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His gloom, however, has also been consistently at odds with heady financial markets. In late 2022, for instance, he predicted economic bumps and, potentially, a severe recession for the next year; instead, the American economy boomed in 2023. Mr. Dimon has been among the few to say they are preparing for the possibility that interest rates will be raised again, a move that would suggest more extreme inflation than is currently being measured. Mr. Dimon made more extended remarks on the tricky environment in his annual letter to shareholders this week. JPMorgan also disclosed a fall in its so-called net interest income, a closely watched financial metric that essentially measures how much money it is able to make from lending.
Persons: Dimon, Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Locations: United States, Ukraine
For example, we now have a higher interest rate environment that will add more pressure on deposit costs. There is anticipation of more builds for reserves, particularly for commercial real estate, but also possibly for credit cards. The commercial real estate problem is the main issue. "Anything that's levered like commercial real estate, it's a different world," Tom Michaud, CEO of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, said in a recent interview on FactSet. "I expect more commercial real estate losses in every category, the question is whether it is going to be cataclysmic or is it going to be manageable."
Persons: Financials, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Wells Fargo, it's, Tom Michaud, Keefe, Woods Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, First Republic, Regional Bank ETF, Bank, Allstate, Travelers Locations: Wells Fargo, Treasurys, Hartford
Jamie Dimon, President and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC's "Squawk Box" at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 17, 2024. JPMorgan Chas e is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. Still, large banks are expected to outperform smaller ones this quarter, and expectations for JPMorgan are high. Analysts believe the bank can boost guidance for 2024 net interest income as the Federal Reserve is forced to maintain interest rate levels amid stubborn inflation data. Shares of JPMorgan have jumped 15% this year, outperforming the 3.9% gain of the KBW Bank Index.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chas, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, Federal Reserve, Analysts, Federal, KBW, Wells, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Wells Fargo
StubHub is eyeing a summer initial public offering, a person familiar with the matter told CNBC. The online ticketing service is aiming for a valuation of at least $16.5 billion, which is what it was valued at in late 2021 during its latest round of private funding. If StubHub does enter the public market, it will trade alongside competitors Vivid Seats and Live Nation . Vivid Seats has a market cap of $1.2 billion and Live Nation is valued at just under $24 billion, according to FactSet. StubHub, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs all declined to comment about potential timing for an IPO.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, StubHub, Eric Baker, SeatGeek, Taylor Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, eBay, Vivid
Foreign-born workers are leading the increase in the US labor force, Fitch Ratings said. But a simple explanation could lie in US immigration trends, as a surge of foreign-born workers is propelling labor expansion, Fitch Ratings reported on Thursday. "The foreign-born labor participation rate is 66%, more than the native-born participation rate of 62%." AdvertisementBut while higher immigration flows should keep labor momentum going through this year, Fitch also cautioned that it risks an oversupply. Still, migrants' contribution to labor has significantly boosted economic growth, Fitch said, a point shared by previous research.
Persons: Fitch, , Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Olu Sonola Organizations: Service, Fitch, Wall Street, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, hirings
Club holding Wells Fargo will post quarterly results on Friday, followed by our other financial holding, Morgan Stanley, on Tuesday. In theory, higher borrowing costs mean Wells Fargo can generate more money from those interest-earning assets, but it's not that simple. It's hard to say with the fluid inflation and rate expectations whether Wells Fargo might change its NII outlook when it reports on Friday. Wells Fargo also has a key long-term growth prospect in the potential removal of its $1.9 trillion Fed-imposed asset cap. A woman walks past Wells Fargo bank in New York City, U.S., March 17, 2020.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, We're, Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo's, Mike Santomassimo, Santomassimo, Jim said, Jim, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Charlie's, He's, Morgan, there's, Jefferies, Reddit's, James Gorman, Ted Pick, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Club, Silicon Valley Bank, UBS, Investment, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Discover, Wall Street, Amer Sports, Astera Labs, Reddit's, New York Stock Exchange, Street Journal, CNBC Locations: Wells, Silicon, Wells Fargo, Capital, Wilson, Morgan, New York City, U.S
Apple shares just had their best day since last May
  + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Apple CEO Tim Cook greets customers as he arrives for the release of the Vision Pro headset at the Apple Store in New York City on Feb. 2, 2024. Apple shares climbed 4.3% on Thursday to a share price of $175.04. Apple's rise came during a strong day for technology stocks, especially those in artificial intelligence, as the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.77%. Apple shares are down more than 5% so far this year. On Thursday, JPMorgan analysts wrote that sentiment over Apple shares is improving with hedge fund investors, partially due to its recent stock slide.
