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The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S
Bank Indonesia's logo is seen at its headquarters in Jakarta, Indonesia, January 17, 2019. Bank Indonesia (BI) plans to issue new rupiah-denominated securities, using its holdings of government bonds as the underlying asset, as a new monetary instrument aimed at attracting foreign portfolio capital flows, Governor Perry Warjiyo said. BI kept the benchmark 7-day reverse repurchase rate (IDCBRR=ECI) at 5.75% for its seventh straight monthly policy review, as widely expected by economists surveyed by Reuters. Guarding the rupiah "is our way to protect the domestic economy, inflation and growth from global spillovers," Warjiyo told reporters. Inflation slowed in July to 3.08%, roughly the midpoint of the central bank's 2% to 4% target range.
Persons: Willy Kurniawan, Perry Warjiyo, Warjiyo, Radhika Rao, Shivaan Tandon, Bank Danamon, Fransiska Nangoy, Bernadette Christina Munthe, Stefanno Sulaiman, Ananda Teresia, Gayatri Suroyo, Martin Petty, Kim Coghill, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Bank Indonesia, BI, Reuters, Securities, U.S, Treasury, DBS Bank, Capital Economics, Bank, Thomson Locations: Jakarta, Indonesia, JAKARTA, Asia's, China
REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsZURICH, Aug 24 (Reuters) - GAM (GAMH.S) has entered into discussions with French billionaire Xavier Niel's NewGAMe shareholder group after a takeover offer from Britain's Liontrust failed to gain the required level of support. "The GAM Board acknowledges that the majority of our shareholders have not found the Liontrust Offer compelling. GAM shares fell 5.08% shortly after market open, whereas Liontrust recorded a 10.37% gain. Liontrust had made its offer conditional on winning the backing of two-thirds of GAM's shareholders in a prospectus it published in June. The investor group, led by Niel's NewGAMe and asset manager Bruellan, have vehemently opposed the all-share offer, saying in July that it "grossly undervalues GAM".
Persons: Arnd, Xavier Niel's, Britain's Liontrust, Liontrust, GAM's, David Jacob, Niel's NewGAMe, Bruellan, Brenna Hughes, Friederike Heine, Jason Neely, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, GAM, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, British, Liontrust
SHENZHEN, CHINA - MARCH 09: View of high commercial and residential buildings on March 9, 2016 in Shenzhen, China. "As a result, Chinese economic weakness and falling prices (especially Chinese producer prices) are likely to spill over into global markets — near-term good news for the Western central banks' fight against elevated inflation." "China's disappointing rebound is now feeding negatively into global sentiment and growth. Beyond the trade-related spillovers, a common global disinflationary pressure comes from commodity prices, where as a huge importer of commodities, Chinese domestic demand remains a key factor. "Weak Chinese domestic investment and broad-based excess capacity in manufacturing, as well as weak sales of new homes and land, are likely to continue to depress global commodity demand," Wilding and Liao said.
Persons: Zhong Zhi, Tiffany Wilding, Wilding, Carol Liao, Montgomery Koning, Liao, TS Lombard's Montgomery Koning Organizations: Getty, National Bureau, Statistics, Evergrande, TS Lombard, Lombard, U.S, Census, TS Lombard's Locations: SHENZHEN, CHINA, Shenzhen, China, U.S, Beijing, West, Germany
Aug 25 (Reuters) - Belgium saw 4 billion euros of demand from savers for a new bond it launched on Thursday, its debt agency said, a strong start for the sale aimed at pressuring banks to raise their deposit rates. European lenders awash with cash have been resisting raising savings rates despite a surge in market interest rates as central banks fight inflation, prompting withdrawals by households looking for better returns elsewhere. "We want to boost competition and encourage banks to raise interest rates." On Thursday, the first day of the sale, savers bought 2.098 billion euros ($2.27 billion) of the bond, the debt agency said, followed by at least another 1.902 billion euros so far on Friday. But Jean Deboutte, director at Belgium's debt agency, noted some banks in Belgium had already raised their rates following plans for the new bond.
