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Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.30 million job openings in October. Job openings decreased by 168,000 in the finance and insurance industry, while real estate, rental and leasing had 49,000 fewer positions. The job openings rate dropped to 5.3% from 5.6% in September. "The current state of the labor market suggests no further recalibration is necessary to bring the labor market back into balance," said Nick Bunker, director of economics research at Indeed Hiring Lab. They also described the labor market as remaining "very competitive," and "trying to get to full staff levels."
Persons: Brian Snyder, Rubeela Farooqi, Nick Bunker, Conrad DeQuadros, November's, Bill Adams, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: Taylor Party, Equipment Rentals, REUTERS, Labor, Survey, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Treasury, Brean, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, United Auto Workers, UAW, Comerica Bank, Thomson Locations: Somerville , Massachusetts, U.S, WASHINGTON, White Plains , New York, South, Midwest, New York, East, Dallas
Dollar stems decline after heavy November selloff
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in Chicago on October 18, 2022. The dollar regained some ground on Tuesday and hovered near a one-week high against major peers, while bitcoin extended its momentum on optimism that U.S. regulators could soon approve exchange-traded spot bitcoin funds. The euro , meanwhile, languished near a three-week low hit on Monday and last traded $1.0840, while the dollar index stood near a more than one-week high and was last at 103.59. Analysts say the greenback's move higher was in part due to a reversal of its heavy selloff in recent weeks, which saw the dollar index falling some 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last stood at $41,873, not far from the previous session's peak of $42,404, its highest level since April 2022.
Persons: bitcoin, Sean Callow, Thierry Wizman, Bitcoin, Nexo, Antoni Trenchev Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Traders, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Locations: Chicago, Asia, Tokyo, Reserve Bank of Australia
Job Openings Fall Sharply, Suggesting Weaker Labor Market
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Tim Smart | Dec. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
The number of job openings fell sharply in October, to 8.7 million from a downwardly revised 9.35 million a month earlier, according to the Labor Department. The number released Tuesday was lower than economists had forecast and suggests that the labor market is slowing as the year comes to an end. “Job openings dropped to 8,733,000 in October, the lowest level since March 2021. Despite some volatile jumps/drops month-to-month, job openings have been on a downward trend since early 2022,” Daniel Zhao, lead economist and senior manager on Glassdoor’s economic research team, posted on social media. The Federal Reserve will be looking at the latest readings on the labor market as they come one week before officials meet to consider monetary policy.
Persons: ” Daniel Zhao, Jeffrey Roach, Joanie Bily, ” Bily, , Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, LPL, American Staffing Association, ” Nomura Securities, Hollywood, Government, Federal, Fed
Treasury yields fall as investors await labor market data
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was down by over 4 basis points at 4.239%. U.S. Treasury yields declined Tuesday as investors awaited jobs data that could provide hints about the state of the economy and the impact of restrictive Federal Reserve monetary policy. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged then, and many investors are still hoping for guidance around when policymakers may start thinking about cutting rates. Various economic data points are, however, expected beforehand and could provide hints about the state of the economy and whether higher interest rates are having their desired effect in cooling the economy. Later in the week, ADP's private payrolls report, as well as nonfarm payrolls and unemployment data for November, are expected.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Fed
Job openings tumbled in October to their lowest in 2½ years, a sign the historically tight labor market could be loosening. The number was well below the 9.4 million estimate from Dow Jones and the lowest since March 2021. Federal Reserve policymakers watch the report, known as the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, closely for signs of labor slack. While job openings fell dramatically, total hires only nudged lower while layoffs and separations were modestly higher. Declines in job openings were widespread by industry.
Persons: Dow Jones, Tuan Nguyen, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Fed, RSM, Committee, Traders, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S, October's
Who to Believe? Jerome Powell or the Markets?
