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Big technology earnings this week could offer a much-needed catalyst for a market under pressure. Last week, the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched their longest daily losing streaks since October 2022, with the broad index posting its worst week since March 2022. Big Tech's performance this week could set the tone for the rest of earnings season and revive the market momentum. Tesla Tesla launches the reporting period for the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, with results due out after the bell Tuesday. Meta Platforms Meta Platforms ' results are due out after the bell Wednesday.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, John Murphy, Longtime Deutsche Bank Tesla, Emmanuel Rosner, Brent Thill, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Doug Anmuth, Justin Post, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Jefferies, Bernstein's, Wells Fargo's Michael Turrin, Piper Sandler's Brent Bracelin, Kash Rangan, Brad Zelnick, OpenAI, Satya Nadella Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Tesla Tesla, Bank of America, Barclays, Longtime Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Deutsche, NVIDIA Locations: China
The energy sector should continue to outperform as oil prices are likely to remain higher for longer on geopolitical risk even without a major escalation in the Middle East, according to Citi. The energy sector has gained 13% this year, outperforming the broader S & P 500 . .GSPE .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 energy sector outperforms Refinery stock Marathon Petroleum is leading the sector's performance with a gain of 33% year to date. "Our commodity team see higher for longer oil given the geopolitical risk even as a severe escalation seems unlikely." "However, in the short-term, the global reflation theme and tensions in the Middle East are keeping prices supported," the Citi team told clients.
Persons: Dirk Willer Organizations: Citi, Energy, Marathon Petroleum, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Brent Locations: Refinery, Israel, Iran, Rafah, Russia, Saudi Arabia
The stock market is poised for a short-term bounce, but technical analysts who watch price charts warn that the correction is not yet over. The technician said he anticipates support for stocks — the point at which buyers will reemerge — between 4,700-4,800 in the S & P 500. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 To be sure, some observers anticipate a more durable stock market rally, rather than a mere bounce. He anticipates that the S & P 500 could find support down at 4,800 and may not find a true bottom for several weeks. But he anticipates that the selloff will take longer to play out, with a pullback bringing the S & P 500 back to 4,700.
Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, we've, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg Organizations: Stocks, Federal Reserve
Companies that are spending big internally to grow their businesses should start outperforming if the economy remains on strong footing, according to Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street bank is advising clients consider buying companies with a high level of capital expenditure and research and development expenses. Those companies have outperformed those returning cash to shareholders via buybacks and dividends this year by 2 percentage points, Goldman said. In this environment, investors typically reward companies investing for growth when economic growth is accelerating, if history is any guide, Goldman said. The firm found a slew of stocks in the S & P 500 with the highest percentage of capex and R & D per market cap.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin Organizations: Norwegian Cruise Line, United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Meta, Intel, HP, Western Digital Locations: Norwegian, United
Opinion | The Fantasy of Reviving Nuclear Energy
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( Stephanie Cooke | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
Thirty-four nations, including the United States and China, agreed “to work to fully unlock the potential of nuclear energy,” including extending the lifetime of existing reactors, building new nuclear power plants and deploying advanced reactors. “Nuclear technology can play an important role in the clean energy transition,” Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, told summit attendees. Solar and wind power together began outperforming nuclear power globally in 2021, and that trend continues as nuclear staggers along. At the same time, investment in energy storage technology is rapidly accelerating. In 2023, BloombergNEF reported that investors for the first time put more money into stationary energy storage than they did into nuclear.
Persons: , Ursula von der Leyen, BloombergNEF Organizations: International Atomic Energy Agency, , European Commission Locations: Brussels, Belgian, United States, China
Wall Street anticipates a largely rosy setup for the stock, with many forecasting that the company beats, or reports in line with expectations. The anticipation contributed to some Wall Street firms lifting their price targets heading into the print. Under the paid sharing plan , Netflix account owners can buy an extra member slot and invite people outside their household to use the service. "After 1Q24, Netflix begins to lap the paid sharing benefits - most significantly in 2H24," wrote Morgan Stanley's Swinburne. Reason for caution Despite Netflix's strong run this year and the benefits reaped through paid sharing, some Wall Street analysts see reasons for caution.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne, Doug Anmuth, Morgan Stanley's Swinburne, Piper Sandler, Wall, Anmuth, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Bryan Kraft, Kannan Venkateshwar, Deutsche Bank's Kraft, Piper Sandler's Matt Farrell, MoffettNathanson's Michael Nathanson, Street's, Farrell, Citi's Jason Bazinet Organizations: Netflix, LSEG, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Street, Kraft, Deutsche, WWE, NBA, Netflix's WWE Locations: 2H24
Netflix added 9.3 million subscribers in the first quarter of 2024, it announced on Thursday, outperforming analysts’ expectations and solidifying its status as the entertainment industry’s dominant streaming company. It also generated $2.3 billion in net income and its revenue was $9.3 billion, 15 percent higher compared with the same time last year. Netflix now has almost 270 million subscribers around the world. The streaming giant said its quarter was buoyed by audience interest in series such as “Griselda,” “3 Body Problem” and “Avatar: The Last Airbender.”Its ad-tier business, which is now a year old and offers subscribers a lower-priced option, grew 65 percent from last quarter. The company said that in the markets where the ad tier was available, 40 percent of new sign-ups chose that option.
