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☆ JPMorgan says the carry trade that pummeled markets is only half done
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The unwinding of the carry trade that's battered stocks in recent days isn't done, JPMorgan says. It says that trade is probably only half over, as Japan looks poised to continue raising rates. AdvertisementThe "carry trade" unwind that helped spark the bloodbath in US stocks over the past few days likely isn't close to over, a JPMorgan strategist says. Market commentators say that's been partly stoked by a surprise 15-basis-point interest-rate hike in Japan, which triggered some investors to unwind a trade that's become popular in recent years. In this trade, investors borrow cheap yen and deploy the cash into higher-yielding assets elsewhere, like US stocks.

Persons: —, Arindam Sandilya, that's, Sandilya Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, FX, Bloomberg, Bank of Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan

☆ The S&P 500 falling 5% has historically been a good buy-the-dip opportunity, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs said the decline in the S&P 500 is historically a good buying opportunity for investors. AdvertisementThe S&P 500's 6% decline over the past three days represents a great buying opportunity for investors, according to a note from Goldman Sachs strategist David Kostin. However, despite the decline, the S&P 500 is still up nearly 10% year-to-date and the sell-off sparked a reset in valuations, with the index's forward price-to-earnings multiple falling to 20x. Advertisement"Historical experience shows that investors typically profit when buying the S&P 500 index following a 5% sell-off," Kostin said. The crux of whether a 10% correction in the S&P 500 represents a solid buying opportunity for investors is whether the economy is on the verge of a recession.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Warren Buffett, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Apple, Service

☆ Markets are rebounding after Monday's massive meltdown, making rate decisions harder for the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewMarkets are rebounding after Monday's meltdown, injecting challenges into central banks' interest-rate decisions. The market volatility is due to a mix of factors including poor earnings results from several tech giants and a weak July payroll report. AdvertisementSome analysts are speculating that the BOJ rate cut was because it was under political pressure to shore up the floundering yen, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Related storiesGoing forward, the BOJ could have a harder time with the timing of its rate hike decisions. Talks of an emergency rate cutThe market selloff has also made the Fed's rate hike timing harder.

Persons: —, Kospi, Taiwan's Taiex, Kyle Rodda, It's, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's, Capital.com's Rodda Organizations: Service, Business, Bank of Japan, US Federal Reserve, —, Bloomberg, Nikkei, Japan's, of Finance, Financial Services Agency Locations: Japan, Asia

☆ The yen carry trade unwind could continue: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe yen carry trade unwind could continue: StrategistKathy Lien, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management, says many of the factors supporting the economy are "now at risk."

Persons: Kathy Lien Organizations: BK Asset Management

☆ Chief money managers are using the stock-market carnage to funnel into key sectors. Here's what they're buying.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Thursday brought more negative news from the jobs market: unemployment insurance claims for the week ending July 27 were up by 14,000 from the previous week to 249,000. Stepping back from last week's weak data, chief investment officers and top strategists say the market is overreacting, and they're using this as a buying opportunity. Related storiesSimilarly, the manufacturing data is not as foreshadowing as it seems on the surface. "But the ISM manufacturing data can be a leading indicator of S&P earnings, particularly the new order number." "If you look at non-US stocks and you look at their valuations, they're trading at about 13 times earnings," Calcagni said.

Persons: Dow, we've, Philip Straehl, Morningstar, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Alicia Levine, Levine, it's, what's, Morningstar's Straehl, Simeon Hyman, Hyman, Donald Calcagni's, Calcagni Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply, Business, BNY, Big Tech, Mercer Advisors Locations: Americas

☆ Stock market today: US indexes try to claw back deep losses after 3-day meltdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

With little data on the horizon, investors will look to Thursday's jobless claims for more clue about the economy. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks rallied on Tuesday as shaken investors looked to claw back some of the losses incurred in a historic three-day rout. Jobless claims on Thursday will be the next clue about the health of the labor market. If weekly claims come in well past the 245,000 estimated by economists, it could spark another decline for stocks.

