bash. The last time he hit town for fashion week was in September 2022, when his crowd braved rain for his “Tommy Factory” show at a Brooklyn drive-in theater. As the crowd sipped cocktails in booths, Hilfiger stuck to what he knows on models walking through: rugby shirts, blazers, chinos and varsity jackets in corduroy and herringbone. “We’ve got a very big polo shirt business, chino pant business, Oxford shirt business.

Persons: — Tommy Hilfiger, Questlove, Jon Batiste serenading Anna Wintour, Tommy ”, Hilfiger, Tommy Factory, Nayeon, Junho Lee, Sonam Kapoor, Sofia Richie Grainge, Damson Idris, Sylvester Stallone, ”, “ We're, Stallone, Batiste, “, “ We’ve, chino pant, ” Hilfiger, PVH Organizations: New, Associated Press, Global Locations: Brooklyn, Madison, Germany, France, Italy, England, Turkey, Scandinavia, Greece, U.S, New York, chino, Oxford

☆ 5 things next week that could determine if Wall Street's winning streak continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Wall Street wrapped up another positive week, with the S & P 500 closing Friday above 5,000 for the first time ever. It was a pretty light week in terms of economic data releases, though we did get a favorable ISM Services number on Monday. Things will pick up next week with several closely watched macroeconomic updates, including two key government inflation reports. While no Club earnings are scheduled to report earnings in the week ahead, 61 companies in the S & P 500 will deliver their latest quarterly results. Consumer inflation: The main event of the week will come on Tuesday when the January consumer price index (CPI) is released.

Persons: Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, Price, Bausch, Trimble, Krispy Kreme, Topgolf, Kraft Heinz, Martin Marietta, Owens Corning, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Club, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Linde, Ford, Disney, Wynn Resorts, CPI, PPI, Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia, Bausch Health, Arista Networks, WM, Cadence Design Systems, ZoomInfo Technologies, Avis Budget, Brighthouse, Goodyear Tire &, Vornado Realty, Marriott International, Hasbro, Restaurant Brands, Molson Coors Beverage, Holdings, MGM Resorts, MGM, Akamai Technologies, American International Group, AIG, Topgolf Callaway Brands, CME Group, Sony, SONY, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Martin Marietta Materials, Ryder, Occidental Petroleum, Cisco Systems, Deere, Penn Entertainment, Southern Company, Coinbase, Trade, Materials, Rand, Texas, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Albemarle, ALB, Ingersoll, New York City

☆ S&P 500 could rise to 5,300 after hitting latest milestone, says UBS wealth head
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While the S & P 500 has more doubled since hitting its pandemic low in March 2020, UBS thinks stock values are "well supported" and that the benchmark could exceed its original forecast for 2024. UBS global wealth management chief Mark Haefele said things were lining up for the S & P 500 to make a run toward 5,300 this year, about 6% upside from current levels. Haefele's base case for 2024 was a gain to around 5,000, but the S & P 500 has already reached that point in a hurry, up 5% year-to-date. "In this event, we believe the S & P 500 has the potential to rise to around 5,300 this year." The benchmark is on pace for five-straight positive weeks as tech shares rally and companies report higher fourth-quarter earnings than expected.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Haefele Organizations: UBS, Labor Department Locations: Thursday's

☆ Gold flat as safe-haven demand offsets US dollar strength
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee puts gold bullions into a safe deposit box at Degussa shop in SingaporeGold prices were flat in light trading on Friday with Chinese markets closed for the Lunar New Year break, while a firm dollar offset safe-haven demand fueled by Middle East concerns. "Some stress in U.S. regional banks, Chinese new year demand and Middle East tensions put a floor on the metal," Hugo Pascal, a precious metals trader at InProved, said. Concerns lingered about the Middle East as Israeli forces bombed areas in the southern border city of Rafah after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a Hamas truce proposal. However, palladium has since taken a lead again, up 0.6% to $892.26 per ounce, while platinum rose to $890.09. Both metals are used in making a key component in internal combustion engines, but platinum is also used in jewelry and other industries.

