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Analysts see the same lack of confidence in today's Chinese households and companies that Japan grappled with in the 1990s. But in China's case there is a key difference; there is no deflationary threat yet, nor have banks switched off lending. Fan Gang, a prominent economist and former adviser to the central bank, told a forum in June that China faces a liquidity trap but not a Japan-style deflationary morass. China's policymakers have cut rates and encouraged banks to lend more in efforts to revive economic growth after the pandemic. China's 220 million retail stock investors, equivalent to Brazil's population and the biggest drivers of daily moves, have kept to the sidelines this year.

Persons: Florence Lo, Asia Pacific Alicia Garcia Herrero, Byron Gill, Gill, Betty Wang, Wu, John, Winni Zhou, Rae Wee, Vidya Ranganathan, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Companies, Asia Pacific, Pacific Opportunities Fund, U.S, Bank, ANZ, Eastroc Beverage, China Merchants Bank, Bank of Ningbo's, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Japan, China, Bank, Shanghai, Singapore

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationLONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The dollar touched a four-week peak against major peers on Thursday after upbeat labour market data a day earlier, while sterling remained lower after the Bank of England downshifted to a smaller 25 basis point hike. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, rose as high as 102.84, its highest level in four weeks. Earlier, the currency fell to a four-week low of 143.89 per dollar. The New Zealand dollar similarly earlier slid to its lowest since end-June at $0.6063, having tumbled more than 1% on Wednesday. "The U.S. dollar actually strengthened against most other currencies (and) there were risk-aversion trades across all the asset classes."

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Lefteris Farmakis, nonfarm, Fitch, Sterling meanwhile, BOE, John Leiper, Tina Teng, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam, Nick Macfie, Andrew Heavens, Giles Elgood Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of England, U.S . Treasury, Treasury, Barclays, Titan Asset Management, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, CMC Markets, U.S, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Beijing

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationLONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The dollar scaled a four-week peak against major peers on Thursday after upbeat labour market data a day earlier, while sterling edged lower ahead of an expected rate hike from the Bank of England. "Rate differentials continue to move in favour of the dollar as U.S. rates have been firmer than European rates," Christensen added. Against a stronger dollar, sterling fell 0.1% to $1.27. "An outside bet of a 50-basis-point hike would be a surprise and would lead to a stronger pound," Christensen added. "The U.S. dollar actually strengthened against most other currencies (and) there were risk-aversion trades across all the asset classes."

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Niels Christensen, Christensen, nonfarm, Fitch, BOE, Nordea's Christensen, Tina Teng, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam, Nick Macfie Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of England, U.S . Treasury, Treasury, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, CMC Markets, U.S, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Beijing

☆ Billionaire investor Ackman says he is shorting 30-year Treasuries
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Svea Herbst-Bayliss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"We are short in size the 30-year T," Ackman wrote on messaging platform X, formerly known as Twitter. "We implement these hedges by purchasing options rather than shorting bonds outright," Ackman wrote. Ackman said higher defense costs, energy transition and the greater bargaining power of workers all point toward higher inflation. "The best hedges are the ones you would invest in anyway even if you didn't need the hedge," Ackman wrote. A spokesman for Ackman didn't respond to a Reuters request for additional comment.

Persons: Bill Ackman, Mike Blake, William Ackman, Ackman, Treasurys, Fitch, Svea Herbst, Bayliss, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Pershing, Capital, Wall Street Journal Digital, REUTERS, Capital Management, U.S, Twitter, Federal, White, Svea, Thomson Locations: Laguna Beach , California, U.S

☆ Dollar stands tall as US economic resilience trumps fiscal uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Data out on Wednesday showing U.S. private payrolls rose more than expected in July boosted the greenback, as the figures pointed to continued labour market resilience which is likely to keep U.S. rates higher for longer. That sent the dollar index to its highest since July 7 in the previous session. "The U.S. dollar actually strengthened against most other currencies (and) there were risk-aversion trades across all the asset classes." The yen edged marginally higher to 143.31 per dollar, though languished near an over three-week low of 143.545 hit earlier in the week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, shrugging, Treasuries, Vishnu Varathan, nonfarm, Fitch, Tina Teng, Karen Fishman, Goldman Sachs, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Treasury, U.S ., Mizuho Bank, White, New, CMC Markets, U.S, Bank, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, U.S, Wall, New Zealand