Persons: Jean Deboutte, Yoruk, Sudip Kar, Susan Fenton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Yoruk Bahceli, Gupta, Thomson Locations: Belgium, Amsterdam, Brussels
Office workers look at their mobile phones to check the local online banking app Toss as they gather at Seoul Museum of Art during a lunch break in Seoul, South Korea, April 13, 2023. Interest rate decisions and policy guidance from South Korea and Indonesia take center stage in Asia on Thursday, as investors also navigate the strong cross currents from global equity and bond markets the day before. On the Asian policy front, the Bank of Korea is expected to leave its key policy rate unchanged at 3.50% for a fifth consecutive meeting on Thursday and hold it steady for the rest of this year. Bank Indonesia is also expected to keep its key interest rate steady, at 5.75% for the seventh consecutive meeting and for the rest of the year too. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Thursday:- South Korea interest rate decision- Indonesia interest rate decision- South Korea producer price inflation (July)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Kim Hong, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Seoul Museum of Art, REUTERS, Wall, Nvidia, Shanghai CSI, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of, Bank Indonesia, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Indonesia, Asia, Europe, China, Shanghai, Japan, Bank of Korea, Korea
The company logo for Financial broker Charles Schwab is displayed at a location in the financial district in New York, U.S., March 20, 2023. The announcement led to a 5% fall in Schwab shares on Tuesday but did not hurt investor appetite for its new bonds. "The strong response shows bond investors, at least in the near term, have gotten over their worries about the credit fundamentals of top-tier regional banks after the banking crisis in March," said Richard Wolff, head of U.S. syndicate at Societe Generale (SOGN.PA). Schwab's bond trade also drew attention as new investment grade bond supply this month has so far been lower than expected. Counting Schwab's $2.35 billion in bonds, investment-grade bond volume sits at just $3.45 billion for the week and $67.1 billion so far in August, according to Informa Global Markets data.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Brendan McDermid, Schwab, Richard Wolff, Dan Krieter, Brian Mulberry, David Del Vecchio, Natalie Trevithick, Matt Tracy, Nupur Anand, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, Societe Generale, BMO Capital, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Home Loan Bank, Payden, Informa, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Los Angeles
A currency trader counts Pakistani Rupee notes as he prepares an exchange of U.S dollars in Islamabad, Pakistan December 11, 2017. REUTERS/Caren Firouz/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsKARACHI, Pakistan, Aug 22 (Reuters) - Pakistan's rupee closed at a record low of 299 rupees against the dollar in the interbank market on Tuesday following an easing in import restrictions that has lifted demand for the dollar, central bank data showed. Pakistan imposed import restrictions from 2022 to stem outflows from its shrinking foreign reserves. Traders said the rupee fell 0.6% to an intraday low of 299 against the dollar. "The declining trend is mainly attributable to the ease off in the import restrictions coupled with clearance of backlog for goods and services," he said.
Persons: Caren, Imran Khan, Tahir Abbas, Arif Habib, Ariba Shahid, Edwina Gibbs, Conor Humphries Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund, Traders, Thomson Locations: Islamabad, Pakistan, Rights KARACHI, Karachi
S&P downgraded the ratings of Associated Banc-Corp (ASB.N) and Valley National Bancorp (VLY.O) on funding risks and a higher reliance on brokered deposits. It also downgraded UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O), Comerica Bank (CMA.N) and Keycorp (KEY.N), citing large deposit outflows and prevailing higher interest rates. A sharp rise in interest rates is weighing on many U.S. banks' funding and liquidity, S&P said in a summarized note, adding that deposits held by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC)-insured banks will continue to decline as long as the Federal Reserve is "quantitatively tightening." The rating agency also downgraded the outlook of S&T Bank and River City Bank to negative from stable on high commercial real estate (CRE) exposure among other factors. Reporting by Gokul Pisharody in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Akanksha Khushi; Editing by Varun H KOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Moody's, Bank of New York Mellon BK.N, Gokul, Akanksha Khushi, Varun Organizations: Global, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal, T Bank, City Bank, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, Truist, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Silicon, Bengaluru
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tech rallied amid rising yieldsThe Nasdaq Composite rallied Monday, breaking a four-day losing streak, even as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.342%, a decades-long high. The index was lifted by SoftBank shares rising 1.57% on the news that its chip unit Arm has filed for a Nasdaq listing. "What seems to be clear is that food price volatility will continue in coming months," an analyst said.
