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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo's Jay Bryson talks what January's core PCE data could mean for interest ratesJay Bryson, Wells Fargo chief economist, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss January's core PCE data, the timeline of the Fed's future rate decisions, and more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Jay Bryson, Jay Bryson, Wells, Steve Liesman Locations: Wells Fargo
New York CNN —Rising prices continued to loom large in January, but new data released Thursday showed that inflation is still on a downward — albeit bumpy — path toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index was up 2.4% for the 12 months that ended in January, a slowdown from December’s 2.6% increase, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday. The closely watched core PCE index that excludes energy and food edged down to 2.8%. While the latest read on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge showed progress toward the central bank’s target, Thursday’s data also highlighted the choppiness of this yearslong battle to rein in spiking prices: Prices rose in January from December at their fastest clip in months. On a monthly basis, the PCE price index rose 0.3% and core jumped 0.4%.
Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Commerce Department Locations: New York
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Jim, Chris Danely, Cramer, Eaton, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Semiconductor, Citi, Broadcom, Nvidia, Devices, Micron, Dell Technologies, Autodesk, Novo Nordisk, Abbott Laboratories, Novo, Viking, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Gold prices steady as traders await key U.S. inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices remained steady on Thursday, and have held ground so far this month, despite bleak hopes for swift and deeper rate cuts in the United States as traders await a key U.S. inflation reading due later in the day. Gold prices remained steady on Thursday, and have held ground so far this month, despite bleak hopes for swift and deeper rate cuts in the United States as traders await a key U.S. inflation reading due later in the day. Spot gold was steady at $2,035.78 per ounce, as of 0419 GMT. Gold is holding firm on a month-on-month basis despite traders trimming bets to three quarter-point rate cuts in the U.S. for 2024, from bets of five cuts a month ago. Hopes of the first cut arriving in May have receded this month, and a cut is now expected in June.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, there's Organizations: Capital.com, U.S, Fed Locations: United States, U.S
Stock futures fell as Wall Street weighed the latest earnings results and looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 80 points, or 0.2%. The S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures edged down 0.2% and 0.25%, respectively. The 30-stock Dow lost 0.06% and fell for a third consecutive session, while the S&P 500 inched down 0.17%. The S&P 500 has jumped 4.6%, while the Dow has added 2.1%.
Persons: Salesforce, Okta, Joe Mazzola, Charles Schwab's, Dow, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Hewlett Packard Enterprises, Bath, Body, New York Federal Reserve Bank Locations: Snowflake, Chicago
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Ernie Herman, Macy's, TJX, Nordstrom, Cramer, UnitedHealth, Linde, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Consumer, Communication Services, Health Care, Tech, TJX Companies, Target, Palo Alto Networks, Disney, ESPN, Apple, Paramount, Anheuser, Busch, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Maxx, Palo Alto, India
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Eli Lilly shares fell 1% on Wednesday following a similar drop in the prior session. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Salesforce, Jim, Let's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, TJX Companies, Management, Therapeutics Locations: GLP
Mortgage rates have been very sensitive to incoming economic data, so we could see rates move up or down on Thursday depending on what this latest inflation report shows. Because we'll likely need to wait at least a few more months for the Fed to start cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended back up as well. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Hold Steady (-0.03%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.00%, just three points lower than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Hold Steady (+0.03%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.01%, only three basis points higher than last week.
Persons: they'll, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury yield was down by over one basis point to 4.3013%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than one basis point lower to 4.6933%. U.S. Treasury yields dipped on Wednesday as investors looked to key economic data ahead that could provide hints about the outlook for interest rates. Investors considered what could be ahead for monetary policy, especially interest rates, as they awaited key economic data. The personal consumption expenditures price index is due Thursday and investors are hoping it will signal that inflation is easing.
Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Investors, PCE, Federal Reserve
Couple this with the multiple signals for exhaustion that are typical near market tops, it warrants taking action. Troubling technical signs We've seen the SPDR S & P 500 Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) both exhibit higher highs in price while momentum and their advance-decline lines print lower highs. And lastly, these same signals are showing up across the major sectors, and individual stocks that have led this rally such as Nvidia. Overall, these are signs of exhaustion for this rally and raises the probability of a pullback. With the Wall Street's fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index ( VIX) , trading just above 13, purchasing downside protection on a portfolio using SPY options is relatively inexpensive.