Persons: Tim Cook, Apple's, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Apple's Worldwide, Bloomberg Locations: New York City, China
Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating following the company's Google Cloud Next event. "We are initiating coverage of Airbnb (ABNB) with a BUY rating and a $190 per share price target." "Following a period of restriction, we are moving to an Overweight rating and a December 2024 price target of $140." "Given the increase in stock price, we believe valuation levels have disconnected from the fundamental outlook." Piper Sandler reiterates Meta as overweight Piper raised its price target on the stock to $600 per share from $525. "
Persons: Evercore, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Berenberg, TD Cowen, Visa, Oppenheimer, it's, Snowflake, Raymond James, Simona Jankowski, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Moffett, We've, Marsh, Bernstein, Kenvue, underperform Bernstein, Johnson, Needham, Airbnb, CVX, TTE, Piper Sandler, Meta, Piper, Wells Fargo Organizations: JPMorgan, Apple, Mastercard, Barclays, Nasdaq, Nvidia, UBS, Gartner, IT, Deutsche Bank, ATI, Deutsche, Disney, Microsoft, TEAM, " Bank of America, Nike, of America, Citi, Robinhood, MMC, Qualcomm, Johnson, Consumer, Scotiabank, Hamilton Insurance, Costco, ~$ Locations: Albemarle, Chevron
Investors are again underestimating Apple's gross profit margins, according to Bank of America. In actuality, the company exceeded those expectations, reporting 44% gross margins last year. Looking ahead, Mohan estimates that vertical integration and product mix could yield more than 100 basis points of upside to Apple's gross margins. He also estimates that Apple's utilization of its own internal modems could add 110 basis points to product gross margins and 160 basis points of iPhone gross margins. "Pricing is an additional level that Apple can employ to further increase gross margins."
Persons: Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Samik Chatterjee Organizations: Bank of America, Apple, Products, Services, Bank of, JPMorgan, Cap Tech
The banking giant is expected to report earnings of $4.15 per share and $41.84 billion in revenue, according to LSEG. Many analysts also anticipate an upward revision to net interest income guidance, with the firm already forecasting $90 billion for the full year. Graseck views JPMorgan as one of the best-positioned stocks for upward net interest income revisions, also highlighting its significant excess capital relative to others within the firm's coverage. What else to watch If not during earnings, this upward guidance adjustment to net interest income could occur at JPMorgan's investor day in May, she said. Another key figure some analysts are watching is earnings from First Republic, which the company took over in May 2023 .
Persons: JPM, Piper Sandler's Scott Siefers, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Goldman Sachs, Richard Ramsden, America's Ebrahim Poonawala, Erika Najarian, NII, Wells, Mike Mayo, Ramsden Organizations: JPMorgan, Wall Street, Management, Bank, America's, First Locations: buybacks, First Republic, Republic
Given this, JPMorgan projected how the S & P 500 could trade on the basis of the core CPI reading, breaking out five possible scenarios. If the S & P 500 falls by more than 2%, it would be the first such decline in more than a year, since February 2023, the note read. "The ultimate outcome may be a removal of all 2024 rate cut expectations with increased implied probability of rate hikes," JPMorgan said. JPMorgan anticipates the S & P 500 could either advance a quarter percentage point, or lose as much as 1%. 2.5% chance below 0.10% — A downside surprise in core inflation could spark a rally in the S & P 500 in the range of 1.5% and 2%.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Core CPI
JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, is exploring the potential of generative AI within its own ecosystem, said Dimon. “Over time,” wrote Dimon, “we anticipate that our use of AI has the potential to augment virtually every job, as well as impact our workforce composition. First Republic purchaseJPMorgan acquired most of First Republic’s assets last May after the San Francisco-based regional bank was seized by the government. Dimon wrote those odds are far too optimistic. “Small changes in interest rates today may have less impact on inflation in the future than many people believe,” he said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, ” Dimon, Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Software, San, First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Markets, Traders, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Republic, San Francisco, Silicon
