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Earnings season is getting underway with JPMorgan Chase on Friday, but don't expect its third-quarter results to turn the market around. So far this year, the investment bank has not started the season off upbeat, as shares have fallen in every postearnings trading session. However, he also noted that net interest income may be under pressure. "NII should be modestly lower in the quarter, due to some [net interest margin] compression," he wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. "In addition, results should be impacted by seasonally lower trading activity (flat to up 2% y-o-y) while asset quality continues to normalize."
Persons: Jason Goldberg, Goldberg Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Investment Group, JPMorgan, Barclays
While "boring" bitcoin has been chopping sideways since March, bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy is trading at its highest level relative to the flagship crypto since 2019. Wolfe Research managing director Rob Ginsberg said he "loves [MicroStrategy's] chances to get out and continue climbing," but that the stock is overbought in the near term. "On a relative basis vs. BTC, the stock is at its highest level since 2019," Ginsberg added. Bitcoin is up 41% for the year, while MicroStrategy has gained 193%. MicroStrategy, which tends to be a high beta play on the cryptocurrency, is expected to follow.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, MARA, MSTR, Ginsberg, Price, Wolfe, MicroStrategy, bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, BTC Locations: pullbacks, MSTR, bitcoin
The financial firm upgraded the athletic apparel stock to a buy rating from hold and raised its price target to $97 from $83. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:48 a.m.: Goldman Sachs trims Microsoft price target Goldman Sachs is still bullish shares of Microsoft , despite a minor price target adjustment. However, she accompanied the move by lifting her price target to $80 from $75. Analyst Andrew Mok accompanied the rating change by lifting his price target to $82 from $63. To be sure, he did raise his price target by $10 to $235, implying upside of nearly 10%.
Persons: Joseph Civello, Civello, Caitlin Clark, Lisa Kailai Han, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, Bernstein, Harshita Rawat, Venmo, Cash, Rawat, — Lisa Kailai Han, Shagun Singh, Singh, Medtronic, Andrew Mok, Mok, Stephen Tusa, Tusa, divestitures, YTD, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, JPMorgan, Honeywell International, Nike, Microsoft, PayPal, RBC, RBC Capital Markets, CVS, Aetna, Honeywell, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: buybacks, Wednesday's
Morgan Stanley has a buy-equivalent rating on the Club stock and a price target of $150 a share, implying 13% upside from Wednesday's close. If artificial intelligence models are tasked with completing more complicated tasks, that could play into Nvidia's hands over time, Morgan Stanley reasoned. Several positive updates on AI adoption last month helped Nvidia's stock mount the comeback, which has completely erased a severe post-earnings slide that began Aug. 28 . More recently, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has touted "insane" demand for Blackwell . Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang talks onstage with Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff during Salesforce's Dreamforce on September 17, 2024 in San Francisco, California.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Marc Benioff, Salesforce's Dreamforce, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Blackwell, Tech, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Google, Apple, Devices, Broadcom, CNBC, Getty Locations: , San Francisco , California
Meanwhile, Jefferies began coverage of Reddit with a buy rating and a price target of $90. Champine said the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates was a driving force for the price target changes. Analyst William Kerr initiated coverage of the pet ecommerce retailer with a buy rating and $38 price target. RBLX YTD mountain RBLX in 2024 — Alex Harring 5:50 a.m.: Citi says UPS is a buy Buy the dip on UPS shares, according to Citi. Analyst Ariel Rosa initiated the delivery giant with a buy rating and a price target of $162.
Persons: Jefferies, Laura Champine, Champine, Helene, Milton, Lowe's, — Alex Harring, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone Piper Sandler, Crispin Love, Love, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh, Singh, Alex Harring, TD Cowen, William Kerr, Kerr, Benjamin Soff, Soff, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski, Roblox, Ariel Rosa, Rosa, — Fred Imbert, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, EBITDA Organizations: CNBC, Wednesday, Citi, UPS, Capital, Federal Reserve, Blackstone, Industry, Deutsche Bank, New York Times, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Tuesday's
The New York Times stands out in the media landscape because of its thriving subscription business as well as opportunities stemming from artificial intelligence applications, according to Deutsche Bank. Analysts led by Benjamin Soff initiated research coverage of the 173-year-old newspaper's stock with a buy rating and a $65 price target. "In our view The New York Times' news publishing is differentiated in today's media landscape," Soff wrote in a Wednesday note announcing the call. NYT YTD mountain NYT shares, year to date Moreover, Soff said the Times can see additional upside tied to AI licensing agreements, noting the company is building out its own internal AI capabilities. Times shares have added nearly 12% in 2024, building on last year's 50% advance.