Persons: Softbank Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nikkei, P Global, Corp, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Keycorp, UBS Locations: Asia, Pacific, Asia Rice, India, Swiss
Gold struggles for direction ahead of Fed's Jackson Hole meet
  + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at the Krastsvetmet company, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals in Moscow, Russia on January 31, 2023. Spot gold held its ground at $1,895.70 per ounce by 0520 GMT, hovering above a five-month low of $1,883.70 hit last week. Following a week of back-to-back losses, gold on Monday settled 0.3% higher to post its best day in more than two weeks. Any correction in the U.S. dollar from recent highs could immediately ignite a strong gold market rally, he said. For an outlook on interest rates, comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday will be monitored at a meeting of central bankers at Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Persons: Clifford Bennett, Jerome Powell, Bennett Organizations: U.S, Treasury, ACY Securities, Federal Reserve, Trust Locations: Moscow, Russia, Jackson, , Wyoming, U.S
New York CNN —The Chinese economy has hit a rough patch. What’s happening: Chinese consumer spending, factory production and investments in long-term assets like property or machinery all slumped last month. On Monday, the Chinese government surprised investors by deciding not to cut an important interest rate that influences mortgages. The beauty company is “mindful of the headwinds that have emerged in China’s economy,” said the report. And even still, many regional banks have struggled to prevent deposit outflows.
Persons: , Jason Pride, Michael Reynolds, Lisa Shalett, Edward Moya, Estee Lauder, Moya, , Elisabeth Buchwald, Moody’s, ‘ Barbie ’, “ Barbie ”, Jordan Valinsky, Greta Gerwig, “ Oppenheimer, “ Barbie Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, European, Apple, Intel, Ford, Starbucks, Nike, Saudi, Comerica Inc, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Bank of New York Mellon, State, Northern Trust, & $ Locations: New York, China, Europe, Beijing, Asia, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Silicon
Investors are voting with their cash in August and shifting money away from funds that focus on stocks, according to Strategas. The S & P 500 has slumped 4% in August, as the stock market appears to be caught in a late-summer doldrum and interest rates have spiked. Money market funds took in +$40 Bn last week, plus ultra-short duration bond ETFs saw over $1 Bn inflows on Thursday, a threshold usually reserved for uneasy environments," Sohn said in a note to clients Tuesday. Money market funds have been particularly popular this year, as high interest rates have made them attractive places for consumers and investors to park their short-term cash. Money market assets have increased $749 billion over the past six months, according to Strategas, which includes the period of the regional bank crisis earlier this year.
Persons: Todd Sohn, Sohn Organizations: Trust Locations: outflows
S&P Global on Monday cut credit ratings and revised its outlook for multiple U.S. banks, following a similar move by Moody's, warning that funding risks and weaker profitability will likely test the sector's credit strength. S&P downgraded the ratings of Associated Banc-Corp and Valley National Bancorp on funding risks and a higher reliance on brokered deposits. It also downgraded UMB Financial Corp , Comerica Bank and Keycorp , citing large deposit outflows and prevailing higher interest rates. A sharp rise in interest rates is weighing on many U.S. banks' funding and liquidity, S&P said in a summarized note, adding that deposits held by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp-insured banks will continue to decline as long as the Federal Reserve is "quantitatively tightening." The rating agency also downgraded the outlook of S&T Bank and River City Bank to negative from stable on high commercial real estate exposure among other factors.
