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TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Tuesday, relinquishing some of the strong gains in the previous two sessions while the market remained cautious ahead of U.S. inflation figures for April, which will be key to the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. "Oil prices have rebounded somewhat in the last two sessions, so now is time for a pause ... with no real positive data coming out," said Suvro Sarkar, lead energy analyst at DBS Bank. "The market is cautious today ahead of the inflation data.... With net long positions declining sharply over the last two weeks, a lot of traders are already out of the market, so volumes are low." While oil markets fell sharply last week, prices rose on Friday and Monday as fears of recession eased in the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. "Oil prices won't be able to rise that much from here given all the growth demand fears, but expectations are high for OPEC+ to try to keep prices above the $70 a barrel level," Moya's note said.
TOKYO, May 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell in early trade on Tuesday, paring strong gains from the previous two sessions as markets remain cautious ahead of U.S. inflation figures for April which will be key to the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. Markets are awaiting U.S. consumer price inflation figures for April due on Wednesday to provide some indication on the U.S. central bank's next rate decision. U.S. consumers said last month they expected slightly lower inflation in a year's time, a report showed on Monday. While oil markets fell sharply last week, prices rose on Friday and Monday as fears of recession in the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, eased and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. "Oil prices won't be able to rise that much from here given all the growth demand fears, but expectations are high for OPEC+ to try to keep prices above the $70 a barrel level," Moya's note said.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHoward: The run on regional bank stocks is way overdone to the downsideVance Howard, CEO of Howard Capital Management, discusses how he's investing the markets.
The continued slide for regional bank stocks after the failure of First Republic last week has created some buying opportunities in the sector, according to Wall Street analysts. "We believe this recent stock reaction is overdone as there is currently no evidence of accelerating deposit outflows. We see accelerating deposit costs, not accelerating deposit outflows, as the most significant headwind for the midcap banks over the next several quarters," Gosalia wrote. Huntington and Webster also rise to the top of the heap for RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom. Both Huntington and Webster are down about 30% for the year, which is better than the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE).
The dollar remained relatively weaker against most of its major peers, even as the dollar index rose 0.059% and the euro fell 0.15% to $1.1002. Friday's robust U.S. payrolls report prompted investors to dial back their expectations for the timing and size of the Fed's first interest rate cut. The two-year Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose a touch above 4.0%. The dollar rose 0.18% against the yen. Bullion regained ground after a sharp retreat in the previous session, ahead of the inflation data that could shed light on the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
In Europe, the broad pan-regional STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.34% on expectations non-U.S. stocks will outperform in the months ahead. Sterling , which has gained 4.4% against the dollar this year, earlier hit a 12-month high of 1.2668 ahead of an expected Bank of England rate increase on Thursday. The dollar rose 0.01% against the yen. "The survey should point to further broad-based tightening in bank lending standards," said Bruce Kasman, head of economic research at JPMorgan. Bullion regained ground after a sharp retreat in the previous session, ahead of the inflation data that could shed light on the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
Summary Oil rallies after three straight weekly declinesGoldman Sachs says demand fears 'overblown'US inflation data and OPEC report in focus this weekSINGAPORE, May 8 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose over 2% on Monday as U.S. recession fears eased and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. Brent crude was up $1.57, or 2.1%, at $76.87 a barrel by 11:19 a.m. EDT (1519 GMT). Brent had finished last week with a decline of about 5.3% while U.S. crude plunged by 7.1% even after Friday's rebound. "The market is less worried about a banking crisis that could lead to a recession and hurt demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. OPEC's latest monthly oil market report is due on Thursday, providing an updated reading on the demand and supply outlook.
Oil climbs more than 2% as recession fears begin to fade
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices rose over 2% on Monday as U.S. recession fears eased and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone. Brent had finished last week with a decline of about 5.3% while U.S. crude plunged by 7.1% even after Friday's rebound. Banking concerns have plagued the market recently after the collapse of three major regional banks. "The market is less worried about a banking crisis that could lead to a recession and hurt demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. OPEC's latest monthly oil market report is due on Thursday, providing an updated reading on the demand and supply outlook.
Stock markets nervous about Fed pivot and banking sector
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
"The Fed decision was widely expected, so it didn't provide much of a shock to financial markets," Tina Teng, market analyst at CMC Markets, in Auckland. "However, I think the whole economic playout is not positive, especially the recent banking rout from the regional banks, and those big banks taking over the smaller banks. It's not a good sign, and risks are spreading out into the wider banking system, which worries investors." E-mini futures for the S&P 500 fell 0.22%, reflecting the dramatic slide in regional banking shares after the close of U.S. markets. The Fed is trying to indicate a direction, and the market is looking further down the path than the Fed's willing to communicate."
Jim Cramer says buy these 3 Club stocks on their post-earnings declinesJim Cramer on Wednesday made the case for investors to buy shares of Estee Lauder, Starbucks and Advanced Micro Devices, taking advantage of their overdone post-earnings declines. A transcript will be added shortly.
Bank of America upgrades Pearson to buy from underperform Bank of America said the selloff in the British education company is overdone. Bank of America upgrades Cogent to buy from underperform Bank of America upgraded the internet services provider and says it sees "new sales growth." Bernstein upgrades Marriott to outperform from market perform Bernstein said the hotel giant has the "highest quality" earnings stream. " Evercore ISI reiterates Wells Fargo as outperform Evercore said it's sticking with the larger banks as regional concerns continue. Berenberg upgrades HSBC to buy from hold Berenberg said in its upgrade of the UK bank that it's "structurally attractive."