Jim Cramer's daily rapid fire looks at stocks in the news outside the CNBC Investing Club portfolio. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company : The chipmaker gets $6.6 billion from the U.S. government to support to building three plants in Arizona. Take-Two Interactive : The video game stock was upgraded at Citi to buy. Fastly : The stock was upgraded to a buy-equivalent overweight rating at Piper Sandler. The analysts said the company is gaining market share in the core content delivery network market.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jamie Dimon's, Jamie Dimon, Jim Cramer, Cramer, Elon Musk, Gina Raimondo, Piper Sandler Organizations: CNBC, Club, JPMorgan, Fargo, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, U.S, Citi Locations: Arizona, America, China, Taiwan
"While investors seem to be anxiously awaiting easing monetary policy, the current environment does not quite scream 'rate cuts!'" That sentiment has manifested itself lately in market pricing. That same day, the Labor Department will release the CPI report, which is expected to show the headline inflation rate rising 3.4% in March on a year-over-year basis, per Dow Jones. This is nonetheless "the right time to cut rates," wrote David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. "What has underpinned this market is the promise of a series of rate cuts including March, and now it has dwindled to just a few rate cuts.
Persons: Glenmede, Dow Jones, David Kelly, Kelly, Nicholas Colas, Colas, Ed Yardeni, nonfarm, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Labor Department, Asset Management, Fed, DataTrek, Yardeni, LPL
"We are reinstating coverage of AVGO with a buy rating and a new price target of $1,500." "We are upgrading Take-Two from Neutral to Buy and raising our target price from $170 to $200." KeyBanc reiterates Nvidia as overweight Key raised its price target on the stock to $1,200 per share from $1,100. Oppenheimer reiterates Alphabet as outperform Oppenheimer raised its price target on the stock to $185 per share from $172. "We resume coverage after a period of Rating Suspended with a Buy/High Risk (1H) rating and target price of $11."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Piper, selloff, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Wolfe, Eaton, underperform, ETN, Needham, it's, KeyBanc, Oppenheimer, Chipotle, Stefan Larsson, Zac Coughlin, Investor Relations Sheryl Freeman, Evercore, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Nvidia, Huntington, BTIG, Truist, Melius, Dell Organizations: Norfolk Southern, CP, NSC, JPMorgan, GE, Deutsche Bank reinstates Broadcom, Deutsche, Tesla, Citi, Netflix, AMD, ARM, Meta, Google, NASDAQ, Investor Relations, Disney, Susquehanna, Nvidia, Bank of America, of America, U.S, TAM, Dell, Apple Locations: FSLY, F1Q
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Ford after the company reassessed its electric vehicle strategy. That "paints path to ~$230-$290 stock price as we argue AMZN could warrant an even higher multiple in this scenario," he added. — Michelle Fox 7:38 a.m.: Evercore hikes Disney price target, points out near-term catalysts Walt Disney has a bright near-term outlook, according to Evercore ISI. In addition to cutting his price target, Harned also pulled down his outlook for free cash flow and deliveries. — Alex Harring 5:48 a.m.: KeyBanc raises Nvidia price target There's no slowing down Nvidia , according to KeyBanc.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, KeyBanc, Brian Nowak, Jon Tower, — Michelle Fox, Walt Disney, Vijay Jayant's, Jayant, Bob Iger, — Lisa Kailai Han, David Palmer, Palmer, Uber, — Alex Harring, Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Harned, Dave Calhoun, Alex Harring, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, selloff, Ross Seymore, Seymore, TD Cowen, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, there's, John Blackledge, Blackledge, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, There's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, BJ, Mark Strouse, Strouse, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, John Vinh, Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Monday's, Ford, Nvidia, Amazon, Citi Citi, Grill, ISI, Disney, India's Reliance Industries, Reliance Industries, Netflix, Hulu, Boeing, Dow Jones, Capital, Loop Capital, Deutsche Bank, Broadcom, VMWare, JPMorgan, Citi, BJ's Wholesale, GE, GE Vernova Locations: Michigan, Alaska, F1Q, California, The Massachusetts, Friday's, China
Read previewAlthough US stocks have been all the rage this year, a top-performing fund manager remains convinced that the most compelling investing opportunities are in international equities. Its 80% gain over the past five years is more than double that of the STOXX Europe 600 and is six-fold above the 13% return of Vanguard's Total International Stock Index ETF (VXUS). The Brandes International Equity Fund has been in the top 10% of its category in the last 10 years, according to Morningstar, which includes a top-1% finish in 2023. AdvertisementOnce the fund manager finds stocks that fit this bill, he thinks more like a business owner than a stock trader. Of all the opportunities in international markets, Germain is especially drawn to four stocks across various countries and industries.