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Dec. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Last Friday provided a split-screen view of the markets and the Federal Reserve. “Indeed, we look for the return of striking workers to add nearly 45K jobs to November’s payrolls. Wednesday brings the first measure of the November job market when private payroll firm ADP releases its monthly survey of employers. October came in at 150,000, a drop from the recent trend of around 200,000 jobs added per month. Consequently, we expect the post-meeting statement will keep the door open to the possibility of additional tightening this cycle.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” William Blair, Richard de Chazal, that’s, de Chazal, , payrolls, , Sam Bullard, November’s, Bullard, Wells Fargo Organizations: Federal Reserve, Spelman College, , Futures, United Auto Workers, UAW, Hollywood, Wells, Labor
The October jobs report — with the economy adding just 150,000 jobs and the unemployment rate ticking up to 3.9% — was a disappointment. Of particular notice, the unemployment rate has increased by half a percentage point over the past six months. A simple way to show that things are still in balance is to look at Okun's law, a relationship between movements in the unemployment rate and economic activity. The historical record shows that once it rises half a percentage point, the unemployment rate tends to rise even more. The unemployment rate is already above the Fed's year-end forecast of 3.8% — the first time that's happened since March 2022.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, It's, we're, What's, what's, Neil Dutta Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Macro Locations: joblessness, nonfarm payrolls
Historically, November is the best month of the year for the stock market, and December is third, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Under the surface this week, we also saw signs of a possible market rotation in the works. Rotation watch : We must look to next week's trading for confirmation that we're in the grips of a rotation or simply a head fake. Signs of the former were on display this week as the two of the biggest sector winners of the year, communication services and technology , trailed the market. Jobs, jobs, jobs : The most important release of the week comes Friday in the form of the November nonfarm payrolls report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Locker, it's, Hock Tan, We'll, Joann, JOAN, JM Smucker, OLLI, Campbell Soup, Brown, Forman, LULU, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Cisco Systems, VMWare, Club, PMI, Labor, Signet Jewelers, SIG, Brands, Toll, Thor Industries, Natural Foods, GameStop, Vail Resorts, MTN, Smith & Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Asana, ASAN, New York City
"This was some week for the huddled masses of stocks longing to be free of the bears," he said. He'll also be paying attention when Ollie's Bargain Outlet reports earnings, wondering if consumers have moved on from off-price retailers. With an earnings report from Dollar General , Thursday will tell investors whether the company has been able to "break the anti-dollar store spell," Cramer said. Friday will bring the "great rate arbiter," November's labor report. Cramer said he thinks rates will keep falling if the unemployment rate rises to 4% and there isn't significant wage growth.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, pinpointing, Cramer, he'll, Campbell, He'll Organizations: homebuilder, Dollar, Broadcom, Lululemon, VMware
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
US manufacturing stays depressed in November-ISM
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Kamil Krzaczynski/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Dec 1(Reuters) - U.S. manufacturing remained subdued in November, according to a survey on Friday that also showed factory employment declining. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said that its manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 last month. According to the ISM, a PMI reading below 48.7 over a period of time generally indicates a contraction of the overall economy. This measure has not been a reliable predictor of manufacturing payrolls in the government's closely watched employment report. Manufacturing payrolls are expected to have rebounded in November as about 33,000 striking United Auto Workers union members returned to work.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Reuters, United Auto Workers, Thomson Locations: Normal , Illinois, U.S
These 16 states are already in a recession
  + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Sixteen US states' economies contracted between July and October, according to the Philadelphia Fed. While some economists believe a recession may come in the next year, the economies of 33 states grew. Meanwhile, looking at just the past month, 27 states experienced economic contraction. AdvertisementThe economies of sixteen US states contracted between July and October, even as economists are still betting the US can avoid a recession. Looking at month-over-month rates, 27 states experienced economic contraction, while just 16 grew.
Persons: , Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, Ken Griffin Organizations: Philadelphia Fed, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Bureau of Economic, Citadel, Bloomberg Locations: West Virginia, Wisconsin, Montana, Missouri , Illinois, Iowa, , Maryland, North Dakota, South Carolina, Texas, Nevada and Wyoming . California, Florida, California, Florida , Pennsylvania , Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina
Unemployment has ticked up, wage growth continues to decline, and the "quits rate" has leveled off from its pandemic surge. The CFO view of the labor market also filters through to their broader view of the economy and markets, which has changed in other considerable ways over the four quarters of surveying by CNBC this year. Almost a year later, the market has rallied on the conviction that inflation has been vanquished and the hikes are finished. But the CFO view of when inflation returns to 2% keeps getting pushed farther out into the future. That's more hawkish than the market, which currently is betting the Fed may start cutting by May.
