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☆ Why we like health-care stocks in 2024 despite their spotty record in presidential election years
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The S & P 500 Health Care Sector index has outperformed the broader S & P 500 in just three of the past eight presidential election years dating back to 1992, according to FactSet data. So far in 2024, health care has been the best-performing sector in the S & P 500, climbing roughly 2%. .GSPHC .SPX YTD mountain Health care sector vs. S & P 500 YTD It's way too early for any grand predictions with Election Day 2024 about 10 months away. Nevertheless, we see attractive fundamentals in the year ahead for a host of health-care stocks, giving us the confidence to own Lilly, GE Healthcare and Danaher despite what history says about the group in presidential election years. After a strong 2022 for health care in a terrible overall market, investors last year placed a lower emphasis on the defensive characteristics of health care.

Persons: —, that's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Joe Biden, Sanders, would've, Damien Conover, Conover, Biden, Eli Lilly's, Morningstar, Amgen, Morningstar's Conover, Lilly's donanemab, Humana, Bausch, Jim Cramer's, Frederick Florin Organizations: Health, GE Healthcare, Abbott Laboratories, Amgen, Novartis, Walgreens Boots Alliance, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, Democratic, Morningstar, CNBC, Horizon Therapeutics, Novo Nordisk, Federal Reserve, General Electric, Medicare, Humana, UnitedHealth Group, Investors, AFP, Getty Locations: San Francisco, U.S, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Canadian, Fegersheim, France

☆ Homebuilder sentiment surges as mortgage rates trend down
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Washington, DC CNN —Homebuilder confidence surged in January as mortgage rates continued to trend lower, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released Wednesday. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes surpassed market expectations, climbing seven points to 44 on the index. The optimism comes as mortgage rates begin to fall and data points to an improving economy heading into 2024. “Single-family starts are expected to grow in 2024, adding much needed inventory to the market,” Huey said. The monthly builder index looks at current sales, buyer traffic and the outlook for sales of new-construction homes over the next six months.

Persons: Alicia Huey, ” Huey, Freddie Mac Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo

☆ Jamie Dimon warns 'all these very powerful forces' will impact U.S. economy in 2024 and 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Jamie Dimon, President & CEO,Chairman & CEO JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17yth, 2024. "You have all these very powerful forces that are going to be affecting us in '24 and '25," Dimon told Andrew Ross Sorkin Wednesday in a CNBC interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "Ukraine, the terrorist activity in Israel [and] the Red Sea, quantitative tightening, which I still question if we understand exactly how that works," Dimon said. Quantitative tightening refers to moves by the Federal Reserve to reduce its balance sheet and rein in previous efforts including bond-purchasing programs. In Dimon's view, the relatively buoyant stock market of recent months has lulled investors on the potential risks ahead.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan, 17yth, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon, Andrew Ross Sorkin, dory, we've Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, CNBC, Economic, Federal Reserve Locations: Davos, Switzerland, U.S, Ukraine, Israel

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Cutting interest rates too soon could threaten Europe’s progress in battling the inflation that has ravaged the economy, the head of the European Central Bank said Wednesday amid widespread speculation that the bank soon will lower rates from record highs. But higher prices have spread through the economy in the form of high prices for services and higher wages. Meanwhile, sluggish economic growth and the impact of higher interest rates on economic activity have sparked bets on rate cuts. Higher rates are the typical antidote to high inflation because they make it more expensive to borrow and buy things, reducing demand for goods. “The first question for next week's European Central Bank meeting is how the bank will react to current market pricing,” Brzeski wrote in a preview of the meeting.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Carsten Brzeski, ” Brzeski, “ Organizations: European Central Bank, Bloomberg, ECB, U.S . Federal, Wall Street, Union, ING, Central Bank Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Davos, Switzerland, Israel, Europe, Ukraine

☆ UBS raises S&P 500 target for 2024, sees nearly 8% gain from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is in for yet another strong year, according to UBS. The firm lifted its year-end target on the S & P 500 from 4,850 to 5,150, representing 7.7% upside for the benchmark stock index from Friday's close. The S & P 500 ended last week at 4,783.83. This year's more dovish Federal Reserve policy supports higher valuations, Golub said, upping his 2024 earnings-per-share estimate on the S & P 500 by $10 to $235. "While the S & P 500 advanced throughout 2023, leadership has become more pro-cyclical over the past 3 months, an indication of investor optimism toward the economy," Golub said.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, upping Organizations: UBS, Federal, Technology

☆ This income-paying asset could be poised to rise in 2024 as interest rates cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-02 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With interest rates expected to come down in 2024, real estate — a sector beloved for its steady income payments — could see upside in the new year. "When rates are low, a lot of income-oriented investors see that REIT dividend as very attractive, and they are willing to take the risks associated with equity investment to have this dividend payment." Jefferies is neutral on the office REIT sector but has raised its rating on Boston Properties to buy from hold. The senior housing occupancy rate was 84.4% in the third quarter of 2023, according to the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care . That's up more than 6 percentage points from the pandemic low of 77.8%, but it's still off from the pre-pandemic occupancy rate of 87.1%.