Persons: Benjamin Soff, Soff Organizations: New York Times, Deutsche Bank ., Times
Last month, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a half point – the first time the central bank cut rates since 2020. Since the Sept. 18 meeting, the market has moved even higher, with all three major averages gaining between 1% and 3%. The bank noted that several of the companies in the screen have lagged the cyclical recovery, making the stocks likely to benefit from the market's ongoing rotation. JPMorgan rates Alaska Air overweight. Wall Street is rather bullish on the name, as 10 of the 14 analysts covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: Dubravko, Bujas, E.l.f, Tarang Amin, CNBC's, Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Airlines, U.S . Department, Starbucks, Nike
No matter who voters choose, whether it is former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris , Liwag doesn't expect a meaningful shake-up in the outlook for defense stocks. Still, the analyst notes that even cases where an administration cuts defense spending, stocks can still carve out gains. During the Obama administration, the defense budget fell 3.3%, but defense stocks gained 2.1%. The defense stocks Morgan Stanley covers have outperformed the S & P 500 since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Liwag said. "Historically, the conventional wisdom has been that Republicans are positive for defense spending and defense stocks, while Democrats are negative," Harned said.
Persons: Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Liwag, Bernstein's Harned, Harned, Harris, Wolfe Research's, Tobin Marcus, Marcus, Ronald Epstein, Epstein, Trump, Northrop, Obama, Northrop Grumman, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Ciarmoli, Truist, Leonardo Organizations: P Aerospace, Defense, Industry, L3Harris Technologies, Lockheed, CNBC, " Bank of America, Democratic, Senate, Republican, U.S . House, Trump White House, Republican Senate, Trump, Abrams, Space Force, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, Hamas, Dynamics, Northrop, Gulfstream, Leonardo DRS, Moog, Republicans Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Russia, Crimea, Iran, Israel
All eyes are on Nvidia milestone into Wednesday's close
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Nvidia is the stock to watch heading into Wednesday's close. The mega-cap tech stock that is everyone's artificial intelligence barometer is nearing a milestone with its recent rally. At its high for Wednesday's session it reached $134.52. The morning move higher in Nvidia helped to lift the S & P 500 to an intraday record . A record close for Nvidia, along with an S & P 500 record close, could indicate to some that the artificial intelligence trade that's powered the bull market is back on.
Persons: Katie Stockton, She's, Stockton Organizations: Nvidia Locations: Wednesday's
Why health care could be a winner heading into year-end
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Health care may be the answer, if history is any indication. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) has posted a November gain in eight of the last 10 years. Health care trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2, while the S & P 500 has a multiple of 24. The optimism around health care comes as the sector lags the broader market. Some health care names poised to do well, according to Krinsky, are Masimo and Viking Therapeutics .
Persons: What's, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: iShares Biotechnology, Viking Therapeutics, Viking, Politan, Citi, UPS, Amazon Logistics, Walmart Locations: China
One of several Wells Fargo top trading ideas for the fourth quarter of 2024 is shorting Elon Musk's electric vehicle company, Tesla . One of Wells Fargo's top recommendations is to short Tesla , betting that the stock will fall. These dynamics, alongside improved earnings momentum, could make Las Vegas Sands an "idiosyncratic, self-help story plus a Macau/China macro play." LVS YTD mountain Las Vegas Sands stock. Wells analyst Elyse Greenspan expects improving organic revenue growth, free cash flow conversion and expanding profit margins will drive the stock higher.
Persons: shorting Elon, Wells, Colin Langan's, Langan, bady, Dan Politzer, Politzer, Willis Towers Watson, Watson, Elyse Greenspan, Willis Organizations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Presidential, Amazon, Micro, Sands, Vegas Sands Locations: Wells, Macao, Macau, China, Vegas
The Justice Department's proposals included "behavioral and structural remedies" that would prevent Google from using its products against its rivals. GOOGL YTD mountain Google shares in 2024 Overall, Alphabet shares likely won't change much on the DOJ's initial framework in the short term, according to JPMorgan. The myriad of potential outcomes for Google means there isn't much near-term clarity for the stock. Indeed, Alphabet shares are up 15% in 2024, versus S & P 500's 21% gain. The bigger catalyst for Alphabet shares is the company's opportunity to further reduce its headcount and save on costs, analyst Thomas Champion wrote in a Sept. 30 research note.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, JPMorgan's Anmuth, Craig Moffett, Moffett, Piper Sandler, Thomas Champion, — CNBC's Jennifer Elias, Michael Bloom Organizations: Justice, Google, DOJ, JPMorgan, Meta Locations: U.S
Goldman Sachs thinks that U.S.-traded shares of Barclays still have a long growth runway ahead, even after already beating the market so far in 2024. The firm initiated coverage of the banking stock with a buy rating and a 290 pence per share price target on Tuesday. Goldman analyst Chris Hallam forecasts that Barclays could grow its earnings per share twice as fast as peer firms through 2027, while a steep discount on the stock gives investors an attractive entry point. ""The Investment Bank [portion of Barclays' business] is at-scale but currently under-earning," Hallam said. Hallam noted Barclays stock currently trades at roughly six times its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio, compared to the wider group of banks covered by Goldman that trade at seven times forward P/E.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Chris Hallam, Hallam Organizations: Barclays, U.S, BCS, ADRs, Investment Locations: American, stoke, reallocation
"We reiterate our Overweight rating on the name as NVDA remains our Top Pick." JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight JPMorgan raised its price target on the stock to $86 per share from $78. "We are initiating coverage of Morningstar (MORN) with a Buy rating and a $390 price target. Wells Fargo reiterates Tesla as underweight Wells says it remains "skeptical" heading into Tesla's robotaxi day later this week. "We are initiating coverage of MBX Biosciences with an Overweight rating and Dec 2025 price target of $30."