[1/3] A policeman stands next to a scene where, according to media reports, nine people have been stabbed and four others hurt by a car driven by the suspected attacker in Seongnam, South Korea, August 3, 2023. Yonhap via REUTERSSEOUL, Aug 4 (Reuters) - A man in a South Korean commuter town rammed his car into passers-by on Thursday then got out and stabbed some, wounding 14 people in the incident near the capital Seoul, police said. The unexplained attack in Seongnam came days after another rare stabbing attack in South Korea which killed one person and wounded three others. Media reports described him as a man in his 20s with a delivery job and suffering from some mental health issues. Police and firefighting officials said by telephone on Friday that 14 people had been hurt in the incident - nine stabbed and five hit by the car.

Persons: Yoon Hee, Hyonhee Shin, Choi, Andrwe Cawthorne, Ed Davies Organizations: Yonhap, REUTERS, Police, Media, Reuters, South, Thomson Locations: Seongnam, South Korea, REUTERS SEOUL, Korean, Seoul, Seohyeon

☆ Dollar shaky after US credit rating downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. "We don't think the Fitch decision is that material. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen was roughly 0.1% stronger at 143.21 per dollar, paring some of its gains from earlier in the morning. "I think the market is still trying to get their head around what this whole thing means," said NAB's Catril. The New Zealand dollar fell 0.23% to $0.6136, after data on Wednesday showed the country's jobless rate hit a two-year high in the second quarter.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Sterling, we've, Rodrigo Catril, NAB's Catril, Matt Simpson, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, White, U.S, Fitch, National Australia Bank, NAB, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank of Australia, Index, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, States

☆ BOJ debated inflation overshoot risk in June, offering insight into July tweak
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A man walks at the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan, January 18, 2023. While some said they expected inflation to slow back below 2% as cost-push factors dissipate, one member said the risk of inflation staying elevated above the level "remained high." Several board members said service prices were rising in a sign domestic factors were playing an increasing role in pushing up Japan's inflation, the minutes showed. "We cannot rule out the chance we are underestimating the sustainability of inflation in Japan," one of the nine board members was quoted as saying in the minutes. The outlook for medium- and long-term inflation expectations was crucial to how the BOJ operates YCC, another member said.

Persons: Issei Kato, BOJ's, Shinichi Uchida, Leika Kihara, Tom Hogue Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO

☆ Stocks slip, yen surges on speculation of Bank of Japan policy tweak
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The BOJ sets policy later in the session. The Nikkei newspaper reported, without citing sources, that policymakers will discuss tweaking the yield control policy to allow 10-year government bond yields above a 0.5% cap in some circumstances. "I think the idea is even a tiny tweak is a big deal for the BOJ. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) opened 1.4% lower though bank shares (.IBNKS.T) surged to an eight-year high on the prospect of rising interest income at lenders. Further strong U.S. data, with better-than-expected second-quarter growth figures out overnight drove up longer-end Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar.

Persons: Imre Speizer, We'll, Kristina Clifton, Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Jerome Powell, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, ECB, SYDNEY, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Westpac, Japan's Nikkei, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., Nasdaq, Intel, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific, Japan

Reuters analysis shows a massive jump in the assets of emerging market (EM) mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs) that exclude China as U.S. and European investors turn more wary of being exposed to the Asian giant. Other investors are simply moving to markets with better growth prospects, such as Brazil. The scale of change needed in global supply chains could drive such capital flows for the next decade, he said. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex-China ETF , the world's largest emerging market ex-China ETF whose biggest holdings are firms in Taiwan, South Korea and India, attracted a record $1 billion net inflow in the first half of 2023, the data showed. "China is the one major country that investors are most concerned about in EM," said John Lau, portfolio manager for Asia Pacific and emerging market equities at SEI.