Persons: —, they're, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Dow, Service, Nasdaq, Bank of America

☆ Wall Street's 'fear gauge' shows how the stock market has calmed down, at least for now
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

.VIX 5D mountain The VIX is well off its highs from Monday as the stock market tries to claw back its losses. The VIX, often called Wall Street's "fear gauge," reflects expected volatility over the next 30 days based on the price of S & P 500 options. "Excluding the current shock, there have been 39 VIX spikes to above 35 in our empirical analysis since 1999. Market shock of this magnitude happens on average more than once per year, but is unlikely to sustain. The lingering question now is whether the concerns that pushed the market into a cascade of selling are alleviated," Krosby said.

Persons: —, Howard Du, yesterday's selloff, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Bank of America, LPL

☆ The popular 'carry trade' is unwinding — and economists fear Fed rate cuts could make matters worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Rapid interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could make matters worse for the global "carry trade" unwind, according to economists at TS Lombard. The warning comes as market participants seek to aggressively roll back on carry trades following a dramatic global sell-off in risk assets. Carry trades refer to operations wherein an investor borrows in a currency with low interest rates, such as the Japanese yen, and reinvests the proceeds in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. The readings led investors to worry that the Federal Reserve may be behind the curve in cutting interest rates to fend off a recession. But this would exacerbate any carry trade unwind," economists at TS Lombard said in a research note published Monday.

Persons: paring Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Stock, Federal Locations: Europe

☆ The yen carry trade unwind: A big complication for global markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In its simplest form, the yen carry trade has investors borrowing cheap yen to invest in higher yielding assets, often currencies. For example, because there is not a central source to track currency trades, we have no idea how big the yen carry trade is. The yen is rising, and that is making the yen carry trade less profitable. If the yen goes from 155 to 145, which is where it traded Monday, it will take $68,965 to repay that 10 million yen (10 million yen divided by 145 = $68,965). One positive sign: the ETF to watch is the Invesco Japanese Yen ETF (FXY), which tracks the price of the Japanese yen, had volume six times normal yesterday.

Persons: That's, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Nikkei, Street Journal, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Yen ETF Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ Correction in the yen was overdue, former European Central Bank chief Trichet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCorrection in the yen was overdue, former European Central Bank chief Trichet saysJean-Claude Trichet, former president of the European Central Bank and former governor of the Bank of France, discusses Monday's sharp market movements and the next steps for the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Persons: Trichet, Jean, Claude Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, Bank of France, U.S . Federal Reserve

The upscale shopping district of Ginza in Tokyo, Japan, on Saturday, May 4, 2024. Japan stocks rebounded sharply on Tuesday after the Nikkei 225 and the Topix dropped over 12% in the previous session. Other Asia-Pacific markets also opened higher. Japan's Nikkei 225 — which saw its largest loss in the previous session since the 1987 Black Monday crash — and the broad-based Topix gained over 10%. The rebound comes after South Korean markets were halted temporarily on Monday after circuit breakers activated.

Persons: Topix, Korea's Kospi, Australia's, Brent Organizations: Nikkei, U.S ., Softbank Group Corp, South, South Korean, Samsung Electronics, chipmaker SK Hynix, . West Texas Locations: Ginza, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Dow sheds 1,000 points, Japan stocks rebound
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Abid Ali | Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Dow plummeted over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3% and 3.4%, respectively. Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel urged the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate following Friday's disappointing jobs data. Siegel believes the current fed funds rate "should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," citing the higher-than-expected unemployment rate and declining inflation as reasons for the cuts. "How much have we moved the fed funds rate?

Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Amit Mehta, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, CNBC's, Korea's Kospi, Richard Kaye Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Tesla, Berkshire, Google, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, Nikkei, Honda, Renesas Electronics, CSI Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ Why a full-fledged bear market is still unlikely even after the latest sharp sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bank of America says the recent stock market sell-off is unlikely to be the start of a new bear market. AdvertisementThe stock market's recent sharp sell-off is unlikely to transform into a full-fledged bear market, according to Bank of America. But according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, the tell-tale signs of a stock market peak have yet to materialize. AdvertisementFor perspective, Subramanian pointed to stock market history to highlight that pullbacks in the market are common. Instead of preparing for a prolonged market sell-off, Subramanian recommends investors go bargain hunting and focus on buying high quality stocks.