Persons: Griselda, Organizations: Netflix
CNN —Netflix, the dominant player in streaming, is expected to announce its first-quarter results on Thursday after enjoying months as a Wall Street darling. But much of the company’s past growth and success, analysts say, has come from its old, well-established business model. In recent months, Netflix has made moves to expand and even radically reinvent that business. Last year, Netflix made a particularly risky bet by pushing users who share passwords to create their own accounts — but that paid off. Netflix’s reinventionFor Netflix, last month’s Oscars were a disappointment: Though the streaming service led its rivals in nominations, it took home just one award, for best live-action short film.
Persons: Peacock, , Ross Benes, ” Alicia Reese, , Greg Peters, ” Reese, Reese, Robert Falconer, Amy Reinhard, “ I’m, Peters, We’ve Organizations: CNN, Netflix, Disney, Max, Warner Bros, City, Wedbush Securities, WWE, USA, Rockstar Locations: Hulu, eMarketer, United States
Hedge fund manager and New York Mets baseball team owner Steven Cohen has already begun to invest in a four-day work week. Cohen isn't alone in forecasting a four-day work week. Jefferies thinks artificial intelligence will make workers more efficient and eventually lead to a four-day work week becoming the norm, according to a note from June 2023. Bank of America also expects the changing post-pandemic work landscape may result in a shorter work week. Opposition to change Opponents to a shorter work week, however, argue that such a change is both politically and economically unfeasible.
Persons: Steven Cohen, " Cohen, Cohen isn't, Jefferies, Henry Ford, Ford, Christian Magoon, Cohen, Magoon, It's, David Bahnsen, Bahnsen, I'm Organizations: New York Mets, CNBC, Bank of America, Economic, COVID, Cloud Technology ETF, IVES, Ionos, Broadcom, Cisco Systems, General Dynamics Locations: France, U.S, Nice
The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.
Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi
Jamie Dimon, President and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC's "Squawk Box" at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 17, 2024. JPMorgan Chas e is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. Still, large banks are expected to outperform smaller ones this quarter, and expectations for JPMorgan are high. Analysts believe the bank can boost guidance for 2024 net interest income as the Federal Reserve is forced to maintain interest rate levels amid stubborn inflation data. Shares of JPMorgan have jumped 15% this year, outperforming the 3.9% gain of the KBW Bank Index.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chas, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, Federal Reserve, Analysts, Federal, KBW, Wells, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Wells Fargo
How the corporate America is handling sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates will be top of mind for investors in the week ahead, after this week's choppy moves. The first-quarter earnings season, which kicked off Friday, will give Wall Street insight into how businesses expect to weather an environment of elevated interest rates. More macro data, such as U.S. retail sales, will give insight into how the consumer is handling higher pricing pressures. First-quarter earnings season underway The corporate earnings season kicks into high gear in the week ahead. This week, the small cap Russell 2000 is on track for a losing week, down by more than 1%.
Persons: Bob Doll, CNBC's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Robert Haworth, Haworth, Charles Schwab, Johnson, D.R, KeyCorp Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Exxon Mobil, Costco, Apple, Crossmark, Investments, Investors, Bank of America, Consumer, U.S . Bank, Index, Retail, T Bank, Housing, Manufacturing, Hunt Transport Services, United Airlines, Johnson, Bank of New York Mellon, UnitedHealth Group, Northern Trust, CSX, Discover Financial Services, Prologis, U.S . Bancorp, Philadelphia Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Schlumberger Locations: America, China, NAHB, Vegas Sands, U.S, Horton
Nike — Shares added 2% following an upgrade at Bank of America to buy from neutral. Alpine Immune Sciences — Shares of Alpine Immune Sciences soared nearly 37% after Vertex Pharmaceuticals said it will buy the company for about $4.9 billion in cash. The deal values Alpine stock at $65, about 67% above its close on Tuesday, the day before Bloomberg reported Alpine was considering its options. Vera Therapeutics — The stock jumped more than 10% following the announcement of the Vertex/Alpine deal. Atlassian — Shares jumped 4% after being upgraded at Barclays to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Robinhood, Vera Therapeutics, Berenberg, DoorDash, Alex Harring, Sarah Min Organizations: LSEG, Revenue, Nike —, Bank of America, Citi, Constellation, Modelo, Constellation Brands, Immune Sciences, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Bloomberg, Barclays, CNBC Locations: Vera, Albemarle
Eaton and DuPont are both unconventional AI plays, as the data center market grows to meet the demands of the generative AI boom. Wells Fargo Investment Institute last month described rising data center demand as having positive "trickle-down effects" on the industrial sector. WFII wrote that spending from Big Tech firms into data centers, in particular, creates "meaningful downstream impacts" for industrial companies. Amazon Web Services is reportedly investing nearly $150 billion in data centers within the next 15 years to support AI efforts. During a Barclays investor conference in February, CFO Lori Koch said DuPont's data center and AI exposure will help boost the company's electronics business.