Persons: Aly, Malcolm Dorson, John Lau, Goldman Sachs, Jeffrey Jaensubhakij, ”, Benjamin Low, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Biden, Wong Kok Hoi, Summer Zhen, Vidya Ranganathan Organizations: REUTERS, Global, China ETF, China, Asia Pacific, SEI, Stock Connect, Morningstar, China Opportunity Equity Fund, Fund, Boston, Cambridge Associates, CSI, Nikkei, Investors, Reuters Graphics, APS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, U.S, Mexico, India, Vietnam, Brazil, New York, Taiwan, South Korea, Asia, Singapore, Indonesia, Japan, Hong Kong, Canada, “ U.S

☆ LG Energy Solution Q2 profit jumps 136% on strong demand for EV batteries
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

SEOUL, July 27 (Reuters) - South Korea's LG Energy Solution Ltd (373220.KS) on Thursday posted a 136% jump in quarterly profit, helped by rising demand for electric vehicle (EV) batteries. The company, which supplies General Motors Co (GM.N), Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), and others, reported an operating profit of 461 billion won ($362.68 million) for the April-June period, versus 196 billion won a year earlier. That compared with the company's estimate of 612 billion won announced earlier this month and an average analyst forecast of 641 billion won compiled by Refinitiv SmartEstimate. LGES said it had reflected one-off cost of 151 billion won for General Motors' Bolt electric vehicle recall. Revenue for the quarter rose 73% to 8.8 trillion won, LG Energy said in a regulatory filing.

Persons: Refinitiv SmartEstimate, LGES, 1,271.1000, Heekyong Yang, Jihoon Lee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Korea's LG Energy Solution, General Motors Co, Tesla Inc, General Motors, Revenue, LG Energy, Thomson Locations: SEOUL

The company, which supplies General Motors Co (GM.N), Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) and others, warned it faces weaker EV demand in Europe and China than previously expected. The U.S. is the only market where demand forecasts have not been cut, the company said. LGES reported an operating profit of 461 billion won ($363 million) for the April-June period, up from 196 billion won a year earlier, but that was far below the company's estimate of 612 billion won and an average analyst forecast of 641 billion won compiled by Refinitiv SmartEstimate. "LGES' comment on sluggish EV demand in Europe, where it has major customers like Volkswagen and Renault, seems to be affecting the company's share price," said Kang Dong-jin, an analyst at Hyundai Motor Securities. Revenue for the quarter rose 73% to 8.8 trillion won, LG Energy said in a regulatory filing.

Persons: bln, Lee Chang, LGES, Refinitiv SmartEstimate, Jang Seungkwon, Kang Dong, 1,271.1000, Heekyong Yang, Jihoon Lee, Hyunsu Yim, Shri Navaratnam, Sonali Paul Organizations: GM Bolt, Korea's LG Energy Solution, General Motors, General Motors Co, Tesla Inc, sil, Volkswagen, Renault, Hyundai Motor Securities, Revenue, LG Energy, Thomson Locations: SEOUL, Europe, China, U.S

Other investors are simply moving to markets with better growth prospects, such as Brazil. The scale of change needed in global supply chains could drive such capital flows for the next decade, he said. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex-China ETF , the world's largest emerging market ex-China ETF whose biggest holdings are firms in Taiwan, South Korea and India, attracted a record $1 billion net inflow in the first half of 2023, the data showed. "China is the one major country that investors are most concerned about in EM," said John Lau, portfolio manager for Asia Pacific and emerging market equities at SEI. “U.S., Canadian, and some European investors are exiting China due to political pressure.

☆ Slowing Australia Q2 inflation lessens rate hike pressure
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

In the first quarter, inflation was at 1.4%. That was balanced by a sharp fall in goods inflation, which slowed to an annual rate of 5.8% from 7.6% the quarter before. Adelaide Timbrell, senior economist at ANZ, said both headline and trimmed mean inflation are tracking below the RBA's forecast for the second quarter. "(The data) highlight that a 4.1% cash rate may be restrictive enough to bring inflation down. The RBA has warned that some further tightening may be required to bring inflation to heel.

Persons: Robert Carnell, Carnell, Adelaide Timbrell, Stella Qiu, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Australian Bureau, Statistics, Wednesday, ING, ANZ, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, Asia, Pacific

The yuan firmed by more than 0.5% in both the onshore and offshore markets as investors cheered comments at the closely watched Politburo meeting, though many were still seeking specific details on greater stimulus measures. The yuan traded offshore was last at 7.1444 per dollar and in the onshore market it was at 7.1454 per dollar. Also propping up the yuan were China's major state-owned banks selling U.S. dollars to buy yuan in both onshore and offshore spot markets on Tuesday, sources told Reuters. The positive sentiment from China lifted the Australian dollar, often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, which rose 0.4% to $0.6767. In Europe, the pound rose 0.22% to $1.2854, its first day of gains after seven straight sessions of losses, its longest such streak since March 2020.