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, TD Cowen, Cowen, Wolfe, Wells, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Milton, Irma, JPMorgan, Charles Schwab, Morningstar, Redburn, Goldman, Tesla, TSLA, Key, Affirm's, it's, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Abbott, Susquehanna, KeyBanc Organizations: Anheuser Busch InBev, InBev, Humana, STARS, Microsoft, Disney, JPMorgan, UBS, Biotech, Legend Biotech, Barclays, Optimus, Qualcomm, Express, American Express, Netflix, Bicara Therapeutics, Abbott Labs, Howmet Aerospace, Commercial Aerospace & Defense, Bank of America, Apple, MBX Biosciences, Delta, Argus, McDonald's Corp Locations: China, Wells Fargo, F4Q17, 1H26, Tesla's
Honeywell CEO Vimal Kapur showed investors the company is finally serious about remaking itself — so we're upgrading the stock. It's an aggressive move by management, given that advanced materials make up roughly 10% of overall sales. "[These are] factors that may drive a modest upward re-rating to Honeywell's stock." "They said they wanted to reshuffle their portfolio," Jim said Tuesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Vimal Kapur, Jim Cramer, Honeywell divesting, Kapur, Cowen, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Honeywell, Club, Barclays, Carrier, Air Products, CNBC, Getty
A Wolfe Research analyst raised his view on troubled bank stock Wells Fargo, reasoning that regulatory and interest rate risks both are priced into the stock. However, analysts at Oppenheimer lowered their views on high-flying tech stock Microsoft on fears that OpenAI losses could hamper performance. Delta's stock price has gained nearly 23% this year, but is in the red for the quarter. Chubak sees downside to consensus 2026 earnings across the board for the group — but that the risk is better captured in the current valuation of major banks including Wells Fargo. WFC YTD line Wells Fargo stock performance Chubak upgraded Wells Fargo to outperform from peer perform and kept his $65 price target on the stock, which implies 13.7% potential upside.
Persons: Wolfe, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Bernstein Bernstein, David Vernon, Vernon, — Pia Singh, Timothy Horan, Horan, Lance Wilkes, Wilkes, Steven Chubak, Wells Fargo, Chubak Organizations: CNBC, Humana, Microsoft, Southwest Airlines, STARS, Wolfe Research, WFC Locations: Wells, Delta, Vernon, Atlanta, Wells Fargo
In 2024, the small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 's 8% rise still lags the S & P 500's roughly 19% gain. However, Oppenheimer thinks there is further upside ahead for these names. The stock offers a 5% dividend yield and healthy — albeit "lumpy" — free cash flow growth, the analyst added. CCOI YTD mountain Cogent Communications in 2024 Health-care services stock Chemed is another one of Oppenheimer's favorites. The online sports-betting (OSB) data provider could surge more than 37%, based on the $10 price target Oppenheimer holds on shares.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Russell, Timothy Horan, " Horan, Horan, Chemed, Michael Wiederhorn, Wiederhorn, Jed Kelly, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Genius Sports, National Football League, Football, Professional
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may help turn the tide for commercial real estate. "Lower interest rates are not a magic bullet, but less restrictive monetary policy lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," wrote senior economist Charlie Dougherty. "Decreased long-term interest rates appear to be easing upward pressure on cap rates and slowing declines in property valuations. "That said, reduced interest rates should prevent distress from spreading and shorten the hurdles coming down the road," he added. Gimple specifically likes single-asset, single-borrower CMBS and commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Charlie Dougherty, Dougherty, Douglas Gimple, Gimple, It's, that's Organizations: Treasury, Companies, Fed Locations: Central, Diamond, Los Angeles, New York, Miami, Hawaii
Wall Street analysts made the wrong call on DuPont, but it may be welcome news for investors looking to buy the stock. DuPont stock, trading around $85 per share Monday, would have to fall at least another 6% to below $80 to interest us. "This stock could have a very good run into 2025 as it becomes clear that the three segments are worth far more than the current price," Jim said. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Jeff Marks, Jeff, Jim Cramer's, Dupont Organizations: DuPont, Monday, Barclays, Club, CNBC, Getty Locations: Wilmington , Delaware