Persons: Moody's Organizations: Global, Corp, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Keycorp, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal, T Bank, City Bank, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, Truist, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank Locations: Silicon, U.S
New York CNN —S&P Global Ratings downgraded five regional US banks by one notch and signaled a negative outlook for several others on Monday. Following the banking turmoil earlier this year that began with Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse, many regional banks have had to pay higher interest rates on deposits to keep customers from pulling their funds. And even still, many regional banks have struggled to prevent deposit outflows. Overall, 90% of the banks S&P rates have stable outlooks. The remaining 10% have negative outlooks and none have positive outlooks, S&P said Monday.
Persons: New York CNN —, Moody’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Comerica Inc, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Bank of New York Mellon, State, Northern Trust, & $ Locations: New York, Silicon
The functioning of Russia's stock market is an illusion, two Yale researchers told Insider. That apparently stellar performance of the Russian stock market this year is ultimately an illusion meant to mask deepening pain in the country's economy. It's a move that was intended to prop up Russia's stock market, the researchers said. "The Russian stock market performance is very misleading, It is a Roach Motel of assets," Sonnenfeld told Insider. Other experts have warned of more pain for Russia's economy as its costly war in Ukraine drags on.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Tian, Ukraine haven't, that's, Tian, Sonnenfeld, Putin Organizations: Yale, Investments, Service, Yale School of Management, Putin, Levada Locations: Wall, Silicon, Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Baltic, Russian, Armenia, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan
TAIPEI, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Foreign investors seem to be undeterred by the possibility that growing tensions between Taiwan and China could precipitate fund outflows from the Taiwan market, the chairman of the Taiwan Stock Exchange told Reuters. "Foreign investors have recently trimmed their holdings. "We have talked to foreign investors, including from countries such as Japan and Singapore. "Even with the regular sight of Chinese warplanes flying around, why have foreign investors not left the Taiwan market?" "Taiwan's supply chain is very strong.
Persons: Sherman Lin, Lin, Faith Hung, Roger Tung, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Taiwan Stock Exchange, Reuters, Investment, Depository Trust, Clearing, Thomson Locations: TAIPEI, Taiwan, China, Asia, Japan, Singapore, New York, Boston
A man wearing a face mask passes in front of screens showing trading data while using an escalator outside Taiwan Stock Exchange in Taipei, Taiwan March 20, 2023. REUTERS/Annabelle Chih/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTAIPEI, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Foreign investors seem to be undeterred by the possibility that growing tensions between Taiwan and China could precipitate fund outflows from the Taiwan market, the chairman of the Taiwan Stock Exchange told Reuters. Taiwan Stock Exchange Chairman Sherman Lin said in an interview this was a natural plateau after a rally rather than a sign that foreign funds are fleeing the market. "We have talked to foreign investors, including from countries such as Japan and Singapore. "Even with the regular sight of Chinese warplanes flying around, why have foreign investors not left the Taiwan market?"
Persons: Annabelle Chih, Sherman Lin, Lin, Faith Hung, Roger Tung, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Taiwan Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Investment, Depository Trust, Clearing, Thomson Locations: Taiwan, Taipei, Rights TAIPEI, China, Asia, Japan, Singapore, New York, Boston
It's no secret that market leadership has become more concentrated over the years, but this is ridiculous. That one company is Microsoft , the behemoth with the $2.35 trillion market cap and, it seems, a position in the driver's seat on where the market goes next. In his weekly breakdown of money flows through the financial markets, BofA investment strategist Michael Hartnett said Microsoft needs to reassert itself or face dragging down the rest of the stock market. MSFT YTD line Microsoft as market leader That's why it holds such a pivotal position in determining how things go from here. Harnett noted that the equity put/call ratio has hit its highest point since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, "a bad sign if stocks can't hold hold here."