Persons: Hugo Pascal, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: Shanghai Futures, Treasury, Federal, Traders, ANZ Research Locations: Singapore, InProved, Rafah, U.S

☆ A lower-cost way to play the S&P 500's run to 5,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high, achingly close to 5,000 for those enamored of nice round numbers. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year Is there an option trade we can use if we're not sure? If S & P earnings grow closer to their historical average, then $240ish (let's stick to round numbers) might be a more accurate estimate. $240 a shares multiplied by 20 = $4,800 in the S & P. So in that context 5,000 is a little rich, but not much. The VIX Index , a measure of 30 day volatility in the S & P 500, is below 13, cheaper than usual.

Persons: we're, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Krugmans, aren't Organizations: Investors, Nvidia Locations: China, U.S

☆ New sports streaming bundle could be a 'monster' — or a dud. Here are the biggest remaining questions
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Alex Sherman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The service will launch this fall and cater to sports fans who don't subscribe to the traditional cable bundle. One person associated with the launch of the new venture told CNBC the platform will be "a monster" and massively disrupt cable TV. Cable TV has been relegated to an add-on that helps keep people subscribing to high-speed internet. The cable bundle has largely survived because it still contains exclusive live news and sports. Previously, the only way for cord cutters to get ESPN outside the cable bundle would have been that coming service.

Persons: LeBron James, Jevone Moore, it's, Lachlan Murdoch, NBC's Peacock, Bob Iger, Rich Greenfield, Max, David Zaslav's, There's, David Zaslav, Lightshed's Rich Greenfield Organizations: Los Angeles Lakers, NBA, Los Angeles Clippers, Crypto.com Arena, Warner Bros . Discovery, Fox, Disney's ESPN, Comcast, DirecTV, CNBC, YouTube, Charter, Cable, Verizon, Mobile, Satellite, Google, Hulu, Live, Disney, Warner Bros, NBC, CBS, National Football League, Paramount, ESPN, Fox News, CNN, MSNBC, Wall Street, Financial Times, TNT, TBS, HGTV, Discovery, Paramount Global Locations: Los Angeles

☆ Jim Cramer breaks down the two types of consumers and what they signal about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer breaks down the two types of consumers and what they signal about the economy'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks the tale of two consumers as the economy remains paradoxical, showing a split in the U.S. consumer.

Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: U.S

☆ Stock market in a 'very dangerous' position as jobs and wages run hot, fund manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader reacts as a screen displays the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 31, 2024. The U.S. stock market is in a "very dangerous" spot as persistently strong jobs numbers and wage growth suggest the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have not had the desired effect, according to Cole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management. The figures came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would likely not cut rates in March, as some market participants had anticipated. "We know the Fed has raised rates, we know that caused a banking run last spring and we know that's damaged the bond market. The Fed has not affected wage growth, which continues to outpunch inflation as we speak, and I look at the wage growth as a really good picture of inflationary pressures going forward."

Persons: Cole Smead, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Smead, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Smead Capital Management, CPI, Wage Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ The market is seeing red. But here's why a few of our portfolio stocks are standing out
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable update of the trading day, just in time for the last hour on Wall Street. "Microsoft is the one to buy first on weakness due to the quality of last week's quarter and outlook," Jim Cramer said Monday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell's, Estee Lauder, Jim, Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Linde, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Sector, Technology, Semiconductor, Novo Nordisk, Air Products, Chemicals, Products, Linde, ., Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Simon Property Group, NXP Semiconductors, Club, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Carrier Global, Jacobs Solutions, Ford, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: We're, Novo, China, New York City, U.S

☆ When people are trading down from McDonald's you know times are tough, says Jim Cramer
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhen people are trading down from McDonald's you know times are tough, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks the tale of two consumers as the economy remains paradoxical, showing a split in the U.S. consumer.

Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: McDonald's, U.S

☆ January jobs report: Expect to see strong but slower hiring and an uptick in the unemployment rate
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —The first jobs report for 2024, set to be released at 8:30 am ET Friday, is expected to underscore the strength of the US economy despite 11 rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. That can make the January jobs report among the trickiest to forecast, said Sarah House, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. Friday’s jobs report also will include the final annual benchmark review of payroll data for the 12 months that ended in March 2023. However, excluding January 2023, last month’s job cuts were the highest seen in January since 2009, according to Challenger. US worker productivity grew 3.2% in the fourth quarter, according to a BLS report released Thursday.