Persons: Zhang Organizations: Nvidia
With markets on edge over the direction of inflation, a report Thursday that often flies under the economic radar is likely to take on more importance. The Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices could add to evidence that inflation is stickier than some economists and policymakers had thought. Two-year inflation breakevens, or the difference between Treasury yields and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, have surged in recent days. "But I think the labor market is a lot more fragile than people think. A report Wednesday confirmed that economic growth was solid to close out 2023, with fourth-quarter GDP accelerating at a 3.2% annualized pace adjusted for seasonal factors and inflation.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Zandi, shouldn't, we're, it's, , Susan Collins, Collins, Dow Jones, Dow, Michelle Cluver, Cluver, I've Organizations: Moody's, Boston, Securities, Treasury, Fed, Labor, CPI, Dow Jones, optimist Locations: U.S
Mortgage rates have dropped a bit from last week's highs, but they haven't come down enough yet to substantially improve affordability for borrowers. Average 30-year mortgage rates dropped to 6.34% in January, according to Zillow data, a low not seen since last spring. If the core PCE price index comes in hotter than expected, mortgage rates could trend back up a bit. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates inched down to 6.29% last week, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Federal, Core PCE, Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron
Just last week the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high and notched its best showing in a year. But this nearly unprecedented surge in the markets is sparking some concern over what’s driving the rally and whether it can continue. The S&P 500 and Dow last week each reached record levels after blockbuster earnings from the chipmaker set off a broad market rally. The S&P 500 is up more than 6% for the year, but when you equally weigh all of the stocks in the index, it’s up just 2.5%. Last year, the S&P 500 rose by 24.2%, but the equally-weighted index was up by just 11.6%.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Tesla, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, CNBC’s Leslie Picker, That’s, , What’s, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Eva Rothenberg, Buffett, Gary Pilnick’s, WK Kellogg, Pilnick, Bran, ” Pilnick, hasn’t, Carl Quintanilla Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Nvidia, Dow, Nasdaq, Health, Tech, Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Traders, PCE, Berkshire, CNBC Locations: New York, Berkshire, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, United States
Dollar firms ahead of busy data week with U.S. inflation in focus
  + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The kiwi had risen 1.2% last week, helped by broad dollar weakness and the risk of a rate hike from the RBNZ on Wednesday. "If anything, the (data) may be stronger than markets currently expect, and that will likely give a modest boost to the dollar," said CBA's Kong. "But at the same time, any gains in the dollar will likely be pretty modest.
Persons: Carol Kong, Sterling, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, of Japan's, U.S, Rabobank, U.S . Commodity Futures, Fed Locations: Japan, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, China, Asia, U.S
Gold off two-week highs as U.S. dollar ticks higher
  + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices inched lower on Monday pressured by a gaining U.S. dollar, but bullion's losses were cushioned as growing tensions in the Middle East supported the safe-haven near last session's over two-week highs. Gold prices inched lower on Monday pressured by a gaining U.S. dollar, but bullion's losses were cushioned as growing tensions in the Middle East supported the safe-haven near last session's over two-week highs. "Gold has exhibited some mild easing to kick-off the new week mostly due to the dollar ticking higher. Last week, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he was in "no rush" to cut rates, firming investor bets against U.S. interest rate cuts before June. Markets are currently pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in June, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Waterer, Christopher Waller, Silver Organizations: U.S, East, KCM, CME Locations: U.S
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Broadcom shares jumped nearly back to last week's all-time high after the company agreed to sell its remote computer access unit to KKR for $4 billion. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Nikesh Arora's, We're bullish, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, TJX, Palo, Networks, Management, The, Broadcom, KKR, VMware, We're Locations: New York City, billings
S&P 500 futures are near flat Monday night as the market rally took a breather. Futures tied to the broad index and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded near flat. Those moves follow a losing day on Wall Street that pulled the Dow and S&P 500 off record highs seen last week. The Dow and S&P 500 slipped 0.16% and 0.38%, respectively, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite inched lower by 0.13%. "You're digesting so much of what happened last week with big earnings, and then you have big data on the horizon."
Persons: Ross Mayfield, Baird, They'll, Mayfield Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Unity Software, Dow, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Virgin Galactic, PCE Locations: New York City, U.S, PCE
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, July 20, 2023. U.S. equity futures were little changed on Sunday as investors looked forward to the latest reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation reading as well as a slew of big earnings reports. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down by 0.04%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures ticked lower by 0.04% and 0.05%, respectively. "Nvidia has been the gift that keeps on giving with blockbuster earnings reports driving semis, tech, and the broader market higher this past week. "A hotter than expected PCE report this week could be a data point that could dampen the market enthusiasm."