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, That's, Yul Brynner, Brynner, Chris Adams, gunfighters, Harnett, swoon Organizations: Bank of America, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Thursday's, Silicon
The recent jump in market interest rates may have caught some ETF investors off guard, and they are now shifting back into short-term bond funds that can better withstand rising yields. Bond yields move in the opposite direction of price, and long-term bonds see their prices hit harder when rates rise. As a result, investors are shifting into short-term bond funds. The following short-term bond ETFs were in the top 10 for net inflows over the past week, according to FactSet. The upward move for bond yields has been particularly acute in the long end of the yield curve.
Persons: Claudio Irigoyen, Fitch, Irigoyen, TLT Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Bloomberg, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Japan
Foreign investors are giving up on China as the country's post-COVID rebound fizzles. During that span, foreign investors sold 46.2 billion yuan of mainland Chinese stocks. Meanwhile, foreign institutional investors shed 37 billion yuan worth of Chinese bonds in July, according to data out Wednesday from China's foreign exchange regulator. According to Reuters, $1.71 billion worth of mainland shares were sold by foreigners in May, outpacing April's $659 million withdrawal. In addition to the consumer and manufacturing sectors, the real estate market — which serves as a key store of wealth in China's economy — has also been getting worse.
Persons: outpacing, bullish, , China's Organizations: Service, Kong's Stock Connect, Communist Party's, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Reuters Locations: China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Wall, Silicon, Beijing
Hiccup in soft landing story Why are we hitting this string of down days? There's a hiccup in the soft landing story. That's causing a speed bump for stocks, particularly tech stocks, which are underperforming this month and this quarter. And despite poor economic news out of China, the macroeconomic environment in the U.S. remains strong and still supportive of a soft landing. At 19.2 times forward earnings, the S & P 500 is still richly valued.
Persons: Phil Camporeale Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Reserve, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of, Morgan Asset Management, CNBC Locations: Silicon, China, U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Legal & General (LGEN.L) reported a forecast-beating operating profit of 941 million pounds ($1.20 billion) in the first half on Tuesday, boosted by its bulk annuity business, and said it was on track to meet its five-year ambitions. Analysts in a company-compiled consensus poll had forecast operating profit for the British life insurer and asset manager of 834 million pounds. Operating profit fell nearly 2% from a year earlier but analysts at Jefferies said they expected the results to be "well received" on Tuesday. British specialist insurer Just Group (JUSTJ.L) reported a 154% jump in first-half profit on Tuesday, also beating market estimates, boosted by bumper sales of its retirement income products and higher new business income. ($1 = 0.7868 pounds)Reporting by Carolyn Cohn in London and Eva Mathews in Bengaluru, editing by Sinead CruiseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Nigel Wilson, Jefferies, Carolyn Cohn, Eva Mathews, Sinead Cruise Organizations: General Investment Management, Thomson Locations: London, Bengaluru
How much worse can China's economic slowdown get?
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
HONG KONG, Aug 15 (Reuters) - China's economic activity data for July, including retail sales, industrial output and investment failed to match expectations, fuelling concern over a deeper, longer-lasting slowdown in growth. THE DEMISE OF CHINA'S GROWTH HAS BEEN MISTAKENLY FORECAST BEFORE. Alarm bells over growth rang during the global financial crisis in 2008-09 and during a capital outflow scare in 2015. If it persists, deflation could exacerbate the economic slowdown and deepen debt problems. There is also uncertainty about China's appetite for large fiscal stimulus, given the high levels of municipal debt.
Persons: Marius Zaharia, Robert Birsel Organizations: Communist Party, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, West, United States, Japan, outflows
A citizen walks past the Hangzhou Central branch of the People's Bank of China in Hangzhou, east China's Zhejiang province, June 13, 2023. China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.
Persons: Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung Organizations: People's Bank of China, Mizuho Bank Locations: Hangzhou Central, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China's, China, United States
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