Persons: Jerome Powell, he’s, Sarah House, Wells, “ We’re, ”, there’s, Boussour, EY, ” Boussour, Daniel Zhao, Zhao, haven’t, ” Andrew Challenger, people’s paychecks, ” Diane Swonk, “, —, Swonk Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Labor, Workers, Challenger, ”, BLS, KPMG, CNN Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, United States

☆ Wall Street heads into the week ahead worrying the rally to record highs is running out of steam
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China

☆ IMF expects new housing demand in China to drop by around 50% in the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Demand for new housing in China is set to drop by around 50% over the next decade, making it harder for Beijing to quickly bolster the country's overall growth. China's real estate sector and related industries have accounted for about a quarter of the country's gross domestic product. Zhang said China's housing demand would remain large, and policy support would gradually kick in. "Therefore, a significant decline in housing demand is very unlikely to happen," he said. The IMF report compared housing demand and new starts from the 2012 to 2021 period with estimates for 2024 to 2033.

Persons: Zhengxin Zhang, Zhang, Evergrande, Sonali Jain, Chandra, Nir Klein Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, International Monetary Fund's, IMF, U.S ., People's Bank of China Locations: Huai'an, China, BEIJING, Beijing, Evergrande, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific

☆ U.S. auto safety agency upgrades probe into Tesla power steering loss
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. safety regulators have upgraded their probe into Tesla vehicles over power steering loss to an engineering analysis - a required step before the agency could demand a potential recall. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) on Friday said the investigation covers about 334,000 Model 3 and Model Y vehicles from the 2023 model year. Some drivers reported harrowing tales of sudden power steering outages at speeds that nearly caused accidents. Some Tesla owners reported an inability to turn the steering wheel while others reported an increase in required effort. The latest recall includes vehicles across Tesla's various models, including the Model S, Model X, 2017-2023 Model 3, Model Y and 2024 Cybertruck vehicles, the NHTSA said.

Persons: Tesla, couldn't, NHTSA's, Sophie Shulman, Tesla's Cybertruck Organizations: Tesla, Traffic Safety Administration, Reuters, NHTSA, Consumer Locations: Encinitas , California, U.S, United States

Amazon on Thursday reported better-than-expected revenue and profits for the fourth quarter, driven by strong consumer spending during the holiday shopping season. The Seattle-based e-commerce company said it earned $170 billion in revenue and $10.6 billion in profits during the last three months of 2023, beating expectations from analysts surveyed by FactSet. In a statement, Amazon CEO Andy Jassy called it a “record-breaking” holiday shopping season for Amazon. The company said its online retail business earned $70.5 billion in revenue during the quarter, a 9% jump compared to $64.53 billion during the same period in 2022. Roughly an hour before it released its earnings on Thursday, Amazon announced a new generative AI-powered shopping assistant called Rufus.

Persons: Andy Jassy, Rufus, – Organizations: FactSet, Amazon, San Locations: Seattle, San Francisco

☆ Companies are hopeful about the economy again — even if they’re nervous
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Earnings season is in full swing, and that means investors get a chance to hear from multinational companies about the state of the global economy. Some of the United States’ biggest companies are in the hot seat to answer questions about the economy, and where it could be headed. Like the rest of the US, companies are watching whether the economy could still tip into a recession as interest rates hover around a 23-year high. Achieving a soft landing, or a situation in which inflation comes down without an economic downturn, looks likely, some companies said. According to the UK government’s own estimates, the checks — including physical inspections from April — will cost British businesses about £330 million ($419 million) annually and increase food inflation by about 0.2 percentage points over three years.

Persons: it’s, ”, Michael Hsu, Kimberly, Clark, Blackstone, Stephen Schwarzman, Christophe Le Caillec, Jim Vondruska, We’re, Robert Isom, Lorenzo Simonelli, Baker Hughes, Alan Schnitzer, Elisabeth Buchwald, “, Christopher Waller, Waller, Hanna Ziady, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United States ’, American, O'Hare Airport, Travelers Companies, ”, European Union Locations: New York, Chicago , Illinois, United Kingdom, Britain

NEW YORK (AP) — American Express rolled out several updates to its Delta SkyMiles credit cards Thursday that will give additional benefits to users, part of efforts to soothe sore Delta Air Lines customers who have considered abandoning the airline after last year’s SkyMiles loyalty fiasco. AmEx customers get access to Delta's airport lounges and are able to transfer their Membership Rewards points to Delta, among other benefits. To give a sense of scale, Delta CEO Ed Bastion told investors in June that roughly 1% of the entire U.S. economy is spend on Delta's credit cards. So, when Delta made alterations to its SkyMiles loyalty program last year, it was largely seen by Delta customers as a watering down of its program, and it caused turbulence between the two companies. Part of those changes required Delta customers to spend large sums of money on airfare or on the Delta credit card to be given elite status on the airline.