Persons: BofA, —, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Credit, Service, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Conference, Senior

☆ Everything you wanted to know about the market meltdown but were too afraid to ask
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

In today's big story, we're giving a full breakdown of what has been a wild few days for the market . Tech: Big Tech is going through a bit of a mid-life crisis . Big Tech is going through a bit of a . There are a few factors at play here:Big Tech, the backbone of the market, had weaker-than-expected earnings last week. The decision could seriously hurt Google's revenue and may signal more antitrust enforcement to come for other Big Tech companies .

Persons: —, Airbnb, Rebecca Zisser, We're, what's, Warren Buffett's, Berkshire Hathaway, I'm, Claudia Sahm, M, Getty, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Jensen Huang, Citadel's Ken Griffin, Griffin, it's, Natalie Ammari, That's, Elon, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Tech, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Apple, Oracle, Fed, Nvidia, Bank of America, Google Locations: Japan, Berkshire, Omaha, Asia, bitcoin, Florida, New York, London

The day's rout was sparked by a massive sell-off in Japanese stocks. The Nikkei fell 12.4%, its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash rattled investors around the world. Spencer Platt / Getty ImagesThe Japanese drawdown, in turn, was partly in response to the worse-than-expected jobs report published Friday that showed U.S. unemployment rising to 4.3% and just 114,000 jobs added in July. As soon as that report was published, stocks started erasing some of their earlier losses, while bond purchases, which had surged as investors sought safe-haven assets, faded. It’s a much easier decision to say I want to take my chips and go home here.”

Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, Apple, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, ”, Michael Farr, Farr Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Nikkei, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Institute for Supply Management, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Intel, Microsoft, Buffett, Miller & Washington Locations: New York City, U.S, Berkshire

☆ U.S. recession fears spark selloff in international markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Hodari | David Hodari Is A London-Based Editor. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON — U.S. stocks are on course to open in the red Monday, with Japanese stocks suffering their worst day of trading since the 1980s and a global equities sell-off intensifying over fears of a U.S. economic slowdown. The Nikkei’s 12.4% fall marked the worst day for the Japanese index since 1987’s “Black Monday” — the sudden and unexpected stock market crash that raised fears of a depression. Noriko Hayashi / Bloomberg via Getty ImagesIn recent weeks, rising concerns around a potential U.S. recession have spooked investors. A rise in the value of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar — making Japanese assets more expensive for holders of other currencies — has also likely played a role in the selling. Even so, some investors put their money into U.S. Treasury bonds — so-called ‘haven’ assets that act as stores of wealth in volatile moments.

Persons: Noriko Hayashi, Japan’s, Shunichi Suzuki, “, ” Suzuki, ” Organizations: LONDON, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor, U.S ., Treasury Locations: U.S, Europe

☆ Japan stocks plunge as much as 7%, hovering near bear market territory, as Asia shares extend sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Japan’s markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Monday’s decline follows Friday’s rout when Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Nasdaq was the first of the three major benchmarks to enter correction territory, down more than 10% from its record high.

Persons: Topix, “, Australia’s, Kospi Organizations: Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, CSI, Nasdaq, Dow, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, U.S

☆ Nikkei 225: Japan stocks rebound sharply after worst rout in history as other Asia markets also rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Laura He | Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Hong Kong CNN —Japanese shares soared in early trading on Tuesday, clawing back most of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a regional rally. The Nikkei 225 last traded about 10% higher, while South Korea’s Kospi rebounded by about 3%. They all suffered major losses during the previous trading session. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. Losses like that led the Nikkei to close 12.4% lower on Monday in its largest one-day fall since October 1987.

Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, Advisory, CNN, Kikkoman, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan Locations: Hong Kong, South, Taiwan, Japan, Tokyo

☆ S&P 500 futures bounce after index posts worst day in nearly two years: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

S&P 500 futures bounced in overnight trading after the broad index notched its worst day in nearly two years as global markets sold off. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.9%, while Nasdaq 100 futures rallied 1.2%. The 30-stock Dow dropped 1,033.99 points, or 2.6%, while the S&P 500 slid 3%. These fears spilled over into global markets, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index registering its worst daily decline since Black Monday in 1987. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are down 5%, 6% and 8% respectively in three days, their worst 3-day performance in more than two years.

