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The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConcerned about longer-term willingness of investors to add to treasury debt: economist ReinhartVincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the impact of the Fed's latest cut and the future of monetary policy.
Persons: Reinhart Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus Organizations: Mellon, Fed
Fed Chair Powell: Job is not done on inflation
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: Job is not done on inflationFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell fields questions from reporters after the Central Bank announced its second consecutive interest rate cut on Thursday.
Persons: Powell, Job, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank
Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, delivers a speech during the 2024 Lujiazui Forum on June 19, 2024 in Shanghai, China. BEIJING — The head of the People's Bank of China said in a closely watched meeting Tuesday that the central bank planned to maintain supportive monetary policy, according to state media. PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng added that the central bank intended to “increase the intensity of counter-cyclical monetary policy," state media said in Chinese, translated by CNBC. Finance Minister Lan Fo'an addressed the committee Monday about a plan to increase the local government debt limit in order to replace hidden debt, state media said. Lan on Tuesday also presented a report on managing state-owned assets, according to state media.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Lan Fo'an, Lan Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, CNBC, National, Committee, Finance, U.S Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING, People's Bank of China, U.S . Federal
As the central bank lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: they've, Jerome Powell's, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business
When officials meet to decide where interest rates should be, they don’t consult the president and other elected officials — and for good reason. That’s because, as one former Federal Reserve chair famously said, central bankers’ job is to remove the punchbowl right when the party is just getting started. I feel that strongly,” Trump said at a press conference in August, referring to the Fed’s interest rate decisions. Lowering interest rates too soon could’ve risked reigniting inflation, which is currently just a tenth of a percentage point higher than the Fed’s 2% target. That’s why countries with independent central banks generally have lower inflation, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters in September after central bankers lowered rates by a half point.
Persons: , Said, Donald Trump, , ” Trump, , Trump, could’ve, Jerome Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal, Bloomberg, Fed Locations: New York
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
"The expectation among bond traders coming into the election was that rates would move higher in the event of a Trump victory and especially a red sweep. "The builder stocks are highly sensitive to mortgage rates and mortgage rate expectations. Big builders have been buying down mortgage rates for their customers, but that has been cutting into their margins. Mortgage rates don't follow the Fed, but do react to the central bank's thinking on the economy. Stronger-than-expected economic reports in September and October caused bond yields, and consequently mortgage rates, to move higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matthew Graham, Horton, PulteGroup, Lowe's, John Burns, Trump, Carl Harris, Graham Organizations: Mortgage News, Trump, . Housing, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors Locations: U.S, D.R
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed Pres. Robert Kaplan: There are two phases to the Fed's rate cutsFormer Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's independence in light of Donald Trump's election victory, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting this week, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Robert Kaplan, Donald Trump's Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed
Former President Donald Trump arrives for his campaign rally at the Trump National Doral Golf Club in Doral, Florida, on July 9, 2024. Getting that money required him to make big promises pertaining to the crypto industry. "For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin," Trump said during his keynote speech. Trump pledged to maintain the current level of bitcoin holdings that the U.S. has amassed from seizing assets from financial criminals. "On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler," Trump said, referencing the Joe Biden-appointed SEC chairman who has taken an aggressive approach to crypto regulation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Raedle, Elon Musk, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Trump, MicroStrategy, Gary Gensler, Joe Biden, Gensler, Crypto, haven't, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Bitcoin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Trump National Doral Golf Club, Getty, Republican, Strategic, White, U.S . Marshals Service, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC, Trump, Lago Club, Riot, Marathon Digital Holdings, Radical Communist, Federal Reserve Locations: Doral , Florida, Nashville, United States of America, Germany, America, Palm Beach , Florida, China, Russia, USA
Fed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard Clarida
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed is going to cut by 25 bps, says PIMCO's Richard ClaridaRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's decision tomorrow and Trump's second-term election.
Persons: PIMCO's Richard Clarida Richard Clarida Organizations: Fed
US election news on a screen on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night after a huge market rally following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded marginally above flat. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all notched new all-time highs in the session, while the small cap-focused Russell 2000 jumped more than 5%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Dow, Russell, Scott Helfstein, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S ., Global, CME Group's, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Key Square Group CEO Scott BessentScott Bessent, Key Square Group founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, future of government spending, the Fed's independence, and more.
Persons: Scott Bessent Scott Bessent, Donald Trump's Organizations: Key Square, Key Square Group
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Wednesday afternoon. "Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. AdvertisementWhat are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
The S&P 500 has an outstanding track record after major rallies in the first 10 months. Here's why history and other key catalysts are on the market's side, according to Truist. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than seven decades' worth of data suggest that US stocks will end 2024 on a high note. Drawdowns are inevitable, as Lerner noted that the S&P 500 typically pulls back by 5% or more three times per year.
Persons: Stocks, , that's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal, Fed
Markets: The post-election rally on Wall Street continued into afternoon trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 3.4%, or roughly 1,450 points, and the S & P 500 advancing 2.4%. It's worth noting, the stock market was reacting like Jim Cramer said it would in his Sunday column . The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and Wednesday's rally can be attributed, in part, to relief that Wall Street professionals and individual investors alike know where they stand and what to expect from the country's next president. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%. "You have to be very careful to respect the bond market if you do any buying today," Jim said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Morgan Stanley, Jim, It's, Yun Li, Trump, Harris, Jerome Powell's, we'll, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Wall, Dow Jones, Trump, Republican, NBC, Senate, NBC News, Wells, BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Honeywell, Federal, White, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Bros, Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Hershey, Air Products, Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Jim Cramer's Charitable
Gold holds steady as market awaits U.S. election outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold held steady on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the outcome of a tightly contested U.S. presidential race. Spot gold held its ground at $2,745.42 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. Elsewhere, Perth Mint reported a decline in October gold sales, while silver sales slipped to their lowest in four months. Spot silver fell 0.53% to $32.49 per ounce, platinum shed 0.6% to $993.45 and palladium was down 2.17% to $1,052.25.
Persons: Gold, Republican Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Republican, D.C, Edison Research, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Perth Mint Locations: Istanbul, Tuesday's U.S, Washington
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Club stock Nvidia rose about 3% Wednesday to an all-time high above $144 per share. Trump will want to champion Nvidia, Jim said, stressing it's an American success story and it makes too much money. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Dow, Morgan Stanley, We're, Trump, Jim, Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Club, Wells, BlackRock, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Trump, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: , BlackRock, financials, China
The Federal Reserve likely will stick to the business at hand when it wraps up its meeting Thursday with another interest rate cut, but will have its eye on the future against a backdrop that suddenly has gotten a lot more complicated. The focus, though, will turn to what's ahead for Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues as they navigate a shifting economy — and the political earthquake of Donald Trump's stunning victory in the presidential race. So while the immediate action will be to stay the course and enact the cut, which equals 25 basis points, the market's attention likely will turn to what the committee and Powell have to say about the future. The fed funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but often influences consumer debt as well, is currently targeted in a range between 4.75%-5.0%. Market pricing currently favors another quarter-point cut in December, followed by a January pause then multiple reductions through 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Powell, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailScott Bessent on possible Treasury secretary role: I'm going to do whatever Donald Trump asksScott Bessent, Key Square Group founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, future of government spending, the Fed's independence, and more.
Persons: Scott Bessent, Donald Trump, Donald Trump's Organizations: Key Square Group
Detailed below is how a Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans. Trump has proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White Locations: Americas
Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White
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