Circle-issued USD Coin (USDC) did not hit the market until 2018. "Coinbase and Circle have a revenue sharing agreement — they share 50% of USDC revenue," he said. "If the market cap for USDC goes up revenue for Coinbase will increase as well." The market cap for dollar-backed stablecoins has been hitting all-time-highs in recent weeks after a sharp drop in 2023. Tether makes up more than 70% of the market cap of U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins, according to CryptoQuant.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau, stablecoins Organizations: European Union, CNBC, . Locations: Europe, Crypto
Wells Fargo upgrades Gilead to overweight from equal weight Wells says the biopharma company has an attractive setup. Wells Fargo upgrades Canadian National to overweight from equal weight Wells says it sees "accelerating growth" for the railway company. Barclays downgrades Netflix to underweight from equal weight Barclay says the "growth algorithm is getting more complex." Wells Fargo downgrades Amazon to equal weight from overweight Wells says the "positive revision story [is] on pause for Amazon. JPMorgan upgrades Ally Financial to overweight from neutral and downgrades American Express to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded American Express and says it sees "asymmetric risk."
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Barclay, NFLX, Piper Sandler, Piper, Mizuho, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, JPMorgan, downgrades Sherwin, Williams, KeyBanc, Bernstein, Campbell, underperform Bernstein, Coupang, CPNG, Barclays downgrades, Avery Dennison, Garmin, Hershey Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence LT, UW, Vertiv Holdings, Coty, Barclays, Netflix, MKSI, Mizuho, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Alliance, Deutsche, UBS, NXP, Express, American Express, Barclays downgrades DuPont, DuPont, Bank of America downgrades Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Constellation Brands, Bank of America downgrades Comerica, of America, CMA, Air Products, Hershey Locations: OW, Gilead, Canada, underperform
The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?
Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
It has a price target of $68, implying more than 1% downside from Friday's close. — Sean Conlon 5:41 a.m.: Jefferies downgrades Apple Oversized expectations for the iPhone could hurt of Apple lower, according to Jefferies. Analyst Edison Lee downgraded the stock to hold from buy, and his price target of $212.92 implies more than 6% downside from Friday's close. His price target of $800, up from $650, implies upside of 11.2% from Friday's close. He kept his $550 price target unchanged, implying downside of more than 23%.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jefferies, Bernard von, Gizycki, — Sean Conlon, Wells, Ken Gawrelski, Fred Imbert, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, Lamb Weston, Ken Goldman, Goldman, Edison Lee, Lee, Matt Farrell, Farrell, Kannan Venkateshwar Organizations: CNBC, Netflix, Apple, Alliance, Western Alliance, Deutsche Bank, WAL, Amazon, North America Retail, JPMorgan, U.S, Jefferies, AP, Barclays Locations: Wells Fargo, Europe, Friday's
Stocks in the infrastructure sector aren't always top of mind. But investors who want to diversify their portfolios away from those popular names and themes can consider the infrastructure theme, says Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Stock pick Slimmon is bullish on equipment rental company United Rentals . URI YTD mountain YTD shares of United Rentals Shares in United Rentals trade on the New York Stock Exchange, and are up over 40% year to date, and over 80% over the last 12 months. KeyBanc Capital Markets' analysts identified United Rentals as "interesting acquirers," citing its "strong history of driving solid returns through large deals each year."
Persons: Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, Hurricane Helene, It's, Florida's Organizations: Nvidia, Novo Nordisk, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, United Rentals, New York Stock Exchange, KeyBanc, Markets Locations: U.S, Hurricane, North Carolina , Georgia, Texas, Massachusetts, Bend, Connecticut, North America, Europe, Australia, New Zealand
The recent stimulus-triggered rally in Chinese stocks could have legs, said Goldman Sachs, whose strategists upgraded the regional equities and projected high double-digit returns. The Wall Street firm hiked its rating on Chinese stocks to overweight from equal weight and raised its 12-month price target on the MSCI China index to 84, implying an upside between 15% to 18%. The announcement prompted massive buying from hedge funds, who piled into beaten-down Chinese stocks like never before. the long-awaited "Beijing put" has been triggered," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients. The iShares MSCI China ETF climbed another 2.7% on Monday, jumping more than 30% from its mid-September low and pushing the fund's 2024 return to more than 40%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, bullish, , Michael Bloom Locations: China, Beijing
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