Persons: CFOs, that's, it's, Jackson Organizations: CNBC, Stone, Nasdaq, PPI, Inflation, Walmart, Dow Jones, Dow, Fed Locations: Detroit, Hollywood, CFOs, it's
Don't listen to the bears: The incredible rally in stocks this month isn't over yet. The Dow and S & P 500 are on track to finish November — ending with Thursday's close — 7% and 8.4% higher, respectively. .SPX ALL mountain Long term look at the S & P 500 index We don't see any reason to curb our enthusiasm for stocks heading into the final month of 2023. With nearly all S & P 500 companies reporting results as of Nov. 17 (the last update from FactSet), 82% beat estimates on earnings while 62% beat on sales. The S & P 500 is bumping up against the highs of the year last reached in July, and the S & P Oscillator came into the week very overbought, a factor prompting us to book some profits and raise some cash.
Persons: Thursday's, Let's, Locker, bullish, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow, Stock Traders, Federal Reserve, Energy, Meta, Adobe Analytics, Mastercard, Adobe, Shoppers, TJX Companies, PCE, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Santa, New York City, U.S
Though the weekly jobless claims report from the Labor Department on Wednesday also showed unemployment rolls declining for the first-time since mid-September, they remained near the highs for this year. The claims data covered the period during which the government surveyed businesses for the nonfarm payrolls component of November's employment report. Continuing claims fell 22,000 to 1.840 million during the week ending Nov. 11, the claims report showed. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dipped 0.1% last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Business spending on equipment spending contracted in the third quarter.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Reuters, Fed, Bank of America Institute, Commerce Department, Commerce, Data, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, California, Kentucky , Oregon , Kentucky, Illinois, Texas, Commerce Department's
It's never easy to find the best stocks to buy — particularly in today's economy. So is seeking out companies with solid fundamentals, such as strong margins, plenty of cash, and consistently rising sales and earnings. But it's still difficult to know where to look for great stock picks in today's market. She recently narrowed Morningstar's list of the best companies to own to the most undervalued handful, meaning these great stock picks are tantalizingly priced at the moment. The 10 companies that made the cut are below, along with each company's ticker, last closing price, price to fair value ratio, Morningstar's Uncertainty Rating, Morningstar's Capital Allocation Rating, and the industry the company operates in.
Persons: It's, nonfarm, it's, Margaret Giles Locations: today's
Workers are missing cog in US manufacturing gears
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Jeffrey Goldfarb | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
NEW YORK, Nov 7 (Reuters Breakingviews) - There’s a spanner in the freshly restarted U.S. manufacturing machine. Based in part on the planned construction spending, Goldman Sachs analysts estimate that Biden’s initiatives could lead to as many as 250,000 new manufacturing jobs over the next two years. Pay growth is also cooling faster for production and manufacturing jobs, at 4.2% year-over-year in August, down from an 11% annual peak in December 2021 and compared to the national average of 4.5%, according to jobs website Indeed. By 2030, technological and cognitive skills in the manufacturing sector will be in far higher demand as the share of physical and manual tasks drops by more than a quarter from 2016, McKinsey says. The U.S. manufacturing engine may be humming along now, but employment-related complications threaten to throw sand in the gears.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden, Goldman Sachs, There’s, it’s, Sam, Francesco Guererra, Sharon Lam Organizations: Reuters, Deal, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Samsung Electronics, Intel, Bosch, Linde, Public, Ford, SK Innovation, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, McKinsey, University of Massachusetts, Economy Research, of Labor Statistics, Thomson Locations: Arizona, U.S, United States, China, Europe, Asia, it’s, Germany, Amherst
The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England dramatically hiked rates over the last 18 months in a bid to tame runaway inflation. Reid also highlighted that this is the seventh time this cycle that markets have notably reacted on dovish speculation. "Clearly rates aren't going to keep going up forever, but on the previous 6 occasions we saw hopes for near-term rate cuts dashed every time. In clear, waiting for inflation to reach 2% before cutting rates would be 'overkill,'" Moëc said. However, minutes from last week's meeting reiterated the Monetary Policy Committee's expectations that rates will need to stay higher for longer, with U.K. CPI holding steady at 6.7% in September.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, nonfarm payrolls, DBRS Morningstar, Jim Reid chalked, Reid, we've, Gilles Moëc, Moëc, Christine Lagarde, Yannis Stournaras Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of, Fed, PCE, DBRS, Deutsche Bank, ECB, AXA, National Bank of Greece, of, Bank of England, CPI, BNP Locations: New York City, Bank of England, U.S, Europe
Morning Bid: Rates buzz sustained before Fed loan data
  + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields have fallen about 50bps from October's peaks and the drop last week was the biggest recoil since March. For now, S&P500 futures are pointing to further slight gains on Monday - which if realized on the cash market later would make for the sixth straight gain and the longest daily run since June. Undermined by the retreat in Treasury yields, the dollar (.DXY) slipped back to the lowest since Sept 20. The backdrop of an easier dollar and Treasury yields provides significant relief for emerging markets, with MSCI's emerging market stock index (.MSCIEF) hitting its highest since Sept 20 too.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, underscoring, Janet Yellen, Lisa Cook, Huw Pill, Bernadette Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, U.S, Pacific Rim, South, Ryanair, Europe's, Goodyear Tire &, Aspen, Conterra Energy, Constellation Energy, Diamondback Energy, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, NXP Semiconductors, Bank of England, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Gaza, China, Western, San Francisco, South Korean, Asia, Europe, Telesat
In a photo taken on November 4, 2019 a subway train crosses a rail bridge over the Han river, before the skyline of the Yeouido business district of Seoul. South Korea stocks surged on Monday after the country re-imposed a ban on short-selling, while most Asia-Pacific markets took heart from a soft U.S. jobs report that helped reduce interest rate expectations. Financial authorities in South Korea said short-selling will be banned until the end of June 2024. Short-selling is when a trader sells borrowed shares to buy back at a lower price and pocket the difference. Japan's business activity expanded in October but at its softest pace this year, according to a private survey.