Persons: Dow, they're, Stephanie Lang, Homrich Berg Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, CNBC, Norwegian Cruise, AMC Entertainment, Anheuser, Busch Locations: New York City, Norwegian
Wall Street returned to its winning ways this week — and Nvidia 's blowout earnings report Wednesday night was a big reason why. Twenty-six of our 32 portfolio stocks have delivered their results this earnings season (we didn't own Abbott Labs at the time of its report). It was a muted week for macroeconomic data, but we did get a slightly better-than-expected January existing home sales report on Thursday. In the week ahead, two more Club names are set to report earnings before a market-moving economic update arrives Thursday morning. The two other reports of note are the January new home sales report on Monday and ISM Manufacturing report on Friday.
Persons: Dow, we'll, bode, We're, Li Auto, Krystal, Arcutis, MARA, Iovance, Goldman Sachs BDC, CRON, BUD, Papa, LEV, Ginkgo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Palo Alto Networks, Bausch Health, Coterra Energy, Abbott, Companies, TJX, Marshalls, TJX Companies, Berkshire Hathaway, Krystal Biotech, Alpha Metallurgical Resources , Inc, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Animal Health, ELAN, Public Service Enterprise Group, Surgery Partners, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc, Outdoor Holdings, Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd, Kosmos Energy, Playtika, Video Communications, TiRobot Corp, IRB, SBAC Communications Corporation, HEICO Corporation, FS KKR, Archer Aviation Inc, TransMedics, Sterling Construction Company, AES, Cruise Line Holdings, Lowe's Companies, American Electric Power Company, Bank of Nova, APLS Pharmaceuticals, Bank of Montreal, BMO, Devon Energy, Solar Inc, Technologies, Lab, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Splunk Inc, eBay, EBAY, Luminar Technologies, Agilent Technologies, G Foods, Masimo Corp, Baidu, Parts Inc, Icahn Enterprises, Viatris Inc, ACM Research, Golden Ocean Group, EMCOR, Industries, NRG Energy, Dycom, Editas, UWM Holdings Corporation, Vistra Energy, Marathon Digital Holdings, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Paramount Global, IonQ Inc, International, HP, Monster Beverage Corporation, Cronos, Birkenstock Holding, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Body, Brink's Company, Flags Inc, Papa John's, ACI, Hormel, Lion Electric Company, BlackRock TCP, Dole plc, DOLE, Fisker Inc, Dell Technologies, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Autodesk, Green Brick Partners, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Veeva Systems, INTTEST Corporation, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: New York City, U.S, Salesforce, Maxx, Bank of Nova Scotia, BlackRock, Cayman
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Ford, Jim, Train's Nelson Peltz, Stanley Black, Decker, Lauder, We'll, Tom Jorden, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Warner Bros, Discovery, Disney, Costco, Club, Coterra Energy, TJX Companies, Animal Health, Paramount Global, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Snowflake
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementExperts maintain that any hikes this year are unlikely, but say it's notable how they have creeped back into the policy conversation once again. "You can't say zero probability for something to break in the event of another rate hike," Jason Draho, head of asset allocation in the Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, told Business Insider. "That last mile [of inflation] will be harder to obtain," Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise Financial's chief market strategist, told Business Insider. "The Fed's erring on the side of hawkishness," Hunter told Business Insider.
Persons: , Larry Summers, Summers, Jason Draho, you'd, Goldman Sachs, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, Paul Mielczarski, Mielczarski, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, Andrew Hunter, Hunter Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, PPI, Fed, Former, Bloomberg, Traders, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics Locations: Americas, OER, Brandywine, hawkishness
Yet Jerome Powell and his central bank colleagues have rebuffed those forecasts, and markets have pushed their rate cut predictions further into 2024. And the producer price index for January came in at 0.3% on Friday, higher than the expected 0.1% increase. Jimmy Chang, the chief investment officer for Rockefeller Global Family Office, told Business Insider that it would be difficult for the Fed to cut rates in the current landscape. AdvertisementThe Fed's next moveThe case for keeping rates unchanged has gained momentum over recent weeks, but both markets and the Fed ultimately expect easing interest rates in 2024. Bank of America forecasts that the first cut likely won't happen until June, and policymakers could opt to cut rates "later and faster."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Nonfarm payrolls, Mary Daly, agilely, Joe Seydl, Seydl, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jay Woods, We're, Woods, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan Private Bank, Rockefeller Global Family Office, Fed, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Freedom Capital Markets, Bank of America
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Morgan Stanley, it's, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Investors, Federal, Analysts, Wells, Currency Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPPI is important because components feed into PCE, says Aditya BhaveAditya Bhave, Senior U.S. Economist at Bank of America, discusses key inflation data this week.
Persons: Aditya Bhave Aditya Bhave Organizations: PPI, Senior U.S, Economist, Bank of America
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