Persons: AmEx, Delta, it's, Ed Bastion, Bastion, “, Howard Grosfield Organizations: Delta, Air Lines, New, Delta Air Lines, American Express, U.S . Consumer Services Locations: New York, Delta, Hawaii , Alaska, Mexico, Caribbean, Central America, Atlanta, AmEx

☆ Fed Chair Powell says the job market is still strong. Here’s how the numbers break down
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

That can make the January jobs report among the trickiest to forecast, said Sarah House, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. Friday’s jobs report also will include the final annual benchmark review of payroll data for the 12 months that ended in March 2023. Fresh data on job cuts and productivityOn Thursday, the layoff picture became clearer. However, excluding January 2023, last month’s job cuts were the highest seen in January since 2009, according to Challenger. US worker productivity grew 3.2% in the fourth quarter, according to a BLS report released Thursday.

Persons: Jerome Powell, he’s, Sarah House, Wells, “ We’re, ”, there’s, Boussour, EY, ” Boussour, Daniel Zhao, Zhao, haven’t, ” Andrew Challenger, people’s paychecks, ” Diane Swonk, “, —, Swonk Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Workers, Challenger, ”, BLS, KPMG, CNN Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, United States

☆ Fed meeting walkup: Chair Powell expected to announce rates will hold steady
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Washington, DC CNN —The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady Wednesday for the fourth consecutive meeting, leaving them at a 23-year high as policymakers likely discuss the timing of rate cuts. That’s because, if inflation drifts lower but interest rates remain elevated, it causes “real” interest rates to rise, unnecessarily squeezing the economy and risking job losses. A rapidly weakening economy threatening mass job losses is an obvious reason to cut rates, which most economists aren’t currently forecasting. But another concern that has gained some traction is the rise of inflation-adjusted interest rates, which is an argument for rate cuts. The Fed is set to announce its latest policy decision at 2 pm ET on Wednesday, followed by a press conference from Chair Powell at 2:30 pm ET.

Persons: Jerome Powell’s, —, ” Sarah House, “, ”, Christopher Waller, it’s, Mary Daly, they’re, aren’t, Austan Goolsbee, Subadra Rajappa, Générale, Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, ” San Francisco Fed, Fox Business, Chicago Fed, CNBC, PCE, Labor Department Locations: Washington, Wells, ” San

Late last year, Wall Street investors had bet that a rate cut in March was a near-certainty. Collectively, the policymakers likely feel little urgency to start cutting rates, a point that Chair Jerome Powell may stress in a news conference Wednesday. The unemployment rate, at 3.7%, isn't far above a half-century low. Yet some cracks have begun to appear in the job market and, if they worsen, could spur the Fed to cut rates more quickly. Though the European Central Bank could cut rates as soon as April, many economists think that might not happen until June.

Persons: Joe, Biden, Jerome Powell, they’re, ”, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Republicans, Congress, Wall Street, Consumers, General Motors, United Auto Workers, Conference Board, European Central Bank Locations: U.S, United States

☆ 'No big drama' is coming for the US economy, but complacency is a rising risk, 'Big Short' traders say
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

'Big Short' traders told CNBC that investors are too complacent, although the economy is healthy. But traders should still keep their eyes on pockets of risk, such as commercial real estate, the others said. As to today's economy, Eisman considers it relatively healthy, essentially dismissing Wall Street's concerns that a consumer spending drawdown guarantees a coming slowdown. AdvertisementSome on Wall Street are nervous this could trigger a massive real estate default wave, with billions at risk. Still, markets shouldn't be too complacent, as the commercial real estate industry has seen "fits and starts" crop up, Moses said.

Persons: Steve Eisman, —, Neuberger, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, Porter Collins, Wall, Collins, Moses, Eisman Organizations: CNBC, Service, Consumers, Seawolf, Moses Ventures, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg

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