That is the biggest net short position since October 2011, and marks the fourth week in five that funds have increased their bet on weaker U.S. stocks. Reuters ImageA short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. It has been a mixed bag with almost a fifth of the S&P 500 firms having reported. The S&P 500 has rebounded nearly 10% from the March banking shock lows, and if the options market is any guide, traders are sanguine about the near-term outlook. The VIX index of implied volatility - the Wall Street "fear index" - last week hit its lowest since November 2021.
Goldman Sachs is bullish on a heavyweight in the tobacco industry after a sharp sell-off. The firm reiterated a buy rating on Phillip Morris stock on Thursday, with a $120 per share price target. The company reported mixed earnings on Thursday , beating on adjusted earnings per share but coming up short on revenue. Philip Morris reported $8 billion in revenue against a Wall Street consensus of $8.1 billion. PM YTD mountain Shares of tobacco giant Philip Morris are heading higher in pre-market trading a day after a sharp sell-off.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Stocks fall on earnings Emerson upgrade Danaher readthrough 1. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Cramer says stock market recession fears are overblown. Here's whyJim Cramer on Monday said initial corporate results suggest business is still good in the U.S. and intense focus on a potential recession is overdone. He also discussed the jump in Wells Fargo shares Monday.
The S&P 500 finished little changed Tuesday as traders digested a slew of earnings reports and their implications for the U.S. economy. Major benchmarks fluctuated as investors assessed the latest batch of key earnings reports. Despite a tough economic environment, Bank of America surpassed first-quarter expectations on the top and bottom lines as rates rose. Despite Tuesday's moves, and expectations for declining profits against a backdrop of persistent inflation and rising interest rates, earnings season has so far proven resilient. Earnings season presses on after the bell with results from United Airlines and streaming giant Netflix .
As concerns about regional banks roiled markets, investors weighed another threat: commercial real estate. Also, layered on top of the property value pressure, are the tightening credit conditions brought on by the recent turmoil in the banking sector. There is no doubt this scenario is a toxic mix for the capital-intensive real estate industry. At the moment, many experts say the real estate market isn't causing trouble for banks, but fears about the financial system are likely worsening conditions in real estate because liquidity is being reduced. The biggest concern is seeing how many other companies join Brookfield , Blackstone and Pimco in handing back the keys on office properties, Clancy said.
Despite the benefits of heavy deposit flows and strong deposit growth in a slow growth environment, State Bank of India (SBI) has seen its stock price fall year-to-date due to its controversial exposure to Adani. The consensus price target of all analysts compiled by FactSet also points toward 717 rupees a share, which represents a 36% upside. SBIN-IN HDFCBANK-IN 1Y line SBI shares are also traded over the counter in the U.S. and the London and Frankfurt stock exchanges. HDFC over SBI If taking a more constructive long-term view on Indian banks as a whole, Chadha prefers HDFC Bank over SBI because it is merging with HDFC — which he describes as having "huge implications" — creating an almost $300 billion financial behemoth. HDFC Bank shares are up 4% this year and analysts' price target points to a further 13% upside over the next 12 months.
However, the major benchmarks shed gains quickly, briefly turning lower, as investors focused on underlying inflation pressures which rose in line with economists' estimates. US inflation, Fed rates and MarketsRichmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also poured cold water on market optimism after flagging that there was still time before inflation falls back to the Fed's 2% goal. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said there was "more work to do" on Fed rate hikes. Among the 11 major S&P sectors, consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) was the worst hit, while materials (.SPLRC) and healthcare (.SPXHC) were the top gainers. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The City of London is a blend of old and new, with St Paul's Cathedral close to skyscrapers as well as Roman ruins. Shomos Uddin | Moment | Getty ImagesLONDON — The British pound is the best performing G-10 (Group of Ten) currency of 2023, and some strategists believe the pound's rally can continue over the medium term. The currency has rebounded spectacularly from the record lows seen in September, after former Prime Minister Liz Truss' disastrous "mini-budget." Outlooks from the major economic forecasters have now been upgraded, with the OBR no longer projecting a technical recession — defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth — in 2023. The market is pricing around a 63% chance of a further quarter-point hike at the Bank's May meeting.
Raises price target to $52 from $47. Charles Schwab (SCHW) price target slashed to $65 from $89 at Keefe Bruyette. Analyst keeps an outperform rating on shares, acknowledging risks to near-term earnings outlook, but says the sell-off is now overdone. Evercore ISI lowers price target to $535 from $545, but keeps outperform rating. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Raymond James upgrades FedEx to outperform from market perform Raymond James said and "undeniable" positive change is underway at the shipping giant. "We are initiating coverage of XPO, one of the largest less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers, in North America, with an Outperform rating and a $44 target price." "We are initiating coverage of Skyworks Solutions, with a Buy rating and $150 target price. Raymond James upgrades Wells Fargo to strong buy from outperform Raymond James said the banking giant is well positioned in the current environment. Raymond James initiates Pinterest as outperform Raymond James said it sees "steady user growth" for Pinterest.
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 16, 2023. European shares edged lower as investors remained cautious, tilting toward defensive stocks amid economic uncertainty. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.16% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.45%. Emerging market stocks lost 0.10%. The dollar index rose 0.32%, with the euro down 0.47% to $1.09.
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 16, 2023. The Nasdaq joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while defensive stocks helped keep the Dow modestly green. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.16% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.51%. Emerging market stocks lost 0.10%. The dollar index rose 0.32%, with the euro down 0.48% to $1.0899.
Now is the time to buy shares of Sealed Air , according to UBS. He maintained his price target of $59 per share, suggesting a 28.8% rally for the stock from Tuesday's close price. Shares have tumbled 30% during the past 12 months, as the company struggled with supply chain issues, a post-pandemic demand reset and industrial destocking. Roughly three-fifths of analysts covering Sealed Air rate it a hold, Refinitiv data shows. The average price target on shares, however, implies 24.5% upside over the next 12 months.
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