Persons: Dow, Quincy Krosby, LPL, Tesla, It's, Keith Lerner, Truist's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Apple, VanEck Semiconductor, Traders, Palantir Technologies, Lucid Group Locations: New York City

☆ AI won't kill your computer science degree, professors say
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewGetting a computer science degree used to be a stable path for any college student looking to secure a tech job right after graduation. And if that wasn't enough, computer science majors don't just have to compete amongst themselves, they need to watch out for AI too. Computer science professors that BI spoke to said that earning a degree in the field is just as, if not more, valuable in the age of AI. Related storiesThis, Kan said, is because computer science isn't so much about coding as it is an approach to solving problems. AdvertisementDavid Malan, a computer science professor at Harvard, told BI that AI won't displace software engineers in the near term and would instead amplify their productivity.

Persons: —, Aditya Swami, Hatcher, Kan Min Yen, Kan, David Malan, Malan, Adrian Goh Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Business, National University of Singapore, Harvard, Engineers, Software Locations: Asia

Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese shares soared Tuesday, clawing back some of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a tentative recovery on global markets. Markets around the world plunged during Monday’s session when a combination of fears about a slowing US economy, rising Japanese interest rates and crumbling tech stocks combined to trigger a meltdown. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. “It is too early to conclude that the Japanese stock market has hit a bottom,” they said, adding that any recovery would likely only occur after Japanese companies report first-half earnings in October, or even after the US presidential election in November. A stronger yenJapan’s stock market, in particular, was hard-hit by the rapid appreciation of the yen, which undermines the export competitiveness of the country’s manufacturers.

Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman, ”, “, Stephen Innes, ” Newman, Newman, Fumio Kishida Organizations: London CNN, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Advisory, CNN, UBS Chief Investment, Moody’s, Bank of Japan, Management, Tokyo “, Traders, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, London, Asia, South, Taiwan, Europe, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea

☆ Why Wells Fargo is the most attractive bank stock as the sell-off continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Jim, We're, Wells, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Big Tech, Apple Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets fall with Japan stocks in bear territory; Berkshire's cash hoard at record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Jobs shock hits stocksU.S. stocks plummeted on Friday after a weaker-than-expected jobs report added to fears of a recession. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.43% and is now in correction territory, having declined more than 10% from its recent high. Asian stocks plungeAsian stocks continued to sell-off on Monday, with the Japanese market confirming a bear market. The stocks had to pass several criteria, including receiving five or more earnings upgrades in the past three months.

Persons: Topix, Taiwan's Taiex, Warren Buffett Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Nikkei, CSI, Berkshire Hathaway's, Apple . Berkshire, Exxon, Chevron, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, China, Apple ., Berkshire, Guyana, U.S, San Ramon , California, Houston , Texas

☆ Global markets are off to a terrible start this week, and Japan is partly to blame
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewGlobal markets are off to a terrible start to the week. Stock markets are crashing across Asia after Japan's interest-rate hike last week contributed to a selloff that got worse and worse. AdvertisementInvestors are also on edge before the US markets open later in the global day. Global carry trade unwindingThe Bank of Japan raised its interest rate from between 0% and 0.1% to 0.25% on Wednesday — the highest level in 15 years. Japan kept interest rates ultra-low for decades following the implosion of an asset bubble in the 1990s that contributed to persistent deflation.

Persons: —, Kospi, India's Sensex, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Service, Stock, Business, IG Australia, Bloomberg, CSI, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, ING Locations: Asia, Japan

☆ Global stock markets are sliding as Japan suffers biggest fall since 1987
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Huileng Tan | Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewJapan's main stock market index suffered its biggest fall since 1987, closing 12.4% lower on Monday, while markets in Asia and Europe also fell sharply. US stock markets sunk at the end of last week as investors digested a streak of negative economic data and disappointing earnings from Big Tech companies. The Chinese stock markets were already under pressure this year due to the country's economic troubles. Japan kept interest rates ultra-low for decades following the implosion of an asset bubble in the 1990s that contributed to persistent deflation. AdvertisementThe BoJ's rate hike has also fanned further risk-off sentiment in global stock markets.

Persons: —, Tony Sycamore, Taiwan's Taiex, Paris, it's, Sycamore, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Service, Nikkei, Business, Big Tech, Nasdaq, IG Australia, Bloomberg TV, Kospi, CSI, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Bank of Japan, ING Locations: Asia, Europe, Frankfurt, London, Japan

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