Persons: Tommy Xie, Guillermo Felices, Ueda, Aninda Mitra, Rae Wee, Alun John, Shri Navaratnam, Lincoln, Christina Fincher Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, LONDON, China, Europe, Asia, Singapore, London

☆ China state banks seen selling US dollars to prop up yuan -sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

China's state banks usually trade on behalf of the central bank in the country's foreign exchange market, but they could also trade on their own behalf. Policymakers also said China will keep the yuan exchange rate basically stable at reasonable and balanced levels, and vowed to invigorate the capital market and restore investor confidence. This is in line with the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) further tightening of FX policy recently." The onshore yuan strengthened more than 0.6% to a high of 7.1411 per dollar and was fetching 7.1541 as of 0314 GMT. Its offshore counterpart followed the strengthening trend and surged to a week high of 7.1475 before being last traded at 7.1542.

Persons: Christopher Cushing Organizations: HSBC, People's Bank of China's, greenback, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, BEIJING, China, Shanghai, Beijing

Summary China to step up policy adjustments amid tortuous recoveryPOLL-US crude, product inventories seen down last weekComing up: API data on U.S. crude stocks at 4:30 p.m. ETJuly 25 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher for the third straight session on Tuesday, as signs of tighter supplies and pledges by Chinese authorities to shore up the world's second-biggest economy lifted sentiment. Still, bearish data in the euro zone and U.S. underlined weakness across the global economy. Later on Tuesday, industry data on U.S. crude inventories is expected. Four analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 2 million barrels in the week to July 21.

Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Stephanie Kelly, Shri Navaratnam, Stephen Coates Organizations: U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy, OANDA, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, Thomson Locations: China, Russia, OPEC, U.S

☆ Asia shares rally after China pledges economic support steps
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 1.2% higher and on course to snap a six-day losing streak. China's property market remains a cause for concern among investors, with stocks and bonds in China's real estate industry sliding to around eight-month lows on Monday amid fears of a cash crunch at two of the country's biggest developers. China will adjust and optimise property policies in a timely manner, in response to "significant changes" in the supply and demand relationship in the property market, state news agency Xinhua said late on Monday. "We believe policymakers may remain cautious about financial risks, though they may provide further policy support to help stabilize the sector." The slowdown may be viewed positively at the Fed, which is keen to see activity cool to lower inflation.

Persons: HSI, Erin Xin, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, Hong, Saxo Markets, Xinhua, Greater China, HSBC, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Shanghai, China, Greater, United States

☆ Euro staggers as traders wary of hawkish ECB; dollar gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SINGAPORE, July 25 (Reuters) - The euro hit a two-week low on Tuesday as a worsening downturn in euro zone business muddied the bloc's rate outlook against a still-hawkish European Central Bank (ECB), while the dollar rose ahead of this week's trio of major central bank meetings. The offshore yuan strengthened in early Asia trade, following comments from China's top leaders on Monday pledging to step up policy support for its flailing economy. Elsewhere, sterling fell 0.11% to $1.2811, while the U.S. dollar index steadied at 101.39. "We continue to expect a combination of monetary, fiscal, property and consumption support measures to be rolled out in the next few months." The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, gained 0.18% to $0.67515, while the kiwi rose 0.06% to $0.6209.

Persons: Rodrigo Catril, Guillermo Felices, Goldman Sachs, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Central Bank, ECB, National Australia Bank, NAB, U.S, PMI, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Australian, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Germany

The remarks came amid simmering market speculation that creeping inflation and robust wage growth will prod the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to tweak its yield control policy at a two-day rate review ending on Friday. Under the joint agreement with the government signed in 2013 and re-confirmed by the current administration, the BOJ pledges to achieve 2% inflation at the earliest date possible. The remarks differ in tone from those made earlier on Monday by top currency diplomat Masato Kanda, who said recent inflation and wage rises were overshooting expectations. On Friday, Kanda told Reuters that "various expectations and speculations are spreading about the possibility of some kind of tweak to monetary policy." Sources have told Reuters the BOJ is leaning toward keeping its yield control policy steady this week, though there is no consensus within the bank.