Persons: Eaton, Jensen Huang, Huang, chipmaker, Sameer Samana, WFII, Jim Cramer, Eaton's, DuPont, Lori Koch, Koch, Jim Cramer's Organizations: The, DuPont, Club, Nvidia, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNBC, Big Tech, , Microsoft, Services, McKinsey, workloads, Electrical, Management, Barclays, Wall Street, RBC Capital Markets, Eaton, RBC, U.S, De Nemours, DuPont's Electronics, Semiconductor Technologies, DuPont's Semiconductor Technologies, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Eaton, China
Cava — Shares jumped 4.4% after Argus upgraded the Mediterranean food chain to buy from hold, saying investors should buy the dip. Cava has a "long runway to growth," the firm said. Nvidia — Shares rose 1.7% as the "Magnificent Seven" leader tried to claw its way out of correction territory . Earnings came in at 45 cents per share, 9 cents ahead of the 36 cents expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Alibaba — Shares rose 1.2% on news that Jack Ma, co-founder of the China-based e-commerce company, touted Alibaba's management and talked about the potential for AI in an internal memo to employees.
Persons: Truist, Cava —, William Blair, Vital, Jefferies, Wednesday's, Albemarle, Jack Ma, Samantha Subin, Michelle Fox Theobald, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Hoka, Argus, Nvidia, Vital, Mizuho, Zillow, National Association of Realtors, GoodRx Holdings, Delta Air Lines, LSEG, Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Locations: Cava, China
Evercore ISISurprisingly strong economic growth will fuel a 5.5% year-over-year jump in corporate earnings this quarter, according to Evercore. That would be well above analysts' consensus of about 3% but below the nearly 8% growth rate in Q4. 8 stocks set to outperform soonThough US stocks broadly may be in for a rough ride, stock-pickers shouldn't get too worried. To help with the search, Emanuel and company highlighted eight stocks set to outperform during the Q1 earnings season. Below are the eight companies listed in alphabetical order along with their ticker, market capitalization, sector, expected earnings release date, year-to-date earnings revision, and expected earnings growth rate relative to their sector peers.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, recalculate, Evercore, Emanuel's, didn't, shouldn't, Zscaler Organizations: Service, ISI, Business, PPG Industries
Alphabet 's cloud event Tuesday could provide a much needed sentiment lift to investors fretting about the search giant's artificial intelligence potential, according to some Wall Street analysts. "With unique AI assets, including proprietary infrastructure and an advanced LLM model, we believe Google cloud has an opportunity to differentiate its cloud offering, improving market share and street sentiment," wrote Bank of America's Justin Post. This week's event, however, could mark a turnaround in the right direction and help lift sentiment toward the company's AI developments. Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak also highlighted the event as one of five potential catalysts for the stock through the beginning of June. The firm is on the lookout for more examples of how the cloud is benefitting from the AI transformation, he said.
Persons: of America's Justin Post, Post, Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak, Nowak Organizations: of America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Rivals, Google Locations: U.S, Monday's, durably
Was that a change in the market's character last week, or is it still the same old bull? This is generally to the good, as boring markets are bullish markets while they remain that way. Rates and commodities worries Other asset markets have also been at least inviting the question about a potential shift in character. The good news on this, as I keep insisting, is that it hasn't been a truly Fed-driven market. Though it's easy to imagine the market chafing at this kind of higher-rate, higher-growth equilibrium if it continues too much longer.
Persons: Ned Davis, Jerome Powell, hasn't, That's, We're, It's, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, Investors Intelligence, Investment, Deutsche Bank ., New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York City, U.S
CNBC Pro combed through Wall Street research to find tech stocks to buy as the second quarter gets underway. They include Microsoft, Amazon, Pinterest, Alphabet and Nvidia. Alphabet Alphabet is lagging a number of its Big Tech peers, but the search giant is worth buying, according to Bank of America. Alphabet - Bank of America, buy rating "In 1Q'24, Alphabet stock has underperformed broader markets and peers. Microsoft - Jefferies, buy rating "While material revs are unlikely until late '24 into '25 and with Semis outperforming Software, investors should start positioning now.