Persons: nonfarm, Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Seoul . South Korea, Asia, Pacific, South Korea
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets reboundStocks and bonds in the U.S. rallied in tandem on Friday as markets digested jobs data and rebounded from October lows. [PRO] Surging semiconductor salesThe semiconductor industry was mired in a supply glut for the most of last year. For one, there was a 13% month on month jump in September's semiconductor sales to $46.9 billion.
Persons: nonfarm, That's, Korea's Kospi, Musk's Grok Elon, Grok, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNBC, KPMG, Citi Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific
More remote work opportunities are credited for helping women with young children get jobs. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdditionally, the Wells Fargo economists also identified women with young children as a new strength for the job market. This surge in employment, particularly among mothers with young children, has played a significant role in boosting the economy. To be sure, this level of workforce participation could drop in the coming months as childcare opportunities become harder to find. Drew Angerer/Getty ImagesThe robust labor market has helped boost the economy despite inflation still above the Federal Reserve's 2.0% target.
Persons: , Wells Fargo, Jobs, Janet Yellen, Drew Angerer, Daniel Greenhaus, Greenhaus, Paul McCulley, McCulley Organizations: Service, Wells, Brookings, US, U.S . Treasury, Federal, payrolls, Bloomberg, Georgetown's School of Business Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: A cool jobs report heats up markets
  + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning weekStocks and bonds in the U.S. rallied in tandem on Friday as markets digested jobs data and rebounded from October lows. Musk's GrokElon Musk's new AI company, xAI, released Grok, a generative artificial intelligence chatbot similar to ChatGPT. But Buffett's company did register a loss of $24.1 billion in the third quarter because of drops in Apple's shares.
Persons: nonfarm, That's, Grok Elon, Grok, Berkshire Hathaway, Stocks, Piper Sandler Organizations: Los Angeles, CNBC, Siemens, India's Siemens Ltd Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S
The S&P 500 looks on track to have the strongest earnings season since the third quarter of 2021. Earnings are telling markets four things about the state of the economy, Bank of America says. Bank of America in a note on Monday pointed to so-far resilient earnings season, despite earlier concerns on Wall Street over a sustained slowdown in corporate profits. Meanwhile, revenue per worker in the S&P 500 is approaching its highest level since 2008, despite sales slowing down. Investors, though, are still waiting on the rest of S&P 500 firms to report their financials over the next few weeks.
Persons: Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Pfizer, Merck
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 5.9%, for its biggest gain since November 2022 and Nasdaq added 6.6%, also showing its biggest gain since Nov. 2022. The Dow showed a weekly gain of 5.1%, its biggest since late October 2022. The jobs data also helped push U.S. Treasury yields lower for the fourth consecutive session. Most of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors advanced, led by rate-sensitive real estate (.SPLRCR), which finished up 2.4%, after hitting its highest since late September. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 77 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, nonfarm, Matt Palazzolo, Palazzolo, Dow, Tony Welch, Russell, SignatureFD's Welch, Welch, Sinéad Carew, Amruta, Sriraj Kalluvila, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Labor, Big, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, Fed, Dow Jones, Treasury, SignatureFD, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Atlanta Georgia, New York
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