Persons: , Jeff Germain, Germain, David Kelly, Brandes, He's, " Germain, Royce Organizations: Service, Vanguard's, Stock, Business, Brandes Investment Partners, Brandes International Equity Fund, JPMorgan Asset Management, Morningstar, Heidelberg, Embraer, Royce, Heineken Locations: German, Brazil, Britain
The strategist highlighted the industrial and energy sectors, which he said should benefit from reports of a robust American economy. The stock is also already outperforming the S & P 500 this year, up nearly 29% year to date. As a group, industrials have gained 10.3% this year, or a little less than 1% above the S & P 500. After a rocky 2023, energy has established itself as one of the S & P 500's top outperformers in 2024. Among energy stocks, Tentarelli favors refiners.
Persons: Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, industrials, refiners, Phillips Organizations: Blue, General Electric, GE Healthcare, Valero, Banking, JPMorgan
Oil prices extended gains on Friday and headed for a second weekly gain, supported by geopolitical tensions in Europe and the Middle East, concerns over tightening supply, and optimism about global fuel demand growth as economies improve. Oil prices extended gains on Friday and headed for a second weekly gain, supported by geopolitical tensions in Europe and the Middle East, concerns over tightening supply, and optimism about global fuel demand growth as economies improve. Heavy oil supply has also tightened globally after Mexico and the United Arab Emirates cut exports of these grades. This comes amid solid global oil demand growth of 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in the first quarter, JP Morgan analysts said in a note. "Our high-frequency demand indicators estimate that total oil consumption in March averaged 101.2 million bpd, 100,000 bpd above our published estimates," they said.
Persons: Brent, Daniel Hynes, Soni Kumari, WTI, Israel, JP Morgan Organizations: . West Texas, ANZ, NATO, of, Petroleum, United, Investors Locations: Europe, Brent, Israel, Syria, Russia, OPEC, Mexico, United Arab Emirates, U.S
Mizuho reiterates Nvidia as a top pick Mizuho says Nvidia is still a top idea at the firm. Morgan Stanley initiates Mural Oncology at overweight Morgan said in its initiation of the biotech company that it sees a long "cash runway" lasting through 2025. Morgan Stanley downgrades Block to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley sees growth headwinds for the payment tech company. Morgan Stanley upgrades Zeta to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the marketing technology company has an underappreciated valuation. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla at overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target to $310 per share from $320. "
Persons: Bernstein, Reddit, underperform Bernstein, Raymond James, Raymond James downgrades Bumble, Barclays downgrades Ferrari, it's, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wolfe, underperform Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Piper, Synopsys, Morgan Stanley downgrades Block, Dave, Buster's, Jefferies, Zeta, Oppenheimer, Ball, Wayfair, Wynn, bullish, Tesla, Goldman Sachs downgrades Hertz Organizations: Citi, Barclays, Ferrari, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Avis, UBS downgrades Bank of America, UBS, Apple, AstraZeneca JPMorgan, AstraZeneca, Amazon, AWS, Meta, General Motors, GMC, Chevrolet, Buick, GM, DFS, Mizuho, Eversource Energy Locations: Avis, MURA, Charlotte, Wayfair, Capital, Macau
When the Rubin Museum Was Divine
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Holland Cotter | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
The Guggenheim’s mother ship interior is such a thrill that it prepares you to love whatever’s on view. The interiors of the Frick and the Morgan are intimate enough to make you feel proprietarily, and fabulously, at home. The Rubin Museum of Art also has design and art going for it. Housed in what was once the women’s wear wing of Barneys New York, it retains the store’s six-story steel-and-marble spiral staircase, and turns spaces conceived for leisurely shopping into ideally scaled galleries. And the kind of art gathered in those galleries is, in its concentration, like nothing else in town.