Persons: BOJ, Kanda, Yoshihiko Isozaki, Isozaki, Isozaki's, Masato Kanda, It's, Kazuo Ueda, Leika Kihara, Kantaro Komiya, Kim Coghill, Lincoln Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: TOKYO

☆ Asia shares brace for trio of rate meetings, China steps
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

China's Politburo meeting this week could see more stimulus announced, though investors have so far been underwhelmed by Beijing's actions. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were little changed ahead of a wave of earnings this week. The U.S. dollar eased a touch to 141.37 yen , having jumped 1.3% on Friday following the report on the BOJ. The rise in the dollar pulled gold back to $1,961 an ounce and away from last week's peak of $1,987. Oil prices ran into profit-taking early on Monday having climbed for four straight weeks amid tightening supplies.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Powell, John Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Nikkei, Fed, ECB, SYDNEY, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, NatWest Markets, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Japan's Nikkei, HK, Nasdaq, Intel, Microsoft, GE, Boeing, Exxon Mobil, Coca Cola, Ford, Google, U.S, Thomson Locations: Europe, United States, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Coca, Spain

ORLANDO, Florida, July 23 (Reuters) - Hedge funds have ramped up their bearish dollar bets by more than $7 billion in a week, and are now sitting on their biggest net short dollar position in over two years. Foreign exchange speculators' long sterling position are now the biggest on record, although decent interest in shorting the pound means the overall net long position remains at a 16-year high, not an all-time peak. It is the most substantial bet on the dollar falling since March 2021, and marks the 37th week in a row funds have been net short. The value of funds' short dollar position is big, but not extreme. Earlier this month, their net short position was the largest in five and a half years.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, Futures, ECB, Thomson, Reuters Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Foreign, That's

July 24 (Reuters) - Worldcoin, a cryptocurrency project founded by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, launched on Monday. Blockchains can store the World IDs in a way that preserves privacy and can't be controlled or shut down by any single entity, co-founder Alex Blania told Reuters. The project says World IDs will be necessary in the age of generative AI chatbots like ChatGPT, which produce remarkably humanlike language. Altman told Reuters Worldcoin also can help address how the economy will be reshaped by generative AI. Since only real people can have World IDs, it could be used to reduce fraud when deploying UBI.

Persons: Sam Altman, Alex Blania, Altman, Reuters Worldcoin, ”, UBI, Anna Tong, Juby Babu, Elizabeth Howcroft, Kenneth Li, Navaratnam, Philippa Fletcher Organizations: Humanity, Reuters, Thomson Locations: San Francisco, Berlin

☆ TSMC shares fall 3.3% after it cuts revenue outlook, delays production
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's shares closed down 3.28% on Friday, versus a 0.78% loss for the broader index (.TWII). While the company's declining revenue and profit were disappointing, its long-term growth prospects remain encouraging," Brady Wang, associate director at Counterpoint Research, said. "Despite facing macroeconomic headwinds, TSMC's long-term outlook remains robust, supported by megatrends like 5G and high-performance computing (HPC)." Other analysts were also upbeat on TSMC, thanks in part to strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI), which currently contributes around 6% of revenue. "We expect a solid 2024 onward outlook on the back of its leading position in AI chip manufacturing," Citi Research analysts said in a note.

Persons: TSMC, Brady Wang, Goldman Sachs, Yimou Lee, Sarah Wu, Anne Marie Roantree, Navaratnam, Kim Coghill Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Counterpoint Research, Citi Research, Thomson Locations: TAIPEI, Arizona, 4Q23

Yet, with services price growth also slowing last month, policymakers will feel that wage pressures have yet to build up enough to warrant an imminent tweak to the ultra-loose monetary stance. We'll likely see inflation slow in coming months, which would allow the BOJ to keep policy steady for the time being," said Toru Suehiro, chief economist at Daiwa Securities. "While services prices may rise next year, those for goods will stay weak. "If more firms hike wages and pass on the cost, services prices could overshoot," said Yoshiki Shinke, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute. "Inflation excluding food and energy will likely moderate ahead, but the pace of slowdown could be gradual."

Persons: We'll, Toru Suehiro, Kazuo Ueda, Yoshiki Shinke, Leika Kihara, Takahiko Wada, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, Daiwa Securities, Reuters Graphics Services, Dai, Research, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan

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