Persons: REITs, Kevin Brown, Jefferies, Peter Abramowitz, Morningstar's Brown, it's, Brown, JPMorgan's Anthony Paolone, Ventas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Chris Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Boston Properties, Boston, National Investment Center, Seniors Housing & Care, Realty Locations: U.S, Boston, Friday's

☆ These were the most traded stocks and options heading into Christmas, Interactive Brokers says
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-27 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Interactive Brokers on Tuesday compiled a list of its 25 most traded stocks and options between Dec. 18 and Dec. 22. They also put in more than 62,000 Tesla options orders. Other heavily traded stocks include Nvidia , crypto mining company Marathon Digital and Advanced Micro Devices . They also traded more than 32,000 Nvidia options orders, along with 14,694 for Marathon and over 16,000 for AMD. Clarification: This story has been updated to reflect the data refers to stock and options orders.

Persons: Steve Sosnick, Tesla, it's, Sosnick Organizations: Interactive, Nvidia, Marathon, Devices, Traders, AMD, Nasdaq, Dow Jones

I didn't learn about investing growing up so I was thrilled to read "The Simple Path to Wealth." Thanks to the book, I'm now on the path towards FIRE — financial independence/retire early. I'm thankful that, in 2017, I was able to read a book called "The Simple Path to Wealth." Here's what "The Simple Path to Wealth" taught me about managing money and building wealth. For me, "The Simple Path to Wealth" has demystified the purpose and process of building wealth in America.

Persons: Collins, I'm, —, JL Collins, I've Organizations: Service, Pew Research, FIRE, Vanguard, Market Index Locations: America

☆ UBS sees big market swings and only slight gains for stocks in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's

☆ Evercore ISI sees big pullback in first half of 2024 as recession ‘materializes’
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The market is going to worsen early in 2024 before recovering, according to Evercore ISI. The firm sees the S & P 500 falling in the first half of next year to 3,970 as a "recession materializes and politics [amplify] volatility." An inverted yield curve also portends the start of a recessionary period in the first quarter of 2024, he added. "'Defense Wins Championships' is a consistent theme between [the] last hike and first cut in the recession playbook," said Emanuel. By comparison, the S & P 500 is up 20.1% year to date.

Persons: That's, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel Organizations: ISI

☆ China's battered economy suffers another blow as Moody's slashes its credit outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Moody's Investors Service slashed its outlook for Chinese government bonds to negative on Tuesday. Beijing has rolled out stimulus packages and ramped up borrowing in a bid to support the embattled Chinese economy in 2023. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMoody's Investors Service slashed its outlook for China's credit rating on Tuesday, dealing a fresh blow to the world's second-largest economy. Moody's cited stagnant growth and a seemingly never-ending property crisis as factors that could hamper Beijing's ability to repay its debts.

Persons: —, Moody's, that's, –, Read, It's Organizations: Moody's, Service, China's Ministry, Finance, Bloomberg, CSI Locations: Beijing, China, Moody's

☆ Stifel says the S&P 500 to top out soon, still stuck in a secular bear market
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The broad market index ended Friday at 4,594.63, its highest close for 2023. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2023 Year to date, the broad market index is up nearly 19%, fueled primarily by large-cap tech names like Meta and Nvidia . He also noted that the market faces bleak prospects going into the early 2030s, expecting a range-bound S & P 500 in real terms" as investors navigate a secular bear market. "The CPI inflation-adjusted S & P 500 peaked near 5,300 in Dec-2021 and has been lower since, which is characteristic of a decade-long Secular Bear Market featuring a flattish/range bound market," Bannister said. As the market growth story shifts to cyclical growth, Bannister says the previous "high level of returns … is gone for a generation."

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Stocks just had their best month of the year. Why it happened and who led the way
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 entered Thursday up 8.5% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. .SPX 1M mountain November is shaping up to be the best month of the year for the S & P 500. Through mid-November, when 94% of S & P 500 companies had reported results, third quarter earnings were tracking about 4.3% above the same time last year, according to FactSet. Top stocks Another important change in November is the stocks leading the way. Of the 10 biggest stocks in the S & P 500, five rose at least 10% in November, including the two largest in Apple and Microsoft .