Persons: Frick, Morgan Organizations: Rubin Museum of Art, Barneys Locations: Barneys New York, Himalayan Asia, India, China, Tibet
Tesla stock has room to fall further after the electric vehicle maker missed first-quarter delivery estimates, according to JPMorgan. The bank reiterated an underweight rating on Elon Musk's company Wednesday but slashed its price target to $115 per share from $130. TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock. "We are slashing our estimates and price target for Tesla shares after updating for 1Q24 deliveries which yesterday tracked materially softer than JPM and consensus expectations," JPMorgan analysts led by Ryan Brinkman wrote. Guggenheim Securities cut its Tesla price target to $122 from $132 on Wednesday, while Deutsche Bank reduced its target to $189 from $200.
Persons: Tesla, headwinds, Ryan Brinkman, Brinkman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Elon, EV, Toyota, Guggenheim Securities, Deutsche Bank Locations: China
Meanwhile, Wells Fargo called for 20% upside for Meta Platforms and raised one of its estimates for the company's ad sales. Despite those positive trends, the new price target from KBW is still below the stock's closing level on Tuesday of $245.84. — Jesse Pound 5:53 a.m.: Redburn Atlantic upgrades UPS UPS could be in for strong gains after a slow start to the year, according to Redburn Atlantic. Analyst Oliver Holmes upgraded the package delivery giant to buy, raising its price target to $180. "We believe UPS is at, or close to, trough revenue, volume, margin and share price levels," Holmes wrote to clients.
Persons: Wells, Tesla, Gary Mobley, Wolfspeed, Mobley, Wells Fargo, — Jesse Pound, Ronald Jewsikow, Guggenheim, Jewsikow, Richard Shane, Shane, Coinbase, Keefe, Kyle Voigt, Voigt, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Oliver Holmes, Holmes, Fred Imbert, ~ ~ . Organizations: CNBC, Wednesday, UPS, Hyundai, Guggenheim, JPMorgan, ADV, SEC, Meta, Wall, ~$ Locations: Wells Fargo, 4Q23 ., Tuesday's
Read previewHistory says US stocks' idyllic start to the year is sustainable, as does the chief global strategist at $2.9 trillion JPMorgan Asset Management. Advertisement"The market has momentum, and so good times beget good times," Kelly told Business Insider in a recent interview. JPMorgan Asset Management"There is a certain amount of fluff in those valuations, and I think that is somewhat dangerous," Kelly said. JPMorgan Asset ManagementOutside equities, Kelly said investors should consider adding exposure to alternative assets like real estate and transportation. "The overall buffet table of investment opportunities is being expanded, even for individual investors," Kelly said.
Persons: , David Kelly, Kelly, David Rosenberg, Jon Wolfenbarger, Rosenberg, Kelly doesn't, it's, Kelly didn't Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Business, JPMorgan Asset Management, Bulls, Apple, JPMorgan, Management, Companies, Nikkei, P Transportation, Trust Nasdaq Transportation Locations: Truist, Europe, United Kingdom, Japan
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Nvidia as outperform Oppenheimer said it's sticking with its outperform rating on shares of Nvidia. Citi reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Citi said the biopharma company is "riding the GLP-1 rocket." Citi downgrades Clorox to neutral from buy Citi said that the bullish thesis for the stock has largely played out for now. Citi upgrades Estee Lauder to buy from neutral Citi said it sees a "topline inflection point" for the stock. Barclays upgrades Array Technologies to overweight from equal weight Barclays said it sees share gains for the solar company.
Persons: Oppenheimer, McCormick, Argus, Needham, it's, Nelson Peltz, Melius, Horton, Citi, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, ARRY, JMP, Piper Sandler, Piper, Nio, CFRA, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Blackstone, Petco Organizations: Nvidia, JPMorgan, Disney, Boeing, Citi, Coca, MTH, RBC, GE Vernova, General Electric, Bank of America, Meta, Travel, Barclays, Eaton, MI, Olema Pharmaceuticals, UBS, Bank of, of America Locations: underperform, LEN, DHI, Asia, Eaton, 4Q23
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