Persons: OpenAI, Jefferies, Brent Thill, Thill, Justin Post, Mark Mahaney, Pinterest, Mahaney, Wells Fargo, , GOOGL Organizations: Wall Street, CNBC, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big Tech, Bank of America, Post, Amazon, Jefferies, outperforming Software, ISI, Mizuho Locations: OpenAI, Wells, North America, China
CNBC Daily Open: Safe havens in vogue
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down Thursday 1.35% at 38,596.98 in its biggest loss since March 2023 and fourth-straight daily loss. Trusting ZuckerbergMeta shares soared to an intraday record on Thursday, outperforming the broader market after Jefferies and RBC Capital analysts raised their price targets. [PRO] Pre-earnings upgradesAnalysts have become more bullish on six stocks from around the world this week, raising their price targets ahead of the quarterly earnings release season.
Persons: Brent, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Zuckerberg, Meta, Jefferies Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Ford, Jefferies, RBC Capital
The strategist highlighted the industrial and energy sectors, which he said should benefit from reports of a robust American economy. The stock is also already outperforming the S & P 500 this year, up nearly 29% year to date. As a group, industrials have gained 10.3% this year, or a little less than 1% above the S & P 500. After a rocky 2023, energy has established itself as one of the S & P 500's top outperformers in 2024. Among energy stocks, Tentarelli favors refiners.
Persons: Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, industrials, refiners, Phillips Organizations: Blue, General Electric, GE Healthcare, Valero, Banking, JPMorgan
Mizuho reiterates Nvidia as a top pick Mizuho says Nvidia is still a top idea at the firm. Morgan Stanley initiates Mural Oncology at overweight Morgan said in its initiation of the biotech company that it sees a long "cash runway" lasting through 2025. Morgan Stanley downgrades Block to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley sees growth headwinds for the payment tech company. Morgan Stanley upgrades Zeta to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the marketing technology company has an underappreciated valuation. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla at overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target to $310 per share from $320. "
Persons: Bernstein, Reddit, underperform Bernstein, Raymond James, Raymond James downgrades Bumble, Barclays downgrades Ferrari, it's, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wolfe, underperform Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Piper, Synopsys, Morgan Stanley downgrades Block, Dave, Buster's, Jefferies, Zeta, Oppenheimer, Ball, Wayfair, Wynn, bullish, Tesla, Goldman Sachs downgrades Hertz Organizations: Citi, Barclays, Ferrari, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Avis, UBS downgrades Bank of America, UBS, Apple, AstraZeneca JPMorgan, AstraZeneca, Amazon, AWS, Meta, General Motors, GMC, Chevrolet, Buick, GM, DFS, Mizuho, Eversource Energy Locations: Avis, MURA, Charlotte, Wayfair, Capital, Macau
Our review of the charts of precious metals tells us that the recent rally in gold prices could be just the early stages of a broad advance in the second quarter and beyond. Interestingly enough, gold stocks have actually been underperforming gold for most of the last 12 months. But over the last six weeks, gold miners have shown renewed strength, outperforming spot gold. This may be just the beginning of a "catch up" trade where gold miners close the performance gap with gold. Gold stocks have been lagging behind spot gold, but that trend of underperformance has begun to change in the last six weeks.
Persons: Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: Gold Miners, CMT Locations: retest
"If you look at AI stocks or Nvidia in particular … Nvidia's a phenomenal company, massive revenue growth, massive earnings growth, but there's a question — how wonderful are they? Miller said Nvidia is inherently different from companies such as Microsoft and Apple, which he thinks are worth their $2 billion valuations. Nvidia shares more than tripled in 2023 as investors flocked into the AI darling. Metallurgical coal companies are trading very cheaply alongside their thermal coal peers since investors are "throwing the baby out with the bathwater," Miller said. "There's going to be more metallurgical coal used over the next three to five years, but there's no new supply coming online."
Persons: David Miller, Miller, haven't, there's, Morningstar Organizations: Nvidia, Catalyst Funds, CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Metallurgical Locations: U.S
Tuesday's market sell-off sticks out like a sore thumb amid this year's rally to all-time highs, leaving traders to wonder if it could be the start of a bigger downtrend. That marks a turn from the strong first quarter, during which nearly two out of every five trading days pushed the benchmark S & P 500 to a record close, according to Bespoke Investment Group. "But in the near term, it's just putting some pressure on on the stock market." The sector is up about 3% year to date, far underperforming the overall S & P 500. VZ .SPX YTD mountain Verizon vs. the S & P 500, year to date Verizon has climbed more than 12% thus far in 2024, outperforming the S & P 500.
Persons: Larry Tentarelli Organizations: Investment, Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Wall, CNBC, LSEG, Verizon Locations: Tuesday's selloff
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