Persons: John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, It's, it's, Yung, Yu Ma, That's, Santa Claus, Chris Verrone, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, CNBC, Expedia, Carnival Corp, Generac Holdings, Paramount Global, Insulet Corp, BMO Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Energy, OPEC Locations: U.S, Santa

☆ Dollar drifts near three-month low, focus on inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The index is down 3.7% in November on growing expectations the Fed will cut interest rates in the first half of 2024. The dollar clawed back some of its losses on Wednesday after data showed the U.S. economy grew faster in the third quarter than initially reported. "Markets will continue to play to focus on what FOMC officials say about the prospect of the upcoming rate-hike cycle." Two of the best-performers are at the polar opposite ends of the "carry" spectrum — the New Zealand dollar and Japanese yen . On Thursday, yen strengthened 0.09% to 147.11 per dollar, remaining close to two and half month high of 146.675 per dollar it touched on Wednesday.

Persons: Carol Kong, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Christopher Wong, Goldman Sachs, Sterling Organizations: Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S

☆ November’s rally has set the 60/40 portfolio on track for its best month since 2020
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors who held a balanced portfolio and just let it ride through November are about to be handsomely rewarded: The 60/40 portfolio is cruising to its best month in three years. That's just short of the 7.5% advance in November 2020, when progress on Covid vaccines heralded an economic reopening. AOR YTD line YTD performance for iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR) First, bond yields cooled substantially in November. Bond yields decline when bond prices rise, so cooling rates have lifted prices for fixed income allocations. A recovery in both asset classes has since lifted the AOR to a total return of 10.8% for 2023, showing that staying the course can pay off.

Persons: That's, Henry Allen, they've, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Fed, ECB Locations: Wednesday's

FILE PHOTO: A screen showing the Hang Seng stock index is seen outside Exchange Square, in Hong Kong, China, August 18, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDec 1 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. They include Australia, South Korea and India, as well as China's 'unofficial' PMI. Foreigners already appear to be voting with their feet - China just recorded its first-ever quarterly deficit in foreign direct investment. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:- PMIs for Australia, South Korea, India, China- Japan unemployment (October)- Indonesia inflation (October)By Jamie McGeever Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tyrone Siu, Dow Jones, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, National Bureau, Statistics, Japan's Nikkei, U.S ., Thomson, Reuters Locations: Exchange, Hong Kong, China, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Australia, India, Asia

☆ Asia stocks closing in on strongest month since January
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A man is reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. The MSCI Asia-ex-Japan stocks index (.MIAPJ0000PUS) is up 6.7% so far this month, setting it on course to mark the best month since January. South Korea's KOSPI (.KS11) has led the rally in Asia with 10.5% gains this month, followed closely by Taiwan (.TWII) and Japan's Nikkei Average index (.N225). Ten-year U.S. yields are down more than 60 basis points in November, on track for the steepest monthly drop since late 2008. U.S. financial conditions are the loosest since early September and have eased 100 basis points in a month, according to Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Issei Kato, Korea's, Christopher Waller, Waller, Redmond Wong, Goldman Sachs, J.P.Morgan, Brent, Kane Wu, Vidya Ranganathan, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Fed, Stock, U.S, Wednesday, Saxo Markets, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, U.S, Asia, Taiwan, Greater China, China, Russia, Hong Kong

REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 30 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. If this week has so far been strangely listless for Asian markets, that could be about to change suddenly on Thursday as investors brace for a deluge of top-tier economic data and policy events from across the continent. The latest industrial production and retail sales data from both Japan and South Korea are on tap too, all of which could move their respective markets, especially currencies. All else equal, the risks for Asian markets on Thursday may be tilted to the upside, even though stock markets around the world again struggled on Wednesday. South Korea's central bank is expected to keep its base rate on hold at 3.50% and leave it there until at least the middle of next year.

Persons: Kim Hong, That's, Goldman Sachs, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Korea, South Korean, REUTERS, New Zealand, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Seoul, South Korea, China, India, Japan, U.S, Korea's, Korea

☆ Barclays fears year-end gains could be stealing 2024's potential returns
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

For investors cheering stocks' strong rally into the year end, Barclays warned that it could be eating into 2024's return. A number of macro news events sparked a relief rally in equities as 2023 begins to wrap up, with the S & P 500 registering four straight weeks of gains and climbing 8.5% in November. "Combined with year-end seasonality, the surge in institutional flows could push equities over their skis, essentially 'borrowing' 2024 returns and leaving less room for upside next year," he added. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The firm expects only single-digit returns next year as modest economic deceleration offsets the benefit of easing inflation. Barclays raised its 2024 S & P 500 price target to 4,800, from 4,500 previously.

Persons: Venu Krishna, Krishna, dovish, Treasury QRA, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Treasury, Big Tech, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Wall

☆ S&P 500 to reach record 5,100 next year, fueled by bumper corporate profits, BMO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market rally will diversify next year amid a broader, "normal for longer" trend, according to BMO Capital Markets. Chief investment strategist Brian Belski set his 2024 base case target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, which implies an almost 12% rally from Friday's close. In other words, normal and typical," Belski wrote in a Monday note. But that does not make it normal or typical," Belski added. One market trend that will notably improve next year is the percentage of stocks outperforming the broader index, Belski added.

Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, –, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Bank of Montreal Locations: Friday's

☆ Harrisburg, Pennsylvania is the No. 1 place to retire in America, recent study shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Celia Fernandez | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

According to a recent U.S. News and World Report ranking, the state of Pennsylvania dominates the list of best place to retire in the U.S. Harrisburg ranked as the best place to retire in the U.S. in 2024, according to U.S. News and World Report. Richard T. Nowitz | The Image Bank | Getty ImagesHarrisburg, Pennsylvania's capital, ranked as the best place to retire in the U.S. Reading, Pennsylvania ranked as the second-best place to retire in the U.S. in 2024, according to U.S. News and World Report. 3 best place to retire in the U.S. in 2024, according to U.S. News and World Report.

Persons: Richard T, Penn ., Alex Potemkin, RentCafe Organizations: . News, U.S . News, U.S, Harrisburg, Bank, Getty Images, Allentown , Penn . New York City, Daytona, Reading Railroad, Monopoly, Istock, Getty Locations: U.S, Florida, Pennsylvania, Northeastern, Puerto Rico, Harrisburg, Penn, Getty Images Harrisburg, New York City, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Washington, East Coast, Zillow, Reading, Penn . Lancaster, Scranton, Allentown , Penn . New York, Allentown , Penn . New York City York, Daytona Beach, Fla . Youngstown , Ohio Pittsburgh, Reading , Pennsylvania, Lancaster, Reading , PA, Lancaster . Lancaster , Pennsylvania

The idea of investing has always terrified me, because I worry that I don't know what I'm doing. The idea of investing my money used to absolutely terrify me. We all have our own reasons, but I know I'm not the only person who's approached the stock market with trembling hands. The average stock market return is about 10% every year. After maxing out my Roth IRA, I started putting money into a brokerage account, specifically investing in index funds.

Persons: —, wasn't, I've, I'd, who's, She's, she's, Get, it's, Roth Organizations: Service, SEC, IRA, Roth IRA

While the S&P 500 index (.SPX) ended little changed, the Amplify Online Retail ETF climbed 0.4% and the broader SPDR S&P Retail ETF gained about 0.7%. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF, which has net assets of $396.6 million, recorded weekly outflows of $115.6 in the week ended on Wednesday, according to data from Lipper. Still, the bulk of 2023 returns for investors in U.S. retail ETFs have come in recent weeks. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH.O) has generated half of its 12.8% year-to-date gains in the last two months. But Thomas Hayes, chair at Great Hill Capital LLC in New York, anticipates better-than-expected gains in retail stocks this holiday season.

Persons: Vincent Alban Acquire, Michael Ashley Schulman, Schulman, Thomas Hayes, Suzanne McGee, Lananh Nguyen, Josie Kao Organizations: Woodbury, REUTERS, Exchange, P Retail, Retailers, National Retail Federation, Walmart, United Auto Workers, Hollywood SAG, Running, Retail, Great, Capital, Thomson Locations: Central Valley , New York, U.S, New York

☆ The S&P 500 could see double-digit gains again in 2024, RBC says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

.SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has already broken above 4,500. RBC projects earnings per share for the S & P 500 will rise about 4% in 2024, and notes that the economy could be surprisingly resilient once again. "The possibility that the economy surprises to the upside again in 2024 is an upside risk to our S & P 500 target price. That being said, we continue to have doubts that a recession must necessarily be priced into the US equity market," Calvasina said. When market cap concentration has spiked in the past, it's often been associated with periods of nervousness in the US equity market.

Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, it's Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, CNBC Market, Survey, RBC Locations: U.S

☆ Bank of America sees the S&P 500 rising to 5,000 next year, anticipates a 'stock picker's paradise'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Savita Subramanian, the bank's head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, wrote Tuesday she sees the S & P 500 ending 2024 at 5,000. "We are past maximum macro uncertainty," wrote Subramanian. The S & P 500 on Friday posted a three-week winning streak — its longest run since this past summer. The strategist also noted other reasons she's bullish heading into 2024, including: Expectations of S & P 500 earnings rising more than 6% year over year. How to play it She anticipates a "stock picker's paradise" as certain companies separate themselves from the pack.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, she's Organizations: of America, Federal, Bull Locations: Monday's

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